2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 8 Cheat Sheet
October 21st, 2010 by | Posted in College Football Comments Off on 2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 8 Cheat SheetWeek 8 college football betting is here! Bankroll Sports is back with more NCAA football picks for Week 8 of the year, but before we do that, we need to take a look at the important trends and history that the teams that are facing against each other this week.
Thursday, October 21st: UCLA Bruins @ Oregon Ducks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
UCLA is 1-7 ATS in its L/8 played in October
The Ducks are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 at home
The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the L/8 in this series
Series History
That wasn’t the case last year though, as the Ducks pounded the Bruins 24-10 at the Rose Bowl for their seventh outright victory in their L/9 tries. UCLA hasn’t really been taken behind the shed in recent years, losing by more than those two TDs most recently in 2003, so the prospects of an absolutely blowout are minimum for the Ducks if history repeats itself. Oregon is going to look to break a streak that dates back into the 1990s of consecutive games against the Bruins without scoring more than 31 points.
Friday, October 22nd: South Florida Bulls @ Cincinnati Bearcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bearcats are 3-8 ATS in their L/11 overall
Cincinnati is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 played in the Big East
South Florida has failed to cover a spread in this series since 2003
Series History
Yikes. The Bulls have just been absolutely run over by Cincinnati since this series got started in 2003. USF won the first duel 24-17 in overtime as 3.5 point favorites, but since that point, it has really been all one way traffic. The Bearcats have only been defeated once, with that coming in 2005 as 22 point underdogs, and they have absolutely destroyed the college football spreads by double digits in each of the L/4 years.
Saturday, October 23rd: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Navy Midshipmen
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Irish are just 1-10-2 ATS in their L/13 games as favorites
Navy is 4-0 ATS in its L/4 against teams with a winning record
The Middies are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 as dogs of between 3.5 and 10 points
Series History
Once upon a time, Notre Dame simply never lost to Navy. That all ended in 2007 in South Bend, when the Middies broke the dastardly losing streak. The bad news for the Naval Academy is that it still hasn’t won a game outside of South Bend in this series since well before most of us were born. The good news is that this one isn’t going to be in Annapolis, rather at New Meadowlands Stadium, where the Midshipmen hope that new found success comes. The road team is 14-1 ATS in the L/15 in this series, and though we have a feeling that this will look more like a legitimate neutral site venue, the Irish are technically the road team on Saturday.
Saturday, October 23rd: Syracuse Orange @ West Virginia Mountaineers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Orange are 5-1 ATS in their L/6 on the road against teams with winning home records
West Virginia has covered four straight games in conference
The ‘Neers are 6-0 ATS in their L/6 against teams with winning records
Series History
It’s hard to think that we are classifying Syracuse as a team with a winning record six games into the season, but here we are! The ‘Cuse haven’t won a game in this series since 2000 and will be looking to avoid the full decade sweep. Last year, the Mountaineers had no issues at the Carrier Dome, winning 34-14. West Virginia has failed to cover back to back in this series in Morgantown, but this is also the first time since 2002 in which the college football odds don’t feature at least a 15 point spread that it has to cover.
Saturday, October 23rd: Purdue Boilermakers @ Ohio State Buckeyes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Buckeyes are 10-1 ATS in their L/11 home games and 4-0 ATS there this season
Ohio State is 44-20 ATS in its L/64 overall
The Boilers are 5-1 ATS over the L/6 meetings with OSU
Series History
Last year, the Boilermakers pulled off the upset that essentially knocked the Buckeyes out of the National Championship Game. Things would have been significantly more interesting without the 26-18 defeat in Lafayette, and you can bet that OSU is going to be out for blood looking to avenge that defeat. The Buckeyes have really only posted one truly dominating effort in this series since 2001, a 23-7 win in 2007. However, that ’01 triumph was the last time that they scored more than 18 points in this series. For whatever reason, Purdue has just had the Buckeyes’ numbers.
Saturday, October 23rd: Michigan State Spartans @ Northwestern Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Michigan State has gone 9-4 ATS in its L/13 as favorites of between 3.5 and 10 points
Michigan State is 1-6 ATS in its L/7 following a bye week
The Wildcats are 12-4 ATS in their L/16 after an SU defeat
Series History
Sparty hasn’t lost a game in Evanston since 2001, something that it is certainly going to want to keep up in order to keep its National Championship hopes alive. These two tend to put on a heck of a show, though. Last year’s 24-14 win for MSU was a bit of a snoozer, but the three meetings before that all featured games decided by a touchdown or less, and all three were definitely back and forth affairs. The Spartans haven’t been held under 24 points in a game in this series since 2000, but the 14 points for Northwestern last year was the first time it had been kept under 20 since getting shutout at home in 1999.
