Posts Tagged ‘Football Picks’

2023-2024 Superbowl Odds – Free Super Bowl Picks

November 17th, 2023 by Lou Palumbo (Head Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2023-2024 Superbowl Odds – Free Super Bowl Picks
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 The Latest 2020-24 Super Bowl Odds for Are Posted Below
Our Superbowl Picks & Odds Last Updated: 11/20/2023

Important Note: If you do not wish2024 Superbowl Odds to read our briefing or our current value Superbowl picks write-up, you can skip this and go right to the list of odds to win the Superbowl & additional futures odds by scrolling to the bottom of the post.  

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We are now 11 weeks into the NFL season with Thursday night’s week 11 game in the books.  With the Bengals losing Joe Burrow for the season & other key injuries around the league, we thought this would be a good time to update our latest 2023-2024 Superbowl odds & offer some value picks to win Superbowl 58.  We have two midseason superbowl value picks listed below from the 2023 Super Bowl Odds.

Our pre-season value plays of Miami & Detroit turned out to be of good value based on their latest odds.  Our third preseason superbowl play of Cincinnati was holding value until the injury of quarterback, Joe Burrow.

The oddsmakers all but have eliminated the Cincinnati Bengals (19-1 odds @ JustBet) from being a likely contender, with their odds dropping to as low as 20-1, which is right around the same odds they are giving the Jacksonville Jaguars 20-1 (20-1 odds @ Bovada) after their week 10 blowout loss to the current superbowl favorite from the NFC, the San Francisco 49ers (5-1 odds @ Bovada).

Removing midsize long shots, the oddsmakers essentially have deemed the AFC a three way race between the Baltimore Ravens, Miami Dolphins, & Kansas City Chiefs.  They have the NFC as a four way race between the Detroit Lions, San Francisco 49ers, Philadelphia Eagles, & Dallas Cowboys.

Winning record teams in the AFC that the oddsmakers have almost dismissed include the Jacksonville Jaguars (20-1), Houston Texans (67-1), Pittsburgh Steelers (60-1), & Cleveland Browns (53-1)

Winning record teams in the NFC that the oddsmakers have almost dismissed include the Minnesota Vikings (70-1) & Seattle Seahawks (45-1)

Value Picks to win Super Bowl 58 (Week 10-11)
Note: These 2024 Superbowl Picks Were Added on 11/17/23

Houston Texans (Best Odds: +6700 @ JustBet)
The Texans are almost guaranteed to be a playoff team, and right now, they look better than the division leading Jacksonville Jaguars who only lead the AFC south by one game.  With Rookie quarterback, C.J. Stroud playing as well as any QB in the league, the Texans have shown the ability to score points against the best defenses in the AFC.  This is obviously a long shot play in the hopes they can make a run to the AFC Championship game and provide a good hedging opportunity.

Buffalo Bills (Best Odds: +3000 @ Bovada)
With everyone down on the Bills after losing a close one at home to the Broncos on Monday night, we think 30 to 1 is a bit of an overshoot to the negative.  The Bills just fired offensive coordinator, Ken Dorsey.  If new OC, Joe Brady can get the uber-talented Josh Allen back to playing like old previous self in weeks 11 & 12, then 30 to 1 will look like a steal come Tuesday morning in two weeks.  

2023 Value Superbowl Picks (Preseason)
Note: These 2024 Superbowl Picks Were Added on 8/21/23

Cincinnati Bengals (Best Odds: +950 @ My Bookie)
The fact that some books have the Bengals with deeper odds than the Bills is wild. Burrow is a healthy, playoff experienced, franchise QB, who now has even more chemistry with his team & coaching staff.  The Bengals now have more depth on offense at WR & they have added a top-tier tackle to a line that was hampered by injuries last year.  I’ll take Burrow at 10 to 1 all day long.

Miami Dolphins (Best Odds: +2100 @ GT Bets)
Jalen Ramsey’s knee injury will keep him out most of the season, which should give Cam Smith a bigger role than he had anticipated in his rookie season. The Dolphins have a newly hired defensive coordinator, Vic Fangio, who should get the most out of this talented defense with a strong pass rush. The offense looked strong last year prior to Tua’s injuries. They have two of the smarter coaching minds in the game on each side of the ball. The Dolphins are highly likely to be a playoff team. Combine that with the return of Jalen Ramsey, and it might spark a playoff run in the AFC.

Detroit Lions (Best Odds: +2500 @ GT Bets)
While most will tell you to always avoid betting the Lions, Detroit may have been the most improved team in the NFL last season.  They strung together 9 wins in 2022, and they no longer have to deal with Aaron Rodgers twice a year in a weakened NFC North.  The Lions managed to knock the Packers out of playoff contention with a massive week 18 upset in Green Bay.  The Lions finished the 2022 season winning 8 of their last 10.  They also added premier, first round draft pick talents at running back & linebacker.  They had six picks in the first three rounds of the 2023 draft. If 50% of them turn out to be hits (likely probability), that means they will have 3 impact rookies.

2023 Odds To Win The Super Bowl @ My Bookie (11/20/2023):
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Kansas City Chiefs +400
San Francisco 49ers +420
Philadelphia Eagles +470
Baltimore Ravens +800
Miami Dolphins +860
Dallas Cowboys +950
Detroit Lions +1075
Jacksonville Jaguars +1750
Buffalo Bills +2100
Cleveland Browns +3400
Seattle Seahawks +4300
Houston Texans +4700
New Orleans Saints +6000
Pittsburgh Steelers +6600
Minnesota Vikings +7500
Los Angeles Chargers +8000
Denver Broncos +11000
Cincinnati Bengals +13000
Atlanta Falcons +14000
Indianapolis Colts +14000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +15000
Los Angeles Rams +17000
Green Bay Packers +17000
New York Jets +17000
Las Vegas Raiders +26000
Tennessee Titans +34000
Washington Commanders +46000
Chicago Bears +65000
Arizona Cardinals +80000
New England Patriots +90000
New York Giants +95000
Carolina Panthers +95000

