Posts Tagged ‘Atlanta Falcons’

NFC Championship Prop Picks: 49ers vs. Falcons Predictions 1/20

January 17th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFC Championship Prop Picks: 49ers vs. Falcons Predictions 1/20
Bet On The NFL at JustBet & Get Exclusive 100% Sportsbook Bonus
Click Here For An Exclusive 100% Cash Bonus @ JustBet
(For Our Visitors Only: Must Use This Link)

Atlanta FalconsThe Atlanta Falcons and San Francisco 49ers are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the NFC Championship Game betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Colin Kaepernick Over/Under 62.5 Rushing Yards: Don’t do it! It’s a trap! Kaepernick shocked the world last week by rushing for 181 yards and two TDs against the Packers, and now, he is going to be going against a defense that was torched by a very similar QB Russell Wilson. Remember folks, last week was the highest scoring divisional round in NFL history, and it really wasn’t all that close. What Wilson and Kaepernick did was out of this world, and they just can’t be expected to have repeat performances. Sure, this could be problematic, knowing that ultimately, Kaepernick only needs to do a bit more than a third of what he did last week. However, look back at the raw numbers. Since Kaepernick jumped into the starting lineup, he has tallied 10, 27, 84, 53, 28, 31, 5, and 181 yards in his eight games. Even by averages, that’s only 52.4 yards per game, and when you take out the last two games, both of which we consider to be outliers, that number is still only at 38.8 yards per game. Think about this another way. The over/under here is 62.5, and we’ll just say that it’s a 50/50 proposition and this ends up being the average that Kaepernick were to have over the course of a 16-game season. That would leave him at exactly 1,000 yards. Know how many quarterbacks have rushed for 1,000 yards in a single season? One. Michael Vick. Once. In all of these years of NFL history. Don’t get suckered into what you saw last week.Colin Kaepernick Under 62.5 Rushing Yards (+100)

Will Frank Gore Score a Touchdown?: The Atlanta defense only gets credit for its scoring average, but it did allow four second half touchdowns last week against the Seahawks. If the Niners get into the end zone even three times, Gore is almost sure to score at least one of them. He found the end zone in 10 of his 17 games this year, and we really like these percentages at this point. Though Gore didn’t score San Fran’s final short touchdown of the game against the Packers (Anthony Dixon did), we still think that there is a great chance that Gore will find his way into the Promised Land at some point during this game. Frank Gore To Score a Touchdown (+100)

Michael Crabtree Over/Under 85.5 Receiving Yards: Here’s the problem that Crabtree has in this game: He’s going to be the only receiver that has a chance, and he is going to be matched up with a great corner in DB Asante Samuel, who has the ability to shut down even the best of receivers in the biggest of games. The only thing factor that scares us here is that Kaepernick has really only had eyes for Crabtree over the course of the last several weeks. He has had five games with at least 93 yards and five games with at least seven receptions in his last six games, all of which were started by Kaepernick, and he hadn’t put up more than seven receptions in a single game with QB Alex Smith calling the shots. Still, we think that this is just too high of a number for Crabtree to reach more often than not with a great corner on his back. Michael Crabtree Under 85.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Vernon Davis Over/Under 40.5 Receiving Yards: This could be the best play on the board, and it could be the worst play on the board. If you believe in what you saw last week when TE Zach Miller absolutely lit up this secondary, this is a fantastic play to make. If you believe what you have seen over the course of the last several weeks when Davis was totally shut down and often held to just one reception (or no receptions), maybe this isn’t so smart. But here’s what we do know historically about Davis: He might have had a bad season, but he averaged 55.7 yards per game over his previous three seasons before this year. He’s still the second leading receiver on the team, and he still is a great option to use over the middle. It’s tough to throw against these Atlanta corners. It’s not always as tough to take advantage of the intermediate throws into the middle of the field. If Davis ever had a good game in him, this would be the game for that to happen. Vernon Davis Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Matt Ryan Over/Under 280.5 Passing Yards: Here’s where we’re using some common sense. Matty Ice just hasn’t been all that good in the playoffs in his career, and even last week against the Seahawks, he wasn’t all that special. He’s going against a secondary now that ranked fourth in the league, allowing just over 200 passing yards per game. Ryan threw for 250 yards last week against the Seahawks, most of which came in the first two and a half quarters. That was the only time in his career in which he threw for more than 200 yards in a postseason game. This probably is going to be another one of these struggles for Ryan from start to finish. Matt Ryan Under 280.5 Passing Yards (+100)

