Posts Tagged ‘fantasy football dark horses’

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 9 Fantasy Football Sleepers

November 5th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 9 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 9!

Michael Bush vs. Denver Broncos
It became awfully clear on Saturday morning that Bush was going to make for a great start this week against the Broncos. Denver has one of the most porous rush defenses in the league, especially on the road, and now, Bush is going to be the primary runner without RB Darren McFadden in the fold. Parlay all of that with the fact that QB Carson Palmer is still really trying to learn the ropes of his new offense. He has been in camp now just about two and a half weeks, and there is no way that Head Coach Hue Jackson is going to let Palmer do everything that a healthy QB Jason Campbell would have been given the rights to do. Bush will tote the rock at least 20, if not maybe even 30 times on Sunday, and we would be brutally disappointed if he didn’t end up with at least 120 rushing yards and two scores when the afternoon was said and done with.

Oakland Raiders D/ST vs. Denver Broncos
QB Tim Tebow is going to rack up some fantasy points once again versus the Raiders, but the fear that he is going to end up being taken out of the game at halftime is just too much for us to want to use him. That being said, the Raiders are a defense that you could pick up off of most waiver wires this week, and they’re a unit that we might be willing to start in front of just about any other defense in the league. Denver’s offensive line is in shambles, and Tebow holds the ball far too long to be successful in the pocket. He stares down receivers, often leading to bad decisions. Forget about scoring points. If you take out the final six minutes of games, Tebow has led the Broncos to one field goal and two field goal attempts in his time under center. Oakland should put together a huge fantasy day on Sunday, and that doesn’t even include the possibility of the hidden touchdown that WR Jacoby Ford seems to be due for on special teams.

Victor Cruz vs. New England Patriots
New England’s struggles against the pass continued to show last week when it allowed 365 passing yards to QB Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers. There are some real problems for the Giants this week, as WR Hakeem Nicks really doesn’t seem to be at 100% with a hamstring injury, if he even plays at all. That being said, Cruz has been the more consistent receiver between he and WR Mario Manningham this year, and he has found the end zone four times in his last five games. This is a boom or bust receiver, though. So far this season, Cruz has had three games with either no points or one point and three games with at least 15 points in standard leagues. Knowing how bad the Pats’ secondary is, this is probably one of the weeks where Cruz can boom.

David Nelson, Buffalo Bills
WR Steve Johnson is likely to be locked up on Revis Island for the entire day, which really does leave the possibility there for Nelson to just get a slew of targets. Even the speedy WR/RB CJ Spiller might not be all that bad of a start as long as you aren’t expecting too many touchdowns. Seeing Nelson get 12 targets wouldn’t be a humongous surprise this week, as he has great size and the ability to make plays when it counts. Nelson has had just a total of 11 receptions in his last four games, a far cry from the 20 that he had in his first three games, but we do have confidence that he can get back on track in this one against the Jets with Johnson being followed by DB Darrelle Revis everywhere that he goes.

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 8 Fantasy Football Sleepers

October 28th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 8 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 8!

Seattle Seahawks Defense/Special Teams vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Are we out of our minds playing with the Seahawks defense? This team has accounted for negative points twice already this year and just one point in most standard leagues once as well. That’s half of its games! However, we have a lot of reasons to hate the Bengals this week and love the Seahawks. This is going to be the first mega difficult road trip for QB Andy Dalton. No matter how bad Seattle is, Qwest Field is always a horror to try to play at. On top of that, RB Cedric Benson has been suspended for this game, and the weather is expected to be horrible. Last week, the Seahawks didn’t do all that much right against the Cleveland Browns, but if the clock just runs as quickly in this game as it did in that one, we should be getting a nice sum of points from this defense for a second straight week.

Mario Manningham vs. Miami Dolphins
Most of you that drafted Manningham did so way, way too early in your drafts. He was expected to be a bit of a sleeper this year, but so far, he really has done nothing to even warrant being on a fantasy team, let alone being a starter. He only has 18 catches for the season and hasn’t had more than 56 yards in a game, nor has he scored a touchdown yet. However, this is the perfect game for him to shine. Remember that Manningham has picked up more targets in these last two games (16 in total) than he had for the rest of the season combined. He’s going against a Miami defense which ranks No. 18 in the league against opposing wide receivers. You know that the Giants’ offense is going to be on the field quite a bit, as the offense for the Dolphins just can’t stay out of its own way. We think that this is the week for Manningham to be a big time boom.

Tim Tebow vs. Detroit Lions
Last week, we called for Tebow to have a great game against the Dolphins. In fact, he had a terrible game… and a fantastic three minutes in which he accounted for nearly 20 total fantasy points and 15 points in real life. The man is going to run the ball, he is going to throw the ball, and he is going to put points on the board in some respect against a Detroit team that, quite frankly, has been very questionable these past two weeks. You just know that somehow, Tebow is going to keep this game close no matter how ugly of a ball that he throws, and in the end, that will probably translate into at least 15-20 fantasy points, making the former Heisman Trophy winner a solid start.

