Archive for December, 2012

NFL Prop Picks: New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans Predictions 12/17

December 14th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans Predictions 12/17
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Full Jets @ Titans NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

The Tennessee Titans and New York Jets are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 15 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Shonn Greene Over/Under 68.5 Rushing Yards: We do have to remember that the Titans rank 24th in the NFL against the rush. Greene might be averaging just 3.8 yards per carry this year, but he does carry the ball a ton and has 230 carries on the campaign. RB Bilal Powell has really cut into the time that Greene spends on the field, but over the course of the last three games, in spite of Powell’s presence, Greene has still reached the 70+ yard mark. It just makes too much sense not to back Greene’s ‘over’ in this one, especially knowing that his degree of success might be the only thing that keeps the Jets in this (or any other) game. Shonn Greene Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Chris Johnson Over/Under 2.5 Receptions: It’s a tricky prop because of the price that is attached to the number, but the basic implication here is that the oddsmakers are insinuating that this over/under should be right at three. And that sounds just about right. Johnson does have seven receptions in his last two games, but he had just three receptions in total the two games prior to that. It seems as though QB Jake Locker would rather get the ball up the field, something that he is going to have the opportunity to do against a sometimes suspect Jets defense. We’re going to play the percentages and hope that CJ will be held in check, at least as a receiver on Monday night. Chris Johnson Under 2.5 Receptions (+120)

Kenny Britt Over/Under 3.5 Receptions: Remember how we said that Locker wanted to get the ball up the field more? This is the man that he is going to be looking for. Britt had eight receptions last week for 143 yards, and it is clear, now that the Titans have a new offensive coordinator, that they are going to try to get the ball in the hands of their playmaker from Rutgers more often. Creatively, Tennessee has used Britt in some shorter pass routes to go with some of the deep balls, and he is going to likely find some openings in spite of the fact that DB Antonio Cromartie will likely be following him all over the field. The Jets just aren’t disciplined enough to keep him totally quiet, especially with DB Darrelle Revis having long since been on IR. Kenny Britt Over 3.5 Receptions (-125)

Rob Bironas Over/Under 7.5 Points: All of a sudden over the course of the last few weeks, the Jets just haven’t allowed all that many field goal attempts. However, earlier in the year, this team was all about giving up points to kickers. The Jets had a stretch of seven games in which they allowed at least 11 points to kickers five times and at least seven to every kicker that they faced… And that was after a total of four missed field goals in that stretch to boot! Bironas has a huge leg, and he has at least 11 points in three of his last four games. He has attempted at least three field goals in all of those games, and he has missed twice, both of which came in games in which he had huge efforts. This could be another one of those great days for Bironas to make an impact. Rob Bironas Over 7.5 Points (-130)

New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 12/17/12):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -110

Jets Score First -110
Titans Score First -120

First Score a Touchdown -145
First Score Not a Touchdown +115

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 40.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 40.5 Yards -115

Jets To Throw a Touchdown Pass First -140
Jets To Throw an Interception First +110

Jets Pass Completions Over 17 -120
Jets Pass Completions Under 17 -110

Shonn Greene Rushing Yards Over 68.5 -115
Shonn Greene Rushing Yards Under 68.5 -115

Shonn Greene Scores a Touchdown +120
Shonn Greene Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

Bilal Powell Rushing Attempts Over 12.5 -110
Bilal Powell Rushing Attempts Under 12.5 -120

Jeremy Kerley Receptions Over 4 +100
Jeremy Kerley Receptions Under 4 -130

Jeremy Kerley Receiving Yards Over 49.5 -115
Jeremy Kerley Receiving Yards Under 49.5 -115

Chaz Schilens Receptions Over 2 -120
Chaz Schilens Receptions Under 2 -110

David Harris Total Tackles Over 7.5 -115
David Harris Total Tackles Under 7.5 -115

Antonio Cromartie Intercepts a Pass +300
Antonio Cromartie Does Not Intercept a Pass -400

