Archive for September 14th, 2013

2013 NFL Week 2 Lines – Week Two Lines Breakdown

September 14th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2013 NFL Week 2 Lines – Week Two Lines Breakdown
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Complete List of Week 2 NFL Vegas Lines Can Be Found Below
This article is written based off of the NFL opening betting lines at 5:00 AM on Tuesday 9/10. Updated pro football odds can be found at the bottom of this post.

49ers vs. SeahawksOne week of NFL betting action is in the books, and here at Bankroll Sports, we are set to give it a go with our Week 2 NFL betting lines. Join us as we break down all 16 of the games on the NFL rotation schedule and check out which ones have the hottest bets to place.

For the second straight weekend, the New England Patriots are going to be the biggest favorites on the NFL odds, and we still aren’t all that sure that they are that good. This time, they’ve got the New York Jets coming to town for the home opener in Foxboro, but we still see a heck of a lot of problems. RB Stevan Ridley is fumbling the ball all over the place, while RB Shane Vereen is now going to join TE Rob Gronkowski on the sidelines injured. The receivers don’t really look like they have much of a clue as to where they are running routes to on a regular basis, and that’s going to prove to be problematic going forward. QB Geno Smith won the first start of his career against the Bucs, but this is a much, much different task going on the road to Foxboro on a short week of preparation against the behemoths of the division.

Last week, we had a ton of very close NFL point spreads, but this week, the numbers are a lot more spread out. There are eight spreads that are featuring at least 6.5 points or more, and a lot of those games wouldn’t have been set this high even just a week ago.

5Dimes NFLFor example, on Monday Night Football, the Cincinnati Bengals are taking on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Just last week before any game kicked off, the Bengals were slated to be -1.5 in that game. Now, after Pittsburgh looked so horrid in its opener against the Titans, it has risen all the way up to +6.5. Of course, injuries have a lot to do with that, knowing that the Steelers lost three players, most notably OL Maurkice Pouncey to season ending injuries on Sunday as well. The bottom line for Pittsburgh though, is that it cannot run the football to save its life for the second straight season, and regardless of who is back there, we don’t see any improvement. About the only good news for Pittsburgh is that everyone lost in Week 1 in the AFC North, and the possibility is there to rebound. Still, QB Andy Dalton looks the better of the two quarterbacks in this game at this point, and it is very justifiable to think that the Bengals could open at -6.5.

Other teams that are favored by 6.5 on Sunday include the Chicago Bears over the Minnesota Vikings, the Green Bay Packers over the Washington Redskins, the Baltimore Ravens over the Cleveland Browns, and perhaps most interesting of them all, the Philadelphia Eagles over the San Diego Chargers. There was a lot of respect here for the Chargers after a half of football against the Texans on Monday, but in the end, they were demoralized, getting beaten 31-28 after giving up 24 unanswered points to end the game. Philly meanwhile, has seen its stock shoot upward immediately. The Eagles were slight underdogs against the Redskins last week, and they turned out a tremendous performance, including running 53 plays in the first half, the most in an NFL game in the first half since the 1998 Vikings ran 58 plays in the first half. Head Coach Chip Kelly and company are amongst the big time movers and shakers, and there is a great chance that they could start at 2-0 this year. Do keep in mind though, that San Diego is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games played on short rest, and coming off of a Monday Night Football game into a Sunday game across the country, the Bolts are sure to be sharp as could be.

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There are a couple other teams that are favored by more than 6.5. The Houston Texans, fresh off of their comeback we just spoke of against San Diego, will look to tame the Tennesssee Titans in their home opener as 8.5-point favorites on the NFL lines, while the Atlanta Falcons are giving seven to the St. Louis Rams.

There are going to be some tremendous close calls as well. The Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints are both AFC South teams that are favored by three on the road. The Panthers head north to take on the Buffalo Bills in a battle of 0-1 teams that lost heartbreakers against superior squads last week. New Orleans has the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a second straight crucial NFC South battle.

It’s amazing how quickly some are selling on the Indianapolis Colts. The team was favored by double digits last week and steamed like crazy against Oakland, yet now, it is only favored by three, the value of their home field advantage against the Miami Dolphins. QB Andrew Luck and company could be in for an upset if the oddsmakers have pegged this one even remotely right. Meanwhile, the Kansas City Chiefs are trending upward after crushing the Jags on Sunday, as they are favored by a field goal in their home opener against the Dallas Cowboys.

