Albert Pujols Signs With LA Angels- 2012 Albert Pujols Props

December 8th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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In a shocking move on Thursday, Albert Pujols was announced to sign a new contract reportedly worth over $250 million with the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. Here at Bankroll Sports, we are breaking down some of the MLB props that have been recently posted, all courtesy of BoDog Sportsbook!

Los Angeles Angels Win Total Over/Under 87.5: Here’s the thing about the Angels on one blush. They have been a relatively average team over the course of the last few years. In the last four years, they have only won more than 82 games once, and now all of a sudden, they are expected to win 88 games in a division that still features an awfully tough Texas Rangers outfit. Pujols immediately becomes the best No. 3 hitter in the game, and the also newly signed CJ Wilson immediately steps into the No. 2 spot in the rotation behind Jered Weaver. But is the rotation better for it? All of a sudden, the dollars have all been spent, and building a bullpen might be difficult. If Wilson, who has gone 31-15 in his last two seasons, can’t figure out how to keep that pace up this year now that he doesn’t have the tremendous Texas lineup and a huge hitter’s ballpark to help him out, we’re really not all that sure. Don’t be shocked if the Angels, who are the toast of the town right now, still don’t turn out to be pretty much a .500 team once again.

Albert Pujols Over/Under 37.5 Home Runs: This past year was the worst of Pujols’ career, as he only hit 37 home runs. He has 445 bombs in his career, and he is sure to at least challenge the all-time home run mark over the course of the end of his career in Tinseltown. Busch Stadium was a place where Pujols was comfortable hitting. The park factor at Busch Stadium ranked No. 26 in the league at .896, runs per game, and that number has decreased now that he is at Angel Stadium on Anaheim to a .836. Not only that, but Miller Park (No. 10), Wrigley Field (No. 23), and PNC Park (No. 17), all of which are stadiums that typically have treated Pujols well in his career have been replaced by parks like the O.co Coliseum (No. 20) and Safeco Field (No. 26). Angel Stadium ranked No. 25 in MLB park factor for home runs this past year. We expect to see Pujols’ home run production dip, especially as he has to get used to a totally new set of pitchers.

Will Albert Pujols Win the AL MVP Award?: We’re only getting 3 to 1 odds at this point on Pujols, and they certainly aren’t worth backing. For one, we’re really not all that sure that Pujols is going to be playing on a playoff team, which generally eliminates players from MVP consideration. The truth of the matter as well, is that this isn’t likely to be another season in which there just aren’t any MVP candidates in the AL. Players like Miguel Cabrera, Alex Rodriguez, Mark Teixeira, and all of the big bats on the Boston Red Sox are going to have to shine eventually. Pujols will probably need 45 home runs, a .320 batting average, and 130 RBIs to be the MVP in the American League, and we aren’t willing to only take 3 to 1 on that happening.

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St. Louis Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Prop Picks (12/12/11)

December 8th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our St. Louis Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Marshawn Lynch Over/Under 109.5 Rushing Yards
Enter: Beast Mode. Lynch defined the term “Beast Mode” last year when he ran right through the New Orleans Saints’ defense in the playoffs. Now, he has clearly kicked himself into some gear that hardly anyone has been able to stop. Lynch has found the end zone in eight straight games, and he has rumbled for at least 100 yards in three of his last four. Now, he’s going against a defense that is allowing over 150 yards per game on the ground and has been absolutely blistered by a number of the top running backs in the league. The saddest part is that the Rams haven’t played much of a schedule either, and now, their offense is probably not going to be spending all that much time on the field considering how brutal the quarterback situation has turned out to be. Lynch should come up near 30 carries as long as this one stays relatively close for at least three quarters. Marshawn Lynch Over 109.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Doug Baldwin Over/Under 3 Receptions
Baldwin was held down to just one catch for 21 yards in last week’s win over the Philadelphia Eagles, but he and QB Tarvaris Jackson have still built up a nice rapport. He has come up with at least three receptions in six of his last eight games, and in one of those games in which he didn’t end up getting to at least this number, he was knocked out with a concussion against the Baltimore Ravens. This is a bad defense all around that Baldwin is going to be going again, and we have to continue to stress the fact that Seattle is probably going to get a slew of chances with the football on this night. Baldwin should be the one that really capitalizes, especially with WR Sidney Rice out of the lineup. Doug Baldwin Over 3 Receptions (+105 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

