The 2012 Idaho Potato Bowl picks are going to be difficult to make, as the Utah State Aggies and Toledo Rockets are set to do battle with one another on the Smurf Turf. Check out our Idaho Potato Bowl predictions and the keys to the game for Utah State vs. Toledo.

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2012 Idaho Potato Bowl: Utah State Aggies vs. Toledo Rockets
2012 Idaho Potato Bowl Location: Bronco Stadium, Boise, ID
2012 Idaho Potato Bowl Date/Time: Saturday, December 15th, 4:30 p.m. (ET)
2012 Idaho Potato Bowl Television Coverage: ESPN, Watch ESPN

Key #1: Kerwynn Williams has to continue to be a star in every facet of the game
You’re not going to find a man who can do more for his team than what Williams can and will do for the Aggies. This is a man that will run the ball 15-20 times and catch at least five or six passes as well, and we wouldn’t bet against him scoring multiple touchdowns to boot. With a total of 200 carries and 43 receptions this year, Williams leads the team in both categories, and he was also the leading receiver in terms of yardage (663 yards) as well. Obviously, the main threat for Williams is his running ability, and he has rumbled for 1,277 yards and 12 TDs. Last year, in spite of the fact that he was splitting the backfield with two other backs, including RB Robert Turbin, who is now in the NFL, Williams had 62 yards on just nine carries. He can do it all, and he frequently will, and he is going to need to come up with the big plays in order to win this game.

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Odds at Diamond Sportsbook
Utah State Aggies -10.5
Toledo Rockets +10.5
Over/Under 58.5
Click Here to Bet Your Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Picks!

Key #2: Utah State needs to get over the fact that it didn’t make the big play last year
Utah State would have had its second ever bowl victory last year if not for the fact that QB Tyler Tettleton scored for the Ohio Bobcats in the dying seconds of the game to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. The Aggies had a defense all that year remembered that moment, especially with so many players that were on the field for that one returning all year long. What we have to remember though, is that Toledo DID make the play in its bowl game, winning the Military Bowl over the Air Force Falcons by stuffing up a two-point conversion to win the game. The Aggies haven’t been tested in all that many games this year that came down to the wire, so if this one is close, as it has the distinct potential to be, the Aggies will need to come up with the big play on one side of the ball or the other to be able to walk away with a ‘W’ this time around from Boise.

Key #3: David Fluellen has to be healthy and post a consistent YPC average
In the regular season finale against the Akron Zips, both QB Terrence Owens and RB David Fluellen sat out with injuries. Both are considered probable on the Idaho Potato Bowl injury report, so there aren’t worries there. What is bothersome though, is the fact that the Rockets really didn’t run the ball well without Fluellen in there. The team averaged just 3.9 yards per carry in that game against a bad Akron team that had a terrible defense this year. That’s a sharp contrast from the 5.8 yards per carry that Fluellen averaged for the season. Granted, there were some games that proved to be problematic for the Rockets when Fluellen didn’t have a great YPC average. He rushed for just 3.6 YPC against the Northern Illinois Huskies and 3.6 YPC against the Arizona Wildcats. These were the only games this year in which he was below 3.9 YPC, and needless to say, they were two of the team’s three losses on the campaign. Utah State is allowing just 111.4 yards per game this year on the ground, and there have been some stout rushing teams in the fold as well. Don’t be all that shocked if Fluellen’s YPC turns out to be the most important number in this game.

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The New England Patriots and Houston Texans are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 14 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Will Either Team Score in the First 6:00 Of the Game?: Though the Texans are averaging right near 30 points per game this year, and though the Patriots score 30+ (heck, sometimes even 50+) at home against virtually everyone, both teams tend to come out of the blocks a little more conservative. Houston especially, loves to get the ball rolling with RB Arian Foster and work on that stretch play that they run better than anyone in the league. They tend to take their time and be methodical. The defense is going to do what it can to make sure that QB Tom Brady doesn’t get the ball up the field in a hurry, and as long as WR Wes Welker and the deep threats all stay in front of the Houston DBs, Head Coach Gary Kubiak is going to be a happy man. There’s a reason that this prop is set at 6:00 and not at the 5:30 or 5:00 that we would be expecting for a game that has a ‘total’ that is posted this high. No Score in the First 6:00 (+105)

