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(Exclusive Bonus Offer – Must Use This Link or Above Links) Week 7 college football betting is here! Bankroll Sports is back with more NCAA football picks for Week 7 of the year, but before we do that, we need to take a look at the important trends and history that the teams that are facing against each other this week.
Wednesday, October 13th: UCF Knights @ Marshall Thundering Herd
NCAA Football Trends of Note
UCF is 9-1 ATS in its L/10 road games
The Knights are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 overall
Marshall is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 played on Wednesday
Series History
These two teams came over to Conference USA together from the MAC, so there is a bit of a history there. UCF has won all five meetings since 2005 but didn’t beat the Herd before that in three previous clashes. The Marshall cover last year in a 21-20 defeat marked the first time that it had covered a game in this series since 2003. All-time, the Knights are 6-2 ATS and 5-3 SU. The underdog has covered seven of the eight spreads, while ‘under’ has cashed in six of the eight.
Thursday, October 14th: Kansas State Wildcats @ Kansas Jayhawks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
KSU is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 played in the Big XII
Kansas is 1-8 ATS in its L/9 conference games
Kansas is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 played on an artificial surface
Series History
Since 2003, it’s virtually been all home teams in this series. The hosts have won six of the L/7 outright and are also 6-1 ATS in that stretch. K-State took the Sunflower State Showdown last year 17-10 in Manhattan, but hasn’t won a game in Lawrence since a whopping 64-0 thumping in 2002 when a senior named Michael Bishop was at quarterback and leading this team towards the Big XII North title. ‘Overs’ and ‘unders’ have alternated in each of the L/10 in this series dating back to 2000.
Thursday, October 14th: South Florida Bulls @ West Virginia Mountaineers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their L/7 as double digit puts
WVU is 5-0 ATS in its L/5 against teams with a winning record
The Mountaineers are 3-7 ATS in their L/10 as favorites
Series History
For whatever reason, the Bulls just have the numbers of the Mountaineers in this series. In the L/4 meetings, USF is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS, including last season’s 30-19 victory at Raymond James Stadium. Even in Morgantown, the Bulls have a win to their credit, as their 24-19 win in 2006 as 21 point underdogs really helped propel the program to an elite status in the Big East. The previous four encounters had gone ‘under’ the ‘total’ before last season’s narrow ‘over’.
Friday, October 15th: Cincinnati Bearcats @ Louisville Cardinals
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bearcats at 2-8 ATS in their L/10 overall
Cincinnati is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 games played on Friday nights
Louisville is just 2-10 ATS in its L/12 played in the Big East
Series History
Since these two teams have come to the Big East, it feels like this series belongs to the Bearcats. Cincinnati is 3-1 ATS in the L/4, including a 41-10 thumping of the Redbirds last year in home. However, the road team has won six of the L/9 outright and is 7-2 ATS in those nine. Cincy won its last visit to Papa John’s Stadium, a 28-20 decision in 2008. Last season’s 41 points for the Bearcats marked the first time that they exceeded the 28 point mark against the ‘Ville since 2003.
Saturday, October 16th: Missouri Tigers @ Texas A&M Aggies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tigers are just 2-10 ATS in their L/12 following an ATS victory
The Aggies are 2-6-1 ATS in their L/9 following an SU loss
Texas A&M has failed to cover seven straight neutral site games
Series History
These two teams haven’t met since 2007, a 40-26 win for the ‘Zou in Columbia. The Aggies covered both that spread at +19.5 and as short one point favorites the year before at home in a 25-19 victory. These two teams don’t always play the closest of games, including a 73-0 blowout for A&M in 1993. Three of the L/4 have exceeded the ‘total’, most of which have done so by a relatively comfortable margin.
Saturday, October 16th: NC State Wolfpack @ East Carolina Pirates
NCAA Football Trends of Note
NC State has covered four straight as favorites
The Wolfpack are 8-0-1 ATS in their L/9 after holding their previous foe to less than 20 points
East Carolina has failed to cover six straight against the ACC
Series History
These teams have met four times since 2004, and the series has largely belonged to the Wolfpack. They are 3-1 SU and ATS in those four games. In a relatively unusual twist though, it is the ACC team that has been the underdog quite a bit lately. NC State was a pup in 2008’s 30-24 overtime win at home and a six point dog in a 34-20 win in its most recent visit to ECU.
