Posts Tagged ‘2013’

49ers vs. Falcons NFC Championship Game Picks, Predictions 1/20

January 13th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 49ers vs. Falcons NFC Championship Game Picks, Predictions 1/20
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San Francisco 49ers v Atlanta FalconsThe 2013 NFL playoff picks are going to be difficult to make, and in this one, the San Francisco 49ers and the Atlanta Falcons are set to do battle with one another. Check out our 49ers vs. Falcons predictions and the NFC Championship Game keys to the game for San Francisco vs. Atlanta.

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#2 San Francisco 49ers @ #1 Atlanta Falcons
49ers vs. Falcons Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
49ers vs. Falcons Date/Time: Sunday, January 20th, 3:00 p.m. (ET)
49ers vs. Falcons On TV: FOX
Key #1: Vernon Davis has to be a factor for the Niners
We know that the 49ers have been a remarkable team all year long, and they put up an outstanding effort against the Green Bay Packers last week. However, if there has been a knock on QB Colin Kaepernick, it is that he just hasn’t really figured out how to get a great rapport consistently with any of his receivers. Last week, the Falcons were just destroyed by TE Zach Miller, who finished the day with eight receptions for 142 yards and a touchdown. Miller isn’t the only tight end this year to light up the Falcons. Five tight ends since November 29th have put up at least 50 receiving yards against this Atlanta defense. Davis was expected to have a heck of a season, but he only had 41 receptions for 548 yards with five TDs. He also had just one catch against the Packers, but it did go for 44 yards. That now gives Davis just seven receptions in his last seven games dating back to Week 12 against the New Orleans Saints. If Davis isn’t going to be able to figure out how to get the job done, Kaepernick might have a tough time trying to get together with his receivers. Only WR Michael Crabtree had more than two receptions against Green Bay, and with DB Asante Samuel matched up with Crabtree all day on Sunday, someone else will have to step it up. Davis is the perfect man to do just that.

49ers @ Falcons Odds at Diamond Sportsbook
San Francisco 49ers -3.5
Atlanta Falcons +3.5
Over/Under 47
Click Here to Bet Your 49ers vs. Falcons Picks!

 

Key #2: The Falcons have to get some pressure on Colin Kaepernick
DE John Abraham spent most of the game on the sidelines with an ankle injury in the Divisional playoff game, and as a result, QB Russell Wilson was able to run all over the field. Wilson finished with 385 passing yards and 60 rushing yards, and a lot of what he created over the course of the game came on the move. QB Colin Kaepernick has proven that he has ice water in his veins, and he isn’t going to be worried about playing on the road in this situation. He beat the New England Patriots and New Orleans Saints on the road in the regular season, and in his first playoff start, he rebounded from throwing a pick six on the first drive of the game by rushing for 181 yards and two TDs and throwing for 263 yards and two TDs. Atlanta did get two sacks on Wilson, but that just wasn’t good enough, especially in the second half. With Abraham certainly in doubt for this coming week’s game, someone else is going to need to get into the backfield and force Kaepernick to throw the ball, because if he gets on the run like Wilson successfully did time and time again on Sunday, it is going to be a long day for this defense.

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Key #3: Atlanta absolutely has to run the football
Sure, you can pick on what the Falcons had done in the past in the playoffs and you can say that QB Matt Ryan and Head Coach Mike Smith had never won a playoff game since coming to Atlanta. However, the real NFL expert handicappers that disliked the Falcons did so because they didn’t run the ball well all season long, and they really didn’t play great defense. In the first half against the Seahawks, they did both of those items. They held twice on defense in the red zone, and they rushed the ball for 133 yards. In the second half, they allowed three touchdowns on the first three drives of the half on defense, and they only rushed for 34 yards. Needless to say, with as close as the Seahawks came to winning on Sunday, the Falcons are lucky to be here. If they don’t find a way to run the ball against a San Francisco defense that allowed just 94.2 yards per game this year on the ground, this game won’t be even close, as Matty Ice proved last week that he probably isn’t winning the NFC by himself without the help of RB Jacquizz Rodgers and RB Michael Turner.

Houston Texans @ New England Patriots NFL Playoff Predictions 1/13

January 13th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Houston Texans @ New England Patriots NFL Playoff Predictions 1/13
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Tom BradyOur 2013 NFL playoffs predictions continue on Sunday, January 13th with the Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots. We are set to make our Texans vs. Patriots predictions, tips, and keys to the game for this crucial duel in the Divisional round of the playoffs.

