Posts Tagged ‘2012’

UCF vs. Ball State Bowl Game Picks for Beef O’Brady’s Bowl 12/21

December 20th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on UCF vs. Ball State Bowl Game Picks for Beef O’Brady’s Bowl 12/21
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Bowl Game Picks

Beef O'Brady's BowlThe X’s and O’s of the Beef O’Brady’s Bowl predictions aren’t shared by many expert handicappers, but here at Bankroll Sports, we are giving up all of our insight and telling you all of the keys to the game for the UCF Knights vs. Ball State Cardinals. The Beef O’Brady’s Bowl picks are some of the hardest to make this year of all of the bowl games, so don’t miss out on all of our UCF vs. Ball State predictions!

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012-13 Bowl Game Schedule And Other Bowl Game Previews

2012 Beef O’Brady’s Bowl: UCF Knights vs. Ball State Cardinals
2012 Beef O’Brady’s Bowl Location: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA
2012 Beef O’Brady’s Bowl Date/Time: Friday, December 21st, 7:30 p.m. (ET)
2012 Beef O’Brady’s Bowl On TV: ESPN, Watch ESPN

Key #1: Blake Bortles has to keep control of the football
The Knights only turned the ball over a grand total of 15 times this year, and just seven came off of the arm of Bortles. Keeping those picks down has been key for UCF to stay in games and to win them. It has been over five games since the last time Bortles threw an interception, and he is going to be determined to keep that up here in the Beef O’Brady’s Bowl. Ball State only picked off seven passes and forced seven fumbles this year, making it one of the worst teams in the nation in forced turnovers, lower than some of the worst teams in the land. It’s not that the Knights are going to win this game if they don’t turn the ball over, but if they do turn it over more than once, perhaps twice, they almost certainly have no chance whatsoever to win the game, as the team preaches playing good defense and running the football. This is a club that isn’t afraid to punt, and it has to take advantage of that by not turning it over.

Beef O’Brady’s Bowl Odds at BetRevolution Sportsbook
UCF Knights -7
Ball State Cardinals +7
Over/Under 61.5
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Key #2: Keith Wenning has to stay away from AJ Bouye
Wenning threw 10 picks this year for the Cardinals, but he still threw 22 TDs and has two great wide receivers in WR Willie Snead and WR Jamill Smith. The two men have combined for 151 receptions, 1,776 yards, and 13 TDs this year, and both can light up the Knights for sure if given the chance. However, Wenning has to be smart with the football. UCF’s best DB is Conference USA second team All-Conference DB AJ Bouye, who is one of the three players in the history of the school to return both a pick and a fumble for a touchdown in the same season. Bouye is probably the best player in this secondary, and he is one of the ones that might hear his name called in the NFL Draft come April. He can’t cover both Snead and Smith though, and Wenning has to be smart and figure out how to keep the ball away from the crafty senior, because disastrous things have been proven to potentially happen when push comes to shove when the ball comes his way.

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Key #3: Jahwan Edwards has to poke some holes in the UCF defense
Part of the key to keeping the ball away from Bouye and those Knights’ defenders is going to be getting the ball going with the run. We know that RB Jahwan Edwards can run the ball and bust some big ones, as he averaged 6.1 yards per carry this year and had 14 trips to the end zone. But can the sophomore stay consistent? That’s the real question here, knowing that he has had four games this year with less than 80 yards and three with more than 140 yards. Edwards also had six games this year where he averaged over 6.0 yards per carry, but he also had four games in which he averaged less than 5.0 yards per carry as well. If Edwards doesn’t get up to that 5.0 yards per carry mark against a defense that ranked 64th in the nation against the rush, it is going to be a long day for Wenning and this passing attack in the teeth of a ferocious pass rush.

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Washington vs. Boise State Predictions: 2012 Las Vegas Bowl 12/22

December 16th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on Washington vs. Boise State Predictions: 2012 Las Vegas Bowl 12/22
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Las Vegas Bowl 2012The 2012 Las Vegas Bowl picks are going to be difficult to make, as the Washington Huskies and Boise State Broncos are set to do battle with one another in a Pac-12 vs. Mountain West battle. Check out our Las Vegas Bowl predictions and the keys to the game for Washington vs. Boise State.

