2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 12 Fantasy Football Sleepers

November 25th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 12!

Michael Jenkins vs. Atlanta Falcons
This is going to be an interesting week for the Minnesota offense without RB Adrian Peterson in the fold. WR Percy Harvin could be used more as a running back than anything else, and either way, QB Christian Ponder is likely going to have to put the ball in the air to get the job done against an Atlanta defense that typically excels against the run. The Falcons defense ranks No. 25 against fantasy wide receivers this year, and after DB Dunta Robinson, there really isn’t a heck of a lot out there in terms of defensive backs. Don’t be surprised if Jenkins, who has seen increased looks over the course of the last several weeks turns out to be a top target of Ponder’s on Sunday.

Harry Douglas vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Vikes have a miserable secondary, and they really don’t have the corners to be able to match up with QB Matt Ryan. Douglas has 16 catches and over 290 yards over the course of his last four games, and in one of those games, he didn’t have a catch because of WR Julio Jones’ massive game against Indy. The former Louisville Cardinal has a great chance to get the job done on Sunday. He doesn’t have a touchdown this year, but he does have a tremendous amount of big plays, and this could be the week that he breaks one into the end zone.

Joseph Addai vs. Carolina Panthers
If there is a week that you are going to want to use any of the Colts in your fantasy football lineup, this is probably the week to do it. Addai has been nursing a hamstring injury, but he is expected to give it a go this week. Be sure to check your injury report first. If Addai is out, you might want to give Delone Carter a shot this weekend. No matter who is going against the Panthers, the running backs seem to be picking up slews of yards and lots of touchdowns. Carolina ranks dead last in the league against running backs from a fantasy standpoint, and though Indianapolis seems to be rather anemic on the ground on a regular basis, this could be the week that everything changes.

Dustin Keller vs. Buffalo Bills
Keller hasn’t found the end zone since Week 2, and he really hasn’t had a remarkable game since Week 3, but he did have four catches for 64 yards against the Bills just three weeks ago. Now, the Jets are back at home, and the Buffalo defense doesn’t look all that much better. Against the Broncos last week, Keller had five receptions for 40 yards and a slew of looks, including a few in the red zone. The Bills tend to look like a mess right now, and we don’t think that they are going to be able to keep the Jets out of the zone all that often. We’ll take our chances on Keller at tight end if we’re in a bit of a bind.

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2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 11 Fantasy Football Sleepers

November 17th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 11!

Carson Palmer vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings rank No. 30 against the pass and are No. 31 against fantasy quarterbacks. Throw out that first game that Palmer played against Kansas City in which he was picked off three times, and you’ve got a man with some darn good fantasy stats. He’s thrown for 299+ yards in back to back games and has five touchdowns to go with it. Sure, those nine turnovers in 2.5 games are an eyesore, but it’s nothing that a couple touchdowns won’t make you feel better about. If you’re in a bye week binge at QB, this is your perfect start to make even though the Raiders are going on the road.

Michael Bush vs. Minnesota Vikings
Same game. Same type of result. The Vikings are a heck of a lot better against the run than the pass, but the way that the Raiders have force fed Bush over the last two games has been remarkable. It’s hard to believe that Bush is a backup tailback. When he has the backfield to himself though, look out! He had over 230 total yards and a TD last week, and we can see a heck of a lot more of the same this week against Minnesota. There’s just no way that Bush doesn’t get his hands on the ball at least 25 times if Run DMC is kept out of the lineup once again, which is sounding like more and more of a possibility.

Marshawn Lynch vs. St. Louis Rams
This is the same St. Louis team that just let Chris Ogbonnaya run for a ton of yards against it last week… Most have probably forgotten about Lynch, and we can see why that was the case up until a few weeks ago. He only averaged 6.4 fantasy points per game (standard ESPN scoring) over his first seven games of the year, and he looked like he was being overtaken by RB Leon Washington and a host of others in the Seattle backfield. That being said, against the Cowboys and Ravens in the last two weeks, Lynch has 55 carries, 244 yards, and a TD in each game. Now, he’s got an easy two game stretch against the Rams and Redskins and really should be started even if he is on your bench.

