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Thursday Night NFL Picks: Saints vs. Falcons Props & Predictions 11/29

November 21st, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Saints vs. Falcons Props & Predictions 11/29
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Full Saints vs. Falcons NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Atlanta Falcons MascotThe Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 13 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Will the First Score of the Game Be a Touchdown?: One blush would suggest that the sharp play is to bet on the first score of this game to be a touchdown and not a field goal, almost regardless of the price. That’s exactly what the oddsmakers are hoping that you do. They want you to look and see that the Saints have scored 39 TDs against just nine field goals this year and immediately figure touchdown. What you should be seeing though, are the 31 Atlanta TDs this year against 26 field goals for K Matt Bryant. What you should be seeing are the 21 field goal attempts that Bryant has had in his last six games against the 14 TDs that have been scored in that same stretch. The Atlanta defense allowed three field goals last week and four the week before, and it is starting to really seem like that the first score of this game at least has a fighting chance of being a field goal (or a safety) instead of a touchdown. First Score of the Game Not A Touchdown (+170)

Drew Brees Pass Completions Over/Under 26.5: Brees has completed at least 448 passes in each of his last two years, numbers which are out of this world. That’s an average of 28.6 completions per game. This year, that number has cut back quite a bit to just 25.1 completions per game. Brees also hasn’t completed more than 26 passes in a game in four straight weeks, and that includes a game against these Falcons. The running game is getting more and more involved as the weeks go by, and there is no reason not to think, especially for as bad as the New Orleans defense has been, that Interim Head Coach Joe Vitt won’t want to see more of that in this week’s game plan as well. Sure, if the Saints are playing catch-up, they’re going to be relying on Brees throwing the ball all over the place. However, he was playing catch-up all week last week and only went 26-of-41 in spite of the fact that the Saints dominated the possession. This just isn’t a slam dunk to see Brees get to 27 completions. Drew Brees Under 26.5 Pass Completions (-105)

Marques Colston Receptions Over/Under 5: Colston is one of the top receivers on this New Orleans outfit, but the likelihood that he beats us on this prop just isn’t there. Over the course of the last few weeks, it has been WR Lance Moore and WR Joe Morgan that have been getting more looks, taking away from the likelihood that Colston gets his targets. Sure, the Hofstra grad has had five, six, six, and four targets over the course of the last four weeks, but he isn’t catching everything coming his way. We could very much so see this prop ending on a push at five catches, but to see that sixth catch really doesn’t seem all that likely, especially after Colston had just three catches for 26 yards and a TD in the first meeting of these two teams this year. Marques Colston Under 5 Receptions (-130)

Jimmy Graham Receptions Over/Under 5.5: Now here’s a prop that we prefer. Graham really has been relatively quiet these last two weeks, but he stormed to seven catches, 144 yards, and two TDs when he played against these Falcons three weeks ago. There is no doubt that with TE Rob Gronkowski on the sidelines, that Graham is the most productive tight end in football, and we expect to see another great game out of the Miami product once again in this one. Brees has sort of gotten away from his big target in the middle of the field these last couple of weeks, and it has led to lesser numbers for them both. We expect to see a tremendously different story this time around when these two get on the field now against the Falcons. Jimmy Graham Over 5.5 Receptions (-115)

Matt Ryan Passing Yards Over/Under 313.5: It’s really hard to feel like Matty Ice is going to stay beneath this number, especially knowing that the emphasis has really been there on the passing game as opposed to the rushing game over the course of the last four weeks. In all four games, Ryan has eclipsed this number, and that includes when he went for over 400 yards against the Saints a few weeks back. However, Atlanta has been playing either from behind or in tight games or from way behind in those, and though we aren’t handicapping the game by any stretch of the imagination, we are still figuring that this one isn’t going to be a game in which the Falcons are going to have to fight back from down 20 to try to come back and win. It’s a tough number to try to reach for any quarterback more often than not, and we think that Ryan is going to fall short of the 300-yard threshold in this game. Matt Ryan Under 313.5 Passing Yards (-105)

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 11/29/12):
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2012 NFL Week 11 Lines – Week Eleven Lines Breakdown

November 14th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2012 NFL Week 11 Lines – Week Eleven Lines Breakdown
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Tom BradyWeek 11 of the 2012 NFL schedule is going to get underway this weekend. Below you will find the current list of 2012 Week 11 NFL football lines and (at the very bottom) spreads along with a breakdown of the current Week 11 NFL odds. Be sure to check out the free NFL picks from the expert handicappers at Bankroll Sports this week by visiting the Free Sports Picks page on Sunday. You can also Purchase Expert Sports Picks from the expert sports handicappers.

Quarterback injuries are really the problem this week across the NFL, as there are a number of starters that have already either been ruled out or could be on the shelf this week that have kept the NFL Week 11 odds off the board as of Wednesday morning. The Monday Night Football affair between the Chicago Bears and the San Francisco 49ers is one of the biggest games of the week, but these two teams are both dealing with massive quarterback problems. Both QB Alex Smith and QB Jay Cutler suffered concussions last week, and it is unknown whether either one is going to be able to get into the saddle this week to face the other’s ferocious defense. It’s a shame as well, as this is a battle between two of the best teams in the NFC, and the winner might have the inside track towards a first round bye in the playoffs. For now though, the game is off the board and won’t likely have a line debut for at least another couple of days until matters are more clear for both sides.

Other quarterbacks aren’t even lucky enough to have the questionable tag put over their heads. QB Michael Vick knows that he is out for at least this week, and perhaps for the rest of the season as well. QB Nick Foles is going to make his first career start for the Philadelphia Eagles against the Washington Redskins, and that should make for an interesting game between a pair of rookies trying to make their mark. QB Robert Griffin III knows that this is a chance to get his team back into it. The winning team will be just two games back of the idle New York Giants in the NFC East, while the loser’s season is certainly over with. The Skins are laying 3.5 at home, but they still only have one win dating back to Week 2 of last year here in Landover.