Saturday, October 16th: Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Illinois is 6-14 ATS in its L/20 games played on natural grass
Sparty is only 3-9 ATS in its L/12 against teams with a winning record
The Illini are only 1-7 ATS in the L/8 meetings of these rivals
Series History
Needless to say, it’s been mostly one way traffic for Michigan State. Save one dud in 2006, the Spartans just haven’t lost and usually haven’t been challenged by the Illini since the 1990s. The L/5 trips to Champaign resulted in double digit victories and an average margin of victory of 23.8 points per game. However, in the last meeting in East Lansing, the Illini were 25 point underdogs and came away with a 23-20 outright victory in one of the more shocking results in the history of this rivalry.
Saturday, October 16th: Boston College Eagles @ Florida State Seminoles
NCAA Football Trends of Note
BC is winless in its L/9 games ATS overall
Boston College is 1-7 ATS in its L/8 played on grass
The Noles have covered six of their L/7 overall
Series History
This series only dates back to 2005, but it has had plenty of upsets to speak of. BC won last year’s meeting 28-21 in Chestnut Hill and captured a 27-17 ‘W’ at Doak Campbell Stadium in 2008. Here’s a fun fact: Boston College is the only team in the ACC that the Seminoles have never beaten at home. Last year’s win for the Eagles was the first time that a home team had ever won a game in this series, something that Florida State hopes won’t rear its ugly head again on Saturday.
Saturday, October 16th: Western Michigan Broncos @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Western Michigan is 5-15 ATS in its L/20 overall
The Broncos are 3-9 ATS in their L/12 on the road
Notre Dame is just 16-35-1 ATS in its L/52 played in South Bend
Series History
First meeting
Saturday, October 16th: Iowa Hawkeyes @ Michigan Wolverines
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Hawkeyes are 12-2 ATS in their L/14 road games
Iowa is 13-4 ATS in its L/17 against teams with a winning record
Michigan is just 4-17 ATS in its L/21 played in the Big Ten
Series History
Iowa finally broke a three game skid to the Wolverines last year at home in a 30-28 victory, but it certainly didn’t come easily. The underdog is 8-1 ATS in the L/9 meetings, and several of those have pulled off outright upsets. One of those outright upsets came in 2002, when Iowa posted a 34-9 win in the Big House against Michigan. For proof that that is rare in this series, that is the only time that a team scored more than 30 points in this series dating back into the early 1990s.
Saturday, October 16th: California Golden Bears @ USC Trojans
NCAA Football Trends of Note
USC is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 played on grass
The Trojans are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 home games
The men of Troy are 4-11 ATS in their L/15 played in the Pac-10
Series History
USC has absolutely taken Cal behind the shed at times in this series, including last season in a 30-3 domination in Berkeley as 4.5 point favorites. The Trojans haven’t allowed the Bears to score a TD in this series in three years, though HC Jeff Tedford’s crew did score its only cover in this series since 2004 two years ago in a 17-3 defeat. Cal hasn’t won a game outright in this series since 2003 and hasn’t won one in regulation since 2000. That was also the last time that the Golden Bears went into LA and came away with an outright ‘W’. The L/6 have all stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’.
Saturday, October 16th: Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Texas Tech Red Raiders
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Okie State is 7-1-1 ATS in its L/9 played in October
The Pokes are winless ATS in their L/6 as underdogs
Texas Tech is 5-2 ATS in its L/7 against teams with a winning record
Series History
Okie State’s recent ATS domination in this series (4-1 ATS since 2005) is relatively new, as the Red Raiders were the dominant ATS squad in the five meetings before that (5-0 ATS from 2000 to 2004). The home team has won eight straight, with the last road victory coming in 2001 in a 49-30 win for T-Tech in Stillwater. Texas Tech absolutely destroyed the Pokes here two years ago 56-20 with the powerful Air Raid assault. However, if you take that game away, the previous four meetings have all been decided by seven points or less. This will be the eighth straight meeting of these teams in which the ‘total’ has been posted at 60 or higher.
