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The New York Jets and New England Patriots have a ton riding on the line on Monday Night Football. Not only is the winning team going to give a catastrophic loss to the other, but the victors will pull a game ahead of the rest of the field in the AFC and will most likely hold the tiebreaker for the rest of the year over the loser in the AFC East race. Obviously, it’s going to give the winner a huge advantage. If that team can hold on to this advantage over the last quarter of the season, that team will only have to play two home games to reach the Super Bowl. The loser will most likely have to win three games on the road. In order to prepare you to make your NFL picks for the game, we have the three keys to the game to determine which team is going to beat the NFL betting lines on the day.

Key #1: Mark Sanchez Cannot Make Mistakes
QB Mark Sanchez has really done a nice job in recent games of getting the ball up the field. He has proven that the Jets are no longer just a team that runs the football to win games, as New York is averaging 212.4 yards per game through the air. That’s still only good enough for a modest No. 20 ranking in the NFL, but at least he has shown that he can make big passes. We know that his receiving corps is good enough to get the job done as well, especially with WR Jerricho Cotchery coming back into the lineup this week after dealing with his groin injury for the past two games. With names like Cotchery, WR Braylon Edwards, WR Santonio Holmes, and TE Dustin Keller to deal with, Sanchez has no excuse not to be able to move the football against a defense that ranks dead last in the NFL against the pass at 288.5 yards per game. The key isn’t so much going to be yards, though. It’s going to be turnovers. Sanchez’s eight INTs this year is way down from a season last year in which he challenged for the most blunders in the league, but all eight of those picks have come in his L/6 games. He has thrown at least one INT in all six. Against the Pats in Week 2, Sanchez completed 70.0 percent of his passes for 220 yards with three scores, but again, the key was no turnovers. The Pats need to force him into some mistakes, while New York is just hoping that its signal caller can look more like the man that beat this team in Week 2 and less like the one that has been careless with the pigskin of late.

Key #2: Rex Ryan’s Defense Must Have No Fear
In the first half of the clash in Week 2 against the Pats, the Jets really didn’t come after QB Tom Brady. He did the mass majority of his damage in that game in the second quarter, as that is when he threw both of his touchdown passes. After that though, the dogs were let loose, and New York started to cause all sorts of ruckus in the New England backfield. Brady couldn’t figure out what was going on, and he could not get the Patriots on the scoreboard in the entire half, something that is absolutely a rarity for him. DE Jason Taylor did have the only sack in the game for the men in green, but he was one of the many that was all over the backfield and all in Brady’s face in that second half. The Jets cannot sit back and let Brady pick them apart in this one for any period of time. Their defensive backs are certainly good enough to contend with what New England has to offer in man coverage 100% of the time. Sometimes, you’ll get burned. Sometimes, you’ll cause some big turnovers as well. Those picks are going to be key, and the Jets got two of them last time around. They have to come after Brady right from the start, especially on the road on Monday Night Football.

Key #3: New England Has To Get A Ground Game Going
Truth be told, this has been what has hurt Brady the most this year. RB Kevin Faulk is out for the season with an ACL tear, and RB Fred Taylor has been out of the fold for the last seven games with a toe injury. In Week 2, New England picked up New York castoff RB Danny Woodhead, and in just eight games, he has picked up 344 yards on the ground and 230 through the air. Though the majority of the carries are still going to RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Woodhead is going to get his chances. This offensive line badly needs to step up and embrace the idea of attacking the Jets in the trenches, something that is usually going the other direction when the New York ‘D’ is on the field. If Ellis and Woodhead cannot get anything going in the rushing game or even in the screen and short pass department, Brady is going to just be a dead man walking in this pocket. You know that, especially with a long week to prepare after playing on Thanksgiving night, that Rex Ryan and company have been drawing up some new schemes to prepare for the Brady aerial assault. The running game needs to be the great equalizer for New England to win on Monday Night Football.