Matt Schaub Over/Under 260.5 Passing Yards: Though we know that we are going to see plenty of Foster in this game, we are going to see Schaub put the ball up in the air as well. When the props post on WR Andre Johnson, we think that he is going to be in for a huge game when push comes to shove. Johnson has had 28 catches over the course of the last three games, and he had solid games against both the Broncos and the Ravens this year when he was called upon, including catching a 60-yard touchdown pass against Denver. Schaub has already thrown for over 3,000 yards this year, though we probably should take out that 527 yard game against the Jaguars from consideration for this. Still, that’s three out of five games getting past the 260-yard mark, and if you believe that the Texans are going to play this one from behind at any point, this is a prop that you figure should be a winner in a big time game. Matt Schaub Over 260.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Arian Foster Rushing Yards Over/Under 92.5: Just because Schaub and Johnson could have a heck of a lot of fun on Monday doesn’t mean that Foster can’t as well. Remember that he has had at least 90 yards in five out of six games, and he is going to be up against a New England defense that has historically been weak against ground games. Look at Houston’s toughest opponents this year and see what Foster did to them. He ran for 105 on Denver and 98 on Baltimore, not to mention 102 on Chicago. That’s an awfully good indication, especially off of a week in which he only carried the ball 14 total times, that Foster is going to be in for a much, much better day when push comes to shove this time around versus New England. Arian Foster Rushing Yards Over 92.5 (-115)

Tom Brady Over/Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes: One might think that this is a bit of a trick play when looking at the NFL betting lines. After all, Brady should easily be able to throw for two touchdowns, even against this stout Houston defense, right? The truth of the matter is that the Texans only rank 19th against the pass this year, and Brady had played six games in a row with at least two touchdown passes before last week’s narrow escape from the Miami Dolphins. Brady now has 25 TDs against just four picks this year, and it is clear that he is going to have his opportunities to score in this game. Houston’s defense is good, but this is Brady at home. Sure, he only had one score against the Broncos at Gillette this year, but remember that we only have to win this one five out of seven times to make it worthwhile. There’s no way that Brady is going to have three games out of seven in which he doesn’t throw at least two TD passes. Tom Brady Passing Touchdowns Over 1.5 (-250)

Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 12/10/12):
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Score in the First 6:00 Minutes of the Game -135
No Score in the First 6:00 Minutes of the Game +105

Texans Score First +105
Patriots Score First -135

First Score a Touchdown -210
First Score Not a Touchdown +165

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 50.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 50.5 Yards -115

Matt Schaub Passing Yards Over 260.5 -115
Matt Schaub Passing Yards Under 260.5 -115

Matt Schaub Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -140
Matt Schaub Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +110

Arian Foster Rushing Yards Over 92.5 (-115)
Arian Foster Rushing Yards Under 92.5 (-115)

Tom Brady Pass Completions Over 25 -115
Tom Brady Pass Completions Under 25 -115

Tom Brady Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -250
Tom Brady Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +190

Tom Brady Throws An Interception -130
Tom Brady Doesn’t Throw An Interception +100

Our Army vs. Navy keys to game are all set to go here at Bankroll Sports, as the Navy Midshipmen look for their 11th straight victory over the Army Black Knights. Will they get it? Check out our Army vs. Navy picks & analysis, and get our college football predictions for the game!

Army/Navy Game: Army Black Knights vs. Navy Midshipmen
Army/Navy Game Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Army/Navy Game Date/Time: Saturday, December 8th, 3:00 p.m. (ET)
Army/Navy On TV: CBS

Key #1: The Black Knights cannot get outrushed badly
You would figure that there wouldn’t be all that much of an issue getting outrushed when you’re a triple option offense, but alas, that happened this year against the Temple Owls, it almost happened against the Kent State Golden Flashes, and it almost happened against the Stony Brook Seawovles. Needless to say, the club just has to find some defense from somewhere. Temple’s RB Montel Harris rushed for 351 yards and seven TDs against the Cadets, and there was very little that could be done to stop it. Heck, not only that, but the Owls ended the day with 534 yards on 57 rushes. The Black Knights have the No. 1 ranked rushing offense in America at 369.8 yards per game, but this defense is allowing 238.3 yards per game on the ground to go with 37.0 points per game. That just doesn’t cut it to say the least, and there is going to have to be someone step up against another triple option offense here to keep Army on track and with a shot to win this one. It’s not so much the yards as it is the points, but it is going to be a clear indication in this game if one team beats the other by 100+ yards on the ground who is going to win and cover.

