NCAA Football Picks: NC State @ Cincinnati College Football Props

September 21st, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Week 4 of college football betting action is here! But before you get started with the NCAA football odds, be sure to check out our college football prop picks for the first day of the fourth week of the season, including the NC State vs. Cincinnati picks!

TJ Graham Over/Under 88.5 Receiving Yards
It is interesting how Graham has really stepped up in this, his senior season. He only had just over 700 receiving yards in his first three seasons with the Wolfpack, and now, he has 252 yards and 12 receptions thus far this year. Of course, this Cincinnati defense, though not the greatest in the world, is still a heck of a lot better than those of two FCS teams and Wake Forest. We just have a hard time believing that QB Mike Glennon is going to be finding all that much success, and if that’s the case, Graham won’t be able to put up fantastic stats either. Graham Under 88.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Isaiah Pead Over/Under 97.5 Rushing Yards
Pead really has run wild in his first three games of the year, including putting up 155 yards on just 14 carries against the Tennessee Volunteers. What’s interesting is the fact that Pead has 257 yards on the ground, yet he has only had 27 touches of the football. This is a lot more serious game, and Jameel Poteat, George Winn, and the likes won’t be getting as many touches as they did against the Akron Zips and the Austin Peay Governors. Though Pead won’t be averaging darn near 10 yards per carry in this game in all likelihood, there is no way that we can see the Wolfpack and their relatively shoddy defense keeping Pead under 100 yards on even 16-18 carries. Pead Over 97.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

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NCAA Football Super Conference Teams Projections & Realignments

September 19th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Projected Super Conferences Teams List & Team Realignments Can Be Found Below

Last season, college conference realignments really shook the landscape of college football as we know it. Now, the Boise State Broncos are in the Mountain West, the Nebraska Cornhuskers are in the Big 10, the Big 10 has 12 teams, and the Big 12 has 10 teams… not to mention that the artists formerly known as the Pac-10 are now known as the Pac-10 after taking the Colorado Buffaloes and Utah Utes. However, conference expansion certainly isn’t done yet, as there are shockwaves that are already rumbling across the country about how conference realignment might pan out.

Here’s what we already know: Next year, the ACC is going to have at least 14 teams in it. The Syracuse Orange and the Pittsburgh Panthers are heading to the ACC to make that conference have 14 teams. It is likely that the ACC is going to be looking for two more teams to add into the fold for an even 16.

We also know that the Big East is at least getting one team back in the TCU Horned Frogs, who made the commitment last year to jump from the Mountain West to the Big East once this athletic year is over.

The Texas A&M Aggies are trying to leave the Big 12 for the SEC, and though the SEC has openly welcomed the Aggies with open arms, there are still schools in the Big 12 like Kansas State, Iowa State, and Baylor that are trying to block the move. Odds have it, they won’t be successful, and in 2012, A&M will be in the SEC.

The question for the SEC though, is who the 14th team is going to be. There are some thoughts that perhaps TCU could go back on its word to the Big East and try to head to the SEC, but the West Virginia Mountaineers are trying to make the move as well. If this happens, it is clear that the Big East is just a dead conference waiting to be partitioned the rest of the way.

To make matters worse for the Big East, the ACC is also reportedly in pursuit of the Connecticut Huskies and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights for their Super Conference. This would round out the conference at 16 teams and would likely lock in the conference for the foreseeable future without any further expansion or departure… or does it???

The new realigned SEC Coference would have 14 teams with the additions of Texas A&M and West Virginia, and it would need two more schools. You just know that there won’t be small, unproven schools coming to the SEC, so the conference will do all that it can to poach from a bigger conference. Remember how the ACC thought it was set? Not so fast. Don’t be shocked if Florida State and Clemson headed to their instate rivals Florida and South Carolina and joins the SEC.

And that would leave the ACC with two open slots again to fill…

And that’s only the half of it. The Pac-12 is in talks with the Texas Longhorns and the Oklahoma Sooners about coming to their conference, and if that happens, the Oklahoma State Cowboys and the Texas Tech Red Raiders will almost certainly be on the move to make that conference the Pac-16 as well.

That being said, the Big 12 would only be left with Baylor, Kansas State, Iowa State, Kansas, and Missouri. Kansas State and Kansas seem to be a package deal, and they could be headed to the Big 10, and that is the preferred conference for the Tigers as well. Iowa State and Baylor would be hung out to dry and might have to join lesser conferences. The 16th team for the Big 10? You’d like to think since this is probably going to ultimately signal the dawn of a college football playoff down the line, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are probably going to have to join, and this is the conference that makes the most sense.

