NCAA Football Picks: Oregon Ducks @ Oregon State Beavers Keys to the Game

December 3rd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)

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The Oregon Ducks are just one game away from the BCS Championship, but standing in their way are their hated arch rivals, the Oregon State Beavers. This game is known as the Civil War for a reason, as you won’t find two teams that despise each other as much as these two do. Check out the keys to winning this game for both sides and the things that you must remember before making your NCAA football picks on this game.

Key #1: Stopping LaMichael James
Good luck, Oregon State. The Beavers rank No. 82 in the nation against the rush at 165.43 yards per game, and they have been absolutely wrecked by some of the best running teams on their schedule. Fortunately, we have a lot of great games to compare this one to, but unfortunately for the Beavs, none of them have turned out all that well. The TCU Horned Frogs rolled off 278 yards on the ground, the Boise State Broncos racked up 178, while the Stanford Cardinal had 167. Though these three teams are all phenomenal squads, none of them have LaMichael James on their roster. Simply put, this is the best and most dynamic running back in college today, and he proves it week in and week out. James already has 1,568 rushing yards and a total of 20 TDs in just ten games this year, and he is pacing a rushing attack that is averaging 306.6 yards per game on the season. If Oregon State can’t at least slow this unit down on the ground and keep James relatively in check (and by that, we mean in the near 100ish yard range), there isn’t much hope for knocking off the best team in the country.

Key #2: You Must Believe, Oregon State!
The Beavers have had their backs to the wall a number of times before, but probably never really like this. They’re a 5-6 team right now that is certainly one of the best 40 or so teams in the country. They have fallen upon hard times because of a brutal schedule, and one absolutely unforgiveable slip up at home against the Washington State Cougars shouldn’t be the difference between them going to a bowl game and not going to one. The Civil War has been won before, right here at Reser Stadium, and Oregon State has blown away the Rose Bowl and National Championship hopes for the Ducks in the past. Oregon is a great team. There’s no taking that away from them. However, if they really think that they are going to be competing in this one, the Beavers have to enter with the mindset that they are the aggressors in this game, not the team that is just trying to keep it close and hang on for a ‘W’ at the end. If that’s what happens, they’ll get destroyed.

Key #3: Take Jacquizz Rodgers Out of the Game and Make Ryan Katz Beat You, Oregon
This is really the only think that the Ducks need to worry about. We know that their offense is going to get the job done; that’s why they’re ranked No. 1 in the country at 546.7 yards and 50.5 points per game this year. The real question is whether or not the defense, which has been shaky at times this year, can really get the job done in this rivalry game. The Beavers were shut out last week and have fallen upon some hard times, but they really aren’t to blame for all of these hassles. Their schedule and some injuries are. WR James Rodgers has been out for the majority of the season, and he was the team’s most dynamic receiver. It was bad enough that QB Ryan Katz was already being asked to step in an replace QB Sean Canfield, who was phenomenal with the Beavers in his short time in Corvallis. Now, Katz had to get the job done with Rodgers. He does have his brother to work with though, and RB Jacquizz Rodgers is the man most likely to blow this game open with big plays for the Beavers. Last year in this game, Rodgers rushed for 64 yards and caught 73 yards worth of passes, and this season, he already has 1,110 yards and 16 total scores. The way that you slow down Rodgers is by not letting him have the football. As long as Oregon’s offense keeps scoring and the defense can at least work Oregon State into a few third and long situations, the Ducks should be fine. It’s only going to take a few early stops to take the lead in this game, and once the Beavers fall two scores behind, that’s when things can get a little ugly for Katz, who has only thrown for 2,159 yards this year.


NFL Football Picks: Thursday Night Football Props (12/2/10)

December 2nd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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The Houston Texans are the team that has almost been able to finish off a number of epic wins this year… However, they have almost always fallen short and are on playoff life support again because of it. The Philadelphia Eagles are in significantly better shape at 7-4 right now, but a loss would be catastrophic. These two intra conference foes square off in the City of Brotherly Love tonight, and here at Bankroll Sports, we have your fantastic prop picks for the duel on the NFL Network.

