NFL Prop Picks: Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks Predictions 9/24
September 18th, 2012 by | Posted in NFL Football Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks Predictions 9/24The Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 3 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.
Total Field Goals Over/Under 3.5: The expectation is there that this is going to be a game with a lot of yards and a lot of points, but we really aren’t all that sure that there are going to be a ton of scoring opportunities. QB Aaron Rodgers is known for his big time throws that set up touchdowns, not field goals, and QB Russell Wilson isn’t going to be expected to do all that much over the course of the game. K Steven Hauschka does have five field goals on six attempts this year, while K Mason Crosby booted three field goals last week, but we expect those field goal drives to turn into touchdown drives this week for the Packers, and their defense shouldn’t be allowing more than maybe one or two three-pointers. Getting to four field goals on Monday Night Football is going to be tough. Under 3.5 Field Goals (-165)
Total Punts Over/Under 9.5: Here we go again with the punt props that we really don’t like all that much to play. However, we think that the number of drives in this game are going to be limited. We know that QB Russell Wilson isn’t going to be asked to do all that much over the course of the game, and RB Marshawn Lynch is going to run the ball a ton. QB Russell Wilson won’t put his team into all that much trouble in all likelihood, and that means that the clock is going to be running and running quite a bit. If there are a bunch of scores, that means that there won’t be much in the way of punts. If there aren’t a bunch of scores but a bunch of long drives, there’s won’t be punts either. This is a dual threat for us, and we just have a hard time seeing how there are going to be double digits worth of punts in this game. Total Punts Under 9.5 (+100)
Aaron Rodgers Over/Under 24.5 Completions: It just seems like it is going to be a slam dunk, right? Rodgers to complete 25 passes in a game on the road on Monday Night Football? The problem? This is a tough Seattle defense that isn’t going to let Rodgers get the job done. Twenty five completions is a ton for any quarterback to get, especially when on the other side of the field, the team is going to be running the ball and running it a ton. We also can’t help but wonder if Rodgers is going to rip it and grip it at times against an aggressive Seattle defense that is going to be amped up. Getting a 60-yard pass down the field will be great for getting to Rodgers’ passing total, but it isn’t going to help him get to his completion mark. Go with Rodgers to get to around 20, but not 25 completions on Monday. Aaron Rodgers Under 24.5 Completions (-105)
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Russell Wilson Over/Under 18 Completions: We just don’t see it in this one for Wilson. The Green Bay defense isn’t as good as its numbers have suggested over the course of the last two weeks, but there is just no way that we see how Wilson is going to have 19 completions in this game. The wide receivers just aren’t there for the rookie to get the ball out to. Remember that Head Coach Pete Carroll has only let Wilson throw the ball a total of 54 times in two games this year, and there is no reason to think that he’ll chuck it more than 30 times in this one. If that’s the case, getting to 19 completions is going to be awfully difficult for a rookie in primetime in this type of a massive spot. Russell Wilson Under 18 Completions (-115)
Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Props @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 9/24/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -115
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -115
Packers Score First -135
Seahawks Score First +105
First Score a Touchdown -175
First Score Not a Touchdown +145
Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 45.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 45.5 Yards -115
Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards +100
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100
Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +135
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -165
Total Punts Over 9.5 -130
Total Punts Under 9.5 +100
Total Sacks Over 4.5 -125
Total Sacks Under 4.5 -105
Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown +150
Not a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown -180
Aaron Rodgers Completions Over 24.5 -125
Aaron Rodgers Completions Under 24.5 -105
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Over 295.5 -115
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Under 295.5 -115
Aaron Rodgers Total Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 +145
Aaron Rodgers Total Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -185
Aaron Rodgers Throws an Interception -160
Aaron Rodgers Doesn’t Throw an Interception +130
Cedric Benson Rushing Yards Over 60.5 -115
Cedric Benson Rushing Yards Under 60.5 -115
Cedric Benson Scores a Touchdown +120
Cedric Benson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150
Jordy Nelson Over 5 Receptions -130
Jordy Nelson Under 5 Receptions +100
Jordy Nelson Over 74.5 Receiving Yards -115
Jordy Nelson Under 74.5 Receiving Yards -115
Jordy Nelson Scores a Touchdown +105
Jordy Nelson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -135
Jermichael Finley Over 4 Receptions -115
Jermichael Finley Under 4 Receptions -115
James Jones Total Receptions Over 2.5 -115
James Jones Total Receptions Under 2.5 -115
Randall Cobb Total Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Randall Cobb Total Receptions Under 2.5 -115
Russell Wilson Completions Over 18 -115
Russell Wilson Completions Under 18 -115
Russell Wilson Passing Yards Over 200.5 -115
Russell Wilson Passing Yards Under 200.5 -115
Russell Wilson Touchdown Passes + INTs Over 2.5 +160
Russell Wilson Touchdown Passes + INTs Under 2.5 -200
Marshawn Lynch Over 92.5 Rushing Yards -115
Marshawn Lynch Under 92.5 Rushing Yards -115
Marshawn Lynch Scores a Touchdown -115
Marshawn Lynch Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115
Sidney Rice Total Receptions Over 4 -115
Sidney Rice Total Receptions Under 4 -115
Golden Tate Total Receptions Over 3 +100
Golden Tate Total Receptions Under 3 -130
Zach Miller Total Receptions Over 2.5 -125
Zach Miller Total Receptions Under 2.5 -105