Nick Folk Points Over 6 -130
Nick Folk Points Under 6 +100

Jake Locker Pass Completions Over 20.5 -115
Jake Locker Pass Completions Under 20.5 -115

Jake Locker Passing Yards Over 232.5 -115
Jake Locker Passing Yards Under 232.5 -115

Jake Locker Throws a Touchdown First -140
Jake Locker Throws an Interception First +110

Chris Johnson Receptions Over 2.5 -150
Chris Johnson Receptions Under 2.5 +120

Chris Johnson Scores a Touchdown -105
Chris Johnson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -125

Nate Washington Scores a Touchdown +200
Nate Washington Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -260

Kenny Britt Receptions Over 3.5 -125
Kenny Britt Receptions Under 3.5 -105

Kendall Wright Receptions Over 4.5 +100
Kendall Wright Receptions Under 4.5 -130

Kendall Wright Receiving Yards Over 46.5 -115
Kendall Wright Receiving Yards Under 46.5 -115

Rob Bironas Points Over 7.5 -130
Rob Bironas Points Under 7.5 +100

Sunday Night Football Picks: 49ers vs. Patriots Props/Prop Sheet 12/16

December 14th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Sunday Night Football Picks: 49ers vs. Patriots Props/Prop Sheet 12/16
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Full 49ers vs. Patriots NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Tom Brady PatriotsThe New England Patriots and San Francisco 49ers are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 15 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Sunday Night Football matchup.

Colin Kaepernick Over/Under 47.5 Rushing Yards: This is a really tough one, but we think that the moment is going to really get to Kaepernick in this one. That means that he is probably going to throw the ball less and run it more. The former Nevada QB has rushed for at least 53 yards in three out of five games since taking over as a starter, and there is a good chance that he is going to take off at least a half dozen times, if not a heck of a lot more against a New England defense that tends to be pretty darn aggressive. This could work against us this week, but we think that it is a sound investment to play on the ‘over’. More often than not, it looks like Kaepernick has the ability to bust a big run, as he has three rushes this year of at least 30 yards, and we’ll take our chances. Colin Kaepernick Over 47.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Tom Brady Over/Under 23.5 Pass Completions: This is a pretty high number for a Brady completion total, but we expect that this is going to be a heck of a lot more of a game than some of the games that he has played in lately. Remember that over the course of the last several close games, Brady has completed 24 passes against Miami, 23 against Buffalo, 26 against New York, 36 against Seattle, and 23 against Denver. It’s really tough to run the ball against this San Francisco defense, so we expect to see a lot of these short passes to the various inside options to make up for what RB Stevan Ridley and the gang probably won’t be able to find. In the end, we think that this will be a day when the Brady Bunch comes up with at least 25 pass completions. Tom Brady Over 23.5 Pass Completions (-125)

Wes Welker Over/Under 7 Receptions: Did you read the last paragraph that we just wrote? Who do you think is going to be catching all those passes? Welker has caught 95 balls this year, and that includes five games this year with more than seven catches (and two other games with exactly seven catches). Sure, a bum ankle could be problematic for Welker, but this could be (and likely is) nothing more than a typical Patriots injury distinction, declaring an injury just for the sake of letting us in the media talk about it. The 49ers play bend but don’t break defense as well as any team in football, and though Welker might get a ton of receptions, he might not get all that many yards. We don’t care though, whether Welker gets 50 yards or 250 yards as long as he gets his eight receptions. Wes Welker Over 7 Receptions (+100)

Stephen Gostkowski Over/Under 9 Points: It’s really tough to score 10 points in a game if you’re a kicker, even if you’re the Patriots’ kicker. That means that Gostkowski is going to need to come up with either two field goals and three TDs to push (two field goals and four TDs to win) or three field goals and a TD to push (three field goals and two TDs to win). Sure, Gostkowski has had a great year and has averaged 9.85 points per game this year. However, he has also had no field goals in two of his last three games, and he still has a ton of misses this year. The 49ers aren’t going to give anyone in the opportunity to score six or seven times in a game as will probably be required for him to get there, so by default, we have to bet against Gostkowski in this one, especially at even money. Stephen Gostkowski Under 9 Points (+100)

