Archive for January 6th, 2013

Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons NFL Playoff Predictions 1/13/13

January 6th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons NFL Playoff Predictions 1/13/13
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Matt RyanOur 2013 NFL playoffs predictions continue on Sunday, January 13th with the Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons. We are set to make our Seahawks vs. Falcons predictions, tips, and keys to the game for this crucial duel in the first round of the playoffs.

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#5 Seattle Seahawks @ #1 Atlanta Falcons
Seahawks vs. Falcons Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
Seahawks vs. Falcons Date/Time: Sunday, January 13th, 1:00 p.m. (ET)
Seahawks vs. Falcons On TV: FOX

Key #1: The Seahawks have to keep up this mojo against playoff teams
You really don’t think of the Seahawks as an outfit that ultimately did tremendously well against playoff teams this year, but when you go back and look at it, this is a team that did a heck of a lot better than you would think against the best teams in the league. Granted, we know that the win over the Green Bay Packers should have never happened, but the club ultimately went 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS, including last week’s 24-14 win over the Washington Redskins to conclude Wild Card weekend. There’s more than that, too. Seattle also beat the Chicago Bears on the road and the Dallas Cowboys at home this year, and those were both wins that, had they not been had, would have cost the team a spot in the second season. This Seattle outfit also ultimately didn’t lose a game this year by more than seven points on the campaign. This team is a heck of a lot better than your average 11-5 team, and it has the longest winning streak of any team in the NFC right now at six games.

Seahawks @ Falcons Odds at WagerWeb Sportsbook
Seattle Seahawks +2.5
Atlanta Falcons -2.5
Over/Under 46
Click Here to Bet Your Seahawks vs. Falcons Picks!

Key #2: The Falcons have to get back to the fundamentals of football
Teams that win championships run the ball and play good defense at this level. Even when the New Orleans Saints won the Super Bowl a few years ago, they managed to find their way to make some big time defensive plays en route to the title. The Falcons do neither of these things well. They didn’t have anywhere near a 1,000-yard rusher this year, and they ultimately ranked 29th in the NFL in rushing at just 87.3 yards per game, and they allowed 365.6 yards per game. They did the job by allowing just 18.7 points per game, but anyone that has watched this team this year knows that this is a team that is just waiting to implode and allow 40 points in a game if it isn’t careful. But back to the ground game for a second. RB Michael Turner only rushed for 803 yards and 10 TDs this year, and he averaged just 3.6 yards per carry. We understand that Turner is coming up towards the end of his career and he is more of a plodding back right now, but the fact that RB Jacquizz Rodgers averaged just 3.9 yards per carry as a spunky, change of pace back doesn’t speak well for this offensive line. If all of this doesn’t improve, it will be a year of disappointment for the Falcons.

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Key #3: The Georgia Dome can’t turn on Matty Ice
It’s easy to see why the fans of the Falcons are frustrated at this point. They have never won a championship, and they haven’t won a playoff game under the direction of Head Coach Mike Smith and QB Matt Ryan. Don’t get us wrong, as Atlanta is lucky to have Ryan under center as opposed to QB Chris Redman and whatever other garbage the team had before. However, at 0-3 SU and ATS in three playoff games, it is easy to dismiss Ryan as a quarterback that just can’t play in the big time game in his career. He has never thrown for even 200 yards in a playoff game in three tries, and he has just 584 yards with three TDs and four picks in those games. Last year against the New York Giants, he didn’t even get a single point on the board offensively in a game that was ultimately lost 24-2. That just doesn’t cut it, and it won’t get the job done in the playoffs against any team, especially one that is as hot as the Seahawks ultimately are.

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Baltimore Ravens @ Denver Broncos NFL Playoff Predictions 1/12/13

January 6th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Baltimore Ravens @ Denver Broncos NFL Playoff Predictions 1/12/13
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Broncos vs. RavensThe 2013 NFL playoff picks are going to be difficult to make, and in this one, the Baltimore Ravens and the Denver Broncos are set to do battle with one another. Check out our Ravens vs. Broncos predictions and the keys to the game for Baltimore vs. Denver.