Army vs. Navy Odds at WagerWeb Sportsbook
Navy Midshipmen -7
Army Black Knights +7
Over/Under 56
Click Here to Bet on Your Army/Navy Game Picks!

Key #2: Trent Steelman has to leave a legacy
This one is all about Steelman. He’s the team’s quarterback and has been for the last four years. He’s going to go down as one of the most important quarterbacks in the history of the program, knowing that he already holds the record for the most touchdowns scored in a career (44) with the Black Knights. However, what’s looming over his head are three straight losses — losses No. 8, 9, and 10 in a row to the Middies. Winning this game would cement his legacy for sure, and it would send him out on the top of his game before he goes off to serve our great country. Steelman has 1,152 yards and 16 TDs this year on the ground, but he never really did develop into a quarterback that could successfully put the ball in the air even 10 times per game. He does have 619 yards throwing this year, and he’s got a solid receiver in WR Chevaughn Lawrence to work with, but in the end, regardless of how he is going to do it, Steelman has to be “The Man” if Army is going to sink Navy.

Key #3: Keenan Reynolds has to stretch out the Army defense
It’s easy to say that whichever team in the triple option runs the ball with more efficiency is going to ultimately win, but in the end, it’s not necessarily all about the run. Granted, throwing the ball isn’t necessarily going to make things better either, but the Middies have to keep the ball on the edges of the Army defense. The Black Knights have had all sorts of problems in the middle of their defense this year, and that has inevitably been a focal point over the course of the last few weeks of prep for this one. Whether it’s SB Gee Gee Greene, Reynolds, or WR Shawn Lynch doing the deed, someone is going to have to consistently use some sort of speed on the edges of this Army defense as well, and that’s been a problem all year long for the Midshipmen. Reynolds can throw the ball better than the average Navy quarterback, as he has 754 yards and eight TDs against just one pick since taking over for QB Trey Miller. Since SB John Howell was knocked out for the season with a leg injury though, this offense just hasn’t looked overly dynamic, but it should be able to get back on track against a porous Army defense if, and really only if, the outside game is working in some form.

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2012 Poinsettia Bowl picks are going to be entertaining to make this year, as we have a de facto host of this game in the San Diego State Aztecs. Head Coach Rocky Long’s team will look to avenge last year’s bowl defeat in the New Orleans Bowl when SDSU battles it out with former Mountain West rivals, the BYU Cougars. Join us for our Poinsettia Bowl keys to the game and our BYU vs. San Diego State predictions.

2012 Poinsettia Bowl: San Diego State Aztecs vs. BYU Cougars
2012 Poinsettia Bowl Location: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA
2012 Poinsettia Bowl Date/Time: Thursday, December 20th, 8:00 p.m. (ET)
2012 Poinsettia Bowl On TV: ESPN, Watch ESPN

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Key #1: San Diego State has to figure out how to move the ball on the ground
QB Adam Dingwell has done a great job this year for the Aztecs, stepping in for the injured QB Ryan Katz and leading the team to a perfect record since getting the starting gig. The problem that the Aztecs might have in this one though, is that they could struggle on the ground. Take out the game against the No. 1 team in the land, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and BYU only allowed 67.3 yards per game this year, and that includes a game against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and their triple option offense. Head Coach Bronco Mendenhall has himself a heck of a defense that has stood up to just about every test it has faced this year. San Diego State though, has two great backs in RB Adam Muema and RB Walter Kazee. These two men just have to keep the ball moving for a SDSU team that averages 229.2 yards per game on the ground. If not and Dingwell has to throw the ball to keep it moving against the Cougars, there could be massive problems. For as well as Dingwell played when he had to this year, he did only average 6.9 yards per pass attempt, and he had just an 8/4 TD/INT ratio.

Poinsettia Bowl Odds at BetGuardian Sportsbook
San Diego State Aztecs +3.5
BYU Cougars -3.5
Over/Under 48
Click Here to Bet Your Poinsettia Bowl Picks!