Roddy White Over/Under 79.5 Receiving Yards: Same sort of concept. If Matty Ice doesn’t thrown for 280, White probably isn’t getting to 80. White has been all over the place anyway. He had 76 yards last week against the Seahawks and just 42 the week before against Tampa Bay. He had seven games this year with at least 100 yards, but all but one of the rest of his games featured 76 yards or fewer. It’s possible that White ends up having a great day, but it just isn’t all that likely. Consider that two of his 100+ yard games came against the lousy Panthers, one came against the lousy Saints, one came against the lousy Cowboys, and one came against the lousy Lions. Against some of the better sets of corners in the league? 38 yards against the Eagles, 57 yards against the Bucs, 42 yards against the Bucs the second time, 76 yards against the Seahawks… It just doesn’t look all that good for White.

Julio Jones Over/Under 72.5 Receiving Yards: And here we are again. White has had six straight games with 74 yards or fewer, and he has had 71 or fewer in five of those six. A deep play threat, you know that Jones is going to be blanketed with two deep coverage for most of the game against the 49ers, and that’s not going to help out his cause either. The only way Ryan gets to 280 is by hitting Jones deep. If that doesn’t happen, the former member of the Alabama Crimson Tide isn’t getting to 73 either.

49ers vs. Falcons NFC Championship Game Picks, Predictions 1/20

January 13th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 49ers vs. Falcons NFC Championship Game Picks, Predictions 1/20
Exclusive Sportsbook Bonus Offer For Bankroll Sports Visitors Only
Get 10% Cash Back @ Sports Betting Online
SBO is Offering 10% Cash Back on ALL Wagers WIN OR LOSE
(Exclusive Bonus Offer – Use This Link or Above Link & Promo Code AF1040)

San Francisco 49ers v Atlanta FalconsThe 2013 NFL playoff picks are going to be difficult to make, and in this one, the San Francisco 49ers and the Atlanta Falcons are set to do battle with one another. Check out our 49ers vs. Falcons predictions and the NFC Championship Game keys to the game for San Francisco vs. Atlanta.

Click Here For The 2013 NFL Playoff Bracket, the 2013 NFL Playoffs Schedule, and all of our NFL Playoff Game Previews

#2 San Francisco 49ers @ #1 Atlanta Falcons
49ers vs. Falcons Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
49ers vs. Falcons Date/Time: Sunday, January 20th, 3:00 p.m. (ET)
49ers vs. Falcons On TV: FOX
Key #1: Vernon Davis has to be a factor for the Niners
We know that the 49ers have been a remarkable team all year long, and they put up an outstanding effort against the Green Bay Packers last week. However, if there has been a knock on QB Colin Kaepernick, it is that he just hasn’t really figured out how to get a great rapport consistently with any of his receivers. Last week, the Falcons were just destroyed by TE Zach Miller, who finished the day with eight receptions for 142 yards and a touchdown. Miller isn’t the only tight end this year to light up the Falcons. Five tight ends since November 29th have put up at least 50 receiving yards against this Atlanta defense. Davis was expected to have a heck of a season, but he only had 41 receptions for 548 yards with five TDs. He also had just one catch against the Packers, but it did go for 44 yards. That now gives Davis just seven receptions in his last seven games dating back to Week 12 against the New Orleans Saints. If Davis isn’t going to be able to figure out how to get the job done, Kaepernick might have a tough time trying to get together with his receivers. Only WR Michael Crabtree had more than two receptions against Green Bay, and with DB Asante Samuel matched up with Crabtree all day on Sunday, someone else will have to step it up. Davis is the perfect man to do just that.

49ers @ Falcons Odds at Diamond Sportsbook
San Francisco 49ers -3.5
Atlanta Falcons +3.5
Over/Under 47
Click Here to Bet Your 49ers vs. Falcons Picks!

