Posts Tagged ‘football props’

Odds The Green Bay Packers Go Undefeated In 2012

December 3rd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Odds The Green Bay Packers Go Undefeated In 2012
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Can the Green Bay Packers really run the table this year? The Packers are now +145 to finish out the season with a 16-0 record, and they are +310 to finish out the season with a perfect 19-0 season, which would make them the first team in NFL history to win 19 games without defeat in the season.

However, if you’re going to get in on the Packers to run the table, you probably are going to want to invest this week. Green Bay is a 6.5 point favorite on the road against the New York Giants, but once that game is said and done with, there really aren’t any tremendous challenges left. The Packers have to play the Oakland Raiders at home, Kansas City Chiefs on the road, and then the two teams that are fighting for the Wild Card spots in the conference, the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions at home. From there, it would be home games in the playoffs, where the Pack hardly ever lose.

If you’re going to beat Green Bay, you’re going to have to do so with your passing game, wihch is why we think that the Giants have a puncher’s chance. The Packers rank No. 31 in the league in pass defense at 287.8 yards per game and No. 30 in total defense at 393.4 yards per game. We’ve seen QB Philip Rivers nearly post a tremendous comeback in the fourth quarter against Green Bay, and if he can do it, so can the likes of QB Eli Manning and QB Matt Stafford.

However, it’s just ridiculously difficult to stop this offense. Green Bay has only been held under 35 points at home once this year, and that came in a game that was a blowout from start to finish against the St. Louis Rams. QB Aaron Rodgers has thrown three of his four picks this year at Lambeau Field, but he also hasn’t had a game in which he has thrown fewer than three TDs at home either. He also hasn’t had a game this year in which he has had a quarterback rating of less than 111. Considering the fact that no quarterback has ever had a rating that high for a full season, it’s amazing that he has done that in all 11 of his games.

Should the Packers win on Sunday, expect to see this prop come down to even money or so, if even that.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Prop Picks (12/1/11)

November 29th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Philadelphia Eagles vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Prop Picks (12/1/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Thursday Night Football picks and our Philadelphia Eagles vs. Seattle Seahawks prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Thursday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Brent Celek Over/Under 4.5 Receptions
Celek has looked like a significantly bigger piece to the offense for the Eagles in the last few weeks, and he could be in store for a nice game on Thursday as well. With QB Vince Young under center over the last two weeks, Celek has 11 receptions for 135 yards. The Seattle defense has been prone to underneath passing routes this year, and this is where Celek really makes his living. We just don’t trust that WR DeSean Jackson is going to be in the game mentally after being suspended and benched in two of the team’s last three games, and we already know that WR Jeremy Maclin is out, so that really could open things up for Celek to have a nice game on Thursday. Brent Celek Over 4.5 Receptions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Seattle Longest Pass Completion Over/Under 34.5 Yards
This is a sucker’s bet if we’ve ever seen one. You’d like to think that this is a gimme to just get one pass play of at least 35 yards over the course of a game, right? However, we just don’t see this happening anywhere near half the time, especially against these great corners that the Eagles have. RB Marshawn Lynch isn’t a back that catches many passes out of the backfield, and RB Leon Washington, the man that could take a screen pass 60 yards doesn’t get on the field often enough to scare us. WR Doug Baldwin and WR Ben Obamanu are both relatively slow, and WR Sidney Rice, the team’s only game breaker on the outside was put on IR this past week. Last week, there wasn’t even a pass play that went for 30 yards, let alone 35, and you have to remember that we are talking about a quarterback here in QB Tarvaris Jackson that only has thrown for 221 yards or fewer in each of his last four games. Don’t count on a big pass play tonight. Seattle Longest Pass Completion Under 34.5 Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Vince Young Over/Under 22 Pass Completions
We know that Head Coach Andy Reid loves to throw the football, and we know that Young has had himself two games with relatively gaudy stats over the last two weeks. However, it just isn’t going to be the case on Thursday. Last week, Young threw the ball 48 times because the Eagles were trailing the game from basically the start of the second quarter on against a team with no secondary whatsoever. The week before, he went 23-of-36 for 258 yards against a New York secondary that has had its share of problems as well. Now, VY is going against a Seattle team that doesn’t have a brutally bad secondary, and at least if the NFL betting lines hold up, Philly may actually be winning at some point over the course of this game. Asking a backup quarterback to go on the road and complete 23 passes is just a very, very tall order. Vince Young Under 22 Pass Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Prop Picks (11/28/11)