San Francisco 49ers vs. New England Patriots NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 12/16/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -110

49ers Score First +125
Patriots Score First -155

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Colin Kaepernick Passing Yards Over 230.5 -115
Colin Kaepernick Passing Yards Under 230.5 -115

Colin Kaepernick TD Passes + INTs Over 2.5 +140
Colin Kaepernick TD Passes + INTs Under 2.5 -180

Colin Kaepernick Rushing Yards Over 47.5 -115
Colin Kaepernick Rushing Yards Under 47.5 -115

Colin Kaepernick Scores a Rushing Touchdown +120
Colin Kaepernick Does Not Score a Rushing Touchdown -150

Frank Gore Rushing Yards Over 70.5 -115
Frank Gore Rushing Yards Under 70.5 -115

Frank Gore Scores a Touchdown +100
Frank Gore Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -130

Michael Crabtree Receptions Over 5.5 -105
Michael Crabtree Receptions Under 5.5 -125

Michael Crabtree Receiving Yards Over 69.5 -115
Michael Crabtree Receiving Yards Under 69.5 -115

Michael Crabtree Scores a Touchdown +140
Michael Crabtree Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Vernon Davis Receptions Over 3.5 +100
Vernon Davis Receptions Under 3.5 -130

Vernon Davis Scores a Touchdown +160
Vernon Davis Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -200

NaVorro Bowman Total Tackles Over 8.5 -115
NaVorro Bowman Total Tackles Under 8.5 -115

Patrick Willis Total Tackles Over 7.5 -130
Patrick Willis Total Tackles Under 7.5 +100

David Akers Points Over 7.5 -130
David Akers Points Under 7.5 +100

Tom Brady Completions Over 23.5 -125
Tom Brady Completions Under 23.5 -105

Tom Brady Passing Yards Over 280.5 -115
Tom Brady Passing Yards Under 280.5 -115

Tom Brady Throws an Interception -160
Tom Brady Doesn’t Throw an Interception +130

Stevan Ridley Rushing Yards Over 70.5 -115
Stevan Ridley Rushing Yards Under 70.5 -115

Wes Welker Receptions Over 7 +100
Wes Welker Receptions Under 7-130

Wes Welker Receiving Yards Over 83.5 -115
Wes Welker Receiving Yards Under 83.5 -115

Wes Welker Scores a Touchdown +115
Wes Welker Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -145

Brandon Lloyd Receptions Over 4.5 -105
Brandon Lloyd Receptions Under 4.5 -125

Brandon Lloyd Receiving Yards Over 56.5 -115
Brandon Lloyd Receiving Yards Under 56.5 -115

Aaron Hernandez Scores a Touchdown -110
Aaron Hernandez Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -120

Jerod Mayo Total Tackles Over 8.5 -140
Jerod Mayo Total Tackles Under 8.5 +110

Stephen Gostkowski Points Over 9 -130
Stephen Gostkowski Points Under 9 +100

New Orleans Bowl Odds & Tips: East Carolina vs. UL Lafayette 12/22

December 14th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on New Orleans Bowl Odds & Tips: East Carolina vs. UL Lafayette 12/22
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New Orleans BowlOur 2012 bowl predictions continue on Saturday, December 22nd with the New Orleans Bowl, and we are set to make our New Orleans Bowl predictions, tips, and keys to the game for the duel between the East Carolina Pirates and the Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns.

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012-13 Bowl Game Schedule And Other Bowl Game Previews

2012 New Orleans Bowl: East Carolina Pirates vs. Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns
2012 New Orleans Bowl Location: Mercedes Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
2012 New Orleans Bowl Date/Time: Saturday, December 22nd, 12:00 p.m. (ET)
2012 New Orleans Bowl On TV: ESPN, Watch ESPN

Key #1: Terrance Broadway has to make big plays
There aren’t many players in this game that can truly bust things open, but Broadway is one of them. He took over as the Cajuns’ quarterback three games into the season, and he really did a remarkable job with this team. The only bad loss of the bunch was a road game against the North Texas Mean Green, but when you consider that the “worst” offense performance of the year was putting up 20 on the Florida Gators, that’s pretty darn impressive. Broadway averaged 8.9 yards per pass attempt this year, and he was also a real winner on the ground with 661 yards, averaging 6.4 yards per carry. He accounted for a total of 24 touchdowns to boot. There are a number of players at this level that are dynamic, but few that have dominated as much as Broadway has in the Sun Belt, and that has to continue against the Pirates.

