NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (11/15/10)
Last Updated: November 14th, 2010 byThe Washington Redskins could have their 2010 NFL betting campaign put on the line on Monday Night Football, as they are taking on their divisional rivals, the Philadelphia Eagles at home in a huge encounter. We here at Bankroll Sports, have all of our Monday Night Football prop picks available for you for the upcoming MNF tussle.
Longest Field Goal Over/Under 44.5 Yards
This isn’t a prop that we go after often, but we’re talking about two kickers here that have some very strong legs and aren’t going to miss many from this type of a range. K David Akers has blasted six field goals already this year of at least 40 yards, and he has had four games in which he booted one from at least 45 this year. For his career, Akers is 94-for-143 from 40+ yards, and we know that he is going to be given a great chance to do his thing at some point during this game as long as the Washington defense doesn’t just roll over and die. However, we have confidence in K Graham Gano as well for Washington. Gano hasn’t had all that many chances this year to connect from 40+ yards, but he has taken advantage, going 5-for-6 from 40-49 yards. Though he is 0-for-2 from 50+ yards, we know from his days with Florida State that he can boot it 60 if need be. He has four games this year with at least one 45 yard boot as well. This is probably somewhere between a 66% and 75% chance of winning this prop, and we only have to pay -120 for it. You betcha. The longest field goal of this game will be Over 44.5 Yards (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.
Michael Vick Over/Under 240.5 Passing Yards
When the Eagles faced the Redskins the first time, all that Joe Buck and Troy Aikman kept mentioning is how bad this Washington secondary really is. They’re a bunch of gamblers there that are prone to giving up the deep ball. After Vick left the game injured in the second quarter, QB Kevin Kolb had no desire to try to push the ball up the field. However, when you’ve got a cannon for an arm, WR DeSean Jackson, and WR Jeremy Maclin to work with, you just absolutely have to use those weapons and test those biting corners. This is a great spot for Vick to really shine and show off his arm. We wouldn’t be all that surprised if he hit three or four real bombs in this game, and in spite of the fact that he might not complete all that many passes, we have confidence that he will use these weapons to the fullest and go Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).
Will DeSean Jackson Score a Touchdown?
Interesting line here. We tend to want to stay away from these props, as the sportsbooks generally have these right, but this is a big game in which big plays are going to have to be made. Jackson is the best candidate to catch a TD, run for a trick play, or run a kick or punt back the distance as well. Remember, don’t just focus on what the Cal Golden Bear can do as a wide out. Any touchdown that isn’t a passing score does it for us here. Do you really think that Jackson isn’t scoring at least once in the biggest game of Philadelphia’s season? Knowing if he only does it half the time gives us some tremendous profitability, we have no hesitations going with Jackson to Score a TD (+115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Redskins.
Jeremy Maclin Over/Under 54.5 Receiving Yards
Remember the argument that we made for Vick to go ‘over’ his total number of passing yards? We’re going to use the exact same argument that supports Maclin exceeding this relatively low total. One well place deep ball could get Maclin there by itself, and we know that Vick is going to be using him quite a bit in this game. There are no doubts in our minds that Maclin will go Over 54.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).
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