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012-13 Bowl Game Schedule And Other Bowl Game Previews

2012 Las Vegas Bowl: Washington Huskies vs. Boise State Broncos
2012 Las Vegas Bowl Location: Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
2012 Las Vegas Bowl Date/Time: Saturday, December 22nd, 3:30 p.m. (ET)
2012 Las Vegas Bowl Television Coverage: ESPN, Watch ESPN

Key #1: Both teams need to win the turnover battle
It’s definitely cliché in football, but in this case, it clearly is something that is true. The team that wins the turnover battle is going to win the Las Vegas Bowl this year. The Broncos were ranked No. 4 in the country in turnover margin at +18, and they were the leaders in the nation in recovered fumbles with 17, and tied for 17th in picks with 16. Washington meanwhile, in spite of its horrifying schedule chock full of great defenses, still managed a +7 turnover margin for the year, which is something that you wouldn’t have expected from a team that featured a quarterback in QB Keith Price that tossed 11 interceptions on the campaign. One of these teams is going to end up with a minus in the turnover margin in this game, and it is going to be a rare happening for either one. The loser will be the one with the big, fat minus marking in their turnover column on December 22nd.

Famous Las Vegas Bowl Odds at Diamond Sportsbook
Washington Huskies +5.5
Boise State Broncos -5.5
Over/Under 44
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Key #2: Points cannot be left on the field
There were only a total of 31 field goals attempted all year long by both the Broncos and the Huskies, while there were just a total of 77 touchdowns. It’s just not all that great for either team. That means that, especially Washington, which averaged just 2.92 touchdowns per game this year, cannot afford to let opportunities slip away. RB Bishop Sankey has a real nose for the end zone, as he had 15 scores this year, and when he gets close, he has no choice but to pound the ball into the end zone. The same could be said for a Boise State outfit that has gotten spoiled by QB Kellen Moore over the course of the last four years. Now, with QB Joe Southwick in the fold, Head Coach Chris Petersen is relying a lot more on his defense, which is one of the best in America statistically. Again, it’s up to RB DJ Harper to get the job done, as there wasn’t another player on this team that had a better nose for the end zone. Harper scored 15 times on the campaign. No one else scored more than five.

Key #3: Boise State has to prove that it belongs here and wants to be here
Those are two totally different points of contention that we have to discuss. The Broncos did win 10 games again this year, but few think that this 10-win team is anywhere near as good as some of the 10, 11, and 12 win teams that have come off of the Smurf Turf in the past. The losses this year against the San Diego State Aztecs and Michigan State Spartans turned out to be as bad of losses as the program has had in years and years, and there weren’t those dominating 65-0 victories littered all over the schedule. As a result, this is the third straight season playing in the Las Vegas Bowl, and it has to get tiresome, especially for some of the upperclassmen that have been here before. Were the Broncos really the best team in the Mountain West this year? That’s probably still partially to be determined. That loss to the Aztecs at home with a backup quarterback under center really didn’t sit well at all with the Boise State faithful. Don’t blame the Broncos if they don’t really feel like showing up for this game, something that certainly will not be a problem for a U-Dub team that has earned every single victory that it has gotten since Head Coach Steve Sarkisian has taken over as the man in charge in Seattle.

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2012 NFL Week 15 Lines – Week Fifteen Lines Breakdown

December 15th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2012 NFL Week 15 Lines – Week Fifteen Lines Breakdown
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The 2012 NFL schedule continues in Week 15, as there are just three weeks left in the campaign to determine which teams will and will not be going to the playoffs, and where they will all be playing. Join us here at Bankroll Sports, as we break down all of the games on the Week 15 NFL schedule, along with all of the Week 15 odds on the board.

There are a heck of a lot of teams that are fighting for their lives right now, and we’re going to see that right away on Thursday when the Cincinnati Bengals visit the Philadelphia Eagles. Cincy is one of the many teams this week that is favored by right around a field goal. In fact, there are nine games as of Tuesday evening that are lined between two and four. The Bengals are one of those at the high end of that spectrum at -4 on the road against a Philadelphia team that is trying to play the role of spoiler.

Division titles can basically be won (or actually be won) in a number of games on Sunday, and most of the games are going to be incredibly close calls.

The Green Bay Packers are going on the road to Soldier Field on Sunday, and the clash against the Chicago Bears is going to be the biggest game of the year for both of these teams. The Pack will win the NFC North with a victory, while the Bears will claw right back into the race if they can hold serve at home. However, Green Bay is clearly the better of these two teams and is better form at the moment, and it is favored by a field goal as a result.