Dexter McCluster vs. New England Patriots
In most leagues, McCluster will work as a receiver or as a running back, which makes him the perfect play this week if you are weak in either spot due to a big bye week. We know that he hasn’t found the end zone all year long, but what we also know is that there really is no choice but to get the ball in his hands a heck of a lot more often that has already been the case. QB Tyler Palko will be checking down all game in all likelihood, and against a relatively not-so-athletic defense like that of the Patriots, this could ultimately be a game in which McCluster ends up with 60 rushing yards, 70 receiving yards, and that elusive touchdown.

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2011 Ford 400 Odds, Preview, Analysis, & Free Picks

November 17th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Ford 400 Odds From Our Sponsor Sportsbooks Listed Below!

NASCAR betting fans: We’re back with another fantastic race this weekend at Homestead-Miami Speedway, as 43 of the best drivers in the world look to make for great Ford 400 picks and the Chase for the Sprint Cup continues!

2011 Ford 400 Odds, Picks & Info
2011 Ford 400 Date: Sunday, November 20th, 2011
2011 Ford 400 Green Flag Time: 3:15 ET
2011 Ford 400 Location: Homestead-Miami Speedway, Homestead, FL
2011 Ford 400 Favorite: Tony Stewart (+475)
Defending Ford 400 Champion: Carl Edwards
2011 Ford 400 TV Coverage – Network: ESPN

There are only two drivers that are still in the running to win the Sprint Cup, and if either driver takes the checkered flag in this, the last race of the year, they will have won NASCAR’s biggest prize. We’ll start with the current points leader and the defending champion of this race, Carl Edwards (Odds to Win the Ford 400: 5.25 to 1 at SportBet Sportsbook). What we do like about Edwards is that he has been incredibly consistent during the Chase for the Sprint Cup. He hasn’t finished worse than 11th in a race since August 21st, and he has back to back second place finishes in races and five Top 5s in his last eight races. Edwards is as due as due could be for a checkered flag, something that he hasn’t had since way back on March 6th. With two wins under his belt in the last three years on this track, we just love Edwards’ chances on Sunday.

And then there is Tony Stewart (Current Ford 400 Odds: 4.75 to 1 at SportBet Sportsbook). “Smoke” won this race both in 1999 and 2000, but he hasn’t been victorious as the owner of his own car. Stewart already has four wins during the Chase for the Sprint Cup, and he has finished 8th or better in all but two of the nine races. That ugly 25th place finish at the AAA 400 is the only thing separating Stewart from running away from the rest of the field, and it is amazing to think that he still has a chance of claiming the Sprint Cup with a win. Don’t be surprised either if he gets the job done and claims glory for the first time since 2005 and for the third time in his career.

List Of Past Ford 400 Champions (Since 2000)
2010 Ford 400 Winner: Carl Edwards
2009 Ford 400 Winner: Denny Hamlin
2008 Ford 400 Winner: Carl Edwards
2007 Ford 400 Winner: Matt Kenseth
2006 Ford 400 Winner: Greg Biffle
2005 Ford 400 Winner: Greg Biffle
2004 Ford 400 Winner: Greg Biffle
2003 Ford 400 Winner: Bobby Labonte
2002 Ford 400 Winner: Kurt Busch
2001 Ford 400 Winner: Bill Elliott
2000 Ford 400 Winner: Tony Stewart

As great as it would be to see these two aforementioned drivers running neck and neck down the stretch on Sunday in the final laps for the race and for the entire Sprint Cup, the NASCAR odds have it that someone else is going to win this race. The man that we are going to be keeping a very close eye on is one that has had quite the frustrating season, Greg Biffle (Ford 400 Lines: 11 to 1 at SportBet Sportsbook). History is definitely on Biffle’s side having won this race three times in his career, in consecutive years no less, and it could really take away the sting from what has otherwise been a fairly disappointing season with no victories and only three Top 5 finishes.