Arian Foster Over/Under 82.5 Rushing Yards
Why the oddsmakers continue putting such little faith in Foster is beyond us. This is a man that leads the NFL in rushing and is averaging over 100 yards per game on the ground. To think that he could get to the 1,500 yard barrier without breaking a sweat is amazing. And now, against a defense that has been iffy at best at times, you think that Foster is going to stop? We certainly don’t think so. It always has and always will be the philosophy of HC Gary Kubiak that, no matter how good his passing game is, that he needs to establish the run in order to win games. The former Tennessee Volunteer is coming off of a game in which he carried the ball 30 times for 143 yards. In games in which he has at least 17 carries, Foster has gotten to this total six times against two in which he didn’t. He should get at least 20 carries on the day, and if he gets that, Foster will have no problem going Over 82.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Thursday Night Football.

Will Arian Foster Score a Touchdown?
Here we go again with Foster. Let’s just do some simple math right here, shall we? The man has 13 TDs on the campaign in 11 games. Just right there, that’s an average of over a score per game. If he recorded a TD in at least 11 games this on this season, he would be a winner for the year on a prop of this juice. Okay, so he was held out of the end zone last week. Big whoop. Over the previous five weeks, Foster had eight TDs on the ground and one through the air, and he scored at least one in all of those games. He is the undisputed back down by the goal line, and he is the second best receiving option that QB Matt Schaub has. At some point, if Houston is scoring, it is highly like that Foster will be the man doing the deed. Foster Will Score a Touchdown (-130 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

DeSean Jackson Over/Under 68.5 Receiving Yards
Glover Quin, meet DeSean Jackson. D-Jax, meet arguably the worst starting cornerback in the NFL today. It doesn’t seem to matter who Quin is guarding, opposing quarterbacks just seem to find a way to get them the ball. Vick has an absolute rocket for an arm, and odds have it, Jackson will at least get one shot in this game to catch one pass that will cover this entire total. Knowing the Kareem Jackson isn’t all that much better on the other side of the field and that their safeties are a sieve, there is just no way that the Texans are keeping one of the most explosive receivers in the league under this total. Jackson will be a triple digit receiver this week, and he’ll easily go Over 68.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Texans.

Jeremy Maclin Over/Under 69.5 Receiving Yards
Do we need to introduce Glover Quin to Jeremy Maclin as well? Perhaps we should. Mr. Quin, this will be the other man that is constantly running past you all game long. Maclin should be the more consistent target of QB Michael Vick in this one, and as long as Vick doesn’t have a field day throwing all over the place to Jackson, Maclin should reach his total as well. He’ll go Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

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NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (11/29/10)

November 28th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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The Arizona Cardinals could have their 2010 NFL betting campaign put on the line on Monday Night Football, as they are taking on their divisional rivals, the San Francisco 49ers at home in a huge encounter. We here at Bankroll Sports, have all of our Monday Night Football prop picks available for you for the upcoming MNF tussle.

