Posts Tagged ‘2011’

Free Superbowl Prop Pick of the Day: Pittsburgh Completions

January 30th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Free Superbowl Prop Pick of the Day: Pittsburgh Completions

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Sportbet.com is back with some more tremendous Superbowl props, and today at Bankroll Sports, we’re dissecting another of the weaker lines that they have to offer so you can cash in with Super Bowl picks! We’ll look at the Pittsburgh Steelers and how many completions they are going to have against the Green Bay Packers.

First off, let’s remember that this prop is for the Steelers total number of completions, not just those of QB Ben Roethlisberger. We’re protected in the event that Big Ben gets hurt, and we are also given a bonus if there is anyone else out of left field who completes a pass on a trick play. These things are key, as they always have to be considered when playing props of this sort. Roethlisberger’s completions alone could be found as high as 19.5 at some sportsbooks, making this a tremendous price.

Off to the prop itself… Roethlisberger averaged 20 completions per game in the 12 duels that he played in the regular season. He had exactly 19 completions against the Baltimore Ravens, but the number that is really scaring most away from this prop is the 10 that he had against the New York Jets. Odds have it though, that the Steelers aren’t going to be jumping out to this 24-0 lead the same way that they did against the Jets in the AFC Championship Game, meaning the offense is going to need to be more well balanced here than it was in that one. RB Rashard Mendenhall might not have the same type of success in this one as he did against the Jets when he rumbled for 121 yards. The track in this one is also going to be in great weather, as it is played in a dome, and not in the wind and winter blustery weather.

Especially if the Steelers end up falling behind at any point in this game, there is a great chance that Big Ben is going to be asked to do a little bit more than just stand there and hand the ball off to Mendenhall. Pittsburgh should complete at least 19 passes without any doubt.

Free Super Bowl Picks: Pittsburgh Over 18.5 Completions -125 at Sportbet

Free Super Bowl Pick Prop of the Day: Rashard Mendenhall Carries

January 28th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Free Super Bowl Pick Prop of the Day: Rashard Mendenhall Carries
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The Super Bowl is just a bit over a week away, but we are making our Superbowl picks for props as always on a nightly basis. Today, we look at Rashard Mendenhall, and how many carries that he will get against the Green Bay Packers in Super Bowl XLV.

The first thing that we have to take in consideration in this one is that Mendenhall carried the ball a whopping 371 times this year in his 18 games including the playoffs. That’s an average of 20.6 times per game. He had more than 19.5 carries nine times this year, which really should make this a 50/50 prop… right?

Wrong.

What we have to remember is that the Packers have a tremendous pass defense, and Head Coach Mike Tomlin and company know it. QB Ben Roethlisberger will have to make his plays against a ferocious bunch, and as a result, he is going to be relying on Mendenhall to take off some of the load.

Mendenhall is a horse, as he has demonstrated in the playoffs, as he has carried the ball 20 and 27 times in games against two of the toughest defenses that this league has to offer, the New York Jets and the Baltimore Ravens. Even when things aren’t going well and he is getting stuffed up at the point of attack, the Steelers continue to use him. The other critical factor is that there aren’t any running backs on this team that are stealing many of his carries, save for the short spell here and there.

The former member of the Illinois Fighting Illini also only had one run this year of longer than 38 yards, and that came way back in Week 1 of the season against the Atlanta Falcons. He’s more prone to just pounding the rock up in the hole, taking his few yards, and coming back to do it all over again.

Mendenhall will get into the 20s with ease, and he should be able to dominate this Super Bowl betting prop.

Free Super Bowl Picks: Rashard Mendenhall Over 19.5 Carries (-115) at Hollywood Sportsbook

2011 Free Super Bowl Free Pick Prop of the Day: First TD Celebration

January 27th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 Free Super Bowl Free Pick Prop of the Day: First TD Celebration

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Our prop analysis goes from the ridiculous to the sublime here at Bankroll Sports, and for today’s free Super Bowl pick, we’re going to take a look at the first TD celebration of the game and how it will be done.

