2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 9 Cheat Sheet
October 27th, 2010 by | Posted in College Football Comments Off on 2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 9 Cheat SheetWeek 9 college football betting is here! Bankroll Sports is back with more NCAA football picks for Week 9 of the year, but before we do that, we need to take a look at the important trends and history that the teams that are facing against each other this week.
Thursday, October 28th: Florida State Seminoles @ NC State Wolfpack
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Noles are just 1-4-1 ATS in their L/6 played on Thursday
NC State is 13-3 ATS in its L/16 after a bye week
The Wolfpack are 15-6-1 ATS in their L/22 against teams with a winning record
Series History
The Seminoles come into this game at just 5-4 SU in their L/9 against the Wolfpack, something that is unheard of against a team from the ACC. The garnet and gold are only 0-8-1 ATS in those nine games and will desperately be looking to buck the NCAA football trends on that in Thursday night’s primetime, nationally televised game. The Wolfpack have wins at home against FSU is 2006 and 2002 to show for their work against Florida State.
Friday, October 29th: West Virginia Mountaineers @ Connecticut Huskies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
WVU is 11-0 ATS in its L/11 road games against teams with a losing home record
UConn has covered five straight as home underdogs of less than double digits
The Huskies are 35-16 ATS in their L/51 after a loss of at least three touchdowns
Series History
The Huskies have never won a game in this series, but at least they took a step in the right direction last year by covering their first spread by losing by just four points in Morgantown. It’s not like these games have been even remotely close either. WVU has won by at least 22 four times in six lifetime meetings, averaging beating UConn by 23.5 points per game from 2004 until 2009.
Saturday, October 30th: Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Kansas State Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
KSU is 8-2 ATS in its L/10 played in the Big XII
The Wildcats are 9-4 ATS in their L/13 overall
Oklahoma State is just 1-5 ATS in the L/6 in this series
Series History
The news for Okie State just continues to get worse. Its defense had no luck stopping the Nebraska Cornhuskers last week, and now it has to run up against one of the best running backs in the nation in RB Daniel Thomas. WR Justin Blackmon has been suspended for this game after a DUI, and now it runs up against a team that has quite frankly dominated this series. You have to go back to 1988 to find the last win for the Pokes in the Little Apple, and though they have won at home in both 2007 and 2003, they are just 1-5 ATS since 1998 against the Wildcats.
Saturday, October 30th: Syracuse Orange @ Cincinnati Bearcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Orange are 6-1 ATS in their L/6 on the road against teams with winning home records
Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS in its L/12 games overall
The underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the L/8 meetings in this series
Series History
One of the exception’s was last year’s 28-7 win for the Bearcats at the Carrier Dome as 15.5 point favorites. However, this could be a year of some big time revenge for the Orange. Syracuse is playing well, particularly on the road in conference having scored two straight wins there, and they are going to try to pick up their first win in Cincinnati since the 1994 season. The ‘Cuse do have one win since Cincinnati moved to the Big East, but you have to go back to 2004 to find that. Since then, the Bearcats are 3-1-1 ATS and 5-0 SU, and have averaged beating the snot out of the Orange by 16.4 points per game.
Saturday, October 30th: Miami Hurricanes @ Virginia Cavaliers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Canes are just 3-7 ATS in their L/10 played in the ACC
Miami is just 7-18-1 ATS in its L/26 against teams with a losing record
UVA has failed to cover four straight conference games
Series History
The Hurricanes have really taken some vengeance to the fact that the Cavaliers shut down the Orange Bowl with a 48-0 victory in the last game ever played there by Miami in 2007. Since then, “The U” is 2-0 SU and ATS, winning 52-17 at home and 24-17 on the road. The Canes are 4-3 ATS and 5-2 SU all time against the Cavs, including going 2-1 SU and ATS here in Charlottesville.
