Archive for the ‘College Football’ Category

College Football’s Top 25 Games in 2011: #2 LSU vs. Alabama

October 30th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on College Football’s Top 25 Games in 2011: #2 LSU vs. Alabama

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Current LSU vs. Alabama Game Odds Can Be Found Below

2011-12 Top 25 College Football Games of the Year
#2 LSU Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Updated 10/23/11

In the SEC, virtually every game is an important one. However, there probably won’t be a game in the SEC this season that means more than our No. 2 game of the season, the clash between the LSU Tigers and the Alabama Crimson Tide.

LSU Tigers @ Alabama Crimson Tide Picks & Info
LSU Tigers @ Alabama Crimson Tide Date: Saturday, November 5th
LSU Tigers @ Alabama Crimson Tide Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
LSU Tigers @ Alabama Crimson Tide Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide -5.5

The Tigers are going to open up this game ranked as the No. 1 team in the country, as they are just in front of the BCS Rankings. They have had a tumultuous season chock full of suspensions and players that have been dealing with other off the field issues. QB Jordan Jefferson was suspended for the first month of the season, but he is back, though he is splitting time with QB Jarrett Lee. This defense is one of the best in the country, and it has shut down virtually every team that it has run up against. There isn’t a team in America that has played a schedule that has been this tough. The Bayou Bengals have already won a de facto road game against the Oregon Ducks and a legitimate road game against the West Virginia Mountaineers.

LSU Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Past Games (Since 1995)
2010: LSU 24 – Alabama 21
2009: Alabama 24 – LSU 15
2008: Alabama 27 – LSU 21
2007: LSU 41 – Alabama 34
2006: LSU 28 – Alabama 14
2005: LSU 16 – Alabama 13
2004: LSU 26 – Alabama 10
2003: LSU 27 – Alabama 3
2002: Alabama 31 – LSU 0
2001: LSU 35 – Alabama 21
2000: LSU 30 – Alabama 28
1999: Alabama 23 – LSU 17
1998: Alabama 22 – LSU 16
1997: LSU 27 – Alabama 0
1996: Alabama 26 – LSU 0

This was supposed to be a rough year for the Crimson Tide, as they had to replace their three biggest offensive stars at quarterback, wide receiver, and running back. However, RB Trent Richardson has been a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate, and the likelihood is there that he could end up taking the honors for this award right here in this game. Scarily enough, the Tide have allowed less than half the touchdowns to opponents that Richardson has scored. Heck, the total yardage between the opponents and Richardson isn’t all that far apart either. Head Coach Nick Saban and company haven’t played that tough of a schedule yet, but that win at the Penn State Nittany Lions is looking better and better as the weeks pass and the Lions climb up the polls.

Alabama opened up this season at -6 in this game, but since that point, the line has come out at +5.5 at 5Dimes, and +5 at some other outlets. We fully expect to see this number drop over the course of the next two weeks, though both of these teams are on bye until the game the first weekend of November.

LSU Tigers @ Alabama Crimson Tide Game Odds @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 10/23/11):
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LSU Tigers (+5.5) @ Alabama Crimson Tide

NCAA Football Picks: UCF @ BYU College Football Props

September 23rd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on NCAA Football Picks: UCF @ BYU College Football Props
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Week 4 of college football betting action is here! But before you get started with the NCAA football odds, be sure to check out our college football prop picks for Friday night and our UCF vs. BYU picks!

Jeff Godfrey Over/Under 26.5 Pass Attempts
If the Knights have any hope of winning this game, this had better be an ‘under’. Godfrey put the ball in the air 27 times last week against the Florida International Golden Panthers, and that was only a matter of self-preservation for a ground game that just couldn’t get anything going. No matter what Head Coach George O’Leary keeps telling us, Godfrey is a run first, throw second quarterback. Sure, BYU is going to stack seven and eight players in the box just like FIU did, but that isn’t going to stop a stubborn O’Leary from getting the ball in the hands of his fantastic running backs a whole heck of a lot, even if the Knights are trailing. Godfrey Under 26.5 Pass Attempts (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