There are some absolutely hilarious options at BetUS Sportsbook, including the Funky Chicken, the old Sharpie trick, and the one that we absolutely know we would all want to see, mooning the fans.

Let’s be realistic here, though. There are probably only a few reasonable options here on the board. We’ve seen players show their biceps all the time, and we know that the dunk through the uprights is really popular to boot. The typical TD spike is always a popular one, and in this day and age, the good ol’ salute is always a classy celebration.

But honestly, we already know if it is a member of the Green Bay Packers that does the scoring of the first TD of the game, the odds have it, there is going to be a Championship Belt symbol thrown up there. Heck, it wasn’t just QB Aaron Rodgers that did it against the Chicago Bears in the NFC Championship Game. DT BJ Raji did it as well, and you know if the big man is trying to be the champ, so is everyone else on the Packers.

Here’s the thing though, from a legitimate handicapping standpoint. We know that the Pittsburgh Steelers are full of some real bad dudes, and they aren’t going to take this “championship belt” thing lightly. Though we aren’t so sure that a man like RB Rashard Mendenhall would do it, we know that a guy like a LB James Harrison or a QB Ben Roethlisberger absolutely would.

You know you want to bet on this one, so don’t even try to avoid it. The first TD celebration in Superbowl XLV betting action is going to be the signaling of the championship belt around someone’s waist.

Free Super Bowl Picks: Championship Belt Celebration +200 at BetUS Sportsbook

Super Bowl XLV Odds for First TD Celebration @ BetUS Sportsbook (as of 1/27/11):
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Touchdown Spike +200
Championship Belt +200
Round Off or Back Flip +500
Snow Angel +1000
Chicken Dance +500
Dunks Football Through the Uprights +350
Dirty Bird +500
Shows His Biceps +600
The Worm +1500
Pulls Out Cell Phone +1200
Throat Slash +500
River Dance +1200
Takes Cheerleader’s Pompoms +1500
Pulls Out Sharpie, Signs Football +1500
Moons Fans +2000
Quiets the Crowd +500
Military Salute +700
The Squirrel +1200
Funky Chicken +1500
Lambeau Leap +200
The Shuffle +1500
Fun Bunch +1500

Super Bowl Prop Free Pick of the Day: Punt for a Touchback?

January 26th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Super Bowl Prop Free Pick of the Day: Punt for a Touchback?

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We aren’t just keying in on the simple props like passing yards and rushing yards here at Bankroll Sports. For the biggest game of the year, we are leaving no stone unturned for our Super Bowl picks! Today, our free Super Bowl pick of the day revolves around the punters and whether there will be a ball booted into the end zone for a touchback over the course of the game.

For the most part, logic tells you that you that this is a no brainer. It feels like there is a touchback in every game, but in all actuality, the sportsbooks are really trying to trick you into thinking this, and they hope that you back the “yes,” only to find that you’ll be greatly disappointed in the end.

However, it’s not just that simple. Green Bay Packers P Tim Masthay did end up booming one into the end zone last week, probably because he was really worried about WR Devin Hester getting his hands on the pigskin for the Chicago Bears. In fact, two of the six touchbacks that Masthay has in his 18 games this year came because of Hester and the Bears. He really doesn’t have all that much to worry about with the Steelers, as there isn’t a player standing back that could take punts in this one that is known as that explosive of a player that could return for to the house at a moment’s notice.

The punter that we are worried about screwing this up for us is Jeremy Kapinos. He had a touchback in the Divisional Round of the playoffs against the Baltimore Ravens, and in seven games this season, he had four touchbacks. Still, the Steelers quite often will let the ball stay in QB Ben Roethlisberger’s hands when they are close enough to go for it on 4th down to avoid punting, which could play right into our hands in this prop.

Between Kapinos and Masthay, they had 25 games and 11 punts between them. This theoretically should be about a 50/50 proposition, and considering we are getting +120 odds, we’ll gladly jump at them.