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In the late games, the Detroit Lions and Arizona Cardinals are lined at a pick ’em, while the Oakland Raiders are 5.5-point favorites over the Jacksonville Jaguars. The last time Oakland was favored by more than four points was against none other than these Jaguars last year at the O.co Coliseum.

But of course, we still have yet to talk about the two biggest games of the weekend. The national game in the 4:00 ET hour is the clash of the Manning brothers. Younger brother QB Eli Manning had a rough go of it against the Cowboys last week, but he is still set to lead his New York Giants into battle against QB Peyton Manning and his Denver Broncos. The elder Manning threw an NFL record seven touchdown passes against Baltimore on Thursday last week, and he has a long week to prepare for his trip to the Meadowlands. If New York loses this game and starts at 0-2, the buzzards are going to start to swarm around Head Coach Tom Coughlin once again.

But the biggest game is the one in the NFC West between the Seattle Seahawks and the San Francisco 49ers. Neither of these two played quite as well as perhaps their fans had been hoping for in Week 1, but both escaped with narrow victories to move to 1-0. This one though, is going to be a flat out war. Seattle hasn’t lost a game at home in darn near two full calendar years, and the 49ers were absolutely destroyed last season when they went to CenturyLink Field. The winner is probably going to hold the upper hand on the loser for at least the first part of the season until the return matchup at Candlestick Park later on this season. QB Russell Wilson and QB Colin Kaepernick should both be in for stern tests. The slight edge goes to Seattle at -2.5, but no results will be surprising.

Regarding ‘totals’ this week, the Manning Bowl features the highest number on the board at 54.5, and that shouldn’t be all that surprising that the number is that high. Last week featured 64 touchdown passes in the 16 games combined, the most in a single week in NFL history. Not surprisingly, there is only one game with a ‘total’ in the 30s, and that’s the clash between the offensively inept Jags and the offensive-sporadic Raiders, a number which is set at 39.5. The Monday nighter in the AFC North only sees a ‘total’ of 40.5 hit the NFL rotation schedule, while there are five other games in which a ‘total’ of at least 47 opened on the board. If you’re looking for some big time line movement on a ‘total’, consider the game between the Chargers and the Eagles. Both teams played high scoring Monday Night Football games last week, and Philly is going to be a trendy ‘over’ team all year long until Head Coach Chip Kelly and his mates slow down just a bit, something that we don’t see happening any time in the near future.
2013 NFL Week 2 Lines @ WagerWeb Sportsbook (as of 9/14/13):
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Week 2 NFL Pointspreads for Thursday, September 12th
101 New York Jets +12
102 New England Patriots -12
Over/Under 43

Week 2 NFL Spreads for Sunday, September 15th (1:00 ET Kickoffs)
195 San Diego Chargers +7
196 Philadelphia Eagles -7
Over/Under 54.5

197 Cleveland Browns +6.5
198 Baltimore Ravens -6.5
Over/Under 43.5

199 Tennessee Titans +9.5
200 Houston Texans -9.5
Over/Under 43

201 Miami Dolphins +2.5
202 Indianapolis Colts -2.5
Over/Under 43.5

203 Carolina Panthers -3
204 Buffalo Bills +3
Over/Under 43

205 St. Louis Rams +6.5
206 Atlanta Falcons -6.5
Over/Under 46.5

207 Washington Redskins +7
208 Green Bay Packers -7
Over/Under 49.5

209 Dallas Cowboys +3
210 Kansas City Chiefs -3
Over/Under 46.5

211 Minnesota Vikings +5.5
212 Chicago Bears -5.5
Over/Under 41.5

NFL Week 2 Lines for Sunday, September 15th (4:00 ET Kickoffs)
213 New Orleans Saints -3
214 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3
Over/Under 47

215 Detroit Lions -2
216 Arizona Cardinals +2
Over/Under 48

217 Jacksonville Jaguars +5.5
218 Oakland Raiders -5.5
Over/Under 40

219 Denver Broncos -4
220 New York Giants +4
Over/Under 54.5

Week 2 Sunday Night Football Lines for Sunday, September 15th
221 San Francisco 49ers +2.5
222 Seattle Seahawks -2.5
Over/Under 44.5

Week 2 Monday Night Football Lines for Monday, September 16th
223 Pittsburgh Steelers +7
224 Cincinnati Bengals -7
Over/Under 40.5

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2013 Week 3 College Football Lines: NCAA Football Week Three Odds

September 14th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on 2013 Week 3 College Football Lines: NCAA Football Week Three Odds
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Complete List of Week 3 College Football Lines Can Be Found Below
This article is written based off of the NCAA football opening betting lines at 10:00 AM on Sunday 9/8. Updated college football odds can be found at the bottom of this post.

