2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 9 Fantasy Football Sleepers

November 5th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 9!

Michael Bush vs. Denver Broncos
It became awfully clear on Saturday morning that Bush was going to make for a great start this week against the Broncos. Denver has one of the most porous rush defenses in the league, especially on the road, and now, Bush is going to be the primary runner without RB Darren McFadden in the fold. Parlay all of that with the fact that QB Carson Palmer is still really trying to learn the ropes of his new offense. He has been in camp now just about two and a half weeks, and there is no way that Head Coach Hue Jackson is going to let Palmer do everything that a healthy QB Jason Campbell would have been given the rights to do. Bush will tote the rock at least 20, if not maybe even 30 times on Sunday, and we would be brutally disappointed if he didn’t end up with at least 120 rushing yards and two scores when the afternoon was said and done with.

Oakland Raiders D/ST vs. Denver Broncos
QB Tim Tebow is going to rack up some fantasy points once again versus the Raiders, but the fear that he is going to end up being taken out of the game at halftime is just too much for us to want to use him. That being said, the Raiders are a defense that you could pick up off of most waiver wires this week, and they’re a unit that we might be willing to start in front of just about any other defense in the league. Denver’s offensive line is in shambles, and Tebow holds the ball far too long to be successful in the pocket. He stares down receivers, often leading to bad decisions. Forget about scoring points. If you take out the final six minutes of games, Tebow has led the Broncos to one field goal and two field goal attempts in his time under center. Oakland should put together a huge fantasy day on Sunday, and that doesn’t even include the possibility of the hidden touchdown that WR Jacoby Ford seems to be due for on special teams.

Victor Cruz vs. New England Patriots
New England’s struggles against the pass continued to show last week when it allowed 365 passing yards to QB Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers. There are some real problems for the Giants this week, as WR Hakeem Nicks really doesn’t seem to be at 100% with a hamstring injury, if he even plays at all. That being said, Cruz has been the more consistent receiver between he and WR Mario Manningham this year, and he has found the end zone four times in his last five games. This is a boom or bust receiver, though. So far this season, Cruz has had three games with either no points or one point and three games with at least 15 points in standard leagues. Knowing how bad the Pats’ secondary is, this is probably one of the weeks where Cruz can boom.

David Nelson, Buffalo Bills
WR Steve Johnson is likely to be locked up on Revis Island for the entire day, which really does leave the possibility there for Nelson to just get a slew of targets. Even the speedy WR/RB CJ Spiller might not be all that bad of a start as long as you aren’t expecting too many touchdowns. Seeing Nelson get 12 targets wouldn’t be a humongous surprise this week, as he has great size and the ability to make plays when it counts. Nelson has had just a total of 11 receptions in his last four games, a far cry from the 20 that he had in his first three games, but we do have confidence that he can get back on track in this one against the Jets with Johnson being followed by DB Darrelle Revis everywhere that he goes.

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San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Prop Picks (10/31/11)

October 31st, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Will There Be a Score in the First 7:30 Of the 1st Quarter?
With RB Mike Tolbert out of the fold and the Chiefs evolving into a bit more of a passing team, we tend to think that there will be at least two possessions in the first half of the first quarter. QB Philip Rivers is probably going to try to get up top early to WR Vincent Jackson, and we tend to think that the same could be said for WR Dwayne Bowe for the Chiefs, especially to get some of that mojo on the side of the hosts. We don’t generally like props like this one, but this time around, we’re going to make a bit of an exception. Score in the First 7:30 of the 1st Quarter (-160 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Longest Field Goal Made Over/Under 44.5 Yards
The weather is getting colder and the ball is getting heavier, and with two kickers that aren’t exactly known as being clutch out on the field, we have a hard time believing that there is going to be a field goal of at least 45 yards over half the time. The temperature is going to dip into the 30s tonight, and the possibility is there of a fairly brisk wind as well, two factors that generally make the kicking game awfully difficult. Longest Field Goal Under 44.5 Yards (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Will There Be a Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown?
Another interesting prop to say the least. Normally speaking, it’s a bit of a sucker bet to take the no at minus odds, and we tend to agree with this sentiment. These two teams have three touchdowns between them this year on defense, and neither special teams has yet to score. We’re not all that worried about the San Diego special teams, but Javier Arenas and Dexter McCluster are always potential game breakers, especially in a game like this one with all sorts of tension. Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored (+160 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

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2011 College Football Coaches On The Hot Seat

October 30th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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We are starting to wind down the 2011 NCAA football schedule, but here at Bankroll Sports, we are starting to get concerned with a lot of head coaches on the hot seat. Check out the coaches that we think are in a heck of a lot of trouble if things don’t turn around for the rest of this season.