Totals Punts Over/Under 10.5
This is about as high of a number for punts that we remember seeing in quite some time. However, there’s no way that a reasonable number could be posted high enough to keep us satisfied here. Ben Graham, Arizona’s punter, has booted the ball away at least six times in three straight weeks, and he has already punted 57 times in ten games this year. The offense for Arizona has been absolutely putrid regardless of who has been under center, and we know that that isn’t improving against a San Fran team that, all it can do right is play some ‘D’ every now and again. Speaking of those 49ers, they punted six times last week when they were shut out by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and P Andy Lee has been called upon at least six times in five straight games. With K Joe Nedney sidelined, it is going to take a few more yards on offense to produce a field goal attempt as well. The bottom line here is that this is going to be a game contested over field position quite a bit, and if that’s the case, we expect to see at least Over 10.5 Punts (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Troy Smith Over/Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns + Interceptions
We know that Smith hasn’t had a game yet this season in which he has thrown more than one combined TD and INT, but at some point, this really has to change. The former Ohio State Buckeye isn’t the most accurate with his passes, and this Arizona secondary is full of ball hawkers that can turn you over in a heartbeat. That being said, especially if RB Frank Gore is at least held in check, Smith is going to be forced to make some decisions that he doesn’t necessarily want to. It could be boom. It could be bust. Either way, we’re thrilled. We’ll take our chances that Smith is going to revert to the mean in this one and go Over 1.5 TDs + INTs (+140 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Will Frank Gore Score a Touchdown?
Someone has to score for the 49ers at some point, right? This is a way that we can hedge our bets a bit, as Gore is absolutely the man getting the ball on the goal line if things get tough. We know that a cash in either this prop or the one with Troy Smith will net us a profit, and we tend to think that the probability is there that we nail both of them. The Niners aren’t getting shut out in back to back weeks no matter how bad they are, and if that’s the case, we’ll bank on a man that has already touched the ball over 230 times this season. On one of these 25ish touches or so, Gore is bound to Score a TD (-135 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Cardinals.

Derek Anderson Over/Under 18.5 Completions
We’re confused here. Anderson has completed at least 23 passes in his last two games, and he is clearly starting to at least remotely get back into the groove as the team’s starting quarterback after coming back in to replace his replacement, QB Max Hall. Anderson knows that he doesn’t have a running game to rely on consistently, and he has to make things happen himself. Getting to 19 completions doesn’t sound like that tough of a task, even in a game that could get bogged down in a hurry. Go with Anderson to go Over 18.5 Completions (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

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NFL Football Picks: Sunday Night Football Props (11/28/10)

November 28th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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The San Diego Chargers and Indianapolis Colts would both be out of the playoffs if they started today. However, one needs to take a major step in the right direction on Sunday Night Football, while the other is likely to be dealt a crippling defeat. Ready to sink your teeth into all of the action for prop bets on Sunday Night? Check out our best NFL picks right here at Bankroll Sports!

Will Philip Rivers throw an Interception?
Rivers has been picked off nine times this season, and including in five straight games, but we still think that the NFL odds in this one are stacked in his favor. The oddsmakers are putting far too much emphasis on these five straight games than the truth of the matter, which is that Rivers isn’t getting intercepted in two out of every three games, especially in matchups like this one against teams that have absolutely atrocious secondaries. Even more so, the Chargers know that they can run the football against these guys with either Ryan Mathews or Mike Tolbert, and if the clock keeps running, that means there’s that much less for Rivers to have to do to win the game. We’ll take our chances that Rivers Does Not Throw an Interception (+160 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Sunday Night Football.

Reggie Wayne Over/Under 6.5 Receptions
Wayne really remains the only player on this team that Manning really consistently trusts to get the job done for him, as his is the only receiver that has been in the lineup in all ten games this season. Wayne consistently averages over six receptions per game and really has done so for his entire career. This season, he has five games with at least seven snares this year, and this seems to be like one that is setting up to be No. 6. Without DB Antonio Cromartie, the Bolts just don’t have a corner to stick on that side of the field where Wayne is to just lock him down. As long as that’s the case, “The Sheriff” is going to make sure that he finds ways to get Wayne the football. There’s no way that he fails to go Over 6.5 Receptions (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Jacob Tamme Over/Under 6.5 Receptions
If it ain’t broke, why would we try to fix it? Tamme has caught at least six balls in all four of his games taking over for the injured TE Dallas Clark, and he has caught at least seven in three straight. Now, against a San Diego defense that has been great against the deep passing game this year, Manning is going to have no choice quite a bit but to check the ball down to his big tight end out of Kentucky. Tamme is the real deal in this league, and he isn’t just a product of the system of Manning throwing him the football. However, having No. 18 on his side has really helped his career, and it is going to help us to another ‘W’ this week. Go with Tamme Over 6.5 Receptions (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Chargers.