Owen Daniels vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Let’s get this part straight. If you have Owen Daniels, you’re starting him each and every week, unless you’re one of these wackos that is carrying two tight ends on your team and the other one happens to be named Antonio Gates or Jason Witten. However, just as we said last week with Ed Dickson, playing against the Jags with your tight end is a gold mine. The team’s Cover 2 scheme is conducive for a ton of passes right over the middle, and all three of the Texans’ tight ends might end up being great plays, especially if WR Andre Johnson ends up not playing yet again with his hamstring injury.

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 7 Fantasy Football Sleepers

October 21st, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 7 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 7!

Dallas Cowboys Defense/Special Teams vs. St. Louis Rams
This is bad, bad news for the Rams. They have to go on the road, and they aren’t going to have a fully healthy QB Sam Bradford to show for it. Bradford has been walking around in a protective boot thanks to a high ankle sprain, and he hasn’t been practicing all that much. That being said, the team just traded for WR Brandon Lloyd, who will surely have some rust with his new team in spite of the fact that he played in the system for Offensive Coordinator Josh McDaniels with the Broncos last year. Parlay all of that together with the fact that Dallas blitzes like there’s no tomorrow, and the end result could be some huge fantasy points for this team defense. The Rams rank dead last in the league in fantasy offense this year, making the Cowboys an even better play than usual

Michael Bush vs. Kansas City Chiefs
We know that all eyes are going to be on RB Darren McFadden in this one, but there is a real chance that Bush could be the back to steal against the Chiefs. Kansas City ranks No. 27 in the league against fantasy rushers. With QB Carson Palmer expected to start, we know that the Raiders are going to run the ball, run the ball, and run the ball some more. Bush could find himself getting 15-20 touches in this game even if McFadden gets 20-25, but more importantly could be those goal line carries, which there might be plenty of. Look for Bush to score for the first time in three weeks and get 60 or 70 total yards as well.

Tim Tebow vs. Miami Dolphins
Let’s get this one thing straight… The Broncos aren’t winning all that many games this year if they keep Tebow under center. That being said, there’s just no way that we can avoid using him in this matchup. First off, the man is going to run like a chicken with his head cut off, and he is never going to stop. Getting 70 or 80 rushing yards isn’t out of the question, nor are two rushing touchdowns. Secondly, he’s going against a Miami defense which ranks second to last in the league against fantasy quarterbacks. And finally, it’s a day where he and his Florida Gators teammates from 2009 are going to be honored by the Dolphins. Good timing for that one, guys. Oops. It won’t quite be Denver, but it’ll feel like home for Tebow, and we think that three total touchdowns and over 250 total yards isn’t out of the question in his first game as a starter this year.

Ed Dickson vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Dickson might be a great starter on Monday Night Football this week. QB Joe Flacco is averaging looking Dickson’s way nearly nine times per game this year, and a lot of those looks are coming in the red zone. During this five game losing streak, the Jags have allowed an average of 5.6 receptions and 62.2 yards per game to opposing tight ends. Getting six points out of your tight end spot is usually a respectable number, but also remember that Jacksonville has allowed three TDs to starting tight ends in its last five games as well.

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 6 Fantasy Football Sleepers

October 13th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 6 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 6!

Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. New York Giants
Fitzpatrick wasn’t owned in most leagues at the start of the season, but he became a hot commodity to pick up after the first couple weeks of the season. He has had back to back games with fewer than 200 yards passing, and the emergence of RB Fred Jackson has really eaten into his touchdown production. That being said, we have to remember that last week’s matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles was a tough one for the Ivy Leaguer. He’s smart enough to know that these defensive backs are the real deal and using the ground game was the best course of moving the ball up and down the field. The Giants still don’t have a fantastic secondary, and we tend to think that Fitzpatrick is going to be in for a significantly better game. If you’re in a bye week quandary and Fitzpatrick is out there, pick him up and don’t be afraid to start him.

Sam Bradford vs. Green Bay Packers
In most standard ESPN fantasy football leagues, Bradford hasn’t even averaged 10 points per game. He only has three total touchdowns against seven turnovers. However, in this one, the former Oklahoma Sooner has a good matchup. We know that the Packers have a vaunted defense, and Bradford will surely be making his mistakes. He’ll pick up some big plays though, knowing that Green Bay just isn’t as good in the secondary as it has been in years past. Especially off of the bye week, we tend to think that Offensive Coordinator Josh McDaniels should have a great game plan for Bradford to succeed. A pair of touchdowns and 250 passing yards is the minimum that we’re expecting to see.