Click Here For The 2013 NFL Playoff Bracket, the 2013 NFL Playoffs Schedule, and all of our NFL Playoff Game Previews

#4 Baltimore Ravens @ #1 Denver Broncos
Ravens vs. Broncos Location: Sports Authority Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Ravens vs. Broncos Date/Time: Saturday, January 12th, 4:30 p.m. (ET)
Ravens vs. Broncos On TV: CBS

Key #1: The Ravens need another inspired effort defensively
The statistics on the win against the Indianapolis Colts weren’t the prettiest in the world for the Ravens, but when push came to shove, they got the job done against a very good offensive unit. The Colts did move the ball quite a bit, getting 25 first downs and 419 total yards, but the defense managed 12 pass defenses over the course of the day and picked up three sacks, 2.5 of which came from DT Paul Kruger. LB Ray Lewis, playing in his final home game of his career, had nine tackles and four assists, and he looked like his old self. QB Andrew Luck only completed 51.9 percent of his passes and was picked off once, and a lot of his yards came after the game was a bit out of reach. The Ravens aren’t going to be able to afford allowing over 400 yards to the Broncos if they want to win, but they do need to play with that same sort of intensity, especially when Denver gets down in the red zone if they want to have a chance of pulling off the upset against the top seed in the AFC.

Ravens @ Broncos Odds at Diamond Sportsbook
Baltimore Ravens +9
Denver Broncos -9
Over/Under 45.5
Click Here to Bet Your Ravens vs. Broncos Picks!

Key #2: The General has to continue to command the field
There aren’t many quarterbacks like QB Peyton Manning out there. Manning came back this year after missing the entire 2011 season with a neck injury, and he really is as good as he has ever been. Manning completed a whopping 400 passes and finished with 4,695 yards and 37 TDs against 11 picks. Manning averaged 297.5 passing yards per game over the course of his last 14 games of the season after getting his feet wet with his brand new team. He has posted 13 straight games with at least a 90 quarterback rating and has had nine games in his last 14 with at least three touchdown passes. The bugaboo on Manning though, is that he really hasn’t been able to win the biggest games of his career. Little brother, Eli has one more Super Bowl title than does the elder Manning brother, and little Eli has beaten QB Tom Brady twice, something that has always plagued Peyton. This isn’t the biggest game in the world that Manning has ever played, but it comes against a team that has a defense that really can frustrate him. That being said, in nine games against the Ravens in his career, Manning has averaged 275.2 passing yards per game, has completed 64.7 percent of his passes, and has an 18/5 TD/INT ratio. With a suspect running game, Manning needs to keep that up if he is going to lead his team to the AFC Championship Game.

Key #3: Ray Rice has to hold onto the football
Over the course of his entire 77-game career, RB Ray Rice had only fumbled the ball seven times and lost six of them. He had never had a game with two fumbles ever, but he was stripped twice last week by the Colts, and the team lost both fumbles. Granted, that paved to way to a 100+ yard day for backup RB Bernard Pierce, but this time around, we know that it is going to be Rice that has to be the dynamic one to win this game. The Ravens have run for 396 yards in their last two serious games (forget about a Week 17 loss that meant nothing to the Cincinnati Bengals), but in Week 14, they only ended up with 19 carries for 56 yards as a team against these very same Broncos. Rice had just 38 yards on 12 carries, and he really hasn’t looked totally the same since that point. We’re going to go out on a limb and say that the Ravens need to account for at least 120 yards on the ground to have a chance in this one, and means that Rice has to not only hold onto the football, but continue to rumble through this stout Denver defense to have a chance at the upset.

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Green Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers NFL Predictions 1/12/13

January 6th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Green Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers NFL Predictions 1/12/13
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Green Bay PackersThe 2013 NFL playoff picks are going to be difficult to make, and in this one, the Green Bay Packers and the San Francisco 49ers are set to do battle with one another. Check out our Packers vs. 49ers predictions and the keys to the game for Green Bay vs. San Francisco.

Click Here For The 2013 NFL Playoff Bracket, the 2013 NFL Playoffs Schedule, and all of our NFL Playoff Game Previews

#3 Green Bay Packers @ #2 San Francisco 49ers
Packers vs. 49ers Location: Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA
Packers vs. 49ers Date/Time: Saturday, January 12th, 8:00 p.m. (ET)
Packers vs. 49ers On TV: FOX

