Thursday Night NFL Picks: Colts vs. Jaguars Props & Predictions 11/8

November 8th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Full Colts vs. Jaguars NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Jags CheerleadersThe Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 10 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Josh Scobee Over/Under 6.5 Points: There aren’t many situations where we are going to want to back Jacksonville’s kicker, but this very well could be one of those times when it really pays off to go for the gold. Scobee has a rich history of just killing the Colts, including booting a number of game winners from 50+ yards out to crush the then QB Peyton Manning led bunch. Scobee already has 30 field goals made in 16 games against Indy in his career, and that includes 15 from outside of 40 yards. There’s no doubt that, in the end, Scobee is going to get his opportunities, and as long as he manages to sneak two between the uprights, there’s no reason to think that he won’t tack on either a PAT or a third field goal when push comes to shove. Remember that when these two teams met the first time, Scobee put up 10 total points. Josh Scobee Over 6.5 Points (+100)

Dwayne Allen Over/Under 46.5 Receiving Yards: If there is a quarterback that knows how to stretch out the field by using his tight ends, it’s Andrew Luck. He did so in college with so many fantastic tight ends, and he is doing the same here at the NFL level as well. Allen was the second rookie tight end taken by Indianapolis in the NFL Draft this past year, but he has really turned out to be the better of the two when push comes to shove. Now, Luck’s roommate, TE Coby Fleener is hurt, and that really just leaves Allen to pick up the slack. Luck is throwing the ball more now that the running game for the Colts is disintegrating, and that means less blocking and more pass catching for Allen. He has 12 targets over the course of the last two weeks, and if he hauls in just three or four of them, he should be able to get to this yardage total without all that much in the way of hassle. Dwayne Allen Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Andrew Luck Passing Yards Over/Under 278.5: As much as we think that it is a square play to take Luck going ‘over’ 278.5 yards, we just have to do it, knowing that he is going to do so more often than not. Acting Head Coach Bruce Arians just loves letting Luck air it out, and he is going to connect on a few of those long ones up the field for sure. He is throwing the ball over 40 times per game now with just RB Vick Ballard left to carry the load in the backfield, and that includes a lot of the check down passes that made the Manning-to-Faulk (then James, then Addai) combination oh so good. The Jacksonville defense can’t get out of its way for the most part, and it already allowed 300+ yards to Luck once this year. There’s just no reason to think that this won’t be the second time that he pulls that feat off. Andrew Luck Over 278.5 Passing Yards (-130)

Will Either Team Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game?: We’re really a bit puzzled as to why this number is 6 ½ minutes and not at least seven or 7 ½ minutes. These two teams both have a tendency of running some slower drives when push comes to shove, and if the Jags get the ball first, we all know just how long it takes them to get going at times, especially without RB Maurice Jones-Drew in the fold. There is just a real question where the Jacksonville offense is coming from if it isn’t coming from RB Rashad Jennings, and that makes it quite believable that there won’t be a score in the first half of the first quarter. No Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game (-110)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 11/8/12):
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Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game -110

Colts Score First -130
Jaguars Score First +100

First Score a Touchdown -155
First Score Not a Touchdown +125

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 41.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 41.5 Yards -115

Andrew Luck Completions Over 22.5 -130
Andrew Luck Completions Under 22.5 +100

Andrew Luck Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Andrew Luck Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Andrew Luck Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -145
Andrew Luck Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +115

Andrew Luck To Throw an Interception -150
Andrew Luck To Not Throw an Interception +120

Reggie Wayne Receptions Over 6.5 -125
Reggie Wayne Receptions Under 6.5 -105

Reggie Wayne Receiving Yards Over 88.5 -115
Reggie Wayne Receiving Yards Under 88.5 -115

Reggie Wayne Scores a Touchdown +120
Reggie Wayne Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

TY Hilton Receptions Over 3.5 -105
TY Hilton Receptions Under 3.5 -125

TY Hilton Longest Reception in Yards Over 25.5 -115
TY Hilton Longest Reception in Yards Under 25.5 -115

Dwayne Allen Receptions Over 3.5 -135
Dwayne Allen Receptions Under 3.5 +105

Dwayne Allen Receiving Yards Over 46.5 -115
Dwayne Allen Receiving Yards Under 46.5 -115

Jerrell Freeman Total Tackles Over 8.5 -115
Jerrell Freeman Total Tackles Under 8.5 -115

Adam Vinatieri Total Points Over 7.5 -115
Adam Vinatieri Total Points Under 7.5 -115

Blaine Gabbert Completions Over 19.5 -130
Blaine Gabbert Completions Under 19.5 +100

Blaine Gabbert Longest Completion Over 34.5 Yards -115
Blaine Gabbert Longest Completion Under 34.5 Yards -115

Blaine Gabbert Passing Yards Over 215.5 -130
Blaine Gabbert Passing Yards Under 215.5 +100

Blaine Gabbert Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +160
Blaine Gabbert Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -200

Blaine Gabbert Throws an Interception -150
Blaine Gabbert Doesn’t Throw an Interception +120

Cecil Shorts Receptions Over 3.5 +105
Cecil Shorts Receptions Under 3.5 -135

Cecil Shorts Receiving Yards Over 58.5 -130
Cecil Shorts Receiving Yards Under 58.5 +100

Marcedes Lewis Receptions Over 3 -115
Marcedes Lewis Receptions Under 3 -115

Marcedes Lewis Receiving Yards Over 30.5 -115
Marcedes Lewis Receiving Yards Under 30.5 -115

Justin Blackmon Receptions Over 3.5 -130
Justin Blackmon Receptions Under 3.5 +100

Justin Blackmon Receiving Yards Over 40.5 -115
Justin Blackmon Receiving Yards Under 40.5 -115

Laurent Robinson Receptions Over 3 -150
Laurent Robinson Receptions Under 3 +120

Russell Allen Total Tackles Over 7.5 -105
Russell Allen Total Tackles Under 7.5 -125

Josh Scobee Total Points Over 6.5 +100
Josh Scobee Total Points Under 6.5 -130


2012 NFL Week 9 Lines – Week Nine Lines Breakdown

November 4th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Check Out The NFL Week 9 Lines Below This Article

Mario Williams BillsWe are closing in on the halfway point of the 2012 NFL season, and that means that every single game on the NFL point spreads gets more and more important. Check out all of the NFL Week 9 odds at the bottom of this article, and join us for a quick discussion on all of the great games on the NFL Week 9 schedule!