Johnny Manziel vs. AlabamaThe Week 3 2013 college football odds are officially posted, and here at Bankroll Sports, we are going to be looking at some of the best games on the NCAA football lines right off the bat in Week 3 of the season.

We’ll get right into the heat of the action here at Bankroll Sports, as all eyes in Week 3 are going to be on the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Texas A&M Aggies. We all know that QB Johnny Manziel was able to go on the road last season and beat the Tide in Tuscaloosa, making him one of the rare quarterbacks who has been able to pull that out in the Head Coach Nick Saban era. Bama has been scheming all summer long for this game, and there is no doubt that the vanilla looking offense two weeks ago versus the Virginia Tech Hokies was absolutely in place because of the fact that Johnny Heisman and the Aggies were on deck. Saban rarely loses games in which he has had more than one week to prepare, and that’s why Alabama is favored by a touchdown in this one.

Before we get to the main course on Saturday though, there are some appealing appetizers that we have to dissect on Thursday and Friday. The TCU Horned Frogs are really having a nightmare of a season. They were beaten by the LSU Tigers right away in Week 1, and they lost QB Casey Pachall to an arm injury last week. Now, the Frogs have to hit the road to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders, who are going to pose a real threat in this one. The Air Raid has been throwing the pigskin all over the field, but still, Head Coach Gary Patterson and the gang have opened up as 5.5-point favorites on the road in Lubbock.

Elsewhere on Thursday night, the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are giving 7.5 tot he Tulane Green Wave, while the Arkansas State Red Wolves are -10 at home against the Troy Trojans in one of the first Sun Belt battles of the year.

On Friday, the Air Force Falcons are going to bring the triple option to the Smurf Turf, where the Boise State Broncos are favored by three touchdowns at the open.

NCAA Football BetDSIEarly in the rotation schedule, there are a ton of games that feature humongous point spreads. The Stanford Cardinal are laying 28.5 against the Army Black Knights on the road, making them the biggest road favorite that we have seen in a game all season long. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are -29 against Head Coach Ron English’s Eastern Michigan Eagles. Meanwhile, the Georgia State Panthers, who are arguably the worst team in the FBS, are getting 38 against an offensively-challenged West Virginia Mountaineers outfit.

There are plenty of other major blowout projections according to the Week 3 college football odds as well. The Nevada Wolf Pack are +31 on the road against the hyped up QB Jameis Winston and the Florida State Seminoles. The Northern Illinois Huskies are traveling up to Moscow to take on the Idaho Vandals and are -24 favorites in doing so. Fresh off of their win over the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, the Michigan Wolverines should waltz to 3-0, as they are giving 35.5 to the Akron Zips. The Oklahoma Sooners, who have played tremendous defense thus far this season, are -37 against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane, while the Kansas State Wildcats are -37 against the Massachusetts Minutemen. The Northwestern Wildcats are eking up the rankings as the weeks go on, and they should have no troubles with the Western Michigan Broncos, who are getting 34 points in Evanston. The biggest of all of the favorites though, is the LSU Tigers for the second straight week. LSU blasted the UAB Blazers last week, and this week’s clash against the Kent State Golden Flashes in which they are -38 puts the Bayou Bengals in the same boat this week.

Not every game is projected to be a blowout though, and there are some very interesting ones on the docket. The Wisconsin Badgers, who have played virtually no one yet this season, are playing against the Pac-12’s Arizona State Sun Devils and are getting 5.5 points thanks to their massive road trip.

Keep an eye as well on the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores and the South Carolina Gamecocks. The Gamecocks were beaten last week by the Georgia Bulldogs, and they now know that they are going to have to run the table in the SEC to really have a shot at contending for the National Championship or the SEC East crown. They’re -12.5 in this one, but there aren’t many that don’t believe that Vandy, which lost its SEC opener against the Ole Miss Rebels two weeks ago, can’t contend.

In one of the better non-conference battles that isn’t garnering much attention, the UCF Knights are only +3.5 against the Penn State Nittany Lions at Beaver Stadium.