 

Key #2: The Falcons have to get some pressure on Colin Kaepernick
DE John Abraham spent most of the game on the sidelines with an ankle injury in the Divisional playoff game, and as a result, QB Russell Wilson was able to run all over the field. Wilson finished with 385 passing yards and 60 rushing yards, and a lot of what he created over the course of the game came on the move. QB Colin Kaepernick has proven that he has ice water in his veins, and he isn’t going to be worried about playing on the road in this situation. He beat the New England Patriots and New Orleans Saints on the road in the regular season, and in his first playoff start, he rebounded from throwing a pick six on the first drive of the game by rushing for 181 yards and two TDs and throwing for 263 yards and two TDs. Atlanta did get two sacks on Wilson, but that just wasn’t good enough, especially in the second half. With Abraham certainly in doubt for this coming week’s game, someone else is going to need to get into the backfield and force Kaepernick to throw the ball, because if he gets on the run like Wilson successfully did time and time again on Sunday, it is going to be a long day for this defense.

Sunday’s Premium Service Releases From The Bankroll Sports Experts
Today’s Premium Card From Our Expert Handicapping Team Features a Massive
10* Game of the Year Release in the AFC Championhip Game
w/ One Week Guarantee (Guaranteed Winner or 7 Days of Service Free)
The Massive Sunday Card Also Includes a 5* NFC Championship Release
Along With a Big 5* NBA Release & a 4* NCAA Basketball Steam Move!
**Get The Entire Card Now – Only $19.95**
(Includes Instant Access to January 20th’s Entire Premium Member Card)
Purchase Via Credit Card Purchase By Paypal
Sports Picks by Credit CardSports Picks by Paypal

Key #3: Atlanta absolutely has to run the football
Sure, you can pick on what the Falcons had done in the past in the playoffs and you can say that QB Matt Ryan and Head Coach Mike Smith had never won a playoff game since coming to Atlanta. However, the real NFL expert handicappers that disliked the Falcons did so because they didn’t run the ball well all season long, and they really didn’t play great defense. In the first half against the Seahawks, they did both of those items. They held twice on defense in the red zone, and they rushed the ball for 133 yards. In the second half, they allowed three touchdowns on the first three drives of the half on defense, and they only rushed for 34 yards. Needless to say, with as close as the Seahawks came to winning on Sunday, the Falcons are lucky to be here. If they don’t find a way to run the ball against a San Francisco defense that allowed just 94.2 yards per game this year on the ground, this game won’t be even close, as Matty Ice proved last week that he probably isn’t winning the NFC by himself without the help of RB Jacquizz Rodgers and RB Michael Turner.

NFL Prop Picks: Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons Tips 1/13/13

January 8th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons Tips 1/13/13
Be The First To Get Live NFL Odds At Diamond Sportsbook!
Click Here For An Exclusive 150% Bonus @ BetDSI
(For Our Visitors Only: Must Use This Link)

Seahawks vs. FalconsThe Atlanta Falcons and Seattle Seahawks are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the Divisional betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Russell Wilson Over/Under 16.5 Completions: When you really think about what Wilson has had to do over the course of the last few weeks, there hasn’t been a whole heck of a lot. The defense has done a ton, the offense has relied upon RB Marshawn Lynch, and in the end, that has been enough to get the job done in comfortable fashion. Still, Wilson knows that he is going to have to make some plays as the postseason wears on, and this is going to be a much tougher task than advertised. That being said, he is going to have no choice but to throw it, and if he knows what’s good for him, he won’t be taking nothing but those long shots right down the field. That means some shorter completions, and that should mean that he is going to average more than four completions per quarter. Especially if the Seahawks have to play this game from behind late, as the oddsmakers are insinuating, this could ultimately be a slam dunk of a play. Russell Wilson Over 16.5 Completions (-115)