New Orleans Bowl Odds at WagerWeb Sportsbook
East Carolina Pirates +5
Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns -5
Over/Under 66
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Key #2: The ULL defense has to find a way to mark Justin Hardy
Hardy led Conference USA this year with 83 receptions, and he was third in the conference with 1,046 yards. The key to winning games this games this year for the Pirates has been getting the ball in Hardy’s hands. ECU lost four games this year, and in those games, Hardy averaged 5.8 receptions and 71.5 yards per game. He averaged 7.5 receptions and 95.0 yards in eight victories. The sophomore had five 100+ yard games this year, and he finished out the regular season with 16 catches and 171 yards against the Marshall Thundering Herd. Louisiana Lafayette ranked just 115th in the nation against the pass, allowing 283.9 yards per game. This secondary has a lot of problems all year long, allowing six different receivers to have at least 100 receiving yards against it, including in the last game of the year when Florida Atlantic’s WR William Dukes had nine catches, 204 yards, and two TDs.

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Key #3: East Carolina has to prove that it can beat a solid team
When you look at the 8-4 Pirates, a team that has won 13 games over the course of the last two years, you would think that there would be at least one win somewhere against a team that made it to a bowl game. Alas, out of all of those wins, not a single one came against a team that qualified for a bowl that year. The last victory came against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles way back on October 9, 2010. There have been some bad losses in the bunch too, including the last bowl game when the team was beaten 51-20 by the Maryland Terrapins in 2010, and dropping this year by 20 to the UCF Knights, 28 by the Navy Midshipmen, 21 by the North Carolina Tar Heels (who would have been bowl eligible had they not been banned from the postseason), and 38 by the South Carolina Gamecocks. The Cajuns meanwhile, with the same 8-4 record, beat the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, and they challenged the Florida Gators, losing by just seven points in a game that they were leading deep into the fourth quarter and ultimately only lost on a blocked punt returned for a score with a few ticks left in the game.

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Thursday Night NFL Picks: Bengals vs. Eagles Props & Predictions 12/13

December 12th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Bengals vs. Eagles Props & Predictions 12/13
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Full Bengals vs. Eagles NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

AJ Green BengalsThe Philadelphia Eagles and Cincinnati Bengals are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 15 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Jeremy Maclin Over/Under 63.5 Receiving Yards: The oddsmakers made far too much of an adjustment in this one. Maclin had a great game against a bad secondary last week. He lit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers up for 104 yards, but that was his first 100+ yard showing since Week 6 against the Detroit Lions, another team with a terrible secondary. Cincinnati’s secondary is anything but terrible, and Maclin is going to be in some trouble because of it. Remember that he had just eight total catches over the course of the previous three games, and without QB Michael Vick in the fold, he just hasn’t really built up a good rapport with QB Nick Foles as of yet. Could that change over the course of this week? Surely it could. However, we think that the percentages definitely state that Maclin isn’t going to be getting to 50 yards, let alone 64 this time around versus the Bengals. Jeremy Maclin Receiving Yards Under 63.5 (-115)

Nick Foles Total Touchdown Passes Over/Under 1.5: Foles had a great game last week, throwing for 382 yards and two TDs. However, in the four games that he played before that, he only had a total of two TD passes. It’s not like the team didn’t do some scoring in those games either, as the Eagles put up 33 against the Dallas Cowboys and 22 against the Carolina Panthers. However, in order to get two passing touchdowns, you’ve got to score two touchdowns, and that just doesn’t seem conducive against a defense that has conceded just a total of two passing touchdowns over the course of the last five games. Nick Foles Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 (-155)