November 28th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Prop Picks (11/28/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Marquis Colston Over/Under 5.5 Pass Receptions
We really recommend playing all of the ‘overs’ for all of the New Orleans receivers this week, as the Giants just don’t have a great secondary and their pass rush probably isn’t going to be able to put all that much pressure onto QB Drew Brees. Colston has really started to build a great rapport with Brees since coming back to the lineup after missing a few games, and the end result has been some huge outings. Just in the last four weeks, Colston has at least 90 yards three times, and he has three TDs in that stretch as well. Don’t be shocked if he ends up with at least 10 looks on Monday, and if that’s the case, he’ll get at least six receptions for certain. Marquis Colston Over 5.5 Pass Receptions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Drew Brees Over/Under 2.5 TD Passes
Think that Brees loves playing in primetime? So far this year, the Saints have played a pair of games in primetime, and in those two games, Brees has a total of eight TD passes without tossing an interception, and he has 744 passing yards to show for it. By the way, the team has a tremendous 96 points scored in those two games as well. Sure, we know that Brees hasn’t thrown for more than two scores against a defense not named the Indianapolis Colts since Week 3 against the Houston Texans, but the team hasn’t scored more than 30 but once in that stretch as well. Look for both of those stats to change on Monday against a suspect New York outfit that is definitely going in the wrong direction in the standings. Brees Over 2.5 TD Passes (+120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Will Eli Manning Throw a TD or an INT First?
Death, taxes, and Eli Manning throwing at least one pick in every crucial game for the Giants. They’re the only three things in life that you can absolutely count on 100% of the time. Manning has only been picked off nine times this season, but four of those INTs have come in the last three weeks. Now, he is going to be battling against probably the harshest crowd that he will face all season long, and you know that the boys from the Bayou are going to want to get off to a fast start. There has to be at least a 40% chance of Manning making the big mistake before finding the end zone through the air. Manning To Throw an INT Before a TD (+190 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Prop Picks (11/14/11)

November 14th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Prop Picks (11/14/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Minnesota Vikings First Team To Score
It really seems like the Packers are the popular pick here at -230, but we have to remember the percentages. Green Bay would have to score first in over 70 percent of the games to win this NFL prop, and that is truly a stunning rate. The Vikings just aren’t going to be afraid of the Packers, especially after they came out with guns blazing in the first meeting at the HHH Metrodome with a 70 yard pass play on the first play from scrimmage. Know that you are going to lose this prop significantly more often than not, but know that you are going to win it enough to make a sizeable profit in the long run. Minnesota Vikings Score First (+190 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Longest Touchdown Over/Under 49.5 Yards
Just take a look at WR Jordy Nelson’s numbers over the course of these last few games. He has a catch of at least 50 yards in four of his last seven, and he always seems to find the end zone when he breaks free like that. Just right there, you’ve got enough proof that a 50+ yard touchdown could be scored at least half the time. QB Aaron Rodgers isn’t afraid to uncork the long balls at any point, and QB Christian Ponder showed that he can do it as well after taking a 70 yard shot on the first play of the game when these teams met three weeks ago. Parlay all of that with a Green Bay defense that has a propensity to turn you over and score and players like WR Percy Harvin and RB Adrian Peterson in purple, and the recipe is there for at least one incredibly long touchdown when push comes to shove. Longest Touchdown Over 49.5 Yards (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Aaron Rodgers Over/Under 2.5 TD Passes
It’s sad to say, but we really have no choice but to take the ‘over’ in this one. The Vikings have allowed a slew of touchdowns this year to opposing quarterbacks, including three to Rodgers in October. The former Cal Golden Bear has three straight games with at least three touchdown passes, and he has six 3+ touchdown games in eight tries this year. It’s not like the Packers ever really slow down their offense, as there is just little confidence in the ground game with RBs Ryan Grant and James Starks. Rodgers has 24 scores in eight games this year, and he is probably going to end up adding three or four more touchdown strikes to that tally. It’s a chalky proposition, but with the way that the Packers are playing offensively, we just don’t see any other reasonable options but to play Rodgers’ over. Rodgers Over 2.5 TD Passes (-165 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Week 11 NFL Picks: NFL Prop Picks for Sunday NFL Schedule 11/13/11

November 12th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Week 11 NFL Picks: NFL Prop Picks for Sunday NFL Schedule 11/13/11
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NFL prop picks are always what we are looking at in NFL betting action, and if you’re ready to dissect the best pro football picks on the Week 11 schedule, look no further than right here at Bankroll Sports! All Week 11 NFL props courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Jackie Battle Over/Under 62.5 Rushing Yards
The Chiefs have really made a big effort to get back in the passing game, but in this one, against a Denver defense that has had a bad history of getting reamed on the ground, we tend to like the chances for Battle to put together a nice effort. He is clearly the top running back on this team, and though we have seen a lot of RB Dexter McCluster of late, we do think that Battle is going to get plenty of opportunities and will get a heck of a lot of yards. This is a low, low number. Battle Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Will Maurice Jones-Drew Score a Touchdown?
The Colts have had no real luck keeping opposing passing games down this year, but historically, MJD has really been fantastic in this series. Jones-Drew has had a frustrating season for the most part, but the one thing that we realize is that he is still getting the ball a ton. Don’t be shocked if he ends up with 30 carries in this game, and if that ends up being the case, we have a hard time believing that he doesn’t have at least a 50/50 shot of finding the end zone with at least one of those touches. Maurice Jones-Drew To Score a Touchdown (+115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