The other quarterback that is out for this week is QB Ben Roethlisberger, who has a shoulder issue. QB Byron Leftwich has already been announced as the starter for this week’s game for the Pittsburgh Steelers, and the timing couldn’t possibly be any worse for this problem. Leftwich is going to be taking on the hated Baltimore Ravens at home, a game that absolutely has to be won, one would figure, if the black and gold are going to have a shot at winning the AFC North this year. Baltimore has to be licking its chops for sure, but this game isn’t just going to be a walk in the park regardless. When this line opened on Sunday, the Steelers were -3.5. Without Roethlisberger though, the oddsmakers have shifted the NFL point spreads by a whopping 6.5 points, taking the Ravens up to -3. This is the Sunday Night Football clash as well, so the national spotlight will be on both of these teams.

The other primetime game that we have yet to discuss is the Buffalo Bills against the Miami Dolphins on Thursday. These two teams are both hoping to stick around in the AFC East chase this year, but both know that their playoff hopes are fleeing quickly. One will keep hope alive, while the other will be in a lot of trouble and inevitably on the wrong side of the playoff window for the rest of the year. The Bills are laying 1.5-points in a series in which the home teams have thoroughly dominated through the years.

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It’s not like every quarterback is going to be out of the fold on Sunday, though. Two of the best are going to be meet in Motown on Sunday, where the Detroit Lions are going to be hosting the Green Bay Packers. QB Matthew Stafford and QB Aaron Rodgers are two of the best in the biz, and they are both going to be perennial 5,000-yard contenders if they can both stay healthy. Green Bay is really rolling, while the Lions are falling fast out of the NFC playoff picture. The Pack are favored by a field goal, but this is a dangerous game for sure for both sides.

QB Tom Brady has battled it out for years and years with QB Peyton Manning, and that’s what we have all become accustomed to seeing when the Indianapolis Colts and the New England Patriots hook up. Brady is still here, but Manning is gone, and another generation of this rivalry has been spawned. This is the first time that QB Andrew Luck will get a shot at a really, really big fish in the AFC, and if he and his team are going to make the playoffs and be able to compete if they get there, this is a game in which the team should at least stay remotely competitive. The Pats are -9 this week at Gillette Stadium, but it is clear that Indy knows that it has to have this game to stay in the AFC South race.

As far as Manning is concerned, he is going to be back at home this week with his Denver Broncos against the San Diego Chargers. The Bolts were up 24-0 when these two teams met a month ago at Qualcomm Stadium, but they totally screwed the pooch and ended up losing 35-24 behind a great second half rally by Manning and his teammates. This game will probably be the ultimate decider as to which team is going to win the AFC West, especially if it is Denver that wins the game. The Chargers have lost four out of five, and they have no respect whatsoever from the oddsmakers, who have them at +7.5 on Sunday in this AFC West rivalry game.

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Many of the other games on the slate are pitting teams against each other that are below .500. The New York Jets have never won a game at the Edward Jones Dome before, and they are hoping that that changes when they take on the St. Louis Rams, though the hosts are laying a field goal in this one. The New Orleans Saints are charging, and they can get back to .500 this week, as they are giving 4.5 on the road to the Oakland Raiders. Meanwhile, the Kansas City Chiefs, who now have officially led a game this year, are +3 at home against the Cincinnati Bengals, who only just snapped their losing streak last week at home against the aforementioned Giants. The Dallas Cowboys are running out of time to save their season, but they can take a step closer if they can beat the Cleveland Browns as 7.5 point home favorites this weekend. In the NFC South, the Carolina Panthers are +1.5 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are trying to keep their name in the running for the playoffs in the NFC.

The only other two games that we have yet to discuss are the two games this week with the biggest sets of NFL odds. The Atlanta Falcons were just dealt their first loss of the season at the hands of the Saints, but they get to come back home this week to take on the Arizona Cardinals, fresh off of their bye. The Cards already have one win this year as double digit road underdogs against the Patriots, but this is going to be a tough task for sure. They’re not quite double digit pups in this one, but at +9.5, that’s essentially close enough.

Finally in the Lone Star State, the Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars will meet for the second time this year. This is a series that has been dominated by Houston over the years, and this is going to be no exception whatsoever in all likelihood. The Texans, fresh off of that huge win on Sunday Night Football in Chicago, are -15.5 and the biggest favorites of the entire campaign.

In regards to ‘totals’, there are three this week in the 50s. The Saints and Raiders have the highest number of the week to shoot at, at 54.5, while the Colts and Patriots aren’t far behind at 53.5. The Packers and Lions feature an over/under of 51.5. Just one ‘total’ is in the 30s, as the Jets and Rams aren’t expected to get into the 40s with a number set at 38.5.

Current 2012 NFL Week 11 Odds @ BetGuardian Sportsbook (as of 11/14/12):
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Current Week 11 NFL Odds for Thursday, November 15th
305 Miami Dolphins +1.5
306 Buffalo Bills -1.5
Over/Under 45.5

The Week 11 NFL Spreads for Sunday, November 20th (1:00 ET Kickoffs)
411 Philadephia Eagles +3.5
412 Washington Redskins -3.5
Over/Under 43.5

413 Green Bay Packers -3
414 Detroit Lions +3
Over/Under 51.5

415 Arizona Cardinals +9.5
416 Atlanta Falcons -9.5
Over/Under 44

417 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.5
418 Carolina Panthers +1.5
Over/Under 48.5