Free Super Bowl Picks: No Touchback in the Game +120 at Oddsmaker Sportsbook

Free Superbowl Prop Pick of the Day: First TD Scorer

January 24th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Free Superbowl Prop Pick of the Day: First TD Scorer

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Superbowl Prop PicksHere at Bankroll Sports, we are continuing our analysis of the Super Bowl XLV odds with our first look at our Free Superbowl Prop Picks. The very first one of these props that we are going to take a look at is the man that is going to score the first touchdown of the game.

Logic tells you that Pittsburgh Steelers RB Rashard Mendenhall should be the selection in this one, as he has three of the Steelers’ TDs in these playoffs, and when they get down close to the goal line, Mendenhall is the man getting the pigskin. However, we’re going to head down the board just a tad to the second favorite to beat the Super Bowl betting lines.

Green Bay Packers WR Greg Jennings was the leader on the team in the regular season with a dozen TDs on the year, and QB Aaron Rodgers usually loves to do what he can to get Jennings the ball early and often. Unfortunately, he hasn’t found his way into the end zone yet in the playoffs, but it feels like he is the only one that hasn’t for this team. Jennings was clearly vocal after the NFC Wild Card game in which he had just one reception against the Philadelphia Eagles, as he has eight grabs in both of the last two duels. We’re getting some great odds here on Jennings to be the first touchdown scorer in this game at 6.50 to 1, and we are going to cash in on this one for sure.

Free Super Bowl Prop Picks: Greg Jennings to Score the First Touchdown +650

Super Bowl Prop Odds: First Touchdown Scorer @ Sportbet Sportsbook (as of 1/24/11):
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Rashard Mendenhall +450
Greg Jennings +650
Mike Wallace +650
James Starks +950
Hines Ward +1000
James Jones +1000
Donald Driver +1200
Heath Miller +1200
John Kuhn +1200
Aaron Rodgers +1600
Emmanuel Sanders +1600
Jordy Nelson +1600
Ben Roethlisberger +2000
Antonio Brown +2000
Isaac Redman +3300
Brandon Jackson +3300
Mewelde Moore +3300
Andrew Quarless +3300
Tom Crabtree +3300
Matt Spaeth +4000
No TD Scored in Game +5000

2011 Women’s Australian Open Tennis Odds, Preview, and Predictions

January 24th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in General Handicapping   Comments Off on 2011 Women’s Australian Open Tennis Odds, Preview, and Predictions

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Complete List of Women’s Australian Open Lines Can Be Found Below

Heading into Tuesday, the Australian Open odds only show eight ladies left standing for the first crown jewel of the WTA season. Each of these eight women think that they can be the ones that really get the job done to claim glory.

All eyes are going to be on Kim Clijsters (1.35 to 1 @ BetUS Sportsbook), who is the favorite to take down the title. Clijsters has a relatively favorable draw to get through the rest of this tournament, while the opposite end of the bracket is clearly incredibly tough. The No. 3 seeded player in the world has yet to drop a set, and she has been one of the most consistent women to take to the hard courts in Melbourne.

Meanwhile, the top seed, Caroline Wozniacki (3.9 to 1@ BetUS Sportsbook) continues to battle both with the media and with an incredibly tough schedule. The Dane has been the subject of two very odd media story involving a pregnancy that isn’t, and a kangaroo bite that wasn’t. However, she, too has yet to drop a set. The problem with backing Wozniacki though, is that she has never won a Grand Slam title and that she really hasn’t played anyone of any note thus far in the tournament. That’s going to change when she takes on No. 6 Francesca Schiavone (48 to 1@ BetUS Sportsbook), who does know what it’s like to win a major tournament having won the French Open last year. Schiavone is up against it though on Tuesday, as she is coming off of a hellacious three set win in which the finale was won 16-14, the longest match in the history of Grand Slam women’s tennis.