Key #1: Green Bay absolutely has to get a running game going
We have talked about this all season long for the Packers. They absolutely have to find a running game in the playoffs, or they aren’t going to win the Super Bowl. In the first meeting of the year between these two teams, Green Bay’s leading rusher was QB Aaron Rodgers, who rushed for 27 yards on five carries. RB Cedric Benson had just nine carries for 18 yards and was the only running back that touched the football. It was unbelievable to think that the team threw the ball 44 times (and was sacked three times) against just 14 runs. Rodgers has proven that he can get the job done against some of the elite defenses in the league, but in the end, all of the games that were won included a rushing attack. Against the Chicago Bears, Green Bay rushed for 113 yards in spite of the fact that no one had more than 35 yards on the ground. Against the Houston Texans, though Rodgers threw for six TDs, the ground game accounted for 99 yards on 31 carries. The average wasn’t great, but the yards were what was key. Same thing against the Bears the first time around this year. Green Bay had 106 rushing yards on 28 carries. Last week, Green Bay got away with not having a rushing game thanks to the fact that QB Joe Webb looked like a fish out of water. It won’t get that benefit this week against the 49ers.

Packers @ 49ers Odds at Diamond Sportsbook
Green Bay Packers +3
San Francisco 49ers -3
Over/Under 46.5
Click Here to Bet Your Packers vs. 49ers Picks!

Key #2: The moment can’t be too big for Colin Kaepernick
Head Coach Jim Harbaugh made one of the most controversial decisions that a coach has made this year when he benched QB Alex Smith and started QB Colin Kaepernick. Now, the franchise rests in Kaepernick’s hands. The team has had a mixed bag of results since the change. The club lost to the St. Louis Rams and was blown away by the Seattle Seahawks, but on the other hand, Kaepernick orchestrated road wins against both the New England Patriots and the New Orleans Saints. Still, what Kaepernick hasn’t seen much of this year is a truly elite defense. He did put up a 32-7 victory over the Chicago Bears, and granted, he has stood toe to toe with some fantastic offensive teams. However, the only great defense of a playoff team that he faced was that of the Seahawks, who beat him 42-13. The question here? Will we see the Kaepernick that really stunk up the join against St. Louis for a game and a half, or the one that tore apart the Patriots for four touchdowns a few weeks ago? It has to be the latter, not the former, or the Packers will sneak up on this team.

Key #3: The offensive lines have their work cut out for them
Both of these teams can rush the passer for sure, and what this game might come down to is which team can stop the other team’s superstar on the defensive side of the ball. LB Clay Matthews was a monster against the Minnesota Vikings last week, picking up two sacks and generally making life a living hell for backup QB Joe Webb. He now has 15 sacks in 13 games played this year. LB Aldon Smith picked up 19.5 sacks in his 16 games this year for the 49ers. When these two teams met the first time, about the only thing that kept Green Bay in the game is the fact that Matthews logged 2.5 sacks. Of course, on the other side of the ball, Smith had his first sack of the season, and that was one of the three sacks that the 49ers managed to pick up against Rodgers. These two offensive lines have some great potential, but they both have their hands full for sure to stuff up some of the best pass rushers that the entire NFL has to offer. Whichever does the better job protecting their quarterback will clearly be on the inside track to victory.

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2013 GoDaddy.com Bowl Picks: Kent State vs. Arkansas State 1/6/13

January 6th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on 2013 GoDaddy.com Bowl Picks: Kent State vs. Arkansas State 1/6/13
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GoDaddy.com Bowl2013 GoDaddy.com Bowl picks are going to be entertaining to make this year, as we have two teams that are going to be going at it against each other in what could be an unpredictable game in the Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Kent State Golden Flashes. Join us for our GoDaddy.com Bowl keys to the game and our Kent State vs. Arkansas State predictions.

2013 GoDaddy.com Bowl: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Kent State Golden Flashes
2013 GoDaddy.com Bowl Location: Ladd Peebles Stadium, Mobile, AL
2013 GoDaddy.com Bowl Date/Time: Sunday, January 6th, 9:00 p.m. (ET)
2013 GoDaddy.com Bowl On TV: ESPN

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012-13 Bowl Game Schedule And Other Bowl Game Previews

Key #1: The Red Wolves have to figure out how to run their offense without Gus Malzahn
Gus Malzahn has always been able to run a fluid offense no matter where he has gone, but his system often takes some time to install in the most efficient form. This year, the Red Wolves struggled for a few weeks, but over the course of their last seven games, they scored at least 36 points in all of those games. Of course, some of that is a matter of the fact that these games were all Sun Belt outings, and this conference really isn’t the greatest in the country. But that being said, Malzahn is now gone, and the team is going to have to run its offense without him. QB Ryan Aplin has had a heck of a lot thrown his way over the course of his career. But can he really figure out how to pass this last test without his head coach calling the shots? That might be the most important question in the GoDaddy.com Bowl.