Ford 400 Odds @ SportBet Sportsbook (as of 11/17/11):
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Tony Stewart 4.75 to 1
Carl Edwards 5.25 to 1
Kevin Harvick 8.50 to 1
Matt Kenseth 8.50 to 1
Jimmie Johnson 9 to 1
Greg Biffle 11 to 1
Jeff Gordon 12 to 1
Kyle Busch 14 to 1
Kasey Kahne 14 to 1
Denny Hamlin 22 to 1
Kurt Busch 27 to 1
David Ragan 27 to 1
Brad Keselowski 27 to 1
Clint Bowyer 33 to 1
AJ Allmendinger 38 to 1
Ryan Newman 38 to 1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 40 to 1
Jeff Burton 42 to 1
Mark Martin 55 to 1
Martin Truex Jr. 55 to 1
Joey Logano 55 to 1
Juan Pablo Montoya 55 to 1

Ford 400 Odds @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 11/17/11):
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Tony Stewart 4.50 to 1
Carl Edwards 5 to 1
Kevin Harvick 8 to 1
Matt Kenseth 8 to 1
Jimmie Johnson 9 to 1
Jeff Gordon 11 to 1
Greg Biffle 13 to 1
Kyle Busch 13 to 1
Kasey Kahne 16 to 1
Denny Hamlin 20 to 1
Kurt Busch 25 to 1
David Ragan 25 to 1
Brad Keselowski 25 to 1
Clint Bowyer 30 to 1
AJ Allmendinger 35 to 1
Ryan Newman 35 to 1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 40 to 1
Jeff Burton 40 to 1
Mark Martin 50 to 1
Martin Truex Jr. 50 to 1
Joey Logano 50 to 1
Juan Pablo Montoya 50 to 1
Field 18 to 1

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Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Prop Picks (11/14/11)

November 14th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Minnesota Vikings First Team To Score
It really seems like the Packers are the popular pick here at -230, but we have to remember the percentages. Green Bay would have to score first in over 70 percent of the games to win this NFL prop, and that is truly a stunning rate. The Vikings just aren’t going to be afraid of the Packers, especially after they came out with guns blazing in the first meeting at the HHH Metrodome with a 70 yard pass play on the first play from scrimmage. Know that you are going to lose this prop significantly more often than not, but know that you are going to win it enough to make a sizeable profit in the long run. Minnesota Vikings Score First (+190 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Longest Touchdown Over/Under 49.5 Yards
Just take a look at WR Jordy Nelson’s numbers over the course of these last few games. He has a catch of at least 50 yards in four of his last seven, and he always seems to find the end zone when he breaks free like that. Just right there, you’ve got enough proof that a 50+ yard touchdown could be scored at least half the time. QB Aaron Rodgers isn’t afraid to uncork the long balls at any point, and QB Christian Ponder showed that he can do it as well after taking a 70 yard shot on the first play of the game when these teams met three weeks ago. Parlay all of that with a Green Bay defense that has a propensity to turn you over and score and players like WR Percy Harvin and RB Adrian Peterson in purple, and the recipe is there for at least one incredibly long touchdown when push comes to shove. Longest Touchdown Over 49.5 Yards (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Aaron Rodgers Over/Under 2.5 TD Passes
It’s sad to say, but we really have no choice but to take the ‘over’ in this one. The Vikings have allowed a slew of touchdowns this year to opposing quarterbacks, including three to Rodgers in October. The former Cal Golden Bear has three straight games with at least three touchdown passes, and he has six 3+ touchdown games in eight tries this year. It’s not like the Packers ever really slow down their offense, as there is just little confidence in the ground game with RBs Ryan Grant and James Starks. Rodgers has 24 scores in eight games this year, and he is probably going to end up adding three or four more touchdown strikes to that tally. It’s a chalky proposition, but with the way that the Packers are playing offensively, we just don’t see any other reasonable options but to play Rodgers’ over. Rodgers Over 2.5 TD Passes (-165 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

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Week 11 NFL Picks: NFL Prop Picks for Sunday NFL Schedule 11/13/11