JJ Di Luigi Over/Under 55.5 Rushing Yards
It’s been a rough start to the year for Di Luigi, as he hasn’t even gotten beyond 56 rushing yards in a game this season. However, we have to remember that this is a very small sample set, and it has been a horrifyingly difficult schedule to start off this season. This is the first time that the Cougs have really been in a game that they really should win on paper (though they were favored at Ole Miss, it was still a long cross-country trip). Di Luigi averaged over 70 yards per game last year on the ground, and he did it against some solid defenses like that of the Florida State Seminoles and TCU Horned Frogs as well. Don’t think for one second that, even though UCF’s defense has only allowed 20 total points this year, that Di Luigi isn’t going to at least threaten the 100+ rushing yard mark. We expect to see him at this point in the third quarter. Di Luigi Over 55.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

NCAA Football Picks: NC State @ Cincinnati College Football Props

September 21st, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on NCAA Football Picks: NC State @ Cincinnati College Football Props
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Week 4 of college football betting action is here! But before you get started with the NCAA football odds, be sure to check out our college football prop picks for the first day of the fourth week of the season, including the NC State vs. Cincinnati picks!

TJ Graham Over/Under 88.5 Receiving Yards
It is interesting how Graham has really stepped up in this, his senior season. He only had just over 700 receiving yards in his first three seasons with the Wolfpack, and now, he has 252 yards and 12 receptions thus far this year. Of course, this Cincinnati defense, though not the greatest in the world, is still a heck of a lot better than those of two FCS teams and Wake Forest. We just have a hard time believing that QB Mike Glennon is going to be finding all that much success, and if that’s the case, Graham won’t be able to put up fantastic stats either. Graham Under 88.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Isaiah Pead Over/Under 97.5 Rushing Yards
Pead really has run wild in his first three games of the year, including putting up 155 yards on just 14 carries against the Tennessee Volunteers. What’s interesting is the fact that Pead has 257 yards on the ground, yet he has only had 27 touches of the football. This is a lot more serious game, and Jameel Poteat, George Winn, and the likes won’t be getting as many touches as they did against the Akron Zips and the Austin Peay Governors. Though Pead won’t be averaging darn near 10 yards per carry in this game in all likelihood, there is no way that we can see the Wolfpack and their relatively shoddy defense keeping Pead under 100 yards on even 16-18 carries. Pead Over 97.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

NCAA Football Super Conference Teams Projections & Realignments

September 19th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football, NCAA Basketball   Comments Off on NCAA Football Super Conference Teams Projections & Realignments
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Projected Super Conferences Teams List & Team Realignments Can Be Found Below

Last season, college conference realignments really shook the landscape of college football as we know it. Now, the Boise State Broncos are in the Mountain West, the Nebraska Cornhuskers are in the Big 10, the Big 10 has 12 teams, and the Big 12 has 10 teams… not to mention that the artists formerly known as the Pac-10 are now known as the Pac-10 after taking the Colorado Buffaloes and Utah Utes. However, conference expansion certainly isn’t done yet, as there are shockwaves that are already rumbling across the country about how conference realignment might pan out.

Here’s what we already know: Next year, the ACC is going to have at least 14 teams in it. The Syracuse Orange and the Pittsburgh Panthers are heading to the ACC to make that conference have 14 teams. It is likely that the ACC is going to be looking for two more teams to add into the fold for an even 16.

We also know that the Big East is at least getting one team back in the TCU Horned Frogs, who made the commitment last year to jump from the Mountain West to the Big East once this athletic year is over.

The Texas A&M Aggies are trying to leave the Big 12 for the SEC, and though the SEC has openly welcomed the Aggies with open arms, there are still schools in the Big 12 like Kansas State, Iowa State, and Baylor that are trying to block the move. Odds have it, they won’t be successful, and in 2012, A&M will be in the SEC.

The question for the SEC though, is who the 14th team is going to be. There are some thoughts that perhaps TCU could go back on its word to the Big East and try to head to the SEC, but the West Virginia Mountaineers are trying to make the move as well. If this happens, it is clear that the Big East is just a dead conference waiting to be partitioned the rest of the way.

To make matters worse for the Big East, the ACC is also reportedly in pursuit of the Connecticut Huskies and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights for their Super Conference. This would round out the conference at 16 teams and would likely lock in the conference for the foreseeable future without any further expansion or departure… or does it???

The new realigned SEC Coference would have 14 teams with the additions of Texas A&M and West Virginia, and it would need two more schools. You just know that there won’t be small, unproven schools coming to the SEC, so the conference will do all that it can to poach from a bigger conference. Remember how the ACC thought it was set? Not so fast. Don’t be shocked if Florida State and Clemson headed to their instate rivals Florida and South Carolina and joins the SEC.

