2010 NFL Trends: Week 5 Cheat Sheet
Last Updated: October 9th, 2010 byWeek 5 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 5 NFL matchups.
Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 ET: Atlanta Falcons @ Cleveland Browns
NFL Trends of Note
Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 overall
Cleveland is 9-1 ATS in its L/10 in October
The Browns are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 played on grass
Series History
These teams have only met twice in Cleveland’s brief history, and the Browns have dominated. Cleveland stole a 17-13 victory at the Georgia Dome in 2006 and won 24-16 in 2002. Even in the one preseason tussle that these teams played in 2003, Cleveland took a 20-9 win. All three games have gone ‘under’ the ‘total’, while the Browns have covered all three NFL lines.
Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens
NFL Trends of Note
The Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 following an SU win
The Ravens are 42-18-1 ATS in their L/61 as home favorites
Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in its L/7 as a home favorite of between 3.5 and 10 points
Series History
The Broncos are just 1-6-1 ATS in the L/8 meetings in this series. Baltimore won 30-7 last year in this fixture. The home team has won five straight dating back to 2002 and eight out of nine since 1994. Four straight and six out of seven have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’. The road team has only scored a grand total of 26 points in the L/4 meetings of these powerhouses, but the home team has only eclipsed 13 points once in the L/3.
Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: New York Giants @ Houston Texans
NFL Trends of Note
The Giants are 1-7 ATS in their L/8 played on grass
New York is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 against teams with a winning record
Houston has gone 5-1-1 ATS in its L/7
Series History
The Texans have only been around long enough to face the Giants twice in their lives, and this is just the second trip to Reliant Stadium ever. The home team has won both meetings, but the Texans have dominated the ATS proceedings. Houston is 2-0 ATS, with both clashes coming as underdogs. The Giants won 14-10 in the one duel in the Meadowlands, while Houston won 16-14 at home. Obviously, both meetings stayed well ‘under’ the ‘total’.
Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers
NFL Trends of Note
The Bears are 2-7 ATS in their L/9 on grass
Carolina is 8-1 ATS in its L/9 against teams with winning records
The Bears are 4-2 ATS in their L/6
Series History
There have only been five clashes of these teams in Panthers history, including one meeting in the postseason. Carolina won that day 29-21 in the Windy City, and that was the only time a road team ever won a game in this series. The underdog has only failed to cover one spread, with that coming in 2005 in favor of the Bears. That also happens to be the only time since 1995 that the men from the Windy City have won a game against the Panthers.
Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: St. Louis Rams @ Detroit Lions
NFL Trends of Note
The Rams are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 against teams with losing record
The Lions are just 5-13 ATS in their L/18 games played at Ford Field.
St. Louis has covered back to back in this series
Series History
The only win for the Rams last year came against these Lions at this venue. St. Louis captured a 17-10 decision. The meeting prior to that was also in favor of the Rams, a 41-34 win at the Edward Jones Dome. That was actually the only meeting in St. Louis since 1993, as the other five since that point were played in the Motor City.
Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Green Bay Packers @ Washington Redskins
NFL Trends of Note
Green Bay is 9-3-1 ATS in its L/13 overall
The Packers are 8-3-1 ATS in their L/12 on grass
The Redskins are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 played in Week 5
Series History
Since the mid 1980s, this series has just belonged to the Pack. Green Bay had gone 4-0 SU from 2001 to 2007, and the previous meeting before that was back in 1988. The Packers have only made one trek to our nation’s capitol in that stretch as well. Green Bay is 5-0-1 ATS since 1986 in this series. The ‘under’ has gone 5-1 in those six clashes. The ‘Skins were dropped 17-14 at Lambeau Field in the last encounter in 2007.
Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Trends of Note
The Bucs have covered three straight in this series
Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS in its L/12 overall
The Bengals are 8-3 ATS in their L/11 against teams with a winning record
Series History
The Bucs captured a 14-13 decision in 2006 at Raymond James Stadium, but the last trip to Cincinnati was also a grand one. Tampa Bay won 35-7 in its glory days in 2002. Five of the L/6 between these rivals have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’, with the one exception being that 2002 clash. The losing team in this series hasn’t scored more than 16 points in a game since 1989.
Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Kansas City Chiefs @ Indianapolis Colts
NFL Trends of Note
The Colts are 6-1-1 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a winning record
Indianapolis is 10-3 ATS in its L/13 played in October
Kansas City is just 2-7 ATS in its L/9 against the Colts
Series History
Kansas City’s only win in this series since the 1980s came in 2004 with a 45-35 victory at Arrowhead Stadium. Indy has held the Chiefs to just 18 total points in two meetings since that point in two games at the old RCA Dome. One of those games was a postseason clash in January 2007.
Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills
NFL Trends of Note
Jacksonville is 4-12 ATS in its L/16 overall
Buffalo is 3-7 ATS in its L/10 played in Week 5
The Bills are 3-10 ATS in their L/13 played on turf
Series History
The Jaguars certainly love playing in Ralph Wilson Stadium, as this will always be the home of their first postseason win in 1996. Since that point though, the Bills have really done a nice job. Buffalo nearly won last year in the Sunshine State, dropping 18-15, but the fact that it covered the spread marked its sixth cover in its L/8 since that playoff defeat at home in ’96. The L/2 have gone ‘under’ the ‘total’ with ease.
Sunday, October 10th, 4:05 PM ET: New Orleans Saints @ Arizona Cardinals
NFL Trends of Note
The Saints are just 2-9 ATS in their L/11 against NFC opponents
New Orleans is 3-9 ATS in its L/12 overall
The Cards are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 played in October
Series History
The Saints destroyed Arizona last year in the postseason 45-14 at home, marking the second straight win in the Superdome for them against the Redbirds. The Cards scored a 2004 win here in the desert by the count of 34-10, marking its only cover in this series since 1996. You have to go back into the 1980s to find the previous time in which they covered a spread at home against the men in black and gold. Three straight have eclipsed the ‘total’.
Sunday, October 10th, 4:15 PM ET: San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders
NFL Trends of Note
The Bolts are 18-8 ATS in their L/26 games played in October
Oakland is winless over the L/4 seasons both SU and ATS in Week 5
The Raiders are 15-36 ATS in their L/51 home games
Series History
These two divisional foes hate each other, and for good reason. The silver and black haven’t won a game since 2003, a stretch of 12 straight games. The Raiders did cover both numbers last year, losing 24-16 on the road and 24-20 at home. The Chargers had covered seven of the previous eight and are now 11-3 ATS in their L/14 clashes overall. The Bolts are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 trips to Oakland Alameda County Coliseum.
Sunday, October 10th, 4:15 PM ET: Tennessee Titans @ Dallas Cowboys
NFL Trends of Note
The Titans are 18-8 ATS in their L/26 as underdogs
Dallas has covered five of its L/6 following a bye week
The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their L/7 played in October
Series History
The Titans haven’t found their way to Victory Lane against the Cowboys since 2000 on Christmas Day, and the last time that they won a game in Dallas was in 1997. The boys from the Lone Star State smacked Tennessee around 45-14 in the last encounter at Adelphia Coliseum. The L/3 have eclipsed the ‘total’, but that includes a pair of preseason tussles.
Sunday, October 10th, 8:20 PM ET: Philadelphia Eagles @ San Francisco 49ers
NFL Trends of Note
The Eagles are 11-4 ATS in their L/15 as road underdogs
Philly is 0-5 ATS in its L/5 against the NFC
San Fran is 5-1-1 ATS in its L/7 after an SU defeat
Series History
It’s been Philly, Philly, and more Philly in this series of late, as the Eagles have captured four straight against the Niners both SU and ATS, including a 27-13 decision last December in the City of Brotherly Love. The Niners haven’t won a home game either SU or ATS against Philadelphia since 2001. Last year’s ‘under’ clash marked the first time a game in this series stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’ since 2001, a stretch of five straight ‘overs’.
Monday, October 11th, 8:30 PM ET: Minnesota Vikings @ New York Jets
NFL Trends of Note
The Jets are 3-10 ATS in their L/13 played in October
New York is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 overall
The Vikes are just 0-5 ATS in the regular season against the Jets since 1994
Series History
As you can see, this series has been all one way traffic for the men in green. The last encounter came in 2006, with the Jets topping the Vikes 26-13 at the Metrodome. Minnesota isn’t even winning games in this series SU when they’re favored, just like in 2006. Though two of the L/3 have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’, the previous three had all gone ‘over’. The Vikes have never scored more than 21 points in a game against the Jets.
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