Posts Tagged ‘football prop picks’

New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Prop Picks (11/28/11)

November 28th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Prop Picks (11/28/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Marquis Colston Over/Under 5.5 Pass Receptions
We really recommend playing all of the ‘overs’ for all of the New Orleans receivers this week, as the Giants just don’t have a great secondary and their pass rush probably isn’t going to be able to put all that much pressure onto QB Drew Brees. Colston has really started to build a great rapport with Brees since coming back to the lineup after missing a few games, and the end result has been some huge outings. Just in the last four weeks, Colston has at least 90 yards three times, and he has three TDs in that stretch as well. Don’t be shocked if he ends up with at least 10 looks on Monday, and if that’s the case, he’ll get at least six receptions for certain. Marquis Colston Over 5.5 Pass Receptions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Drew Brees Over/Under 2.5 TD Passes
Think that Brees loves playing in primetime? So far this year, the Saints have played a pair of games in primetime, and in those two games, Brees has a total of eight TD passes without tossing an interception, and he has 744 passing yards to show for it. By the way, the team has a tremendous 96 points scored in those two games as well. Sure, we know that Brees hasn’t thrown for more than two scores against a defense not named the Indianapolis Colts since Week 3 against the Houston Texans, but the team hasn’t scored more than 30 but once in that stretch as well. Look for both of those stats to change on Monday against a suspect New York outfit that is definitely going in the wrong direction in the standings. Brees Over 2.5 TD Passes (+120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Will Eli Manning Throw a TD or an INT First?
Death, taxes, and Eli Manning throwing at least one pick in every crucial game for the Giants. They’re the only three things in life that you can absolutely count on 100% of the time. Manning has only been picked off nine times this season, but four of those INTs have come in the last three weeks. Now, he is going to be battling against probably the harshest crowd that he will face all season long, and you know that the boys from the Bayou are going to want to get off to a fast start. There has to be at least a 40% chance of Manning making the big mistake before finding the end zone through the air. Manning To Throw an INT Before a TD (+190 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Prop Picks (11/14/11)

November 14th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Prop Picks (11/14/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Minnesota Vikings First Team To Score
It really seems like the Packers are the popular pick here at -230, but we have to remember the percentages. Green Bay would have to score first in over 70 percent of the games to win this NFL prop, and that is truly a stunning rate. The Vikings just aren’t going to be afraid of the Packers, especially after they came out with guns blazing in the first meeting at the HHH Metrodome with a 70 yard pass play on the first play from scrimmage. Know that you are going to lose this prop significantly more often than not, but know that you are going to win it enough to make a sizeable profit in the long run. Minnesota Vikings Score First (+190 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Longest Touchdown Over/Under 49.5 Yards
Just take a look at WR Jordy Nelson’s numbers over the course of these last few games. He has a catch of at least 50 yards in four of his last seven, and he always seems to find the end zone when he breaks free like that. Just right there, you’ve got enough proof that a 50+ yard touchdown could be scored at least half the time. QB Aaron Rodgers isn’t afraid to uncork the long balls at any point, and QB Christian Ponder showed that he can do it as well after taking a 70 yard shot on the first play of the game when these teams met three weeks ago. Parlay all of that with a Green Bay defense that has a propensity to turn you over and score and players like WR Percy Harvin and RB Adrian Peterson in purple, and the recipe is there for at least one incredibly long touchdown when push comes to shove. Longest Touchdown Over 49.5 Yards (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Aaron Rodgers Over/Under 2.5 TD Passes
It’s sad to say, but we really have no choice but to take the ‘over’ in this one. The Vikings have allowed a slew of touchdowns this year to opposing quarterbacks, including three to Rodgers in October. The former Cal Golden Bear has three straight games with at least three touchdown passes, and he has six 3+ touchdown games in eight tries this year. It’s not like the Packers ever really slow down their offense, as there is just little confidence in the ground game with RBs Ryan Grant and James Starks. Rodgers has 24 scores in eight games this year, and he is probably going to end up adding three or four more touchdown strikes to that tally. It’s a chalky proposition, but with the way that the Packers are playing offensively, we just don’t see any other reasonable options but to play Rodgers’ over. Rodgers Over 2.5 TD Passes (-165 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Week 11 NFL Picks: NFL Prop Picks for Sunday NFL Schedule 11/13/11