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2010 NFL Week 12 Lines – Week Twelve Lines Breakdown

November 28th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)

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Complete List of All The Week 12 NFL Lines Can Be Found Below

Week 12 of the 2010 NFL campaign is going to get underway this weekend. Below you will find the current list of 2010 Week 12 NFL lines and spreads along with a breakdown of the Week 12 NFL lines. Be sure to check out the free NFL picks from the expert handicappers at Bankroll Sports this weekend…

For the second straight week, there are a ton of potential playoff teams that are catching a slew of points over the course of the weekend, with most of the damage potentially coming on Sunday in Week 12.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are hitting the road at the New York Giants, and it is shocking to see the AFC South leaders underdogs by 8.5 points on the day. The Jags have been on a roll and finding ways to win games late, so we would expect nothing more than a close game, particularly considering the fact that the G-Men are going to be playing without WR Hakeem Nicks. They’re also on a two game slide after winning five in a row, and it will be very interesting to see how they react to being on the outside of the playoff picture for the first time in a number of weeks after last week’s defeat to the Philadelphia Eagles.

The other team that is really catching our attention as a hefty underdog is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The men from the Sunshine State are heading up to M&T Bank Field, where they’ll meet the Baltimore Ravens. Both of these teams are 7-3 through ten games, and both know that they are safe for the time being for a spot in the playoffs. However, what we don’t know is whether either one will be able to hold on or not. Baltimore has been dominating at times this year, but the Bucs are a big question mark. They’ve beaten every team that they were “supposed to” beat this season, but have been destroyed by some of the best teams on their slate. An upset at 7.5 point underdogs would go a long way towards validating the season that Tampa Bay has had.

If it’s the fourth Thursday in the month of November, you know that it’s Thanksgiving, and that means a ton of NFL betting action for you! Here at Bankroll Sports, we’ll make our Week 12 NFL picks for all three of the biggest games on the board on Thursday.

The most interesting duel could be the one in Dallas, where the suddenly resurgent Dallas Cowboys are going to take on the defending champs, the New Orleans Saints. If the ‘Boys can take down this game, they could reasonably be within shouting distance of the second season once again, though they are going to have a tough time going against a New Orleans squad that is still trying to hunt down the lead in the NFC South. QB Drew Brees and company watched their perfect season go up in flames in a primetime, nationally televised game at home against the Cowboys last year, and they would love nothing more than to return the favorite and kick Dallas to the curb once and for all in their biggest spectacle game of the season, the Thanksgiving Day showdown. New Orleans is favored by a field goal.

The other two games should be featuring blowouts if the oddsmakers are correct. The New England Patriots travel to the Detroit Lions, where they are laying a touchdown. In the nightcap, the New York Jets will host the first Thanksgiving Day game ever in the Meadowlands. They are 8.5 point favorites, tied for the biggest chalks on the board, at home against the slumping Cincinnati Bengals, who have dropped six in a row.

Playoff ramifications will be on the line in the Windy City and in the Peach State on Sunday afternoon. The Chicago Bears are 7-3, but no one is believing that they stand a chance against the Philadelphia Eagles at home. They’re 3.5 point pups. Meanwhile in Atlanta, a place where QB Matt Ryan has lost a total of one game that he has started in his career, the Atlanta Falcons are narrow two point favorites against the Green Bay Packers. These teams have the four best records in the league, as they are all 7-3, save the Falcons, who are 8-2, and these could all be potential playoff previews to boot.