And if you’re keeping score at home, the Big East could only be left with TCU, South Florida, Cincinnati, and Louisville, with the prospects of Villanova joining the FBS ranks for football in the coming years.

So let’s go back to the ACC, which has two slots to fill. Louisville and Cincinnati make relatively close travel partners, and the conference location does fit those schools, and though really any of the holdovers, or the possibility of South Florida and UCF coming into the ACC together exists, we tend to think that it would be the Bearcats and the Cardinals that enter into the ACC.

Thus, the dawn of the college football super conferences that we’ve been hearing all about… And right now, this is what we really could end up seeing when this alignment is said and done…

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Proposed College Football Realignment & New Super Conferences
(College Footall Teams in Italics Designate New Teams Entering Conferences)

ACC “Super Conference”: Wake Forest, Maryland, NC State, Boston College, North Carolina, Duke, Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, Virginia, Miami, Syracuse, Pittsburgh, Connecticut, Rutgers, Cincinnati, Louisville

Pac-16 “Super Conference” (the old Pac 10): California, Stanford, Oregon, Washington, Washington State, Oregon State, USC, Arizona State, UCLA, Utah, Arizona, Colorado, Texas, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech

Big 10 “Super Conference”: Illinois, Wisconsin, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, Indiana, Michigan, Nebraska, Iowa, Michigan State, Northwestern, Minnesota, Notre Dame, Kansas State, Kansas, Missouri

SEC “Super Conference”: Florida, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Kentucky, Tennessee, Georgia, LSU, Alabama, Auburn, Arkansas, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, Texas A&M, West Virginia, Florida State, Clemson

Still, that leaves a lot of questions to be answered… Baylor, TCU, South Florida, and Iowa State all wouldn’t have places to go, though they could all come together in Conference USA. BYU is another team that is basically left out in the cold for all of this, and save for going to the WAC and hoping that eventually the WAC and the MWC combine, it could end up as an independent for the foreseeable future without a conference, and potentially without a spot in college football’s prospective playoff.

And then of course, there’s Boise State, the team that thought it was going to a conference in the MWC that could have been a powerhouse… until BYU opted for independence, TCU left for the Big East (or did they???), and Utah went to the Pac-12. There are going to be very, very unhappy teams in all of this, and in all likelihood, these are going to be the unhappy campers that are left out of the super conferences of college football.

The other question is what is left to do with the rest of the Big East Conference in basketball. Teams like Georgetown, Marquette, DePaul, and Villanova could be headed to the Atlantic 10, while that conference might have to eliminate some of its members at the bottom of the totem poll to try to get all of these teams under the same conference umbrella.


2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 2 Fantasy Football Sleepers

September 14th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 2!

Reggie Bush vs. Houston Texans
We definitely learned one thing about the Dolphins last week, and that’s that RB Reggie Bush is going to need to be used as a runner and a receiver. He may or may not get goal line carries (Lex Hilliard did last week in the one and only chance that he had on the field), but we know that against the Texans’ new 3-4 look, Bush is going to find himself a ton of open holes on the field. Especially if you’re dealing in a PPR league, Bush is a great start this week, as he might be good for a dozen receptions to go with his 40-50 rushing yards that he is sure to get against a defense that we really don’t know a heck of a lot about quite yet.

Bet Revolution

Brandon Gibson and Sam Bradford vs. New York Giants
Last week, no one was all that high on the Rams against the Eagles, but we have to remember that that Philadelphia secondary is like none other in the league. Bradford has a finger injury that we have to deal with, but with an extra day of preparation, we think that he’ll be fine. The Giants just allowed over 300 passing yards to QB Rex Grossman of the Redskins, something that should virtually never happen, and that being said, this is going to be a porous unit until some bodies start to get healthier. Gibson is going to be the primary target in all likelihood for Bradford after WR Danny Amendola went down with an elbow injury in Week 1. Don’t be shocked if these two hook up a half dozen times for over 100 yards and a TD on Monday Night Football.