Superbowl Futures Odds at Bovada Sportsbook (as of 11/17/23)
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Kansas City Chiefs +500
San Francisco 49ers +500
Philadelphia Eagles +550
Baltimore Ravens +900
Dallas Cowboys +1000
Detroit Lions +1000
Miami Dolphins +1100
Cincinnati Bengals +2000
Jacksonville Jaguars +2000
Buffalo Bills +3000
Seattle Seahawks +3500
Cleveland Browns +5000
Los Angeles Chargers +5000
Minnesota Vikings +5500
Houston Texans +6000
Pittsburgh Steelers +6000
New York Jets +10000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +12500
Atlanta Falcons +15000
Denver Broncos +15000
Las Vegas Raiders +15000
Green Bay Packers +17500
Los Angeles Rams +20000
Indianapolis Colts +25000
Washington Commanders +25000
Tennessee Titans +30000
Chicago Bears +75000
Arizona Cardinals +100000
New England Patriots +100000
Carolina Panthers +150000
New York Giants +150000

2023 Super Bowl Odds From @ JustBet (as of 11/17/2023):
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Arizona Cardinals +125000
Atlanta Falcons +21500
Baltimore Ravens +770
Buffalo Bills +2450
Carolina Panthers +200000
Chicago Bears +85000
Cincinnati Bengals +1900
Cleveland Browns +5300
Dallas Cowboys +1125
Denver Broncos +14000
Detroit Lions +1165
Green Bay Packers +27500
Houston Texans +6700
Indianapolis Colts +26000
Jacksonville Jaguars +1875
Kansas City Chiefs +485
Las Vegas Raiders +23500
Los Angeles Chargers +5700
Los Angeles Rams +26707
Miami Dolphins +980
Minnesota Vikings +7000
New England Patriots +125000
New Orleans Saints +7000
New York Giants +200000
New York Jets +15000
Philadelphia Eagles +495
Pittsburgh Steelers +5500
San Francisco 49ers +450
Seattle Seahawks +4500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +17500
Tennessee Titans +40000
Washington Commanders +36500

2020 Super Bowl Odds – Free Superbowl Picks

October 16th, 2019 by Lou Palumbo (Head Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2020 Super Bowl Odds – Free Superbowl Picks
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 Latest 2019-20 Super Bowl Odds Are Posted Below
Our Superbowl Value Picks Last Updated: 10/16/2019
Superbowl Odds List Below Last Updated: 10/15/2019

Important Note: If you do not wish2020 Superbowl Logo to read our briefing or our current value Superbowl picks write-up, you can skip this and go right to the list of odds to win the Superbowl & additional futures odds by scrolling to the bottom of the post.  

Bookmarking Note: Be sure to share & Bookmark This Superbowl Odds Page using the social bookmarking links below.  The odds list below will be updated often and on a weekly basis during the season.

With six weeks (roughly 35%) of the 2019-20 NFL season complete, we thought this would be a perfect time to update you with the current odds to win the 2020 Superbowl; and also provide you with some value superbowl picks to consider betting.  Check back in a few weeks as we update this page with some additional plays as the season progresses.  We will also update the list of odds to win the 2020 Superbowl every week.

2019-20 Superbowl Value Picks (Week 7):
Note: These Superbowl Picks Were Added on 10/16/19

Houston Texans (Best Odds: 25 to 1 @ 5 Dimes) – Houston was very impressive in their week 6 comeback win at Kansas City.  Lets face it: The AFC is not looking that strong.  The Texans know their offensive line is an issue and they are addressing it.  They added free agent tackle Chris Clark (who is familiar with Houston) to assist the O-Line going forward.  Sure, the Colts are 3-2 and what Frank Reich is doing in Indianapolis is nothing short of remarkable.  However, does anyone really expect Jacoby Brissett to beat out Desean Watson in the AFC South race? If the Texans can solve their issues in the kicking game, they might be the most complete team in the AFC at this point.  Five Thirty Eight currently gives the Texans an 80% chance at making the playoffs and a 53% chance at winning the divison.  Should Houston beat the Colts on the road in week seven, 25 to 1 will look like a steal.  Take it now while you still can.  

Minnesota Vikings (Best Odds: 22 to 1 @ My Bookie) – Everyone seems to be overlooking the Vikings in the NFC North due to the Packers’ 5-1 record.  However, the Vikings sit just one game behind Green Bay and are playing excellent football.  Aside from the quarterback position, they are better team than the Packers in every area.  Green Bay is lucky to have five wins right now, while all of Minnesota’s four wins have been decisive victories where they played solid football.   The Vikings have the best receiving core in the NFL and they may just have the league’s most talented running back in Dalvin Cook.  They also have a well-rounded defense that currently ranks 6th in points allowed and are in the top 10 in sacks & interceptions.  I realize that Kirk Cousins is not Aaron Rodgers, but he doesn’t need to be and he has looked very good lately.  Based on the brutal criticism he  received early in the year, nobody is more motivated to perform than Cousins.  The Vikings also have a tremendous home field advantage.  They play their final two games of the season at home vs. Green Bay & Chicago.  

Odds To Win Super Bowl 54 @ Five Dimes (10/16/2019):
(50% Bonus at 5 Dimes Sportsbook When Using This Link)

New England Patriots   +250 (2.5 to 1)
New Orleans Saints   +750 (7.5 to 1)
Kansas City Chiefs   +890 (8.9 to 1)
San Francisco 49ers   +1000 (10 to 1)
Green Bay Packers   +1100 (11 to 1)
Seattle Seahawks   +2000 (20 to 1)
Dallas Cowboys   +2100 (21 to 1)
Minnesota Vikings   +2200 (22 to 1)
Philadelphia Eagles   +2300 (23 to 1)
Houston Texans   +2500 (25 to 1)
Los Angeles Rams   +2500 (25 to 1)
Baltimore Ravens   +3200 (32 to 1)
Carolina Panthers   +3500 (35 to 1)
Chicago Bears   +3500 (35 to 1)
Indianapolis Colts   +5000 (50 to 1)
Buffalo Bills   +6000 (60 to 1)
Los Angeles Chargers   +7500 (75 to 1)
Oakland Raiders   +8500 (85 to 1)
Cleveland Browns   +10000 (100 to 1)
Detroit Lions   +10000 (100 to 1)
Pittsburgh Steelers   +10000 (100 to 1)
Jacksonville Jaguars   +13500 (135 to 1)
Tennessee Titans   +15000 (150 to 1)
Denver Broncos   +20000 (200 to 1)
Atlanta Falcons   +35000 (350 to 1)
New York Giants   +35000 (350 to 1)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers   +55000 (550 to 1)
Arizona Cardinals   +75000 (750 to 1)
New York Jets   +100000 (1000 to 1)
Washington Redskins   +500000 (5000 to 1)
Cincinnati Bengals   +999999 (10000 to 1)
Miami Dolphins   +999999 (10000 to 1)