Andrew Hawkins Over/Under 3.5 Receptions: At the outset of the year, Hawkins was the man that was the second favorite receiver for QB Andy Dalton. He caught eight passes in Week 1, and had two other games with at least five receptions. For the next few weeks though, he tailed off with the emergence of WR Mohamed Sanu, and then he missed two games with a knee injury. Hawkins is back now though, and he has 11 catches for 91 yards over the course of the last two games. He had eight targets last week, and he is getting more and more looks thanks to the fact that defenses are rolling more towards WR AJ Green’s side as the season wears on. The end result in this one is going to be that Dalton will have to look elsewhere. We like the idea of TE Jermaine Gresham going ‘over’ four receptions as well, but Hawkins’ ‘over’ is far more appealing. Andrew Hawkins Over 3.5 Receptions (-105)

Will Andy Dalton Throw An Interception?: Dalton has tossed 14 picks this year, and he has only had three games all year long in which he hasn’t been picked off. This time around though, we think that he is going to have a decent chance of getting away without an INT. The Eagles haven’t forced a turnover in five straight games, and they haven’t picked off a pass since Week 6. That’s just a horrid stat to start with, and we think that it is darn near impossible for that to truly be the case. You’d figure on accident that you’d recover a fumble or something of the sorts… But alas, that isn’t the case. The moral of the story though, is that the Eagles stink at forcing turnovers defensively, and there should be at least a . That’s just a horrid stat to start with, and we think that it is darn near impossible for that to truly be the case. You’d figure on accident that you’d recover a fumble or something of the sorts… But alas, that isn’t the case. The moral of the story though, is that the Eagles stink at forcing turnovers defensively, and there should be at least a 40/60 chance that Dalton goes the whole game without a pick. Andy Dalton To Not Throw an Interception (+160)

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 12/13/12):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -140
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game +110

Bengals Score First -140
Eagles Score First +110

First Score a Touchdown -160
First Score Not a Touchdown +130

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 43.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 43.5 Yards -115

Andy Dalton Passing Yards Over 232.5 -115
Andy Dalton Passing Yards Under 232.5 -115

Andy Dalton TD Passes Over 1.5 -160
Andy Dalton TD Passes Under 1.5 +130

Andy Dalton Throws an Interception -200
Andy Dalton Doesn’t Throw an Interception +160

BenJarvus Green-Ellis Rushing Yards Over 82.5 -115
BenJarvus Green-Ellis Rushing Yards Under 82.5 -115

BenJarvus Green-Ellis To Score a Touchdown -105
BenJarvus Green-Ellis To Not Score a Touchdown -125

AJ Green Receptions Over 5.5 -150
AJ Green Receptions Under 5.5 +120

AJ Green Receiving Yards Over 87.5 -115
AJ Green Receiving Yards Under 87.5 -115

AJ Green Scores a Touchdown -115
AJ Green Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Andrew Hawkins Receptions Over 3.5 -105
Andrew Hawkins Receptions Under 3.5 -125

Andrew Hawkins Receiving Yards Over 40.5 -115
Andrew Hawkins Receiving Yards Under 40.5 -115

Jermaine Gresham Receptions Over 4 -120
Jermaine Gresham Receptions Under 4 -110

Jermaine Gresham To Score a Touchdown +115
Jermaine Gresham To Not Score a Touchdowns -145

Nick Foles Completions Over 22 -115
Nick Foles Completions Under 22 -115

Nick Foles Passing Yards Over 240.5 -130
Nick Foles Passing Yards Under 240.5 +100

Nick Foles Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +125
Nick Foles Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -155

Nick Foles To Throw an Interception -180
Nick Foles To Not Throw an Interception +140

Bryce Brown Scores a Touchdown -115
Bryce Brown Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Jeremy Maclin Receptions Over 5 -130
Jeremy Maclin Receptions Under 5 +100

Jeremy Maclin Receiving Yards Over 63.5 -115
Jeremy Maclin Receiving Yards Under 63.5 -115