In the other big time game of the weekend that could solve a division championship is in the AFC South. The Houston Texans are a win over the Indianapolis Colts away from winning the division. However, at this point, the Colts also control their own destiny for shocking the world and winning the division. Indy will be in the playoffs with a win one way or the other, and it will put the pressure on the Texans in a big time way in the division race. Meanwhile, Houston is three wins away from the No. 1 seed on the AFC side of the postseason. Everyone sees how “lucky” QB Andrew Luck and the Colts are getting, and the whole world saw the Texans get their doors blown off on Monday, yet the hosts are the biggest favorites of the weekend at -7.5.

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Division leaders are also going to be involved in a few duels on Sunday as well that could shape the landscape of the playoffs in both conferences. We’ll start at the Georgia Dome, where the Atlanta Falcons are taking on the New York Giants. The G-Men are the team to watch here, as they are the ones with a heck of a lot more on the line. New York needs to win these final three games to ensure getting into the playoffs, and no other route will absolutely ensure a bit into the postseason. Atlanta is starting to stare over its back shoulder at some teams coming from behind, who might be able to catch up with it. The Giants are getting a point for now, but we wouldn’t be surprised if that flips by the end of the week.

Meanwhile over at M&T Bank Stadium, the Baltimore Ravens, who are perennially a fantastic home team, are actually two-point dogs this week to the Denver Broncos. The winner of this game is going to have a good chance to get a first round bye in the playoffs and keep their name in the hat for the No. 1 seed in the AFC. The loser is going to be in a lot of trouble, especially if it is the Ravens. Baltimore still hasn’t won the AFC North yet, and it needs a couple of wins down the stretch to ensure that that happens. The tiebreaker here is crucial for the Broncos, who already lose tiebreakers to both the Patriots and the Texans, and they aren’t going to want to have lost to all of their most competitive playoff foes going into the postseason.

Sunday Night Football this week also pits two division winners against each other. Both the San Francisco 49ers and the New England Patriots are chasing the top seeds in their respective conferences, and the team that loses this game is unlikely to ultimately be able to claim that top seed. The Niners are a group that garner a heck of a lot of respect, but this is the toughest game thus far in the career of QB Colin Kaepernick, who has to go against a New England defense that just shut down the top team in the NFL, the Texans, last week. That’s why the Pats are -5.5 to open up the week.

And then there are plenty of games that are going to involve teams with Wild Card playoff hopes as well. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New Orleans Saints are essentially playing in an elimination game for sure, though both of these teams are already probably on the wrong side of the playoffs for good. New Orleans is laying 3.5 at the site of Super Bowl 47. The Washington Redskins are still hanging in there, and they have to go on the road to the Cleveland Browns this week as well. Cleveland is hot, and if the rest of the teams in the AFC North keep sliding, you never really know if it can actually get into the playoffs. Winning out is a pre-requisite for success though, and the Browns are getting 1.5 at home.

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Perhaps the most important of the Wild Card potential showdowns in the 1:00 ET hour pits the Minnesota Vikings against the St. Louis Rams. Both teams are still struggling to get into the playoffs, and both are going to need some wins and some help to get the job done. The loser is going to likely be done for this year, making this essentially a playoff game for both. The Rams are -2.5 at the Edward Jones Dome, and regardless of what happens to these two this year, both should be incredibly proud that they took a lot of steps in the right direction.

In the 4:00 ET hour though, there are two other crucial games. The Buffalo Bills are on their last gasp, and they have to win out and get a lot of help to think about the playoffs. They head to Toronto for their annual visit to the Rogers Centre on Sunday afternoon for a battle with the Seattle Seahawks, the team that everyone is chasing for the last playoff spot in the NFC. The Hawks are -4, and if they can win this one and watch the Bears lose earlier in the day, they’ll be in a spot where they really should make the playoffs from here.

The Dallas Cowboys and Pittsburgh Steelers are both 7-6 teams, and they’ll both know by the time they take the field in this one what it means to them. Dallas is in a spot this week where making up a game on the field in the NFC East is a distinct possibility, while Pittsburgh could draw nearer in the AFC North. However, the loser of this one will be just 7-7 through 14 games. That isn’t damning by any stretch of the imagination, but it will make life harder and open up the door for a number of teams that could slip into the playoff race around them both. This one should be tight at Dallas Cowboys Stadium, though the hosts are actually getting a point in what should be a crucial tilt.

