Archive for September 30th, 2012

NFL Prop Picks: Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys Predictions 10/1/12

September 30th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys Predictions 10/1/12
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Full Bears @ Cowboys NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Tony Romo CowboysThe Dallas Cowboys and Chicago Bears are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 4 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Longest Touchdown Over/Under 40.5 Yards: It’s absolutely impossible to think that the Bears are going to be able to score a touchdown of at least 41 yards considering the fact that they have one play of more than 41 yards offensively for the entire season (and that went for just 42 yards!). Dallas however, has a heck of a lot of big play receivers and backs that can blow through a defense in a jiffy. RB DeMarco Murray, WR Dez Bryant, and WR Miles Austin all have plays of at least 41 yards this year to their credit. With this prop as always, we get all kick and punt returns for touchdowns as well, and that means that we could get the explosive WR Devin Hester in primetime, where he has returned just a boatload of kicks for touchdowns in his career in the biggest spotlight. It only takes one play and one moment of brilliance, and we think that there will be at least one of those big time plays in this one as both offenses look to take advantage of incredibly aggressive defenses. Longest Touchdown Over 40.5 Yards (-115)

Jay Cutler Over/Under 240.5 Passing Yards: This is a brutally bad game for Cutler to be playing in. The former Vanderbilt Commodore still has a shoddy offensive line in front of him, and that unit is going to be under constant duress with the Dallas defensive front trying to wreck it. Cutler as it is, doesn’t like to put the ball in the air, as we expect to see both RB Michael Bush and RB Khalil Bell getting the ball at least 25 times between them. The ball really hasn’t been worked up the field all that much, as demonstrated by the fact that the longest play of the year has only gone 42 yards. It’s going to be really hard for Cutler, who already has six picks this year against just three touchdowns, to get to 241 passing yards against a defense that ranks second in the league against the pass coming into Week 4. Jay Cutler Under 240.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Tony Romo Over/Under 23.5 Pass Completions: This really feels like a bit of a sucker’s bet to us at this point. Romo is a great quarterback, but he has really never averaged all that more than about 21 completions per game. He has enough history now so we know that he can throw for 400 yards on 35-40 completed passes if he really needs to, but Head Coach Jason Garrett, a former quarterback in his own right, would rather keep the ball on the ground and get the job done that way than watch as his quarterback has to put the ball in the air a ton. Romo has 70 completed passes this year, but we think that he is going to regulate himself just a bit in this one. Remember that Chicago too, has a ferocious pass rush, and if the Bears can keep the football on a regular basis, that will eat into the abilities that Romo has to complete this many passes. Tony Romo Under 23.5 Pass Completions (-115)

Jason Witten Over/Under 4.5 Receptions: This is a beautiful NFL prop play, and we think that it is one of the easiest, yet trickiest props on the board. With just eight catches this year, Witten seems to have clearly lost a step. However, one closer tells a tremendously different story. He’s got 21 targets over the course of the first three games of the year, which is just one shy of the two big time Cowboys receivers. You can bet that Romo is going to try his best to get the ball into the middle of the field to his big tight end early and often against a defense that has been prone to allowing plenty of yards to tight ends this year. Witten might not look like a man that has the ability to have five passes in well over half of his games any longer, but this is one of those games where he will certainly get the job done. Jason Witten Over 4.5 Receptions (-140)

Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Props @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 10/1/12):
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Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game -110

Bears Score First +105
Cowboys Score First -135

First Score a Touchdown -160
First Score Not a Touchdown +130

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 40.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 40.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -120
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -110

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +130
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -160

Total Punts Over 8.5 -145
Total Punts Under 8.5 +115

Total Sacks Over 5 -120
Total Sacks Under 5 -110

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown +145
Not a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown -175

Jay Cutler Completions Over 19.5 -115
Jay Cutler Completions Under 19.5 -115

Jay Cutler Longest Completion Over 35.5 Yards -105
Jay Cutler Longest Completion Under 35.5 Yards -125

Jay Cutler Passing Yards Over 240.5 -115
Jay Cutler Passing Yards Under 240.5 -115

Jay Cutler Total Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +110
Jay Cutler Total Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -140

Jay Cutler Throws an Interception -250
Jay Cutler Doesn’t Throw an Interception +190

Michael Bush Rushing Yards Over 57.5 +100
Michael Bush Rushing Yards Under 57.5 -130

Brandon Marshall Over 5.5 Receptions +100
Brandon Marshall Under 5.5 Receptions -130

Brandon Marshall Over 69.5 Receiving Yards -115
Brandon Marshall Under 69.5 Receiving Yards -115

Brandon Marshall Scores a Touchdown +115
Brandon Marshall Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -145

Alshon Jeffrey Total Receiving Yards Over 47.5 -115
Alshon Jeffrey Total Receiving Yards Under 47.5 -115

Alshon Jeffrey Total Receptions Over 3 -130
Alshon Jeffrey Total Receptions Under 3 +100

Earl Bennett Total Receptions Over 2 -130
Earl Bennett Total Receptions Under 2 +100

Kellen Davis Total Receptions Over 2 +135
Kellen Davis Total Receptions Under 2 -170

Lance Briggs Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 6.5 -115
Lance Briggs Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 6.5 -115

Brian Urlacher Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 6.5 -115
Brian Urlacher Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 6.5 -115

Julius Peppers Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 3.5 +110
Julius Peppers Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 3.5 -140

Robbie Gould Total Points Over 7.5 -115
Robbie Gould Total Points Under 7.5 -115

Tony Romo Completions Over 23.5 -115
Tony Romo Completions Under 23.5 -115

Tony Romo Passing Yards Over 253.5 -115
Tony Romo Passing Yards Under 253.5 -115

Tony Romo Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -130
Tony Romo Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +100

Tony Romo Throws an Interception -225
Tony Romo Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +175

DeMarco Murray Over 77.5 Rushing Yards -115
DeMarco Murray Under 77.5 Rushing Yards -115

DeMarco Murray Scores a Touchdown +120
DeMarco Murray Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

Miles Austin Total Receptions Over 4.5 -135
Miles Austin Total Receptions Under 4.5 +105

Miles Austin Total Receiving Yards Over 68.5 -115
Miles Austin Total Receiving Yards Under 68.5 -115

Miles Austin Scores a Touchdown +115
Miles Austin Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -145

Dez Bryant Total Receptions Over 4.5 -115
Dez Bryant Total Receptions Under 4.5 -115

Dez Bryant Total Receiving Yards Over 65.5 -115
Dez Bryant Total Receiving Yards Under 65.5 -115

Dez Bryant Scores a Touchdown +105
Dez Bryant Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -135

Jason Witten Total Receptions Over 4.5 -140
Jason Witten Total Receptions Under 4.5 +110

Jason Witten Total Receiving Yards Over 50.5 -115
Jason Witten Total Receiving Yards Under 50.5 -115

Kevin Ogletree Total Receptions Over 3.5 +115
Kevin Ogletree Total Receptions Under 3.5 -145

Kevin Ogletree Scores a Touchdown +220
Kevin Ogletree Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -300

Sean Lee Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 7.5 -130
Sean Lee Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 7.5 +100

DeMarcus Ware Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 5.5 -115
DeMarcus Ware Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 5.5 -115

Dan Bailey Total Points Over 7.5 -105
Dan Bailey Total Points Under 7.5 -125