NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 6 Picks (Sunday, October 16, 2011)
Last Updated: October 16th, 2011 by(Exclusive Sign-up Bonus Offer – Must Use This Link or Above Links)
Week 6 of NFL betting action is here! But before you get started with the NFL odds, be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for all of the Sunday games, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook
Drew Brees Over/Under 25 Completions
Brees has already completed a whopping 152 passes this year, which is an average of 30.4 passes per game. The running game just isn’t getting any better for the boys from the Bayou, and going against a defense that is allowing 254.6 yards per game isn’t going to hurt that in all likelihood. Brees completed just 21 passes in the one game that truly meant anything last year, but that game got out of hand in a hurry in a 31-6 win for the Saints. We tend to think that this game is going to be a heck of a lot closer, and if that’s the case, we have to believe that Brees is going to throw the ball 40 times, and he’ll complete at least 25 of them. Brees Over 25 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)
Ben Roethlisberger Over/Under 21.5 Completions
Last week, in a game in which the Steelers won going away against the Tennessee Titans, Big Ben completed 24 passes on his 34 attempts, including throwing for five touchdowns. This week, he is going against a Jacksonville secondary that is a heck of a lot better than that of the Titans in all likelihood. We know that RB Rashard Mendenhall is going to be back in the lineup, and there is a commitment to this running game in spite of the fact that the offensive line is all beat up for the black and gold. With this game being at home with the crowd on their side, the Steelers are probably going to go back to the old school type of game instead of this new school passing game. Roethlisberger Under 21.5 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).
Sam Bradford Over/Under 240.5 Passing Yards
If you were to look at our fantasy football analysis, you would know that we are high on Bradford this week against the Packers. This has been one of the worst pass defenses in the league for whatever reason, and off of their bye week, we tend to think that the Rams are going to be able to put forth their best offensive game. Bradford has only had one game this year with even 190 passing yards, but in that game, he threw for 331 yards against the New York Giants. This is a very similar looking game, and we expect a very similar looking result. Bradford Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).
Santana Moss Over/Under 59.5 Receiving Yards
At times, QB Rex Grossman only really has eyes for Moss, but thanks to Matthew Berry of ESPN.com, we learned a fantastic stat this week about top receivers against the Eagles. Against Philly this year, Roddy White had 23 receiving yards, Hakeem Nicks had 25 receiving yards, and Steve Johnson had 29 yards. And you think that Moss is going to be able to reach 60 with DB Nnamdi Asomugha on his tail the entire game? We tend to think not, especially considering the fact that Moss, in spite of the fact that he has had at least five receptions in all four games this year, is only averaging 61.5 yards per game. Moss Under 59.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).
Colt McCoy Over/Under 19.5 Completions
The Raiders are lost in their secondary right now, as they are allowing 299.6 yards per game through the air, No. 29 in the league. Last week alone, the Houston Texans accounted for over 400 passing yards. Don’t think that Head Coach Pat Shurmur wasn’t paying attention to all of this during Cleveland’s bye week. QB Colt McCoy has thrown the ball 172 times this year in just four games, and he should put the pigskin in the air at least 35 times in this one. Even though McCoy is only completing 58.1 percent of his passes on the season, we know that that number should be higher with this short passing West Coast offense. McCoy Over 19.5 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).
Michael Turner Over/Under 91.5 Rushing Yards
Turner has struggled this year on the ground, as he only has two 100+ yard games on the ground. Both of those came courtesy of big runs, and without the two carries of more than 50 yards on the year, Turner is only averaging 3.32 yards per carry. That being said, Carolina’s rush defense is absolutely putrid at 135.2 yards per game. There aren’t any other running backs that are going to be stealing Turner’s carries as long as he doesn’t get hurt, and he does have that potential to knock off a 50+ yard run even time that he touches the pigskin. Don’t be shocked if he has 20 touches in this one, and if that’s the case and even one can get broken, this could be a third triple digit rushing game. Turner Over 91.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).
Ryan Fitzpatrick Over/Under 240.5 Passing Yards
Another man that we highlighted this week on our fantasy football picks to click. Fitzpatrick has had back to back games with fewer than 200 passing yards, but this is a significantly different New York secondary, and a bad one at that. Remember that this is a Buffalo passing attack that reasonably has two 100+ yard receiving options on a regular basis in WR Steve Johnson and WR David Nelson. They both might get the job done in this one. This is a terrible line in our estimation, as Fitzpatrick should approach 300 passing yards. Fitzpatrick Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).
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