Currentl Week 12 NFL Lines From BetUS Sportsbook (as of 11/28/10):
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Week 12 NFL Lines for Thursday, 11/25/10

103 New England Patriots -7
104 Detroit Lions +7
Over/Under 51

105 New Orleans Saints -3
106 Dallas Cowboys +3
Over/Under 50.5

107 Cincinnati Bengals +8.5
108 New York Jets -8.5
Over/Under 43.5

Current NFL Week 12 Lines for Sunday, 11/28/10

215 Minnesota Vikings -2
216 Washington Redskins +2
Over/Under 43.5

217 Pittsburgh Steelers -6
218 Buffalo Bills +6
Over/Under 43.5

219 Tennessee Titans +6
220 Houston Texans -6
Over/Under 47

221 Jacksonville Jaguars +7
222 New York Giants -7
Over/Under 44

223 Carolina Panthers +9.5
224 Cleveland Browns -9.5
Over/Under 37.5

225 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7
226 Baltimore Ravens -7
Over/Under 43

227 Philadelphia Eagles -3
228 Chicago Bears +3
Over/Under 43

229 Green Bay Packers +1.5
230 Atlanta Falcons -1.5
Over/Under 47.5

231 Miami Dolphins +2.5
232 Oakland Raiders -2.5
Over/Under 38.5

233 Kansas City Chiefs -2.5
234 Seattle Seahawks +2.5
Over/Under 45

235 St. Louis Rams +3.5
236 Denver Broncos -3.5
Over/Under 45

237 San Diego Chargers +2.5
238 Indianapolis Colts -2.5
Over/Under 51

NFL Week 12 Spreads for Monday, 11/29/10

239 San Francisco 49ers -1.5
240 Arizona Cardinals +1.5
Over/Under 40.5

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2010 NFL Trends: Week 11 Cheat Sheet

November 27th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Week 11 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 11 NFL matchups.

Thursday, November 18th, 8:20 ET: Chicago Bears @ Miami Dolphins
NFL Trends of Note
The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their L/5 as underdogs
The Fins are 10-4 ATS over the L/14 seasons in Week 11
Miami is just 6-25 ATS in its L/31 as a home favorite

Series History
Miami has come out and dominated this series in the 2000s, going 2-0 SU and ATS and winning both the game in the Windy City and the one in South Beach by exactly 18 points. The last win for Chicago in this series happened to also be its last win in Miami, a 36-33 OT win as 8.5 point underdogs in 1997. Since 1985, the Dolphins are 4-3 SU and ATS against the Bears.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 ET: Washington Redskins @ Tennessee Titans
NFL Trends of Note
The Redskins are 7-2-4 ATS in their L/13 played on grass
Washington is 5-2-1 ATS in its L/8 road games
The Titans have covered six of the seven meetings in this series since 1985

Series History
The Titans/Oilers franchise has really been dominant in this series, as they have won four of the seven meetings against the Redskins since the mid 1980s. Tennessee has actually only lost to Washington once as the road team, that coming in the most recent meeting in ’02. Aside from that though, this has been a series of all one way traffic. Four straight clashes have exceeded the ‘total’, and all four games have featured at least 42 points.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings
NFL Trends of Note
Green Bay is 7-1-1 ATS in its L/9 against teams with losing records
The Pack are 12-5-1 ATS in their L/18 overall
Minnesota is 7-2-1 ATS in its L/10 played at Mall of America Field

Series History
If you like high scoring games that feature a ton of upsets, this is the rivalry for you. The ‘dog is 17-6 ATS in the L/23 duels in this series. The Packers had won four straight ATS and went 3-1 SU from the start of the 2007 season through the end of the ’08 campaign, but in 2009, this was a series that belonged to QB Brett Favre and the Vikes. Ironically, Favre’s team covered six in a row and this series and he went 7-1 SU from ’06 through the first meeting of this year. That’s when the Packers finally beat their old mates for the first time 28-24 at Lambeau Field.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Baltimore Ravens @ Carolina Panthers
NFL Trends of Note
The Ravens are winless ATS in their L/4 meetings against teams with losing records
Carolina has covered four straight ATS as double digit underdogs
The Panthers are only one for their L/5 ATS in games played in Week 11