Mike Stoops – Arizona Wildcats: The Wildcats have already parted ways with Stoops after the team started off at 1-5 this season. Arizona had lost 10 straight games against FBS schools until it fired Stoops, and then it turned around the destroyed the UCLA Bruins in its next game. And that brings us to…

Rick Neuheisel – UCLA Bruins: Neuheisel should have already been fired this year to tell the total truth. His team was absolutely annihilated in that game against Arizona on national television, and there was an ugly skirmish that took place just before halftime as well. In fairness to Neuheisel, he hasn’t been able to keep a quarterback healthy for the past few seasons, but there is still no excuse. He came to Los Angeles vowing to put the Bruins back on the map and out of the shadows of the USC Trojans. The Men of Troy have been on probation these last two seasons, and UCLA is still irrelevant. The only way that Neuheisel ends up safe is by beating the Arizona State Sun Devils this coming week and getting into the Pac-12 Championship Game. Even then, we’re not totally sure.

Jeff Tedford – California Golden Bears: The Golden Bears were back on the map for awhile, but these last two seasons have been mighty frustrating. The team has never won more than 10 games in a year with Tedford calling the shots, and this is going to be the fifth season in his nine at the post in which this team has finished with a sub-.500 record in the Pac-12 (old Pac-10). Last year’s 5-7 seasons was brutal without a bowl game, the first time that that was the case since Tedford’s first year in 2002. Cal has two home games against Washington State and Oregon State over the next two weeks, and Tedford badly needs to win those two games and get this team back to a bowl game, or his days might be numbered in Berkeley.

Paul Wulff – Washington State Cougars: And the Pac-12 raid continues… Washington State hasn’t really had a good season in quite some time, and Wulff is about out of time to try to turn things around in Pullman. This team has lost four in a row, and without some momentum at the end of the season, we just don’t know if Wulff is going to survive. The Cougs have allowed 42 or more points four times this year and a whopping 21 times since 2008.

Mike Riley, Oregon State Beavers: We feel a bit bad for Riley, because he just doesn’t have the resources that Oregon does up the road in Eugene. His team went just 5-7 last year, and it is 2-6 this season, and things are clearly going in the wrong direction. The truth of the matter is that the Beavers really became relevant in the mid-2000s when they were finishing with nine or 10 wins virtually every year, but that time has come and gone. But, with USC, Stanford, and Oregon so dominating over the past few years, time is running out for basically all of the coaches in the Pac-12.

Houston Nutt – Ole Miss Rebels: Think that Nutt regrets that decision to leave Arkansas to go to Ole Miss? With the Hogs, he built a program that included three SEC West titles and eight Top 25 finishes. Now, he took over at Ole Miss and just was not able to rebuild after the wheels fell off for QB Jevan Snead in 2009. His team is going to miss a bowl game for a second straight year, and with a 1-15 record over two seasons in the SEC looming, the Rebels might be looking to make a change.

Neil Callaway – UAB Blazers: Coaching UAB has to be one of the most difficult jobs in the entire country. The school is tucked away in the middle of nowhere in Birmingham, and there is no way that it is ever going to be able to compete with Auburn and Alabama in recruiting. Since coming to the Blazers though, Callaway is only 16-44 without a bowl game, or a finish in the top half of the East Division in Conference USA. The time is clearly coming for UAB to head another direction.

Ron Zook – Illinois Fighting Illini: The thought was that the Zooker was off of the hot seat when he got the Illini off to a 6-0 start to this season and a Top 20 ranking in the country. However, after three straight losses, we’re just not all that sure. We tend to think that recruiting QB Nathan Scheelhaase will at least earn Zook one more season, but there is a point that this program really needs to improve. The only really notable season was the 9-4 Rose Bowl year in 2007. However, aside from that, Zook only has one other bowl bid, though we’re assuming that the Illini are going to go bowling this year even if they do only go 6-6.

