2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 6 Cheat Sheet
Last Updated: October 7th, 2010 byWeek 6 college football betting is here! Bankroll Sports is back with more NCAA football picks for Week 6 of the year, but before we do that, we need to take a look at the important trends and history that the teams that are facing against each other this week.
Thursday, October 7th: Nebraska Cornhuskers @ Kansas State Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Huskers are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 road games
KSU is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 overall
The Cornhuskers are just 3-7 ATS in their L/10 against the Wildcats
Series History
Though we already know that Nebraska has only covered three of the L/10 against the Wildcats, that doesn’t mean that Big Red hasn’t dominated this series. They have a 73-31 victory to their credit as 7.5 point underdogs in 2007, and they have outscored KSU by an average of over 20 points per game in five wins since 2005. ‘Over’ bettors are a whopping 10-2 in the L/12 meetings in this series.
Friday, October 8th: Connecticut Huskies @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights
NCAA Football Trends of Note
UConn is 15-4 ATS in its L/19 overall
The Huskies are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 road games
The road team is 5-2-1 ATS in the L/8 meetings in this series
Series History
These two teams have only met eight times in their history, and the Scarlet Knights have really had no luck. UConn was 6-0-1 ATS in the first seven clashes before last year when Rutgers came up with its second win in Connecticut in team history. The underdog has also covered four of the L/5. Five of the L/7 have gone ‘over’ the ‘total’.
Friday, October 8th: Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Okie State is 6-1-1 ATS in its L/8 games played in the month of October
The Cajuns are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 in October
Louisiana Lafayette is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 against the Big XII
Series History
These two teams haven’t met since 2003, and it’s probably a good thing for the Cajuns. The Pokes posted a 56-3 beat down of ULL in that meeting in ’03 in Stillwater. Oklahoma State actually visited Cajun Field in 1997 and 1986, coming away with victories in both games. The Ragin’ Cajuns have never won a game in this series.
Saturday, October 9th: Indiana Hoosiers @ Ohio State Buckeyes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The road team is 7-2 ATS in the L/9 meetings of these teams
Ohio State is 43-19 ATS in its L/62 games overall
The Buckeyes are 9-2 ATS in their L/11 against teams with a winning record
Series History
Indiana just doesn’t know what it’s like to beat the Buckeyes of late. You have to go way back to find the last Indiana victory. Ohio State has covered five straight and seven out of eight in this series, including issuing a 33-14 beat down last season in Bloomington. The Bucks have scored at least 30 in seven straight and at least 27 the L/10 meetings. In the L/10, Indiana hasn’t scored more than 17 points against OSU.
Saturday, October 9th: Illinois Fighting Illini @ Penn State Nittany Lions
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Illini are 6-0 ATS in their L/6 as an underdog
Illinois is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 overall
The Nittany Lions are 18-7-2 ATS in their L/27 in October
Series History
The Illini know what it takes to get rid of Penn State, but here in Happy Valley has been a totally different thing. Illinois’ last win in this series was back in 2007 in Champaign. Since then, the Nittany Lions have won both tussles, including last year’s 35-17 victory on the road as 7.5 point favorites. Six of the L/8 clashes of these Big Ten rivals has eclipsed the ‘total’.
Saturday, October 9th: Tennessee Volunteers @ Georgia Bulldogs
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Vols have covered four straight in this series
Georgia is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 against teams with losing records
The Dawgs are 4-11 ATS in their L/15 home games
Series History
The home team has won three straight in this series and has done so by double digits in all three clashes. This annual early October tussle generally features low scoring games, as the losing team has only scored more than 19 points once since 2001. The winner generally gets an upper hand in the SEC East title race, though this season, these teams come into this one at a combined 0-5 in conference play.
Saturday, October 9th: Alabama Crimson Tide @ South Carolina Gamecocks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tide are 11-5 ATS in their L/16 in the SEC
Alabama is 11-5 ATS in its L/16 road games against teams with winning home records
The Gamecocks are 4-1-1 ATS in their L/6 following a bye week
Series History
These teams have only met five times since they joined the SEC, and the meetings have been fairly evenly matched. Both teams have one win on enemy soil, while Alabama holds a 3-2 edge both SU and ATS overall. Two of the L/3 meetings have been played into just the 20s in total points scored, while the losing team has only scored more than 17 points once since 2000.
Saturday, October 9th: Arkansas Razorbacks @ Texas A&M Aggies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Hogs are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 games in October
Arkansas is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 neutral site games
The Razorbacks are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 against Big XII opposition
Series History
These two teams renewed their old SWAC rivalry last year with the Razorbacks pounding the Aggies 47-19 on a neutral field. This year will be no exception playing at Dallas Cowboys Stadium. The Hogs have covered five straight dating back to 1988, but the most recent meeting since the ’09 encounter was in 1991.
Saturday, October 9th: Michigan State Spartans @ Michigan Wolverines
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Spartans haven’t covered a spread on the road since October 10th, 2009
Michigan is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 played in October
Big Blue is just 5-16 ATS in its L/21 played in the Big Ten
Series History
These two teams have a history of playing very, very close games, as three of the L/6 have gone to overtime. The final margin of victory between these two has been no more than 18 points since 2002 when the Wolverines were absolutely dominant, and even then, only one of the L/10 has been separated by more than two tuddies. Still, even with close margins of victory, the favorites have covered four straight in this series, including last year’s 26-20 OT victory for Sparty at home.