James Laurinaitis Over/Under 7.5 Tackles
We don’t normally play on these props for tackles, because they are generally awfully random. However, in this case, we don’t really like the chances of Laurinaitis to reach this number. The former Ohio State Buckeye does have at least 10 tackles in three of his last six games, but he only has one other game in which he has more than 7.5 tackles on the season. Sure, Lynch is going to be running the ball right at him over and over again, but that doesn’t mean that Head Coach Pete Carroll isn’t very knowledgeable of the situation. Laurinaitis will have a decent game, but to ask him to come up with eight tackles is a heck of a lot of work to ask for out of a single linebacker. James Laurinaitis Under 7.5 Tackles (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

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Odds The Indianapolis Colts Go Winless 0-16 In 2011-12

December 3rd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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As of this posting (12/3), the Indianapolis Colts are 0-11 and are five steps away from pulling off the dubious distinction of an 0-16 season. We take a moment to look at the odds the Colts finish 0-16 this year. They are +160 to pull off the bad feat, and we are set to take a look at their chances.

Indianapolis went from having one of the best passing games in the league to one of the worst. The team is averaging just 181.0 yards per game passing this year, No. 28 in the game. A lot of the problem is that QB Curtis Painter just isn’t ready to play in the NFL. He is only completing 54.3 percent of his passes with six scores against nine picks. He replaced the ineffective QB Kerry Collins, who led the team to three losses in a row before being benched and eventually put on injured reserve. Now, the ball will be turned over to QB Dan Orlovsky.

The problem with Orlovsky is that he has already had his hand in an 0-16 team, doing so with the Detroit Lions last decade. That being said, the former Connecticut Husky probably has the best chance of leading this team to a victory.

However, if you look at the schedule over the course of the next two weeks, you see a road game at the New England Patriots and a road game against the Baltimore Ravens in back to back weeks. We already know that the Pats and their potent passing game are three touchdown favorites, and especially if Indy doesn’t figure out how to cover this spread this week, it will probably be a three TD dog again next week when the Ravens come to town.

To wrap up the season, the Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans pay a visit to Lucas Oil Field, and the Colts will finish up with a road game at the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Let’s look at a brief comparison between these Colts and the 2008 Lions. Orlovsky led a passing game that averaged 206 passing yards and 83.3 rushing yards per game. These Colts are basically on par with that, and they are actually scoring fewer points per game. Those Lions were averaging 16.8 points per game against the 13.6 points per game for these Colts. Defensively, Indy has the worst defense in the league at 29.7 points per game. Those Lions averaged 32.3 points per game allowed, a mark that the Colts still have plenty of time to catch up to.

There are two more factors that we have to take into consideration. The first is that Head Coach Jim Caldwell could become a lame duck coach. There are grumblings that an 0-16 season would see Caldwell get fired, which might become important for his team to put together their biggest efforts.

The second, of course, is whether the Colts try to get QB Peyton Manning back on the field or not at the end of this season. Manning has been cleared to start to practice once again, though he hasn’t made any notions that he is going to get back on the field at any point. That being said, if he does get back on the field, we will see just how important he is to this team, and he could possibly lead the squad to a victory or two.

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2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 13 Fantasy Football Sleepers

December 3rd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 13!

DeAngelo Williams vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Most who spent relatively high fantasy football draft picks on Williams have probably either cut him loose or have just forgotten about him. However, Carolina’s richest running back has had double digits worth of fantasy points in each of the last two weeks, and he is starting to at least get a few more carries than RB Jonathan Stewart. Either way, the Tampa Bay defense has had a miserable time going against some of the top running games in the league, as this unit ranks No. 31 in the league against rushers in terms of fantasy points. It’s always scary to see QB Cam Newton stealing touchdowns, but Williams has gotten a couple red zone looks of late, so we know that he at least has a shot of getting the job done.

Stevan Ridley vs. Indianapolis Colts
Ridley has only really had one good game this year, a 97-yard effort against the Oakland Raiders in Week 4. Since that point, he only has 21 carries for 46 yards without a sniff of the end zone. However, this game against the Colts is going to be an interesting one, as Head Coach Bill Belichick knows that this is going to be a great opportunity to use all of his running backs against a pitiful defense that ranks dead last in the league in a number of categories. Ridley may get some more looks, especially if RB Danny Woodhead and RB Shane Vereen can’t go, as both are injured.

