Archive for December, 2010

Hawaii Bowl Picks: Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Hawaii Warriors Analysis

December 24th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on Hawaii Bowl Picks: Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Hawaii Warriors Analysis

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The Hawaii Bowl is the early Christmas gift for NCAA football betting fans each and every season, and this year is no exception. For those on the Big Island, the chance to see the home team play at Aloha Stadium is the perfect present. The Hawaii Warriors will take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane in the Sheraton Hawaii Bowl. Ready to make your college football picks in this one? Be sure to take a look at the three big time keys to this game that will help determine the winner.

Key #1: Tulsa’s pass defense absolutely has to find some sort of help
This was the Achilles heel for the Golden Hurricane all season long, and this is absolutely the worst possible matchup for them to take on in this bowl season. They were one of the few teams in the land that allowed at least 300 yards per game to opposing aerial assaults, and there were several games this year in which teams dropped at least 400 yards on them. To make matters worse for Tulsa, Hawaii has a passing game that has averaged over 380 yards per game this year, and QB Bryant Moniz is the only man in the country that has the ability to throw for 5,000 yards. WR Greg Salas has 1,675 yards and 12 scores this year, but there is no doubt that WR Kealoha Pilares is the best No. 2 receiver in the land, WR Royce Pollard is the best No. 3 receiver in the land, and WR Rodney Bradley is the best No. 4 receiver in the land. Pilares had 15 TDs this year, one of the highest marks in major college football, while Pollard and Bradley combined for 1,283 yards on 104 receptions with seven TDs, numbers which most teams would be thrilled to have out of their first and second receivers. If there’s no stopping Moniz, there’s no stopping Hawaii, particularly at home where the team really shined.

Hawaii Bowl Odds at BetUS Sportsbook
Tulsa Golden Hurricane +10
Hawaii Warriors -10
Over/Under 73.5
Click Here to Bet on Your Hawaii Bowl Picks!

Key #2: Hawaii needs to keep its offense well rounded
The Warriors aren’t just a one dimensional team. They did rank No. 1 in the country in the passing game, but they weren’t without their abilities to run the football either. RB Alex Green had the highest yards per carry average against qualified running backs at 8.8 yards per rush. He had just 133 attempts this year, but he made the most of them, rumbling for 1,168 yards and 17 TDs. The beauty for Green was that he really blew up at the end of the season, accounting for 453 yards and four TDs over the course of the last two games of the season. Only the best well rounded teams have really torched this Tulsa defense, though everyone had its licks. This is going to be the man that really has to be stopped for the Golden Hurricane to at least have a half of a chance to beat the Hawaii Bowl lines.

Key #3: GJ Kinne has to be virtually perfect
It’s really easy to say that a quarterback playing a perfect game is going to be the key to victory, but for Tulsa, this isn’t an exaggeration whatsoever. He really might have to play a perfect game to cover up the inevitable blunders of his defense. We know that the Warriors are going to score. The question is whether or not the Golden Hurricane can keep up or not. The ball was in Kinne’s hands 574 times this season, one of the highest totals in the land. He was the team’s top passer with 3,307 yards and 28 TDs against ten picks, and he was also the leading rusher with 557 yards and seven scores. However, perhaps even more importantly, Kinne has to make the decision about who he wants to get the ball in the hands of. There wasn’t a legitimate running back on this team that had even 400 yards on the ground, and the top rusher aside from him was WR Damaris Johnson, who had 462 yards on 50 carries, mostly on sweeps from the outside. Mistakes just cannot be made from the point that the snap is taken to the point that the ball leaves his hands, as every decision is crucial. This was a Hawaii defense that was great at forcing turnovers this year. DB Mana Silva had eight picks this year and led a ‘D’ that allowed just 341.8 yards and 22.7 points per game. Though these numbers only ranked No. 40 and No. 42 respectively in the country, they were more than good enough to beat up opponents thanks to an offense that has the ability to be picture perfect.