419 Cleveland Browns +7.5
420 Dallas Cowboys -7.5
Over/Under 43.5

421 New York Jets +3
422 St. Louis Rams -3
Over/Under 38.5

425 Jacksonville Jaguars +15.5
426 Houston Texans -15.5
Over/Under 40.5

427 Cincinnati Bengals -3
428 Kansas City Chiefs +3
Over/Under 43.5

NFL Week 11 Betting Lines for Sunday, November 15th (4:00 ET Kickoffs)
423 Indianapolis Colts +9.5
424 New England Patriots -9.5
Over/Under 53.5

429 New Orleans Saints -4.5
430 Oakland Raiders +4.5
Over/Under 54.5

431 San Diego Chargers +7.5
432 Denver Broncos -7.5
Over/Under 48.5

Week 11 Sunday Night Football Lines for Sunday, November 18th
433 Baltimore Ravens -3
434 Pittsburgh Steelers +3
Over/Under 41.5

Monday Night Football Lines for Week 11, Monday, October 19th
435 Chicago Bears OTB
436 San Francisco 49ers OTB
Over/Under OTB

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Props & Predictions 11/12

November 12th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Props & Predictions 11/12
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Full Chiefs @ Steelers NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Kansas City Chiefs are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 10 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Shortest Field Goal Made Over/Under 25.5 Yards (+100): K Ryan Succop has kicked just one field this year of less than 25 yards, while K Shaun Suisham has just three. However, we have to think that Mother Nature is going to play some tricks on both of these teams. Getting down to the opposing 8-yard line won’t be easy as it is, but getting those last few yards will be difficult in the projected wind and rain. Both of these head coaches have already proven to be rather conservative over the course of the season, and they are likely to be putting the points on the board when they can. It only takes one kick to make us a winner in this one, and it could come at any point over the course of the game. We think that it will happen at least half the time in these conditions. Shortest Field Goal Made Under 25.5 Yards (+100)

Will Heath Miller Score a Touchdown?: And here’s a way that we can hedge our bets! Miller has scored six touchdowns this year, and five of the six have come from five yards or closer (the sixth touchdown came from nine yards out). That being said, if the Steelers are going to get inside the Kansas City 10-yard line and score, there is a good chance that it is either going to be by way of a field goal or by way of a Miller touchdown. There is a decent chance that both of these outcomes end up happening over the course of this game, and we think that it is a lot more likely that both do than both don’t. Pittsburgh is going to have its chances in the red zone, and we need two of them to go our way for the kill of getting both of these NFL props. Heath Miller To Score a Touchdown (+100)

Dwayne Bowe Over/Under 5 Receptions: Receivers have had a terrible time this year against the Steelers’ defense, especially of late. Quarterbacks have only thrown for right around 150 total yards per game against them over the course of the last three weeks, and that clearly is going to make life really difficult on Bowe. There have been four games this year in which the former LSU Tiger has had at least six receptions, but three in which he has had just three catches. With so much emphasis on the bad weather, it’s going to be hard to get the ball up the field to Bowe. If he’s going to beat us, he’s going to do so with short passes, and that’s what WR/RB Dexter McCluster is more used for than anything else. We really think that the KC offense is going to struggle, and it’s largely going to be because the ball can’t get forced into Bowe’s hands. Dwayne Bowe Under 5 Receptions (-115)

Ben Roethlisberger Over/Under 260.5 Passing Yards: This is a rough and very contradictory prop. We love using fantasy football stats to tell us how to bet these props, and this is a nice spot to use just that. According to ESPN Fantasy Sports, the Chiefs actually have the worst defense in the NFL from a fantasy standpoint on average against opposing offenses in the league. That means that Big Ben could be in for a big time day. The weather is going to play a negative role in all of this for the Pittsburgh offense, but Big Ben is used to playing in these conditions. He has had at least 260 passing yards four times this year, and that makes this prop a de facto tossup. Still, the KC defense seems to be the great equalizer, and believe it or not, it could be the fact that this game is could stay closer because of the weather that might make Roethlisberger throw the ball even more. Ben Roethlisberger Over 260.5 Passing Yards (-115)

James Harrison Over/Under 5.5 Tackles: Something is most certainly wrong with this prop, and we have to take advantage of it. We know that the Kansas City offensive line is pretty darn bad, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see Harrison have a huge impact on this game. However, he hasn’t had a game this year with more than four tackles, let alone more than five tackles. Assists will help, but in the end, this is still just far, far too high of a number, one that should be set at more like 4.5 than 5.5 James Harrison Under 5.5 Total Tackles (-115)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 11/12/12):
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Score in the First 6.5 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6.5 Minutes of the Game -110

Chiefs Score First +175
Steelers Score First -225

First Score a Touchdown -160
First Score Not a Touchdown +130

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 40.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 40.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal Made Over 43.5 Yards -115
Longest Field Goal Made Under 43.5 Yards -115

Shortest Field Goal Made Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal Made Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +110
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -140

Total Punts Over 8.5 +100
Total Punts Under 8.5 -130

Total Sacks Over 4 -110
Total Sacks Under 4 -120

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown Scored +160
No Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown Scored -200

Chiefs To Lead the Game at Any Point -120
Chiefs To Never Lead the Game -110

Matt Cassel Completions Over 20.5 -110
Matt Cassel Completions Under 20.5 -120

Matt Cassel Longest Completion Over 30.5 Yards -115
Matt Cassel Longest Completion Under 30.5 Yards -115

Matt Cassel Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +220
Matt Cassel Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -300

Matt Cassel Throws an Interception -300
Matt Cassel Doesn’t Throw an Interception +220

Jamaal Charles Rushing Yards Over 63.5 -115
Jamaal Charles Rushing Yards Under 63.5 -115

Jamaal Charles Receptions Over 3 +110
Jamaal Charles Receptions Under 3 -140

Jamaal Charles Scores a Touchdown +130
Jamaal Charles Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -160

