Posts Tagged ‘Football Picks’

Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Prop Picks (10/24/11)

October 24th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Prop Picks (10/24/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Ray Rice Over/Under 94.5 Rushing Yards
Rice has been a workhorse this year, and this game should be no exception. Unfortunately from our standpoint, the Rutgers Scarlet Knight also gets it done through the air as a receiver, so we might get nipped that way. Plus, if this game does get out of hand, it’ll be RB Ricky Williams doing the heavy lifting, not the potential MVP candidate. Still, Rice always seems to get his yards, and after watching RB Rashard Mendenhall smoke this defense on the ground behind that shoddy offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers, in Rice we trust. Rice Over 94.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Total Sacks Over/Under 5
Look, we know that QB Joe Flacco has happy feet, and we know that QB Blaine Gabbert looks like a deer in headlights and holds the ball far too long. However, let’s be realistic here for a second. Asking for six sacks in a game is a tad ridiculous, as we don’t think that it is even remotely reasonable no matter how good these two defensive fronts are. Last week, the aforementioned Steelers got four sacks in the first half and couldn’t get to Gabbert after that. We think that that might be the beginning of some better place for this offensive line, and that should keep the sack total lower in this one. Under 5 Sacks (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Total Field Goals Over/Under 3.5
Four field goals is a lot in a game, which is why we are getting some odds on our side in this one. What we also know though, is that the Jaguars have a stingy defense and often hold teams to field goals instead of touchdowns. Both of these kickers, Billy Cundiff and Josh Scobee have the ability to boot the ball 50+ yards as well. These defenses bend quite a bit, but they very rarely break. This one could feature a lot of attempts at three points over the course of the day, and we think that that plays right into our hands. Over 3.5 Field Goals (+145 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets NFL Prop Picks (10/17/11)

October 16th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets NFL Prop Picks (10/17/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Brandon Marshall Over/Under 55.5 Receiving Yards
When are some NFL players going to learn not to run their yaps… Marshall decided to make a big deal out of the fact that he was ready to duke it out with Antonio Cromartie and Bart Scott, and that he was going to do something big that got him kicked out of the game in the second quarter. However, let’s be realistic for a second. Marshall is going to be on Revis Island, and he is going to have a brand spanking new quarterback trying to throw him the ball in QB Matt Moore. Sure, these two had two weeks to prepare for this game, but it isn’t going to make a difference. Marshall Under 55.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Mark Sanchez Over/Under 220.5 Passing Yards
Thus far this season, Sanchez has really had two good games and three total duds. We tend to give him a pass about throwing for less than 200 yards against both the Baltimore Ravens and Jacksonville Jaguars, and aside from that, he has gone over 330 yards in two of his three games. Now, he’s going against a Miami secondary which is just downright brutal. No, we don’t think that the GQ boy is going to be throwing for 400 yards like QB Tom Brady did, but we do think that he is going to get into at least the 240s or so without any problems. Sanchez Over 220.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Will There Be a Special Teams Or Defensive TD?
The last time the Jets played on primetime football, there were a whopping five defensive or special teams touchdowns against the Baltimore Ravens. There’s no doubt that this Jets defense is going to be all over the field, and RB Joe McKnight has proven to be a fantastic kick returner with the ability to really break the big ones. The Dolphins don’t have a defensive or special teams touchdown as of yet this year, but with the propensity of Sanchez to throw picks and turn the ball over, we can’t discount the chances that there is at least one score coming from the ‘D’ or special teams in this game. Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored (+160 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 6 Picks (Sunday, October 16, 2011)

October 16th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 6 Picks (Sunday, October 16, 2011)
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Week 6 of NFL betting action is here! But before you get started with the NFL odds, be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for all of the Sunday games, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook

Drew Brees Over/Under 25 Completions
Brees has already completed a whopping 152 passes this year, which is an average of 30.4 passes per game. The running game just isn’t getting any better for the boys from the Bayou, and going against a defense that is allowing 254.6 yards per game isn’t going to hurt that in all likelihood. Brees completed just 21 passes in the one game that truly meant anything last year, but that game got out of hand in a hurry in a 31-6 win for the Saints. We tend to think that this game is going to be a heck of a lot closer, and if that’s the case, we have to believe that Brees is going to throw the ball 40 times, and he’ll complete at least 25 of them. Brees Over 25 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Ben Roethlisberger Over/Under 21.5 Completions
Last week, in a game in which the Steelers won going away against the Tennessee Titans, Big Ben completed 24 passes on his 34 attempts, including throwing for five touchdowns. This week, he is going against a Jacksonville secondary that is a heck of a lot better than that of the Titans in all likelihood. We know that RB Rashard Mendenhall is going to be back in the lineup, and there is a commitment to this running game in spite of the fact that the offensive line is all beat up for the black and gold. With this game being at home with the crowd on their side, the Steelers are probably going to go back to the old school type of game instead of this new school passing game. Roethlisberger Under 21.5 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Sam Bradford Over/Under 240.5 Passing Yards
If you were to look at our fantasy football analysis, you would know that we are high on Bradford this week against the Packers. This has been one of the worst pass defenses in the league for whatever reason, and off of their bye week, we tend to think that the Rams are going to be able to put forth their best offensive game. Bradford has only had one game this year with even 190 passing yards, but in that game, he threw for 331 yards against the New York Giants. This is a very similar looking game, and we expect a very similar looking result. Bradford Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Santana Moss Over/Under 59.5 Receiving Yards
At times, QB Rex Grossman only really has eyes for Moss, but thanks to Matthew Berry of ESPN.com, we learned a fantastic stat this week about top receivers against the Eagles. Against Philly this year, Roddy White had 23 receiving yards, Hakeem Nicks had 25 receiving yards, and Steve Johnson had 29 yards. And you think that Moss is going to be able to reach 60 with DB Nnamdi Asomugha on his tail the entire game? We tend to think not, especially considering the fact that Moss, in spite of the fact that he has had at least five receptions in all four games this year, is only averaging 61.5 yards per game. Moss Under 59.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Colt McCoy Over/Under 19.5 Completions
The Raiders are lost in their secondary right now, as they are allowing 299.6 yards per game through the air, No. 29 in the league. Last week alone, the Houston Texans accounted for over 400 passing yards. Don’t think that Head Coach Pat Shurmur wasn’t paying attention to all of this during Cleveland’s bye week. QB Colt McCoy has thrown the ball 172 times this year in just four games, and he should put the pigskin in the air at least 35 times in this one. Even though McCoy is only completing 58.1 percent of his passes on the season, we know that that number should be higher with this short passing West Coast offense. McCoy Over 19.5 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Michael Turner Over/Under 91.5 Rushing Yards
Turner has struggled this year on the ground, as he only has two 100+ yard games on the ground. Both of those came courtesy of big runs, and without the two carries of more than 50 yards on the year, Turner is only averaging 3.32 yards per carry. That being said, Carolina’s rush defense is absolutely putrid at 135.2 yards per game. There aren’t any other running backs that are going to be stealing Turner’s carries as long as he doesn’t get hurt, and he does have that potential to knock off a 50+ yard run even time that he touches the pigskin. Don’t be shocked if he has 20 touches in this one, and if that’s the case and even one can get broken, this could be a third triple digit rushing game. Turner Over 91.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Ryan Fitzpatrick Over/Under 240.5 Passing Yards
Another man that we highlighted this week on our fantasy football picks to click. Fitzpatrick has had back to back games with fewer than 200 passing yards, but this is a significantly different New York secondary, and a bad one at that. Remember that this is a Buffalo passing attack that reasonably has two 100+ yard receiving options on a regular basis in WR Steve Johnson and WR David Nelson. They both might get the job done in this one. This is a terrible line in our estimation, as Fitzpatrick should approach 300 passing yards. Fitzpatrick Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 4 Picks (Sunday, October 2, 2011)

October 2nd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 4 Picks (Sunday, October 2, 2011)
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We’re all set to wrap up the first quarter of the NFL season, and here at Bankroll Sports, we’re always keeping our eyes peeled to the best ways to boost your bankroll. Today, we’re looking at the best NFL prop picks on the NFL Week 4 schedule!