Keep an eye as well, on the USC Trojans. The Men of Troy were beaten last week by the Washington State Cougars to get knocked out of the Top 25, and they are laying a very large 16 once again at home against the Boston College Eagles. There’s a real chance if this game goes poorly, that it could be the last for Head Coach Lane Kiffin.

BetOnline FootballThere aren’t a ton of tremendous games on the docket at night like there usually are on college football Saturdays, but that’s what happens when the cream of the crop game is on CBS at 3:30. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are going to be on the road in the Big Ten for the second straight week on NBC. This time, they’re going to the Purdue Boilermakers, who were very fortunate just to beat the Indiana State Sycamores last week in the home opener. Ross-Ade Stadium is going to be ready for this one, but the Boilers are getting 21.5 points. Remember that last year though, Purdue nearly sprung the upset on the road in South Bend, and this might be a lot closer of a game than the college football expert handicappers suggest.

The ‘totals’ have generally gotten a heck of a lot higher over the course of this week. There are a number of games that are highlighted in the 60s and even the 70s. Right away on Thursday, the TCU game and the Troy game are both in the 60s. The Horned Frogs game features a number of 63 in spite of the fact that it seems like a pair of backup quarterbacks are going to be playing, but the higher number is the 67 in the Sun Belt game.

It might seem like the 69 in the game between the Ohio Bobcats and the Marshall Thundering Herd is high, and it might seem like the 70 on the college football odds between the Fresno State Bulldogs and Colorado Buffaloes are high, but not surprisingly, the Oregon Ducks feature the highest ‘total’ on the board. The Ducks and the Tennessee Volunteers are sitting at 72 right now, and with as badly as the Vols have played defense and for as much as the Quack Attack runs up and down the field, we definitely aren’t doubting that this game could get to the number.

On the lower end of things, Stanford’s high octane defense can shut down anyone in the country, and it’s not surprising that the number is 46 against Army. The lowest number though, is the 43 on the NCAA football odds between the anemic USC Trojans and the Boston College Eagles. Neither of these teams have any real chance to get the job done in the passing game, so it’s going to take a lot on the ground to reach this relatively low number.

2013 NCAA Football Week 3 Odds @ WagerWeb Sportsbook (as of 9/14/13):
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Week 3 NCAA Football Betting Lines for Thursday, 9/12/13
103 TCU Horned Frogs -3
104 Texas Tech Red Raiders +3
Over/Under 63

105 Tulane Green Wave +7
106 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -7
Over/Under 57

107 Troy Trojans +8
108 Arkansas State Red Wolves -8
Over/Under 66.5

College Football Lines for Week 3 for Friday, 9/13/13
109 Air Force Falcons +23.5
110 Boise State Broncos -23.5
Over/Under 57.5

NCAA Football Week 3 Odds for Saturday, 9/14/13
111 Eastern Michigan Eagles +27.5
112 Rutgers Scarlet Knights -27.5
Over/Under 51

113 Stanford Cardinal -30
114 Army Black Knights +30
Over/Under 51.5

115 Georgia State Panthers +40
116 West Virginia Mountaineers -40
Over/Under 58.5

117 Louisville Cardinals -14.5
118 Kentucky Wildcats +14.5
Over/Under 60

119 Marshall Thundering Herd -7.5
120 Ohio Bobcats +7.5
Over/Under 67.5

121 Akron Zips +37.5
122 Michigan Wolverines -37.5
Over/Under 59

123 Bowling Green Falcons +2.5
124 Indiana Hoosiers -2.5
Over/Under 63

125 Virginia Tech Hokies -7.5
126 East Carolina Pirates +7.5
Over/Under 47.5

127 Maryland Terrapins -6.5
128 Connecticut Huskies +6.5
Over/Under 47.5

129 New Mexico Lobos +22.5
130 Pittsburgh Panthers -22.5
Over/Under 50

131 Louisiana Monroe Warhawks +2.5
132 Wake Forest Demon Deacons -2.5
Over/Under 50.5

133 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -7
134 South Alabama Jaguars +7
Over/Under 55

135 Fresno State Bulldogs CANCELED
136 Colorado Buffaloes CANCELED
Over/Under CANCELED

137 Nevada Wolf Pack +35.5
138 Florida State Seminoles -35.5
Over/Under 64.5

139 UCLA Bruins +3
140 Nebraska Cornhuskers -3
Over/Under 70

141 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -8.5
142 Duke Blue Devils +8.5
Over/Under 58.5