Dwayne Bowe Receptions Over 5 -115
Dwayne Bowe Receptions Under 5 -115

Dwayne Bowe Receiving Yards Over 63.5 -115
Dwayne Bowe Receiving Yards Under 63.5 -115

Dwayne Bowe Scores a Touchdown +200
Dwayne Bowe Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -260

Dexter McCluster Receptions Over 3.5 +110
Dexter McCluster Receptions Under 3.5 -140

Jon Baldwin Receptions Over 1.5 -130
Jon Baldwin Receptions Under 1.5 +100

Tony Moeaki Receptions Over 2 -115
Tony Moeaki Receptions Under 2 -115

Derrick Johnson Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 7.5 -115
Derrick Johnson Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 7.5 -115

Ryan Succop Total Points Over 6.5 -125
Ryan Succop Total Points Under 6.5 -105

Ben Roethlisberger Completions Over 22.5 -115
Ben Roethlisberger Completions Under 22.5 -115

Ben Roethlisberger Longest Completion in Yards Over 39.5 -115
Ben Roethlisberger Longest Completion in Yards Under 39.5 -115

Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards Over 260.5 -115
Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards Under 260.5 -115

Ben Roethlisberger Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -220
Ben Roethlisberger Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +170

Ben Roethlisberger Throws an Interception -135
Ben Roethlisberger Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +105

Steelers Total Rushing Yards on First Attempt Over 3.5 -130
Steelers Total Rushing yards on First Attempt Under 3.5 +100

Mike Wallace Receptions Over 5.5 -105
Mike Wallace Receptions Under 5.5 -125

Mike Wallace Receiving Yards Over 75.5 -115
Mike Wallace Receiving Yards Under 75.5 -115

Mike Wallace Scores a Touchdown -115
Mike Wallace Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Heath Miller Receptions Over 5.5 +110
Heath Miller Receptions Under 4 -140

Heath Miller Receiving Yards Over 52.5 -115
Heath Miller Receiving Yards Under 52.5 -115

Heath Miller Scores a Touchdown +100
Heath Miller Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -130

Emmanuel Sanders Receptions Over 3.5 -115
Emmanuel Sanders Receptions Under 3.5 -115

Emmanuel Sanders Receiving Yards Over 48.5 -115
Emmanuel Sanders Receiving Yards Under 48.5 -115

James Harrison Total Tackles Over 5.5 -115
James Harrison Total Tackles Under 5.5 -115

Shaun Suisham Total Points Over 8.5 -130
Shaun Suisham Total Points Under 8.5 +100

2012 NFL Week 10 Lines – Week Ten Lines Breakdown

November 11th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2012 NFL Week 10 Lines – Week Ten Lines Breakdown
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All of The Current NFL Week 10 Lines Are Listed At The Bottom of This Page

Chicago Bears StadiumMassive NFL point spreads are the theme of the Week 10 NFL betting lines, as there are a number of games that are expected to be blowouts. After one of the most public weeks in the history of NFL betting action though, we know that there are probably some NFL upsets that are going to be in the cards this coming week.

The team that opens up the weekend as the biggest favorite is the San Francisco 49ers. The Niners are coming off of their bye week, and they are taking on the easiest foe in their division, the St. Louis Rams. Head Coach Jeff Fisher and the gang aren’t going to go down easily, even if this game is played on the road and in front of one of the best crowds in the league. Still, getting 11.5 points is a ton to start with, and we have seen St. Louis stick around with some big time spreads on its side this year. The 49ers are most certainly on notice that this is going to be a tough game.

The other double digit favorites this week are the New England Patriots. The Pats have just rolled right through some foes this year, but the last we saw of them, they needed overtime to take down the Jets right here at Gillette Stadium in a similar game. The Brady Bunch is coming off of its bye week, and it gets a Buffalo Bills team that just isn’t all that great. The Bills were blasted by a dozen last week by the Texans on the road, and this is likely going to be the fourth massive beating that they have taken on the road this year.

One of the more intriguing early games on Sunday pits the Denver Broncos against the Carolina Panthers. Carolina is probably out of the playoff picture at this point in spite of last week’s win over the Redskins, but the interesting part of this is that Head Coach John Fox is returning to his old stomping grounds with his new and improved team. The Broncos are clearly one of the best teams in the AFC this year, but this is a long road trip against a team that is hungry and talented in spite of its iffy 2-6 record. Carolina is getting four points at home, and we can already tell that this is going to be the exact same situation that the Broncos were in last week when they beat the Cincinnati Bengals. These same Bengals are getting four for the second straight week at home against the New York Giants as well.

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This is the week that the rubber might meet the road for a number of potential playoff teams in the AFC. The Miami Dolphins dipped to .500 last week, and they badly need to beat the Tennessee Titans at home as six-point favorites to keep their season alive. The Baltimore Ravens are also favored by 7.5 at M&T Bank Stadium against the Oakland Raiders, one of the hungriest teams in the league.

Thanks to Monday Night Football, this week still has two very important games that are listed as off the board. The New Orleans Saints are going to take on the Atlanta Falcons, and the truth of the matter is that QB Drew Brees and the gang very well could ultimately be favored over the 8-0 Falcons, who are still clearly getting no respect in spite of the fact that they very well could be halfway to a perfect season. The other game is going to see the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles go at each other. Both teams are still in the race in the NFC East, but neither has to feel comfortable right now. Both are on the outside of the playoffs looking in, and that makes this one all the more important. We expect to see the Eagles as short favorites in this game, though Dallas has been getting a lot of respect on the NFL odds of late.

And then there are the primetime games though, which are all going to be very important games. We’ll start on Thursday, when the Indianapolis Colts are three-point road favorites on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags are one of the worst teams in the league, and they are still going to be playing without RB Maurice Jones-Drew. However, Indy is the team of the hour, clearly, knowing that it has a chance to get to 6-3 this year and firmly in control of its own destiny for a spot in the playoffs this year.