There are a ton of teams right now that are searching for season-defining victories or trying to avoid what might be season-defining defeats. On Thursday night, the Kansas City Chiefs are going to hope to start to turn the ship around against the slumping San Diego Chargers. Both of these head coaches are in a heck of a lot of trouble, and we wouldn’t be all that surprised to see the loser dismissed sooner than later. The Chargers are favored by 7.5-points, but that doesn’t mean that they are a sure thing to win. Remember that this is the same San Diego outfit that has dropped back to back games, one in which it was up 24-0 before losing by double digits, and the latter of which came to the lowly Cleveland Browns.

San Diego is favored by a huge margin, but it isn’t nearly favored by the most points in the league this week. The biggest favorites are the Green Bay Packers, who are -11 against the Arizona Cardinals. This is the second straight week in which Green Bay is the biggest favorite on the NFL betting odds, but this might be the even easier of the two games. The Cards look like a wreck right now, and they have dropped four games in a row. You wouldn’t know just that a few weeks ago, Arizona was the 4-0 team, and Green Bay was the club that we were all asking what was wrong with it.

The other massive favorites are the Houston Texans, who are laying 10.5 to the Buffalo Bills. It is a reunion for DE Mario Williams, who is now one of the two former No. 1 overall picks in the NFL Draft of the Texans that are playing for other teams. Williams is banged up but is expected to give it a go against his former mates, who badly need a win to get back in control of the AFC East race. The Texans might be the best team in the NFL though, so it wouldn’t be considered all that much of a surprise if this is a romp, especially knowing that the last time we saw them play, they absolutely destroyed the Baltimore Ravens.

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One of the themes that we are seeing this week is the idea of the road favorite. There haven’t been a lot of them on the NFL odds this year, and for good reason. Home underdogs are covering 56.1% of all games this year and have won 48.8% of those games outright as well. Four teams, two in the AFC and two in the NFC are favored by 3.5 this week on the road, while a fifth, the Miami Dolphins, are giving 2.5 to the Indianapolis Colts.

The Denver Broncos are giving 3.5 to the Cincinnati Bengals in a game that both teams badly need to win. The Bengals are sliding and could be out of the playoff picture with a loss in this one. However, the Broncos aren’t going to give up their newly acquired lead in the AFC West without a fight, even on the road against a team that was in the playoffs last year. You still have to go back two years to find a game that Cincinnati has won against a team that ultimately went to the playoffs that season.

The old Cleveland Browns are visiting the new Cleveland Browns as well this week. The Baltimore Ravens are off of their bye, and they are hoping to avoid becoming the newest team to lose to the Browns. Cleveland has played a heck of a lot better ball over the course of the last few weeks, and it would love nothing more than to spoil the weekend for the AFC North leaders and maybe think about getting back in the playoff chase itself as well. Baltimore is favored by 3.5-points, but that doesn’t mean that this game is so far removed from an upset.

The two teams in the NFC that are favored by 3.5 are the Detroit Lions and the Chicago Bears. They are both going on the road to face teams from the AFC South, the Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans respectively. These are both games that should be won this weekend by the NFC North squads, knowing that the AFC South might be the worst division in football outside of the Texans.

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Maybe the biggest game on Sunday is the 4:25 ET kick between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the New York Giants. These two teams are built awfully similarly, and both have their questions to them. Pittsburgh is the team in much more dire need of a victory, and it might be possible, knowing that the Giants are coming off of that emotional win last week in Dallas. The G-Men are giving a field goal in a game that should be a real fight.

Other games on the Sunday docket that we have not yet discussed include the Washington Redskins -3.5 against the Carolina Panthers, the Seattle Seahawks -5 againt the Minnesota Vikings, and the Oakland Raiders -1.5 at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Of note on the Minnesota/Seattle game is the fact that this is the only game of the week with a ‘total’ posted in the 30s, and that is only just barely there right now at 39.5.

Sunday Night Football this week pits the Atlanta Falcons at home against the Dallas Cowboys. We’re not really all that sure what the oddsmakers are seeing in Dallas to make this NFL line just four points, but to the Cowboys’ credit, they have stayed close in virtually every game that they have played this year. The Falcons are still undefeated though, and it would be difficult to see how the Cowboys would come on the road to the Georgia Dome to score the upset.

Monday Night Football should feature just a ton of points as well. The much beleaguered Philadelphia Eagles and the New Orleans Saints both know that they have to go on a run here, and in a hurry if they are going to challenge for playoff spots this year in the top-heavy NFC. This is a game that features the highest ‘total’ of the weekend at 52.5, and it also sees the host Saints giving a field goal in their quest to become just the second team in the history of the league to start 0-4 and to make the playoffs.

2012 NFL Week 9 Lines @ UCABet Sportsbook (as of 11/2/12):
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Week 9 Thursday Night Football Odds for Thursday, November 1st
301 Kansas City Chiefs +7.5
302 San Diego Chargers -7.5
Over/Under 41

Week 9 NFL Spreads for Sunday, November 4th (1:00 ET Kickoffs)
415 Denver Broncos -3.5
416 Cincinnati Bengals +3.5
Over/Under 47.5

417 Arizona Cardinals +10
418 Green Bay Packers -10
Over/Under 43.5

419 Miami Dolphins -2
420 Indianapolis Colts +2
Over/Under 43.5

421 Baltimore Ravens -3.5
422 Cleveland Browns +3.5
Over/Under 42.5

423 Buffalo Bills +10
424 Houston Texans -10
Over/Under 47.5

425 Carolina Panthers +3
426 Washington Redskins -3
Over/Under 47.5

427 Detroit Lions -4.5
428 Jacksonville Jaguars +4.5
Over/Under 44

429 Chicago Bears -3.5
430 Tennessee Titans +3.5
Over/Under 43.5

NFL Week 9 Betting Lines for Sunday, November 4th (4:00 ET Kickoffs)
431 Minnesota Vikings +4
432 Seattle Seahawks -4
Over/Under 38.5

433 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5
434 Oakland Raiders -1.5
Over/Under 46.5

435 Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5
436 New York Giants -3.5
Over/Under 48

Sunday Night Football Week 9 Odds for Sunday, November 4th
437 Dallas Cowboys +3.5
438 Atlanta Falcons -3.5
Over/Under 47.5

Monday Night Football Week 9 Lines for Monday, October 5th
439 Philadelphia Eagles +3
440 New Orleans Saints -3
Over/Under 51.5


NFL Picks: Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints Predictions 11/5

November 4th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Full Eagles @ Saints NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

New Orleans Saints CheerleadersThe New Orleans Saints and Philadelphia Eagles are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 9 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