Superbowl Futures Odds at My Bookie (as of 10/16/19)
(Get a 100% Bonus at My Bookie When Using This Link)

New England Patriots +220 (2.2 to 1)
Kansas City Chiefs +800 (8 to 1)
New Orleans Saints +650 (6.5 to 1)
San Francisco 49ers +900 (9 to 1)
Green Bay Packers +1100 (11 to 1)
Seattle Seahawks +1800 (18 to 1)
Philadelphia Eagles +1850 (18.5 to 1)
Houston Texans +1950 (19.5 to 1)
Minnesota Vikings +2200 (22 to 1)
Dallas Cowboys +2200 (22 to 1)
Los Angeles Rams +2400 (24 to 1)
Baltimore Ravens +2400 (24 to 1)
Carolina Panthers +2700 (27 to 1)
Chicago Bears +3000 (30 to 1)
Indiananapolis Colts +3000 (30 to 1)
Buffalo Bills +3700 (37 to 1)
Oakland Raiders +6000 (60 to 1)
Pittsburgh Steelers +6500 (65 to 1)
Atlanta Falcons +65000 (65 to 1)
Los Angeles Chargers +7500 (75 to 1)
Cleveland Browns +8000 (80 to 1)
Detroit Lions +10000 (100 to 1)
Jacksonville Jaguars +14000 (140 to 1)
Tennessee Titans +15000 (150 to 1)
New York Giants +22500 (225 to 1)
Denver Broncos +25000 (250 to 1)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +27500 (275 to 1)
Arizona Cardinals +50000 (500 to 1)
New York Jets +50000 (500 to 1)
Washington Redskins +100000 (1000 to 1)
Cincinnati Bengals +100000 (1000 to 1)
Miami Dolphins +250000 (2500 to 1)

2013 Week 16 NFL Playoff Scenarios – NFL Playoff Picture

December 27th, 2013 by Lou Palumbo (Head Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2013 Week 16 NFL Playoff Scenarios – NFL Playoff Picture
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NFL Playoff Betting
Current 2013 NFL Football Playoff Scenarios For Week 17 (12/27)
Team By Team NFL Playoff Scenarios For The Final Week of the Season

It’s week 17 of the 2013 NFL regular season, and there are still a number of playoff seeding’s that have yet to be locked in. Most of the playoff teams have been set, with seeding’s having yet to be determined. There are also two NFC divisional games that will determine who will be making the playoffs and who will be watching the playoffs from home.

NFC Conference Teams Playoff Scenarios

NFC East Division Playoff Scenarios:

Philadelphia Eagles (9-6) – Philadelphia blew out Chicago 54-11 last Sunday night. With Dallas also winning, sets up a winner-take-all scenario on Sunday night when the Eagles take on the Cowboys in Dallas.

Dallas Cowboys (9-7) – Dallas got a late touchdown pass from Tony Romo to Demarco Murray to give Dallas the 24-23 win over Washington. Dallas will play Philadelphia on Sunday night to determine the NFC East division champion. Dallas may be without the services of Tony Romo, as it is reported that he is out for the season with a back injury. It has not been confirmed by Dallas officials as of yet.

New York Giants (6-9) – Eliminated from playoff contention

Washington Redskins (3-12) – Eliminated from playoff contention

NFC North Division Playoff Scenarios:

Chicago Bears (8-7) – The Bears blew their chance to clinch the NFC North on Sunday, getting blown out by Philadelphia 54-11. They will now host Green Bay with the NFC North division title on the line.

Green Bay Packers (7-7-1) – Green Bay lost in wintery conditions to Pittsburgh, yet luckily Chicago lost against Philadelphia. Green Bay will travel to Soldier Field on Sunday to take on the Chicago Bears to determine the NFC North division champion,

Detroit Lions (7-8) – Eliminated from playoff contention.

Minnesota Vikings (4-10-1) – Eliminated from playoff contention

NFC South Division Playoff Scenarios:

Carolina Panthers (11-4) – The Panthers took over 1st in the NFC North, and currently hold the #2 seed in the NFC.  They can clinch the division and #2 seed with a victory over Atlanta this Sunday. If Seattle should lose and San Francisco win, they would be the #1 seed in the NFC, based on the head to head win over the 49ers.

New Orleans Saints (10-5) – The Saints were beat by the Panthers last Sunday, and are now in control of their own destiny. They will play Tampa Bay this Sunday, and should they win, they’ll be in the playoffs as the #6 seed.  If they win and Carolina loses, they could claim the NFC South division as well as the #2 seed.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-11) – Eliminated from playoff contention.

Atlanta Falcons (4-11) – Eliminated from playoff contention. 

NFC West Division Playoff Scenarios:

Seattle Seahawks (12-3) – The Seahawks lost their first home game in quite some time, losing to Arizona 17-10, and with another loss, could put their #1 seed and division title at risk. Seattle needs to win at home against St. Louis on Sunday to win their division, and clinch the #1 seed.

San Francisco 49ers (11-4) – The 49ers currently hold the #5 seed and have clinched a playoff berth by winning over Atlanta on Monday. If they win at Arizona this weekend, and Seattle loses, they would claim the NFC West title and the #2 seed.

Arizona Cardinals (10-5) – Arizona got a big win at Seattle last Sunday, yet need a win and a New Orleans loss to grab the #6 seed. They will host the San Francisco 49ers this Sunday, so it will be no easy task.

St. Louis Rams (7-8) – Eliminated from playoff contention

AFC Teams Current Playoff Scenarios

AFC East Team Scenarios:

New England Patriots (11-4) – The Patriots clinched the AFC East title this past weekend with Miami losing at Buffalo. They then went on to roll in Baltimore 41-7, getting a little bit of revenge for the playoff loss last season. They need a win or a loss by Cincinnati and Indianapolis to clinch the #2 seed. They could grab the #1 seed with a win and a loss by Denver to Oakland.