Saturday, October 23rd: Ole Miss Rebels @ Arkansas Razorbacks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Rebels are 11-5 ATS in their L/16 road games
Arkansas is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 played in October
The Hogs are 5-1 ATS in the L/6 in this series
Series History
Of course, that one loss came last year in a 30-17 triumph for Ole Miss that many thought could be the springboard for its season. Think again. The Razorbacks were clearly a dominating team in this series from 2004 until 2007, holding the Rebels to just 31 points in those four meetings. The L/4 and six of the L/7 clashes have gone ‘under’ the ‘total’ and there hasn’t been a game played to more than 52 points in this series since 2002 when there were 76 points put on the board. Of course, that pales in comparison to the 58-56 overtime thriller in Oxford in 2001.
Saturday, October 23rd: Wisconsin Badgers @ Iowa Hawkeyes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Wisconsin is 3-8 ATS in its L/11 against teams with a winning record
Iowa is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 in conference
The Badgers are just 1-7 ATS in their L/8 in this series
Series History
And that’s terrible news for a team that just knocked off the No. 1 team in the country. Last week, we saw the South Carolina Gamecocks make teams that just beat the top team in the land drop to 0-1 SU and ATS the next week, and Wisky could be suffering the same fate. As for this series, the 20-10 win for Iowa last year really set the table for its fantastic season. The Badgers haven’t won a game here at Kinnick Stadium since 2006 and haven’t won one by more than a TD in well over a decade. Seven of the L/10 meetings have been decided by ten points or less, so expect yet another close one on Saturday.
Saturday, October 23rd: Kansas State Wildcats @ Baylor Bears
NCAA Football Trends of Note
KSU is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 games played in the Big XII
Baylor is 9-3 ATS in its L/12 against teams with a winning record
The Bears are just 2-4 ATS in this series since 1998
Series History
It’s hard to think that the Bears are actually favored in this series, as they have been at least 26.5 point underdogs in five of the six meetings between the two squads. Needless to say, the only win in this series for Baylor came in 2006 as short one point underdogs by the count of 17-3. K-State has dropped at least 38 points on the board in five of the six meetings and has averaged 38.8 points per game. Baylor, on the other hand, has only averaged 10.5 points per game and hasn’t scored more than 17 in any given game against the Wildcats. That will have to change on Saturday if they hope to pick up their crucial sixth win to go bowling.
Saturday, October 23rd: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Clemson Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Jackets are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 played in October
Georgia Tech is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 road games
The road team is 9-3 ATS in the L/12 in this series
Series History
Thus, it should really come as no surprise that the underdog is 13-3 ATS in the L/16. If you like close games, you’ve come to the right place. Georgia Tech has won the L/4 clashes by a combined 22 points and none of the four have been separated by more than ten points. In fact, you have to go back into the 1990s to find the last time that the Ramblin’ Wreck won a game by more than ten in this series. Clemson had its period of dominance in the early part of the decade, but has certainly fallen off. These two met twice last season with G-Tech winning 39-34 in the ACC Championship Game and 30-27 in Atlanta.
Saturday, October 23rd: LSU Tigers @ Auburn Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bayou Bengals are 13-5-1 ATS in their L/19 as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points
LSU is 3-9 ATS in its L/12 following an SU win of at least 20 points
Auburn is 8-3-1 ATS in its L/12 games after scoring at least 40
Series History
This Tiger tale is a crucial one in which the SEC West champ might be decided. LSU has won the L/2 encounters, including last year’s 31-10 victory at home. No team has scored more than 31 in a game in this series since 2000 and hasn’t scored more than 34 since deep into the 1990s. Needless to say, eight of the L/10 meetings have failed to go past the number, and there have been a ton of close games. Before last year’s 21 point margin of victory, the previous five meetings had been decided by a total of 19 points.
Saturday, October 23rd: Nebraska Cornhuskers @ Oklahoma State Cowboys
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Nebraska is 5-2 ATS in its L/7 following an SU loss
The Cornhuskers are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 road games against teams with winning home records
The Pokes are 12-3-1 ATS in their L/16 played in the month of October
Series History
A series that was once dominated by Nebraska really started to turn around in the 1998 season. That year, Okie State only lost by seven to a team that it had never really had any luck against, and though it was beaten down by 24 points the next year, it started a string of covers in five out of six games up to the present. These squads haven’t met since 2007, and the Cowboys have won the L/2 meetings by the aggregate score of 86-43. The underdog has covered five out of six as well in this series. Oklahoma State hasn’t been favored in a game in this series since the formation of the Big XII.