Marshawn Lynch Over/Under 101.5 Rushing Yards: Same concept. Sure, Lynch has five straight games with at least 100 yards (one of which didn’t get beyond 101.5 rushing yards, just for the record), and sure, he is going against a defense that routinely allows a ton of rushing yards per game. But these are the playoffs, and the Falcons have been preparing to stop the run now for two full weeks, knowing that they were going to have to go against either Adrian Peterson, Alfred Morris, or Lynch in their first playoff game. Don’t be shocked if Atlanta puts eight in the box, or maybe even more, just to stop Lynch, and that would force Wilson to put the ball in the air. If the Falcons succeed, the Seahawks could end up getting blown out. If they fail, odds have it, it’s Wilson that’s beating them. We’ll take our chances that the Falcons do everything that they can to stuff up the run. Marshawn Lynch Under 101.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Will Richard Sherman Intercept a Pass?: We hate playing props like this one, but the odds are definitely on our side for Sherman to pick off a pass in this game. He did so in seven games this year (eight total INTs), and he is going to be matched up with a receiver that is going to get at least 8-10 targets when push comes to shove, regardless as to whether he is dealing with WR Julio Jones or WR Roddy White. Sherman picked off a pass in three of his final four regular season games, and now, he gets to go against a quarterback in QB Matt Ryan who has thrown five interceptions in his three career postseason games. It’s just too nice of a price to pass on for what might be a 50/50 proposition. Richard Sherman To Intercept a Pass (+220)

Tony Gonzalez Over/Under 5.5 Receptions: Gonzalez caught 93 passes this year, averaging 5.8 per game, and this is a nice matchup for him. The Seahawks have been weak in the slot this year, as they have kept Sherman and DB Brandon Browner matched up on the outside with wide receivers for the mass majority of the season without shifting them into the slot. We have to figure that those two are going to stay blanketed on WR Julio Jones and WR Roddy White for the whole game, and that’s going to leave a safety or a linebacker to cover Gonzalez. Gonzo knows what he is doing here in the second season, and he has still got the abilities to be one of the best tight ends that football has to offer. We wouldn’t be shocked to see him log six receptions by halftime in this one, as he is going to often times act as the security blanket when White and Jones aren’t open. Tony Gonzalez Over 5.5 Receptions (-115)

Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons NFL Playoff Predictions 1/13/13

January 6th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons NFL Playoff Predictions 1/13/13
Exclusive 100% Sign-Up Bonus Offer For Bankroll Sports Visitors Only
Click Here to get a Massive 100% Bonus from SportBet
(Exclusive Offer – Must Use This Link & Promocode “bankroll“)
SportBet

Matt RyanOur 2013 NFL playoffs predictions continue on Sunday, January 13th with the Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons. We are set to make our Seahawks vs. Falcons predictions, tips, and keys to the game for this crucial duel in the first round of the playoffs.

Click Here For The 2013 NFL Playoff Bracket, the 2013 NFL Playoffs Schedule, and all of our NFL Playoff Game Previews

#5 Seattle Seahawks @ #1 Atlanta Falcons
Seahawks vs. Falcons Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
Seahawks vs. Falcons Date/Time: Sunday, January 13th, 1:00 p.m. (ET)
Seahawks vs. Falcons On TV: FOX

Key #1: The Seahawks have to keep up this mojo against playoff teams
You really don’t think of the Seahawks as an outfit that ultimately did tremendously well against playoff teams this year, but when you go back and look at it, this is a team that did a heck of a lot better than you would think against the best teams in the league. Granted, we know that the win over the Green Bay Packers should have never happened, but the club ultimately went 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS, including last week’s 24-14 win over the Washington Redskins to conclude Wild Card weekend. There’s more than that, too. Seattle also beat the Chicago Bears on the road and the Dallas Cowboys at home this year, and those were both wins that, had they not been had, would have cost the team a spot in the second season. This Seattle outfit also ultimately didn’t lose a game this year by more than seven points on the campaign. This team is a heck of a lot better than your average 11-5 team, and it has the longest winning streak of any team in the NFC right now at six games.

Seahawks @ Falcons Odds at WagerWeb Sportsbook
Seattle Seahawks +2.5
Atlanta Falcons -2.5
Over/Under 46
Click Here to Bet Your Seahawks vs. Falcons Picks!