Saturday, October 16th: Texas Longhorns @ Nebraska Cornhuskers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Texas is 1-7 ATS in its L/8 overall
The Huskers are 10-4 ATS in their L/14 against teams with a winning record
The pup is 6-2-1 ATS in the L/9 in this series
Series History
That includes the epic 13-12 showdown in last year’s Big XII Championship Game in which the Cornhuskers easily covered the 14 point NCAA football betting line. They’ve now covered three straight in spite of the fact that Texas has won all three meetings. Nebraska’s last outright win in this saga came back in 1999, a 22-6 win in the Big XII Championship. The L/3 meetings have been decided by a total of six points. Seven of the L/8 have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’.
Saturday, October 16th: Arkansas Razorbacks @ Auburn Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Arkansas is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 played in October
The Hogs are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 overall
Auburn is only 3-8 ATS in its L/11 played in this month
Series History
The Razorbacks have won back to back games in this series in spite of the fact that they were underdogs in both battles. The road team had won five straight and six out of seven before the 44-23 decision in Fayetteville for the Hogs last year. Auburn’s last win in this series at home was way back in 2004, a 38-20 win to cover the 13.5 point spread. That was one of two covers for underdogs dating back to 2000.
Saturday, October 16th: BYU Cougars @ TCU Horned Frogs
NCAA Football Trends of Note
BYU is 2-9 ATS in its L/11 games played in October
The Horned Frogs are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 against teams with a losing record
TCU is 9-3 ATS in its L/12 games played on grass
Series History
This will be the final meeting of these teams in Mountain West play, which dates back to 2005. The Horned Frogs have won and covered three straight, including destroying the Cougs 38-7 and 32-7 over the L/2 seasons. BYU’s last win game in 2007, a 27-22 win in Provo in which the visitors covered the seven point spread. Two straight have failed to reach the ‘total’ after the previous three had all exceeded it.
Saturday, October 16th: North Carolina Tar Heels @ Virginia Cavaliers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Cavvies are just 2-6 ATS in their L/8 played in conference
North Carolina has covered three straight and is 7-3 ATS in its L/11
The Tar Heels are just 1-11 ATS in their L/12 against UVA
Series History
There have been some awfully screwy results in this clash of ACC underlings, including last year’s 16-3 win in Chapel Hill for the Cavs as 12 point underdogs. Virginia won 16-13 in overtime the year before and 22-20 on Tobacco Road in 2007 as short pups as well. None might have been any stranger than a 7-5 win for North Carolina over UVA in 2005. In the L/5 meetings, the ‘total’ has gone 0-4-1.
Saturday, October 16th: South Carolina Gamecocks @ Kentucky Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their L/7 as favorites
Kentucky is 6-1 ATS in its L/7 against teams with a winning record
The Wildcats are just 1-4 ATS in their L/5 as underdogs
Series History
Kentucky has won a game in this series dating back to the beginning of the 2000s, but that could all be changing on Saturday. The Cats came close last year, losing 28-26 in Columbia as nine point underdogs. The Gamecocks had covered the previous four and seven of the previous nine NCAA football odds. Three straight have gone ‘over’ the ‘total’, though no game has exceeded 61 points this decade.
Saturday, October 16th: Ohio State Buckeyes @ Wisconsin Badgers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Buckeyes are 21-6 ATS in their L/27 road games
Ohio State is 6-1 ATS in its L/7 overall
The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the L/10 in this series
Series History
The Buckeyes have won and covered three straight in this series, including win 20-17 in a narrow escape in 2008 here at Camp Randall. Wisconsin does have plenty of wins to speak of against Ohio State, most notably a 24-13 win at the Horseshoe in 2004. This is almost always a low scoring series, as the 31 points scored by Ohio State in last year’s 31-13 win was the second most that any team had scored since 1999 in this series. Needless to say, the ‘under’ is 6-2 in the L/8 duels.