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#3 Houston Texans @ #2 New England Patriots
Texans vs. Patriots Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
Texans vs. Patriots Date/Time: Sunday, January 13th, 4:30 p.m. (ET)
Texans vs. Patriots On TV: CBS

Key #1: Houston has to come to Gillette meaning business
We just can’t imagine that the Texans are going to come into this one the same way that they did the first time around. Everyone on the team was given a letterman jacket just before going up to Foxboro a month ago, and the club got the living heck beaten out of it. The lasting impression of that game was that the Patriots were playing the game against the Texans on Monday Night Football as all business, while Houston was really there overconfident in itself. This time though, it has to be 100% business for the Texans, who are playing in the biggest game in franchise history. This win would be the best thing that ever happened to the Texans in their 10-year history, but they can’t ultimately get caught up in the moment. This is just too big of a game to ultimately come up here thinking that it is going to be fun and games in Foxboro against a team that clearly is going to be taking this game as pure business.

Texans @ Patriots Odds at WagerWeb Sportsbook
Houston Texans +9.5
New England Patriots -9.5
Over/Under 48.5
Click Here to Bet Your Texans vs. Patriots Picks!

Key #2: The Patriots have to figure out how to slow down JJ Watt again
The Cincinnati Bengals just couldn’t do it last week. DE JJ Watt was remarkable against the Bengals, and though he only finished up with five tackles and a sack, he was all over the field and caused chaos for QB Andy Dalton and the gang. The Houston defense absolutely cannot play better than it did this past week, as it held the Bengals to just 198 yards of offense and kept them without a third down conversion. Of course, the catalyst of this team is Watt, and it really seems as though when he is non-existent, the defense is non-existent. When the Pats and the Texans played five weeks ago, Watt had just two tackles and two assists, but more importantly, he didn’t have a single sack, nor did he really get his hands on QB Tom Brady. The end result? Brady went 21-of-35 for 296 yards with four TDs and no picks. It is clear if Brady gets time to sit in the pocket and throw the football, he is going to pick any secondary in the league apart, especially against this Houston secondary that has been prone to giving up some big time plays.

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Key #3: Arian Foster can’t have an off day after a huge day against the Bengals
RB Arian Foster rushed for 140 yards on 32 carries against the Bengals in the Wild Card round of the postseason, and he is now the only player in the history of the league to rush for at least 100 yards in each of his first three playoff games. What was amazing is that Foster did that against a great defensive front, and he didn’t have a single carry for more than 17 yards on the day. Foster now has eight 100+ yard games this year. The team went 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS in those games. There were only four games in which he was held to 50 yards or fewer, and the team lost three of those four outings. In the one exception of a game against the Tennessee Titans, RB Justin Forsett rushed for 64 yards to pick up the slack. Of course, one of those games where Foster was held down came against these very same Patriots, as he had just 46 yards on 15 carries. He did score a touchdown on the day, but it wasn’t nearly good enough to get the job done. New England did finish the year ranked ninth in the NFL against the rush, but there were better defenses that Foster has run against in his career.

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NFL Props: Houston Texans vs New England Patriots Predictions 1/13

January 12th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Props: Houston Texans vs New England Patriots Predictions 1/13
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The New England Patriots and Houston Texans are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the Divisional betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Stephen Gostkowski Over/Under 9.5 Points: It seems like a given that Gostkowski should ultimately be staying under double digits worth of points. Two field goals and three extra points still leaves him one short. That being said, we can’t help but wonder if Gostkowski is going to kick at least four extra points in this game (he did that 10 times out of 16 games) or at least three field goals (he did that six times out of 16 games). The Texans do a lot of bending without breaking, and the team has a remarkable red zone defense in terms of intensity. Who could forget the goal line stand that Houston came up with against the Baltimore Ravens last year in the playoffs that kept them in the game? There has to be at least a 50/50 chance that Gostkowski ends up with at least 10 points in this one. Stephen Gostkowski Over 9.5 Points (+115)