And that would leave the ACC with two open slots again to fill…

And that’s only the half of it. The Pac-12 is in talks with the Texas Longhorns and the Oklahoma Sooners about coming to their conference, and if that happens, the Oklahoma State Cowboys and the Texas Tech Red Raiders will almost certainly be on the move to make that conference the Pac-16 as well.

That being said, the Big 12 would only be left with Baylor, Kansas State, Iowa State, Kansas, and Missouri. Kansas State and Kansas seem to be a package deal, and they could be headed to the Big 10, and that is the preferred conference for the Tigers as well. Iowa State and Baylor would be hung out to dry and might have to join lesser conferences. The 16th team for the Big 10? You’d like to think since this is probably going to ultimately signal the dawn of a college football playoff down the line, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are probably going to have to join, and this is the conference that makes the most sense.

And if you’re keeping score at home, the Big East could only be left with TCU, South Florida, Cincinnati, and Louisville, with the prospects of Villanova joining the FBS ranks for football in the coming years.

So let’s go back to the ACC, which has two slots to fill. Louisville and Cincinnati make relatively close travel partners, and the conference location does fit those schools, and though really any of the holdovers, or the possibility of South Florida and UCF coming into the ACC together exists, we tend to think that it would be the Bearcats and the Cardinals that enter into the ACC.

Thus, the dawn of the college football super conferences that we’ve been hearing all about… And right now, this is what we really could end up seeing when this alignment is said and done…

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Proposed College Football Realignment & New Super Conferences
(College Footall Teams in Italics Designate New Teams Entering Conferences)

ACC “Super Conference”: Wake Forest, Maryland, NC State, Boston College, North Carolina, Duke, Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, Virginia, Miami, Syracuse, Pittsburgh, Connecticut, Rutgers, Cincinnati, Louisville

Pac-16 “Super Conference” (the old Pac 10): California, Stanford, Oregon, Washington, Washington State, Oregon State, USC, Arizona State, UCLA, Utah, Arizona, Colorado, Texas, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech

Big 10 “Super Conference”: Illinois, Wisconsin, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, Indiana, Michigan, Nebraska, Iowa, Michigan State, Northwestern, Minnesota, Notre Dame, Kansas State, Kansas, Missouri

SEC “Super Conference”: Florida, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Kentucky, Tennessee, Georgia, LSU, Alabama, Auburn, Arkansas, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, Texas A&M, West Virginia, Florida State, Clemson

Still, that leaves a lot of questions to be answered… Baylor, TCU, South Florida, and Iowa State all wouldn’t have places to go, though they could all come together in Conference USA. BYU is another team that is basically left out in the cold for all of this, and save for going to the WAC and hoping that eventually the WAC and the MWC combine, it could end up as an independent for the foreseeable future without a conference, and potentially without a spot in college football’s prospective playoff.

And then of course, there’s Boise State, the team that thought it was going to a conference in the MWC that could have been a powerhouse… until BYU opted for independence, TCU left for the Big East (or did they???), and Utah went to the Pac-12. There are going to be very, very unhappy teams in all of this, and in all likelihood, these are going to be the unhappy campers that are left out of the super conferences of college football.

The other question is what is left to do with the rest of the Big East Conference in basketball. Teams like Georgetown, Marquette, DePaul, and Villanova could be headed to the Atlantic 10, while that conference might have to eliminate some of its members at the bottom of the totem poll to try to get all of these teams under the same conference umbrella.

NCAA Football Picks: LSU @ Mississippi St College Football Props

September 12th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on NCAA Football Picks: LSU @ Mississippi St College Football Props
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Week 3 of college football betting action is here! But before you get started with the NCAA football odds, be sure to check out our college football prop picks for the first day of the third week of the season, including the LSU vs. Mississippi State picks!