Calvin Johnson TD in the First Half
There’s a point that Calvin Johnson has to have a game in which he doesn’t score two TDs, right? In this one, he can have a million TDs if he wants, as long as one of those scores isn’t in the first half. The truth of the matter is that the Cowboys play significantly better defense than most probably think, and they are going to be sending the heat at QB Matt Stafford all day long. Defensive Coordinator Rob Ryan is a smart cookie, and he knows that the Megatron is the only receiving threat of huge note that Stafford has to throw the ball to, especially near the red zone, and the end result is going to be coverage getting rolled out to his side quite a bit. We know that Johnson should probably be about -200 to score a TD in most games that he is out there, and if that’s the case, we just don’t see him scoring a TD in the first half a high enough percentage of the time to get the job done. If the fair price is -200 on him scoring a TD for the game, it should be +130 for him scoring in the first half. No Calvin Johnson 1st Half Touchdown (-140 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)

Darren Sproles Over/Under 66.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Sproles has been great this year, and the more time that he spends on the field, the better off the New Orleans offense seems to be. That being said, a lot of the swing passes that would have gone to Sproles very well could be going to the returning WR Marques Colston this week. Against the Jags, we look for RB Mark Ingram and RB Pierre Thomas to be more involved in the game both as rushers and potentially as short receiving backs as well. Sproles might not be that much a part of the game plan, as there shouldn’t be that much trickery that needs to be called to win this game. Sproles Under 66.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)

Tim Hightower Over/Under 100.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
The evil, mad scientist, Head Coach Mike Shanahan cannot be trusted with his running backs all that often. RB Roy Helu took some extra snaps last week against the Cowboys, and he very well could be eating into the production that Hightower ends up with. That being said, even in a game in which Hightower took virtually every snap in the backfield, he only had 97 total yards against the Giants, and their defense is probably right about on par with that of the Rams. That being said, we’re not so sure that the Redskins are running away with this one, and if they’re playing catch up, that probably means more time for Helu and less opportunities for Hightower to touch the rock. Tim Hightower Under 100.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)

Marcedes Lewis Over/Under 2 Receptions
It’s not often that we come up with a prop that has simply never lost, but that’s the case for this prop with Lewis. We know that rookie QB Blaine Gabbert hasn’t shown anything to us yet, and we also know that Lewis is coming off of an injury that has been nagging him in recent weeks, but last year, the former UCLA Bruin didn’t have a single game in which he caught fewer than two passes. For a man that caught 58 balls last year and is considered to likely be a bigger part of the offense this year, we just don’t see how he won’t catch at least a couple check downs, especially against a New Orleans team that has been smashed by opposing tight ends this season. Marcedes Lewis Over 2 Receptions (-180 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)

NFL Picks: New England @ Miami, Oakland @ Denver Prop Picks

September 12th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Picks: New England @ Miami, Oakland @ Denver Prop Picks
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Monday Night Football is back and better than ever this week, as there are two crucial divisional duels on tap. Check out how we stack up the NFL props and make our NFL picks on the clashes between the Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots and Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders.

Over/Under 4 Sacks (NE/MIA)
You don’t normally think of these two teams as two that will gun the ball all over the place. However, with QB Tom Brady breaking in a new receiver in WR Chad Ochocinco and QB Chad Henne really stuck throwing the ball a ton without a steady running game, the sacks could mount in a hurry. You know that New England’s defense is not relenting, as Head Coach Bill Belichick will throw the kitchen sink at the relatively inexperienced Henne. The question is how much Head Coach Tony Sparano is going to send at Brady. Knowing that his job might be on the line, we’d guess that we’ll see a lot of guys like LB Jason Taylor and LB Koa Misi in the backfield. Over 4 Sacks (-110 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Brandon Lloyd Over/Under 4.5 Receptions
No respect here for the defending receiving yards champ in the league. Lloyd had a sturdy year last year, and though we know that Head Coach John Fox is going to want to run the ball more with RB Knowshon Moreno, that doesn’t mean that the rapport that QB Kyle Orton built with Lloyd over the last year will just suddenly disappear. Don’t be surprised if there are a few shots taken to try to loosen up this Oakland defense, and if that’s the case, Lloyd should be able to amass the five receptions needed to beat this target. Lloyd Over 4.5 Receptions (+100 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over/Under 45.5 Yards (NE/MIA)
Last season alone, New England scored four special teams or defensive TDs that all went for more than 45 yards against the Dolphins, and that doesn’t even include the possibility of the offenses scoring from this far out. We know that Brady will be looking to hit some deep shots during this game, and the X-Factor very well could be RB Reggie Bush, who appears like he is going to get at least 20-25 touches of the football in some respect in this game. Don’t be shocked if this prop is decided with the very first touchdown. Longest Touchdown Over 45.5 Yards (-115 at BoDog Sportsbook)

NFL Picks: New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers Prop Picks

September 7th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Picks: New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers Prop Picks
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The first day of the football betting action is here! But before you get started with the NFL odds, be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the first day of the season!

