Archive for April 30th, 2010

Kentucky Derby Free Picks & Predictions: Top 5 Contenders

April 30th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in Horse Racing   Comments Off on Kentucky Derby Free Picks & Predictions: Top 5 Contenders

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Our coverage of the 2010 Kentucky Derby betting lines continues here at Bankroll Sports with a look at the Top Five horses that you should have on your radar as potential winners for the Super Bowl of horse racing this Saturday afternoon!

Lookin At Lucky (4/1 at BoDog Sportsbook): Lookin At Lucky is going to try to become the first horse since 1986 to win the Kentucky Derby from the rail. Traditionally, what ends up happening is that the inside horses get shoved, bumped, and crammed early, which often makes for a very uncomfortable ride. This isn’t a colt that is going to burst right out to the front of the pack either, so navigating traffic could be difficult. However, there’s no doubt, with five stakes wins to his credit, Lookin At Lucky is most certainly the horse that is going to have the bulls-eye on his back no matter what post he is starting out of.

Sidney’s Candy (13/2 at BoDog Sportsbook): Here we have a horse that dominated out in California in all of his prep races, winning three times, including at the highly touted Santa Anita Derby. Many think that Sidney’s Candy has the ability to go wire-to-wire, but if that’s what he goal is, he has the worst post draw in the world. Unfortunately, the race could be over right at the gate for this horse, as he is going to try to race out to the front of the pack from the far outside position at gate #20. His only hope is that the horses to his immediate inside also don’t try to get out to the front of the field, but in all likelihood, Sidney’s Candy is going to be running a significantly longer race than any of these other horses are, as he could easily be pushed seven or eight wide in that first turn. If he does get to the front of the pack and to the rail without using too much energy though, Sidney’s Candy is going to be tough to run down.

Click Here for a Copy of the 2010 Kentucky Derby Racing Form – The Kentucky Derby Race is the 11th Race on the Form (Print Out Pages 28 thru 31)

Conveyance (16/1 at BoDog Sportsbook): Though Conveyance hasn’t exactly run against the best crops of three year olds in the world in his prep races, it’s hard to argue with the fact that he has never finished worse than second in any race that he has run. Conveyance has a perfect starting gate right in the middle of the field at #10. He’s got a tremendous bloodline, with the great Holy Bull sitting there in his lineage. There have been a number of champion racers that have come through Holy Bull in one form or another, and Conveyance may be the next in line. Trying to weed his way through this field will be difficult, but there is no doubt that Conveyance has the tools and the stamina to be able to win the Kentucky Derby.

Ice Box (10/1 at BoDog Sportsbook): This is probably a great price on a horse with a lot of upside and potential. Ice Box won the Florida Derby and has a tremendous sire in Pulpit, who has both won and produced a number of champion horses. The question is whether or not he can make it the mile and a quarter or not. A rail post position at #2 won’t bother Ice Box that much, as he is going to be content to just fall straight to the back of the pack and stay out of trouble anyway. Trainer Nick Zito is a multiple time Kentucky Derby winning trainer, and he knows what it takes to get his horse the bed of roses at the end of the day. If you’re looking for a closer to make a huge move and try to steal this race at its conclusion, Ice Box is your colt.

Dublin (16/1 at BoDog Sportsbook): Trainer D. Wayne Lukas knows that he hasn’t seen the potential of Dublin quite yet in his prep races. Once a heralded young gun, Dublin is a horse that has come up short a number of times. He does have his necessary stakes win at the Hopeful as a two year old, but he hasn’t crossed the finish line first in any of his other prep races at this level. Of course, neither had last year’s winner, Mine That Bird, before he shocked the world at 50/1 and won the Kentucky Derby in 2009. 2010 could be the year for Dublin and for Lukas, as this horse just needs to find one more kick to best this field. At 16/1, this is a tremendous price for a colt that has never gone off at more than 9/2 in any race that he has run.