Series History
Carolina had better enjoy its dominance in this series, because odds have it, that domination is over with on Sunday afternoon. The Ravens have never beaten the Panthers in franchise history, as the men in blue and black have gone 3-0 SU and ATS in as many meetings. The most recent affair was in 2006, a 23-21 win for the visiting Panthers. This is only the second time that Baltimore has traveled to Charlotte. In the only other meeting, the Ravens were beaten 10-7 in 2002.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Oakland Raiders @ Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL Trends of Note
The Steelers are 1-9-2 ATS in their L/12 seasons in Week 11
Oakland is 8-2 ATS in its L/10 played in Week 11
The Steelers are 2-5-1 ATS in their L/8 home games

Series History
Strangely enough, this is a series that has gone the way of the silver and black more often than not. Oakland came back from a double digit deficit to win 27-24 here at Heinz Field as 14.5 point underdogs, and it has now won back to back games in this series. The Raiders are just 4-5 SU but 5-4 ATS in nine games against the Steelers since 1990. This will mark the sixth time in the L/7 meetings that these teams have collided in the Steel City.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL Trends of Note
The Browns are 12-4 ATS in their L/16 against AFC opponents
Cleveland is 11-5 ATS in its L/16 overall
The road team has gone 7-2 SU in the L/9 in this series

Series History
It’s strange to think that these two teams actually shared a division until the 2002 season. They met in the last game of last season, with Cleveland claiming a 23-17 victory in the Dawg Pound in a relatively meaningless game. It was the second straight win for the Browns both SU and ATS against the Jags. Jacksonville actually hasn’t beaten the Browns at home since 2000, going 0-3 SU and ATS in that stretch since that point. Of course that last win made up for all of those losses, as the Jaguars triumphed 48-0.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Houston Texans @ New York Jets
NFL Trends of Note
The Texans are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 as road underdogs
New York has covered six of its L/8 overall
The Jets are 5-1 ATS in the games following their L/6 SU victories

Series History
The Texans and Jets have met four times in Houston’s history with two meetings coming in the Meadowlands and two coming at Reliant Stadium. Wherever the game is being played, the result has been exactly the same. New York is coming away with a comfortable victory, and the Texans aren’t scoring a heck of a lot of points. Houston has only averaged 9.8 points per game against the Jets, and it has an 0-4 record both SU and ATS to show for it. All four games have sailed ‘under’ the total.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Arizona Cardinals @ Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Trends of Note
The Cards are just 2-6 ATS in their L/8 on the road
KC is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 played on grass
Arizona has never won a game at Arrowhead Stadium

Series History
That’s right, you read that properly. The Cardinals, dating all the way back to 1986, have never won here at Arrowhead. In fairness, they have only had two tries, but they have been outscored by an aggregate score of 83-24 in those two outings as well. These two are split right now the middle since the mid 1980s, as they are both 3-3 ATS. Kansas City holds a slight 4-2 SU edge, and as we have already stated, it is 2-0 ATS at home since the ’80s as well against the Redbirds.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys
NFL Trends of Note
The Lions are 5-2 ATS in their L/7 as underdogs
Detroit is just 7-20-1 ATS in its L/28 played in the month of November
Dallas is the only team in the NFL yet to cover a game at home this season

Series History
These two teams have quite the history with one another, but ironically, the two Thanksgiving Day showcase teams haven’t met since 2007 and haven’t met on the eve of Thanksgiving week since 2005. The Lions have covered the L/2, losing 28-27 at home as 10.5 point pups in 2007 and winning 39-31 in Big D as 13 point dogs in 2006. Needless to say, both games flew past their ‘totals’. Dallas covered four straight from 2002 through 2005. The Lions even have a playoff victory to their credit against the Cowboys, a 15-10 win in 2002.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Buffalo Bills @ Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Trends of Note
The Bills are 11-4 ATS in their L/15 road games
Cincinnati is 1-7 ATS in its L/8 at home
The Bengals are 1-7 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a losing record

Series History
Things don’t look good for the Bengals based upon those NFL trends, and they don’t look all that special in this specific series history either. Cincinnati actually hasn’t beaten the Bills outright since the 1989 playoffs. Buffalo is 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS since that point. The Bengals have looked like the Bungals at home against Buffalo, losing 37-27 as 13.5 point favorites in 2005, 33-17 in 2004, and 33-20 in 1998, the only three meetings since that playoff encounter. Six of the L/8 have gone past the number as well, as Buffalo has scored at least 22 in nine straight in this series.