Mark Richt – Georgia Bulldogs: Richt is really at best a fringe candidate to get fired at the end of this season, but if he survived the 0-2 start to this season, he has to be considered relatively safe right now. Richt scored a big, big win over the Florida Gators on Saturday, and that both ensured that the Bulldogs will be bowling and that Richt should be in good shape. If UGA ends up winning the SEC East this year, as it looks like it very much so could, we can’t see how it would fire its coach.


College Football’s Top 25 Games in 2011: #2 LSU vs. Alabama

October 30th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)

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2011-12 Top 25 College Football Games of the Year
#2 LSU Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Updated 10/23/11

In the SEC, virtually every game is an important one. However, there probably won’t be a game in the SEC this season that means more than our No. 2 game of the season, the clash between the LSU Tigers and the Alabama Crimson Tide.

LSU Tigers @ Alabama Crimson Tide Picks & Info
LSU Tigers @ Alabama Crimson Tide Date: Saturday, November 5th
LSU Tigers @ Alabama Crimson Tide Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
LSU Tigers @ Alabama Crimson Tide Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide -5.5

The Tigers are going to open up this game ranked as the No. 1 team in the country, as they are just in front of the BCS Rankings. They have had a tumultuous season chock full of suspensions and players that have been dealing with other off the field issues. QB Jordan Jefferson was suspended for the first month of the season, but he is back, though he is splitting time with QB Jarrett Lee. This defense is one of the best in the country, and it has shut down virtually every team that it has run up against. There isn’t a team in America that has played a schedule that has been this tough. The Bayou Bengals have already won a de facto road game against the Oregon Ducks and a legitimate road game against the West Virginia Mountaineers.

LSU Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Past Games (Since 1995)
2010: LSU 24 – Alabama 21
2009: Alabama 24 – LSU 15
2008: Alabama 27 – LSU 21
2007: LSU 41 – Alabama 34
2006: LSU 28 – Alabama 14
2005: LSU 16 – Alabama 13
2004: LSU 26 – Alabama 10
2003: LSU 27 – Alabama 3
2002: Alabama 31 – LSU 0
2001: LSU 35 – Alabama 21
2000: LSU 30 – Alabama 28
1999: Alabama 23 – LSU 17
1998: Alabama 22 – LSU 16
1997: LSU 27 – Alabama 0
1996: Alabama 26 – LSU 0

This was supposed to be a rough year for the Crimson Tide, as they had to replace their three biggest offensive stars at quarterback, wide receiver, and running back. However, RB Trent Richardson has been a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate, and the likelihood is there that he could end up taking the honors for this award right here in this game. Scarily enough, the Tide have allowed less than half the touchdowns to opponents that Richardson has scored. Heck, the total yardage between the opponents and Richardson isn’t all that far apart either. Head Coach Nick Saban and company haven’t played that tough of a schedule yet, but that win at the Penn State Nittany Lions is looking better and better as the weeks pass and the Lions climb up the polls.

Alabama opened up this season at -6 in this game, but since that point, the line has come out at +5.5 at 5Dimes, and +5 at some other outlets. We fully expect to see this number drop over the course of the next two weeks, though both of these teams are on bye until the game the first weekend of November.

LSU Tigers @ Alabama Crimson Tide Game Odds @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 10/23/11):
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LSU Tigers (+5.5) @ Alabama Crimson Tide


2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 8 Fantasy Football Sleepers

October 28th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 8!

Seattle Seahawks Defense/Special Teams vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Are we out of our minds playing with the Seahawks defense? This team has accounted for negative points twice already this year and just one point in most standard leagues once as well. That’s half of its games! However, we have a lot of reasons to hate the Bengals this week and love the Seahawks. This is going to be the first mega difficult road trip for QB Andy Dalton. No matter how bad Seattle is, Qwest Field is always a horror to try to play at. On top of that, RB Cedric Benson has been suspended for this game, and the weather is expected to be horrible. Last week, the Seahawks didn’t do all that much right against the Cleveland Browns, but if the clock just runs as quickly in this game as it did in that one, we should be getting a nice sum of points from this defense for a second straight week.