Key #2: BYU cannot lose ground in the special teams department
Mendenhall will tell you just how badly his special teams units have played this year. The kicking game has been absolutely atrocious, as the team has made just nine of its 17 field goal attempts on the campaign. The return game hasn’t produced a single touchdown all year long, and there hasn’t been a return of a punt or a kick go longer than 44 yards all year either. The one aspect that this team has really capitalized on this year though, has been in the punting department. P Riley Stephenson finished out the year ranked second in the country in yards per punt at 47.3, and he is a real weapon for the team to have. That being said, punting is one very tiny aspect to the game on a regular basis, and without a kicker to rely upon on a regular basis, it is going to make this a difficult game for the Cougs to try to play. This one had better not boil down to a crucial kick, knowing how bad both Stephenson as a field goal kicker and K Justin Sorensen have been all year long.

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Key #3: Riley Nelson has to work the ball up the field
First off, Nelson has to be healthy, and that’s first and foremost. The fifth year senior has been dealing with all sorts of problems all year long, and now, it’s his back that is bothering him. He admits that he isn’t at 100%, but regardless of whether he is or he isn’t, Thursday is going to be the day that he has to take the field against a San Diego State defense that has been deceptively solid all year long. Yes, the team showed that it was prone to some big plays by allowing a pair of 40+ yard touchdowns against the Wyoming Cowboys, but those were the only scores beyond 25 yards that the team allowed since September 29th against the Fresno State Bulldogs. Nelson averages just 6.6 yards per pass attempt, and there isn’t a receiver on the team that averages more than 12.6 yards per catch this year. That’s why RB Jamaal Williams and the gang have struggled getting things going in the running game. There just isn’t all that much of a deep threat on a regular basis. Parlay the fact that the Aztecs haven’t gotten burned by the big play with the fact that BYU doesn’t seem to really have the ability to strike for those long touchdowns with regularity makes this a dangerous spot for the Cougs to be in.

The 2012 NFL season is winding towards the playoffs, and there are just five weeks left to go before the season comes to an end and the NFL playoff picture will be set. There is a lot of jockeying for position yet to do, and Week 13 will be lucky for some, and incredibly unlucky for others.

If you’re a fan of relatively surprising results, the Week 13 odds are probably for you. There are a tremendous number of close games that could go either way, but there are just four NFL point spreads this week thus far that are featuring odds of a field goal or less.

One of those games is the crucial tilt at Qualcomm Stadium, where the Cincinnati Bengals and San Diego Chargers will meet. The Bengals are back into the discussion for the AFC Wild Card spot, and they really would love to have this one to potentially take over as the lead dog for the sixth and final postseason bid in the AFC. The Chargers are on the verge of a disaster, and after losing a heartbreaker last weekend at home, a loss in this one would probably signal the end of the season and the end of Head Coach Norv Turner. Still, the Bengals are getting the nod by a two points.

Another of the close calls is going to come on Monday Night Football. The New York Giants and Washington Redskins are separated by just two games in the NFC East, and one of two things is going to happen this weekend. Either the G-Men are going to end up pulling away from the rest of the pack and really locking down the division title, or they’re going to be in a dog fight down the stretch. This is the chance for QB Robert Griffin III to shine, and the NFL odds suggest that he has a shot of pulling off the upset, as he and his Skins are just +2.5.

The other narrow NFL pointspreads are in games that really just aren’t all that interesting. The Carolina Panthers are laying a field goal to the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Oakland Raiders are -1.5 against the Cleveland Browns. About the only interested man in these two games is QB Matt Barkley, who might be heading to one of these teams next year as the face of the franchise.

On the other end of the spectrum, there are three games that feature point spreads of greater than a touchdown, and these are some really interesting ones. The Dallas Cowboys are coming off of the debacle on Thanksgiving Day at home against Washington, and now, they are going to have to take on a Philadelphia Eagles team that is falling faster than an airplane without an engine. The Cowboys are giving 9.5.

Ironically, that’s the exact same point spread that the Green Bay Packers are favored over the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday. Both of these teams were beaten last week by contenders in the NFC, and they are both going to really need a win in this one to get back on good footing. The loser is going to be in a lot of trouble in the race in the NFC Wild Card chase, and that team could be out of the chase to win the NFC North as well, which might be a death sentence in the crowded and top heavy NFC.

The third big favorites are the New England Patriots, who actually can wrap up the AFC East if they beat the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. They’re three up games right now, and they’re going to be up four with four to play if they win in South Beach. If not though, this could become a relatively interesting stretch run for both teams. Remember that Miami is just a game out in the AFC Wild Card race as well. The Fins are getting a 7.5 point head start to cover the spread in wacky Week 13.