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Football Night in America this week might be a Super Bowl 47 preview. The Chicago Bears and Houston Texans know that this game isn’t the end of the world at the moment, as both teams are clearly on their way to the playoffs, likely as division champs. The winner is going to feel a heck of a lot better than the loser though, knowing that Colts in the AFC South and the Packers and Vikings in the NFC North aren’t all that far off the heels of the two respective division leaders. This is expected to be one of the best games of the weekend, knowing that both of these teams are clearly in the Top 5 teams in all of football. The Bears are going to be laying 1.5 at the outset of the week at home, but this one clearly could go either way on the NFL point spreads.

Finally, Monday Night Football this week, could be a disaster for the Kansas City Chiefs and Head Coach Romeo Crennel. Poor Crennel hasn’t even been the coach for a full year of this team, but in the end, he is expected to get dismissed sooner than later. His team has been brutalized in virtually every spot this year, and the Chiefs haven’t even led for a single second in a game this year. Odds have it, this won’t be the week that this changes either, as the Pittsburgh Steelers are favored by 11.5 points against the Chiefs at Heinz Field.

‘Totals’ this week are going to be spread all over the place. As expected, the highest ‘total’ of the weekend to this point pits the Patriots against the Bills. We have seen New England’s offense score oodles of points against virtually anyone in the league, and we have seen the Bills give up at least 45 three times this year. That’s why this is featuring an over/under of 51. We do expect to see the Atlanta/New Orleans game featuring a ‘total’ in the 50s as well, quite possibly higher than this Buffalo/New England game as well.

The low end ‘totals’ of the weekend are both in the 30s, and that is relatively rare, knowing that the mass majority of games are in the 40s this year. The New York Jets and Seattle Seahawks are seeing their ‘total’ sitting at 38.5, while the same number is hanging on the board right now for the Rams and 49ers.

2012 NFL Week 10 Odds @ SportBet Sportsbook (as of 11/10/12):
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Week Ten NFL Lines for Thursday, November 8th
105 Indianapolis Colts -3
106 Jacksonville Jaguars +3
Over/Under 44

Week 10 NFL Spreads for Sunday, November 11th (1:00 ET Kickoffs)
215 Buffalo Bills +12
216 New England Patriots -12
Over/Under 52.5

217 New York Giants -3.5
218 Cincinnati Bengals +3.5
Over/Under 49

219 San Diego Chargers +3
220 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3
Over/Under 47

221 Denver Broncos -4
222 Carolina Panthers +4
Over/Under 47

223 Tennessee Titans +6
224 Miami Dolphins -6
Over/Under 44

225 Oakland Raiders +9.5
226 Baltimore Ravens -9.5
Over/Under 47

227 Atlanta Falcons -1
228 New Orleans Saints +1
Over/Under 53.5

229 Detroit Lions -1
230 Minnesota Vikings +1
Over/Under 46

NFL Week 10 Betting Lines for Sunday, November 11th (4:00 ET Kickoffs)
231 New York Jets +6
232 Seattle Seahawks -6
Over/Under 38.5

233 Dallas Cowboys -1
234 Philadelphia Eagles +1
Over/Under 44

235 St. Louis Rams +11.5
236 San Francisco 49ers -11.5
Over/Under 38.5

Sunday Night Football Week Ten Lines for Sunday, November 11th
237 Houston Texans +1
238 Chicago Bears -1
Over/Under 40

Monday Night Football Week 10 Lines for Monday, October 12th
239 Kansas City Chiefs +11.5
240 Pittsburgh Steelers -11.5
Over/Under 42

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Colts vs. Jaguars Props & Predictions 11/8

November 8th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Colts vs. Jaguars Props & Predictions 11/8
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Full Colts vs. Jaguars NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Jags CheerleadersThe Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 10 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Josh Scobee Over/Under 6.5 Points: There aren’t many situations where we are going to want to back Jacksonville’s kicker, but this very well could be one of those times when it really pays off to go for the gold. Scobee has a rich history of just killing the Colts, including booting a number of game winners from 50+ yards out to crush the then QB Peyton Manning led bunch. Scobee already has 30 field goals made in 16 games against Indy in his career, and that includes 15 from outside of 40 yards. There’s no doubt that, in the end, Scobee is going to get his opportunities, and as long as he manages to sneak two between the uprights, there’s no reason to think that he won’t tack on either a PAT or a third field goal when push comes to shove. Remember that when these two teams met the first time, Scobee put up 10 total points. Josh Scobee Over 6.5 Points (+100)

Dwayne Allen Over/Under 46.5 Receiving Yards: If there is a quarterback that knows how to stretch out the field by using his tight ends, it’s Andrew Luck. He did so in college with so many fantastic tight ends, and he is doing the same here at the NFL level as well. Allen was the second rookie tight end taken by Indianapolis in the NFL Draft this past year, but he has really turned out to be the better of the two when push comes to shove. Now, Luck’s roommate, TE Coby Fleener is hurt, and that really just leaves Allen to pick up the slack. Luck is throwing the ball more now that the running game for the Colts is disintegrating, and that means less blocking and more pass catching for Allen. He has 12 targets over the course of the last two weeks, and if he hauls in just three or four of them, he should be able to get to this yardage total without all that much in the way of hassle. Dwayne Allen Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Andrew Luck Passing Yards Over/Under 278.5: As much as we think that it is a square play to take Luck going ‘over’ 278.5 yards, we just have to do it, knowing that he is going to do so more often than not. Acting Head Coach Bruce Arians just loves letting Luck air it out, and he is going to connect on a few of those long ones up the field for sure. He is throwing the ball over 40 times per game now with just RB Vick Ballard left to carry the load in the backfield, and that includes a lot of the check down passes that made the Manning-to-Faulk (then James, then Addai) combination oh so good. The Jacksonville defense can’t get out of its way for the most part, and it already allowed 300+ yards to Luck once this year. There’s just no reason to think that this won’t be the second time that he pulls that feat off. Andrew Luck Over 278.5 Passing Yards (-130)