LeGarrette Blount Over/Under 75.5 Rushing Yards
Last week, in a game in which the Bucs were basically behind the entire way, Blount still had 72 yards against the Saints on the ground on just 13 carries. He is going to have a great opportunity in this one against a Houston team that, though it ranks No. 1 in the league in total defense, isn’t all that strong up front in general. Blount will certainly get the ball more than 13 times in this game, and as long as he can find a way to get perhaps one of those runs 20 yards downfield, he should be able to reach this number. LeGarrette Blount Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (+105 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Brandon Lloyd Over/Under 4.5 Receptions
With double digits in targets in all of his games since coming over to St. Louis, Lloyd is certainly going to end up plenty of looks once again in this one. This number is low due to the fact that QB Sam Bradford hasn’t been all that efficient and that DB Joe Haden is going to be matched up with him for the entire game in all likelihood. If that ends up being the case, perhaps it might be a tad difficult. However, Offensive Coordinator Josh McDaniels loves Lloyd, and he is sure to get the ball in his hands by hook or by crook, no matter what he has to do. Brandon Lloyd Over 4.5 Receptions (-135 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Will Larry Fitzgerald Score a Touchdown?
Don’t you have to have your team score a touchdown for an individual to score? The Cardinals had a heck of a time trying to get the ball in the end zone last week with QB John Skelton at quarterback, and that is likely to be the case again. The Eagles have had a ton of success against teams that try to throw the ball all over the field this year, and if by chance the ball does get into the hands of Fitzgerald, it’s going to be against one of the premier corners in the game. We just don’t like Fitzgerald’s chances of getting into the end zone in this one. Larry Fitzgerald To Not Score a Touchdown (-150 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Prop Picks (10/31/11)

October 31st, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Prop Picks (10/31/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Will There Be a Score in the First 7:30 Of the 1st Quarter?
With RB Mike Tolbert out of the fold and the Chiefs evolving into a bit more of a passing team, we tend to think that there will be at least two possessions in the first half of the first quarter. QB Philip Rivers is probably going to try to get up top early to WR Vincent Jackson, and we tend to think that the same could be said for WR Dwayne Bowe for the Chiefs, especially to get some of that mojo on the side of the hosts. We don’t generally like props like this one, but this time around, we’re going to make a bit of an exception. Score in the First 7:30 of the 1st Quarter (-160 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Longest Field Goal Made Over/Under 44.5 Yards
The weather is getting colder and the ball is getting heavier, and with two kickers that aren’t exactly known as being clutch out on the field, we have a hard time believing that there is going to be a field goal of at least 45 yards over half the time. The temperature is going to dip into the 30s tonight, and the possibility is there of a fairly brisk wind as well, two factors that generally make the kicking game awfully difficult. Longest Field Goal Under 44.5 Yards (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Will There Be a Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown?
Another interesting prop to say the least. Normally speaking, it’s a bit of a sucker bet to take the no at minus odds, and we tend to agree with this sentiment. These two teams have three touchdowns between them this year on defense, and neither special teams has yet to score. We’re not all that worried about the San Diego special teams, but Javier Arenas and Dexter McCluster are always potential game breakers, especially in a game like this one with all sorts of tension. Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored (+160 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Prop Picks (10/24/11)

October 24th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Prop Picks (10/24/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Ray Rice Over/Under 94.5 Rushing Yards
Rice has been a workhorse this year, and this game should be no exception. Unfortunately from our standpoint, the Rutgers Scarlet Knight also gets it done through the air as a receiver, so we might get nipped that way. Plus, if this game does get out of hand, it’ll be RB Ricky Williams doing the heavy lifting, not the potential MVP candidate. Still, Rice always seems to get his yards, and after watching RB Rashard Mendenhall smoke this defense on the ground behind that shoddy offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers, in Rice we trust. Rice Over 94.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Total Sacks Over/Under 5
Look, we know that QB Joe Flacco has happy feet, and we know that QB Blaine Gabbert looks like a deer in headlights and holds the ball far too long. However, let’s be realistic here for a second. Asking for six sacks in a game is a tad ridiculous, as we don’t think that it is even remotely reasonable no matter how good these two defensive fronts are. Last week, the aforementioned Steelers got four sacks in the first half and couldn’t get to Gabbert after that. We think that that might be the beginning of some better place for this offensive line, and that should keep the sack total lower in this one. Under 5 Sacks (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Total Field Goals Over/Under 3.5
Four field goals is a lot in a game, which is why we are getting some odds on our side in this one. What we also know though, is that the Jaguars have a stingy defense and often hold teams to field goals instead of touchdowns. Both of these kickers, Billy Cundiff and Josh Scobee have the ability to boot the ball 50+ yards as well. These defenses bend quite a bit, but they very rarely break. This one could feature a lot of attempts at three points over the course of the day, and we think that that plays right into our hands. Over 3.5 Field Goals (+145 at BetOnline Sportsbook).