If you’re looking for feel good stories, you have to love the way that Andrea Petkovic (22 to 1@ BetUS Sportsbook) and Petra Kvitova (16 to 1@ BetUS Sportsbook) have looked thus far. They are the highest seeds remaining in the draw, but many think that their fine play can lead them to some tremendous upsets.

Should Na Li (5 to 1@ BetUS Sportsbook) beat the Australian Open lines, she would become the first Chinese woman to ever capture a Grand Slam event. She’s got a tough road in front of her though, as Petkovic and either Schiavone or Wozniacki will make for tough foes to get to the finale.

Odds to Win Women’s Australian Open @ BetUS Sportsbook (as of 1/24/11):
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Kim Clijsters 1.35 to 1
Caroline Wozniacki 3.9 to 1
Na Li 5 to 1
Vera Zvonareva 7 to 1
Petra Kvitova 16 to 1
Andrea Petkovic 22 to 1
Francesca Schiavone 48 to 1
Agnieszka Radwanska 100 to 1

2011 Men’s Australian Open Tennis Odds, Preview, and Predictions

January 23rd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in General Handicapping   Comments Off on 2011 Men’s Australian Open Tennis Odds, Preview, and Predictions

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Complete List of Men’s Australian Open Lines Can Be Found Below

If you’re an Australian Open betting nut, you absolutely love what you have seen thus far on the men’s side of the tournament, as the mass majority of the big names are still alive and well.

Rafael Nadal (1.4.5 to 1@ BetUS Sportsbook) has shown a few missteps along the way, but he has ultimately blown past his first round competitors without all that many issues, and he has really seen his side of the bracket open up dramatically. Yes, going up against the No. 7 seed, David Ferrer (150 to 1@ BetUS Sportsbook) won’t be the easiest thing in the world, but the greatest news in the world is that Robin Soderling, a man that has had some great success (relatively speaking, anyway) against some of the best players in the world, is out of this field is noteworthy.

The man that did the deed in the fourth round of this event is the one person on either half of the draw that you have probably never heard of. Alexandr Dolgopolov (100 to 1@ BetUS Sportsbook) is a Ukranian player who is ranked just No. 46 in the world. The 22 year old is playing in his first Aussie Open and just his fourth ever Grand Slam event. He only had three wins in his career before this point on the biggest stages on the ATP Tour, and now he has claimed four scalps just in a span of a week. Now, he has a huge challenge though, as No. 5 Andy Murray (4.85 to 1@ BetUS Sportsbook) has arguably been playing the best tennis out of any player on the men’s side of the draw. Murray hasn’t dropped more than three games in any set in this tournament, and he has absolutely coasted to a 12-0 record in sets thus far in Melbourne.

Of course, on the other half of the table, the biggest names are all still alive. Both Novak Djokovic (8 to 1@ BetUS Sportsbook) and Tomas Berdych (48 to 1@ BetUS Sportsbook) made it through relatively easy brackets to make it to the quarterfinals, and both hope that they can make it just two more steps to get to the finale. The two will be facing off against one another on Tuesday, and a Swiss man will be awaiting the winner’s arrival.

Of course, it seems like a foregone conclusion that the Swiss hero that we are speaking of will be the great Roger Federer (2.5 to 1@ BetUS Sportsbook). However, Federer has definitely shown some chinks in the armor in the rounds leading up to this one down under, including needing five sets to outlast Tommy Robredo. Now, he has to take on the man that he won the Gold Medal with in the 2008 Summer Olympics, Stanislas Wawrinka (44 to 1@ BetUS Sportsbook), who is coming off of the biggest match of his career, a victory over American, Andy Roddick in the fourth round.

Odds to Win Men’s Australian Open @ BetUS Sportsbook (as of 1/23/11):
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Rafael Nadal 1.45 to 1
Roger Federer 2.5 to 1
Andy Murray 4.85 to 1
Novak Djokovic 8 to 1
Stanislas Wawrinka 44 to 1
Tomas Berdych 48 to 1
Alexander Dolgopolov 100 to 1
David Ferrer 150 to 1