Will Either Team Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game?: We’re really a bit puzzled as to why this number is 6 ½ minutes and not at least seven or 7 ½ minutes. These two teams both have a tendency of running some slower drives when push comes to shove, and if the Jags get the ball first, we all know just how long it takes them to get going at times, especially without RB Maurice Jones-Drew in the fold. There is just a real question where the Jacksonville offense is coming from if it isn’t coming from RB Rashad Jennings, and that makes it quite believable that there won’t be a score in the first half of the first quarter. No Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game (-110)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 11/8/12):
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Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game -110

Colts Score First -130
Jaguars Score First +100

First Score a Touchdown -155
First Score Not a Touchdown +125

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 41.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 41.5 Yards -115

Andrew Luck Completions Over 22.5 -130
Andrew Luck Completions Under 22.5 +100

Andrew Luck Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Andrew Luck Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Andrew Luck Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -145
Andrew Luck Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +115

Andrew Luck To Throw an Interception -150
Andrew Luck To Not Throw an Interception +120

Reggie Wayne Receptions Over 6.5 -125
Reggie Wayne Receptions Under 6.5 -105

Reggie Wayne Receiving Yards Over 88.5 -115
Reggie Wayne Receiving Yards Under 88.5 -115

Reggie Wayne Scores a Touchdown +120
Reggie Wayne Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

TY Hilton Receptions Over 3.5 -105
TY Hilton Receptions Under 3.5 -125

TY Hilton Longest Reception in Yards Over 25.5 -115
TY Hilton Longest Reception in Yards Under 25.5 -115

Dwayne Allen Receptions Over 3.5 -135
Dwayne Allen Receptions Under 3.5 +105

Dwayne Allen Receiving Yards Over 46.5 -115
Dwayne Allen Receiving Yards Under 46.5 -115

Jerrell Freeman Total Tackles Over 8.5 -115
Jerrell Freeman Total Tackles Under 8.5 -115

Adam Vinatieri Total Points Over 7.5 -115
Adam Vinatieri Total Points Under 7.5 -115

Blaine Gabbert Completions Over 19.5 -130
Blaine Gabbert Completions Under 19.5 +100

Blaine Gabbert Longest Completion Over 34.5 Yards -115
Blaine Gabbert Longest Completion Under 34.5 Yards -115

Blaine Gabbert Passing Yards Over 215.5 -130
Blaine Gabbert Passing Yards Under 215.5 +100

Blaine Gabbert Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +160
Blaine Gabbert Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -200

Blaine Gabbert Throws an Interception -150
Blaine Gabbert Doesn’t Throw an Interception +120

Cecil Shorts Receptions Over 3.5 +105
Cecil Shorts Receptions Under 3.5 -135

Cecil Shorts Receiving Yards Over 58.5 -130
Cecil Shorts Receiving Yards Under 58.5 +100

Marcedes Lewis Receptions Over 3 -115
Marcedes Lewis Receptions Under 3 -115

Marcedes Lewis Receiving Yards Over 30.5 -115
Marcedes Lewis Receiving Yards Under 30.5 -115

Justin Blackmon Receptions Over 3.5 -130
Justin Blackmon Receptions Under 3.5 +100

Justin Blackmon Receiving Yards Over 40.5 -115
Justin Blackmon Receiving Yards Under 40.5 -115

Laurent Robinson Receptions Over 3 -150
Laurent Robinson Receptions Under 3 +120

Russell Allen Total Tackles Over 7.5 -105
Russell Allen Total Tackles Under 7.5 -125

Josh Scobee Total Points Over 6.5 +100
Josh Scobee Total Points Under 6.5 -130

2012 NFL Week 9 Lines – Week Nine Lines Breakdown

November 4th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2012 NFL Week 9 Lines – Week Nine Lines Breakdown
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Check Out The NFL Week 9 Lines Below This Article

Mario Williams BillsWe are closing in on the halfway point of the 2012 NFL season, and that means that every single game on the NFL point spreads gets more and more important. Check out all of the NFL Week 9 odds at the bottom of this article, and join us for a quick discussion on all of the great games on the NFL Week 9 schedule!

There are a ton of teams right now that are searching for season-defining victories or trying to avoid what might be season-defining defeats. On Thursday night, the Kansas City Chiefs are going to hope to start to turn the ship around against the slumping San Diego Chargers. Both of these head coaches are in a heck of a lot of trouble, and we wouldn’t be all that surprised to see the loser dismissed sooner than later. The Chargers are favored by 7.5-points, but that doesn’t mean that they are a sure thing to win. Remember that this is the same San Diego outfit that has dropped back to back games, one in which it was up 24-0 before losing by double digits, and the latter of which came to the lowly Cleveland Browns.

San Diego is favored by a huge margin, but it isn’t nearly favored by the most points in the league this week. The biggest favorites are the Green Bay Packers, who are -11 against the Arizona Cardinals. This is the second straight week in which Green Bay is the biggest favorite on the NFL betting odds, but this might be the even easier of the two games. The Cards look like a wreck right now, and they have dropped four games in a row. You wouldn’t know just that a few weeks ago, Arizona was the 4-0 team, and Green Bay was the club that we were all asking what was wrong with it.