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Week 13 of the 2010 NFL campaign is going to get underway this weekend. Below you will find the current list of 2010 Week 13 NFL lines and spreads along with a breakdown of the Week 13 NFL odds. Be sure to check out the free NFL picks from the expert handicappers at Bankroll Sports this weekend…

The postseason picture is going to probably be sorted out quite a bit over the course of Week 13, as there are a number of playoff contenders playing potential pretenders that are looking to just keep their heads above water.

Nowhere else is that demonstrated more than on the first NFL betting battle of the week, a clash between the 7-4 Philadelphia Eagles and the 5-6 Houston Texans. The visitors just keep finding ways to lose games this year, as they are still a game below .500 on the year and are clinging to life support. The Eagles are tied for first place in the NFC East, but they know if they lose this one, that they are in a heck of a lot of trouble, as the rest of the NFC isn’t going to let up at this point. The hosts are favored by 8.5 points, but this could be a game that is a lot more hotly contested than this point spread suggests.

Another game of potential pretender versus certain contender involves two more NFC East teams. The Washington Redskins have no choice but to beat the New York Giants on Sunday afternoon, as they could get back to within a game of the division lead with a ‘W’. A loss though, would be debilitating, as there isn’t a team in the NFC that is coming back from a 5-7 record, save perhaps in the NFC West, to make the playoffs. Washington is facing a hefty 7.5 point spread on Sunday afternoon.

The NFC South could be made into a real mess this weekend if the Tampa Bay Buccaneers pull off the modest upset against the Atlanta Falcons. The hosts are coming off of a rough game against the Baltimore Ravens in which they were beaten 17-10, while the Falcons just continue to win game after game after game. Tampa Bay is two games back in the NFC South, but with one more loss, the Bucs could be in danger of falling out of the NFC playoff race all together. Atlanta is a game up on the rest of the conference right now, but with the New Orleans Saints hot on its tail, it badly needs to keep up the pace to keep some distance between itself and the rest of the conference. The Falcons are favored by a field goal.

The biggest favorites on the board are the San Diego Chargers. They are 12.5 point favorites over the Oakland Raiders even though these teams are separated by just one game in the standings. The Bolts have won five in a row and are in a position to take over first place in the AFC West if the Kansas City Chiefs trip up once more. The Raiders are in dire straits this week, as a loss will almost certainly end their campaign.

The disastrous stretch of games for the Indianapolis Colts could take a real turn for the worse if they can’t take out the Dallas Cowboys in the national game on Sunday afternoon. The ‘Boys are hot right now, though they were beaten at the gun by the New Orleans Saints last week on Thanksgiving. Indy has dropped two in a row and is still outside of the playoff picture, and a loss on Sunday would leave it at just .500 over the first three quarters of the regular season. Dallas is only a dog by 5.5 points at Lucas Oil Field.

However, the crème de la crème for Week 13 picks occur on Sunday Night and Monday Night Football. In the appetizer of the weekend, the Baltimore Ravens will play host to the Baltimore Ravens. These two teams are tied atop the AFC North right now, and the winner will be in great shape for a first round bye in the playoffs. The Ravens already beat Pittsburgh once this year, and now that these two teams are playing in M&T Bank Field, this is a golden opportunity for the hosts. Should Baltimore capture this one, it will essentially be two games up with just four to play. The Ravens are the choices of the oddsmakres by a field goal.

The New York Jets are in the same spot on Monday Night Football this week, but their task is significantly harder. The New England Patriots have their identical record at 9-2 this year, and the winning team is going to almost certainly have a first round bye in the bag should that squad hold the AFC East title for the rest of the year. Should the Jets win, New England can already pack its bags for the road against most like either the AFC South or AFC West winner in the first round of the playoffs. The Jets at least have a chance to come back from a defeat, though the Pats aren’t likely to trip if they become the dominating team in the division. New England is favored by 3.5 points.

