Archive for November 22nd, 2012

NFL Prop Picks: New York Giants vs. Washington Redskins Props 12/3

November 22nd, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: New York Giants vs. Washington Redskins Props 12/3
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Full Giants @ Redskins NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Washington RedskinsThe Washington Redskins and New York Giants are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 13 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Robert Griffin III Touchdown Passes Over/Under 1.5: This really feels like it should be a remotely easy prop, no? RG3 has thrown four TD passes in each of the last two games, and he should be able to do so against versus a New York team that he really torched and should have beaten when these teams clashes a few weeks ago. However, we’re not all that sure that this is going to be the case. Remember that the former Heisman Trophy winner had thrown for just eight touchdowns in the first nine games of his career. To think that we can get -125 on the fact that RG3 won’t get to two passing touchdown in this one is a heck of a price on an NFL prop that we think is going to be a total slam dunk. Robert Griffin III Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 (-125)

Eli Manning Touchdown Passes Over/Under 1.5: We’re going to go against Manning as well in this one. It’s a great price that we are getting on a man to not throw at least two touchdown passes. Granted, it’s going to be tough against a Washington defense that has allowed 22 passing touchdown this year, though we do have to note that after the first three weeks of the campaign, the team has averaged allowing just 1.44 TDs per game. Manning went three games without a touchdown before going off for three scores last week against the Green Bay Packers. What we have to remember though, is that in that game too, Manning completed just 53.3 percent of his passes. With such a low completion percentage and just 15 TDs on the season, three of which came last week, it really seems like a joke that he is -220 to throw two scores in this one. Eli Manning Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 (+170)

Victor Cruz Receiving Yards Over/Under 80.5: Cruz really hasn’t been totally healthy over the course of the last few weeks, and he only has accounted for 13 catches, 152 yards, and one score in his last four games. It’s not like this was a number that he was easily able to get to before this either, as he only exceeded 60 yards three times in his first seven games of the year as well. Cruz does have a favorable matchup against a team that he put up seven catches, 131 yards, and a TD against in Week 7, but we do have to remember that 77 of those yards came on just one play. Don’t be all that shocked if Cruz isn’t doing all that much salsa dancing when push comes to shove on Monday. Victor Cruz Receiving Yards Under 80.5 (-115)

New York Giants vs. Washington Redskins NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 12/3/12):
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Score in the First 6:00 Minutes of the Game -135
No Score in the First 6:00 Minutes of the Game +105

Giants Score First -125
Redskins Score First -105

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 48.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 48.5 Yards -115

Eli Manning Passing Yards Over 290.5 -125
Eli Manning Passing Yards Under 290.5 -105

Eli Manning Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -220
Eli Manning Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +170

Victor Cruz Receiving Yards Over 80.5 -115
Victor Cruz Receiving Yards Under 80.5 -115

Victor Cruz Scores a Touchdown +105
Victor Cruz Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -135

Robert Griffin III Pass Completions Over 20 -120
Robert Griffin III Pass Completions Under 20 -110

Robert Griffin III Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -105
Robert Griffin III Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -125

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Patriots vs. Jets Props & Predictions 11/22

November 22nd, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Patriots vs. Jets Props & Predictions 11/22
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Full Patriots vs. Jets NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Tom BradyThe New York Jets and New England Patriots are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 12 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Will the First Score of the Game Be a Touchdown?: Odds have it, New England is going to be the first team to score, and if that turns out to be the case, you know that this is going to be a touchdown. The Pats have been hearing about it all week. They don’t have TE Rob Gronkowski, they’re going against a defense that ranks sixth against the pass, and QB Tom Brady really struggled against the Jets when they met several weeks ago. However, in the end, this is still the Patriots offense, and it is still flat out awesome even in spite of all of those issues. Brady isn’t going to want to see the field goal team out there, knowing that K Stephen Gostkowski has really flat out stunk for a good chunk of the year as well. It’s a gut shot play for sure, but we have to think that the first points on the board are going to be worth six, not worth three. First Score of the Game a Touchdown (-180)

Tom Brady Total Completions Over/Under 24.5: Asking for 25 completions in a game is going to be awfully tough. We really listed all of the reasons above why Brady is going to be facing some adversity, and though we do think that he is going to get through it all and get plenty of points on the board, he probably isn’t going to get to 25 completions. After getting Gronk injured last week, there’s a good chance that Brady won’t be playing late in this game if matters are out of hand, and that might make a difference as well. The Jets aren’t going to keep the points off the board, but they’ll at least keep Brady from getting to this prop. Tom Brady Under 24.5 Completions (-105)

Will Stevan Ridley Score a Touchdown?: The Jets have allowed nine rushing touchdowns this year in 10 games to opposing running backs, and there’s just no reason to think that Ridley won’t find his way into the end zone this week in some regard. Ridley has scored a touchdown in three straight games and in six out of 10 this year. Yes, we have to admit that it’s a bit scary to think that Ridley is going to get shafted by the fact that Head Coach Bill Belichick clearly hates fantasy football and loves sticking various running backs in there near the goal line. Still, the opportunities are going to be there at the goal line in all likelihood, and another one of the perks of not having Gronk out there is the fact that the ground game is going to be featured more at the goal line in all likelihood. Stevan Ridley To Score a Touchdown (-130)

Mark Sanchez Over/Under 229.5 Passing Yards: Oh sure, Sanchez threw for 328 yards the first time these two teams met, but let’s be realistic about him. The USC Trojan has thrown for 138, 103, 82, 124, and 178 yards in five of his games this year, and it is clear that QB Tim Tebow is getting at least more of a look in the offense. Sanchez just isn’t going to get to 230 passing yards in this one significantly more often than not, and the way that we see it, it isn’t even going to be remotely close. Mark Sanchez Under 229.5 Passing Yards (-115)

New England Patriots vs. New York Jets NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 11/22/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -110

Patriots Score First -170
Jets Score First +140

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 46.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 46.5 Yards -115

Longest Made Field Goal of the Game Over 43.5 Yards -130
Longest Made Field Goal of the Game Under 43.5 Yards +100

Shortest Made Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -115
Shortest Made Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards -115

Total Sacks By Both Teams Over 4 +100
Total Sacks By Both Teams Under 4 -130

Special Teams Or Defensive Touchdown Scored +150
No Special Teams Or Defensive Touchdown Scored -180

Tom Brady Pass Completions Over 24.5 -125
Tom Brady Pass Completions Under 24.5 -105

Tom Brady Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 +120
Tom Brady Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -150

Tom Brady Throws An Interception +100
Tom Brady Doesn’t Thrown An Interception -130

Stevan Ridley Rushing Yards Over 78.5 -115
Stevan Ridley Rushing Yards Under 78.5 -115

Stevan Ridley Scores a Touchdown -130
Stevan Ridley Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +100

Mark Sanchez Passing Yards Over 229.5 -115
Mark Sanchez Passing Yards Under 229.5 -115