Mario Manningham vs. Miami Dolphins
Most of you that drafted Manningham did so way, way too early in your drafts. He was expected to be a bit of a sleeper this year, but so far, he really has done nothing to even warrant being on a fantasy team, let alone being a starter. He only has 18 catches for the season and hasn’t had more than 56 yards in a game, nor has he scored a touchdown yet. However, this is the perfect game for him to shine. Remember that Manningham has picked up more targets in these last two games (16 in total) than he had for the rest of the season combined. He’s going against a Miami defense which ranks No. 18 in the league against opposing wide receivers. You know that the Giants’ offense is going to be on the field quite a bit, as the offense for the Dolphins just can’t stay out of its own way. We think that this is the week for Manningham to be a big time boom.

Tim Tebow vs. Detroit Lions
Last week, we called for Tebow to have a great game against the Dolphins. In fact, he had a terrible game… and a fantastic three minutes in which he accounted for nearly 20 total fantasy points and 15 points in real life. The man is going to run the ball, he is going to throw the ball, and he is going to put points on the board in some respect against a Detroit team that, quite frankly, has been very questionable these past two weeks. You just know that somehow, Tebow is going to keep this game close no matter how ugly of a ball that he throws, and in the end, that will probably translate into at least 15-20 fantasy points, making the former Heisman Trophy winner a solid start.

Owen Daniels vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Let’s get this part straight. If you have Owen Daniels, you’re starting him each and every week, unless you’re one of these wackos that is carrying two tight ends on your team and the other one happens to be named Antonio Gates or Jason Witten. However, just as we said last week with Ed Dickson, playing against the Jags with your tight end is a gold mine. The team’s Cover 2 scheme is conducive for a ton of passes right over the middle, and all three of the Texans’ tight ends might end up being great plays, especially if WR Andre Johnson ends up not playing yet again with his hamstring injury.

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2011 Martinsville 500 Odds, Preview, Analysis, & Free Picks

October 27th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Martinsville 500 Odds From Our Sponsor Sportsbooks Listed Below!

NASCAR betting fans: We’re back with another fantastic race this weekend at Talladega Super Speedway, as 43 of the best drivers in the world look to make for great TUMS Fast Relief 500 picks and the Chase for the Sprint Cup continues!

2011 TUMS Fast Relief 500 Odds, Picks & Info
2011 TUMS Fast Relief 500 Date: Sunday, October 30th, 2011
2011 TUMS Fast Relief 500 Green Flag Time: 1:43 ET
2011 TUMS Fast Relief 500 Location: Martinsville Speedway, Ridgeway, VA
2011 TUMS Fast Relief 500 Favorite: Denny Hamlin (+600)
Defending TUMS Fast Relief 500 Champion: Denny Hamlin
2011 TUMS Fast Relief 500 TV Coverage – Network: ESPN

The Chase for the Championship is starting to wind down, and it is a wonder whether there is going to be too much more movement or not. In spite of the fact that he is in 11th place and seems to be out of contention, a win this week would be just what the doctor ordered for Denny Hamlin (Odds to Win the Martinsville 500: 6 to 1 at SportBet Sportsbook). Hamlin is 84 points back, and without a real collapse by a number of drivers, he’s just not going to be able to make it all the way back to the top of the mountain. He hasn’t raced well in the Chase, not finishing better than 7th since the Irwin Tools Night Race in August. However, results are getting better and better. Hamlin finished 31st at the GEICO 400, and from that point forward, he finished 29th, 18th, 16th, 9th, and then 8th last week at the Good Sam Club 500.

The man that made a really, really big push last week towards the top of the charts was Brad Keselowski (Current Martinsville 500 Odds: 20 to 1 at SportBet Sportsbook). The Jet Ski is 18 points back, but he is in third place, in front of a whole heck of a lot of drivers that probably thought that he was a totally dead member of the Chase. Since July 31st though, Keselowski has been the best driver on the Sprint Cup circuit. He has two wins, seven Top 5s, and 10 Top 10 finishes in 13 races. He has yet to win a race in the Chase for the Sprint Cup, but if Keselowski is going to make his move, he’s going to do it here at Martinsville.