2010 NFL Week 16 Lines – Week Sixteen NFL Lines Breakdown

December 23rd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Week 16 Lines – Week Sixteen NFL Lines Breakdown

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Week 16 of the 2010 NFL campaign is going to get underway this weekend and the . Below you will find the current list of 2010 Week 16 NFL lines and spreads along with a breakdown of the Week 16 NFL odds. Be sure to check out the free NFL picks from the expert handicappers at Bankroll Sports this weekend…

The playoff races can really get sorted out once and for all in Week 16, as virtually every single spot in the postseason can be clinched this week with the right results, while other teams are just narrowly hanging on for dear life for that last slender shot at capturing the Lombardi Trophy.

The weekend is going to kick off on Thursday night, as the Pittsburgh Steelers can help make the race in the AFC North a heck of a lot less interesting if they can beat the Carolina Panthers. Carolina showed its pulse last week by beating the Arizona Cardinals at home, but this is obviously a totally different situation, especially with the men in black and gold coming off of their loss to the New York Jets in Week 15. You’ll want to make sure you keep track of our NFL picks in this one, as Pittsburgh is being asked to lay a hefty 13.5 points. A win parlayed with a Baltimore Ravens loss wins the AFC North and clinches a first round bye in the playoffs in the AFC.

The New England Patriots are just one win away from snaring the No. 1 seed in the playoffs as well. The pressure is really off of QB Tom Brady and company in this one, as there are two chances to get the job done. You can bet that the Bills, who have been playing tough ball of late, are going to want to continue their streak of games having stuck within at least three points. New England is favored by 8.5 points on the NFL betting lines, though.

One of the most interesting games of the second to last Sunday of the regular season happens at the Edward Jones Dome, where the St. Louis Rams and San Francisco 49ers meet up. The Rams probably need to win both of their final two games to get into the playoffs this season, which would complete a remarkable turnaround from a season in which they went just 1-15. St. Louis might only be 6-8 this year, but it can ensure that next week’s game becomes a de facto NFC West title game against the Seattle Seahawks by putting San Fran out of its misery once and for all. Somehow, the 49ers just continue to stick around in this division race, and two wins will most likely win the division at 7-9. In this one though, they are 2.5 point underdogs.

The Tennessee Titans and Kansas City Chiefs put their playoff hopes on the line at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday as well. The Titans need two wins paired with two losses by both the Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts to get into the playoffs, something that is going to be very difficult, yet at least potentially reasonable. KC wins the AFC West with a win and a loss by the San Diego Chargers in Week 16. Even though they are 6-0 at home this year, the Chiefs feel like they are getting disrespected on the opening Week 16 lines in this one, as they are favored by just five points over a team that is most likely finishing below .500.

As for the Colts as Jags, they’re both favored in their week 16 games. Jacksonville should have a significantly easier time against the Washington Redskins, where it is favored by 6.5 points, than Indy will against the Oakland Raiders, where it is a field goal choice of the oddsmakers. Indianapolis needs a combination of two wins or two Jacksonville losses to get into the playoffs by winning the AFC South.

Though the contest probably means very little, the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints will meet on Monday Night Football, the final one of the 2010 campaign. Atlanta wins the NFC South and the No. 1 seed in the playoffs with a win, but the exact same thing will be accomplished with a win next week against the Carolina Panthers at home. New Orleans can clinch a playoff berth with a win as well on Monday, though that spot might already be clinched with some help prior to this kickoff. The Falcons won the battle between these two teams at the Superdome in OT earlier this year, and they are 2.5 point favorites to pick up the season sweep on MNF.