Of course, for all of the great games on the docket, there are some lousy ones as well that we’ll fly through quickly. The Miami Dolphins are favored by a touchdown, making them the second biggest favorites of the weekend against the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Carolina Panthers and San Diego Chargers are separated by just home field advantage, while the Detroit Lions are going to put their skid of four out of five games on the line against the longest losing streak in the NFL, that of the Arizona Cardinals. Arizona has dropped nine in a row, and it is coming off of the embarrassing 58-0 loss in Seattle last week. That’s why it is getting six points at home. The dog game of dog games pits the 10-loss Oakland Raiders against the 11-loss Chiefs. The loser of this one will be in significantly better shape in terms of the NFL Draft than the winner will be, but the Raiders are -3 thanks to home field advantage. Monday Night Football features the Titans at -2 against a New York Jets outfit that, believe it or not, could actually get back onto level terms for the last playoff spot on with a win and some help.

‘Totals’ this week are pretty tightly packed as well. There are only two numbers stuck in the 30s this week. The Jags and Fins are only expected to reach 37, the lowest ‘total’ of the weekend, while the Rams and Vikings are at 38. There are only two games in the 50s as well. The Falcons and Giants are the second highest number on the board of the weekend at 51, while the highest, not surprisingly, features the Saints and Bucs, who have two of the worst defenses in the NFL. That over/under is set for 53.5. All other ‘totals’ this week chime in between 42 and 48.

2012 NFL Week 15 Odds @ WagerWeb Sportsbook (as of 12/16/12):
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Week 15 NFL Betting Odds for Thursday, December 13th
301 Cincinnati Bengals -4.5
302 Philadelphia Eagles +4.5
Over/Under 45

Week 15 NFL Spreads for Sunday, December 16th (1:00 ET Kickoffs)
303 Green Bay Packers -1
304 Chicago Bears +1
Over/Under 43

305 New York Giants +1
306 Atlanta Falcons -1
Over/Under 51

307 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4
308 New Orleans Saints -4
Over/Under 53.5

309 Minnesota Vikings +1
310 St. Louis Rams -1
Over/Under 39

311 Washington Redskins -1
312 Cleveland Browns +1
Over/Under 43

313 Jacksonville Jaguars +8
314 Miami Dolphins -8
Over/Under 37.5

315 Denver Broncos -3
316 Baltimore Ravens +3
Over/Under 48

317 Indianapolis Colts +10
318 Houston Texans -10
Over/Under 47.5

NFL Week 15 Betting Lines for Sunday, December 16th (4:00 ET Kickoffs)
319 Carolina Panthers +3
320 San Diego Chargers -3
Over/Under 44.5

321 Seattle Seahawks -4.5
322 Buffalo Bills +4.5
Over/Under 43

323 Detroit Lions -6
324 Arizona Cardinals +6
Over/Under 43.5

325 Pittsburgh Steelers -1
326 Dallas Cowboys +1
Over/Under 44

327 Kansas City Chiefs +3
328 Oakland Raiders -3
Over/Under 44

Sunday Night Football Week 15 Odds for Sunday, December 16th
329 San Francisco 49ers +4.5
330 New England Patriots -4.5
Over/Under 46

Monday Night Football Week 15 Lines for Monday, December 17th
331 New York Jets +1
332 Tennessee Titans -1
Over/Under 41

NFL Prop Picks: New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans Predictions 12/17

December 14th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans Predictions 12/17
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Full Jets @ Titans NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

The Tennessee Titans and New York Jets are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 15 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Shonn Greene Over/Under 68.5 Rushing Yards: We do have to remember that the Titans rank 24th in the NFL against the rush. Greene might be averaging just 3.8 yards per carry this year, but he does carry the ball a ton and has 230 carries on the campaign. RB Bilal Powell has really cut into the time that Greene spends on the field, but over the course of the last three games, in spite of Powell’s presence, Greene has still reached the 70+ yard mark. It just makes too much sense not to back Greene’s ‘over’ in this one, especially knowing that his degree of success might be the only thing that keeps the Jets in this (or any other) game. Shonn Greene Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Chris Johnson Over/Under 2.5 Receptions: It’s a tricky prop because of the price that is attached to the number, but the basic implication here is that the oddsmakers are insinuating that this over/under should be right at three. And that sounds just about right. Johnson does have seven receptions in his last two games, but he had just three receptions in total the two games prior to that. It seems as though QB Jake Locker would rather get the ball up the field, something that he is going to have the opportunity to do against a sometimes suspect Jets defense. We’re going to play the percentages and hope that CJ will be held in check, at least as a receiver on Monday night. Chris Johnson Under 2.5 Receptions (+120)