Harry Douglas vs. Carolina Panthers
Carolina’s defense is as shoddy as could be, and Douglas is definitely a guy that should not be ignored. Rookie WR Julio Jones is out of the lineup and WR Roddy White has been banged up as well. Douglas is almost certainly going to be the starter opposite of White, and QB Matt Ryan is probably going to form a relatively quick bond with him. The best news is that the Panthers have been stingy this year, and they aren’t going to give up in any game. That might keep the passing game going for Ryan and the crew, and if that’s the case, Douglas could really be the beneficiary.

Delone Carter vs. Cincinnati Bengals
We’ve given up in saying, “If the Colts can win this game…” because we know that they probably aren’t going to prove to be victorious. It doesn’t seem like RB Joseph Addai is going to be in the fold this week, and if that’s the case, Carter is going to be getting the call for the most part. The former Syracuse Orange tailback has proven that has the ability to get the job done when he is given the chance, and though the Bengals rank No. 11 in the league against the rush for fantasy football players, you can probably pick Carter up off of the scrap heap right now, and you might get a good game.

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 5 Fantasy Football Sleepers

October 7th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 5 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 5!

Kevin Walter and Jacoby Jones vs. Oakland Raiders
Someone has to be able to catch some passes from QB Matt Schaub this week, right? That being said, the Oakland secondary just doesn’t feel complete anymore without DB Nnamdi Asomugha. Sure, WR Andre Johnson isn’t in the lineup, and sure, FB James Casey and TE Owen Daniels have been stealing the show, but with a full week of preparation, we tend to think that both Walter and Jones might make for great fantasy plays at home against Oakland. Remember with Jones that you’re also getting a great return man, and you might find yourself a hidden touchdown or two.

New England Patriots D/ST vs. New York Jets
Most of you have probably cut the Pats’ defense by now after its terrible start to the season. By standard league rules, you haven’t even averaged two points per game if you have started New England. That being said, the Jets allowed the Baltimore Ravens to score three times on defense last week. Don’t think for one second that Head Coach Bill Belichick wasn’t looking at that tape and smiling. The teams that have been able to throw the ball on New England have played well on the offensive line. New York doesn’t have that luxury. C Nick Mangold might be back in the fold this week, but if he isn’t or if he isn’t totally effective, don’t be shocked if the Pats come away with four or five sacks and a few turnovers in addition to keeping the Jets to a relatively low score.

Malcom Floyd vs. Denver Broncos
Someone has to get all of the passing yards from QB Philip Rivers, right? The Broncos have a dreadful pass defense, as demonstrated last week when QB Aaron Rodgers accounted for six total touchdowns against them. And, to make matters even more sneaky for Floyd this week, he has been the top receiver that has been practicing. Both WR Vincent Jackson and TE Antonio Gates have been on the sidelines. Jackson will probably play, but the added time for Floyd is going to be fantastic for him come game time, especially if Jackson does end up hobbled at any point. We wouldn’t be surprised if this were a game that Floyd, Mike Tolbert, and potentially even Randy McMichael end up finding the end zone.

Scott Chandler vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Another tight end scored a touchdown on the Eagles last week, as TE Vernon Davis found his way to the end zone as a part of the big comeback by the San Francisco 49ers. Now, it could be Chandler’s turn to shine again. Chandler only has 11 receptions on the year, but four of those have gone for TDs. We’re not as afraid of WRs Steve Johnson and David Nelson this week, though both will get their yards. If RB Fred Jackson doesn’t have one of these three touchdown days, we wouldn’t be surprised to see Chandler get his name in the box score with a touchdown strike.

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 4 Fantasy Football Sleepers

September 28th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 4 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 4!

Nate Washington vs. Cleveland Browns
Washington is going to be a popular pickup this week with this being the first game that WR Kenny Britt being out of the lineup. We’re really not all that sure that QB Matt Hasselbeck has the ability to keep this up over the course of the rest of the season, but what we do know is that for the first three weeks, he has slung the ball all over the field. Washington hasn’t slacked this year, as he does have 21 catches and a TD on the season. Cleveland’s defense is probably better than those of the Jacksonville Jaguars and Denver Broncos, but we wouldn’t be surprised to see a dozen targets for Washington this week against the Browns on the road, especially if the Titans are trailing.

Houston Texans D/ST vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
One would think that the Texans would be a poor play this week, just as they were last week. They were worth negative points in most leagues, but we know that this could be a significantly different week against the Steelers. The Pittsburgh offense just hasn’t looked all that sharp this year, especially knowing that QB Ben Roethlisberger has only thrown one TD pass in each of his first three games. That being said, the way that you beat these Texans is by running the ball straight up the gut. Sure, Pittsburgh does that better than any team in the league, but when you’re behind, as it was against the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1, things become a heck of a lot harder. Roethlisberger and the Steelers turned it over seven times against Baltimore that week, and Big Ben felt a ton of pressure. The blitz packages for the Texans should produce a ton of sacks this week as well, and if that’s the case, we wouldn’t be surprised to see this unit put a huge number on the board for fantasy owners.