2010 NFL Football Week 16 Lines @ BetUS Sportsbook (as of 12/20/10):
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Week 16 NFL Lines for Thursday, 12/23/10

101 Carolina Panthers +13.5
102 Pittsburgh Steelers -13.5
Over/Under 37

Week 16 Spreads for Saturday, 12/25/10

103 Dallas Cowboys -6.5
104 Arizona Cardinals +6.5
Over/Under 45

Week 16 Lines for Sunday, 12/26/10

105 Detroit Lions +3.5
106 Miami Dolphins -3.5
Over/Under 41.5

107 Minnesota Vikings OTB
108 Philadelphia Eagles OTB
Over/Under OTB

109 Washington Redskins +6.5
110 Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5
Over/Under 45.5

111 San Francisco 49ers +2.5
112 St. Louis Rams -2.5
Over/Under 39.5

113 Seattle Seahawks +6
114 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6
Over/Under 43

115 New England Patriots -8.5
116 Buffalo Bills +8.5
Over/Under 44.5

117 New York Jets OTB
118 Chicago Bears OTB
Over/Under OTB

119 Baltimore Ravens -3
120 Cleveland Browns +3
Over/Under 39.5

121 Tennessee Titans +5
122 Kansas City Chiefs -5
Over/Under 41.5

123 Indianapolis Colts -3
124 Oakland Raiders +3
Over/Under 47

125 Houston Texans -2.5
126 Denver Broncos +2.5
Over/Under 48.5

127 New York Giants OTB
128 Green Bay Packers OTB
Over/Under OTB

129 San Diego Chargers -7.5
130 Cincinnati Bengals +7.5
Over/Under 44.5

Week 16 Spreads for Monday, 12/27/10

131 New Orleans Saints +2.5
132 Atlanta Falcons -2.5
Over/Under 48.5

NFL Football Picks: Carolina Panthers @ Pittsburgh Steelers Props

December 23rd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in General Handicapping   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Carolina Panthers @ Pittsburgh Steelers Props
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The Carolina Panthers come into this Thursday Night Football duel with very little hope of actually beating the Pittsburgh Steelers. However, there are still some tremendous props on the board for this game that we can profit with, so be sure to check out our Carolina/Pittsburgh prop picks for Thursday!

Jonathan Stewart Over/Under 78.5 Rushing Yards
Let’s just be reasonable here, shall we? You’re asking Stewart to get to 79 yards against a defense which allows less than 65 yards per game on the ground, when Stewart splits his carries with RB Mike Goodson, and when his team is clearly going to be trailing the entire game? C’mon now. Let’s get real here, ladies and gents. Let’s get real. There’s absolutely no way that Stewart is getting to this number unless he busts a tremendous one early in the game. This is Pittsburgh, where the best running backs in the league essentially come to die. Bank on Stewart going Under 78.5 Rushing Yards (-150 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Thursday Night Football.

Rashard Mendenhall Over/Under 99.5 Rushing Yards
Carolina definitely doesn’t have a strong rush defense, ranking No. 23 in the league at 126.2 yards per game, but asking Mendenhall to get to 100 yards tonight is a tall task for a man that has just four games at the century mark on the ground this year. Though we know that the former member of the Illinois Fighting Illini has carried the ball a ton over the course of the season, we’re not so certain that, especially if this game gets out of hand, that Head Coach Mike Tomlin won’t want to give him a breather and use men like RB Isaac Redman to tote the rock some more. We’ll take our chances that Mendenhall stays Under 99.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Ben Roethlisberger Over/Under 1.5 TD Passes
This is perhaps the most interesting prop on the board on Thursday Night Football, as one would figure that there is no way that Big Ben doesn’t throw at least two TD passes against one of the worst teams in football. However, with potentially iffy conditions, we know that there are going to be some longer drives in this game. The Steelers aren’t one of these teams that needs to win games by three or four TDs just to prove a point. Wins are wins. Heck, against the Cincinnati Bengals in a very similar situation, Big Ben didn’t throw a single TD pass and the offense only had one TD. Though Roethlisberger does have three TDs in three games this year and one other game with at least two picks, we’re not so certain that that is going to happen again on this night. Don’t be shocked if the Panthers find a way to keep him Under 1.5 TD Passes (+110 at Hollywood Sportsbook) and gives us a huge cash.