Saturday, October 30th: Louisville Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Panthers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Redbirds are 3-11 ATS in their L/14 games played in the Big East
Louisville is 4-9 ATS in its L/13 against teams with a winning record
U-Pitt is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 games at Heinz Field
Series History
It’s been all one way traffic in favor of the Panthers over the L/3 seasons, as HC Dave Wannstedt’s team is 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in those meetings. The Cards are 3-2 SU but only 2-3 ATS since moving over to the Big East against the Panthers. They do have one big win here in the Steel City since 1993, a 48-24 triumph as ten point chalks in November of 2006.
Saturday, October 30th: Northwestern Wildcats @ Indiana Hoosiers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Wildcats have covered six straight road games against teams with winning home records
Northwestern has failed to cover seven straight games after allowing more than 280 passing yards in its previous game
Indiana is just 5-12 ATS in its L/17 following an SU defeat
Series History
These Indiana state rivals have really played some great football against each other through the years, which is why we’re keying in on this game. The underdogs have gone 6-1 ATS in this series since 2001, but since 2002, the favorite all of the games have been separated by seven points or less. Heck, both clashes in 2003 and 2004 went to overtime. The home team has won four straight and eight out of nine in this series, with the one road win coming here in Bloomington for the Wildcats in 2003. Northwestern survived a 29-28 scare last year from Indiana.
Saturday, October 30th: Tennessee Volunteers @ South Carolina Gamecocks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Vols are 8-1 ATS in their L/9 games as road pups of double digits
South Carolina is 10-4 ATS in its L/14 against teams with a losing record
The Gamecocks are 5-2 ATS in their L/7 home games
Series History
The road team has gone 9-3-1 ATS in the L/13 in this series. South Carolina knows that it has its work cut out for it, especially with RB Marcus Lattimore injured and questionable for the proceedings, especially for as stingy as this Tennessee team has been lately. The Vols have historically dominated this series, but in the HC Steve Spurrier era, the Gamecocks have fought back. This is the most points that they have ever been favored by in this series. If you take all of the points scored by each of these teams over the L/5 seasons, the Vols have a very slight 110-104 edge.
Saturday, October 30th: Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Golden Hurricane are 11-24-1 ATS in their L/36 as dogs of more than a field goal but less than double digits
The Irish have covered four straight after scoring 20 points or less in their previous outing
Notre Dame is 16-35-2 ATS in its L/53 played at Notre Dame Stadium
Series History
First Meeting
Saturday, October 30th: Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Gators are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 played in the SEC
Georgia is 3-7 ATS in its L/10 against teams with a winning record
The Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played on a neutral field
Series History
The World’s Biggest Cocktail Party is always one of the fiercest games of the season, and this one isn’t going to be an exception in spite of the fact that neither team is ranked in the Top 25, nor is getting any votes. The L/2 seasons, the Gators have taken a big time bite out of the Dawgs, winning by a combined score of 90-27, but UGA is out for some revenge. Will we see some shenanigans like we did in ’07 when the entire team swarmed the field after the first score of the game? The Bulldogs did win that day 42-30, so who knows what could be in store in Jacksonville on Saturday afternoon.
Saturday, October 30th: Michigan State Spartans @ Iowa Hawkeyes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Sparty has gone 3-7 ATS in its L/10 as underdogs
Iowa is 13-3 ATS in its L/16 following an ATS defeat
The Hawkeyes are 14-5 ATS in their L/19 against teams with a winning record
Series History
Last year, Iowa went on the road and took care of the Spartans 15-13 in a game that helped propel them to the National Championship scene. Michigan State needs to return the favor this year to stay alive in the title race as well. The home team had won every game dating back into the 1990s in this series, but Iowa has gone 7-1 ATS since 2000. Neither team has exceeded 16 points in this series in the L/2 years.