Kenny Britt Over/Under 3.5 Receptions: Remember how we said that Locker wanted to get the ball up the field more? This is the man that he is going to be looking for. Britt had eight receptions last week for 143 yards, and it is clear, now that the Titans have a new offensive coordinator, that they are going to try to get the ball in the hands of their playmaker from Rutgers more often. Creatively, Tennessee has used Britt in some shorter pass routes to go with some of the deep balls, and he is going to likely find some openings in spite of the fact that DB Antonio Cromartie will likely be following him all over the field. The Jets just aren’t disciplined enough to keep him totally quiet, especially with DB Darrelle Revis having long since been on IR. Kenny Britt Over 3.5 Receptions (-125)

Rob Bironas Over/Under 7.5 Points: All of a sudden over the course of the last few weeks, the Jets just haven’t allowed all that many field goal attempts. However, earlier in the year, this team was all about giving up points to kickers. The Jets had a stretch of seven games in which they allowed at least 11 points to kickers five times and at least seven to every kicker that they faced… And that was after a total of four missed field goals in that stretch to boot! Bironas has a huge leg, and he has at least 11 points in three of his last four games. He has attempted at least three field goals in all of those games, and he has missed twice, both of which came in games in which he had huge efforts. This could be another one of those great days for Bironas to make an impact. Rob Bironas Over 7.5 Points (-130)

New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 12/17/12):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -110

Jets Score First -110
Titans Score First -120

First Score a Touchdown -145
First Score Not a Touchdown +115

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 40.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 40.5 Yards -115

Jets To Throw a Touchdown Pass First -140
Jets To Throw an Interception First +110

Jets Pass Completions Over 17 -120
Jets Pass Completions Under 17 -110

Shonn Greene Rushing Yards Over 68.5 -115
Shonn Greene Rushing Yards Under 68.5 -115

Shonn Greene Scores a Touchdown +120
Shonn Greene Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

Bilal Powell Rushing Attempts Over 12.5 -110
Bilal Powell Rushing Attempts Under 12.5 -120

Jeremy Kerley Receptions Over 4 +100
Jeremy Kerley Receptions Under 4 -130

Jeremy Kerley Receiving Yards Over 49.5 -115
Jeremy Kerley Receiving Yards Under 49.5 -115

Chaz Schilens Receptions Over 2 -120
Chaz Schilens Receptions Under 2 -110

David Harris Total Tackles Over 7.5 -115
David Harris Total Tackles Under 7.5 -115

Antonio Cromartie Intercepts a Pass +300
Antonio Cromartie Does Not Intercept a Pass -400

Nick Folk Points Over 6 -130
Nick Folk Points Under 6 +100

Jake Locker Pass Completions Over 20.5 -115
Jake Locker Pass Completions Under 20.5 -115

Jake Locker Passing Yards Over 232.5 -115
Jake Locker Passing Yards Under 232.5 -115

Jake Locker Throws a Touchdown First -140
Jake Locker Throws an Interception First +110

Chris Johnson Receptions Over 2.5 -150
Chris Johnson Receptions Under 2.5 +120

Chris Johnson Scores a Touchdown -105
Chris Johnson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -125

Nate Washington Scores a Touchdown +200
Nate Washington Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -260

Kenny Britt Receptions Over 3.5 -125
Kenny Britt Receptions Under 3.5 -105

Kendall Wright Receptions Over 4.5 +100
Kendall Wright Receptions Under 4.5 -130

Kendall Wright Receiving Yards Over 46.5 -115
Kendall Wright Receiving Yards Under 46.5 -115

Rob Bironas Points Over 7.5 -130
Rob Bironas Points Under 7.5 +100

Sunday Night Football Picks: 49ers vs. Patriots Props/Prop Sheet 12/16

December 14th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Sunday Night Football Picks: 49ers vs. Patriots Props/Prop Sheet 12/16
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Full 49ers vs. Patriots NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Tom Brady PatriotsThe New England Patriots and San Francisco 49ers are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 15 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Sunday Night Football matchup.