2010 NFL Football Week 13 Lines @ Oddsmaker Sportsbook (as of 11/29/10):
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Week 13 NFL Odds for Thursday, 12/2/10

301 Houston Texans +8.5
302 Philadelphia Eagles -8.5
Over/Under 50

Week 13 Lines for Sunday, 12/5/10

341 Buffalo Bills +4.5
342 Minnesota Vikings -4.5
Over/Under 44

343 Cleveland Browns +5
344 Miami Dolphins -5
Over/Under 43

345 Jacksonville Jaguars +3
346 Tennessee Titans -3
Over/Under 43

347 Denver Broncos +8.5
348 Kansas City Chiefs -8.5
Over/Under 48

349 Washington Redskins +7
350 New York Giants -7
Over/Under 43

351 Chicago Bears -4.5
352 Detroit Lions +4.5
Over/Under 42.5

353 San Francisco 49ers +8.5
354 Green Bay Packers -8.5
Over/Under 41.5

355 New Orleans Saints -6.5
356 Cincinnati Bengals +6.5
Over/Under 45

357 Atlanta Falcons -3
358 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3
Over/Under 43

359 Oakland Raiders +13
360 San Diego Chargers -13
Over/Under 44

361 Carolina Panthers +4
362 Seattle Seahawks -4
Over/Under 40

363 Dallas Cowboys +5
364 Indianapolis Colts -5
Over/Under 47.5

365 St. Louis Rams -3
366 Arizona Cardinals +3
Over/Under 44

367 Pittsburgh Steelers +3
368 Baltimore Ravens -3
Over/Under 38.5

Week 13 Spreads for Monday, 12/6/10

369 New York Jets +3.5
370 New England Patriots -3.5
Over/Under 45

Monday Night Football has never been bigger than this! The New York Jets and New England Patriots are going to fight it out under the bright lights this week, and the winner will have a one game edge in the AFC East and one the No. 1 overall seed in the AFC with just four games to play. You want NFL prop picks? We’ve got ’em right here at Bankroll Sports!

Mark Sanchez Over/Under 235.5 Passing Yards
“The Sanchise” is here! Sanchez had four games in a row in which he reached this total with ease before throwing for just 166 yards in a blowout over the Cincinnati Bengals on Thanksgiving Day. The key is going to be having this game stay remotely close. The Jets aren’t going to blow out the Pats in any way, shape, or form, and when push comes to shove, you know that Sanchez is going to have to throw the football to beat the Patriots. He threw for 220 yards in the first meeting in Week 2, but now, WR Santonio Holmes is in the lineup as well, giving him one more tremendous deep threat that he can get the football to. Things aren’t always pretty for Sanchez, but he should be able to figure out how to get there in this one. Unless all of a sudden, the New England secondary finds a way to shut down this core of receivers, we don’t see how Sanchez does anything but go Over 235.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

LaDainian Tomlinson Over/Under 54.5 Rushing Yards
Tomlinson might have some of the numbers on the season, but he is starting to break down quite a bit. This is a man that averaged less than four yards per carry last year, and he is starting to look more like that man in recent weeks. Over his first five games, LT averaged 5.6, 6.9, 4.7, 7.0, and 4.7 yards per carry. Since that point, he has averaged 3.4, 2.7, 3.7, 2.7, 3.2, 3.0, and 3.8 yards per carry. There is going to be a point that Tomlinson is going to get fewer carries than RB Shonn Greene. When you’re talking about a man that probably isn’t going to get more than a dozen carries or so, it’s hard to think that he is going to be able to get more than 50 yards or so. Back LT Under 54.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Santonio Holmes Over/Under 4.5 Receptions
It seems as though Holmes is really becoming the top target for QB Mark Sanchez. We aren’t so sure whether or not this is going to be a match made in heaven for some time to come, but we do know that the former Pittsburgh Steeler has at least five receptions in four straight games. He only had a total of ten receptions in his first three after coming back from his suspension that covered the first four games of the regular season. Again, New England’s defense is probably going to prone to the passing game in this one, and we know that if Sanchez is going to be throwing the ball more often, he is going to be doing so to Holmes as well. This is a nice spot for Holmes to go Over 4.5 Receptions (-125 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Pats.