Jeremy Maclin To Score a Touchdown +130
Jeremy Maclin To Not Score a Touchdown -160

Jason Avant Receptions Over 3.5 -140
Jason Avant Receptions Under 3.5 +110

New Mexico Bowl Odds & Predictions – Nevada vs. Arizona 12/15/12

December 12th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on New Mexico Bowl Odds & Predictions – Nevada vs. Arizona 12/15/12
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New Mexico BowlOur 2012 bowl predictions kick off on Saturday, December 15th with the New Mexico Bowl, and we are set to make our New Mexico Bowl predictions, tips, and keys to the game for the duel between the Nevada Wolf Pack and the Arizona Wildcats.

2012 New Mexico Bowl: Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Arizona Wildcats
2012 New Mexico Bowl Location: University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM
2012 New Mexico Bowl Date/Time: Saturday, December 15th, 1:00 p.m. (ET)
2012 New Mexico Bowl On TV: ESPN, Watch ESPN

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012-13 Bowl Game Schedule And Other Bowl Game Previews

Key #1: Stefphon Jefferson cannot wear down
It’s really tough to imagine just how many times Jefferson has carried the ball this year for the Wolf Pack. He is averaging touching the rock over 30 times per game in the Pistol offense, and he is going to have be going full bore against this Arizona defense from start to finish. The Wildcats allowed 189.8 yards per game this year on the ground to opponents, and the only comparable teams to this Nevada club that they played were the Oregon Ducks (228 rushing yards allowed), Oklahoma State Cowboys (200 rushing yards allowed), and UCLA Bruins (308 rushing yards allowed). We know that it isn’t just Jefferson that is going to be carrying the ball on Saturday, as QB Cody Fajardo is going to be doing so as well, but it is Jefferson that has to keep those chains moving on a regular basis, and he is also going to be tabbed with making sure that the Wolf Pack stay on schedule with down and distance. They’ll make their big plays, and Jefferson will be part of that, but Jefferson has to keep running the ball and running it hard for the full 60 minutes.

New Mexico Bowl Odds at WagerWeb Sportsbook
Nevada Wolf Pack +9
Arizona Wildcats -9
Over/Under 77
Click Here to Bet Your New Mexico Bowl Picks!

Key #2: Austin Hill must stretch the field
The Wildcats are a team that can run the football and run the heck out of it, too. We already know that RB Ka’Deem Carey will get his yards and his touchdowns from in close, but to move the pigskin in chunks, it’s going to require a solid effort from WR Austin Hill. QB Matt Scott averaged 7.2 yards per pass attempt this year, including 24 touchdowns. Hill was not just the leading receiver for the team with 73 catches, 1,189 yards, and nine scores, but he also led the team in yards per catch with 16.3. Hill had a few absolutely massive games this year, including 139 yards against Toledo, 125 yards against Okie State, 165 yards against Stanford, and 259 yards against USC. He hasn’t had a 100+ yard game since the end of October, but this could be the secondary that he could torch. The Wolf Pack did only allow 218.3 passing yards per game this year, but there were a lot of games that were played against teams that run it more than they throw it. The last truly excellent quarterback/receiver tandem that Nevada saw this year was against the Fresno State Bulldogs when QB Derek Carr threw for 220 yards and two TDs and WR Davante Adams had nine catches, 120 yards, and trip to the end zone.

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Key #3: The Wolf Pack have to be a bit unpredictable
Predictability has been a major problem for Nevada over the course of the last several bowl games. The team has only won one bowl game since the 2005 Hawaii Bowl, and a lot of these games have featured terrible offensive showings. For example, Nevada has averaged just 17.0 points per game in its last six bowl games this year. The problem the Wolf Pack have is that they run a unique offense that is just too darn simple. It doesn’t take all that long to figure out this offense if you study enough game tape, and though there isn’t always enough time to figure out in preparation for this offense in just one week’s time, getting ready for a bowl game with 16 extra practices is a totally different story. The Pack have to be thrilled that they are playing one of the first bowl games of the year this year though, as it only gives Head Coach Rich Rodriguez two weeks to figure out how to counter this fantastic offense. Still, Fajardo and the gang are going to have to show some more creativity in this one, or once the Arizona defense gets settled, it could really figure out how to wreck havoc on this Pistol attack.