143 Tennessee Volunteers +28
144 Oregon Ducks -28
Over/Under 72.5

145 Ole Miss Rebels +2.5
146 Texas Longhorns -2.5
Over/Under 66

147 Boston College Eagles +14
148 USC Trojans -14
Over/Under 42

149 Iowa Hawkeyes -2
150 Iowa State Cyclones +2
Over/Under 48

151 Alabama Crimson Tide -8.5
152 Texas A&M Aggies +8.5
Over/Under 61

153 Northern Illinois Huskies -29
154 Idaho Vandals +29
Over/Under 62.5

155 Mississippi State Bulldogs +6.5
156 Auburn Tigers -6.5
Over/Under 51

157 Washington Huskies -10
158 Illinois Fighting Illini +10
Over/Under 63.5

159 UCF Knights +5
160 Penn State Nittany Lions -5
Over/Under 50.5

161 Ball State Cardinals -3
162 North Texas Mean Green +3
Over/Under 59

163 Memphis Tigers +8.5
164 Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders -8.5
Over/Under 52.5

165 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles +23.5
166 Arkansas Razorbacks -23.5
Over/Under 49.5

167 Vanderbilt Commodores +14
168 South Carolina Gamecocks -14
Over/Under 49.5

169 Tulsa Golden Hurricane +24.5
170 Oklahoma Sooners -24.5
Over/Under 49.5

171 Ohio State Buckeyes -15
172 Cal Golden Bears +15
Over/Under 66

173 Massachusetts Minutemen +38
174 Kansas State Wildcats -38
Over/Under 55

175 Florida Atlantic Owls +12
176 South Florida Bulls -12
Over/Under 45

177 Kansas Jayhawks +6.5
178 Rice Owls -6.5
Over/Under 59.5

179 Kent State Golden Flashes +36.5
180 LSU Tigers -36.5
Over/Under 54

181 Notre Dame Fighting Irish -18.5
182 Purdue Boilermakers +18.5
Over/Under 49

183 UTEP Miners -4
184 New Mexico State Aggies +4
Over/Under 57

185 Western Michigan Broncos +28.5
186 Northwestern Wildcats -28.5
Over/Under 58.5

187 Texas San Antonio Roadrunners +24
188 Arizona Wildcats -24
Over/Under 63

189 Oregon State Beavers +3
190 Utah Utes -3
Over/Under 58

191 Central Michigan Chippewas +7.5
192 UNLV Runnin’ Rebels -7.5
Over/Under 54

193 Wisconsin Badgers +4
194 Arizona State Sun Devils -4
Over/Under 55

241 Western Illinois Leathernecks +24.5
242 Minnesota Golden Gophers -24.5
Over/Under 46

243 Fordham Rams +21
244 Temple Owls -21
Over/Under 53.5

245 Youngstown State Penguins +23.5
246 Michigan State Spartans -23.5
Over/Under 40

247 Northern Colorado Bears +26
248 Wyoming Cowboys -26
Over/Under 59.5

249 Cal Poly Mustangs +7.5
250 Colorado State Rams -7.5
Over/Under OTB

251 Stony Brook Seawolves +12.5
252 Buffalo Bulls -12.5
Over/Under 46

253 Delaware Blue Hens +16.5
254 Navy Midshipmen -16.5
Over/Under 60.5

255 Wagner Seahawks +28.5
256 Syracuse Orange -28.5
Over/Under 49.5

257 Bethune Cookman Wildcats -3.5
258 Florida International Golden Panthers +3.5
Over/Under 46.5

259 Lamar Cardinals +47
260 Oklahoma State Cowboys -47
Over/Under 63.5

261 Nicholls State Colonels +25.5
262 Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns -25.5
Over/Under 59

263 Northwestern State Demons +29.5
264 Cincinnati Bearcats -29.5
Over/Under 55.5

265 Eastern Washington Eagles +7.5
266 Toledo Rockets -7.5
Over/Under 74

267 Weber State Wildcats +38.5
268 Utah State Aggies -38.5
Over/Under 64.5

269 Southern Utah Thunderbirds +21.5
270 Washington State Cougars -21.5
Over/Under 47.5

Alabama vs. Texas A&M Predictions & CFB Prop Picks 9/14/13

September 14th, 2013 by Jack Wilshire (Bankroll Sports Contributor) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on Alabama vs. Texas A&M Predictions & CFB Prop Picks 9/14/13
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There is a heck of a lot that has been made out of the game on the Week 3 college football schedule between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Texas A&M Aggies. Today, we’re going to be breaking down some of the college football props for what should be one of the very best games of the season here in the SEC.