Las Vegas Bowl Picks: Utah vs. Boise State Keys to the Game

December 22nd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on Las Vegas Bowl Picks: Utah vs. Boise State Keys to the Game

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The Boise State Broncos and Utah Utes were two of the best mid major programs all season long, but both fell upon hard times and lost games inexplicably to take them out of the BCS race. Though neither one is playing in that illustrious game that they were hoping for, they are going to meet up in Sin City on Wednesday night in the MAACO’s Las Vegas Bowl, with some big time bragging rights on the line. Boise State will be taking Utah’s spot in the Mountain West Conference in the future, while the Utes head over to the Pac-10. But which team will grab the upper hand when these two match wits on Wednesday night? Check out our keys to the Las Vegas Bowl here at Bankroll Sports.

Key #1: Does Boise State want to be here?
All too often, teams that think they are heading to BCS games that end up playing in secondary events don’t really prepare the same sort of way that they would have if they were in the big bowls. Quite often, the end result shows the team that wanted to be in the game playing a significantly better game than the one that really didn’t want to be there. The Broncos definitely still have to feel spurned just a bit by the BCS in spite of the fact that their one loss came against a team ranked in the Top 20. Still, the WAC shouldn’t have been so difficult this year that they were beaten to the point that they didn’t win the conference crown. Head Coach Chris Petersen definitely has his work cut out for him to be able to make sure that when this one kicks off on Wednesday night that his boys are ready to give its best shot. If it does, this game really shouldn’t be all that close.

Las Vegas Bowl Odds at BetUS Sportsbook
Utah Utes +17
Boise State Broncos -17
Over/Under 58
Click Here to Bet on Your Las Vegas Bowl Picks!

Key #2: Terrance Cain must play like a star
When you’re going against a defense that is allowing just 155.8 yards per game through the air, you know you have your work cut out for you, especially when that team held the Hawaii Warriors under 200 passing yards for the game earlier this year. QB Jordan Wynn is being held out of this game with an injury, which has really opened the door for the senior leader of this team, Cain, to take charge once again. Cain really found himself on the short end of the stick in Salt Lake City last year when Wynn, the freshman young gun, came in and played tremendous ball. In last year’s Poinsettia Bowl, Wynn threw for three TDs and had a true bust out game. Though he didn’t play poorly this year, Wynn never really looked like an elite QB in his sophomore campaign, throwing for 2,334 yards and 17 TDs against ten picks. Cain got to start two games and play some mop up time in a few others. For the most part, he played very, very well, throwing for 610 yards and six scores against two INTs. His blunder though, came in the final game of Utah’s season in the Holy War against the BYU Cougars. Cain came in to relieve to injured Wynn and went just 2-for-7 for eight yards with two INTs, nearly costing the Utes the game. He is the man that needs to really be in charge for the underdogs in this one to be able to spring the upset.

Key #3: Boise State’s offense needs to be heroes and prove that they aren’t a product of the weak WAC
In games against teams from outside the major conferences and outside the Top 25 this year, Boise State averaged a stunning 52.2 points per game. It tallied at least 48 in all eight of those games and really played some tremendous ball. However, in its four games against teams from BCS conferences or those against teams from the Top 25 (or nearly in the Top 25) from the WAC, the Broncos only averaged 35.8 points per game and never scored more than 42 in any of those. Now, there’s no shame in averaging 35.8 points per game against any type of schedule in the country, but if they’re going to beat a number like this one and make for successful Las Vegas Bowl picks, the Broncos need to make sure they exceed this number on the scoreboard against the Utes. Putting up all of these yards and points is nice, but doing it against the best competition in the country is what is really going to make the difference. Unfortunately for Boise State, especially against a defense that is averaging allowing just 319.7 yards and 19.8 points per game against a significantly tougher schedule, it really might not be able to just run wild like it thinks it will.