Nate Burleson vs. New Orleans Saints
Odds have it, there is going to be a shootout in the Bayou on Sunday, and that means that QB Matt Stafford is going to have to put the ball in the air quite a bit to have any chance of sticking around with QB Drew Brees and the Saints. Burleson has had at least four catches in each of Detroit’s last four games, and he has emerged as a legitimate second receiver opposite of the great WR Calvin Johnson. Finding the end zone might be tough, as there is a lot of attention paid to both Johnson and TE Brandon Pettigrew when the Lions get in the red zone, but especially if you’re in a PPR league, Burleson makes for a great play, and he might be able to be had via free agency.

Jacksonville Jaguars D/ST vs. San Diego Chargers
The Jags are allowing just over 18 points per game this year, and you know that they are going to play a relatively short game with all of the running that RB Maurice Jones-Drew should be doing. That being said, the Chargers look like a lame team right now with a lame duck coach, and their offense just turns the ball over a ton. San Diego’s offense ranks No. 19 in the league for fantasy points against defensive, but a lot of the damage came at the start of the season when the team was 4-1. The Bolts haven’t won since that point, they have been devastatingly bad. That shouldn’t change on Monday with new Head Coach Mel Tucker in charge of the Jags.

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Odds The Green Bay Packers Go Undefeated In 2012

December 3rd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Can the Green Bay Packers really run the table this year? The Packers are now +145 to finish out the season with a 16-0 record, and they are +310 to finish out the season with a perfect 19-0 season, which would make them the first team in NFL history to win 19 games without defeat in the season.

However, if you’re going to get in on the Packers to run the table, you probably are going to want to invest this week. Green Bay is a 6.5 point favorite on the road against the New York Giants, but once that game is said and done with, there really aren’t any tremendous challenges left. The Packers have to play the Oakland Raiders at home, Kansas City Chiefs on the road, and then the two teams that are fighting for the Wild Card spots in the conference, the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions at home. From there, it would be home games in the playoffs, where the Pack hardly ever lose.

If you’re going to beat Green Bay, you’re going to have to do so with your passing game, wihch is why we think that the Giants have a puncher’s chance. The Packers rank No. 31 in the league in pass defense at 287.8 yards per game and No. 30 in total defense at 393.4 yards per game. We’ve seen QB Philip Rivers nearly post a tremendous comeback in the fourth quarter against Green Bay, and if he can do it, so can the likes of QB Eli Manning and QB Matt Stafford.

However, it’s just ridiculously difficult to stop this offense. Green Bay has only been held under 35 points at home once this year, and that came in a game that was a blowout from start to finish against the St. Louis Rams. QB Aaron Rodgers has thrown three of his four picks this year at Lambeau Field, but he also hasn’t had a game in which he has thrown fewer than three TDs at home either. He also hasn’t had a game this year in which he has had a quarterback rating of less than 111. Considering the fact that no quarterback has ever had a rating that high for a full season, it’s amazing that he has done that in all 11 of his games.

Should the Packers win on Sunday, expect to see this prop come down to even money or so, if even that.

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Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State Preview, Odds, & Predictions 12/3/11

December 2nd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)

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Current Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State Game Odds Can Be Found Below

The Big 12 doesn’t have a championship game this year because it only has 10 teams, but on Saturday, it has its de facto title game when the Oklahoma Cowboys take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys at Boone Pickens Stadium in arguably one of the most important editions of the Bedlam series in recent memory.

Oklahoma Sooners @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Picks & Info
Oklahoma Sooners @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Date: Saturday, December 2nd, 2011
Oklahoma Sooners @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Location: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK
Oklahoma Sooners @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys -3.5
Oklahoma Sooners @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Total: 70.5

The Sooners have played in their fair share of big time games this year, even games that have come on the road. They’ve passed a slew of tests, including romping in the Red River Rivalry in Dallas, knocking off the Florida State Seminoles in Tallahassee, and absolutely destroying the then undefeated Kansas State Wildcats in Manhattan. However, two close losses later, and OU’s title dreams went out the window. It can still get back into the BCS with a win, and it would likely end up in the Fiesta Bowl against the Stanford Cardinal with a victory. QB Landry Jones has an outside shot at the Heisman Trophy, as he has thrown for 4,052 yards and 28 TDs in just 11 games this year, but it is going to take a Herculean effort and an upset for that to happen.