DeSean Jackson Over/Under 74.5 Receiving Yards: D-Jax hasn’t played the best ball of late, as he only has 14 receptions for 191 yards over the course of his last three games without a trip to the end zone. This is the New Orleans defense that he is going to be playing against though, and this unit has allowed at least 199 yards to opposing wide receivers in all but one game this year (and that came against the lowly Chiefs). There is no reason to think that both Jackson and WR Jeremy Maclin won’t have big time games this week, as these are the two receivers that QB Michael Vick looks at the most. We also like Jackson over 4.5 receptions, but this is the better play, knowing that the speed of Jackson can take one 75 yards on a single play. DeSean Jackson Over 74.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Jeremy Maclin Over/Under 53.5 Receiving Yards: Same premise here with Maclin. The Saints’ secondary is awful. Maclin has gotten over 53.5 receiving yards just twice all season long, and just once since Week 1. Still, we think that he is in for a much better game this time around, and he should have another one of these borderline 100+ yard games. Jeremy Maclin Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Marques Colston Over/Under 77.5 Receiving Yards: With RB Darren Sproles out of the fold, QB Drew Brees is going to have to work hard to get the ball down the field. The problem is that he is going against a very talented secondary for the Eagles, and this unit is going to be tough to crack when push comes to shove. Don’t be all that shocked if Colston will draw the attention of DB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie quite a bit, and that might get Brees to think twice about try to get the ball to the man from Hofstra. There will be better days for Colston than this. Remember that he has only made it to 78 yards twice this entire season to date. Marques Colston Under 77.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Will Jimmy Graham Score a Touchdown?: If there is a Jimmy Graham prop on Monday Night Football this week, we love the ‘over’. Graham is a man that has fallen upon hard times this year because of his bum ankle, but in the end, he is still a dream to have at this position this year. Remember that he had 99 receptions last year and averaged over 80 yards per game, but more important to us right now is the fact that he has scored a touchdown in four of the five games that he has played in from start to finish this year. And, the one game that he didn’t play at all, TE David Thomas had a touchdown. With Sproles out, Graham is probably going to be the security blanket that Brees needs to get the ball to when he is in trouble. We expect to see at least 8 receptions, at least 100 yards, and at least one, if not more trips to the end zone for the Miami Hurricane. Jimmy Graham To Score a Touchdown (-115)

Garrett Hartley Over/Under 6.5 Points: Hartley hasn’t kicked a field goal in two straight games, but what he does routinely do is kick a ton of extra points for New Orleans touchdowns. Granted, we know that it is going to take at least one field goal, and likely at least two to get Hartley to this number, but we have confidence, especially after he had at least two chances in three out of four games to start the year, that he is going to get that opportunity this time around as well against a Philly defense that has a heck of a lot to prove this week. Garrett Hartley Over 6.5 Points (-150)

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Props @ BetOnline Sportsbook (as of 11/5/12):
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Score in the First 5.5 Minutes of the Game -125
No Score in the First 5.5 Minutes of the Game -105

Eagles Score First +105
Saints Score First -135

First Score a Touchdown -210
First Score Not a Touchdown +165

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 50.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 50.5 Yards -115

Michael Vick Completions Over 22.5 -125
Michael Vick Completions Under 22.5 -105

Michael Vick Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Michael Vick Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Michael Vick Passing Yards Over 263.5 -115
Michael Vick Passing Yards Under 263.5 -115

Michael Vick Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -160
Michael Vick Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +130

LeSean McCoy Rushing Yards Over 90.5 -115
LeSean McCoy Rushing Yards Under 90.5 -115

LeSean McCoy Receptions Over 3.5 -140
LeSean McCoy Receptions Under 3.5 +110

LeSean McCoy Scores a Touchdown -185
LeSean McCoy Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +145

DeSean Jackson Receptions Over 4.5 -145
DeSean Jackson Receptions Under 4.5 +115

DeSean Jackson Receiving Yards Over 74.5 -115
DeSean Jackson Receiving Yards Under 74.5 -115

Jeremy Maclin Receiving Yards Over 53.5 -115
Jeremy Maclin Receiving Yards Under 53.5 -115

Jeremy Maclin Scores a Touchdown +140
Jeremy Maclin Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Brent Celek Receptions Over 3.5 -125
Brent Celek Receptions Under 3.5 -105

Brent Celek Receiving Yards Over 49.5 -115
Brent Celek Receiving Yards Under 49.5 -115

Jason Avant Receptions Over 3 +115
Jason Avant Receptions Under 3 -145

DeMeco Ryans Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 6.5 -130
DeMeco Ryans Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 6.5 +100

Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie Intercepts a Pass +250
Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -330

Alex Henery Total Points Over 7.5 +115
Alex Henery Total Points Under 7.5 -140

Drew Brees Completions Over 27.5 -115
Drew Brees Completions Under 27.5 -115

Drew Brees Longest Completion in Yards Over 40.5 -130
Drew Brees Longest Completion in Yards Under 40.5 +100

Drew Brees Passing Yards Over 318.5 -115
Drew Brees Passing Yards Under 318.5 -115

Drew Brees Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 -105
Drew Brees Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -125

Drew Brees Throws an Interception -260
Drew Brees Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +200

Marques Colston Receptions Over 5.5 -115
Marques Colston Receptions Under 5.5 -115

Marques Colston Receiving Yards Over 77.5 -115
Marques Colston Receiving Yards Under 77.5 -115

Marques Colston Scores a Touchdown -105
Marques Colston Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -125

Lance Moore Receptions Over 4 -125
Lance Moore Receptions Under 4 -105

Lance Moore Receiving Yards Over 65.5 -115
Lance Moore Receiving Yards Under 65.5 -115

Jimmy Graham Receptions Over 5 +100
Jimmy Graham Receptions Under 5 -130

Jimmy Graham Receiving Yards Over 60.5 -115
Jimmy Graham Receiving Yards Under 60.5 -115

Jimmy Graham Scores a Touchdown -115
Jimmy Graham Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Curtis Lofton Total Tackles Over 8.5 -125
Curtis Lofton Total Tackles Under 8.5 -105

Garrett Hartley Total Points Over 6.5 -150
Garrett Hartley Total Points Under 6.5 +120


Marijuana Laws: Legalize Pot Odds in Colorado, Washington, Oregon

November 4th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Light one up and pass down the ballot! Colorado, Washington, and Oregon all have initiatives to either legalize or ease restrictions on marijuana use and sales. With the number of people supporting marijuana legalization growing every year, states have been slowly taking small steps towards legalization for over a decade now but these would be some of the most progressive reforms yet. It comes as no surprise that these initiatives involve three of the most liberal states in the US or that these three early adopters are voting on this on Tuesday.