Saturday, October 16th: Iowa State Cyclones @ Oklahoma Sooners
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Iowa State is 5-1 ATS in its L/6 games as double digit road pups
The Cyclones are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played on grass
Oklahoma is 10-4-1 ATS in its L/15 games played in the Big XII
Series History
Iowa State has had 20 years to try to figure out how to beat the Sooners, and it still hasn’t happened. It did manage to do a nice job in the last meeting in 2007, a 17-7 win for a visiting OU team that came in as 30.5 point chalks. The total margin of victory over the previous three clashes was rather emphatic for the Sooners: 136-19. They covered all three spreads. Iowa State had covered five straight before OU entered its dominant stages in the late 90s.
Saturday, October 16th: Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Florida Gators
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Florida is 23-8 ATS in its L/31 against teams with a winning record
The blue and orange are 19-9 ATS in their L/28 overall
The Gators are 27-13 ATS in their L/40 played on grass
Series History
Mississippi State is still living off of wins against the Gators in 1992, 2000, and 2004 in Starkville. The last meeting of these rivals came last season, a 29-19 win for UF in which the Bulldogs easily covered the 23 point spread. In fact, Florida has only covered one spread since 1991 against MSU, a 52-0 romp in the Swamp in 2001. The win last year for the Gators was the first time a road team won a game in this series since the 1980s.
Saturday, October 16th: Baylor Bears @ Colorado Buffaloes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bears have covered four straight as favorites of a field goal or less
Baylor is 9-3 ATS in its L/12 as a favorite
The Buffs are 9-4 ATS in their L/13 as pups of a field goal or less
Series History
This suddenly meaningful Big XII duel has certainly been road team friendly in the 1990s and 2000s. Roadies have five wins in nine games outright and are 6-3 ATS in that stretch as well. Colorado covered the last clash of these foes in 2007, a 43-23 decision as eight point chalks in Waco. Baylor was shut out both in 1999 and 2002 in this series, but since that point, all three meetings have absolutely flown past the ‘total’.
Saturday, October 16th: Ole Miss Rebels @ Alabama Crimson Tide
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Ole Miss has covered seven straight as road underdogs
The Rebels are 22-6 ATS in their L/28 as double digit pups
The Tide have covered five straight at Bryant Denny Stadium
Series History
The Tide have rolled to six straight victories in this series SU, but that dominance hasn’t translated over to victories against the college football betting lines as well. Ole Miss had covered four straight before the 22-3 beating last year in Oxford, a game that was really supposed to put the Rebs on the map once and for all. Back to back meetings have gone ‘under’ the ‘total’, and no game has exceeded 51 points since 2003.
Saturday, October 16th: Oregon State Beavers @ Washington Huskies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Beavers are 35-14-2 ATS in their L/51 games played in October
Oregon State is 53-26-1 ATS in its L/80 after an SU win
Washington is just 28-58-2 ATS in its L/88 played in the Pac-10
Series History
If you thought that these long term trends were going against the Huskies, wait til you see how bad this series has been! Since 2004, Oregon State is a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS and has won all but two of those six meetings by double digits. Washington does have a win at home in at least relatively recent memory, but you have to go back to 2002 to find the last time that Seattle was happy when the Beavers came to town.
Saturday, October 16th: Nevada Wolf Pack @ Hawaii Warriors
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Nevada has covered six straight after posting a victory of at least 20 points
Hawaii is 5-1 ATS in its L/6 played in the WAC
The Warriors are 8-3 ATS in their L/11 played in the month of October
Series History
The home team had covered seven of the previous eight meetings in this WAC rivalry before the Warriors mounted a stellar cover as 29 point dogs last year in a 31-21 loss in Reno. The road team has only won once in this series this decade, that being a 28-26 victory for Hawaii in 2007, the year that it went to the BCS with QB Colt Brennan calling the shots. The Wolf Pack had covered three straight from 2005 until 2007, but since then, it has been Hawaii covering back to back. This is the tenth straight year that the ‘total’ in this series has been posted at 57 or higher, and the 74.5 is the highest posted ‘total’ of the entire 2010 NCAA football betting campaign.