Aaron Hernandez Over/Under 5.5 Receptions: Hernandez had eight catches the first time that these two teams played, and it’s going to be really tough to duplicate that. Not only is TE Rob Gronkowski back in the lineup for this one when he wasn’t five weeks ago, but now, the Texans now have had a good look at what the Brady Brunch brings to the table. Hernandez has been the man that Defensive Coordinator Wade Phillips has been talking about all week, and it seems as though he thinks that the key is going to be slowing down the former Florida Gator to slow down this offense. Asking for six catches in a game from one man in an offense that has so many weapons is going to be tough. Aaron Hernandez Under 5.5 Receptions (-135)

Rob Gronkowski Over/Under 5.5 Receptions: Same concept. Except with Gronkowski, we’re not 100% sold that he is really ready to be back and playing again in a full-time capacity after breaking his arm two months ago. The Texans know that they have to slow down these tight ends if they want to have any chance of winning on Sunday. Rob Gronkowski Under 5.5 Receptions (-115)

Owen Daniels Over/Under 4.5 Receptions: Daniels has been huge at times for the Texans this year. It seems wrong that he has an over/under of 4.5 receptions in this game, knowing that he didn’t have more than four receptions in any of his last six games. He also only had four games in the regular season with more than four catches. However, last week against the Cincinnati Bengals, Daniels had 11 targets and nine receptions, and that now gives him at least seven targets in three of his last four games. QB Matt Schaub has been terrible of late, but he really has to be better if he is going to have any chance of getting the job done in the playoffs. Daniels might be the key to the Houston offense. Owen Daniels Over 4.5 Receptions (+110)

Will Andre Johnson Score a Touchdown?: We have seen so many big time receivers put together huge games against the Patriots in the past, though Johnson clearly wasn’t one of those men that was able to do that. No. 80 has probably been the best Texan in franchise history, and in the biggest game in franchise history, it’s high time that he steps up. Sure, he only has four touchdowns this year, but he truly is due for a bust out game. We know that the Texans have struggled offensively, and there hasn’t been any receiver, let alone any specific receiver, but Johnson has to be the man to get this game to a competitive level. Andre Johnson To Score a Touchdown (+220)

Arian Foster Over/Under 88.5 Rushing Yards: Foster had a rough go of it against the Patriots a month ago, and he really hasn’t been the same back since that point. However, he did have a remarkable game against a stout Cincinnati defense last week, rushing 140 yards. He also had eight catches for 34 yards and ended up touching the ball a whopping 40 times on the day. Foster is the first and only player in NFL history to run for at least 100 yards in each of his first three playoff games. The team is going to have to run the ball to make it through to the AFC Championship Game, and the Patriots are prone to allowing a bunch of rushing yards. Arian Foster Over 88.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

NFL Props: Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers Predictions 1/12

January 10th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Props: Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers Predictions 1/12
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Colin KaepernickThe San Francisco 49ers and Green Bay Packers are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the Divisional betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Will Either Team Score in the First 6:30?: We really think that there is going to be a heck of a lot of defense in this game, knowing that both of these teams have the ability to do some real damage. The 49ers are going to come out of the blocks running for sure, right into the teeth of a defense that has had a very difficult time stopping the big time rushers this season. Green Bay has to come out firing through the air, but it’s not like there is a question about that to the 49ers. This is a matchup that both of these teams have been working towards for weeks, and we think that the outcome could be a slow start. That’s not to say that there won’t be plenty of points on the board as the game wears on, but we wouldn’t be surprised if the first quarter went by without a score. No Score in the First 6:30 (-115)

Longest Field Goal Made Over/Under 43.5 Yards: It’s tough to think that these two field goal kickers, once stars of the league, are now two of the biggest goats playing in these playoffs. K David Akers nearly got released in between the end of the season and now, and K Mason Crosby has missed as many field goals in big time situations as any kicker in the league this year. That being said, both of these defenses are very hard to break, and there has to be a situation where, just outside of the red zone, one of these two clubs falters. The number that we’re used to seeing for this prop is around 45.5 or 46.5 yards, but 43.5 is just far too low. Last season, had these two teams played, this number would have easily been at least 45.5, as Akers and Crosby were booming them in from all over the place. Kickers are weird, but they’re not that weird. Expect at least one long field goal tonight. Longest Field Goal Made Over 43.5 Yards (-115)