Key #2: The Falcons have to get back to the fundamentals of football
Teams that win championships run the ball and play good defense at this level. Even when the New Orleans Saints won the Super Bowl a few years ago, they managed to find their way to make some big time defensive plays en route to the title. The Falcons do neither of these things well. They didn’t have anywhere near a 1,000-yard rusher this year, and they ultimately ranked 29th in the NFL in rushing at just 87.3 yards per game, and they allowed 365.6 yards per game. They did the job by allowing just 18.7 points per game, but anyone that has watched this team this year knows that this is a team that is just waiting to implode and allow 40 points in a game if it isn’t careful. But back to the ground game for a second. RB Michael Turner only rushed for 803 yards and 10 TDs this year, and he averaged just 3.6 yards per carry. We understand that Turner is coming up towards the end of his career and he is more of a plodding back right now, but the fact that RB Jacquizz Rodgers averaged just 3.9 yards per carry as a spunky, change of pace back doesn’t speak well for this offensive line. If all of this doesn’t improve, it will be a year of disappointment for the Falcons.

WagerWeb

Key #3: The Georgia Dome can’t turn on Matty Ice
It’s easy to see why the fans of the Falcons are frustrated at this point. They have never won a championship, and they haven’t won a playoff game under the direction of Head Coach Mike Smith and QB Matt Ryan. Don’t get us wrong, as Atlanta is lucky to have Ryan under center as opposed to QB Chris Redman and whatever other garbage the team had before. However, at 0-3 SU and ATS in three playoff games, it is easy to dismiss Ryan as a quarterback that just can’t play in the big time game in his career. He has never thrown for even 200 yards in a playoff game in three tries, and he has just 584 yards with three TDs and four picks in those games. Last year against the New York Giants, he didn’t even get a single point on the board offensively in a game that was ultimately lost 24-2. That just doesn’t cut it, and it won’t get the job done in the playoffs against any team, especially one that is as hot as the Seahawks ultimately are.

Premium Service Releases From The Bankroll Sports Handicappers
Come Back Sunday For Seahawks vs. Falcons Expert Picks & Our 10* NFL Playoffs Picks!
**Sign-Up Now – Only $19.95**
(Includes Instant Access to January 13th’s Entire Member Card)
Purchase Via Credit Card Purchase By Paypal
Sports Picks by Credit CardSports Picks by Paypal

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Saints vs. Falcons Props & Predictions 11/29

November 21st, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Saints vs. Falcons Props & Predictions 11/29
Bet On The NFL at JustBet & Get Exclusive 100% Sportsbook Bonus
Click Here For An Exclusive 100% Cash Bonus @ JustBet
(For Our Visitors Only: Must Use This Link)
Full Saints vs. Falcons NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Atlanta Falcons MascotThe Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 13 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Will the First Score of the Game Be a Touchdown?: One blush would suggest that the sharp play is to bet on the first score of this game to be a touchdown and not a field goal, almost regardless of the price. That’s exactly what the oddsmakers are hoping that you do. They want you to look and see that the Saints have scored 39 TDs against just nine field goals this year and immediately figure touchdown. What you should be seeing though, are the 31 Atlanta TDs this year against 26 field goals for K Matt Bryant. What you should be seeing are the 21 field goal attempts that Bryant has had in his last six games against the 14 TDs that have been scored in that same stretch. The Atlanta defense allowed three field goals last week and four the week before, and it is starting to really seem like that the first score of this game at least has a fighting chance of being a field goal (or a safety) instead of a touchdown. First Score of the Game Not A Touchdown (+170)

Drew Brees Pass Completions Over/Under 26.5: Brees has completed at least 448 passes in each of his last two years, numbers which are out of this world. That’s an average of 28.6 completions per game. This year, that number has cut back quite a bit to just 25.1 completions per game. Brees also hasn’t completed more than 26 passes in a game in four straight weeks, and that includes a game against these Falcons. The running game is getting more and more involved as the weeks go by, and there is no reason not to think, especially for as bad as the New Orleans defense has been, that Interim Head Coach Joe Vitt won’t want to see more of that in this week’s game plan as well. Sure, if the Saints are playing catch-up, they’re going to be relying on Brees throwing the ball all over the place. However, he was playing catch-up all week last week and only went 26-of-41 in spite of the fact that the Saints dominated the possession. This just isn’t a slam dunk to see Brees get to 27 completions. Drew Brees Under 26.5 Pass Completions (-105)