Colin Kaepernick Over/Under 47.5 Rushing Yards: This is a really tough one, but we think that the moment is going to really get to Kaepernick in this one. That means that he is probably going to throw the ball less and run it more. The former Nevada QB has rushed for at least 53 yards in three out of five games since taking over as a starter, and there is a good chance that he is going to take off at least a half dozen times, if not a heck of a lot more against a New England defense that tends to be pretty darn aggressive. This could work against us this week, but we think that it is a sound investment to play on the ‘over’. More often than not, it looks like Kaepernick has the ability to bust a big run, as he has three rushes this year of at least 30 yards, and we’ll take our chances. Colin Kaepernick Over 47.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Tom Brady Over/Under 23.5 Pass Completions: This is a pretty high number for a Brady completion total, but we expect that this is going to be a heck of a lot more of a game than some of the games that he has played in lately. Remember that over the course of the last several close games, Brady has completed 24 passes against Miami, 23 against Buffalo, 26 against New York, 36 against Seattle, and 23 against Denver. It’s really tough to run the ball against this San Francisco defense, so we expect to see a lot of these short passes to the various inside options to make up for what RB Stevan Ridley and the gang probably won’t be able to find. In the end, we think that this will be a day when the Brady Bunch comes up with at least 25 pass completions. Tom Brady Over 23.5 Pass Completions (-125)

Wes Welker Over/Under 7 Receptions: Did you read the last paragraph that we just wrote? Who do you think is going to be catching all those passes? Welker has caught 95 balls this year, and that includes five games this year with more than seven catches (and two other games with exactly seven catches). Sure, a bum ankle could be problematic for Welker, but this could be (and likely is) nothing more than a typical Patriots injury distinction, declaring an injury just for the sake of letting us in the media talk about it. The 49ers play bend but don’t break defense as well as any team in football, and though Welker might get a ton of receptions, he might not get all that many yards. We don’t care though, whether Welker gets 50 yards or 250 yards as long as he gets his eight receptions. Wes Welker Over 7 Receptions (+100)

Stephen Gostkowski Over/Under 9 Points: It’s really tough to score 10 points in a game if you’re a kicker, even if you’re the Patriots’ kicker. That means that Gostkowski is going to need to come up with either two field goals and three TDs to push (two field goals and four TDs to win) or three field goals and a TD to push (three field goals and two TDs to win). Sure, Gostkowski has had a great year and has averaged 9.85 points per game this year. However, he has also had no field goals in two of his last three games, and he still has a ton of misses this year. The 49ers aren’t going to give anyone in the opportunity to score six or seven times in a game as will probably be required for him to get there, so by default, we have to bet against Gostkowski in this one, especially at even money. Stephen Gostkowski Under 9 Points (+100)

San Francisco 49ers vs. New England Patriots NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 12/16/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -110

49ers Score First +125
Patriots Score First -155

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Colin Kaepernick Passing Yards Over 230.5 -115
Colin Kaepernick Passing Yards Under 230.5 -115

Colin Kaepernick TD Passes + INTs Over 2.5 +140
Colin Kaepernick TD Passes + INTs Under 2.5 -180

Colin Kaepernick Rushing Yards Over 47.5 -115
Colin Kaepernick Rushing Yards Under 47.5 -115

Colin Kaepernick Scores a Rushing Touchdown +120
Colin Kaepernick Does Not Score a Rushing Touchdown -150

Frank Gore Rushing Yards Over 70.5 -115
Frank Gore Rushing Yards Under 70.5 -115

Frank Gore Scores a Touchdown +100
Frank Gore Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -130

Michael Crabtree Receptions Over 5.5 -105
Michael Crabtree Receptions Under 5.5 -125

Michael Crabtree Receiving Yards Over 69.5 -115
Michael Crabtree Receiving Yards Under 69.5 -115

Michael Crabtree Scores a Touchdown +140
Michael Crabtree Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Vernon Davis Receptions Over 3.5 +100
Vernon Davis Receptions Under 3.5 -130

Vernon Davis Scores a Touchdown +160
Vernon Davis Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -200

NaVorro Bowman Total Tackles Over 8.5 -115
NaVorro Bowman Total Tackles Under 8.5 -115

Patrick Willis Total Tackles Over 7.5 -130
Patrick Willis Total Tackles Under 7.5 +100