November 12th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Week 11 NFL Picks: NFL Prop Picks for Sunday NFL Schedule 11/13/11
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NFL prop picks are always what we are looking at in NFL betting action, and if you’re ready to dissect the best pro football picks on the Week 11 schedule, look no further than right here at Bankroll Sports! All Week 11 NFL props courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Jackie Battle Over/Under 62.5 Rushing Yards
The Chiefs have really made a big effort to get back in the passing game, but in this one, against a Denver defense that has had a bad history of getting reamed on the ground, we tend to like the chances for Battle to put together a nice effort. He is clearly the top running back on this team, and though we have seen a lot of RB Dexter McCluster of late, we do think that Battle is going to get plenty of opportunities and will get a heck of a lot of yards. This is a low, low number. Battle Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Will Maurice Jones-Drew Score a Touchdown?
The Colts have had no real luck keeping opposing passing games down this year, but historically, MJD has really been fantastic in this series. Jones-Drew has had a frustrating season for the most part, but the one thing that we realize is that he is still getting the ball a ton. Don’t be shocked if he ends up with 30 carries in this game, and if that ends up being the case, we have a hard time believing that he doesn’t have at least a 50/50 shot of finding the end zone with at least one of those touches. Maurice Jones-Drew To Score a Touchdown (+115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

LeGarrette Blount Over/Under 75.5 Rushing Yards
Last week, in a game in which the Bucs were basically behind the entire way, Blount still had 72 yards against the Saints on the ground on just 13 carries. He is going to have a great opportunity in this one against a Houston team that, though it ranks No. 1 in the league in total defense, isn’t all that strong up front in general. Blount will certainly get the ball more than 13 times in this game, and as long as he can find a way to get perhaps one of those runs 20 yards downfield, he should be able to reach this number. LeGarrette Blount Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (+105 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Brandon Lloyd Over/Under 4.5 Receptions
With double digits in targets in all of his games since coming over to St. Louis, Lloyd is certainly going to end up plenty of looks once again in this one. This number is low due to the fact that QB Sam Bradford hasn’t been all that efficient and that DB Joe Haden is going to be matched up with him for the entire game in all likelihood. If that ends up being the case, perhaps it might be a tad difficult. However, Offensive Coordinator Josh McDaniels loves Lloyd, and he is sure to get the ball in his hands by hook or by crook, no matter what he has to do. Brandon Lloyd Over 4.5 Receptions (-135 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Will Larry Fitzgerald Score a Touchdown?
Don’t you have to have your team score a touchdown for an individual to score? The Cardinals had a heck of a time trying to get the ball in the end zone last week with QB John Skelton at quarterback, and that is likely to be the case again. The Eagles have had a ton of success against teams that try to throw the ball all over the field this year, and if by chance the ball does get into the hands of Fitzgerald, it’s going to be against one of the premier corners in the game. We just don’t like Fitzgerald’s chances of getting into the end zone in this one. Larry Fitzgerald To Not Score a Touchdown (-150 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Prop Picks (10/31/11)

October 31st, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Prop Picks (10/31/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Will There Be a Score in the First 7:30 Of the 1st Quarter?
With RB Mike Tolbert out of the fold and the Chiefs evolving into a bit more of a passing team, we tend to think that there will be at least two possessions in the first half of the first quarter. QB Philip Rivers is probably going to try to get up top early to WR Vincent Jackson, and we tend to think that the same could be said for WR Dwayne Bowe for the Chiefs, especially to get some of that mojo on the side of the hosts. We don’t generally like props like this one, but this time around, we’re going to make a bit of an exception. Score in the First 7:30 of the 1st Quarter (-160 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Longest Field Goal Made Over/Under 44.5 Yards
The weather is getting colder and the ball is getting heavier, and with two kickers that aren’t exactly known as being clutch out on the field, we have a hard time believing that there is going to be a field goal of at least 45 yards over half the time. The temperature is going to dip into the 30s tonight, and the possibility is there of a fairly brisk wind as well, two factors that generally make the kicking game awfully difficult. Longest Field Goal Under 44.5 Yards (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Will There Be a Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown?
Another interesting prop to say the least. Normally speaking, it’s a bit of a sucker bet to take the no at minus odds, and we tend to agree with this sentiment. These two teams have three touchdowns between them this year on defense, and neither special teams has yet to score. We’re not all that worried about the San Diego special teams, but Javier Arenas and Dexter McCluster are always potential game breakers, especially in a game like this one with all sorts of tension. Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored (+160 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Prop Picks (10/24/11)