Miami Dolphins (8-7) – Miami lost last Sunday, yet still owns the #6 seed due to Baltimore losing to New England. It’s a crazy scenario however; as they need to win and need a Baltimore loss or a win combined with a San Diego win. They will host the New York Jets this Sunday, whom they beat handily earlier back in week 13, 23-3.

New York Jets (7-8) – Eliminated from playoff contention

Buffalo Bills (6-9) – Eliminated from playoff contention

AFC North Team Scenarios:

Cincinnati Bengals (10-5) – Cincinnati clinched the AFC North this past Sunday with a win over Minnesota and Baltimore losing to New England.  They will host the Ravens this Sunday, and have a chance to help eliminate the Ravens. They can clinch a first round bye with a win and a New England loss.

Baltimore Ravens (8-7) – The Ravens were blown out at home by the Patriots last Sunday 41-7 and will take on the Bengals at Cincinnati this Sunday. In order for the Ravens to get in to the playoffs, they need a win combined with a San Diego loss or tie, or a win and a Miami loss or tie. They can also clinch with Pittsburgh, Miami, and San Diego losing.

Pittsburgh Steelers (7-8) – Pittsburgh’s playoff hopes are very slim yet are surprisingly still alive after last Sunday’s win at Green Bay. Pittsburgh needs to win combined with San Diego, Miami, and Baltimore losing. Crazier things have happened, and this Steeler team is playing some very good ball as of late. They will be hosting division rival Cleveland this Sunday.

Cleveland Browns (4-11) – Eliminated from playoff contention

AFC South Team Scenarios:

Indianapolis Colts (10-5) – The Colts clinched the division a few weeks ago, and can earn the #2 seed with a win and a loss by both New England and Cincinnati.

Tennessee Titans (6-9) – Eliminated from playoff contention.

Jacksonville Jaguars (4-11) – Eliminated from playoff contention.

Houston Texans (2-13) – Eliminated from playoff contention.

AFC West Team Scenarios:

Denver Broncos (12-3) – The Broncos clinched the AFC West last Sunday winning at Houston and with Kansas City losing. They currently hold the #1 seed in the AFC, and can clinch the #1 seed with a win or a New England loss. If they lose and New England wins, they will have the #2 seed.

Kansas City Chiefs (11-4) – Kansas City is locked in at the #5 seed after losing at home to Indianapolis last Sunday.

San Diego Chargers (8-7) – The Chargers can grab the #6 seed with a win combined with a Miami loss or tie and a Baltimore loss or tie.

Oakland Raiders (4-11) – Eliminated from playoff contention.

Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl 47 Predictions, Keys to Game, Picks

January 21st, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl 47 Predictions, Keys to Game, Picks
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Ravens Super BowlThey didn’t take the easiest road in the world to get here, but the Baltimore Ravens have made it to the Super Bowl for the second time in their franchise’s history. They’ll get a chance to claim their second ever Lombardi Trophy on February 3rd, but they have a long road to climb to be able to get to that point. Check out our Super Bowl keys to the game and what the Ravens needs to do to beat the San Francisco 49ers in New Orleans.

Click Here For The 2013 NFL Playoff Bracket, the 2013 NFL Playoffs Schedule, and all of our NFL Playoff Game Previews

#4 Baltimore Ravens vs. #2 San Francisco 49ers
Superbowl 47 Location: Mercedes Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Superbowl Date/Time: Sunday, February 3rd, 6:30 p.m. (ET)
Superbowl TV Coverage: CBS

Key #1: Joe Flacco has to come up with one more “elite” game
We’ve had this one drilled down our throats for weeks, months… and heck, even years! QB Joe Flacco isn’t an elite quarterback. We know this. All we have to do is look at the way that he stands in the pocket, the way that he ultimately plays under pressure from time to time, and his numbers, and we know that he isn’t the second coming of John Elway or Joe Montana. However, what Flacco is, is a winner. He has brought his team to the playoffs for five straight seasons, has won at least one playoff game for five straight seasons, has made it to the AFC Championship Game three times in the last four years, and now, he has his team just one game away from the Lombardi Trophy. Something different has happened this time around, though. Flacco is actually outplaying some of these truly “elite” quarterbacks. QB Tom Brady looked like a chump in the second half of the AFC Championship Game in comparison to Flacco, while the week before, Flacco was throwing big time passes, while QB Peyton Manning was busy getting picked off in overtime. The former first round pick of the Ravens has thrown for 853 yards and eight TDs over the course of his last games here in the postseason. Sure, some of it was luck, and sure, had that 70-yard floating pass not found its way into the hands of WR Jacoby Jones, we’d probably still be talking about Flacco as the man that has never won the big game in his career. But now, Flacco can say that he is a winner. He has been in the Super Bowl. And with one more game with the stats of an elite quarterback, there might be no way to avoid putting Joe Cool in the same discussion with Brady and Manning.

Key #2: Torrey Smith has to find space deep in the San Fran secondary
The 49ers can be had in their secondary, and we have seen it time and time again over the course of the last few weeks. They allowed WR Julio Jones to catch 11 passes for 182 yards and two TDs against the Atlanta Falcons, and he hasn’t nearly been the only receiver of late to make some big plays happen against these 49ers. Roddy White did it (7 catches, 100 yards). James Jones did it (4 catches, 87 yards, 1 TD). Michael Floyd did it with Brian Hoyer throwing him the football (8 catches, 166 yards, 1 TD). Brandon Lloyd did it, too (10 catches, 190 yards). Four of these five names all share the same thing in common: They aren’t No. 1 receivers on their own teams. In fact, short of the NFC Championship Game, there really aren’t any top targets that have beaten up the Niners. It’s always been the No. 2 or No. 3 guy in the pecking order. Smith is that type of receiver, and he is a man that can get up the field in a hurry. It isn’t a prerequisite for him to score, and he doesn’t even have to have one of these games where he catches 10 passes for 130 yards. Smith just needs to break through the 49ers in the back end a time or two over the course of the game, and the passing game could really open up.

Superbowl 47 Odds at Diamond Sportsbook
Baltimore Ravens +4
San Francisco 49ers -4
Over/Under 48.5
Click Here to Bet Your Ravens vs. Ravens Picks!