In Colorado, voters will be able to vote on Amendment 64 which will decriminalize marijuana and give it the same restrictions as alcohol, legalizing it fully for anyone under 21 and allowing stores to sell weed with a state license. If this passes, Colorado would be the first state in the country to fully legalize marijuana and could open the floodgates for other states and perhaps even the national government to fully legalize pot. Currently, Amendment 64 is a -210 favorite at SportBet Sportsbook to pass per the 2012 election odds and the odds for the measure not to pass are +160. When betting these lines, it’s important to keep in mind that initiative or amendment polling has a spotty track record at best, so rather than follow the polls it may be better to go with your gut.

Oregon voters will decide on Measure 80 on Tuesday, but this reform does not seem to have near the support that Amendment 64 has in Colorado. The measure is currently a massive -750 betting favorite according to the marijuana legalization chances with the option of the measure passing checking in as a +450 underdog at SportBet.com. A poll released on Wednesday found that 49% of Oregon voters opposed the measure and only 42% supported it. However, marijuana advocates quickly pointed out how the poll may have been skewed due to pollsters conducting this exclusively over the phone on landlines. They point out that a vast number of young people (assumed to be the major proponents of the measure) no longer use landlines and the poll thus had a flaw in its methodology and underrepresented the measure’s support. This is a valid argument and a poll compiled a different way may have an entirely different result.

Washington’s Initiative 502 is a huge favorite to be passed possibly because this does not liberalize marijuana to the extent that the legislation in Oregon and Colorado will. Right now, the bill is a -600 favorite to pass per the odds that weed is legalized at SportBet.com and is a sizeable +400 underdog to fail. With a name like the Evergreen State it seems inevitable that marijuana will be broadly legalized this fall and there may be a cloud of smoke bigger than Mt St Helen’s to celebrate.

Hovering over all of this though is the United States government, which might use its broad powers to sue any state that passes these measures as being in contradiction to federal law. Federal law prohibits marijuana sale, use, and possession and an action by the United States would tie up the legality of these laws in courts for years before potentially going all the way to the Supreme Court. One could only fathom what the Supreme Court would decide, but even this would go a long ways to the legalization of marijuana in America.

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2012 College Football Week 10 Lines – NCAA Football Week Ten Lines

November 2nd, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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All Of The College Football Week 10 Betting Lines Are Below

Alabama vs. LSUIt’s not all that often that we see two teams that have both been ranked in the Top 10 in the nation that are underdogs and big ones at that at home, but that’s the case this week when we analyze the Week 10 College Football Odds.

The bigger of the two underdogs that we are referring to are the LSU Tigers. The Bayou Bengals were heavy underdogs last year going on the road against the Alabama Crimson Tide, where no one figured that they would be able to win in the battle of No. 1 against No. 2. This year, it isn’t quite the top team and the second team in the land, but there is no doubt that the stakes are huge. LSU has no choice but to win this game if it is going to be in the BCS this year, and the team hardly ever loses at home, especially at night. This is the biggest test that the seemingly unbeatable Crimson Tide will face all year long, and they are laying a whopping 10 points in their ninth, and most crucial game of the season.

Meanwhile on the other side of the country, the USC Trojans are going to be underdogs of 7.5 points at home against the Oregon Ducks. Last year, it was USC that was the underdog on the road, and it was Oregon that was expected to run away with the game. Instead, the Men of Troy were able to win the game in Autzen Stadium, a win that figured to be the rocket launcher towards a potential National Championship season. Thus far this year at home, Southern Cal hasn’t been topped, but there have already been two other Pac-12 teams, including the Arizona Wildcats last week that picked it off. It is going to take a huge effort for QB Matt Barkley to be able to win this game against one of the most exciting offenses in the nation.

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Meanwhile, there are a number of other teams that are ranked in the Top 10 in the country that are expected to be easy winners in this one. The No. 3 Kansas State Wildcats are the only other ones of the bunch that are playing against a team that is ranked in the Top 25. They are taking on the Oklahoma State Cowboys, who know all about what it is like to have the whole nation going against them in the quest for the BCS National Championship. KSU is favored by eight at home, but this is clearly a dangerous game in the murderer’s row of games that are on tap in the Big XII this year.

The fourth ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish are in a significantly easier battle this week. They’re at home against the Pitt Panthers, who are just trying to get into a bowl game. The Golden Domers are laying 17. That’s approximately the same college football point spread that the Florida Gators are laying against the Missouri Tigers at home. Also in the SEC, the Georgia Bulldogs, fresh off of their win against Florida last week in the World’s Largest Cocktail Party, are giving two touchdowns to the Ole Miss Rebels. Winning that game would put Georgia just one step away from winning the SEC East. A loss parlayed with a Florida victory, and it will be the Gators going to the SEC Championship Game.

Other home teams that are heavy favorites in the Top 25 include the Oregon State Beavers -5.5 against the Arizona State Sun Devils, the Boise State Broncos giving 13.5 to the San Diego State Aztecs, the West Virginia Mountaineers starting seven points behind the TCU Horned Frogs, and the Temple Owls getting 14 from the Louisville Cardinals.

It’s not all fun and games for teams in the Top 25 on the Week 10 odds at home. The Stanford Cardinal and Clemson Tigers have to go on the road, but they are both heavy favorites against the Colorado Buffaloes and Duke Blue Devils respectively. There is one team that is in the Top 25, the Nebraska Cornhuskers, that are actually underdogs against an unranked team in the Michigan State Spartans. MSU really needs this one to stay in the chase for the Rose Bowl this year, and it is laying a point and a half to try to get the job done.

There are only five games this week that pit a pair of Top 25 teams against each other. We have already spoken about three of these five games, but the ones that we have yet to discuss are the Texas Tech Red Raiders hosting the Texas Longhorns and the Texas A&M Aggies against the Mississippi State Bulldogs. There could be some massive implications for the Cotton Bowl in these two games, as the winners are likely going to be on the inside track to Dallas for the postseason. Texas is going to likely be switching quarterbacks, allowing QB Case McCoy to take his shot at the Red Raiders, who haven’t won in this series since that magical win against the Horns when they were ranked No. 1 in the country four years ago. This time though, T-Tech is the 6.5-point favorite. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are getting no respect whatsoever at home, as they are underdogs of a whopping seven points at home against Texas A&M to start the week.

The biggest favorites this week are the Northern Illinois Huskies, who are giving 35 to the Massachusetts Minutemen. There are three teams that are laying at least 31, including the Fresno State Bulldogs -33.5 against the Hawaii Warriors and the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -31.5 against the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners.