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Past Results (Since 2001)
2010: Oklahoma 47 – Oklahoma State 41
2009 Oklahoma State 0 – Oklahoma 27
2008: Oklahoma 61 – Oklahoma State 41
2007: Oklahoma State 17 – Oklahoma 49
2006: Oklahoma 27 – Oklahoma State 21
2005: Oklahoma State 14 – Oklahoma 42
2004: Oklahoma 38 – Oklahoma State 35
2003: Oklahoma State 9 – Oklahoma 52
2002: Oklahoma 28 – Oklahoma State 38
2001: Oklahoma State 16 – Oklahoma 13

Everyone knew that the Cowboys were going to be a dangerous team this year, but no one really believed that they would have controlled their own destiny for a spot in the National Championship Game as recently as two weeks ago. The argument could be made that a win in this one, and the Pokes may be on their way to the title game anyway, as there is a real sentiment that the humans could make it a point to do what they can to make sure that it isn’t an LSU/Alabama rematch for all the marbles. This offense can do it all, as it is averaging 161.0 yards per game on the ground and 401.6 yards per game through the air. QB Brandon Weeden can also make a case to win the Heisman Trophy with a good showing in this one, as he already has 34 TDs and 4,111 yards passing.

Oklahoma Sooners @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Game Odds @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 12/2/11):
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Oklahoma Sooners (+3.5) @ Oklahoma State Cowboys (70.5)


Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Predictions, Keys To The Game 12/3/11

December 2nd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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The Big 10 Championship Game keys to the game for the duel between the Michigan State Spartans and the Wisconsin Badgers are here and ready to go on the eve of the game. These two played an epic battle in East Lansing earlier this year, and we can only hope that we will see the same sort of intensity when these two Big Ten rivals square off with a spot in the Rose Bowl on the line.

Big 10 Championship Game: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan State Spartans
Big 10 Championship Game Location: Lucas Oil Field, Indianapolis, IN
Big 10 Championship Game Date/Time: Saturday, December 3rd, 8:17 p.m. (ET)
Big 10 Championship Game Television Schedule: FOX

Key #1: Russell Wilson has to keep the Badgers two-dimensional
We already know that RBs Montee Ball and James White are going to get their touches and their yards no matter what team the Badgers are playing against, but the passing attack needs to remain a part of the game as well. Wilson had arguably the best year that a Wisconsin quarterback has ever put together. He has thrown for 2,692 yards and 28 TDs against just three INTs, and he has completed 72.7 percent of his passes. In East Lansing earlier this year though, Wilson only threw the ball 21 time against 41 rushes, and the ratio of pass to run cannot be around 1 to 2 for the Badgers to be successful. WR Nick Toon only had two catches on the day, and that just isn’t going to cut it against this MSU defense either. On the other side of the ball, the Spartans are going to try to do everything in their power to keep the Badgers’ passing game off its game once again.

Big 10 Championship Game Odds at Wager Web Sportsbook
Wisconsin Badgers -9.5
Michigan State Spartans +9.5
Over/Under 55
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Key #2: MSU has to avoid shooting itself in the foot
Even though the Spartans won the first go around of these foes, it seems relatively clear that Wisconsin has the more talented team. That being said, there are some key stats to look at from the box score from two months ago that show you how Sparty stuck around and had the chance to win in on the Hail Mary miracle. The team didn’t throw an interception, and it only fumbled the ball twice in the game, losing one. It went a very respectable 8-of-16 on third downs, and it converted its only fourth down attempt. More importantly though, there wasn’t a single accepted penalty on the Spartans the entire game. Though asking for no flags is going to be a bit difficult once again, it’s the dumb penalties like offsides and false starts that MSU really need to avoid to stick around with the Badgers.

Bodog

Key #3: Michigan State has to find some other ways to score
Sure, it seems conventional and easy to say that the offense has to really do your scoring for you to win on most given Saturdays, but perhaps Head Coach Mike Dantonio should be thinking a bit differently. His Spartans logged a safety, recovered a blocked punt in the end zone, and got that infamous Hail Mary to WR Keith Nichols on the final play of regulation to win. The Spartans have had a history of coming up with some tricks on special teams that have earned some points, and the team has had a great set of punt returners all year. The one punt return in the first game went for 36 yards and set up a score. The Wisconsin defense is just too good to drive 70-80 yards on more often than not, so the Spartans definitely need to get creative to put points on the board.

Click Here to get the best college football picks that you’ll find on the internet, including our Big 10 Championship Game picks and the NCAA football picks for the rest of the games on the Week 14 slate.