Key #3: The offensive line has to keep Aldon Smith out of the backfield
The best games that the 49ers have had this year have seemingly all involved big outings from LB Aldon Smith. The man from Mizzou had 19.5 sacks this year, and in games in which he logged at least one sack, the team allowed 13.1 points per game. In games in which Smith doesn’t get a sack, which now includes five games in a row, the Niners have conceded 24.6 points per game, and they certainly have looked beatable. Of course, we know that there are some fallacies in there, as Smith is getting more attention and room is opening up for some of the other members of the front seven to get to the quarterback. However, this is a real key in this game. When the Ravens were struggling at their worst this year, they were allowing men like DE JJ Watt or DE Von Miller wreak havoc on Flacco and the offense. If the offensive line and the combination of tight ends and FB Vonta Leach can figure out how to put a hat on Smith, it’s going to make life a heck of a lot easier for this offense for the whole game.

Key #4: The defense has to confuse Colin Kaepernick
It is clear that the more time that QB Colin Kaepernick has to throw the ball and get into space, the more likely he is to make the big time play to burn the Baltimore defense. We have seen that time and time again. Teams just underestimate how fast this guy really is, and in the end, he has blown just about every unit he has faced up, especially here in the playoffs. However, Kaepernick isn’t without his struggles, and he has made some young mistakes. There isn’t a defense that has more ornate schemes than this Baltimore ‘D’, especially with two weeks to game plan for the mobile quarterback. Though the Atlanta defense didn’t end up having the most success in the world, it was clear that it had a better chance to get off the field when Kaepernick was in the pocket than when he was out of it, but that doesn’t have to remain the case when push comes to shove. Remember that the pick six that Kaepernick threw against the Green Bay Packers at the outset of that game came while he was on the move, and he made a poor decision. Whatever it takes to make Kaepernick make some of those bad decisions, as rare as they are, is what will be the key factor here for Baltimore defensively.

Key #5: The emotion just can’t run out
If you really look at the talent level that the Ravens have been playing with and playing against over the course of the last several weeks, you have to think that they have just been overmatched. They certainly weren’t a more talented team than either New England or Denver, but they were able to persevere in spite of the fact, largely because of the emotions that are coming from the squad in purple. Oh sure, LB Ray Lewis’ pending retirement is helping the team ride that wave, as is the fact that the team has that “us against the world” mentality to it. However, there is always a danger, especially with the long layoff before this one kicks off, that any team is going to fall flat. The Ravens have to keep this intensity up for the next two weeks, because they are running into a very businesslike team in the 49ers that are going to be in the Bayou for business and business only, not a party. If that intensity isn’t high from the start of practice on Monday through the very last second of the Super Bowl, the Ravens are going to be in some trouble for sure, and they run the risk of getting their doors blown off.

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San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl 47 Predictions, Keys to Game, Picks

January 20th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl 47 Predictions, Keys to Game, Picks
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Super Bowl 49ersThe San Francisco 49ers became the first team to lock up a spot in Super Bowl 47 when they knocked off the Atlanta Falcons 28-24 at the Georgia Dome. Now, they’re playing in the biggest game of the season, and we are set to make our Superbowl predictions and picks.  In this article we’ll discuss the keys to the game; as in what the 49ers need to do to win the Super Bowl.

Click Here For The 2013 NFL Playoff Bracket, the 2013 NFL Playoffs Schedule, and all of our NFL Playoff Game Previews

#2 San Francisco 49ers vs. #4 Baltimore Ravens
Super Bowl 47 Location: Mercedes Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
When is the Super Bowl?: Sunday, February 3rd, 6:30 p.m. (ET)
Super Bowl TV Coverage: CBS

Key #1: 49ers have to come out firing & let C.K. orchestrate the offense from the start.
Early in the Falcons game, it appeared that Jim Harbaugh & Greg Roman were trying to out-think Atlanta defensive coordinator, Mike Nolan.  It seemed as if the 49ers assumed that all the focus would be on Kaepernick’s running ability out of the pistol formation.  On the very first play, the 49ers came out of the huddle, showed the pistol formation, and than quickly switched to a power-i before running their first play.  Perhaps this was their way of saying, “We’ll do what we want”.  But, it didn’t fool Atlanta’s defense at all.  A hand-off to Gore resulted in Falcon defenders filling holes and swarming to the football.  Everyone knows the 49ers intend to run the football between the tackles, regardless of how well Kaepernick slinging the rock.  If the Niners coaching staff really wanted to throw the Falcon defense off-guard, a 5-wide receiver set along with a no-huddle offense from the start really would have done the trick.  The Falcons were playing the run on every play in the first quarter, and the 49ers were playing right into their hands.  Due to the quick three-and-outs, Kaepernick wasn’t able to get comfortable orchestrating the offense until he was allowed to hit some receivers in stride and make some check downs.  Baltimore is going to do everything they can to show that San Francisco’s highly touted offensive front isn’t going to push them around in the running game (and they are going to try to rattle the young gunslinger).  The Ravens will be very aggressive  in doing so.  Therefore, making sure C.K. gets into a rhythm throwing the football early is important.  Not only will it surprise the Ravens defense, but it will also open things up for the Gore/James/Kap running attack trifecta.  It will also allow them to use the Pistol more often later on in the game.  Making the older Ray Lewis run around a little bit, so that he’s huffing and puffing, rather than screaming, will do wonders for the 49ers offense.

Key #2: 49ers secondary has to communicate and avoid allowing big plays down the field.
The one knock against the 49ers over the course of the last few weeks is that they’ve been giving up some big plays down the field.  Early in the Falcons game, a blown assignment by the 49ers secondary allowed Julio Jones to catch a wide open TD.  The Ravens proved in the AFC Championship Game that they can score using the big play, as they got off quite a few big plays in the second half against the Patriots. Baltimore likes to run a modified hurry up, and it has the potential to get a heck of a lot of snaps off if the defense can’t get off the field. Keeping a close eye on WR Torrey Smith down the field and Anquan Boldin over the middle will be very important.  When playing against any elite defense, most teams that have a big arm quarterback are going to take their shots down the field; hoping they can either make a play or get a flag.  If the 49ers can bat these deep ball shots down, they will force the Ravens into some early 3rd and longs and some mistakes.