GoDaddy.com Bowl Odds at BetGuardian Sportsbook
Arkansas State Red Wolves -3.5
Kent State Golden Flashes +3.5
Over/Under 63
Click Here to Bet Your GoDaddy.com Bowl Picks!

Key #2: Dri Archer and Trayion Durham need to be monsters
It was a real miracle that the Golden Flashes were even able to stick around in the MAC Championship Game against the Northern Illinois Huskies. QB Spencer Keith only threw for 190 yards with a TD and two picks, but more importantly, RB Dri Archer and RB Trayion Durham only combined for 32 carries and 87 yards. Needless to say, that just isn’t going to cut it for a team that relies on running the ball to move up and down the field. These two combined for 29 TDs and 2,600 total rushing yards this year, not to mention the fact that they combined for over 3,000 total yards from scrimmage on the campaign. The Arkansas State defense can be had, but so too, could the NIU defense. Instead, the Huskies put together 524 total yards in the MAC Championship Game, which kept the ball away from the Flashes. Not only did that provide fewer opportunities for the two main rushers to do damage for Kent State, but when the rushing game failed to even average 2.0 yards per carry, the defense was put into some horrible spots. Kent State has to get back to its old ways to have a chance to win this game.

BetGuardian

Key #3: Kent State’s secondary has to challenge Ryan Aplin
The one thing that the Malzahn offense did this year was keep control of the football. QB Ryan Aplin only threw four picks all season long. He wasn’t always tested by the Sun Belt defenses, but this is going to be a game where he gets his fill for sure. The Kent State defense was second in the nation in interceptions this year with 23 picks, led by DB Luke Wollet, who had four picks. The only team that had more INTs this year was the Oregon Ducks, and they have some NFL defenders, unlike Kent State. The Golden Flashes really did a remarkable job this year of thievery, as they led the MAC in total turnovers forced (38), total picks (23), and turnover margin (+21). The problem is that Arkansas State only turned the ball over a total of 14 times on the season and were a +8 for the year. The second for KSU has to figure out how to force some turnovers in this one, or it is going to be brutally tough to pull off the upset.

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Indianapolis Colts @ Baltimore Ravens NFL Playoff Predictions 1/6

January 6th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Indianapolis Colts @ Baltimore Ravens NFL Playoff Predictions 1/6
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Andrew Luck ColtsOur 2013 NFL playoffs predictions continue on Sunday, January 6th with the Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens. We are set to make our Colts vs. Ravens predictions, tips, and keys to the game for this crucial duel in the first round of the playoffs.

Click Here For The 2013 NFL Playoff Bracket, the 2013 NFL Playoffs Schedule, and all of our NFL Playoff Game Previews

#5 Indianapolis Colts @ #4 Baltimore Ravens
Colts vs. Ravens Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Colts vs. Ravens Date/Time: TBD
Colts vs. Ravens On TV: TBD

Key #1: The stage can’t be too big for Andrew Luck
You’re not going to find a rookie quarterback that put up a better year in 2012 than QB Andrew Luck. The highly touted No. 1 pick of last year’s NFL Draft immediately came in as the starter for the Colts, and he is clearly the face of the franchise and looks like a future Hall of Famer. Luck finished the year with 4,374 passing yards, the most ever for a rookie, and he had 23 TDs against 18 INTs. Yes, those 18 picks were clearly far too many, but he has five scores without a pick in his last three games. The problem that Luck has though, is that he really didn’t play well in the biggest games of the year. He hasn’t completed more than 54 percent of his passes in any game that he has played since Week 12, and he tossed three picks in games both against the New England Patriots and the Chicago Bears. The Ravens don’t have the same type of defense that they have had in the past, but they are still going to be revved up for this one and could put a heck of a lot of pressure on the rookie to get the job done, something that is rare at this level.

Colts @ Ravens Odds at WagerWeb Sportsbook
Indianapolis Colts +6.5
Baltimore Ravens -6.5
Over/Under 46.5
Click Here to Bet Your Colts vs. Ravens Picks!