Green Bay Packers Rushing Yards Over/Under 95: Look, this is a bad team on the ground, but it’s not THAT bad of a team on the ground. Green Bay does average over 100 rushing yards per game this year, and though we know that we aren’t getting all of the rushing yards from one back, we do get to add everything in there, and that does include whatever QB Aaron Rodgers ends up with. Forget about the fact that Green Bay hasn’t even gotten to 75 rushing yards over the course of the last two games. This is a much different situation, and unlike against Arizona and Seattle, if Green Bay doesn’t run the ball effectively in this game, Rodgers is going to get killed standing in the pocket. Green Bay Packers Over 95 Rushing Yards (+100)

Colin Kaepernick Over/Under 16.5 Pass Completions: When you look back at the course of the last several games that Kaepernick has played, you see a lot of interesting numbers. He completed 19 against Seattle, 18 against Miami, and 21 against St. Louis, whereas he had 14 against New England and 16 against Arizona. There were also a couple of 16-completion games prior to that as well. Odds have it, the 49ers aren’t going to be blowing away the Packers like they were to the Patriots for the whole second half of the game, and odds have it, they aren’t going to end up getting two defensive touchdowns like they did against the Saints. Factor those games out, and all of a sudden, it becomes clear that, more often than not, Kaepernick is going to end up getting to at least 17 or 18 completions, and we think that he’ll do that again in this one. Colin Kaepernick Over 16.5 Pass Completions (-115)

LaMichael James Over/Under 36 Rushing + Receiving Yards: Head Coach Jim Harbaugh likes to mix it up with his backs, but this is the time of year that he has been doing all of that for. The only way that James is going to end up getting at least 37 yards in this game is either if he busts a big one, or if something happens to RB Frank Gore. We expect to see Gore carry the ball at least 20 times in this game, and that might not leave a heck of a lot for James to do when push comes to shove. We know that the rookie from Oregon is explosive and has the ability to do a lot of damage, but he just won’t get more than five or six touches of the ball in all likelihood, and that just isn’t enough. LaMichael James Under 36 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)

NFL Prop Picks: Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons Tips 1/13/13

January 8th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons Tips 1/13/13
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Seahawks vs. FalconsThe Atlanta Falcons and Seattle Seahawks are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the Divisional betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Russell Wilson Over/Under 16.5 Completions: When you really think about what Wilson has had to do over the course of the last few weeks, there hasn’t been a whole heck of a lot. The defense has done a ton, the offense has relied upon RB Marshawn Lynch, and in the end, that has been enough to get the job done in comfortable fashion. Still, Wilson knows that he is going to have to make some plays as the postseason wears on, and this is going to be a much tougher task than advertised. That being said, he is going to have no choice but to throw it, and if he knows what’s good for him, he won’t be taking nothing but those long shots right down the field. That means some shorter completions, and that should mean that he is going to average more than four completions per quarter. Especially if the Seahawks have to play this game from behind late, as the oddsmakers are insinuating, this could ultimately be a slam dunk of a play. Russell Wilson Over 16.5 Completions (-115)

Marshawn Lynch Over/Under 101.5 Rushing Yards: Same concept. Sure, Lynch has five straight games with at least 100 yards (one of which didn’t get beyond 101.5 rushing yards, just for the record), and sure, he is going against a defense that routinely allows a ton of rushing yards per game. But these are the playoffs, and the Falcons have been preparing to stop the run now for two full weeks, knowing that they were going to have to go against either Adrian Peterson, Alfred Morris, or Lynch in their first playoff game. Don’t be shocked if Atlanta puts eight in the box, or maybe even more, just to stop Lynch, and that would force Wilson to put the ball in the air. If the Falcons succeed, the Seahawks could end up getting blown out. If they fail, odds have it, it’s Wilson that’s beating them. We’ll take our chances that the Falcons do everything that they can to stuff up the run. Marshawn Lynch Under 101.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Will Richard Sherman Intercept a Pass?: We hate playing props like this one, but the odds are definitely on our side for Sherman to pick off a pass in this game. He did so in seven games this year (eight total INTs), and he is going to be matched up with a receiver that is going to get at least 8-10 targets when push comes to shove, regardless as to whether he is dealing with WR Julio Jones or WR Roddy White. Sherman picked off a pass in three of his final four regular season games, and now, he gets to go against a quarterback in QB Matt Ryan who has thrown five interceptions in his three career postseason games. It’s just too nice of a price to pass on for what might be a 50/50 proposition. Richard Sherman To Intercept a Pass (+220)