Santana Moss vs. Arizona Cardinals
Moss really isn’t much of a sleeper, since he was probably a mid-round pick in your fantasy league, but with Grossman at the helm, the former Miami Hurricane is going to be the subject of a ton of targets once again. He had nine targets last week against the Giants, and this week, he is facing perhaps the only secondary in football that is as bad as the one that he faced last week. Arizona will definitely show some holes, and there isn’t a corner that can keep up what Moss’ speed, save for DB Patrick Peterson, and we wouldn’t be thrilled with the prospects of a rookie going up against a vet like Moss.

Devery Henderson vs. Chicago Bears
This is the second time that we are going to be asking one of the secondary receiving options for QB Drew Brees to do us the favor of scoring a touchdown, and we tend to think that a big week in Week 1 is just the beginning of what could be a bust out season for Henderson. The former LSU Tiger is likely to get the nod alongside WR Robert Meachem this week, and if that’s the case, though Chicago’s secondary is solid, Brees should be throwing him the ball quite a bit. Meachem and TE Jimmy Graham are both great starts this week as well.

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NCAA Football Picks: LSU @ Mississippi St College Football Props

September 12th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Week 3 of college football betting action is here! But before you get started with the NCAA football odds, be sure to check out our college football prop picks for the first day of the third week of the season, including the LSU vs. Mississippi State picks!

Vick Ballard Over/Under 87.5 Rushing Yards
The Bayou Bengals have allowed less than 50 rushing yards per game this year, and that makes it hard to believe that Ballard is going to be getting anywhere near this 87.5 yard barrier. The truth of the matter is that he has averaged over 150 yards per game as well, but it just isn’t going to happen this week. Last year, Ballard carried the ball 11 times for 28 yards, and the running backs as a whole for the Bulldogs ended up toting the rock 33 times for only 90 yards. Ballard isn’t going to be able to do it on his own, and he won’t reach this ‘total’. Ballard Under 87.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Chris Relf Over/Under 15 Completions
In the first week of the year, we took Relf ‘over’ 11.5 completed passes, and we find it odd that that number, against a stouter defense, has gone up 3.5 completions. Now, it’s true that Relf has completed 33 passes in two games, but it is clear that QB Tyler Russell is going to get his snaps as well under center. There has to be a concerted effort to try to run the football, and even if it fails, we don’t expect Head Coach Dan Mullen to get off of that kick. There are too many variables in this one, but we just can’t see many situations in which Relf completes at least 16 passes. Relf Under 15 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).


NFL Picks: New England @ Miami, Oakland @ Denver Prop Picks

September 12th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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Monday Night Football is back and better than ever this week, as there are two crucial divisional duels on tap. Check out how we stack up the NFL props and make our NFL picks on the clashes between the Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots and Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders.

Over/Under 4 Sacks (NE/MIA)
You don’t normally think of these two teams as two that will gun the ball all over the place. However, with QB Tom Brady breaking in a new receiver in WR Chad Ochocinco and QB Chad Henne really stuck throwing the ball a ton without a steady running game, the sacks could mount in a hurry. You know that New England’s defense is not relenting, as Head Coach Bill Belichick will throw the kitchen sink at the relatively inexperienced Henne. The question is how much Head Coach Tony Sparano is going to send at Brady. Knowing that his job might be on the line, we’d guess that we’ll see a lot of guys like LB Jason Taylor and LB Koa Misi in the backfield. Over 4 Sacks (-110 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Brandon Lloyd Over/Under 4.5 Receptions
No respect here for the defending receiving yards champ in the league. Lloyd had a sturdy year last year, and though we know that Head Coach John Fox is going to want to run the ball more with RB Knowshon Moreno, that doesn’t mean that the rapport that QB Kyle Orton built with Lloyd over the last year will just suddenly disappear. Don’t be surprised if there are a few shots taken to try to loosen up this Oakland defense, and if that’s the case, Lloyd should be able to amass the five receptions needed to beat this target. Lloyd Over 4.5 Receptions (+100 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over/Under 45.5 Yards (NE/MIA)
Last season alone, New England scored four special teams or defensive TDs that all went for more than 45 yards against the Dolphins, and that doesn’t even include the possibility of the offenses scoring from this far out. We know that Brady will be looking to hit some deep shots during this game, and the X-Factor very well could be RB Reggie Bush, who appears like he is going to get at least 20-25 touches of the football in some respect in this game. Don’t be shocked if this prop is decided with the very first touchdown. Longest Touchdown Over 45.5 Yards (-115 at BoDog Sportsbook)


NCAA Football Picks: Saturday College Football Props 9/10/11

September 9th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)
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The second Saturday of the NCAA football betting campaign is here, and here at Bankroll Sports, we’re getting ready to analyze some of the college football prop picks for the day!