The other massive favorites are the Houston Texans, who are laying 10.5 to the Buffalo Bills. It is a reunion for DE Mario Williams, who is now one of the two former No. 1 overall picks in the NFL Draft of the Texans that are playing for other teams. Williams is banged up but is expected to give it a go against his former mates, who badly need a win to get back in control of the AFC East race. The Texans might be the best team in the NFL though, so it wouldn’t be considered all that much of a surprise if this is a romp, especially knowing that the last time we saw them play, they absolutely destroyed the Baltimore Ravens.

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One of the themes that we are seeing this week is the idea of the road favorite. There haven’t been a lot of them on the NFL odds this year, and for good reason. Home underdogs are covering 56.1% of all games this year and have won 48.8% of those games outright as well. Four teams, two in the AFC and two in the NFC are favored by 3.5 this week on the road, while a fifth, the Miami Dolphins, are giving 2.5 to the Indianapolis Colts.

The Denver Broncos are giving 3.5 to the Cincinnati Bengals in a game that both teams badly need to win. The Bengals are sliding and could be out of the playoff picture with a loss in this one. However, the Broncos aren’t going to give up their newly acquired lead in the AFC West without a fight, even on the road against a team that was in the playoffs last year. You still have to go back two years to find a game that Cincinnati has won against a team that ultimately went to the playoffs that season.

The old Cleveland Browns are visiting the new Cleveland Browns as well this week. The Baltimore Ravens are off of their bye, and they are hoping to avoid becoming the newest team to lose to the Browns. Cleveland has played a heck of a lot better ball over the course of the last few weeks, and it would love nothing more than to spoil the weekend for the AFC North leaders and maybe think about getting back in the playoff chase itself as well. Baltimore is favored by 3.5-points, but that doesn’t mean that this game is so far removed from an upset.

The two teams in the NFC that are favored by 3.5 are the Detroit Lions and the Chicago Bears. They are both going on the road to face teams from the AFC South, the Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans respectively. These are both games that should be won this weekend by the NFC North squads, knowing that the AFC South might be the worst division in football outside of the Texans.

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Maybe the biggest game on Sunday is the 4:25 ET kick between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the New York Giants. These two teams are built awfully similarly, and both have their questions to them. Pittsburgh is the team in much more dire need of a victory, and it might be possible, knowing that the Giants are coming off of that emotional win last week in Dallas. The G-Men are giving a field goal in a game that should be a real fight.

Other games on the Sunday docket that we have not yet discussed include the Washington Redskins -3.5 against the Carolina Panthers, the Seattle Seahawks -5 againt the Minnesota Vikings, and the Oakland Raiders -1.5 at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Of note on the Minnesota/Seattle game is the fact that this is the only game of the week with a ‘total’ posted in the 30s, and that is only just barely there right now at 39.5.

Sunday Night Football this week pits the Atlanta Falcons at home against the Dallas Cowboys. We’re not really all that sure what the oddsmakers are seeing in Dallas to make this NFL line just four points, but to the Cowboys’ credit, they have stayed close in virtually every game that they have played this year. The Falcons are still undefeated though, and it would be difficult to see how the Cowboys would come on the road to the Georgia Dome to score the upset.

Monday Night Football should feature just a ton of points as well. The much beleaguered Philadelphia Eagles and the New Orleans Saints both know that they have to go on a run here, and in a hurry if they are going to challenge for playoff spots this year in the top-heavy NFC. This is a game that features the highest ‘total’ of the weekend at 52.5, and it also sees the host Saints giving a field goal in their quest to become just the second team in the history of the league to start 0-4 and to make the playoffs.

2012 NFL Week 9 Lines @ UCABet Sportsbook (as of 11/2/12):
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Week 9 Thursday Night Football Odds for Thursday, November 1st
301 Kansas City Chiefs +7.5
302 San Diego Chargers -7.5
Over/Under 41

Week 9 NFL Spreads for Sunday, November 4th (1:00 ET Kickoffs)
415 Denver Broncos -3.5
416 Cincinnati Bengals +3.5
Over/Under 47.5

417 Arizona Cardinals +10
418 Green Bay Packers -10
Over/Under 43.5

419 Miami Dolphins -2
420 Indianapolis Colts +2
Over/Under 43.5

421 Baltimore Ravens -3.5
422 Cleveland Browns +3.5
Over/Under 42.5

423 Buffalo Bills +10
424 Houston Texans -10
Over/Under 47.5

425 Carolina Panthers +3
426 Washington Redskins -3
Over/Under 47.5

427 Detroit Lions -4.5
428 Jacksonville Jaguars +4.5
Over/Under 44

429 Chicago Bears -3.5
430 Tennessee Titans +3.5
Over/Under 43.5

NFL Week 9 Betting Lines for Sunday, November 4th (4:00 ET Kickoffs)
431 Minnesota Vikings +4
432 Seattle Seahawks -4
Over/Under 38.5

433 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5
434 Oakland Raiders -1.5
Over/Under 46.5

435 Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5
436 New York Giants -3.5
Over/Under 48

Sunday Night Football Week 9 Odds for Sunday, November 4th
437 Dallas Cowboys +3.5
438 Atlanta Falcons -3.5
Over/Under 47.5

Monday Night Football Week 9 Lines for Monday, October 5th
439 Philadelphia Eagles +3
440 New Orleans Saints -3
Over/Under 51.5

NFL Picks: Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints Predictions 11/5

November 4th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Picks: Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints Predictions 11/5
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Full Eagles @ Saints NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

New Orleans Saints CheerleadersThe New Orleans Saints and Philadelphia Eagles are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 9 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