Marques Colston Receptions Over/Under 5: Colston is one of the top receivers on this New Orleans outfit, but the likelihood that he beats us on this prop just isn’t there. Over the course of the last few weeks, it has been WR Lance Moore and WR Joe Morgan that have been getting more looks, taking away from the likelihood that Colston gets his targets. Sure, the Hofstra grad has had five, six, six, and four targets over the course of the last four weeks, but he isn’t catching everything coming his way. We could very much so see this prop ending on a push at five catches, but to see that sixth catch really doesn’t seem all that likely, especially after Colston had just three catches for 26 yards and a TD in the first meeting of these two teams this year. Marques Colston Under 5 Receptions (-130)

Jimmy Graham Receptions Over/Under 5.5: Now here’s a prop that we prefer. Graham really has been relatively quiet these last two weeks, but he stormed to seven catches, 144 yards, and two TDs when he played against these Falcons three weeks ago. There is no doubt that with TE Rob Gronkowski on the sidelines, that Graham is the most productive tight end in football, and we expect to see another great game out of the Miami product once again in this one. Brees has sort of gotten away from his big target in the middle of the field these last couple of weeks, and it has led to lesser numbers for them both. We expect to see a tremendously different story this time around when these two get on the field now against the Falcons. Jimmy Graham Over 5.5 Receptions (-115)

Matt Ryan Passing Yards Over/Under 313.5: It’s really hard to feel like Matty Ice is going to stay beneath this number, especially knowing that the emphasis has really been there on the passing game as opposed to the rushing game over the course of the last four weeks. In all four games, Ryan has eclipsed this number, and that includes when he went for over 400 yards against the Saints a few weeks back. However, Atlanta has been playing either from behind or in tight games or from way behind in those, and though we aren’t handicapping the game by any stretch of the imagination, we are still figuring that this one isn’t going to be a game in which the Falcons are going to have to fight back from down 20 to try to come back and win. It’s a tough number to try to reach for any quarterback more often than not, and we think that Ryan is going to fall short of the 300-yard threshold in this game. Matt Ryan Under 313.5 Passing Yards (-105)

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 11/29/12):
(Get a HUGE 100% Bonus at JustBet.cx When Using This Link)

Check Back Later For Full List Of New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Props

NFL Prop Picks: Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons Predictions 9/17

September 17th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons Predictions 9/17
Bet On The NFL at 5Dimes & Get Exclusive 50% Sportsbook Bonus
Click Here For An Exclusive 50% Cash Bonus @ 5Dimes
(Join For -107 Vig! For Our Visitors Only: Must Use This Link)
Full Broncos @ Falcons NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Peyton Manning BroncosThe Atlanta Falcons and Denver Broncos are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 2 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Tony Gonzalez Over/Under 4.5 Receptions: The truth of the matter is that the Broncos have a heck of a defense that is built from the outside, in. The corners are great. The outside linebackers are great. The rest of the defense… not so much, especially with LB DJ Williams still suspended (more on that in a second). That means that QB Matt Ryan might have a difficult time working the ball to either WR Julio Jones or WR Roddy White, depending upon which one ends up drawing DB Champ Bailey and which might get the free run against a third defensive back in the slot. That means that Gonzalez might have some free runs as well, as he is going to be the man in the middle of the offense that could be the beneficiary. Gonzo doesn’t have the wheels that he once did, but he is still a reliable target that is going to be good for 80-90 receptions this year, and this will be a game in which he sees the ball quite a bit. Tony Gonzalez Over 4.5 Receptions (-145)

Our expert handicappers have a massive 10* Inside Info Release release along with a 5* Total Move going (@ 8:30pm ET) in the Broncos @ Falcons matchup for Mon., Sept. 17, 2012. Don’t miss it!

