Archive for September 16th, 2009

2009 Chase for the Sprint Cup Odds, Preview, & Picks

September 16th, 2009 by Travis Edwards (Bankroll Sports Contributor) | Posted in Nascar / Auto Racing   Comments Off on 2009 Chase for the Sprint Cup Odds, Preview, & Picks

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NASCAR’s version of the playoffs will kickoff this weekend from Loudon Speedway for the 2009 Chase for the Sprint Cup. Last week in Richmond it was the final chance for drivers to earn their spot among the top 12 drivers in the standings. Those 12 drivers will now be the lone contenders battling for the 2009 Championship. Brian Vickers raced his way into the Chase last weekend edging out Kyle Busch by just 8 points. It may be an even bigger surprise to see the younger Busch not in the Chase since many consider the young driver one of the most talented if not the most talented driver in NASCAR. Busch will now take a back seat ride for his hopes of winning his first championship for at least another year.

The focus now turns back to the 12 drivers who will be putting it all on the line for their chance at glory. Hendrick Motorsports houses 3 contenders in the Chase this season which is not any surprise considering they have dominated over the past few years. Jimmie Johnson and Jeff Gordon share 7 championships between each other which is more than any other duo in the sport. These two guys will be big favorites to add another piece of hardware over the next 10 races; especially Jimmie Johnson who is only the 2nd driver in history to win 3 straight championships. The other driver is Mark Martin who came out of retirement for a chance to driver the #5 car for the Hendrick owned team. What a story it would make if Martin could pull of his first championship after 21 years of racing and uncountable accomplishments. With Hendrick Motorsports unprecedented success over the last few years, there is no reason not to assume these 3 drivers will not be big favorites to win the 2009 Sprint Cup Title.

However, there will be many more drivers led by the likes of Tony Stewart, Denny Hamlin, Carl Edwards, and more who will be extremely hungry for a shot at NASCAR immortality. Stewart has led the points for the majority of the season in his first year as owner of Stewart-Haas racing. The success was not expected to come so soon for Stewart after departing from Joe Gibbs Racing last season. However, Stewart has been successful behind the wheel in every car/division throughout his career and is a former 2-time Cup Champion. If anyone has any chance of breaking up the Hendrick show, it could come from Tony Stewart and the #14 team. Stewart also fields another car in the field by teammate Ryan Newman. Newman had a solid year behind the wheel with 12 top 10 finishes in his first season with Stewart-Haas and that should indicate how well their cars have run this season. If you still not sold on betting on Stewart-Haas racing, they are powered by Hendrick Motorsports equipment which should speak for itself.

Breaking away from everything Hendrick Motorsports related, drivers like Denny Hamlin and Carl Edwards have to be on the radar for championship talks. Hamlin especially has been one of the hottest drivers in the sport over the past few weeks. The driver of the #11 FedEx won at Pocono over a month ago and also scored a victory last week at Richmond. The #11 team seem to be peaking at the perfect time and could be the perfect candidate to steal the spotlight. Kurt Busch and Carl Edwards are also both legitimate threats. Edwards won more races than anyone in 2008 (9). However, Edwards has yet to get his first victory of the season and is driving with a fractured foot. The foot should not be an issue considering Edwards has won on the Nationwide Series, but the #99 team’s ability to get back to the front may be as issue. Kurt Busch has been very strong this year as well. The elder Busch has not had much success since his 2004 Championship. However, Penske Racing has made a big turn around and the driver of the #2 car could be a big threat if they continue to gain on the competition.

Teammates Kasey Kahne and Juan Pablo Montoya are two drivers who have really come on strong towards the end of the year. Montoya is a former open wheel star who has had his best year of his career making his first Chase. Kahne and Montoya will both be seeking their first championship opportunity. Earnhardt-Ganassi Racing has made big strides in getting back to a competitive standing in the sport and Montoya has surprised many with how well he has run over the past two months. Also, Greg Biffle is the last unmentioned driver in the Chase. Biffle has had a quiet season for Rousch Racing who has struggled to say the least. However, Biffle exploded at this time last year winning the first two races of the Chase and if not for troubles in the last few races could have pulled a huge upset in terms of the 2008 Title. Biffle will look to make those kinds of headlines early in this season’s Chase and contend for another shot at history. While all these drivers will be eager to prove they have what it takes to be called Sprint Cup Champion, we take a look at the odds for the 2009 Championship. Check out all drivers odds at the bottom of the page, and we provide our top 5 drivers to win the 2009 Championship.