Beef O’Brady’s Bowl Picks: Louisville vs. Southern Mississippi

December 20th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on Beef O’Brady’s Bowl Picks: Louisville vs. Southern Mississippi

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The Louisville Cardinals fought long and hard all season long to beat the college football odds often enough to make it to the Beef O’Brady’s Bowl in St. Petersburg, FL. The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles had an up and down season, but they were certainly one of the best teams in a very respectable Conference USA. These two are going to be in the Sunshine State on Tuesday, December 21st to continue the bowl season. Check of these three keys to the game for these two teams as they get ready to wage war against each other and before you make your Beef O’Brady’s picks.

Key #1: Bilal Powell must be strong for the Cardinals
Louisville thought that it was going to be a team that was based on the pass all season long, but Head Coach Charlie Strong really found a diamond in the rough in the form of Bilal Powell. Powell, who hadn’t rushed for even 400 yards in a season prior to this, busted out for easily the biggest year of his life, rushing for 1,330 yards and ten TDs. The rushing attack was great for the Redbirds all season long, averaging 181.9 yards per game, ranking No. 32 in the land. With Adam Froman dealing with a leg injury, Powell is going to be the man in charge of this offense. Southern Miss had one of the best defenses in Conference USA this year against opposing ground games, allowing just 109.8 yards per game. One way or the other, this is going to be the biggest key for both teams, as Powell won’t just be providing points to the game, but will be keeping that potent SMS offense off of the field.

Beef O’Brady’s Bowl Odds at BetUS Sportsbook
Louisville Cardinals -2.5
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles +2.5
Over/Under 57
Click Here to Bet on Your Beef O’Brady’s Bowl Picks!

Key #2: The “better” SMS defense has to be the one that comes to play
We’ve mentioned how great the Golden Eagles were against the rush this year, but part of the reason for that is because teams have been destroying their secondary all year long. They gave up 248.8 yards per game through the air, ranking No. 103 in the nation. This defense was torched for at least 41 points five times this year, including basically every game against a rock solid offense. Louisville, at least by Big East standards, didn’t have a great ‘O’ this year, but there’s no telling what could happen when you pit these teams against each other from these different conferences, especially when you’re talking about bowl games with weeks and weeks to prepare for the games. However, we know if the bad ‘D’ that allowed 56 points to the Tulsa Golden Hurricane in the finale of the regular season, the Golden Eagles really don’t stand even half of a chance of winning this game.

Key #3: The passing game has to get something going for the Golden Eagles
This is going to be a fantastic showdown between these two units. The Golden Eagles have one of the most dynamic offenses in the country, and the argument could be made that this might be the best SMS offense in the school’s history. There weren’t a ton of teams that averaged at least 200 yards per game both through the air and on the ground. QB Austin Davis has rushed for 436 yards and has thrown for 2,898 yards. He really only had a few games to really be disappointed with, and for every game that was a dud, he had at least one that was a real stud effort. The ground game for the Golden Eagles is likely to at least something going, as there are just too many good rushers on this team, including RB Kendrick Hardy, RB Desmond Johnson, and RB Tracey Lampley, all of which had at least 350 yards on the year. Davis needs to be a rock in this one and work the ball around to all of his targets. The Big East wasn’t a fantastic passing league this year, which probably skews some of the numbers for the Louisville passing defense. Still, this is no mistake the Strong came over from the University of Florida and immediately made this defense a formidable one. The Cards averaged allowing just 162.5 yards per game this year, ranking No. 9 in the country.

2010 NFL Week 15 Lines – Week Fifteen Lines Breakdown

December 19th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Week 15 Lines – Week Fifteen Lines Breakdown

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Complete List of Week 15 NFL Lines Can Be Found Below

Week 15 of the 2010 NFL campaign is going to get underway this weekend. Below you will find the current list of 2010 Week 15 NFL lines and spreads along with a breakdown of the Week 15 NFL odds. Be sure to check out the free NFL picks from the expert handicappers at Bankroll Sports this weekend…

For all of the teams that just narrowly hung on to their playoff lives in Week 14, Week 15 picks are going to feature a matter of survival once again. The biggest teams that are still trying to survive are the San Francisco 49ers and the San Diego Chargers. These two teams both kept their seasons alive last week with huge wins, and now they’ll meet at Qualcomm Stadium on Thursday Night Football in what amounts to be the biggest game of the year for both teams to date. San Diego is probably in worse shape and needs this win more, as it has a tough task to run down the Kansas City Chiefs than the Niners do in the NFC West against all of the teams there. Still, this instate rivalry is going to be very, very intense, and both of these teams are going to be going all out to stay alive for the race to the playoffs. The Chargers are eight point home favorites and are probably going to be very, very public.