Vick Ballard Over/Under 87.5 Rushing Yards
The Bayou Bengals have allowed less than 50 rushing yards per game this year, and that makes it hard to believe that Ballard is going to be getting anywhere near this 87.5 yard barrier. The truth of the matter is that he has averaged over 150 yards per game as well, but it just isn’t going to happen this week. Last year, Ballard carried the ball 11 times for 28 yards, and the running backs as a whole for the Bulldogs ended up toting the rock 33 times for only 90 yards. Ballard isn’t going to be able to do it on his own, and he won’t reach this ‘total’. Ballard Under 87.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Chris Relf Over/Under 15 Completions
In the first week of the year, we took Relf ‘over’ 11.5 completed passes, and we find it odd that that number, against a stouter defense, has gone up 3.5 completions. Now, it’s true that Relf has completed 33 passes in two games, but it is clear that QB Tyler Russell is going to get his snaps as well under center. There has to be a concerted effort to try to run the football, and even if it fails, we don’t expect Head Coach Dan Mullen to get off of that kick. There are too many variables in this one, but we just can’t see many situations in which Relf completes at least 16 passes. Relf Under 15 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

NCAA Football Picks: Saturday College Football Props 9/10/11

September 9th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on NCAA Football Picks: Saturday College Football Props 9/10/11
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The second Saturday of the NCAA football betting campaign is here, and here at Bankroll Sports, we’re getting ready to analyze some of the college football prop picks for the day!

Will There be a Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Alabama vs. Penn State Game?
If this game were in Tuscaloosa, we’d feel just a tad differently about this prop. That being said, we just don’t see how either of these teams are going to find their way onto the scoreboard all that quickly in Happy Valley, especially if Mother Nature provides a bit of a challenge. Neither one of these offenses in all that great, and both defenses are the strength of the squad. It’s a bit chalky, but it’s a short number that we have to wait to cash in a winner. No Score in the First 6 Minutes (-135 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Team To Have the Most First Downs: Notre Dame (-1) @ Michigan
We just don’t buy the Irish as favorites in this game, and we certainly don’t believe that the Wolverines are going to have fewer first downs than their opponents in this one as well. QB Tommy Rees is going to have his work cut out for him against a Michigan defense that has to be improved from last year. To make matters even worse for the Irish, QB Denard Robinson looks like he is going to be committed to fewer big plays with Head Coach Brady Hoke in charge, so this one seems to be easy. Michigan +1 First Downs (-130 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Chad Bumphis Over/Under 2.5 Receptions
Mississippi State showed a bit more in the passing game last week against the Memphis Tigers than we thought it would, but we are wondering whether there won’t be more looks for the receivers in this one against Auburn, especially if the game becomes a bit of a shootout. That being said, Bumphis is the most talented of these receivers, and though he only had one catch last week, we know that he averaged almost four receptions per game last year. Getting to three shouldn’t be all that hard, especially after the Tigers nearly allowed Utah State to come into Jordan Hare Stadium and post a win. Bumphis Over 2.5 Receptions (-130 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Marquis Maze Over/Under 56.5 Receiving Yards
Maze really amazed last week against the Kent State Golden Flashes, picking up eight receptions and accounting for over 100 yards. We know that Maze getting at least five receptions is a great college football prop as well, but we’ll take him for a big play or two in this one as well. We tend to think that it is a slam dunk that he is getting into the 60s at least in receiving yards. Someone has to pick up the slack for WR Julio Jones. Maze Over 56.5 Receiving Yards (-105 at BoDog Sportsbook)

NCAA Football Picks: Miami vs. Maryland College Football Props 9/5

September 5th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on NCAA Football Picks: Miami vs. Maryland College Football Props 9/5
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The first day of the college football betting action is here! But before you get started with the NCAA football odds, be sure to check out our college football prop picks for the first day of the season!

Stephen Morris Over/Under 18 Completions
Head Coach Al Golden has never been known as a passing coach, and now that he has a backup quarterback in the fold, that probably will remain the case. Morris is as green as could be, and we just think, especially without WR Leonard Hankerson any longer, that the training wheels are going to be kept on him, especially against a Maryland defense that often excelled in the secondary a season ago. Morris Under 18 Passing Completions (-120 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Danny O’Brien Over/Under 264.5 Passing Yards
In what should be a relatively low scoring game, we’re a bit puzzled as to why the oddsmakers have installed O’Brien’s passing total so high. O’Brien only threw for more than 250 yards four times all of last season, including going just 9-of-28 for 134 yards against this Hurricanes defense last season. There’s just no way that we see this prop losing all that often. Even at the added juice, this is a nice play. O’Brien Under 264.5 Passing Yards (-135 at BoDog Sportsbook)