Saturday, October 30th: East Carolina Pirates @ UCF Knights
NCAA Football Trends of Note
ECU is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 overall
The Pirates are 5-12 ATS in their L/17 road games
The Knights are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 overall
Series History
It’s not often that we take the chance to talk about Conference USA, but it isn’t often that we have two teams this good playing each other. The Knights have had no luck in this series, winning just once since these two teams got together in Conference USA play and never winning in Orlando. UCF has lost four straight, but has gone 2-2 ATS in those four games, including sticking in front of both numbers in each of the L/2 years. The winner of this one gains the huge inside track in the East Division in Conference USA and will probably represent that half of the conference in the league title game in December.
Saturday, October 30th: Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Texas A&M Aggies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
T-Tech is 2-5 ATS in its L/7 after an SU win
The Aggies are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 home games against teams with a winning road record
The Red Raiders have failed to cover eight straight as road pups of 3.5-10 points
Series History
These Lone Star State rivals have played some real Texas sized shootouts since 2002. The average score when these two have collided since that point has reached 70.3 points per game, including last year’s 52-30 win for the Aggies in shocking form. A&M was a dog by 22 points and did the old reverse cover on the Techsters. That snapped Tech’s four game winning streak in this series. In spite of the fact that the Aggies have covered two straight, the Red Raiders have gone 6-3 ATS since 2001 in this rivalry.
Saturday, October 30th: Missouri Tigers @ Nebraska Cornhuskers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tigers are 14-5 ATS in their L/19 on the road
Nebraska is 11-5 ATS in its L/16 against teams with a winning record
The home team is 6-2 ATS in the L/8 in this series
Series History
It’s a shame to think that this will be the last time that these two teams collide as members of the Big XII. The two have put on some real shows and have been evenly matched since the 2003 season. Since that point, the Tigers are 4-3 SU and ATS, and all four wins have come by at least 17 points. Nebraska did a number on the ‘Zou last year though in Columbia, winning 27-12 and totally shutting down QB Blaine Gabbert and the Mizzou offense.
Saturday, October 30th: Auburn Tigers @ Mississippi Rebels
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tigers are 1-9 ATS in their L/10 against teams with a losing record
Auburn is 2-9 ATS in its L/11 on the road
The Rebels are 3-1 ATS in the L/4 in this series
Series History
This is a series that Auburn used to dominate, but that just hasn’t been the case in recent seasons. Ole Miss does only have one win outright since 2003 and hasn’t won at Jordan Hare Stadium since that point, but the last two times the Tigers have come to Oxford, only bad things have happened. They were dropped 17-7 in ’08 here, and nearly taken down in a 23-17 escape as 18 point favorites in 2006.
Saturday, October 30th: Kentucky Wildcats @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Cats are 2-5 ATS in their L/7 games as underdogs
MSU is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 as favorites of 3.5-10 points
The Bulldogs are just 2-9 ATS in their L/11 as home favorites
Series History
These two teams have fought like Cats and Dogs over the last four years, with the road team winning four straight both SU and ATS. No team has strung more than two consecutive wins SU together in this series since the 1990s. The Wildcats do hold a slight 6-3 ATS edge of note since the 2001 season, but these two teams won’t always meet up with each other with this frequency since they are in opposite halves of the SEC.
Saturday, October 30th: Stanford Cardinal @ Washington Huskies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Huskies are 6-13 ATS in their L/19 against teams with winning records
U-Dub is 18-38-2 ATS in its L/58 home games
The Cardinal are 4-1-1 ATS in the L/6 meetings in this series
Series History
Stanford is suddenly winning games left and right in this series after not standing a chance in the early 2000s. The Trees won 34-14 last year at home and 35-28 the year before in Seattle, and they have a real chance to win their third straight in this series SU and their fourth straight ATS at Husky Stadium. The losing team has been held to 17 points or less in this series five times in the L/6 years, with the one exception coming in 2008. That was also the only one of these meetings that didn’t stay ‘under’ the ‘total’.