Saturday, October 23rd: Alabama Crimson Tide @ Tennessee Volunteers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tide have covered all four games this season played against teams with losing records
Alabama is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 road games
The Vols are 8-3 ATS in their L/14 as double digit underdogs
Series History
The Tide had dominated this series from 2004 until 2008, as they had gone 3-2 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in that stretch. Unfortunately for them, that dominance ended last year when it took a big time defensive effort to fend off what would’ve been the only defeat of the year for them. The 12-10 result marked the fifth time in the L/7 meetings that a game was decided by one score. This has always been a low scoring series, as Tennessee has been held to 17 points or less in six straight, while Alabama has only broken into the 20s twice in that stretch as well.
Saturday, October 23rd: South Carolina Gamecocks @ Vanderbilt Commodores
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 played in the month of October
Vanderbilt is 2-7 ATS in its L/9 played in this month of the year
The Commodores are 3-9 ATS in their L/12 home games
Series History
There really aren’t many positive college football trends to point to for either one of these teams, but amazingly, both are still right there for the race in the SEC East. Vandy has had South Carolina’s number, covering three straight in this series and winning two of the three, including a ‘W’ in Columbia back in 2007 as 13 point pups. Don’t expect to see much in the way of points here, as South Carolina hasn’t topped 17 since 2006, while Vandy is only averaging 16.0 points per game in its L/3 against the Cocks. Prior to 2007, South Carolina hadn’t lost a game in this series.
Saturday, October 23rd: North Carolina Tar Heels @ Miami Hurricanes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tar Heels are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played in the ACC
Miami is only 10-21-1 ATS in its L/32 games played at home
The Canes have never covered a spread against North Carolina
Series History
Amazingly, that means more bad news for “The U” is coming. The Canes did win in 2005 and 2006 in this series outright, but only once were they good enough to even push the number, that coming in ’06 in a 27-7 home win. The big upset came right away in this series, as the Tar Heels captured a 31-28 victory in 2004 at home as three TD pups to set the stage for a brutal rivalry to open up. UNC has never been favored in this series, and this is no exception, yet it has four wins in six tries. The L/3 have all been decided by less than double digits.
Saturday, October 23rd: Georgia Bulldogs @ Kentucky Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bulldogs are 2-6-1 ATS in their L/9 following an ATS victory
Kentucky is 5-2 ATS in its L/7 overall
The Wildcats have covered four straight home games
Series History
Once again, we have an amazing situation where we have two teams that have no business competing for a BCS bid doing so due to the fact that the SEC East is down on the season. Kentucky has held its own in this series after getting dominated for the better part of a decade, as it has suddenly gone 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in the L/4 years. The Cats haven’t been favored in this series dating back to the 1990s, and this is as close as the spread has been since 2002. UK won last year 34-27 “Between the Hedges, and has only won one home game in this series since the 1990s.
Saturday, October 23rd: Air Force Falcons @ TCU Horned Frogs
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The home team has covered the L/4 in this series
TCU is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 played on grass
The Horned Frogs are 47-22 ATS in their L/69 home games
Series History
Air Force does have a win in this series back in 2007, but that was the only victory against TCU since 1987. Since that point, the Horned Frogs are 5-2 ATS, though the Falcons have hung tough in two of the L/3. It seems like this encounter is always either incredibly close or separated by five miles. Three of the L/6 meetings since 1998 have been decided by three points or less. The other three have resulted in wins of at least 24 points for the Horned Frogs. They’ll need another ‘W’ of that type of size to beat the college football odds on Saturday.
Saturday, October 23rd: Oklahoma Sooners @ Missouri Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Sooners are 5-1-1 ATS in their L/7 as favorites of a field goal or less
Oklahoma is 0-5-1 ATS following an SU win of at least 20 points
The Tigers are 4-11 ATS in their L/15 home games
Series History
The last time these two teams met, the Sooners laid the smack down on Mizzou to the tune of 62-21. The year before in ’07 in the Big XII Championship Game, OU won 38-17 in what amounted to be a de facto No. 1 vs. No 2. game at the time. Mizzou hasn’t won a game in this series since 1998 with Oklahoma winning here in Columbia in 2006 (26-10), 2002 (31-24), and 1995 (13-9) in the interim. The Sooners have averaged scoring 38.4 points per game on this seven game winning streak in this series and haven’t been held under 26 points in any of the seven games.
Saturday, October 23rd: Washington Huskies @ Arizona Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Huskies are 3-9 ATS in their L/12 games on the road
Washington is 9-19 ATS in its L/28 overall
Arizona is 14-6 ATS in its L/20 home games
Series History
Arizona dominated this series early in the decade from an ATS standpoint but couldn’t win a game to save its life. That changed in 2003 when it pulled a huge upset, a 27-22 win as 15 point underdogs. The five game ATS winning streak stopped in 2005 with Washington pulling an almost as impressive 38-14 upset off here in the desert. The Huskies have only been beaten once here since that point, a 48-14 beat down two years ago. U-Dub fired back with a 36-33 win last year in Seattle.