Elsewhere around the league, the general feeling is that the rich are going to get richer, and the poor are going to get poorer. The Chicago Bears are the perfect example. They’re heading up the NFC North at 8-3 and are right on the verge of a first round bye in the playoffs. They’ll take on the Seattle Seahawks, who are going to be playing in their second straight road game a long way from home. The Hawks, who are in the final playoff slot right now, are +4.5.

Seattle is still trying to chase down the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC West as well, but the Niners aren’t relenting at 8-2-1. QB Colin Kaepernick clearly has taken over as the man of the hour for the Niners, and he is going to be facing a second straight road test in this one as well. San Francisco is favored by a touchdown over the St. Louis Rams in a rematch of the tie game at Candlestick Park from a few weeks ago.

On Thursday Night Football, the Atlanta Falcons are favored by 3.5 against the New Orleans Saints, while the other 10-1 team in the league, the Houston Texans, are giving 5.5 to the Tennessee Titans.

Elsewhere at the top of the AFC, the Denver Broncos are -7 at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, while the Baltimore Ravens are -6.5 at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers, who are hoping to get QB Ben Roethlisberger back in the lineup.

There are only three games left that we have not referenced. The Indianapolis Colts and Detroit Lions are going to be battling it out to get into the playoffs in their respective conferences. Detroit knows that it is going to need to win out in all likelihood to get into the playoffs, in a very tough task in the NFC North. The Buffalo Bills are still in the thick of the fight in the AFC Wild Card race with so many teams at the bottom struggling, and they are going to need to take down the Jacksonville Jaguars to keep that dream intact. The Bills are favored by six in Orchard Park. Finally, the New York Jets, even without Fireman Ed in attendance, are laying 4.5 to the slumping Arizona Cardinals, who really have to have Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt on alert for his job after a seventh loss in a row last week.

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This is one of the more interesting weeks of NFL totals that we have seen all year. It shouldn’t go as much of a surprise that the Falcons and Saints are combining for the highest ‘total’ of the season. Both QB Matt Ryan and QB Drew Brees have the ability to really light it up, and they are both clearly going to be able to put points up in bunches against defenses that have both been suspect at best. However, the number of 55.5 is one of the highest that you’ll see, not just this year, but really ever in the NFL.

There are four other games that are featuring ‘totals’ in the 50s as well. QB Peyton Manning and company only put up 17 points last week against Kansas City, but the team had dropped at least 30 in five games in a row before that. That’s why the Bucs and Broncos are sitting in at 50.5 right now. Indy and Detroit feature a ‘total’ of 51.5 after the offensive showcase on Thanksgiving Day in Motown, while Monday Night Football also features a ‘total’ of 51.

However, on the other end of the spectrum, there are at least two games that feature ‘totals’ as low as we have seen this year. The Jets and the Cardinals are two of the worst offensive teams in the league right now, and that’s why they have the lowest over/under on the Week 13 odds at 36.5. The Bears and Seahawks aren’t much higher at 37.5, though. Don’t be shocked when push comes to shove, if the Steelers and Ravens end up in the 30s as well. The opening number is set at 40, but that could dip if the news about Big Ben isn’t good.

2012 NFL Week 13 Odds @ WagerWeb Sportsbook (as of 12/1/12):
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Week 13 NFL Odds for Thursday, November 29th
301 New Orleans Saints +3.5
302 Atlanta Falcons -3.5
Over/Under 54

NFL Week 13 Lines for Sunday, December 1st (1:00 ET Kickoffs)
339 Seattle Seahawks +3
340 Chicago Bears -3
Over/Under 37.5

341 Minnesota Vikings +7.5
342 Green Bay Packers -7.5
Over/Under 45.5

343 San Francisco 49ers -7.5
344 St. Louis Rams +7.5
Over/Under 41

345 Arizona Cardinals +6
346 New York Jets -6
Over/Under 36.5

347 Carolina Panthers -3.5
348 Kansas City Chiefs +3.5
Over/Under 38.5

349 Indianapolis Colts +6.5
350 Detroit Lions -6.5
Over/Under 51

351 Jacksonville Jaguars +6
352 Buffalo Bills -6
Over/Under 42.5

353 New England Patriots -7.5
354 Miami Dolphins +7.5
Over/Under 51

355 Houston Texans -6.5
356 Tennessee Titans +6.5
Over/Under 47

NFL Week 13 Betting Lines for Sunday, December 1st (4:00 ET Kickoffs)
357 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8
358 Denver Broncos -8
Over/Under 50.5