Saturday, October 9th: Virginia Cavaliers @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Cavs are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 games played in October
Georgia Tech is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 played in the ACC
The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the L/8 in this series
Series History
The home team might be 9-3 ATS in the L/12 in this series, but the hosts have failed to either cover or win two straight. Last year’s 34-9 beat down for the Jackets only avenged the previous year’s 24-17 loss at Bobby Dodd Stadium. Five of the L/6 have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’ when these two teams have met, as the 34 points scored by the Ramblin’ Wreck last year was the highest point total for a team in a game in this series since 2001.
Saturday, October 9th: Pittsburgh Panthers @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Pitt is 13-5 ATS in its L/18 played on grass
The Irish are just 5-17 ATS in their L/22 played on grass
Notre Dame has covered five of the L/7 and seven of the L/10 in this series
Series History
That doesn’t mean that Notre Dame has really dominated the SU proceedings, though. Sure, back in the ’90s when the Irish were a dominating force, they were winning games in this series by 60-6 score lines like they did in 1996. However, since 1999, U-Pitt has definitely show a pulse, losing by more than 17 points just once in this series and pulling off three victories, two of which came in South Bend. The Irish have won a game against the Panthers in front of the watchful eyes of Touchdown Jesus since 2000.
Saturday, October 9th: Clemson Tigers @ North Carolina Tar Heels
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 overall
North Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 overall
The favorite is 7-3 ATS in the L/10 in this series
Series History
Clemson absolutely pummeled the Tar Heels 52-7 in Death Valley the last time that these two teams got in on in 2006, but they haven’t met in Chapel Hill since 2002. That meeting was a 42-12 romp for the Tigers as well. The last time that UNC won a game in this series was a 38-3 decision in 2001, and the last ‘W’ on Tobacco Road came in 1998. The road team had won three straight from 2000 to 2002 before the Tigers took over for their L/2 home wins.
Saturday, October 9th: Oregon State Beavers @ Arizona Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Oregon State is 13-3 ATS in its L/16 road games
Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 as a favorite
The Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 home games
Series History
Last season, the Wildcats nearly made it to the Rose Bowl courtesy of a 37-32 win at Reser Stadium. However, before that, the Beavs had blown them apart to the tune of a 3-0 SU and ATS mark from 2006 to 2008. Oregon State is 8-2 ATS in the L/10 in this series, while the favorite has nailed down seven of the ten ATS decision in that stretch. Arizona only has won two games SU in this series since 2000 and hasn’t won a game at home in that run.
Saturday, October 9th: Colorado Buffaloes @ Missouri Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Buffs are 8-3 ATS in their L/11 against teams with a winning record
Colorado is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 played in the Big 12
Mizzou is just 3-11 ATS in its L/14 games played in Columbia
Series History
The Tigers have won four straight both SU and ATS in this series dating back to ’06, but it wasn’t always that way. Colorado covered four straight and went 5-0-1 ATS in six games before that dating back to 2000. Thanks to the fact that the ‘Zou has averaged scoring 44.3 PPG in the L/4, four of the L/5 games have gone ‘over’ the ‘total’ between these Big XII rivals
Saturday, October 9th: Utah Utes @ Iowa State Cyclones
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Utes are 5-0-1 ATS in their L/6 games as favorites
Iowa State has covered four straight home games
The Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in their L/5 games played outside of the B12
Series History
First Meeting
Saturday, October 9th: Auburn Tigers @ Kentucky Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Auburn is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 played away from Jordan Hare Stadium
The Tigers are 3-7 ATS in their L/10 played in October
Kentucky is 6-13-1 ATS in its L/20 home games
Series History
There have won been seven meetings between these teams since 1988, and all of them belonged to the Tigers before last season’s surprising 21-14 upset for UK in Auburn. The Cats have now covered two straight, but failed to cover four in row prior to that point. Last year’s ‘under’ clash marked the first ‘under’ between these SEC foes since the 1989 24-12 result in favorite of the Tigers.
Saturday, October 9th: LSU Tigers @ Florida Gators
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tigers are just 2-6 ATS in their L/8 played on grass
Florida is 23-7 ATS in its L/30 against teams with a winning record
The Gators are 19-8 ATS in their L/27 overall
Series History
It’s certainly great to be a Florida Gator in this series. The blue and orange have covered five straight in this series dating back to 2004, but it was that 2004 meeting that was most memorable for the Bayou Bengals. That marked the last time that they successfully came into the Swamp and took care of Florida. The Gators have won three of the L/4 in this series, but the home team had won four straight before UF’s 13-3 last year at night in the Bayou. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the L/9. The ‘under’ has cashed in 11 of the L/14.
Saturday, October 9th: Florida State Seminoles @ Miami Hurricanes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Noles are just 2-6 ATS in their L/8 games following an ATS victory
Miami is 3-13 ATS in its L/16 home games against teams with winning road records
The Canes are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played in October
Series History
For whatever reason, the road team has suddenly started to dominate this series. Four straight ‘W’s have come from road teams, and pups have covered nine straight and ten out of 11. The Canes marched into Tallahassee and won 38-34 last year on Labor Day night, but prior to that, the Noles won 41-39 and 13-10 in Miami. This series has a history of producing close games, as each of the L/9 have been decided by eight points or less.
Saturday, October 9th: USC Trojans @ Stanford Cardinal
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Trojans are 1-8 ATS in their L/9 played on grass
USC is 3-11 ATS in its L/14 played in the Pac-10
Stanford is 12-3 ATS in its L/15 home games
Series History
The Cardinal rolled into LA last year and laid a whopping 55-21 smack down on the Trojans. However, no upset was finer than the 2007 remarkable win that changed the Stanford program forever. The 24-23 upset as 39 point favorites stunned the world. The Trees have now covered five straight in this series and have even won twice outright, something that was never heard of from the early 2000s until the late 2000s.
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