All Alabama vs. Texas A&M Prop Bets Are Courtesy of Bovada Sportsbook

AJ McCarron Passing Yards Over/Under 235.5 – Last season, McCarron threw the rock for 309 yards in the game against A&M, though without a 54-yard touchdown pass to WR Amari Cooper, it’s anyone’s guess as to what would have happened. A&M’s defense has been shoddy thus far this season, and though the passing yards really aren’t there, teams are averaging 6.79 yards per pass attempt. Heck, Sam Houston State averaged nearly 10 yards per attempt just last week. McCarron didn’t look good in his first game of the season, going just 10-of-23 for 110 yards with a TD and a pick, but he is probably going to have to do a lot more offensively in this game to succeed. Remember that last season, the junior threw for an average of just 209.5 pass yards per game, but there were a few examples when he really had to, that he threw for over 250 yards, including when he went off for 264 yards in the National Championship Game against Notre Dame. It’s going to be an interesting one, but we think behind a sometimes shaky looking offensive line, McCarron is going to get to this number. AJ McCarron Over 235.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Bovada BonusAJ McCarron Over/Under 2.5 Touchdowns + Interceptions: Though we do tend to think that there are going to be some yards thrown for in this game, we aren’t so sure what the oddsmakers are thinking by planning on McCarron scoring a combination of at least three TDs and INTs in this game. The senior was only picked off three times all of last season, and two of those came against the Aggies. Think that he is going to be making those mistakes again? We certainly think not. McCarron did make it past this 2.5 TDs + INTs six times last season in 14 games, but we just don’t know if this is going to be one of those examples where that happens. The oddsmakers are blowing this up. RB TJ Yeldon might get to three scores, but we aren’t so sure that McCarron will. AJ McCarron Under 2.5 Touchdowns + Interceptions (-110)

TJ Yeldon Over/Under 104.5 Rushing Yards: Again, we have some major questions that we have to ask about the Texas A&M defense. The team allowed Sam Houston State to rush for 240 yards on the ground last week, and it gave up 306 yards to Rice. And the oddsmakers think that the Tide are going to end up with less than 200 yards on the ground? Asking Yeldon to carry half the load isn’t all that unfair by any stretch of the imagination, and we think that he is going to get the job done with flying colors. In fact, with RB Eddie Lacy out of the way, we wouldn’t be all that shocked if Yeldon managed to double this rushing total in this game if the Aggies are going to struggle this badly up front along the defensive line. Alabama’s offensive line isn’t nearly as good as it was last season, but it isn’t going to have to be against a much weaker Texas A&M defensive line to boot. TJ Yeldon Over 104.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Johnny Manziel Over/Under 93.5 Rushing Yards: Wow that’s a darn big number! Manziel was great last season, accounting for 92 yards on the ground, but we can’t imagine that he is going to flirt with triple digits again this year. Remember that sacks count against his rushing total, and now the Tide know just how fast he is to the outside when he gets on the loose. Manziel simply has to play a more contained version of his game from last season, and accounting for all those rushing yards is going to be really tough against a team that isn’t going to allow 93.5 rushing yards per game on average this season, let alone to just one quarterback. Johnny Manziel Under 93.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Johnny Manziel Rushing + Passing Yards in 2013 (-27.5) vs. Johnny Manziel Rushing + Passing Yards in 2012 (+27.5): Essentially, that puts the over/under at the total number of yards that Johnny Football is going to come up with in this game at 372.5 all by himself without any progress by any of his other teammates. Wow. Alabama’s defense is going to possibly give up half of that per game this year. This unit held down an experienced QB Logan Thomas to 5-of-26 passing for 59 yards two weeks ago, and only two passes went for more than six yards. Now, we know that Manziel will do better than that, but we don’t see him just running up and down the field the whole game by any stretch of the imagination. This is a really tough one to try to get to, and Manziel isn’t going to do it against the Crimson Tide. Johnny Manziel 2012 Rushing + Passing Yards in 2012 (+27.5) vs. Rushing + Passing Yards in 2013 (-115)