359 Pittsburgh Steelers +7.5
360 Baltimore Ravens -7.5
Over/Under 36

361 Cleveland Raiders -1.5
362 Oakland Raiders +1.5
Over/Under 37.5

363 Cincinnati Bengals -1.5
364 San Diego Chargers +1.5
Over/Under 46

Sunday Night Football Week 13 Odds for Sunday, December 1st
365 Philadelphia Eagles +10.5
366 Dallas Cowboys -10.5
Over/Under 43

Monday Night Football Week 13 Lines for Monday, December 2nd
367 New York Giants -3
368 Washington Redskins +3
Over/Under 51

The Oakland Raiders and Denver Broncos are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 14 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over/Under 44.5 Yards: Oh, c’mon! This is Sea Bass we’re talking about! K Sebastian Janikowski has only missed two kicks this year, and they are both of the 60+ yard variety. Just by himself, he has had five games this year in which he has booted a field goal of at least 45 yards, and in four of those games, that kick has come from at least 51 yards. There is no doubt if Oakland gets inside of the Denver 40 yard line, Head Coach Dennis Allen has no doubts about sending on his kicking unit. K Matt Prater is a slightly different story, as he has had a few games this year without a single field goal. He does have three games with field goals made of over 50 yards, and one of those games was against these very same Raiders. It really seems as though there will be at least a whack or two from long range in this one, and we have to think that, especially if it’s Janikowski, he’ll have no problems booting it through the uprights. Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115

Will the Raiders Ever Lead Against the Broncos?: They didn’t the first time these teams played… Granted, this game is at home, and we don’t expect to see the Broncos put up over 500 yards of offense once again, but it still feels like there has to be nowhere near a 50/50 chance that the Raiders don’t even find their way in front in this one. Denver hasn’t led from start to finish in a game since October 28th against the New Orleans Saints, and it is really, really tough to be that to a team on the road. At some point, Oakland has to get on the board, whether it be first or shortly thereafter, and if that turns out to be the case, we would like to think that it is going to be in front for at least a few seconds in this one, no matter how bad the end result might truly be. Oakland Raiders To Lead During The Game (-160)

Peyton Manning Over/Under 299.5 Passing Yards: Manning has been insanely efficient this year, throwing for over 3,500 yards in spite of the fact that he has fewer pass attempts than any other quarterback that has thrown for that many yards. The problem that we have with Manning is that he hasn’t reached 300 passing yards but once in the last five games, and that was a game in which he had just 301 yards. Manning has only exceeded 309 yards three times this year, and that hasn’t happened since losing to the New England Patriots back in Week 5. Granted, one of those times did come against these Raiders, but is Manning really going to complete 78.9 percent of his passes again in this one. It’s entirely possible, especially knowing that the Raiders’ defense has been a sieve over the course of the last several weeks of the season, but it really seems like a square as heck play to think that Manning is going to get to three bills more often than not in this one. Peyton Manning Under 299.5 Passing Yards (+100)

Demaryius Thomas Over/Under 95.5 Receiving Yards: Just because Manning is down though, doesn’t mean that Thomas has to be down, too. The Georgia Tech product has been out of this world over the course of this season, and he has five 100+ yard games on the campaign (to go with his 99-yard effort last week). When Manning gets locked in with Thomas, it is starting to look like the good old days of when he was getting the job done with WR Marvin Harrison. Thomas is his security blanket, especially when the going gets tough. Thomas hasn’t had a 100+ yard game since Week 10, but this is the worst secondary that he has run across since that point as well. Manning will hit him with a bomb over the course of this one, and a few of the medium range passes will put Thomas over the top by the end of the third quarter. Demaryius Thomas Over 95.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 12/6/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -110

Broncos Score First -200
Raiders Score First +160

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 46.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 46.5 Yards -115

Longest Made Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Made Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Shortest Made Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Made Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Special Teams Or Defensive Touchdown Scored +160
No Special Teams Or Defensive Touchdown Scored -200