List Of Past TUMS Fast Relief 500 Champions (Since 2000)
2010 TUMS Fast Relief 500 Winner: Denny Hamlin
2009 TUMS Fast Relief 500 Winner: Denny Hamlin
2008 TUMS Fast Relief 500 Winner: Jimmie Johnson
2007 TUMS Fast Relief 500 Winner: Jimmie Johnson
2006 TUMS Fast Relief 500 Winner: Jimmie Johnson
2005 TUMS Fast Relief 500 Winner: Jeff Gordon
2004 TUMS Fast Relief 500 Winner: Jimmie Johnson
2003 TUMS Fast Relief 500 Winner: Jeff Gordon
2002 TUMS Fast Relief 500 Winner: Kurt Busch
2001 TUMS Fast Relief 500 Winner: Ricky Craven
2000 TUMS Fast Relief 500 Winner: Tony Stewart

There hasn’t been a driver in a Ford win this race since 2002, as Hendrick Motorsports has truly dominated, winning races from 2003 through 2008 before Hamlin took over and won in 2009 and 2010. That being said, if there is a Ford that is going to be able to break the hex, it has to be Carl Edwards (Martinsville 500 Lines: 17 to 1 at SportBet Sportsbook). Edwards only has one win all season long, and that was way back in March, but he has turned in the most consistent performance amongst drivers all season long. The No. 99 had nine Top 10 finishes in 10 races in the Spring, and he now has finished in 11th or better in nine straight races. If he can hang this close to the top of the pack, we have to keep taking these types of NASCAR odds on Edwards.

Martinsville 500 Odds @ SportBet Sportsbook (as of 10/27/11):
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Denny Hamlin 6 to 1
Jimmie Johnson 6.50 to 1
Kevin Harvick 6.50 to 1
Jeff Gordon 7.75 to 1
Tony Stewart 7.75 to 1
Kurt Busch 9 to 1
Clint Bowyer 16 to 1
Carl Edwards 17 to 1
Dale Earnhardt, Jr. 18 to 1
Brad Keselowski 20 to 1
Ryan Newman 28 to 1
Kurt Busch 28 to 1
Jeff Burton 33 to 1
Matt Kenseth 33 to 1
Kasey Kahne 33 to 1
Greg Biffle 40 to 1
Mark Martin 45 to 1
Martin Truex Jr. 45 to 1
Joey Logano 45 to 1
Jamie McMurray 45 to 1

Martinsville 500 Odds @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 10/27/11):
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Jimmie Johnson 6 to 1
Denny Hamlin 6 to 1
Kevin Harvick 6 to 1
Jeff Gordon 7 to 1
Kurt Busch 8 to 1
Clint Bowyer 15 to 1
Carl Edwards 15 to 1
Dale Earnhardt, Jr. 18 to 1
Brad Keselowski 18 to 1
Ryan Newman 25 to 1
Kurt Busch 25 to 1
Jeff Burton 30 to 1
Matt Kenseth 30 to 1
Kasey Kahne 30 to 1
Greg Biffle 40 to 1
Mark Martin 40 to 1
Joey Logano 40 to 1
Jamie McMurray 40 to 1
Field 15 to 1


Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Prop Picks (10/24/11)

October 24th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Ray Rice Over/Under 94.5 Rushing Yards
Rice has been a workhorse this year, and this game should be no exception. Unfortunately from our standpoint, the Rutgers Scarlet Knight also gets it done through the air as a receiver, so we might get nipped that way. Plus, if this game does get out of hand, it’ll be RB Ricky Williams doing the heavy lifting, not the potential MVP candidate. Still, Rice always seems to get his yards, and after watching RB Rashard Mendenhall smoke this defense on the ground behind that shoddy offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers, in Rice we trust. Rice Over 94.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Total Sacks Over/Under 5
Look, we know that QB Joe Flacco has happy feet, and we know that QB Blaine Gabbert looks like a deer in headlights and holds the ball far too long. However, let’s be realistic here for a second. Asking for six sacks in a game is a tad ridiculous, as we don’t think that it is even remotely reasonable no matter how good these two defensive fronts are. Last week, the aforementioned Steelers got four sacks in the first half and couldn’t get to Gabbert after that. We think that that might be the beginning of some better place for this offensive line, and that should keep the sack total lower in this one. Under 5 Sacks (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Total Field Goals Over/Under 3.5
Four field goals is a lot in a game, which is why we are getting some odds on our side in this one. What we also know though, is that the Jaguars have a stingy defense and often hold teams to field goals instead of touchdowns. Both of these kickers, Billy Cundiff and Josh Scobee have the ability to boot the ball 50+ yards as well. These defenses bend quite a bit, but they very rarely break. This one could feature a lot of attempts at three points over the course of the day, and we think that that plays right into our hands. Over 3.5 Field Goals (+145 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

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