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Baltimore Ravens +4
Over/Under 48.5
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Key #3: Someone has to get in the face of quarterback, Joe Flacco
Though we know that QB Joe Flacco has a history of being cool in the pocket, he has also had some games in which he has folded as well when he is under a lot of pressure. Matt Ryan was very comfortable early in the NFC Championship.  However, in the second half, they were able to get to him a little bit and force him into some mistakes.  Clearly the talent is there to get to Flacco.  DE Aldon Smith is one of the best pass rushers in the game and DT Justin Smith is a monster up front as well.  However, DT Isaac Sopoaga managed to get the only sack of the game against Atlanta. Two weeks ago, LB Patrick Willis had the only sack against QB Aaron Rodgers and the Pack. Aldon Smith, had 19.5 sacks in his first 13 games of the season, but has not recorded a single sack in his last five games.  He seems to get them in bunches as he recorded 11 sacks over a 4 game span in the midway point of the season. Regardless, it doesn’t have to be Smith, but someone had better get a hand in Flacco’s face and knock him around a little bit.

Key #4: Other receivers have to step up aside from Michael Crabtree
Head Coach John Harbaugh isn’t a fool by any stretch of the imagination. He knows that WR Michael Crabtree is going to get the ball thrown his way quite a bit, as Crabtree really is the only outstanding receiver that the team has at its disposal. The Texas Tech Red Raider caught 15 passes for 176 yards and two TD in the playoffs thus far.  He was largely blanketed by a bevy of Atlanta defensive backs in the NFC Championship (opening things up for a big game from Vernon Davis). No matter what the Baltimore defense throws at Crabtree, he’ll get his catches, but someone else has to step it up. Don’t discount guys like WR Randy Moss and TE Delanie Walke. Though the two only combined for four catches and 66 yards, they were all in clutch spots for the offense. It’s not a matter of getting 100 yards out of Davis, Moss, or anyone else in the lineup, it’s just that a few guys need to make a few big plays to help Kaepernick win his first Superbowl.

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Key #5: The 49ers’ front seven absolutely cannot miss tackles
RB Ray Rice is going to be coming and coming strong at the San Francisco defense, and he forces as many missed tackles of linebackers as any running back in the league with his low center of gravity. TE Dennis Pitta and WR Anquan Boldin also have the ability to bowling over unsuspecting members of the secondary to boot. San Fran is one of the best tackling teams in football, and it comes all over the field. This is the second straight year that Head Coach Jim Harbaugh has had his 49ers in the Top 5 in the league in tackles, and that has to hold true in the Super Bowl. If Rice is shaking tackles left and right, the Niners are going to be in some trouble. They have to continue to wrap up at the point of attack no matter who has the football. If they do that, Baltimore is going to have a heck of a time just trying to move the pigskin.

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Super Bowl Betting History: Historical Super Bowl Spreads & Lines

January 20th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Super Bowl Betting History: Historical Super Bowl Spreads & Lines
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49ers vs. RavensIn order to make the most successful Super Bowl picks this year when the Baltimore Ravens meet the San Francisco 49ers, we really have to look at the past and pick out some of the best Super Bowl trends that are on the board. Here’s a glance at all of the Super Bowls in the past and some of the most notable things that we can point out heading into the biggest duel of the season.

Note: Teams highlighted in green were Super Bowl favorites

Super Bowl Scores

The first thing that we notice right away is that there are a ton of favorites on the Super Bowl odds that have taken down the biggest game of the year outright. Favorites are 33-13 SU over the course of the 46 Super Bowls coming into this season. There are seven Super Bowls in which the favorite has won the game outright, but has failed to cover the number, three of which have ended in a push. Half of the last six favorites that won the Super Bowl didn’t beat the Super Bowl betting lines, something that didn’t happen once for the first nine championship games. Interestingly enough though, the team that has been favored in the Super Bowl has lost three of the last five games outright, as well as from an ATS standpoint. Underdogs are 4-1 ATS in the last five Super Bowls.

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The Ravens and the 49ers have played in six combined Super Bowls, and they are a flat out awesome 6-0 SU in those games. The Ravens have only been in one Super Bowl in franchise history, beating the New York Giants in 2000. The 49ers have five Super Bowls to their credit, and they are going to be in the big one for the first time since way back in 1994. There is only one team in the history of the NFL that has a spotless Super Bowl record to this point that has been in the game more than one time, and that’s San Francisco. Regardless of whether it is San Fran or Baltimore that wins this game, the winner will take that distinction over of being the only undefeated team with more than one appearance in the Super Bowl. The 49ers have played in five Super Bowls, winning all five, going 4-1 ATS in those games. The only failed attempt at a cover came in 1989 against the Cincinnati Bengals.

Baltimore’s Super Bowl against the Giants exceeded the ‘total’ easily. San Fran is 3-2 for ‘over’ bettors. If history holds for the 49ers, this should be a very high scoring game. In their five Super Bowl appearances, the 49ers have averaged outscoring their foes by the whopping score of 37.6-17.8, for an average of 55.4 points per game.

Since the Ravens moved from Cleveland, there hasn’t been a heck of a lot of history for these two teams against each other. The clubs have met just four times, with the 49ers going only 1-3 in those games. The teams have split the ATS proceedings. The most recent clash was last year on Thanksgiving Day night, a 16-6 win for John over Jim in the first ever Harbaugh Bowl, pitting the two brothers against one another. The 49ers have only scored 19 total points in three games against the Ravens since 2003, though only two of the four games have stayed beneath the ‘total’ that these two teams have ever played against each other.

2013 NFL Playoff Bracket w/ NFL Playoff Schedule & Predictions

January 20th, 2013 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2013 NFL Playoff Bracket w/ NFL Playoff Schedule & Predictions
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2013 NFL PlayoffsThe 2013 NFL Playoffs are here, and here at Bankroll Sports, we are going to take a look at the 2013 NFL playoffs and make our Super Bowl 47 predictions. Don’t miss out, as our expert NFL handicappers take a look at all of the best teams in the league, which ones have a chance to go all the way, and which are still quite a ways away from getting the job done.