Sunday, November 21st, 4:05 PM ET: Seattle Seahawks @ New Orleans Saints
NFL Trends of Note
The Seahawks are just 3-11 ATS in their L/14 road games
Seattle is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 against teams with winning records
The Saints are 5-13 ATS in their L/18 games played in conference

Series History
Since 1985, these teams have only met on the gridiron eight times, and they are fairly evenly split in doing so. The Saints are 4-4 SU but only 3-5 ATS. Each team has two outright wins at home and two on the road. The ‘totals’ are split as well, with four games going ‘over’ and four going ‘under’. You have to go back to 1997 to find the last win for the Saints in this series at home, but there has only been one game here at the Superdome since that point. New Orleans marched to a 28-17 win in October 2007 in the most recent duel of these NFC squads at Qwest Field.

Sunday, November 21st, 4:05 PM ET: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ San Francisco 49ers
NFL Trends of Note
The Bucs are 7-19 ATS in their L/26 games played on grass
San Fran is 10-3-2 ATS in its L/15 against teams with a winning record
Tampa Bay actually hasn’t won a game in the Bay SU since 1980

Series History
In fairness though, the home team has won seven straight in this series both SU and ATS, and the last time a road team won, the Niners were favored by 16 point in the Big Sombrero in 1993. The Bucs came close the last two meetings in San Fran, losing 21-19 and 15-10, but the bad news for them is that the Niners were significant dogs in both games, including in ’05 as 10.5 point choices of the oddsmakers. The ’07 ‘over’ marked the first time a game in this series went past the number since 1994, ending a five game ‘under’ streak.

Sunday, November 21st, 4:05 PM ET: Atlanta Falcons @ St. Louis Rams
NFL Trends of Note
The Falcons are just 2-2 SU and ATS on the road this season
St. Louis is 4-1 SU and ATS at home on the year
The Falcons are 1-7 ATS in their L/8 played on turf

Series History
This is a very interesting clash between teams that used to share a division. The Rams have covered eight of the L/11 duels, but the home team has won six straight SU. If you’re looking for high scoring games, this is the series for you! The winning team has scored at least 28 points in the L/10 meetings dating back to 1999 and has scored at least 35 points in six of the ten. Needless to say, seven of the ten went past the number. 2008’s 31-27 win for the Falcons at the Georgia Dome marked the first time that this series ended with a game closer than a dozen points since the 1990s. That was also the last time the Falcons won a game here in the Edward Jones Dome.

Sunday, November 21st, 4:15 PM ET: Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots
NFL Trends of Note
The Colts are 9-1-2 ATS in their L/12 against teams with a winning record
Indy is 12-4-2 ATS in its L/18 games on the road
The underdog is 11-3-2 ATS in the L/16 meetings of these arch rivals

Series History
The big question around water coolers this weekend is who the better quarterback is in NFL history, Peyton Manning or Tom Brady… At least based upon recent history, the answer is Manning. His Colts have won four of the L/5 SU and have gone 4-1-1 ATS in the L/6. If you take the aggregate score in the five games of these teams from 2006 to 2009 including the ’07 playoff win that famously sent Indy to the Super Bowl for the first time since moving from Baltimore, the score is incredibly tight. All five games were separated by seven points or less, and Indy holds a slender edge of 138-127.