Key #2: The Baltimore defense has to be fierce
When you look at the stats of the Baltimore defense this year, you have to be underwhelmed to say the least. The team finished by allowing 350.8 yards and 21.5 points per game, and the squad allowed 25.0 points per game against teams that finished .500 or better this year. However, when you really look closer at it, S Bernard Pollard missed three games, LB Ray Lewis missed 10 games, DT Haloti Ngata missed two games, LB Terrell Suggs missed eight games, and LB Jameel McClain missed three games. It’s still early in the week, but as of Sunday night, it seems as though all of these players are going to be able to give it a go in the playoffs. Suggs is the most suspect right now with a bicep injury. It’s not about the yards, or even so much the points as much as it is the fact that the team has to be intimidating. It has always been a nightmare for an offense to go into Baltimore to play a game, especially with men like Lewis and S Ed Reed waiting in the wings to get the crowd and the rest of the defense fired up. When Luck gets under center, Lewis needs to look him square in the face and strike some fear into him and the rest of these young offensive players for the Colts. If that turns out to be the case, everything should be just fine for the Ravens. If Luck and the gang get some confidence right away though, there could be some real problems.

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Key #3: Baltimore has to pound the ball on the ground
When the Ravens have been at this best over the years, they have always been able to run the ball in the most crucial of situations. Recently though, they have put more on the back of QB Joe Flacco, and this year, the team actually threw the ball 35.0 times per game, as opposed to the 27.8 rushing attempts per game. That’s why it really didn’t feel like the greatest year in the world for RB Ray Rice, who only finished up the campaign with 1,143 yards and a total of 10 TDs. Whether it be Rice or RB Bernard Pierce, it is clear that the Ravens are going to need their rushing offense to get the job done in this one. The Colts had a rush defense that was absolutely atrocious at times this year, and this has really always been the soft underbelly that this club has brought to the table in the playoffs. Indy’s rush defense ranked 28th in the league this year at 137.5 yards per game allowed, and the team allowed 352 rushing yards against the Kansas City Chiefs just two weeks ago, proving that it is a team that can still be had for sure.

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Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Redskins NFL Playoff Prediction 1/6

January 6th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Redskins NFL Playoff Prediction 1/6
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Washington RedskinsThe 2013 NFL playoff picks are going to be difficult to make, and in this one, the Seattle Seahawks and the Washington Redskins are set to do battle with one another. Check out our Seahawks vs. Redskins predictions and the keys to the game for Seattle vs. Washington.

Click Here For The 2013 NFL Playoff Bracket, the 2013 NFL Playoffs Schedule, and all of our NFL Playoff Game Previews

#6 Seattle Seahawks @ #3 Washington Redskins
Seahawks vs. Redskins Location: FedEx Field, Landover, MD
Seahawks vs. Redskins Date/Time: Sunday, January 6th, 4:30 p.m. (ET)
Seahawks vs. Redskins On TV: FOX

Key #1: Home has to be where the heart is for the Redskins
You have to go back to 1999 to find the last time that the Redskins even played a playoff game here in DC. Interestingly enough, it has been almost three decades since Washington has lost a postseason tussle at home, and that’s a stat that is definitely worth noting in this one. To find the last Seattle win in the postseason on the road, you have to go all the way back to 1983 against the Miami Dolphins, and that was when the Seahawks were in the AFC. History isn’t on the side of either of these teams though, and that has to change for the winner. Seattle is a team that historically doesn’t play all that well away from home, especially all the way out on the East Coast, several thousands of miles away from home. Washington went over 400 days without a home victory, a streak that only ended this year the middle of October. There aren’t many better fan bases than the one in Washington though, and the Redskins know that they are going to need to put together a heck of an effort in front of their hometown crowd if they are going to take down the Seahawks.

Seahawks @ Redskins Odds at Diamond Sportsbook
Seattle Seahawks -2.5
Washington Redskins +2.5
Over/Under 46
Click Here to Bet Your Seahawks vs. Redskins Picks!

