NFL Props: Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Predictions 1/5
January 4th, 2013 by | Posted in NFL Football Comments Off on NFL Props: Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Predictions 1/5The Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the Wild Card betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.
Largest Lead of the Game Over/Under 16.5 Points: Considering the fact that the largest margin of victory in this series this year was just nine points in a game, it’s really tough to see how one of these two sides ends up pulling ahead by three scores at any point in the clash. With the way that RB Adrian Peterson runs the football, and the fact that this is one of those Black and Blue Division games that should be close from the get go, we really don’t see all that much of a way that this game ever gets too far out of hand for either team. Largest Lead of the Game Under 16.5 Points (-130)
Adrian Peterson Over/Under 126.5 Rushing Yards: It’s the squarest prop play on the board, and it’s the play that is going to garner the most attention of all of the props, probably all postseason long until the Super Bowl. Peterson rushed for 199 yards and 211 yards in two games against the Packers this year, so the common thought is that he absolutely has to have at least 127 yards on the ground in this one, right? That’s exactly what the oddsmakers are trying to get you to think. This is the playoffs. This is the second straight week that the Packers have lined up against this monster. They know what it will take to take him down. Sure, Peterson might carry the ball 40 times and get there that way, but in all likelihood, he doesn’t touch it more than 25. Even the great Adrian Peterson didn’t reach 127 rushing yards in nine out of 16 games this year, and odds have it, he isn’t going to get there in this one either. Adrian Peterson Under 126.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Aaron Rodgers Over/Under 292.5 Passing Yards: It’s going to be around 20 degrees at kickoff. It’s cold. It’s really cold. We know that Rodgers is used to playing in this weather, but he isn’t going to get to 300 passing yards more often than not in it. Don’t fall in love with last week’s game where Rodgers threw for 365 yards and four scores. He’s not doing that all that often. In fact, in outdoor games of late, Rodgers has thrown for 342, 291, 173, 286, 219, 218, 186, and 235 yards. Don’t see a lot of 293+ numbers on there, eh? The Vikes don’t have a fantastic secondary, but what they do have is a running game that controls the clock with regularity. If Minnesota does ride the back of Peterson to the tune of 150+ rushing yards for the team on the day and carries the ball 35-40 times as a team, it’s going to be really tough for Rodgers to have the ball for long enough to throw for this many yards. Aaron Rodgers Under 292.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Will Mason Crosby Miss a Field Goal?: Again, it’s cold, and the ball is going to be awfully heavy in this game. Crosby missed 12 times this season, and he missed those kicks in nine total games. There was a stretch of eight straight games between Week 7 and Week 15 where Crosby missed at least once. Granted, he hasn’t missed since that point, and he does historically have a heck of a leg, but in the end, kickers are weird. They get misses in their head and don’t get them out, and that could be what happens (and is happening) to Crosby. There has to be at least a 40% chance that he is going to miss a kick in this game, and we’re going to be right there to cash in on it when he does. Mason Crosby To Miss a Field Goal Attempt (+140)
Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 1/5/13):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -130
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game +100
Vikings Score First +145
Packers Score First -175
First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150
Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -110
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -120
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -125
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards -105
Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Over 3.5 +115
Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Under 3.5 -145
Total Punts by Both Teams Over 8.5 -115
Total Punts by Both Teams Under 8.5 -115
Total Sacks by Both Teams Over 5.5 +105
Total Sacks by Both Teams Under 5.5 -135
Game Will Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points +400
Game Will Not Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points -600
Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored +160
No Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored -200
Largest Lead of the Game Over 16.5 +100
Largest Lead of the Game Under 16.5 -130
Christian Ponder Throws Touchdown First -140
Christian Ponder Throws Interception First +110
Christian Ponder Completions Over 17.5 -115
Christian Ponder Completions Under 17.5 -115
Christian Ponder Passing Yards Over 191.5 -115
Christian Ponder Passing Yards Under 191.5 -115
Christian Ponder Throws an Interception -300
Christian Ponder Doesn’t Throw an Interception +220
Christian Ponder Rushing Attempts Over 3.5 -135
Christian Ponder Rushing Attempts Under 3.5 +105
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards Over 126.5 -115
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards Under 126.5 -115
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards on First Carry Over 3.5 -130
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards on First Carry Under 3.5 +100
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards on Longest Carry Over 29.5 -115
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards on Longest Carry Under 29.5 -115
Adrian Peterson Scores a First Half Touchdown +130
Adrian Peterson Doesn’t Score a First Half Touchdown -160
Adrian Peterson Scores a Touchdown -220
Adrian Peterson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +170
Michael Jenkins Receiving Yards Over 36.5 -115
Michael Jenkins Receiving Yards Under 36.5 -115
Kyle Rudolph Receiving Yards Over 37.5 -115
Kyle Rudolph Receiving Yards Under 37.5 -115
Kyle Rudolph Scores a Touchdown +160
Kyle Rudolph Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -200
Chad Greenway Tackles Over 8.5 -115
Chad Greenway Tackles Under 8.5 -115
Jared Allen Sacks Over 1.5 +120
Jared Allen Sacks Under 1.5 -150
Blair Walsh Points Over 8.5 -115
Blair Walsh Points Under 8.5 -115
Aaron Rodgers Completions Over 25.5 -130
Aaron Rodgers Completions Under 25.5 +100
Aaron Rodgers Longest Completion Over 38.5 Yards -115
Aaron Rodgers Longest Completion Under 38.5 Yards -115
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Over 292.5 -115
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Under 292.5 -115
Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 -110
Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -120
Aaron Rodgers Throws an Interception -130
Aaron Rodgers Doesn’t Throw an Interception +100
Packers Score a Rushing Touchdown -150
Packers Don’t Score a Rushing Touchdown +120
Jordy Nelson Receiving Yards Over 56.5 -115
Jordy Nelson Receiving Yards Under 56.5 -115
Jordy Nelson Scores a Touchdown +140
Jordy Nelson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180
Greg Jennings Receptions Over 5.5 +105
Greg Jennings Receptions Under 5.5 -135
Greg Jennings Receiving Yards Over 64.5 -115
Greg Jennings Receiving Yards Under 64.5 -115
Greg Jennings Scores a Touchdown +100
Greg Jennings Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -130
Randall Cobb Receptions Over 4.5 -115
Randall Cobb Receptions Under 4.5 -115
Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Over 64.5 -115
Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Under 64.5 -115
Jermichael Finley Receptions Over 4.5 -130
Jermichael Finley Receptions Under 4.5 +100
Jermichael Finley Receiving Yards Over 54.5 -115
Jermichael Finley Receiving Yards Under 54.5 -115
Clay Matthews Records a Sack or Half Sack -240
Clay Matthews Doesn’t Record a Sack or Half Sack +180
Casey Hayward Intercepts a Pass +260
Casey Hayward Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -340
Mason Crosby Points Over 8.5 -115
Mason Crosby Points Under 8.5 -115
Mason Crosby Misses a Field Goal Attempt +140
Mason Crosby Doesn’t Miss a Field Goal Attempt -170