Tony Gonzalez Over/Under 5.5 Receptions: Gonzalez caught 93 passes this year, averaging 5.8 per game, and this is a nice matchup for him. The Seahawks have been weak in the slot this year, as they have kept Sherman and DB Brandon Browner matched up on the outside with wide receivers for the mass majority of the season without shifting them into the slot. We have to figure that those two are going to stay blanketed on WR Julio Jones and WR Roddy White for the whole game, and that’s going to leave a safety or a linebacker to cover Gonzalez. Gonzo knows what he is doing here in the second season, and he has still got the abilities to be one of the best tight ends that football has to offer. We wouldn’t be shocked to see him log six receptions by halftime in this one, as he is going to often times act as the security blanket when White and Jones aren’t open. Tony Gonzalez Over 5.5 Receptions (-115)

Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons NFL Playoff Predictions 1/13/13

January 6th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons NFL Playoff Predictions 1/13/13
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Matt RyanOur 2013 NFL playoffs predictions continue on Sunday, January 13th with the Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons. We are set to make our Seahawks vs. Falcons predictions, tips, and keys to the game for this crucial duel in the first round of the playoffs.

Click Here For The 2013 NFL Playoff Bracket, the 2013 NFL Playoffs Schedule, and all of our NFL Playoff Game Previews

#5 Seattle Seahawks @ #1 Atlanta Falcons
Seahawks vs. Falcons Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
Seahawks vs. Falcons Date/Time: Sunday, January 13th, 1:00 p.m. (ET)
Seahawks vs. Falcons On TV: FOX

Key #1: The Seahawks have to keep up this mojo against playoff teams
You really don’t think of the Seahawks as an outfit that ultimately did tremendously well against playoff teams this year, but when you go back and look at it, this is a team that did a heck of a lot better than you would think against the best teams in the league. Granted, we know that the win over the Green Bay Packers should have never happened, but the club ultimately went 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS, including last week’s 24-14 win over the Washington Redskins to conclude Wild Card weekend. There’s more than that, too. Seattle also beat the Chicago Bears on the road and the Dallas Cowboys at home this year, and those were both wins that, had they not been had, would have cost the team a spot in the second season. This Seattle outfit also ultimately didn’t lose a game this year by more than seven points on the campaign. This team is a heck of a lot better than your average 11-5 team, and it has the longest winning streak of any team in the NFC right now at six games.

Seahawks @ Falcons Odds at WagerWeb Sportsbook
Seattle Seahawks +2.5
Atlanta Falcons -2.5
Over/Under 46
Click Here to Bet Your Seahawks vs. Falcons Picks!

Key #2: The Falcons have to get back to the fundamentals of football
Teams that win championships run the ball and play good defense at this level. Even when the New Orleans Saints won the Super Bowl a few years ago, they managed to find their way to make some big time defensive plays en route to the title. The Falcons do neither of these things well. They didn’t have anywhere near a 1,000-yard rusher this year, and they ultimately ranked 29th in the NFL in rushing at just 87.3 yards per game, and they allowed 365.6 yards per game. They did the job by allowing just 18.7 points per game, but anyone that has watched this team this year knows that this is a team that is just waiting to implode and allow 40 points in a game if it isn’t careful. But back to the ground game for a second. RB Michael Turner only rushed for 803 yards and 10 TDs this year, and he averaged just 3.6 yards per carry. We understand that Turner is coming up towards the end of his career and he is more of a plodding back right now, but the fact that RB Jacquizz Rodgers averaged just 3.9 yards per carry as a spunky, change of pace back doesn’t speak well for this offensive line. If all of this doesn’t improve, it will be a year of disappointment for the Falcons.

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Key #3: The Georgia Dome can’t turn on Matty Ice
It’s easy to see why the fans of the Falcons are frustrated at this point. They have never won a championship, and they haven’t won a playoff game under the direction of Head Coach Mike Smith and QB Matt Ryan. Don’t get us wrong, as Atlanta is lucky to have Ryan under center as opposed to QB Chris Redman and whatever other garbage the team had before. However, at 0-3 SU and ATS in three playoff games, it is easy to dismiss Ryan as a quarterback that just can’t play in the big time game in his career. He has never thrown for even 200 yards in a playoff game in three tries, and he has just 584 yards with three TDs and four picks in those games. Last year against the New York Giants, he didn’t even get a single point on the board offensively in a game that was ultimately lost 24-2. That just doesn’t cut it, and it won’t get the job done in the playoffs against any team, especially one that is as hot as the Seahawks ultimately are.