Danny Woodhead Over/Under 59.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Head Coach Bill Belichick has this knack for giving payback to players that have come from past teams, and this could be the perfect situation for Woodhead to shine. This is a man that has really done a nice job filling in for a rushing attack that hasn’t been that stellar, and he has at least a pair of receptions in each of his last seven games since really getting into the fold with the Pats after starting the year with the Jets. Woodhead is probably going to touch the ball about 14-16 times over the course of this game, and potentially even more if Belichick is content to try to let Woodhead stick it to his previous team. Don’t be shocked to see him fly Over 59.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

First place in the AFC North is going to be on the line on Sunday Night Football when the Baltimore Ravens face the Pittsburgh Steelers. You can bet when these two teams meet up with one another that fireworks are going to fly, so don’t miss out on the action! Check out our NFL prop picks for this Sunday Night Football encounter.

Rashard Mendenhall Over/Under 77.5 Rushing Yards
This is going to be one of the more interesting NFL prop picks this weekend, as Mendenhall probably doesn’t match up all that well against the Baltimore defense. However, the Steelers’ top back is in a great situation for this prop because he is probably going to tote the rock at least 20-25 times, if not more, especially considering the fact that QB Ben Roethlisberger is dealing with a broken foot. Mendenhall has carried the ball at least 22 times in three of his last four overall, and if he does that again, he really should be able to get to this type of a total. We have to be careful, because the Steelers’ back does only have five games this year above that number, but we tend to believe that this will be game No. 6. Mendenhall will go Over 77.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Sunday Night Football.

Joe Flacco Over/Under 21.5 Completions
“Joe Cool” completed 24 passes the last time that these two teams met, and he is probably going to be called upon quite a few times in this one. The Steelers are just impossible to run against, and Head Coach John Harbaugh isn’t a dummy. Flacco has completed at least 71 percent of his passes in three of his last four games, and he completed 65 percent against the Steelers on the road. Baltimore quite often uses the pass as an extension of the running game, using short passes to RB Ray Rice and flanker screens that are nothing more than long handoffs. This is also going to be the way to get men like LB James Harrison off of Flacco’s back. The deep game will be there, but we don’t believe that the Ravens are going to have the desire to use it all that often. Back Flacco going Over 21.5 Completions (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Ray Rice Over/Under 100.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Rice is the type of running back that can find a way to get his yards in this game, but this is just that tough of a situation that we aren’t so sure about. We know that Rice isn’t going to beat us on the ground in all likelihood, as the Steelers are allowing just 64 rushing yards per game. The man from Rutgers isn’t going to be an exception to that rule, especially in a situation where RB Willis McGahee will take some of his career. If Rice is going to beat us, he’s going to do so in the passing game, and if he is doing that, we are capitalizing on our QB Joe Flacco completions prop. Rice doesn’t often take passes a long way, so we aren’t worried about taking that screen pass 50 yards. When push comes to shove, Rice should stay Under 100.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Steelers.

Ray Lewis Over/Under 8.5 Tackles + Assists
We don’t normally play these types of props, but this seems to be the right time to back a linebacker to go past his total. We know that Lewis is the heart and soul of this defense, and he usually turns it up even one more notch when playing at home, particularly in big time games like this one. With QB Ben Roethlisberger in some trouble with his foot, we’ve already established that RB Rashard Mendenhall is going to get his carries. Pittsburgh usually doesn’t get all that cute, as most of its carries are right up the gut. That’s where Mr. Ray Lewis is waiting, and he usually doesn’t make mistakes. Lewis had nine tackles in that first game, and he should have no problem going Over 8.5 Tackles + Assists (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).