Will Mark Ingram Or Pierre Thomas Score a TD?
It’s going to be difficult for Ingram and Thomas in this one, but the truth of the matter is that there aren’t any other players that are going to be stealing these rushing touchdowns like last year. Then you have the ultimate question: Will the Saints have a rushing touchdown in this game? In all likelihood, this has to be at least a 50/50 prop. We can’t imagine that this team isn’t going to have at least one rushing TD in just seven games this season. Ingram Or Thomas To Score a TD (+125 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Robert Meachem Over/Under 32.5 Receiving Yards
Meachem is the deep threat for QB Drew Brees, and that makes him a great candidate to have at least 33 yards on just one catch. In fact, he had six receptions of at least 35 yards last season, all of which came in different games. The Packers might have some secondary issues this year, and we know that Brees isn’t going to end up falling apart under the pressure of the Green Bay linebackers and defensive line. The former Tennessee Volunteer had eight games with at least 32.5 yards through the air last season, and we tend to believe that he will get there again in this one. Meachem Over 32.5 Rushing Yards (-130 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Jermichael Finley Over/Under 55.5 Receiving Yards
This could be a mighty interesting situation here for the former Oklahoma Sooner. He had 301 yards and 21 catches in his first four games last season before getting injured. Now, Finley might have a field day against a Green Bay defense that, for all of its major pros, had a major flaw taking care of tight ends. Finley could be in for a big, big day. Finley Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Super Bowl Betting Trends: Super Bowl XLV Cheat Sheet

January 30th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Super Bowl Betting Trends: Super Bowl XLV Cheat Sheet
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Making Superbowl picks are our specialty here at Bankroll Sports, and in order to give you a helping hand on the upcoming duel in the Super Bowl, we’re breaking down some of the most notable Super Bowl trends for the duels left in the second season!

Sunday, February 6th, 6:35 ET: Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL Trends of Note
The Packers are…
-5-1 ATS in their L/6 games against teams with a winning record
-5-1 ATS in their L/6 games overall
-19-6-1 ATS in their L/26 games following games in which they hold their foes to two TDs or fewer
-6-2 ATS in their L/8 games as favorites
-8-3-1 ATS in their L/12 games played on field turf
-12-5-1 ATS in their L/18 games following an ATS win
-2-5 ATS in their L/7 playoff games as favorites

The Steelers are…
-4-0 ATS in their L/4 games overall
-9-1 ATS in their L/10 playoff games
-5-1 ATS in their L/6 games following an SU victory
-4-1 ATS in their L/5 games following an ATS victory
-16-5-1 ATS in their L/22 games as underdogs of three points or fewer
-34-16-1 ATS in their L/51 games as underdogs overall

The over is…
-4-0 in Pittsburgh’s L/4 games following an ATS victory
-4-0 in Pittsburgh’s L/4 games following an SU victory
-5-1 in Pittsburgh’s L/6 playoff games as an underdog
-4-1 in Pittsburgh’s L/5 games overall
-16-5 in Pittsburgh’s L/21 playoff games

The under is…
-4-0 in Pittsburgh’s L/4 games as an underdog
-6-1 in Green Bay’s L/7 games following an SU victory
-8-3 in Green Bay’s L/11 games following an ATS victory
-5-2 in Green Bay’s L/7 games as a favorite of three points or fewer
-9-4 in Green Bay’s L/13 games against teams with a winning record
-5-2 in Green Bay’s L/7 games played on field turf

Series History
These are, without a shadow of a doubt, the two most storied franchises in the history of the NFL. Between them, there are 20 championships, nine of which are Superbowl betting victories. The two teams don’t generally play all that often, but they did last year, and Pittsburgh came away with a 37-36 triumph at home at Heinz Field. The Steelers have had the upper hand on the Pack for quite some time as well. Dating back to 1980, these two teams have met eight times, with Pittsburgh going 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS. Though the last game between them featured 73 points, there hasn’t been another game between them that has had more than 47, and three of the L/6 clashes have featured 30 points or fewer.