2012 NCAA Football Week 10 Odds @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 11/2/12):
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Week 10 College Football Betting Lines for Thursday, 11/1/12

303 Eastern Michigan Eagles +16
304 Ohio Bobcats -16
Over/Under 58.5

305 Virginia Tech Hokies -1
306 Miami Hurricanes +1
Over/Under 57.5

307 Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders +9
308 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -9
Over/Under 55.5

NCAA Football Lines for Week 10 for Friday, 11/2/12

309 Washington Huskies +4
310 Cal Golden Bears -4
Over/Under 50.5

Week 10 NCAA Football Odds for Saturday, 11/3/12

311 Penn State Nittany Lions -3.5
312 Purdue Boilermakers +3.5
Over/Under 51.5

313 Air Force Falcons -7
314 Army Black Knights +7
Over/Under 60.5

315 Akron Zips +20
316 Kent State Golden Flashes -20
Over/Under 59

317 Vanderbilt Commodores -7
318 Kentucky Wildcats +7
Over/Under 46

319 Massachusetts Minutemen +34.5
320 Northern Illinois Huskies -34.5
Over/Under 57

321 Temple Owls +16
322 Louisville Cardinals -16
Over/Under 50.5

323 Boston College Eagles +3
324 Wake Forest Demon Deacons -3
Over/Under 51.5

325 Houston Cougars -3.5
326 East Carolina Pirates +3.5
Over/Under 69.5

327 Iowa Hawkeyes +2.5
328 Indiana Hoosiers -2.5
Over/Under 55.5

329 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -8.5
330 Maryland Terrapins +8.5
Over/Under 46.5

331 Clemson Tigers -12
332 Duke Blue Devils +12
Over/Under 65.5

333 Tulsa Golden Hurricane +9
334 Arkansas Razorbacks -9
Over/Under 64.5

335 New Mexico State Aggies +22.5
336 Auburn Tigers -22.5
Over/Under 50.5

337 Stanford Cardinal -28
338 Colorado Buffaloes +28
Over/Under 51.5

339 Texas State Bobcats +26.5
340 Utah State Aggies -26.5
Over/Under 52

341 Alabama Crimson Tide -8.5
342 LSU Tigers +8.5
Over/Under 40

343 Colorado State Rams +7.5
344 Wyoming Cowboys -7.5
Over/Under 52

345 Virginia Cavaliers +10.5
346 NC State Wolfpack -10.5
Over/Under 50

347 Arizona State Sun Devils +3.5
348 Oregon State Beavers -3.5
Over/Under 56

349 Missouri Tigers +17
350 Florida Gators -17
Over/Under 41.5

351 Nebraska Cornhuskers -1.5
352 Michigan State Spartans +1.5
Over/Under 44

353 TCU Horned Frogs +4
354 West Virginia Mountaineers -4
Over/Under 69.5

355 Illinois Fighting Illini +27.5
356 Ohio State Buckeyes -27.5
Over/Under 51.5

357 Pittsburgh Panthers +17
358 Notre Dame Fighting Irish -17
Over/Under 45

359 Texas San Antonio Roadrunners +30.5
360 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -30.5
Over/Under 73

361 San Jose State Spartans -20.5
362 Idaho Vandals +20.5
Over/Under 53

363 SMU Mustangs +9.5
364 UCF Knights -9.5
Over/Under 51

365 Connecticut Huskies +7.5
366 South Florida Bulls -7.5
Over/Under 45.5

367 Western Michigan Broncos -2
368 Eastern Michigan Eagles +2
Over/Under 61.5

369 Miami Redhawks +2.5
370 Buffalo Bulls -2.5
Over/Under 54

371 Ole Miss Rebels +14
372 Georgia Bulldogs -14
Over/Under 62

373 Syracuse Orange +4.5
374 Cincinnati Bearcats -4.5
Over/Under 57

375 Washington State Cougars +11
376 Utah Utes -11
Over/Under 49

377 UAB Blazers +3
378 Southern Miss Golden Eagles -3
Over/Under 63

379 Memphis Tigers +19.5
380 Marshall Thundering Herd -19.5
Over/Under 66

381 Michigan Wolverines -10.5
382 Minnesota Golden Gophers +10.5
Over/Under 46.5

383 Oklahoma State Cowboys +9
384 Kansas State Wildcats -9
Over/Under 66.5

385 Texas Longhorns +7
386 Texas Tech Red Raiders -7
Over/Under 67

387 Texas A&M Aggies -7
388 Mississippi State Bulldogs +7
Over/Under 60

389 Kansas Jayhawks +17
390 Baylor Bears -17
Over/Under 71

391 Oklahoma Sooners -12
392 Iowa State Cyclones +12
Over/Under 53

393 Oregon Ducks -8.5
394 USC Trojans +8.5
Over/Under 69.5

395 Rice Owls -5.5
396 Tulane Green Wave +5.5
Over/Under 63.5

397 Hawaii Warriors +33.5
398 Fresno State Bulldogs -33.5
Over/Under 60.5

399 Arizona Wildcats +3
400 UCLA Bruins -3
Over/Under 71

401 New Mexico Lobos +3.5
402 UNLV Runnin’ Rebels -3.5
Over/Under 53

403 San Diego State Aztecs +15
404 Boise State Broncos -15
Over/Under 49.5

405 Florida Atlantic Owls +15
406 Navy Midshipmen -15
Over/Under 49.5

407 Florida International Golden Panthers -3.5
408 South Alabama Jaguars +3.5
Over/Under 52

409 Troy Trojans +18
410 Tennessee Volunteers -18
Over/Under 69.5

411 Arkansas State Red Wolves -4
412 North Texas Mean Green +4
Over/Under 60

413 Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns +9.5
414 Louisiana Monroe Warhawks -9.5
Over/Under 62


2012 Presidential Election Odds: Barack Obama 2012 Reelection Odds

October 30th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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With a little more than a week until Election Day, presidential betting action has been heating up as Barack Obama and Mitt Romney battle it out to see who is the next President of the United States of America. Romney and Obama have been ramping up their campaigns in the homestretch with each making several stops per day in key battleground states in hopes of reaching the magical number of 270 electoral votes needed to become the next POTUS.

The betting odds for the president have been in favor of President Obama since his Inauguration Day in 2009. Although he had a momentary scare with his poll numbers and betting odds free-falling after his first performance of the debate season, his last two debate showings helped stop the Romney momentum and has helped the presidential betting lines remain relatively static over the last few weeks. Currently, President Obama is a -200 favorite and Governor Romney is a +170 underdog at GT Bets Sportsbook.