DeSean Jackson Over/Under 74.5 Receiving Yards: D-Jax hasn’t played the best ball of late, as he only has 14 receptions for 191 yards over the course of his last three games without a trip to the end zone. This is the New Orleans defense that he is going to be playing against though, and this unit has allowed at least 199 yards to opposing wide receivers in all but one game this year (and that came against the lowly Chiefs). There is no reason to think that both Jackson and WR Jeremy Maclin won’t have big time games this week, as these are the two receivers that QB Michael Vick looks at the most. We also like Jackson over 4.5 receptions, but this is the better play, knowing that the speed of Jackson can take one 75 yards on a single play. DeSean Jackson Over 74.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Jeremy Maclin Over/Under 53.5 Receiving Yards: Same premise here with Maclin. The Saints’ secondary is awful. Maclin has gotten over 53.5 receiving yards just twice all season long, and just once since Week 1. Still, we think that he is in for a much better game this time around, and he should have another one of these borderline 100+ yard games. Jeremy Maclin Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Marques Colston Over/Under 77.5 Receiving Yards: With RB Darren Sproles out of the fold, QB Drew Brees is going to have to work hard to get the ball down the field. The problem is that he is going against a very talented secondary for the Eagles, and this unit is going to be tough to crack when push comes to shove. Don’t be all that shocked if Colston will draw the attention of DB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie quite a bit, and that might get Brees to think twice about try to get the ball to the man from Hofstra. There will be better days for Colston than this. Remember that he has only made it to 78 yards twice this entire season to date. Marques Colston Under 77.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Will Jimmy Graham Score a Touchdown?: If there is a Jimmy Graham prop on Monday Night Football this week, we love the ‘over’. Graham is a man that has fallen upon hard times this year because of his bum ankle, but in the end, he is still a dream to have at this position this year. Remember that he had 99 receptions last year and averaged over 80 yards per game, but more important to us right now is the fact that he has scored a touchdown in four of the five games that he has played in from start to finish this year. And, the one game that he didn’t play at all, TE David Thomas had a touchdown. With Sproles out, Graham is probably going to be the security blanket that Brees needs to get the ball to when he is in trouble. We expect to see at least 8 receptions, at least 100 yards, and at least one, if not more trips to the end zone for the Miami Hurricane. Jimmy Graham To Score a Touchdown (-115)

Garrett Hartley Over/Under 6.5 Points: Hartley hasn’t kicked a field goal in two straight games, but what he does routinely do is kick a ton of extra points for New Orleans touchdowns. Granted, we know that it is going to take at least one field goal, and likely at least two to get Hartley to this number, but we have confidence, especially after he had at least two chances in three out of four games to start the year, that he is going to get that opportunity this time around as well against a Philly defense that has a heck of a lot to prove this week. Garrett Hartley Over 6.5 Points (-150)

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Props @ BetOnline Sportsbook (as of 11/5/12):
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Score in the First 5.5 Minutes of the Game -125
No Score in the First 5.5 Minutes of the Game -105

Eagles Score First +105
Saints Score First -135

First Score a Touchdown -210
First Score Not a Touchdown +165

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 50.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 50.5 Yards -115

Michael Vick Completions Over 22.5 -125
Michael Vick Completions Under 22.5 -105

Michael Vick Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Michael Vick Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Michael Vick Passing Yards Over 263.5 -115
Michael Vick Passing Yards Under 263.5 -115

Michael Vick Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -160
Michael Vick Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +130

LeSean McCoy Rushing Yards Over 90.5 -115
LeSean McCoy Rushing Yards Under 90.5 -115

LeSean McCoy Receptions Over 3.5 -140
LeSean McCoy Receptions Under 3.5 +110

LeSean McCoy Scores a Touchdown -185
LeSean McCoy Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +145

DeSean Jackson Receptions Over 4.5 -145
DeSean Jackson Receptions Under 4.5 +115

DeSean Jackson Receiving Yards Over 74.5 -115
DeSean Jackson Receiving Yards Under 74.5 -115

Jeremy Maclin Receiving Yards Over 53.5 -115
Jeremy Maclin Receiving Yards Under 53.5 -115

Jeremy Maclin Scores a Touchdown +140
Jeremy Maclin Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Brent Celek Receptions Over 3.5 -125
Brent Celek Receptions Under 3.5 -105

Brent Celek Receiving Yards Over 49.5 -115
Brent Celek Receiving Yards Under 49.5 -115

Jason Avant Receptions Over 3 +115
Jason Avant Receptions Under 3 -145

DeMeco Ryans Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 6.5 -130
DeMeco Ryans Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 6.5 +100

Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie Intercepts a Pass +250
Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -330

Alex Henery Total Points Over 7.5 +115
Alex Henery Total Points Under 7.5 -140

Drew Brees Completions Over 27.5 -115
Drew Brees Completions Under 27.5 -115

Drew Brees Longest Completion in Yards Over 40.5 -130
Drew Brees Longest Completion in Yards Under 40.5 +100

Drew Brees Passing Yards Over 318.5 -115
Drew Brees Passing Yards Under 318.5 -115

Drew Brees Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 -105
Drew Brees Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -125

Drew Brees Throws an Interception -260
Drew Brees Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +200

Marques Colston Receptions Over 5.5 -115
Marques Colston Receptions Under 5.5 -115

Marques Colston Receiving Yards Over 77.5 -115
Marques Colston Receiving Yards Under 77.5 -115

Marques Colston Scores a Touchdown -105
Marques Colston Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -125

Lance Moore Receptions Over 4 -125
Lance Moore Receptions Under 4 -105

Lance Moore Receiving Yards Over 65.5 -115
Lance Moore Receiving Yards Under 65.5 -115

Jimmy Graham Receptions Over 5 +100
Jimmy Graham Receptions Under 5 -130

Jimmy Graham Receiving Yards Over 60.5 -115
Jimmy Graham Receiving Yards Under 60.5 -115

Jimmy Graham Scores a Touchdown -115
Jimmy Graham Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Curtis Lofton Total Tackles Over 8.5 -125
Curtis Lofton Total Tackles Under 8.5 -105

Garrett Hartley Total Points Over 6.5 -150
Garrett Hartley Total Points Under 6.5 +120