Will There be a Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Alabama vs. Penn State Game?
If this game were in Tuscaloosa, we’d feel just a tad differently about this prop. That being said, we just don’t see how either of these teams are going to find their way onto the scoreboard all that quickly in Happy Valley, especially if Mother Nature provides a bit of a challenge. Neither one of these offenses in all that great, and both defenses are the strength of the squad. It’s a bit chalky, but it’s a short number that we have to wait to cash in a winner. No Score in the First 6 Minutes (-135 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Team To Have the Most First Downs: Notre Dame (-1) @ Michigan
We just don’t buy the Irish as favorites in this game, and we certainly don’t believe that the Wolverines are going to have fewer first downs than their opponents in this one as well. QB Tommy Rees is going to have his work cut out for him against a Michigan defense that has to be improved from last year. To make matters even worse for the Irish, QB Denard Robinson looks like he is going to be committed to fewer big plays with Head Coach Brady Hoke in charge, so this one seems to be easy. Michigan +1 First Downs (-130 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Chad Bumphis Over/Under 2.5 Receptions
Mississippi State showed a bit more in the passing game last week against the Memphis Tigers than we thought it would, but we are wondering whether there won’t be more looks for the receivers in this one against Auburn, especially if the game becomes a bit of a shootout. That being said, Bumphis is the most talented of these receivers, and though he only had one catch last week, we know that he averaged almost four receptions per game last year. Getting to three shouldn’t be all that hard, especially after the Tigers nearly allowed Utah State to come into Jordan Hare Stadium and post a win. Bumphis Over 2.5 Receptions (-130 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Marquis Maze Over/Under 56.5 Receiving Yards
Maze really amazed last week against the Kent State Golden Flashes, picking up eight receptions and accounting for over 100 yards. We know that Maze getting at least five receptions is a great college football prop as well, but we’ll take him for a big play or two in this one as well. We tend to think that it is a slam dunk that he is getting into the 60s at least in receiving yards. Someone has to pick up the slack for WR Julio Jones. Maze Over 56.5 Receiving Yards (-105 at BoDog Sportsbook)

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2011 Week 1 NFL Lines – Week One NFL Spreads Breakdown

September 9th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist)

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The Entire List of 2011 Week 1 NFL Lines are Listed at the Bottom of This Page!

Week One of the 2011 NFL campaign is going to get underway this weekend. Below you will find the current list of 2011 Week 1 NFL lines and spreads along with a breakdown of the Week one odds. Be sure to check out the free NFL picks from the expert handicappers at Bankroll Sports this week.  The Premium picks from the experts at Bankroll Sports can be purchased by clicking the “Purchase Premium Sports Picks” image on the right hand side of this page.

The NFL Week 1 lines are always extremely tough to gauge, especially with three more weeks still to play before we reach the start of the games that count. This year, things will be even tougher, as training camps were shorter and rookies really didn’t get a chance to start playing until just a few weeks ago thanks to the NFL lockout. Still, these games are huge and are meaningful right out of the block.

The season kicks off on Thursday, September 8th with the defending Super Bowl champs, the Green Bay Packers hosting the Super Bowl winners from two years ago, the New Orleans Saints. The Saints are relatively hefty four point underdogs in this one, a certain sign of disrespect for a team that they finished with a better record than a year ago. If New Orleans is truly the better of these two teams, this will be a heck of a fight between two teams that are hoping to be in the NFC Championship Game this year.

This is the second straight season that the Houston Texans are going to open up against the Indianapolis Colts. Last year, Houston came away with a relatively easy 34-24 ‘W’ thanks to an absolutely amazing day by RB Arian Foster, who rushed for 231 yards and three TDs. This season, the Colts are in some trouble because there was no significant improvement in terms of personnel, and QB Peyton Manning now knows that he is out for at least the foreseeable future, if not for the entire season (as of Friday morning). Are his best days behind him? The oddsmakers think so, because Houston is a whopping nine point favorite on the Week 1 odds.