One of the more interesting subplots of the political betting spectrum this election cycle has been that the betting sites have shaded more in favor of Romney than reputed polling sites like FiveThirtyEight. As of Sunday night, FiveThirtyEight gives President Obama a 73.6% chance to win, equivalent to making Obama a -279 favorite. Perhaps this could mean that a slight majority of gamblers prefer Romney to Obama or that gamblers don’t put much weight in the calculations that these sites make.

What’s certain is that President Obama has a much clearer route to remaining in the Oval Office than Governor Romney does. Obama has more solid electoral votes than Romney and thus does not need to win as many of the swing states in order to secure re-election. Of utmost importance to both parties with regards to these swing states, is the Buckeye State. Romney would be extremely hard-pressed to claim victory in this election without winning Ohio as Obama would have the election all but locked up if Ohio went blue. Both parties have rapidly mobilized their resources in this state and by November 6 it is unlikely that any Ohio voter has not been robo-dialed, e-mailed or snail mailed in hopes of securing their vote. Other than Ohio, Colorado, Nevada, New Hampshire, Virginia, Florida, Iowa, and Wisconsin are the important swing states in this one and voters there can expect to be harangued heavily over the next eight days.

For the fourth straight presidential election, heading up to Election Day there is not a clear winner between incumbent President Barack Obama and challenger Governor Mitt Romney. Even though Romney is still trailing, he still has a very sizeable chance to win the election according to both the presidential betting odds and the prognostication websites dedicated to determining who the next president will be. Once again, the presidency will come down to a handful of swing states that have the power to decide who will be America’s next president.

Anyone who has paid even cursory attention to the election, knows that Ohio and its 18 electoral votes is of the foremost importance of any swing state. Currently, Barack Obama is seen as a -170 favorite per the state of Ohio betting lines with Mitt Romney being a +130 underdog. However, respected political site FiveThirtyEight is much more bullish on President Obama’s odds, giving him a 73.5% chance to win the state. Both candidates will be doing much of their campaigning in this crucial key state over the next week, highlighting its importance in the election. No Republican has ever won the presidency without winning Ohio, so this race is Mitt Romney’s top priority in order to succeed Barack Obama.

Although it is only worth 9 electoral votes, the race in Colorado is an intriguing one because it is as close to a toss-up as any other state battle. Mitt Romney is listed as a -145 favorite to win the state according to GT Bets Sportsbook despite the fact that FiveThirtyEight gives Obama a 57% advantage in the state. Recently released polls from PPP, Grove, Keating Research, Marist, and Purple Strategies all also give the advantage to the sitting president and Obama has recent history on his side as well, winning the state handily over John McCain during the 2008 election.

Pennsylvania isn’t much of a battleground state this election, but the fact that it has 20 electoral votes makes it very valuable in getting to the magical number of 270. Obama is listed as a heavy favorite (-600) to take the Keystone State and Romney is a sizeable underdog (+400). Unlike these other states though, Pennsylvania has been de-centralized with neither candidate running a campaign ad on either the state’s television or radio waves during the election cycle and neither candidate has made more than a few campaign stops in the state with none coming during the month of October.

The mecca of American sports betting is up for grounds in this election despite Obama coasting to a victory in Nevada in 2008, winning the state by 12.5%. This time, the state is projected to only be decided by a few percentage points one way or the other. Obama is a -300 favorite to take the state by the individual state betting lines with Romney listed as a +220 underdog.

It may be an undercard to the presidential race, but senate betting odds are now up for gamblers to wager on. Democrats currently control the Senate and are expected to retain control of the upper house of Congress in 2012, even though 21 Democratic Party candidates have their seats on the line compared to only 10 Republican seats up for grabs. GT Bets Sportsbook currently has the odds on Democrats gaining control of the Senate at -300 with Republicans listed as a +220 underdog to either gain control or split control. Before this election, Democrats held 51 seats in the US Senate compared to only 47 seats for the Republicans with 2 seats being held by independents. Democrats are heavy favorites in most of the races and are expected to keep the majority.

Some individual senate races have garnered a lot of publicity, possibly none more so than the race in Missouri between Claire McCaskill (D) and Todd Akin (R). Todd Akin set off a political firestorm earlier in the race when he claimed that women could not get pregnant from “legitimate rape” because the female body had hormones that would cause her to be infertile. This humongous gaffe immediately swung the race for McCaskill who has been a strong favorite ever sense and was a big blow to the Republicans who saw Missouri as a winnable state for the GOP. Akin resisted calls from Republican leadership to bow out of the race but is very unlikely to win the seat as a +450 underdog per the Senate betting lines compared to McCaskill with her -750 favorite status.

Virginia has been the center of some controversy as well and there is a much more open race going on between Tim Kaine (D) and George Allen (R). Kaine is the favorite right now with GT Bets Sportsbook listing him as a -265 favorite and Allen placed as a moderate +185 underdog. Allen has gotten a recent boost in spending though with casino magnate Sheldon Adelson recently donating $1.5 million to one of Allen’s super-PACs. Expect to see a flood of ads on local television stations due to the influx of money in Allen’s warchest.

Massachusetts may be one of the most liberal states in the nation, but they have had success recently with Republicans moving toward the center and stealing seats away from Democrats. Scott Brown (R) hopes to continue this trend, but is a +310 underdog to Elizabeth Warren (D) -430. Warren appears to be pulling away in polls with the latest PPP poll showing here with a 9 point lead, but anything can happen in the run-up to Election Day.

2012 Presidential Election Update (Current Presidential Election Odds) @ GT Bets (as of 11/5/12):
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Politics Other Sports Money Line
2012 US Presidential Election
Tue 11/6 1001 Barack Obama wins 2012 election -340
10:00AM 1002 Mitt Romney wins 2012 election +280

Tue 11/6 1103 Barack Obama wins Colorado -150
10:00AM 1104 Mitt Romney wins Colorado +110

Tue 11/6 1105 Barack Obama wins Florida +215
10:00AM 1106 Mitt Romney wins Florida -295

Tue 11/6 1109 Barack Obama wins Iowa -260
10:00AM 1110 Mitt Romney wins Iowa +180

Tue 11/6 1111 Barack Obama wins Maine -4500
10:00AM 1112 Mitt Romney wins Maine +1500

Tue 11/6 1113 Barack Obama wins Michigan -750
10:00AM 1114 Mitt Romney wins Michigan +450

Tue 11/6 1115 Barack Obama wins Minnesota -1050
10:00AM 1116 Mitt Romney wins Minnesota +550