November 12th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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NFL prop picks are always what we are looking at in NFL betting action, and if you’re ready to dissect the best pro football picks on the Week 11 schedule, look no further than right here at Bankroll Sports! All Week 11 NFL props courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Jackie Battle Over/Under 62.5 Rushing Yards
The Chiefs have really made a big effort to get back in the passing game, but in this one, against a Denver defense that has had a bad history of getting reamed on the ground, we tend to like the chances for Battle to put together a nice effort. He is clearly the top running back on this team, and though we have seen a lot of RB Dexter McCluster of late, we do think that Battle is going to get plenty of opportunities and will get a heck of a lot of yards. This is a low, low number. Battle Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Will Maurice Jones-Drew Score a Touchdown?
The Colts have had no real luck keeping opposing passing games down this year, but historically, MJD has really been fantastic in this series. Jones-Drew has had a frustrating season for the most part, but the one thing that we realize is that he is still getting the ball a ton. Don’t be shocked if he ends up with 30 carries in this game, and if that ends up being the case, we have a hard time believing that he doesn’t have at least a 50/50 shot of finding the end zone with at least one of those touches. Maurice Jones-Drew To Score a Touchdown (+115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

LeGarrette Blount Over/Under 75.5 Rushing Yards
Last week, in a game in which the Bucs were basically behind the entire way, Blount still had 72 yards against the Saints on the ground on just 13 carries. He is going to have a great opportunity in this one against a Houston team that, though it ranks No. 1 in the league in total defense, isn’t all that strong up front in general. Blount will certainly get the ball more than 13 times in this game, and as long as he can find a way to get perhaps one of those runs 20 yards downfield, he should be able to reach this number. LeGarrette Blount Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (+105 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Brandon Lloyd Over/Under 4.5 Receptions
With double digits in targets in all of his games since coming over to St. Louis, Lloyd is certainly going to end up plenty of looks once again in this one. This number is low due to the fact that QB Sam Bradford hasn’t been all that efficient and that DB Joe Haden is going to be matched up with him for the entire game in all likelihood. If that ends up being the case, perhaps it might be a tad difficult. However, Offensive Coordinator Josh McDaniels loves Lloyd, and he is sure to get the ball in his hands by hook or by crook, no matter what he has to do. Brandon Lloyd Over 4.5 Receptions (-135 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Will Larry Fitzgerald Score a Touchdown?
Don’t you have to have your team score a touchdown for an individual to score? The Cardinals had a heck of a time trying to get the ball in the end zone last week with QB John Skelton at quarterback, and that is likely to be the case again. The Eagles have had a ton of success against teams that try to throw the ball all over the field this year, and if by chance the ball does get into the hands of Fitzgerald, it’s going to be against one of the premier corners in the game. We just don’t like Fitzgerald’s chances of getting into the end zone in this one. Larry Fitzgerald To Not Score a Touchdown (-150 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

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2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 10 Fantasy Football Sleepers

November 11th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 10!

Jason Hill vs. Indianapolis Colts
If there were ever a week to go ahead and try to pick out a Jacksonville wide receiver to start in your fantasy lineup, this would be the week. Hill has had a consistent look of at least five targets per game for the most part, and QB Blaine Gabbert seems to look his way in the red zone quite a bit. However, this is a play that is more about going against the Colts than anything else. Indy ranks dead last in the league against wide receivers for fantasy purposes, and matters are really just getting worse for this team, not better. We watched WR Julio Jones totally rip this team apart last week. We’d just be happy with 60 yards and a score from Hill, though.

Chris Johnson vs. Carolina Panthers
It’s really sad that we are considering Johnson as a bit of a sleeper pick, but with the way that he has played this year, he certainly isn’t an automatic start every single week. Last week, he really showed some decent signs though, coming up with a couple long plays against the Bengals, and now, he has his best matchup of the season on the road against a Panthers team that ranks dead last in the league against fantasy running backs. If CJ2K can’t figure out how to find the end zone in this one and account for more than a season-high 12 points (in standard ESPN fantasy leagues), he’s never going to do it.

Brandon Pettigrew vs. Chicago Bears
According to ESPN.com, the Bears have allowed a whopping 80 targets in nine games against opposing tight ends, and they have allowed an average of almost 10 points per game against tight ends. Pettigrew found the end zone against them earlier this year, and QB Matt Stafford continues to look the big man’s direction when the team is near the end zone. You have to go back to Week 6 to find the last time Pettigrew scored a touchdown, and he only has seven catches for 39 yards since then, but we have confidence that this is the week that he is going to be back in the saddle and back on the big time scoreboard.