Raiders To Ever Lead The Game -160
Raiders To Never Lead The Game +130

Peyton Manning Passing Yards Over 299.5 -130
Peyton Manning Passing Yards Under 299.5 +100

Peyton Manning TD Passes Over 2.5 -115
Peyton Manning TD Passes Under 2.5 -115

Peyton Manning Throws an Interception -115
Peyton Manning Doesn’t Throw an Interception -115

Demaryius Thomas Receiving Yards Over 95.5 -115
Demaryius Thomas Receiving Yards Under 95.5 -115

Demaryius Thomas Scores a Touchdown -130
Demaryius Thomas Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +100

We know what we’re thankful for on this Thanksgiving week, and that’s a whole heck of a lot of football betting action! Here at Bankroll Sports, we are analyzing the Week 12 NFL odds and making our NFL Week 12 picks for the best games on the docket for the week ahead.

Of course, we have to start on Thanksgiving Day, where there are a lot of road teams that are showing some tremendous promise. In fact, in a somewhat rare twist, all six of the teams that are going to be playing on Turkey Day this year at least have a puncher’s chance at making the playoffs.

First timers of Thanksgiving Day football, the Houston Texans are going to be taking on the Detroit Lions at Ford Field. These are two teams that are headed in opposite directions right now, as the Texans are as hot as could be, while the Lions have dropped two in a row and might be in some massive trouble when push comes to shove. This is probably a must win for Detroit, especially with the NFL schedule that lies ahead, but matters don’t really look all that good for it, knowing that it is a three-point home dog to a superior Houston outfit.

The Cowboys are the other regulars on Thanksgiving Day, but the difference between them and the Lions is that they generally win. Detroit generally loses. The Cowboys are the only of the three home teams that are favored on Thanksgiving Day, as they are giving 3.5 to the Washington Redskins. The winner of this one is going to be in second place in the NFC East, while the loser will drop to third. Both teams are still chasing the Giants though, and both know that this is a great chance this week to try to cut the deficit in the division.

The last game of the night features the New England Patriots and the New York Jets. This clash ended with a New England victory in overtime the first time out this year, and both are gearing up for another close one. The Pats opened this one up at -6.5 before the news that TE Rob Gronkowski might miss the rest of the regular season with a broken forearm. Odds have it, the adjustment will be minor, but definitely will be at least in the backs of the minds of NFL bettors before they place their football bets in this one.

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Sunday’s slate of action still has a lot of question marks at the moment. The Chicago Bears and Pittsburgh Steelers still don’t know what the heck is going on with QB Jay Cutler and QB Ben Roethlisberger respectively, though we have a hunch that both will sit. The Bears take on the Minnesota Vikings in a crucial game that will likely help decide whether either of these teams are going to be able to hang around for the rest of the year. Pittsburgh faces the Cleveland Browns in a sandwich game between the loss to the Ravens and the road game in Baltimore in lucky Week 13.

The showcase game of the weekend will be one of the late afternoon games. The San Francisco 49ers — most likely with QB Alex Smith — are going to have to go on the road to the Bayou to take on the New Orleans Saints, who are quietly back to .500 and quietly just a game out of the playoffs after a disastrous 0-4 start to the season. Interim Head Coach Joe Vitt knows that this is probably the biggest coaching game of his career, and he very well could be auditioning for another big time job here in the spotlight of Sunday night. The game has opened at a pick ’em, and it should be quite a great battle between arguably the best offense and arguably the best defense in the conference.

Not to be outdone is Sunday Night Football between the New York Giants and the Green Bay Packers. The G-Men are in control of the NFC East, but regardless of what happens on Thursday in Big D, the gap in the division will be a heck of a lot tighter if this one is lost. QB Eli Manning has played terrible football of late, while QB Aaron Rodgers continues to impress and might be the best quarterback that football has to offer. This is a rematch of the NFC Divisional playoff game from last year, one in which the G-Men came to Lambeau Field and beat the snot out of the Packers. Especially off of their bye week, this is why New York is laying 2.5 to Green Bay.