October 24th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Prop Picks (10/24/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Ray Rice Over/Under 94.5 Rushing Yards
Rice has been a workhorse this year, and this game should be no exception. Unfortunately from our standpoint, the Rutgers Scarlet Knight also gets it done through the air as a receiver, so we might get nipped that way. Plus, if this game does get out of hand, it’ll be RB Ricky Williams doing the heavy lifting, not the potential MVP candidate. Still, Rice always seems to get his yards, and after watching RB Rashard Mendenhall smoke this defense on the ground behind that shoddy offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers, in Rice we trust. Rice Over 94.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Total Sacks Over/Under 5
Look, we know that QB Joe Flacco has happy feet, and we know that QB Blaine Gabbert looks like a deer in headlights and holds the ball far too long. However, let’s be realistic here for a second. Asking for six sacks in a game is a tad ridiculous, as we don’t think that it is even remotely reasonable no matter how good these two defensive fronts are. Last week, the aforementioned Steelers got four sacks in the first half and couldn’t get to Gabbert after that. We think that that might be the beginning of some better place for this offensive line, and that should keep the sack total lower in this one. Under 5 Sacks (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Total Field Goals Over/Under 3.5
Four field goals is a lot in a game, which is why we are getting some odds on our side in this one. What we also know though, is that the Jaguars have a stingy defense and often hold teams to field goals instead of touchdowns. Both of these kickers, Billy Cundiff and Josh Scobee have the ability to boot the ball 50+ yards as well. These defenses bend quite a bit, but they very rarely break. This one could feature a lot of attempts at three points over the course of the day, and we think that that plays right into our hands. Over 3.5 Field Goals (+145 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets NFL Prop Picks (10/17/11)

October 16th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets NFL Prop Picks (10/17/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Brandon Marshall Over/Under 55.5 Receiving Yards
When are some NFL players going to learn not to run their yaps… Marshall decided to make a big deal out of the fact that he was ready to duke it out with Antonio Cromartie and Bart Scott, and that he was going to do something big that got him kicked out of the game in the second quarter. However, let’s be realistic for a second. Marshall is going to be on Revis Island, and he is going to have a brand spanking new quarterback trying to throw him the ball in QB Matt Moore. Sure, these two had two weeks to prepare for this game, but it isn’t going to make a difference. Marshall Under 55.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Mark Sanchez Over/Under 220.5 Passing Yards
Thus far this season, Sanchez has really had two good games and three total duds. We tend to give him a pass about throwing for less than 200 yards against both the Baltimore Ravens and Jacksonville Jaguars, and aside from that, he has gone over 330 yards in two of his three games. Now, he’s going against a Miami secondary which is just downright brutal. No, we don’t think that the GQ boy is going to be throwing for 400 yards like QB Tom Brady did, but we do think that he is going to get into at least the 240s or so without any problems. Sanchez Over 220.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Will There Be a Special Teams Or Defensive TD?
The last time the Jets played on primetime football, there were a whopping five defensive or special teams touchdowns against the Baltimore Ravens. There’s no doubt that this Jets defense is going to be all over the field, and RB Joe McKnight has proven to be a fantastic kick returner with the ability to really break the big ones. The Dolphins don’t have a defensive or special teams touchdown as of yet this year, but with the propensity of Sanchez to throw picks and turn the ball over, we can’t discount the chances that there is at least one score coming from the ‘D’ or special teams in this game. Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored (+160 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 6 Picks (Sunday, October 16, 2011)

October 16th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 6 Picks (Sunday, October 16, 2011)
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Week 6 of NFL betting action is here! But before you get started with the NFL odds, be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for all of the Sunday games, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook

Drew Brees Over/Under 25 Completions
Brees has already completed a whopping 152 passes this year, which is an average of 30.4 passes per game. The running game just isn’t getting any better for the boys from the Bayou, and going against a defense that is allowing 254.6 yards per game isn’t going to hurt that in all likelihood. Brees completed just 21 passes in the one game that truly meant anything last year, but that game got out of hand in a hurry in a 31-6 win for the Saints. We tend to think that this game is going to be a heck of a lot closer, and if that’s the case, we have to believe that Brees is going to throw the ball 40 times, and he’ll complete at least 25 of them. Brees Over 25 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Ben Roethlisberger Over/Under 21.5 Completions
Last week, in a game in which the Steelers won going away against the Tennessee Titans, Big Ben completed 24 passes on his 34 attempts, including throwing for five touchdowns. This week, he is going against a Jacksonville secondary that is a heck of a lot better than that of the Titans in all likelihood. We know that RB Rashard Mendenhall is going to be back in the lineup, and there is a commitment to this running game in spite of the fact that the offensive line is all beat up for the black and gold. With this game being at home with the crowd on their side, the Steelers are probably going to go back to the old school type of game instead of this new school passing game. Roethlisberger Under 21.5 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Sam Bradford Over/Under 240.5 Passing Yards
If you were to look at our fantasy football analysis, you would know that we are high on Bradford this week against the Packers. This has been one of the worst pass defenses in the league for whatever reason, and off of their bye week, we tend to think that the Rams are going to be able to put forth their best offensive game. Bradford has only had one game this year with even 190 passing yards, but in that game, he threw for 331 yards against the New York Giants. This is a very similar looking game, and we expect a very similar looking result. Bradford Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Santana Moss Over/Under 59.5 Receiving Yards
At times, QB Rex Grossman only really has eyes for Moss, but thanks to Matthew Berry of ESPN.com, we learned a fantastic stat this week about top receivers against the Eagles. Against Philly this year, Roddy White had 23 receiving yards, Hakeem Nicks had 25 receiving yards, and Steve Johnson had 29 yards. And you think that Moss is going to be able to reach 60 with DB Nnamdi Asomugha on his tail the entire game? We tend to think not, especially considering the fact that Moss, in spite of the fact that he has had at least five receptions in all four games this year, is only averaging 61.5 yards per game. Moss Under 59.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Colt McCoy Over/Under 19.5 Completions
The Raiders are lost in their secondary right now, as they are allowing 299.6 yards per game through the air, No. 29 in the league. Last week alone, the Houston Texans accounted for over 400 passing yards. Don’t think that Head Coach Pat Shurmur wasn’t paying attention to all of this during Cleveland’s bye week. QB Colt McCoy has thrown the ball 172 times this year in just four games, and he should put the pigskin in the air at least 35 times in this one. Even though McCoy is only completing 58.1 percent of his passes on the season, we know that that number should be higher with this short passing West Coast offense. McCoy Over 19.5 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Michael Turner Over/Under 91.5 Rushing Yards
Turner has struggled this year on the ground, as he only has two 100+ yard games on the ground. Both of those came courtesy of big runs, and without the two carries of more than 50 yards on the year, Turner is only averaging 3.32 yards per carry. That being said, Carolina’s rush defense is absolutely putrid at 135.2 yards per game. There aren’t any other running backs that are going to be stealing Turner’s carries as long as he doesn’t get hurt, and he does have that potential to knock off a 50+ yard run even time that he touches the pigskin. Don’t be shocked if he has 20 touches in this one, and if that’s the case and even one can get broken, this could be a third triple digit rushing game. Turner Over 91.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Ryan Fitzpatrick Over/Under 240.5 Passing Yards
Another man that we highlighted this week on our fantasy football picks to click. Fitzpatrick has had back to back games with fewer than 200 passing yards, but this is a significantly different New York secondary, and a bad one at that. Remember that this is a Buffalo passing attack that reasonably has two 100+ yard receiving options on a regular basis in WR Steve Johnson and WR David Nelson. They both might get the job done in this one. This is a terrible line in our estimation, as Fitzpatrick should approach 300 passing yards. Fitzpatrick Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).