David Akers Points Over 7.5 -130
David Akers Points Under 7.5 +100

Tom Brady Completions Over 23.5 -125
Tom Brady Completions Under 23.5 -105

Tom Brady Passing Yards Over 280.5 -115
Tom Brady Passing Yards Under 280.5 -115

Tom Brady Throws an Interception -160
Tom Brady Doesn’t Throw an Interception +130

Stevan Ridley Rushing Yards Over 70.5 -115
Stevan Ridley Rushing Yards Under 70.5 -115

Wes Welker Receptions Over 7 +100
Wes Welker Receptions Under 7-130

Wes Welker Receiving Yards Over 83.5 -115
Wes Welker Receiving Yards Under 83.5 -115

Wes Welker Scores a Touchdown +115
Wes Welker Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -145

Brandon Lloyd Receptions Over 4.5 -105
Brandon Lloyd Receptions Under 4.5 -125

Brandon Lloyd Receiving Yards Over 56.5 -115
Brandon Lloyd Receiving Yards Under 56.5 -115

Aaron Hernandez Scores a Touchdown -110
Aaron Hernandez Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -120

Jerod Mayo Total Tackles Over 8.5 -140
Jerod Mayo Total Tackles Under 8.5 +110

Stephen Gostkowski Points Over 9 -130
Stephen Gostkowski Points Under 9 +100

New Orleans Bowl Odds & Tips: East Carolina vs. UL Lafayette 12/22

December 14th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on New Orleans Bowl Odds & Tips: East Carolina vs. UL Lafayette 12/22
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New Orleans BowlOur 2012 bowl predictions continue on Saturday, December 22nd with the New Orleans Bowl, and we are set to make our New Orleans Bowl predictions, tips, and keys to the game for the duel between the East Carolina Pirates and the Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns.

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012-13 Bowl Game Schedule And Other Bowl Game Previews

2012 New Orleans Bowl: East Carolina Pirates vs. Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns
2012 New Orleans Bowl Location: Mercedes Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
2012 New Orleans Bowl Date/Time: Saturday, December 22nd, 12:00 p.m. (ET)
2012 New Orleans Bowl On TV: ESPN, Watch ESPN

Key #1: Terrance Broadway has to make big plays
There aren’t many players in this game that can truly bust things open, but Broadway is one of them. He took over as the Cajuns’ quarterback three games into the season, and he really did a remarkable job with this team. The only bad loss of the bunch was a road game against the North Texas Mean Green, but when you consider that the “worst” offense performance of the year was putting up 20 on the Florida Gators, that’s pretty darn impressive. Broadway averaged 8.9 yards per pass attempt this year, and he was also a real winner on the ground with 661 yards, averaging 6.4 yards per carry. He accounted for a total of 24 touchdowns to boot. There are a number of players at this level that are dynamic, but few that have dominated as much as Broadway has in the Sun Belt, and that has to continue against the Pirates.

New Orleans Bowl Odds at WagerWeb Sportsbook
East Carolina Pirates +5
Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns -5
Over/Under 66
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Key #2: The ULL defense has to find a way to mark Justin Hardy
Hardy led Conference USA this year with 83 receptions, and he was third in the conference with 1,046 yards. The key to winning games this games this year for the Pirates has been getting the ball in Hardy’s hands. ECU lost four games this year, and in those games, Hardy averaged 5.8 receptions and 71.5 yards per game. He averaged 7.5 receptions and 95.0 yards in eight victories. The sophomore had five 100+ yard games this year, and he finished out the regular season with 16 catches and 171 yards against the Marshall Thundering Herd. Louisiana Lafayette ranked just 115th in the nation against the pass, allowing 283.9 yards per game. This secondary has a lot of problems all year long, allowing six different receivers to have at least 100 receiving yards against it, including in the last game of the year when Florida Atlantic’s WR William Dukes had nine catches, 204 yards, and two TDs.

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Key #3: East Carolina has to prove that it can beat a solid team
When you look at the 8-4 Pirates, a team that has won 13 games over the course of the last two years, you would think that there would be at least one win somewhere against a team that made it to a bowl game. Alas, out of all of those wins, not a single one came against a team that qualified for a bowl that year. The last victory came against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles way back on October 9, 2010. There have been some bad losses in the bunch too, including the last bowl game when the team was beaten 51-20 by the Maryland Terrapins in 2010, and dropping this year by 20 to the UCF Knights, 28 by the Navy Midshipmen, 21 by the North Carolina Tar Heels (who would have been bowl eligible had they not been banned from the postseason), and 38 by the South Carolina Gamecocks. The Cajuns meanwhile, with the same 8-4 record, beat the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, and they challenged the Florida Gators, losing by just seven points in a game that they were leading deep into the fourth quarter and ultimately only lost on a blocked punt returned for a score with a few ticks left in the game.