Unfortunately, the week ends with a dud of a game on Monday Night Football, as the Philadelphia Eagles host the Carolina Panthers. Both Head Coach Andy Reid and Head Coach Ron Rivera know that they are on some pretty hot seats right now, and the loser of this one is only going to be in worse shape. QB Nick Foles is almost certainly going to have to start once again in place of the injured QB Michael Vick, but there is still a supreme confidence that Philly, even after that dismal showing last week in our nation’s capitol, will be able to come up with a win. Philly is -2.5 against the Panthers.

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The theme of the week is close NFL point spreads. There are only three games all week long that showcase games that are featuring teams that are greater than -3.5. The Cincinnati Bengals are getting the nod by 7.5 over the Oakland Raiders in their quest for the postseason, while the team at the head of the class in the AFC West, the Denver Broncos, are the biggest favorites of the week at -10 on the road against the hapless Kansas City Chiefs.

Aside from that though, everything is expected to be close. Potential AFC playoff teams are seemingly all going on the road this weekend. We’ve already discussed New England and Houston, but they clearly aren’t the only team that might have some problems on enemy soil. The Baltimore Ravens visit the San Diego Chargers and are laying 2.5 points, while the Steelers should be short favorites against the Browns as discussed earlier. Meanwhile, that could open the door for the Indianapolis Colts to get back in control in the AFC Wild Card race, as it hosts the Buffalo Bills. If the Bills are going to get back into the chase though, this is a game that has to be won. The oddsmakers are insinuating that this could be close though, knowing that the visitors are only getting a field goal after watching Indy get blown away by the Patriots last weekend.

The other major showcase game in the NFC this weekend sees the Tampa Bay Buccaneers going against the Atlanta Falcons. This is a tremendous opportunity for Tampa Bay to assert itself as a legitimate player in the role for the NFC title this year. The team is lined at a pick ’em to open up the week at home against arguably one of the best few teams in the league. The Falcons have been undervalued all year long though, and all they keep doing is winning. Still, they’re 9-1, and many have to think that they are going to get beaten in this one by a truly surging team.

The highest ‘total’ of the weekend thus far on the board is the 52.5 of the Bills and the Colts. In all likelihood, that will hold, and it might be the only ‘total’ that settles in the 50s this week. However, the Jets and Patriots started off the week at 50 as well. There are two games in the 30s as well, neither of which we have discussed quite yet. The Miami Dolphins and the Seattle Seahawks are expected to reach just 37.5 points, while the Hawks are laying a point and a half on the road. The Arizona Cardinals, giving two to the St. Louis Rams in the desert, also only figure to play in a game that features just 37.5 points.

2012 NFL Week 12 Odds @ Bet Guardian Sportsbook (as of 11/19/12):
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Week 12 NFL Betting Odds for Thursday, November 22nd
103 Houston Texans -3.5
104 Detroit Lions +3.5
Over/Under 48.5

105 Washington Redskins +3.5
106 Dallas Cowboys -3.5
Over/Under 47

107 New England Patriots -7
108 New York Jets +7
Over/Under 48

Week 12 NFL Spreads for Sunday, November 25th (1:00 ET Kickoffs)
221 Oakland Raiders +9.5
222 Cincinnati Bengals -9.5
Over/Under 50.5

223 Pittsburgh Steelers -1
224 Cleveland Browns +1
Over/Under 34.5

225 Buffalo Bills +3
226 Indianapolis Colts -3
Over/Under 50.5

227 Denver Broncos -10
228 Kansas City Chiefs +10
Over/Under 44

229 Tennessee Titans -4
230 Jacksonville Jaguars +4
Over/Under 44.5

231 Minnesota Vikings +6
232 Chicago Bears -6
Over/Under 38.5

233 Atlanta Falcons -1
234 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1
Over/Under 50.5

235 Seattle Seahawks -2.5
236 Miami Dolphins +2.5
Over/Under 37.5

NFL Week 12 Betting Lines for Sunday, November 25th (4:00 ET Kickoffs)
237 Baltimore Ravens -1
238 San Diego Chargers +1
Over/Under 47

239 San Francisco 49ers -1
240 New Orleans Saints +1
Over/Under 49

241 St. Louis Rams +1
242 Arizona Cardinals -1
Over/Under 37

Sunday Night Football Week 12 Odds for Sunday, November 25th
243 Green Bay Packers +3
244 New York Giants -3
Over/Under 50.5

Monday Night Football Week 12 Lines for Monday, November 26th
245 Carolina Panthers -3
246 Philadelphia Eagles +3
Over/Under 40.5