Andy Dalton and Andre Caldwell vs. Buffalo Bills
At some point, the Bills are going to lose a game, and though this doesn’t seem like the likeliest of options in the world, we know that it could be a good matchup for the hosts. Buffalo’s secondary has struggled at times this year, and though we don’t fault it for allowing so many yards and points to QB Tom Brady and company, watching QB Jason Campbell tear this secondary to shreds was a different story. Now, with WR Jerome Simpson likely not suiting in this one, Dalton is going to have to find another receiver to throw to. Caldwell had a dozen targets last week, and though he only had six catches, it was a clear sign that he is becoming one of the favored targets for the rookie to use. He could be a great red zone option as well, and at the rate that the Bills give up yards and points, that could, and should be good news for both of these Bengals.

Jacoby Jones vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
We’re heading back to that Houston/Pittsburgh game for our last fantasy sleeper of the week. The Texans are throwing the ball and throwing it a lot this week. That’s a given. After all, it takes a special, special back to run on the Steelers, and we don’t think that either RB Ben Tate or a banged up RB Arian Foster is going to be able to get the job done. Starting WR Andre Johnson is a duh statement, though the Pittsburgh secondary with DB Ike Taylor has done a respectable job against top receivers this year. It’s those second receivers that have us terrified against an otherwise weak Steelers secondary. Last week, both Pierre Garcon and Austin Collie had better weeks than Reggie Wayne. That being said, with Jones, not only are you getting another receiving option in a high powered offense, but you’re also getting a punt returner. There might be a hidden TD in there as well that you don’t normally see on the stat sheet if you get lucky.

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 3 Fantasy Football Sleepers

September 22nd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 3 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 3!

Dexter McCluster vs. San Diego Chargers
This is a very, very popular sleeper fantasy football pick this week, especially if you’re in a PPR league. With RB Jamaal Charles out of the fold, McCluster is likely going to end up getting probably 40 percent of the carries or so, splitting the time with RB Thomas Jones. Jones has stone hands out of the backfield though, so in passing downs, you can bet that McCluster will be out there. Touchdowns are going to be scarce, save for the potential of the big play for the former Ole Miss Rebel, but McCluster is probably good for 6-8 carries, 5-6 receptions, and 70-80 yards against the Chargers, numbers that, in a PPR league, are fantastic, especially knowing that you can play him at either RB or WR in most leagues.

Mike Kafka vs. New York Giants
Obviously, check your injury report before making this start to see if QB Michael Vick is going to play or not. However, it’s hard for players that suffered concussions to come back the very next week and play, and that being said, we have to imagine that Vick is closer to being “out” than he is “probable.” Kafka is the third string quarterback, but he is the perfect signal caller for Head Coach Andy Reid. He makes smart decisions, doesn’t put himself in trouble, and he’s not afraid to check down. Those of you that have RB LeSean McCoy, especially in a PPR league, could be in a for an absolutely humongous day. However, we love all of the Eagles in this matchup, knowing that Kafka is probably going to have to throw the ball 45 times to get 300+ yards. Don’t be shocked, even if Vick doesn’t play, if Philly finds a way to still put 30+ on the board with Kafka at the helm.

David Nelson vs. New England Patriots
After getting 13 targets last week, there is no doubt that Nelson has become a via option for fantasy football sleeper picks for the foreseeable future. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is going to have to chuck the ball all over the field, and we think that he could be in for another solid 20+ point fantasy day in standard leagues. The Pats have the 30th ranked fantasy defense against the pass, something that really has to make eyes get pretty wide open with Buffalo on the other side of the field. There’s a chance that WR Steve Johnson, the more popular of the two Buffalo wide outs will be on the bench with a groin injury, which would only further open up the offense for Nelson to get a slew of looks from Fitzpatrick. Ten grabs for 120 yards and a TD isn’t out of the question.

Jake Ballard vs. Philadelphia Eagles
All together now: Who??? Ballard is the tight end for the Giants, and he has only had three catches in his first two games. However, we became very aware last week that the Eagles could struggle against opposing tight ends, especially in the red zone. QB Eli Manning is probably going to have a number of chances in Eagles’ territory in this one, and especially if both WR Mario Manningham and WR Domenik Hixon are out of the fold, these vaunted Philly corners are going to be taking WR Hakeem Nicks out of the game. That being said, the front seven for the Eagles isn’t that swift, and keeping up with Ballard might be tough even though he isn’t exactly fleet of foot. Don’t be shocked if Ballard finds the end zone on Sunday and proves to be worth a lot more than most of your stalwart tight ends in this league, and he makes a great plug in, just in case you had TE Aaron Hernandez as your option.