Tue 11/6 1117 Barack Obama wins Nevada -1500
10:00AM 1118 Mitt Romney wins Nevada +700

Tue 11/6 1119 Barack Obama wins New Hampshire -245
10:00AM 1120 Mitt Romney wins New Hampshire +175

Tue 11/6 1121 Barack Obama wins North Carolina +400
10:00AM 1122 Mitt Romney wins North Carolina -600

Tue 11/6 1123 Barack Obama wins Ohio -260
10:00AM 1124 Mitt Romney wins Ohio +180

Tue 11/6 1125 Barack Obama wins Oregon -4500
10:00AM 1126 Mitt Romney wins Oregon +1500

Tue 11/6 1127 Barack Obama wins Pennsylvania -530
10:00AM 1128 Mitt Romney wins Pennsylvania +350

Tue 11/6 1129 Barack Obama wins Virginia -140
10:00AM 1130 Mitt Romney wins Virginia +100

Tue 11/6 1131 Barack Obama wins Wisconsin -320
10:00AM 1132 Mitt Romney wins Wisconsin +240

2012 US Presidential Election – Electoral College
Tue 11/6 1221 Barack Obama electoral votes over 249½ -1200
10:00AM 1222 Barack Obama electoral votes under 249½ +600

Tue 11/6 1223 Barack Obama electoral votes over 259½ -530
10:00AM 1224 Barack Obama electoral votes under 259½ +350

Tue 11/6 1225 Barack Obama electoral votes over 279½ -260
10:00AM 1226 Barack Obama electoral votes under 279½ +180

Tue 11/6 1227 Barack Obama electoral votes over 289½ -145
10:00AM 1228 Barack Obama electoral votes under 289½ +105

Tue 11/6 1229 Barack Obama electoral votes over 294½ -115
10:00AM 1230 Barack Obama electoral votes under 294½ -125

Tue 11/6 1231 Barack Obama electoral votes over 299½ +115
10:00AM 1232 Barack Obama electoral votes under 299½ -155

Tue 11/6 1233 Barack Obama electoral votes over 309½ +210
10:00AM 1234 Barack Obama electoral votes under 309½ -290

Tue 11/6 1261 Electoral College to be tied 269-269 +2500
10:00AM 1262 Electoral College not tied 269-269 -5000

2012 US Presidential Election – Popular Vote
Tue 11/6 1303 Barack Obama popular vote -0.49999% -150
10:00AM 1304 Mitt Romney popular vote +0.49999% +110

Tue 11/6 1305 Barack Obama popular vote -0.99999% -105
10:00AM 1306 Mitt Romney popular vote +0.99999% -135

Tue 11/6 1305 Barack Obama popular vote -1.99999% +175
10:00AM 1306 Mitt Romney popular vote +1.99999% -245

Tue 11/6 1315 Barack Obama popular vote +0.49999% -230
10:00AM 1316 Mitt Romney popular vote -0.49999% +170

Tue 11/6 1391 Gary Johnson popular vote over 0.49999% -600
10:00AM 1392 Gary Johnson popular vote under 0.49999% +400

Tue 11/6 1393 Gary Johnson popular vote over 0.99999% +100
10:00AM 1394 Gary Johnson popular vote under 0.99999% -140

Tue 11/6 1395 Gary Johnson popular vote over 1.49999% +210
10:00AM 1396 Gary Johnson popular vote under 1.49999% -290

2012 US Presidential Election – Electoral College / Popular Vote
Tue 11/6 1451 Electoral winner to lose popular vote +290
10:00AM 1452 Any other result -410
2012 US Presidential Election – States Won

Tue 11/6 1501 Mitt Romney states won over 26½ +100
10:00AM 1502 Mitt Romney states won under 26½ -140

2012 Congressional Elections – post election control of the Senate
Tue 11/6 1901 Democrats control the Senate -420
10:00AM 1902 Republicans control Senate / Split +300

Tue 11/6 1903 Control of Senate a split +470
10:00AM 1904 Control of Senate not a split -810

Tue 11/6 1905 Republicans control the Senate +585
10:00AM 1905 Democrats control Senate / split -1155
a split = no action

Tue 11/6 1907 Democrats control the Senate -1050
10:00AM 1908 Republicans control the Senate +550

2012 Congressional Elections – post election Senate seats
Tue 11/6 1909 Republicans hold over 47½ Senate seats -145
10:00AM 1910 Republicans hold under 47½ Senate seats +105

2012 Congressional Elections – post election control of the House of Representatives
Tue 11/6 1911 Republicans control the House of Rep. -2750
10:00AM 1912 Democrats control House of Rep / split +1450

2012 US Senate Elections
Tue 11/6 1951 Richard Carmona (D) wins Arizona +500
10:00AM 1952 Jeff Flake (R) wins Arizona -900

Tue 11/6 1953 Chris Murphy (D) wins Connecticut -1350
10:00AM 1954 Linda McMahon (R) wins Connecticut +650

Tue 11/6 1955 Joe Donnelly (D) wins Indiana -310
10:00AM 1956 Richard Mourdock (R) wins Indiana +230

Tue 11/6 1957 Elizabeth Warren (D) wins Massachusetts -400
10:00AM 1958 Scott Brown (R) wins Massachusetts +280

Tue 11/6 1959 Claire McCaskill (D) wins Missouri -475
10:00AM 1960 Todd Akin (R) wins Missouri +325

Tue 11/6 1961 Jon Tester (D) wins Montana +180
10:00AM 1962 Denny Rehberg (R) wins Montana -260

Tue 11/6 1963 Heidi Heitkamp (D) wins North Dakota +750
10:00AM 1964 Rick Berg (R) wins North Dakota -1580

Tue 11/6 1965 Sherrod Brown (D) wins Ohio -1050
10:00AM 1966 Josh Mandel (R) wins Ohio +550

Tue 11/6 1967 Tim Kaine (D) wins Virginia -320
10:00AM 1968 George Allen (R) wins Virginia +240

Tue 11/6 1969 Tammy Baldwin (D) wins Wisconsin -165
10:00AM 1970 Tommy Thompson (R) wins Wisconsin +125

2012 State Gubernatorial Elections
Tue 11/6 1981 Maggie Hassan (D) wins New Hampshire -260
10:00AM 1982 Ovide Lamontagne (R) wins New Hampshire +180

After 2012 Elections – President & Congress Combinations

Democratic President + Democratic Senate + Democratic House
Tue 11/6 2001 Dem President + Dem Senate + Dem House +2700
10:00AM 2002 Any other result or split -5800