Picks

#1. Jimmie Johnson

How do you not bet on the 3 time reigning NASCAR Champion? Jimmie Johnson is the leading favorite to win this year’s title at +250 odds. Johnson always seems to shine in the last 10 races of the season despite how much success he has had early on. Johnson has 3 wins this season, but only one of those tracks will be revisited during the Chase (Dover). However, Johnson is able to put up strong finishes when others are not. The #48 bunch has not only possibly the best driver, but equally important the best team and crew chief. They are able to make changes to the car better than anyone throughout the race and salvage finishes better than anyone. If they avoid big mistakes like normal again this year, there is no reason not to say Jimmie Johnson can not rewrite history again with his 4th consecutive championship.

#2. Tony Stewart

Tony Stewart knows exactly what it takes to win the Sprint Cup playoff format as he conquered the feat in 2005. Stewart has not been running as well in the last few weeks as he did midway through the season, but do not let that fool anyone. Stewart has more top 5 finishes than any other driver this season at 13 and has also scored 3 victories on the year as well. The #14 bunch is eager to prove they are not a rookie organization and with Stewart at the wheel they are primed for success. Remember, Stewart has captured wins on some of the biggest stages of the season including the All Star Race held at Lowes Motorspeedway earlier this year and capping off a championship would be the perfect end to the season.

#3. Mark Martin

Rest assured it is not any type of fluke that the 50 year old is in the Chase for the Championship. Martin has taken advantage of his opportunity to drive for the #5 car out of the Hendrick stable and has looked very impressive throughout the year. Martin has scored more wins than any other driver this season at 4 victories and will be the #1 seed in the points going into the first race. Martin has also been running very well over the last few weeks, but on the counter side he has really not run badly at all this season. Earlier this season there was a few runs of mechanical failure, but other than that the veteran driver has been superb. Martin will definitely be the sentimental favorite to win the Championship since it has eluded him his entire career and this may be one of the best opportunities he has ever had through his career to end the season on top.

#4. Denny Hamlin

As noted before, there has not been any other driver hotter than Denny Hamlin heading into the Chase. Hamlin has scored 2 wins in the last 6 races and during that stretch has an average finish of 5.3. The average finish is fairly staggering considering those tracks have been from road courses, short tracks, and super speedways. The simple fact is that the #11 guys are fast everywhere and momentum is a big thing in NASCAR. Hamlin is also very strong at the flat races tracks and could get off to a fast start this week at Loudon (New Hampshire). Only Jimmie Johnson and Jeff Gordon have more top 10 finishes this season than Hamlin and it has been nearly two months since the #11 car finished outside of the top 10. If that type of consistency continues, Hamlin will be very tough to beat.

#5. Jeff Gordon

Jeff Gordon has had the season he needed to get the #24 Dupont program headed in the back direction. Gordon is still not putting up the wins like the team feels they should be grabbing, but there is no other driver that has run up front more than the #24 this season. Gordon got the season of strong with a victory at Texas, but has failed to reach victory lane since. However, Gordon has posted 12 top 5 finishes this season which is 2nd most of all drivers behind Jimmie Johnson. Not only does the entire team seem to be getting back to premier form, but Gordon has run very well in the last few weeks. There are some concerns of how the 4-time Champions back troubles will hold up as the season progresses, but you must consider Gordon in the championship talk considering how well they have run.

Complete NASCAR odds to win the 2009 Sprint Cup From BetUS (as of 9/17/09)
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  • Brian Vickers +2000
  • Carl Edwards +1000
  • Denny Hamlin +800
  • Greg Biffle +2500
  • Jeff Gordon +400
  • Jimmie Johnson +250
  • Juan Pablo Montoya +2000
  • Kasey Kahne +2000
  • Kurt Busch +2000
  • Mark Martin +300
  • Ryan Newman +3000
  • Tony Stewart +300

Complete NASCAR odds to win the 2009 Sprint Cup From Sportsbook.com (as of 9/19/09)
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  • Brian Vickers  +3000
  • Carl Edwards  +1000    
  • Denny Hamlin  +800    
  • Greg Biffle  +2500    
  • Jeff Gordon  +400    
  • Jimmie Johnson  +250    
  • Juan Pablo Montoya  +3000    
  • Kasey Kahne  +2500    
  • Kurt Busch  +2500    
  • Mark Martin  +300    
  • Ryan Newman  +3000    
  • Tony Stewart  +300