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Utah State vs. Toledo Predictions & Analysis: 2012 Idaho Potato Bowl

December 12th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on Utah State vs. Toledo Predictions & Analysis: 2012 Idaho Potato Bowl
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The 2012 Idaho Potato Bowl picks are going to be difficult to make, as the Utah State Aggies and Toledo Rockets are set to do battle with one another on the Smurf Turf. Check out our Idaho Potato Bowl predictions and the keys to the game for Utah State vs. Toledo.

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012-13 Bowl Game Schedule And Other Bowl Game Previews

2012 Idaho Potato Bowl: Utah State Aggies vs. Toledo Rockets
2012 Idaho Potato Bowl Location: Bronco Stadium, Boise, ID
2012 Idaho Potato Bowl Date/Time: Saturday, December 15th, 4:30 p.m. (ET)
2012 Idaho Potato Bowl Television Coverage: ESPN, Watch ESPN

Key #1: Kerwynn Williams has to continue to be a star in every facet of the game
You’re not going to find a man who can do more for his team than what Williams can and will do for the Aggies. This is a man that will run the ball 15-20 times and catch at least five or six passes as well, and we wouldn’t bet against him scoring multiple touchdowns to boot. With a total of 200 carries and 43 receptions this year, Williams leads the team in both categories, and he was also the leading receiver in terms of yardage (663 yards) as well. Obviously, the main threat for Williams is his running ability, and he has rumbled for 1,277 yards and 12 TDs. Last year, in spite of the fact that he was splitting the backfield with two other backs, including RB Robert Turbin, who is now in the NFL, Williams had 62 yards on just nine carries. He can do it all, and he frequently will, and he is going to need to come up with the big plays in order to win this game.

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Odds at Diamond Sportsbook
Utah State Aggies -10.5
Toledo Rockets +10.5
Over/Under 58.5
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Key #2: Utah State needs to get over the fact that it didn’t make the big play last year
Utah State would have had its second ever bowl victory last year if not for the fact that QB Tyler Tettleton scored for the Ohio Bobcats in the dying seconds of the game to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. The Aggies had a defense all that year remembered that moment, especially with so many players that were on the field for that one returning all year long. What we have to remember though, is that Toledo DID make the play in its bowl game, winning the Military Bowl over the Air Force Falcons by stuffing up a two-point conversion to win the game. The Aggies haven’t been tested in all that many games this year that came down to the wire, so if this one is close, as it has the distinct potential to be, the Aggies will need to come up with the big play on one side of the ball or the other to be able to walk away with a ‘W’ this time around from Boise.

Key #3: David Fluellen has to be healthy and post a consistent YPC average
In the regular season finale against the Akron Zips, both QB Terrence Owens and RB David Fluellen sat out with injuries. Both are considered probable on the Idaho Potato Bowl injury report, so there aren’t worries there. What is bothersome though, is the fact that the Rockets really didn’t run the ball well without Fluellen in there. The team averaged just 3.9 yards per carry in that game against a bad Akron team that had a terrible defense this year. That’s a sharp contrast from the 5.8 yards per carry that Fluellen averaged for the season. Granted, there were some games that proved to be problematic for the Rockets when Fluellen didn’t have a great YPC average. He rushed for just 3.6 YPC against the Northern Illinois Huskies and 3.6 YPC against the Arizona Wildcats. These were the only games this year in which he was below 3.9 YPC, and needless to say, they were two of the team’s three losses on the campaign. Utah State is allowing just 111.4 yards per game this year on the ground, and there have been some stout rushing teams in the fold as well. Don’t be all that shocked if Fluellen’s YPC turns out to be the most important number in this game.