Democratic President + Republican Senate + Republican House
Tue 11/6 2003 Dem President + Rep Senate + Rep House +3000
10:00AM 2004 Any other result or split -7000

Democratic President + Democratic Senate + Republican House
Tue 11/6 2005 Dem President + Dem Senate + Rep House -290
10:00AM 2006 Any other result or split +210

Democratic President + Republican Senate + Democratic House
Tue 11/6 2007 Dem President + Rep Senate + Dem House +12500
10:00AM 2008 Any other result or split -62500

Republican President + Democratic Senate + Republican House
Tue 11/6 2009 Rep President + Dem Senate + Rep House +350
10:00AM 2010 Any other result or split -530

Republican President + Republican Senate + Republican House
Tue 11/6 2013 Rep President + Rep Senate + Rep House +800
10:00AM 2014 Any other result or split -1700

Republican President + Democratic Senate + Democratic House
Tue 11/6 2015 Rep President + Dem Senate + Dem House +17500
10:00AM 2016 Any other result or split -87500

Ballot Initiatives – Marijuana reform and legalisation
Tue 11/6 4001 Colorado Amendment 64 to be passed -900
10:00AM 4002 Colorado Amendment 64 won’t pass +500

Tue 11/6 4003 Oregon Measure 80 to be passed +550
10:00AM 4004 Oregon Measure 80 won’t pass -1050

Tue 11/6 4005 Washington Initiative I-502 to be passed -1200
10:00AM 4006 Washington Initiative I-502 won’t pass +600


2012-13 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds, Picks, & Predictions

October 28th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Full List of Odds To Win The NBA Rookie of the Year Below

NBA Rookie of the YearA fresh crop of rookies are here in the NBA, and this was considered to be one of the deepest classes that we have seen in quite some time. The depth is great for the league, but it makes it tough here for us to handicap the odds to win the NBA Rookie of the Year Award. However, here at Bankroll Sports, we are going to be picking out the top rookies this year, and making our 2012-13 NBA Rookie of the Year picks!

There clearly is nowhere else to start than with the man who was the top pick in the 2012 NBA Draft, the New Orleans Hornets’ Anthony Davis (Current Rookie of the Year Odds: 1.55 to 1 at BetOnline Sportsbook). The problem that Davis has this year is that he is going to be a defensive stopper, not necessarily an offensive star. Davis prides himself on his defense, and that is what the media is going to take into consideration quite a bit. The good news is that New Orleans is badly going to need to get itself some more offensive firepower, and the truth of the matter is that Davis isn’t exactly inept. In the event that Davis can pull down a dozen boards per game and can block four shots or so per game, the possibility is there that he can get into double digits in scoring as well. If he does that, Davis is probably going to win the Rookie of the Year Award.

The key this year is going to be which rookies are going to get enough playing time to put up some big time stats. After a great summer, the man that is going to be running the point this year the Portland Trail Blazers is Damian Lillard (NBA Rookie of the Year Lines: 5.50 to 1 at BetOnline Sportsbook). The Weber State standout was a Top 10 pick in the NBA Draft for a reason this year, and there really isn’t a heck of a lot standing in the way of him and a ton of minutes this year, knowing that Raymond Felton is gone and there isn’t much to keep him from being the starting point guard for a team that wants to run up and down the court. Over the course of four games in the Summer League, Lillard averaged 26.5 points, 5.3 assists, and 4.0 rebounds per game. It would be unrealistic to think that he can do that against the big boys this year, but in the end, he really could average over a dozen points and five or six assists per game, and if he ultimately does that, he is going to be a star for sure.

We’re also willing to take a bit of a shot with the Golden State Warriors’ Harrison Barnes (Current NBA Rookie of the Year Odds: 10 to 1 at BetOnline Sportsbook). Barnes is going to find scoring to be tough in Golden State if he doesn’t end up getting past the likes of Klay Thompson and Richard Jefferson on the depth chart, but he has made himself a great case for some big time playing time with a team that is going to score a ton of points this year. Barnes is an athetic freak, and he is going to be able to do a whole heck of a lot when push comes to shove in his NBA career. Built a bit like LeBron James, Barnes is able to shoot from the outside, rebound the basketball, and be a real pain defensively. Whether he starts the year as a sixth man or as a starter, it is only a matter of time until the North Carolina Tar Heel gets a ton of playing time as Jefferson gets phased out. Barnes averaged over 10 points per game and really looked sharp as he got more accustomed to the speed of the game in the preseason. If he can keep this up in the regular season, Barnes definitely has at least a 1 in 10 chance to claim Rookie of the Year honors.

NBA Rookie of the Year Odds @ BetOnline Sportsbook (as of 10/28/12):
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Andre Drummond 18 to 1
Andrew Nicholson 25 to 1
Anthony Davis 1.55 to 1
Arnett Moultrie 80 to 1
Austin Rivers 25 to 1
Bernard James 125 to 1
Bradley Beal 6.50 to 1
Damian Lillard 5.50 to 1
Darius Millers 50 to 1
Dion Waiters 13 to 1
Doron Lamb 65 to 1
Draymond Green 100 to 1
Even Fournier 100 to 1
Fab Melo 75 to 1
Festus Ezeli 125 to 1
Harrison Barnes 10 to 1
Izzet Turkyilmaz 100 to 1
Jae Crowder 100 to 1
Jared Cunningham 100 to 1
Jared Sullinger 20 to 1
Jeffrey Taylor 100 to 1
Jeremy Lamb 12 to 1
Joel Freeland 125 to 1
John Henson 15 to 1
John Jenkins 20 to 1
Justin Hamilton 150 to 1
Kendall Marshall 15 to 1
Kevin Murphy 125 to 1
Khris Middleton 150 to 1
Kim English 100 to 1
Kostas Papanikolaou 100 to 1
Kyle O’Quinn 100 to 1
Marquis Teague 15 to 1
Maurice Harkless 25 to 1
Meyers Leonard 28 to 1
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 6 to 1
Mike Scott 65 to 1
Miles Plumlee 125 to 1
Orlando Johnson 100 to 1
Perry Jones III 30 to 1
Quincy Acy 80 to 1
Quincy Miller 100 to 1
Royce White 15 to 1
Terrence Jones 25 to 1
Terrence Ross 20 to 1
Thomas Robinson 7.50 to 1
Tomas Satoransky 150 to 1
Tony Wroten 65 to 1
Tyler Zeller 30 to 1
Tyshawn Taylor 100 to 1
Victor Claver 125 to 1
Will Barton 80 to 1

Posted in NBA Basketball   Comments Off on 2012-13 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds, Picks, & Predictions