The Miami Dolphins are still staying alive at this point, as they pulled off the big time upset against the New York Jets last week. They still need to win out and get a heck of a lot of help to get the job done, but we have a hard time picking against Head Coach Tony Sparano. Sparano just tends to do what he needs to do on a regular basis. Though playing at home has been very difficult at time for the Fins, they’ll have to be at their best on Sunday. The Buffalo Bills and their big time cover streak are in town, and the visitors are catching 5.5 points in Week 15.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers just barely survived against the Washington Redskins last week, and now, they are getting a little bit closer towards a playoff berth after watching the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears both lose in Week 14. This is the easiest game of the year left for Tampa Bay on Sunday, as it has the Detroit Lions. Remember that these Lions beat those aforementioned Packers last week, and they have one of the best ATS marks in the league. However, if Detroit is going to prove to be frisky for another upset this week, it is going to have to do so as a six point underdog.

The biggest game of the day in Week 15 involves the New York Jets and the Pittsburgh Steelers. There really should be no doubt that these two teams are going to the postseason, but they are going to try to get a leg up on the other one in a potential playoff fight. New York badly needs to get back in the win column in a hurry to stop the sting from two straight losses, while the Steelers are just looking to make sure that they keep the Baltimore Ravens off of their backs. At home, it should come as no surprise that the men in black and gold are favorites, but it seems like a stretch that they are favored by 6.5 on the NFL betting lines.

The other big time game goes on in Indianapolis, where the Jacksonville Jaguars are going to try to put away the AFC South for all intents and purposes. If they can beat the Indianapolis Colts, the AFC South might be clinched, and the Colts will be eliminated from postseason contention. The season is on the line for QB Peyton Manning, who really needs to get back in gear after throwing 11 INTs in his last four games. The hosts are favored by 4.5 points.

All eyes in the NFC will be on the Atlanta Falcons, who might be playing their last difficult game of the season. We already know that someone is going to have to beat them in the Georgia Dome to make it to the Super Bowl, but a win on Sunday against the Seattle Seahawks could wrap up the No. 1 seed in the playoffs in the NFC. Seattle isn’t really expected to be able to put up a fight here, as it is a dog by 6.5 points.

2010 NFL Football Week 15 Lines @ BetUS Sportsbook (as of 11/15/10):
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Week 15 NFL Odds for Thursday, 12/16/10