Key #2: Youth has to be served
There isn’t a game here in the playoffs with more riding on the backs of the rookies than this one. QB Russell Wilson and QB Robert Griffin III are obviously both rookies that are playing well beyond their years, but these aren’t the only rookies that are worth watching in this game by any stretch of the imagination. One of Seattle’s best defensive players is LB Bruce Irvin, who is often the key to a fantastic pass rush that helped the team become the No. 1 scoring defense in America. Washington’s leading rusher is the unheralded RB Alfred Morris, who came out of literally nowhere to rush for 1,610 yards and 13 TDs on the campaign. Morris isn’t the flashiest runner in the world, and he has never played in a game on this magnitude in his career. Still, the Florida Atlantic back was really the main reason, not RG3, that this team ranked No. 1 in the game in rushing at 169.1 yards per game, as he contributed more to the ground game by himself than a lot of teams came up with in the 2012 season. Still, it’s never easy for rookies to step right into their first playoff game and perform, and whichever set of rookies can do that job better will be the ones that lead their team to victory on Sunday afternoon.

Key #3: The Washington defense needs some stars to rise up on defense
This magical run for the Redskins this year has truly been remarkable, if for nothing else, LB Brian Orakpo and DE Adam Carriker have been out for basically the whole season. That’s a solid portion of the defense for sure, and others have had to step up in their places. LB London Fletcher had one of the best years of his entire career, picking up five picks and three sacks, while LB Perry Riley was the second leading tackler on the team and had 3.5 sacks. The question is in the secondary, where DB DeAngelo Hall and S Madieu Williams have had some major problems this year. This unit ranks 30th in the game, allowing 281.9 passing yards per game. If the Redskins don’t ultimately figure out how to stop the passing game, QB Russell Wilson can take real advantage of this unit. It’s really tough to win games in the playoffs, because that’s when your best players are supposed to make their biggest plays. With Orakpo and others out of the fold, someone is going to have to step it up for the hosts to survive.

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NFL Prop Picks: Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens Tips 1/6/13

January 6th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens Tips 1/6/13
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Full Colts @ Ravens NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Joe FlaccoThe Baltimore Ravens and Indianapolis Colts are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the Wild Card betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over/Under 44.5 Yards: Six of Indy’s last seven games have featured at least one touchdown of at least 45 yards, and it’s tough to think that there won’t be at least one really long score in this one. Of course, it’s tough to get these big ones in Ravens’ games. There has only been one TD of at least 45 yards in their games since November 18th against the Pittsburgh Steelers. QB Andrew Luck takes shot after shot down the field though, and he is inevitably going to connect with one of his big men, whether it be WR Reggie Wayne, WR TY Hilton, or WR Donnie Avery for the big play that results in six points more often than not. Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 44.5 Yards (-115)

Andrew Luck Longest Completion Over/Under 37.5 Yards: Wouldn’t it be nice if we could just get Luck’s longest completion out of the way with the longest touchdown of the game right away in this one? Luck has hit at least one 60+ yard pass in three of his last five games, and he had eight games this year where he completed a pass for at least 40 yards. Six of those came since Week 9 against the Miami Dolphins though, and it is clear that he is going to be taking his shots. Luck doesn’t complete a slew of passes, but he does go after a lot of receivers, especially right down the middle of the field, and he often averages over 12 yards per pass that he completes in games. The Baltimore defense will be hard-pressed to keep Luck from completing any pass for more than 37 yards. Andrew Luck Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards (-115)

Joe Flacco Over/Under 255.5 Passing Yards: This is a whole bunch of passing yards to ask for a quarterback to get in a game like this one. The Indy secondary clearly isn’t all that bad, and ever since Jim Caldwell has taken over as the team’s offensive coordinator, Flacco has been asked to do less and less. He has seven games since Week 5 (Week 17 not counting in there) in which he has thrown for fewer than 255 yards, and we’re really not all that sure where the oddsmakers are getting this one from. Flacco only averaged 252.2 yards per game this year (again, not counting Week 17), and he had a lot more games this year with way over 255 yards (382 vs. New England, 356 vs. Cleveland, 341 vs. Oakland) than he did falling way under 255 (147 against Houston, 153 against Cleveland). This is a line that just doesn’t make any sense to us. Joe Flacco Under 255.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Ray Rice Over/Under 97.5 Rushing Yards: Rice really didn’t have a great year, but he did run for at least 100 yards in two of his final three legitimate starts this year. Caldwell has been calling upon his rushing game more with both Rice and RB Bernard Pierce, both of which could be in for great games against an Indy defense that has historically been very weak up front against the run. We really don’t see any reason why the Ravens won’t rush for at least 150 yards in this game, and if they do that, Rice should get at least 100, if not more of them when push comes to shove. Bank on the little big man to come up in a big time way for the Ravens on Sunday. Ray Rice Over 97.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 1/6/13):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -140
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game +110