Sunday, November 21st, 8:20 PM ET: New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles
NFL Trends of Note
The Giants are 6-1-1 ATS in their L/8 following a double digit home loss
New York is 12-3-1 ATS in its L/16 as road underdogs of a field goal or less
The underdog is 10-1 ATS in the L/11 in this series

Series History
The one exception was the last meeting of last season, when the Eagles flew up to the Meadowlands and came away with a thrilling 45-38 ‘W’. Philly has won four straight in this series, including the only 23-11 game in NFL history in Jersey in the ’09 postseason. The Giants had won back to back games in Philly in ’07 and ’08 before getting romped here in the City of Brotherly Love 40-17 last year.

Monday, November 22nd, 8:30 PM ET: Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers
NFL Trends of Note
The Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 against teams following their bye week
San Diego is 5-1 ATS over the L/6 years in Week 11
The Bolts are 20-6 ATS in their L/26 games as home favorites ranging between 3.5 and 10.5 points

Series History
The Broncos are just 1-6-1 ATS in the L/7 clashes against their AFC West foes, but the one exception was last year’s duel at Qualcomm Stadium, a 34-23 win on Monday Night Football which propelled them to their 6-0 start and gave them a three game lead in the division… we all know what happened from that point forward… San Diego added salt to the wound by winning 32-3 at Mile High last year. San Diego has averaged scoring 36.5 points per game in the L/8 meetings, a number that, if it hits the board on Monday, will certainly leave the Broncos with absolutely no chance of survival.


NCAA Football Picks: Oklahoma Sooners @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Props

November 27th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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The Oklahoma Sooners are usually the team that is doing the hunting in the Bedlam series against the Oklahoma State Cowboys. However, this time around, it is Oklahoma State that is the favored team. The stakes are even higher on Saturday night, as the winner will play in the Big XII Championship Game against the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Here at Bankroll Sports, we have all of the prop picks for this de facto Big XII South title game that you certainly won’t want to miss out on.

Landry Jones Over/Under 330.5 Passing Yards
Let’s face the facts here. This isn’t going to exactly be a low scoring game. We know that Jones and the Oklahoma offense are going to get their points on the board, and we know that they are probably going to rack up over 500 yards of offense on the day. The Cowboys know that as well. The hosts rank No. 107 in the country in pass defense at just 258.0 yards per game allowed, but that includes all of those games against teams that could care less about throwing the pill around. Jones has averaged 318 yards per game in his career, and he is only getting better with every passing week. If you believe that the Cowboys are going to continue scoring in this one at a wicked pace, you have to love Jones going Over 330.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Saturday night.

Brandon Weeden Over/Under 344.5 Passing Yards
This number though, is a little absurd. Perhaps if Weeden were in the 320s or so, we would consider backing his over, but getting to 345 passing yards in a game is really, really tough, whether you have some of the best receivers in the nation to try to throw to or not. We know that over these last three games, Weeden has thrown for at least 389 yards and that he has tossed seven TDs in that stretch, but this is a different type of challenge which will require more attention to the ground game as well. The Sooners, at their best, are worlds better than the Kansas Jayhawks, Texas Longhorns, and Baylor Bears. You know that this isn’t going to be a three score game, which is what each of these last three have been as well. We think that Oklahoma is at least going to be able to hold Weeden down just a tad. He’ll put up his usual gaudy numbers, but he’ll still end up going Under 344.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Justin Blackmon Over/Under 130.5 Receiving Yards
Blackmon is always the top target for Weeden to throw to, and though we aren’t all that confident in his ability to get to the 350ish yard passing mark, we have no doubts that Blackmon is getting to his yardage total. Remember that this wide out leads the nation in virtually every receiving category in spite of the fact that he was suspended a couple weeks ago for a DUI. Blackmon can go for 300 yards by himself in this game if he really wanted to, and even though the Sooners are inevitably going to be rolling coverage to his side quite a lot, it isn’t going to make one difference. Blackmon will easily go Over 130.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).