Christian Ponder vs. Green Bay Packers
Ponder isn’t afraid to scramble out of the pocket, which could give him a heck of a lot of rushing yards against the Green Bay defense this week. He has a chance to crack double digits once again in points this week, just as he has done in each of his first two starts. There are definitely worse quarterback situations to have. Remember that the Packers, for as vaunted as they have been this year, rank No. 28 against opposing fantasy quarterbacks, and in a game in primetime which could feature a slew of points, Ponder might make a nice start to fill in for a quarterback with a bad matchup.

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College Football’s Top 25 Games in 2011: #1 Oregon @ Stanford

November 6th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Current Oregon @ Stanford Game Odds Can Be Found Below
2011-12 Top 25 College Football Games of the Year
#1 Oregon Ducks @ Stanford Cardinal

Updated 11/6/11

If last week’s game was the “Game of the Century,” this week’s game can’t be all that far behind. After all, the stakes are virtually as high for the Cardinal and the Ducks. The winner’s hopes of winning the Pac-12 and going to the BCS National Championship Game are still quite intact, and the loser can pack its backs for either the Rose Bowl or the Fiesta Bowl in all likelihood. Both teams are still going to be ranked in the Top 10 when it’s said and done as well. And, much to the contrary of last week’s game, when neither team was able to score a touchdown, even with the aid of overtime, we expect to see plenty of scores in this one down on “The Farm.”

Oregon Ducks @ Stanford Cardinal Picks & Info
Oregon Ducks @ Stanford Cardinal Date: Saturday, November 12th
Oregon Ducks @ Stanford Cardinal Location: Stanford Stadium, Palo Alto, CA
Oregon Ducks @ Stanford Cardinal Spread: Stanford Cardinal -3.5

The Ducks have had their share of problems this year, most notably injuries to both RB LaMichael James and QB Darron Thomas. That being said, both are back in the saddle and are ready for this game. Oregon already has 414 points scored this year, and 600 seems to be a formality when it’s all said and done with. This team just does not stop trying to score under any circumstance, regardless of who is out there on the field, and it is that mentality that will keep it going in this game as well. The Quack Attack is only blemished this year by a loss to the LSU Tigers at the outset of the season, a loss that is certainly nothing to be ashamed of now, seeing all of what the Bayou Bengals have accomplished.

Oregon Ducks vs. Stanford Cardinal Past Games (Since 1995)
2010: Oregon 52 – Stanford 31
2009: Stanford 51 – Oregon 42
2008: Oregon 35 – Stanford 28
2007: Oregon 55 – Stanford 31
2006: Oregon 48 – Stanford 10
2005: Oregon 44 – Stanford 20
2004: Oregon 16 – Stanford 13
2003: Oregon 35 – Stanford 0
2002: Oregon 41 – Stanford 14
2001: Stanford 49 – Oregon 42
1998: Oregon 63 – Stanford 28
1997: Stanford 58 – Oregon 49
1996: Stanford 27 – Oregon 24
1995: Stanford 28 – Oregon 21

The argument could be made that the only thing that kept the Cardinal out of the National Championship Game last year was a loss to these Ducks at Autzen Stadium, a loss that came after scoring three touchdowns in the first quarter. QB Andrew Luck has bad memories of that one, and he wants to make amends by putting down the U of O once and for all. The Cardinal have done it both through the air and on the ground this year, and the end result has been not just nine wins, but nine covers in nine tries as well. Not bad for a team which was a 41.5 point underdog just four years ago in a conference game at the USC Trojans, eh? A win in this one would essentially lock up a BCS bowl bid for the Cardinal, though they’ll obviously have to finish off the Pac-12 slate and the conference title game to ensure nothing worse than a trip to Pasadena for the Rose Bowl.

Oregon Ducks @ Stanford Cardinal Game Odds @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 11/6/11):
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Oregon Ducks (+3.5) @ Stanford Cardinal