Saturday, October 30th: Baylor Bears @ Texas Longhorns
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bears are 9-4 ATS in their L/13 against teams with a winning record
Texas is just 2-8 ATS in its L/10 overall
The Longhorns are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a winning record
Series History
It’s hard to believe that the Bears haven’t won a game in this series since the 1997 season and have only won once since 1992. Heck, this is the first time that Baylor hasn’t been an underdog of at least three TDs in that stretch as well. Since 2000, Texas has averaged being favored by 31.9 points per game, and has averaged winning its ten victories by 37.2 points per game. It could be payback time for Baylor though, as the road team is 9-3 ATS in the L/12 meetings in this series.
Saturday, October 30th: Utah Utes @ Air Force Falcons
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Utes are the only undefeated ATS team in the nation at 6-0-1 ATS and have the longest ATS winning streak in the land at six games
Utah is 10-1-1 ATS in its L/12 overall
The underdog has gone 11-0-1 ATS in the L/12 in this series
Series History
Most of that is bad news for the Falcons, especially when you factor in that the road team is 7-1 ATS in the L/8 in this series. Air Force has covered three straight in this series but only has one outright win since 2002. Ironically, you have to go back to 2001 to find the last win for the Falcons in Colorado Springs against one of their biggest rivals. This is the last scheduled meeting of these teams as Mountain West opponents before the Utes head to the Pac-10.
Saturday, October 30th: Michigan Wolverines @ Penn State Nittany Lions
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Wolverines are 3-8 ATS in their L/11 played away from Ann Arbor
Michigan is winless ATS in its L/4 games as road favorites
The Nittany Lions are 9-2-1 ATS in their L/12 games played in October
Series History
After decades of dominance by the Wolverines, the Nittany Lions have finally stormed back and taken control of this series once again. They destroyed Big Blue 35-10 in the Big House last year and 46-17 upon Michigan’s last visit to Happy Valley. Unfortunately for the Beaver Stadium faithful though, you have to go back a decade to find the most recent win before that, including a number of terrible outings for the hosts. PSU was shut out here in 2001 and beaten 17-10 in 2006.
Saturday, October 30th: Oregon Ducks @ USC Trojans
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Quack Attack is 19-7 ATS in its L/26 games played in October
USC is 7-16 ATS in its L/23 played in October
The men of Troy are 3-8 ATS in their L/11 played on grass
Series History
The home team has won four straight in this series both SU and ATS, but none of those games were as notable as last season’s 47-20 thumping that the Ducks laid on the Trojans on Halloween night in Eugene. Oregon won here in LA most recently in 2000, but since that point has been hammered by 25 and 34 points. The winning team has scored at least 35 in five of the L/6 meetings.
Saturday, October 30th: Colorado Buffaloes @ Oklahoma Sooners
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Colorado is 8-17 ATS in its L/25 road games
The Sooners are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 against teams with a losing record
The home team has covered eight straight in this series
Series History
If the Sooners have long memories, this could be a long, long game for the Buffs. Colorado shocked a then undefeated Oklahoma team 27-24 with a long last second field goal in 2007, the most recent meeting of these two Big XII schools. The Sooners had won the previous five meetings SU and went 4-1 ATS in those five games. However, especially coming off of the loss to the Missouri Tigers, this game takes all the more magnification on for OU, particularly at home.
Saturday, October 30th: Ohio State Buckeyes @ Minnesota Golden Gophers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bucks are 14-3 ATS in their L/17 after allowing 20 points or less than their previous outing
OSU is 21-7 ATS in its L/28 road games
The Gophers are 1-5 ATS in their L/6 home games
Series History
The Bucks still haven’t quite put it together on the road this year, but this might be the perfect panacea. The last time they visited the Dome was in 2007, and they won 30-7. Over the L/6 seasons, OSU has won all six by at least 13 points. Minnesota’s last win in this series was back in 2000, a victory that surprisingly came at the Horseshoe as two TD pups.