Colts Score First +130
Ravens Score First -160

First Score a Touchdown -170
First Score Not a Touchdown +140

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -110
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -120

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Over 3.5 +110
Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Under 3.5 -140

Total Punts by Both Teams Over 9.5 -115
Total Punts by Both Teams Under 9.5 -115

Total Sacks by Both Teams Over 4.5 +100
Total Sacks by Both Teams Under 4.5 -130

Game Will Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points +400
Game Will Not Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points -600

Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored +135
No Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored -165

Largest Lead of the Game Over 16.5 +100
Largest Lead of the Game Under 16.5 -130

Andrew Luck Throws a Touchdown First -145
Andrew Luck Throws an Interception First +115

Andrew Luck Completions Over 20.5 -115
Andrew Luck Completions Under 20.5 -115

Andrew Luck Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Andrew Luck Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Andrew Luck Passing Yards Over 262.5 -115
Andrew Luck Passing Yards Under 262.5 -115

Andrew Luck Rushing Yards Over 15
Andrew Luck Rushing Yards Under 15

Andrew Luck Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +110
Andrew Luck Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -140

Andrew Luck Throws an Interception -260
Andrew Luck Doesn’t Throw an Interception +200

Vick Ballard Rushing Yards Over 63.5 -115
Vick Ballard Rushing Yards Under 63.5 -115

Vick Ballard Scores a Touchdown +220
Vick Ballard Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -300

Reggie Wayne Receptions Over 5.5 -115
Reggie Wayne Receptions Under 5.5 -115

Reggie Wayne Longest Reception Over 22.5 Yards -115
Reggie Wayne Longest Reception Under 22.5 Yards -115

Reggie Wayne Receiving Yards Over 78.5 -115
Reggie Wayne Receiving Yards Under 78.5 -115

Reggie Wayne Scores a Touchdown +170
Reggie Wayne Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -220

TY Hilton Receptions Over 3.5 +100
TY Hilton Receptions Under 3.5 -130

TY Hilton Scores a Touchdown +150
TY Hilton Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Adam Vinatieri Points Over 7.5 -115
Adam Vinatieri Points Under 7.5 -115

Joe Flacco Completions Over 20.5 -115
Joe Flacco Completions Under 20.5 -115

Joe Flacco Longest Completion Over 40.5 Yards -115
Joe Flacco Longest Completion Under 40.5 Yards -115

Joe Flacco Passing Yards Over 255.5 -115
Joe Flacco Passing Yards Under 255.5 -115

Joe Flacco Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -145
Joe Flacco Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +115

Joe Flacco Throws an Interception -200
Joe Flacco Doesn’t Throw an Interception +160

Ray Rice Rushing Yards Over 97.5 -115
Ray Rice Rushing Yards Under 97.5 -115

Ray Rice Yards on First Rushing Attempt Over 3.5 -130
Ray Rice Yards on First Rushing Attempt Under 3.5 +100

Ray Rice Receiving Yards Over 35.5 -115
Ray Rice Receiving Yards Under 35.5 -115

Ray Rice Scores a First Half Touchdown +160
Ray Rice Doesn’t Score a First Half Touchdown -200

Ray Rice Scores a Touchdown -140
Ray Rice Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +110

Anquan Boldin Receptions Over 4.5 +105
Anquan Boldin Receptions Under 4.5 -135

Anquan Boldin Receiving Yards Over 66.5 -115
Anquan Boldin Receiving Yards Under 66.5 -115

Torrey Smith Receptions Over 3.5 -130
Torrey Smith Receptions Under 3.5 +100

Torrey Smith Receiving Yards Over 63.5 -115
Torrey Smith Receiving Yards Under 63.5 -115

Torrey Smith Scores a Touchdown +140
Torrey Smith Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Dennis Pitta Receiving Yards Over 45.5 -115
Dennis Pitta Receiving Yards Under 45.5 -115

Dennis Pitta Scores a Touchdown +135
Dennis Pitta Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -170

Jacoby Jones Receiving Yards Over 22.5 -115
Jacoby Jones Receiving Yards Under 22.5 -115

Ed Reed Intercepts a Pass +260
Ed Reed Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -340

Ray Lewis Tackles Over 8 -115
Ray Lewis Tackles Under 8 -115

Justin Tucker Points Over 7.5 -140
Justin Tucker Points Under 7.5 +110