**Purchase Today’s Premium Service Releases**
(w/ 10* Inside Info. Release in Denver @ Atlanta)
**Purchase Now – Only $19.95**
PaypalCredit Card
Picks - PaypalPicks - Credit Card

Will Michael Turner Score a Touchdown?: We would really like the chance to back Turner to get beyond 62.5 rushing yards, as we know that he is going to do that more often than not. Still, RB Jacquizz Rodgers is going to be a part of the ground attack this year, as the team tries to save some of the tread that might be left on Turner’s tires. Still, “The Burner” is the goal line back, and there should still be plenty of chances to score in this game. Not every touchdown can be pilfered by Matty Ice and the passing attack, and that means that Turner should be in the end zone more often than not. We expect to see him dancing in the end zone with a short score relatively early on, and he might be in for multiple end zone celebrations. Michael Turner Scores a Touchdown (+100)

Peyton Manning Over/Under 1.5 TD Passes: Seems like a slam dunk, right? Maybe not so much. Manning knows that he has a defense unlike any defense that he has ever had before in his career, and he has a ground game that is largely unlike any ground game that he has had at any point in his career. We really like all of Manning’s ‘unders’ on Monday night, but we especially like this one. Denver won’t score more than four times tonight, and though four touchdowns likely means that Manning is going past his number, perhaps the team doesn’t score that often. RB Willis McGahee should be able to bull into the end zone for the first time this year, and that will really hurt the chances of Manning to throw for at least two scores. We’ll take our chances that he is held with just one TD pass on the evening at significantly plus odds. Peyton Manning Under 1.5 TD Passes (+160)

Over/Under 8.5 Punts: We’re going to back the ‘under’ in this game for punts, but it’s not necessarily because we think that there are going to be all these points on the board. Sure, there are going to be more points in this one than the average game, but in the end, the reason that we think that there will be fewer than nine punts is because of the time of possession that the Broncos are going to look to hold. If Manning has his way, he is going to possession the pigskin for 35 minutes or so of this game, and he is going to have a total of about nine drives to work with. If there are a total of 18 drives in this game, nine of them won’t end in punts. Total Punts Under 8.5 (-130)

Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Props @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 9/17/12):
(Get a HUGE 50% Bonus at 5Dimes.eu When Using This Link)

Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -135
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game +105

Broncos Score First +100
Falcons Score First -130

First Score a Touchdown -200
First Score Not a Touchdown +160

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 50.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 50.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -140
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards +110

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +125
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -155

Total Punts Over 8.5 +100
Total Punts Under 8.5 -130

Total Sacks Over 3.5 -115
Total Sacks Under 3.5 -115

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown +140
Not a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown -170

Peyton Manning Completions Over 25.5 -130
Peyton Manning Completions Under 25.5 +100

Peyton Manning Passing Yards Over 270.5 -125
Peyton Manning Passing Yards Under 270.5 -105

Peyton Manning Total Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -200
Peyton Manning Total Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +160

Peyton Manning Throws an Interception -155
Peyton Manning Doesn’t Throw an Interception +125

Willis McGahee Rushing Yards Over 64.5 -115
Willis McGahee Rushing Yards Under 64.5 -115

Willis McGahee Scores a Touchdown +140
Willis McGahee Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Demaryius Thomas Scores a Touchdown +110
Demaryius Thomas Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -140

Eric Decker Over 5 Receptions -110
Eric Decker Under 5 Receptions -120

Eric Decker Over 63.5 Receiving Yards -115
Eric Decker Under 63.5 Receiving Yards -115

Jacob Tamme Scores a Touchdown +140
Jacob Tamme Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Brandon Stokley Yards On First Reception Over 10.5 -115
Brandon Stokley Yards On First Reception Under 10.5 -115

Matt Ryan Completions Over 23.5 -105
Matt Ryan Completions Under 23.5 -115

Matt Ryan Passing Yards Over 293.5 -120
Matt Ryan Passing Yards Under 293.5 -110

Matt Ryan Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -225
Matt Ryan Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +175

Matt Ryan Throws an Interception -170
Matt Ryan Doesn’t Throw an Interception +135

Michael Turner Over 62.5 Rushing Yards +100
Michael Turner Under 62.5 Rushing Yards -130

Michael Turner Scores a Touchdown +100
Michael Turner Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -130

Julio Jones Over 85.5 Receiving Yards -115
Julio Jones Under 85.5 Receiving Yards -115

Julio Jones Scores a Touchdown -140
Julio Jones Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +110

Roddy White Over 5.5 Receptions -135
Roddy White Under 5.5 Receptions +105

Roddy White Over 83.5 Receiving Yards -115
Roddy White Under 83.5 Receiving Yards -115