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Baltimore Ravens @ Denver Broncos NFL Playoff Predictions 1/12/13

January 6th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Baltimore Ravens @ Denver Broncos NFL Playoff Predictions 1/12/13
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Broncos vs. RavensThe 2013 NFL playoff picks are going to be difficult to make, and in this one, the Baltimore Ravens and the Denver Broncos are set to do battle with one another. Check out our Ravens vs. Broncos predictions and the keys to the game for Baltimore vs. Denver.

Click Here For The 2013 NFL Playoff Bracket, the 2013 NFL Playoffs Schedule, and all of our NFL Playoff Game Previews

#4 Baltimore Ravens @ #1 Denver Broncos
Ravens vs. Broncos Location: Sports Authority Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Ravens vs. Broncos Date/Time: Saturday, January 12th, 4:30 p.m. (ET)
Ravens vs. Broncos On TV: CBS

Key #1: The Ravens need another inspired effort defensively
The statistics on the win against the Indianapolis Colts weren’t the prettiest in the world for the Ravens, but when push came to shove, they got the job done against a very good offensive unit. The Colts did move the ball quite a bit, getting 25 first downs and 419 total yards, but the defense managed 12 pass defenses over the course of the day and picked up three sacks, 2.5 of which came from DT Paul Kruger. LB Ray Lewis, playing in his final home game of his career, had nine tackles and four assists, and he looked like his old self. QB Andrew Luck only completed 51.9 percent of his passes and was picked off once, and a lot of his yards came after the game was a bit out of reach. The Ravens aren’t going to be able to afford allowing over 400 yards to the Broncos if they want to win, but they do need to play with that same sort of intensity, especially when Denver gets down in the red zone if they want to have a chance of pulling off the upset against the top seed in the AFC.

Ravens @ Broncos Odds at Diamond Sportsbook
Baltimore Ravens +9
Denver Broncos -9
Over/Under 45.5
Click Here to Bet Your Ravens vs. Broncos Picks!

Key #2: The General has to continue to command the field
There aren’t many quarterbacks like QB Peyton Manning out there. Manning came back this year after missing the entire 2011 season with a neck injury, and he really is as good as he has ever been. Manning completed a whopping 400 passes and finished with 4,695 yards and 37 TDs against 11 picks. Manning averaged 297.5 passing yards per game over the course of his last 14 games of the season after getting his feet wet with his brand new team. He has posted 13 straight games with at least a 90 quarterback rating and has had nine games in his last 14 with at least three touchdown passes. The bugaboo on Manning though, is that he really hasn’t been able to win the biggest games of his career. Little brother, Eli has one more Super Bowl title than does the elder Manning brother, and little Eli has beaten QB Tom Brady twice, something that has always plagued Peyton. This isn’t the biggest game in the world that Manning has ever played, but it comes against a team that has a defense that really can frustrate him. That being said, in nine games against the Ravens in his career, Manning has averaged 275.2 passing yards per game, has completed 64.7 percent of his passes, and has an 18/5 TD/INT ratio. With a suspect running game, Manning needs to keep that up if he is going to lead his team to the AFC Championship Game.

Key #3: Ray Rice has to hold onto the football
Over the course of his entire 77-game career, RB Ray Rice had only fumbled the ball seven times and lost six of them. He had never had a game with two fumbles ever, but he was stripped twice last week by the Colts, and the team lost both fumbles. Granted, that paved to way to a 100+ yard day for backup RB Bernard Pierce, but this time around, we know that it is going to be Rice that has to be the dynamic one to win this game. The Ravens have run for 396 yards in their last two serious games (forget about a Week 17 loss that meant nothing to the Cincinnati Bengals), but in Week 14, they only ended up with 19 carries for 56 yards as a team against these very same Broncos. Rice had just 38 yards on 12 carries, and he really hasn’t looked totally the same since that point. We’re going to go out on a limb and say that the Ravens need to account for at least 120 yards on the ground to have a chance in this one, and means that Rice has to not only hold onto the football, but continue to rumble through this stout Denver defense to have a chance at the upset.

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