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New Mexico Bowl Odds & Predictions – Nevada vs. Arizona 12/15/12

December 12th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on New Mexico Bowl Odds & Predictions – Nevada vs. Arizona 12/15/12
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New Mexico BowlOur 2012 bowl predictions kick off on Saturday, December 15th with the New Mexico Bowl, and we are set to make our New Mexico Bowl predictions, tips, and keys to the game for the duel between the Nevada Wolf Pack and the Arizona Wildcats.

2012 New Mexico Bowl: Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Arizona Wildcats
2012 New Mexico Bowl Location: University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM
2012 New Mexico Bowl Date/Time: Saturday, December 15th, 1:00 p.m. (ET)
2012 New Mexico Bowl On TV: ESPN, Watch ESPN

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012-13 Bowl Game Schedule And Other Bowl Game Previews

Key #1: Stefphon Jefferson cannot wear down
It’s really tough to imagine just how many times Jefferson has carried the ball this year for the Wolf Pack. He is averaging touching the rock over 30 times per game in the Pistol offense, and he is going to have be going full bore against this Arizona defense from start to finish. The Wildcats allowed 189.8 yards per game this year on the ground to opponents, and the only comparable teams to this Nevada club that they played were the Oregon Ducks (228 rushing yards allowed), Oklahoma State Cowboys (200 rushing yards allowed), and UCLA Bruins (308 rushing yards allowed). We know that it isn’t just Jefferson that is going to be carrying the ball on Saturday, as QB Cody Fajardo is going to be doing so as well, but it is Jefferson that has to keep those chains moving on a regular basis, and he is also going to be tabbed with making sure that the Wolf Pack stay on schedule with down and distance. They’ll make their big plays, and Jefferson will be part of that, but Jefferson has to keep running the ball and running it hard for the full 60 minutes.

New Mexico Bowl Odds at WagerWeb Sportsbook
Nevada Wolf Pack +9
Arizona Wildcats -9
Over/Under 77
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Key #2: Austin Hill must stretch the field
The Wildcats are a team that can run the football and run the heck out of it, too. We already know that RB Ka’Deem Carey will get his yards and his touchdowns from in close, but to move the pigskin in chunks, it’s going to require a solid effort from WR Austin Hill. QB Matt Scott averaged 7.2 yards per pass attempt this year, including 24 touchdowns. Hill was not just the leading receiver for the team with 73 catches, 1,189 yards, and nine scores, but he also led the team in yards per catch with 16.3. Hill had a few absolutely massive games this year, including 139 yards against Toledo, 125 yards against Okie State, 165 yards against Stanford, and 259 yards against USC. He hasn’t had a 100+ yard game since the end of October, but this could be the secondary that he could torch. The Wolf Pack did only allow 218.3 passing yards per game this year, but there were a lot of games that were played against teams that run it more than they throw it. The last truly excellent quarterback/receiver tandem that Nevada saw this year was against the Fresno State Bulldogs when QB Derek Carr threw for 220 yards and two TDs and WR Davante Adams had nine catches, 120 yards, and trip to the end zone.

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Key #3: The Wolf Pack have to be a bit unpredictable
Predictability has been a major problem for Nevada over the course of the last several bowl games. The team has only won one bowl game since the 2005 Hawaii Bowl, and a lot of these games have featured terrible offensive showings. For example, Nevada has averaged just 17.0 points per game in its last six bowl games this year. The problem the Wolf Pack have is that they run a unique offense that is just too darn simple. It doesn’t take all that long to figure out this offense if you study enough game tape, and though there isn’t always enough time to figure out in preparation for this offense in just one week’s time, getting ready for a bowl game with 16 extra practices is a totally different story. The Pack have to be thrilled that they are playing one of the first bowl games of the year this year though, as it only gives Head Coach Rich Rodriguez two weeks to figure out how to counter this fantastic offense. Still, Fajardo and the gang are going to have to show some more creativity in this one, or once the Arizona defense gets settled, it could really figure out how to wreck havoc on this Pistol attack.

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