Tony Gonzalez Over 4.5 Receptions -145
Tony Gonzalez Under 4.5 Receptions +115

Tony Gonzalez Scores a Touchdown +110
Tony Gonzalez Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -140

Keys to the Game – Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants 1/8/12

January 8th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Keys to the Game – Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants 1/8/12
Bet The NFL Playoffs Lines at JustBet & Get An Exclusive 100% Signup Bonus
Exclusive 100% Signup Bonus (Up to $1,000) From JustBet!
New JustBet Customers: Use This Link & Promocode: “bankrollsports”
(Must Use Above Links – $1,000 Max – 100% Added Bonus For Deposits Over $1K)

Of all of the games on the NFL TV schedule in Wild Card weekend, the one between the New York Giants and Atlanta Falcons might be the toughest to handicap. We present our New York vs. Atlanta keys to the game so you can make your NFL picks for the first game on Sunday’s NFL schedule.

NFL Playoffs Matchup: Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Giants
Falcons vs. Giants Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Falcons vs. Giants Date/Time: Sunday, January 8th, 1:00 p.m.
Falcons vs. Giants Television Coverage: FOX

Click Here For The Rest Of The 2012 NFL Playoff Bracket And Other NFL Playoff Previews

Key #1: The Falcons have to hit the deep ball
Way back in the Spring when the Falcons traded just a slew of draft picks for the ability to draft WR Julio Jones early in the first round, many thought that they were crazy. Atlanta thought that it was just one piece to the puzzle away from winning the Super Bowl. We don’t really think that it has the ability to do that with a defense that is suspect this year, but it does clearly make a big difference. Jones has had at least one catch of at least 40 yards in six of his last eight games, and many of those catches went the distance for a touchdown. Jones has six TDs in his last four games, and many of those were of the very long variety. New York has a secondary that is still suspect and has been all season long, and it has been prone to the deep ball. For Atlanta to win this game, it is going to have to stretch the field with Jones to open up the rest of the offense for RB Michael Turner, TE Tony Gonzalez, and WR Roddy White.

Falcons @ Giants Odds at Wager Web Sportsbook
Atlanta Falcons +3
New York Giants -3
Over/Under 47.5
Click Here to Bet Your NFL playoffs Picks!

Key #2: The Giants absolutely have to find a ground game
Why? Because we know that RB Michael Turner is going to get his yards. He touched the ball over 300 times this season, and he had 1,500 yards of total offense, so we know that Turner will do his damage. There is a real question as to whether RBs Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw are going to be able to get the job done or not. These two used to be a part of a tremendous backfield, and both have the capability to be 1,000 yard rushers. Neither had a great year, and it almost seems as though age parlayed with the weird offseason may have cost them both in conditioning. Neither averaged even four yards per carry this year, and the end result saw New York ranked dead last in rushing the football. The pressure on the shoulders of QB Eli Manning is already immense as it is, but to have to win this game all by himself might be too tall of a task to ask for. But then again…

bovada

Key #3: One of these quarterbacks has to be a star
This type of game is pretty easy to see develop. One of these teams is going to have the ball at the end of this game, and one of the quarterbacks is going to have to get the job done. With apologies to QB Matt Ryan, he just might not be ready for this quite yet. He doesn’t have the background to be a “game winning drive” type of quarterback at this point in his career, and he is 0-2 in his two postseason appearances. Eli has won a Super Bowl, and won it with dramatics. He was the one that threw the ball that magically came down in WR Shane Tyree’s hands, and he was the one that threw the TD pass to WR Plaxico Burress that won the Super Bowl against the previously perfect New England Patriots in ’07. Even this year, Manning, for all of the grief that he has been given, led his team on a game winning drive at the Dallas Cowboys, a game tying drive against the Green Bay Packers, a game winning drive against the New England Patriots, a game winning field goal drive against the Buffalo Bills, and a two TD comeback against the Arizona Cardinals, all of which came in the last two minutes of a game. Eli can do it, and we know it, but the question might be asked of either he or Matty Ice once again to see whether they can put the team on their back and win a game.

Click Here to get the best football picks that you’ll find on the internet, including our NFL playoffs picks and the NFL picks for the rest of the playoff game odds.