The week one schedule will also put the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers against one another. These two teams are almost always postseason clubs, and this year should be no exception. These are two veteran laden teams who hope to get back to AFC Divisional Round of the playoffs; where Pittsburgh ousted Baltimore a season ago. As always, this should be a hard hitting slug fest. Both road teams won in this series last year, with SS Troy Polamalu making the play of the game forcing a fumble on QB Joe Flacco. Think the oddsmakers know that this one will be close? The NFL week one odds have Baltimore favored by 2.5, the value of home field advantage against the Steelers.

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Also in Week 1, we have a total of four nationally televised games instead of the usual two or three. We’ve already talked about New Orleans/Green Bay, but we haven’t spoken of the others yet. The Dallas Cowboys are four point underdogs at the New York Jets in what is slated to be the first regular season game back in the saddle for QB Tony Romo.

Monday Night Football features a pair of games, as the New England Patriots open up as 5.5 point favorites but have since raised to seven over the Miami Dolphins at Sun Life Stadium, and the Denver Broncos are three point choices of the oddsmakers at home against the Oakland Raiders.

There are only two teams that are favored by more than a TD in Week 1. One is Houston over Indianapolis. The San Diego Chargers are nine point favorites against the Minnesota Vikings as they hope to get this year off on the right foot after surprisingly missing out on the postseason last year.

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‘Totals’ are generally a tad lower than usual on the NFL Week 1 betting lines. All but four games are featuring ‘totals’ of 41.5 or lower.

It should come as no surprise that the lowest ‘total’ of the week involves two of the nastiest teams in the league, the Ravens and the Steelers. These two almost always play games in the 20s or 30s, and this should be no exception. The oddsmakers have placed this ‘total’ at just 36, and if Mother Nature doesn’t cooperate, that number could fly down into the low-30s by the time the ball is kicked off.

The clash between the other two AFC North teams, the Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns is set just a half point lower at 35.5. Though these two have a history of playing some higher scoring affairs, these two teams are just brutally offensively challenged this year. The Bengals really have no clue how to stay out of their own way with QB Andy Dalton and a host of running backs and receivers that truly aren’t all that talented, and Cleveland didn’t go out in the offseason and pick up any real help for QB Colt McCoy.

One of the highest ‘totals’ of all the NFL week one lines was the 46 hung in the Houston/Indianapolis game. And why not? These two teams have played three straight games to at least 47 points, and a number of games in this series have gotten into the 50s and 60s. However, with QB Peyton Manning now in doubt, that ‘total’ has dipped to 43. The highest ‘total’ of the week is the 47 posted in the Green Bay/New Orleans opener.

Latest 2011 NFL Football Week 1 Lines @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 9/6/11):
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NFL Week 1 Odds for Thursday, September 8th
451 New Orleans Saints +4
452 Green Bay Packers -4
Over/Under 47

Week 1 NFL Spreads for Sunday, September 11th (1:00 ET Kickoffs)
453 Pittsburgh Steelers +1
454 Baltimore Ravens -1
Over/Under 36

455 Detroit Lions +1
456 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1
Over/Under 41

457 Atlanta Falcons -2.5
458 Chicago Bears +2.5
Over/Under 40.5

459 Buffalo Bills +6.5
460 Kansas City Chiefs -6.5
Over/Under 40

461 Indianapolis Colts +9
462 Houston Texans -9
Over/Under 43

463 Philadelphia Eagles -4
464 St. Louis Rams +4
Over/Under 44

465 Cincinnati Bengals +6.5
466 Cleveland Browns -6.5
Over/Under 35

467 Tennessee Titans +1.5
468 Jacksonville Jaguars -1.5
Over/Under 37

NFL Week 1 Betting Lines for Sunday, September 11th (4:00 ET Kickoffs)
469 New York Giants -2.5
470 Washington Redskins +2.5
Over/Under 37.5

471 Carolina Panthers +7.5
472 Arizona Cardinals -7.5
Over/Under 37

473 Seattle Seahawks +5
474 San Francisco 49ers -5
Over/Under 37.5

475 Minnesota Vikings +9
476 San Diego Chargers -9
Over/Under 41.5

Sunday Night Football Week 1 Gsme Line Sunday, September 11th
477 Dallas Cowboys +5.5
478 New York Jets -5.5
Over/Under 40.5

Week 1 Monday Night Football Lines for Monday, September 12th
479 New England Patriots -7
480 Miami Dolphins +7
Over/Under 45.5

481 Oakland Raiders +3
482 Denver Broncos -3
Over/Under 40

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