301 San Francisco 49ers +8
302 San Diego Chargers -8
Over/Under 44.5

Week 15 Lines for Sunday, 12/19/10

303 Kansas City Chiefs +3
304 St. Louis Rams -3
Over/Under 42.5

305 Houston Texans +1
306 Tennessee Titans -1
Over/Under 47

307 Jacksonville Jaguars +4.5
308 Indianapolis Colts -4.5
Over/Under 48

309 Arizona Cardinals +2.5
310 Carolina Panthers -2.5
Over/Under 37.5

311 Cleveland Browns +1
312 Cincinnati Bengals -1
Over/Under 40

313 Buffalo Bills +5
314 Miami Dolphins -5
Over/Under 40

315 Philadelphia Eagles +3
316 New York Giants -3
Over/Under 46.5

317 Washington Redskins +7
318 Dallas Cowboys -7
Over/Under 44.5

319 Detroit Lions +4.5
320 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4.5
Over/Under 42.5

321 New Orleans Saints +1.5
322 Baltimore Ravens -1.5
Over/Under 43.5

323 Atlanta Falcons -6
324 Seattle Seahawks +6
Over/Under 46

325 New York Jets +5
326 Pittsburgh Steelers -5
Over/Under 35.5

327 Denver Broncos +7.5
328 Oakland Raiders -7.5
Over/Under 42

329 Green Bay Packers +14
330 New England Patriots -14
Over/Under 43.5

Week 15 Spreads for Monday, 12/20/10

331 Chicago Bears -9
332 Minnesota Vikings +9
Over/Under 33.5

NFL Picks: San Francisco 49ers @ San Diego Chargers Props 12/16

December 15th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Picks: San Francisco 49ers @ San Diego Chargers Props 12/16

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Both the San Diego Chargers and San Francisco 49ers were able to save their respective seasons last week, but they are both still clearly on life support and need some major help to be able to get through to the playoffs. Losing this one is not an option for either team, as one will have one foot in the grave and the other on the banana peel when this one is over with. Ready for your NFL picks for props in this one? Check out the best San Francisco 49ers vs. San Diego Chargers picks we have for Thursday Night Football!

Longest Field Goal Over/Under 44.5 Yards
Since coming over from the Pittsburgh Steelers, K Jeff Reed has done a nice job with the Niners, going 7-for-7 on field goals attempts. Though he has yet to boot one over 44 yards , he does have a pair of 50+ yarders to his credit as well, and you know if you can kick it 50+ yards in Heinz Field, you can kick it 60+ anywhere else. K Nate Kaeding is back as well for the Chargers, and that’s good news for those of us that are big time fans of booting the ball a long, long way. Since coming back, Kaeding has only missed twice on ten attempts, and one of those was from 56 yards out. Kaeding is the more likely of these two kickers to nail a long field goal, and especially in a game in which defense could be the theme, especially down tight, we tend to believe that there will be a field goal made Over 44.5 Yards (-110 at Hollywood Sportsbook) long on Thursday Night Football.

Alex Smith Over/Under 220.5 Passing Yards
We just knew that the oddsmakers were going to come out and put a bad number like this one on the board in this spot. Smith really looked like a totally different quarterback when he came back to the fold on Sunday, as he threw for 255 yards and three TDs. What we have to remember is that that came in a big time win as well. The rushing game just isn’t good enough to be able to carry the load without RB Frank Gore in the fold, and the end result is going to require Smith to throw more passes to get the job done. This might be one of the best secondaries statistically in football, but we’re tending to want to throw those out when analyzing this one. The weapons are there on this San Fran team to make some real noise, and if that’s the case, especially if it is playing from behind most of, or the entire way, Smith should have no problems going Over 220.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Vernon Davis Over/Under 57.5 Receiving Yards
This is the same type of logic that we are going to use with Davis as we did with Smith just a moment ago. The big time tight end had a great game last week, catching five passes for 70 yards and a TD. In the games that Smith has both started and finished, Davis has gotten to at least 70 yards through the air five times in nine tries. That’s a heck of a percentage from our standpoint, as we know that we are going to make a ton of money over the long haul at that type of percentage. Normally, we hate playing props like this one against teams with tremendous linebacking cores, but there really might not be much other choice for Smith but to work the ball to his tight end, especially if the corners take the deep game away from WR Michael Crabtree. It might not be the prettiest prop in the world, but Davis should go Over 57.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Chargers.

Philip Rivers Over/Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes
You have to be a believer in the fact that the 49ers have a secondary that is better than their stats suggest in this one. Rivers has thrown at least two TD passes in all but four of his games this year, but he would need to keep up at a rate like this all season long to be able to beat this prop this often. We’re not so sure that he can do it, especially knowing that this is a fight for San Fran’s life as well. Though we know that more often than not, especially at home, the San Diego signal caller is going to find the end zone at least twice on the day, he has only thrown three scores in total in his L/3 overall. Are things decaying? It’s quite possible. Don’t be shocked if Rivers stays Under 1.5 TD Passes (+180 at Hollywood Sportsbook) and gives us a huge cash.