NFL Playoffs Bracket

Super Bowl 47
#2 San Francisco 49ers vs. #4 Baltimore Ravens

The 2013 Super Bowl 47 odds are set to go, and the 49ers and the Ravens are going to be involved in the Harbaugh Bowl. These two teams have both had long roads to get here to the Super Bowl, but they both did a remarkable job beating the NFL betting lines each and every step of the way. Baltimore had the significantly tougher road, beating the Colts, Broncos, and Patriots. They beat both Denver and New England on the road, and they did so in fine fashion both teams. Yes, one could make the argument that this team has gotten a bit lucky off of things like the tipped pass that was intercepted at the end of the AFC Championship Game and the 70-yard touchdown pass at Mile High to WR Jacoby Jones. On the other side of the field, we have the 49ers, who were favored in each of their last two games to get to this point. Head Coach Jim Harbaugh pushed all of the right buttons this year, especially when he decided to put QB Alex Smith on the bench in favor of the more nimble QB Colin Kaepernick. It seems like ancient history now though, as Kaepernick has torn up the Packers and the Falcons here in the second season. This should be a remarkable game between two teams that are 6-0 in the Super Bowl all-time between them.

Final NFL Playoff Picture (AFC Playoff Bracket)
1: Denver Broncos (13-3)
2: New England Patriots (12-4)
3: Houston Texans (12-4)
4: Baltimore Ravens (10-6)
5: Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
6: Cincinnati Bengals (10-6)

AFC Playoff Schedule

AFC Wild Card Round
#5 Indianapolis Colts 9 @ #4 Baltimore Ravens 24 (Click Here For Colts @ Ravens Game Preview)
#6 Cincinnati Bengals 13 @ #3 Houston Texans 19 (Click Here For Bengals @ Texans Game Preview)

The first round of the playoffs is all set to go in the AFC, and the NFL matchups are quite intriguing. The 3/6 game between the Houston Texans and the Cincinnati Bengals is a rematch of the first round matchup last year between these two clubs. The difference this year though, is that Houston really comes into the playoffs struggling, while Cincinnati is on a high, quite the opposite of what we saw last year. The Texans have lost three of their last four games, and they went from a surefire lock for the No. 1 seed in the AFC to having to play in Wild Card Weekend. Of course, the team is a lot healthier this year than it was a campaign ago as well, knowing that QB Matt Schaub, and not QB TJ Yates will be throwing the ball all over the place. Cincinnati though, has one of the best defensive lines in the game, and it learned a lot last year with its youngsters, QB Andy Dalton and WR AJ Green. These two are going to try to pull off the upset this weekend. Click Here For Cincinnati vs. Houston NFL Playoffs Preview

The other battle is a big one as well, as the Baltimore Ravens and the Indianapolis Colts will square off at M&T Bank Stadium. This is the third time that these two teams have met in the playoffs, and those meetings occurred three years ago and three years prior to that. The Colts won both games. QB Andrew Luck will be on center stage in this, his first career playoff game, and he is going to try to go on the road and get the job done against a Baltimore team that has a great history of playing in the second season. QB Joe Flacco and the gang feel like they have the talent to get back to the AFC Championship Game for the second straight year, but there are some real questions about this defense in the end. This unit ranked in the 20s in most of the major defensive categories this year, something that you never, ever saw with this unit in the last decade or so. Click Here For Indianapolis vs. Baltimore NFL Playoffs Preview

The road to the Super Bowl goes through Mile High this year, as the Denver Broncos will host either the Bengals if they win, or the Colts/Ravens winner if Cincinnati fails. Houston will visit the No. 2 New England Patriots with a win in the first round of the playoffs, but if that the Texans lose, the winner of the Indianapolis/Baltimore game will head to Foxboro instead.

AFC Divisional Round
#3 Houston Texans 28 @ #2 New England Patriots 41 (Click Here For Texans @ Patriots Game Preview)
#4 Baltimore Ravens 38 @ #1 Denver Broncos 35 (Click Here For Broncos @ Ravens Game Preview)

The Texans might have lost three of their final four games in the regular season, but they ultimately still made it to the second round of the playoffs anyway when they knocked off the Bengals 19-13. This terrible stretch for the team started in Foxboro against the Patriots, but if there is a measure of revenge, this would be the time for the franchise to get it. There is no bigger moment in the history of the Houston franchise than this, and an upset would mean worlds to the club to get to the AFC Championship Game. New England has to be happy to have had the week off, but Head Coach Bill Belichick knows that this won’t be the easiest game in the world. It’s going to be a massive mismatch to see QB Matt Schaub against QB Tom Brady, but the Houston defense has to prove that the last meeting of these two teams was a farce. Obviously though, Schaub has to get the ball into the end zone, something that he has only done once in the last five games. The Houston offense only has two total TDs in the last four games, and that isn’t going to cut it. Click Here For Houston @ New England NFL Playoffs Preview

We have another December rematch in the second round of the AFC playoffs as well when the Ravens take on the Broncos. That game wasn’t the prettiest for the visitors either, as the Ravens were beaten 34-17 in that game. What’s worse for Baltimore is that that game came at M&T Bank Stadium, and now, to keep its season going, it is going to have to go to the other side of the country and knock off the No. 1 team in the conference, fresh off of a bye week. QB Peyton Manning has accomplished a ton this year, but one of the games in which he really didn’t play at his best was the game against these Ravens. That being said though, he did play well and brought the team to the easy victory without much muss or fuss. We know that Manning can win games in the playoffs, but can he do it in Denver in an outdoor setting instead of doing it at home in the RCA Dome/Lucas Oil Stadium? That’s going to be the big time question that has to be answered. QB Joe Flacco hasn’t had a problem getting here in the playoffs, but he has had a problem winning these big time games against the best teams in the AFC. This very well could be the last game of this era of Ravens football, knowing that LB Ray Lewis is retiring when this season is over with, and Baltimore is a heavy underdog and is not expected to challenge. Click Here For Baltimore @ Denver NFL Playoffs Preview

AFC Championship Game
#4 Baltimore Ravens 28 @ #2 New England Patriots 13 (Click Here For Ravens @ Patriots Game Preview)