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NFL Prop Picks: Texans vs. Patriots Prop Sheet Predictions 12/10

December 9th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Texans vs. Patriots Prop Sheet Predictions 12/10
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Full Texans @ Patriots NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Patriots CheerleadersThe New England Patriots and Houston Texans are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 14 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Will Either Team Score in the First 6:00 Of the Game?: Though the Texans are averaging right near 30 points per game this year, and though the Patriots score 30+ (heck, sometimes even 50+) at home against virtually everyone, both teams tend to come out of the blocks a little more conservative. Houston especially, loves to get the ball rolling with RB Arian Foster and work on that stretch play that they run better than anyone in the league. They tend to take their time and be methodical. The defense is going to do what it can to make sure that QB Tom Brady doesn’t get the ball up the field in a hurry, and as long as WR Wes Welker and the deep threats all stay in front of the Houston DBs, Head Coach Gary Kubiak is going to be a happy man. There’s a reason that this prop is set at 6:00 and not at the 5:30 or 5:00 that we would be expecting for a game that has a ‘total’ that is posted this high. No Score in the First 6:00 (+105)

Matt Schaub Over/Under 260.5 Passing Yards: Though we know that we are going to see plenty of Foster in this game, we are going to see Schaub put the ball up in the air as well. When the props post on WR Andre Johnson, we think that he is going to be in for a huge game when push comes to shove. Johnson has had 28 catches over the course of the last three games, and he had solid games against both the Broncos and the Ravens this year when he was called upon, including catching a 60-yard touchdown pass against Denver. Schaub has already thrown for over 3,000 yards this year, though we probably should take out that 527 yard game against the Jaguars from consideration for this. Still, that’s three out of five games getting past the 260-yard mark, and if you believe that the Texans are going to play this one from behind at any point, this is a prop that you figure should be a winner in a big time game. Matt Schaub Over 260.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Arian Foster Rushing Yards Over/Under 92.5: Just because Schaub and Johnson could have a heck of a lot of fun on Monday doesn’t mean that Foster can’t as well. Remember that he has had at least 90 yards in five out of six games, and he is going to be up against a New England defense that has historically been weak against ground games. Look at Houston’s toughest opponents this year and see what Foster did to them. He ran for 105 on Denver and 98 on Baltimore, not to mention 102 on Chicago. That’s an awfully good indication, especially off of a week in which he only carried the ball 14 total times, that Foster is going to be in for a much, much better day when push comes to shove this time around versus New England. Arian Foster Rushing Yards Over 92.5 (-115)

Tom Brady Over/Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes: One might think that this is a bit of a trick play when looking at the NFL betting lines. After all, Brady should easily be able to throw for two touchdowns, even against this stout Houston defense, right? The truth of the matter is that the Texans only rank 19th against the pass this year, and Brady had played six games in a row with at least two touchdown passes before last week’s narrow escape from the Miami Dolphins. Brady now has 25 TDs against just four picks this year, and it is clear that he is going to have his opportunities to score in this game. Houston’s defense is good, but this is Brady at home. Sure, he only had one score against the Broncos at Gillette this year, but remember that we only have to win this one five out of seven times to make it worthwhile. There’s no way that Brady is going to have three games out of seven in which he doesn’t throw at least two TD passes. Tom Brady Passing Touchdowns Over 1.5 (-250)

Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 12/10/12):
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Score in the First 6:00 Minutes of the Game -135
No Score in the First 6:00 Minutes of the Game +105

Texans Score First +105
Patriots Score First -135

First Score a Touchdown -210
First Score Not a Touchdown +165

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 50.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 50.5 Yards -115

Matt Schaub Passing Yards Over 260.5 -115
Matt Schaub Passing Yards Under 260.5 -115

Matt Schaub Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -140
Matt Schaub Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +110

Arian Foster Rushing Yards Over 92.5 (-115)
Arian Foster Rushing Yards Under 92.5 (-115)

Tom Brady Pass Completions Over 25 -115
Tom Brady Pass Completions Under 25 -115

Tom Brady Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -250
Tom Brady Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +190

Tom Brady Throws An Interception -130
Tom Brady Doesn’t Throw An Interception +100