For the second straight year, the Ravens and the Patriots are going to be playing against each other with the Lamar Hunt Trophy on the line. The winner will move on to Super Bowl 47, while the loser will have a long offseason to figure out what went wrong. QB Tom Brady and his Patriots are looking for some payback after losing 31-30 at M&T Bank Stadium back in September in a game that was decided by a last-second field goal by K Justin Tucker. Baltimore though, still has some revenge on its mind as well from losing the AFC Championship Game last year in this very building. Remember that WR Lee Evans had what would have been the game-winning touchdown pass in his hands before dropping it, and there was no excuse for K Billy Cundiff to miss a 32-yard field goal that would have forced overtime. There is a ton of emotion that is going to go into this game. It could be LB Ray Lewis’ last game. It could send Brady to a sixth Super Bowl, which would tie an NFL record for all players and would break the record for the most starts for a quarterback in the Super Bowl. It could be the game that validates the career of QB Joe Flacco. Or it could be just another game where the Ravens end up falling short of the ultimate goal, further making them the choke artists of the league. This should be a great game in Foxboro on Sunday. Click Here For Baltimore @ New England NFL Playoffs Preview

Final NFL Playoff Picture (NFC Playoff Bracket)
1: Atlanta Falcons (13-3)
2: San Francisco 49ers (11-4-1)
3: Green Bay Packers (11-5)
4: Washington Redskins (10-6)
5: Seattle Seahawks (11-5)
6: Minnesota Vikings (10-6)

NFC Playoff Schedule

NFC Wild Card Round
#5 Seattle Seahawks 24 @ #4 Washington Redskins 14 (Click Here For Seahawks @ Redskins Game Preview)
#6 Minnesota Vikings 10 @ #3 Green Bay Packers 24 (Click Here For Vikings @ Packers Game Preview)

The NFC side of the playoffs took its twists and turns in Week 17, but matters are all set at this point. For the third time this season, and for the third time since the start of December, the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings are going to play against each other in the 3/6 game. RB Adrian Peterson will once again be the focal point, as he rushed for over 400 yards in two games against the Pack this year. Green Bay won the NFC North, earning the right to host this game, but it has to be smarting after losing last week at the Metrodome. The win put Minnesota into the second season and kept Green Bay from getting a first round bye. It’s a total mismatch between QB Aaron Rodgers and QB Christian Ponder, but these two teams played two great games against each other this year that could have gone either way. Click Here For Minnesota vs. Green Bay NFL Playoffs Preview

The Washington Redskins ended up earning the final playoff spot of the year by beating the Dallas Cowboys in the final Sunday Night Football game of the year, and now, they are going to reap the rewards. That was their seventh straight victory to end the season, and they needed that to win the NFC East. QB Robert Griffin III is clearly put together one of the best seasons that a rookie quarterback has ever had, but the man that he is going to be facing off against in this one, QB Russell Wilson threw for the most touchdowns in a single season for a rookie with 26. Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks really did a remarkable job this year, especially playing at home, where they ran the table and went 8-0. The problem? They went just 3-5 on the road, and they are going to have to win three more games on the road just to get to the Super Bowl. These two teams have played four straight games in Seattle in their meetings, including last year when the Skins pulled the upset. Click Here For Seattle vs. Washington NFL Playoffs Preview

The Atlanta Falcons have won the top seed in the NFC, and they are going to be waiting for the worst seed left remaining in the second season. Clear on the opposite coast, the San Francisco 49ers will be around to take on most likely the Packers, or the winner of the Seahawks/Redskins game.

NFC Divisional Round
#3 Green Bay Packers 31 @ #2 San Francisco 49ers 45 (Click Here For Packers @ 49ers Game Preview)
#5 Seattle Seahawks @ #1 Atlanta Falcons (Click Here For Seahawks @ Falcons Game Preview)

The second round of the playoffs will open up when the Packers and the 49ers do battle. This is a rematch of a Week 1 game that went the way of the Niners. However, QB Alex Smith was the quarterback in that one, and QB Colin Kaepernick is now the man calling the shots. The Packers were forced to throw the ball all game long, as they had to play the whole game from behind. This time around though, both of these teams are coming into the proceedings hot with a lot more on the line. There is going to be no degree of sneaking up on anyone. The winner of this one knows that it is going to have a good chance of hosting the NFC Championship Game, so the stakes are going to be even higher than they normally would be for a playoff game this early in the postseason. Click Here For Green Bay vs. San Francisco NFL Playoffs Preview

A Seattle team that is as hot as could be is going to take on an Atlanta team that has a god awful playoff history to start Sunday’s NFL playoffs action. The Seahawks have the second longest winning streak in the conference right now at six, and they have covered five of those six. The Falcons need a win in the playoffs more than any other team in the second saeson. They haven’t won a game since 2004 in the postseason, and QB Matt Ryan has a terrible history here in the playoffs. Seattle is the only team that went on the road and won a game in the playoffs in the first round, and it is going to have to fly from Seattle to DC back to Seattle and then to Atlanta for this one. It should be a very interesting game for sure, and it is expected to be the closest of the four playoff games in the Divisional Round of the playoffs Click Here For Seattle vs. Atlanta NFL Playoffs Preview

NFC Championship Game
#2 San Francisco 49ers 28 @ #1 Atlanta Falcons 24 (Click Here For 49ers @ Falcons Game Preview)

The 2013 NFC Championship Game should be a doozy this week. There aren’t many neutral NFL fans that would say that the Falcons are the better of the two teams that are going to be on the field. They do have home field advantage though, and that could go a long way, especially since the 49ers are playing a long way away from home. San Francisco has to get over the fact that it blew it in the NFC title game a campaign ago at home against the New York Giants, but this would be the way to get some sweet revenge. QB Colin Kaepernick put together one of the biggest games that a quarterback has ever had in a postseason game, especially for a quarterback that was making his postseason debut. That was at home, though. This one is on the road, and it comes in a hostile environment. The Falcons put together 30 minutes of championship football and 30 minutes of suspect football against the Seahawks. If we see the Falcons that played the first half against Seattle for the full 60 minutes, they’ll be in the Super Bowl. If we see the Falcons that played the second half against Seattle, this could be a brutal showing in the Georgia Dome, and all of the haters will be right back on the case of Head Coach Mike Smith and QB Matt Ryan. Click Here For San Francisco vs. Atlanta NFL Playoffs Preview