Posts Tagged ‘football props’

2012 NFL Draft Props: Odds To Have The #1 Pick In The NFL Draft

October 22nd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2012 NFL Draft Props: Odds To Have The #1 Pick In The NFL Draft
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Is your team involved in the “Suck For Luck Sweepstakes?” Teams are jockeying for position right now for the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft, and courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook, you can bet on which team will finish with the worst record in football this year and claim arguably the second biggest prize in the NFL!

Right now, the team with the inside track to the No. 1 overall pick in the NFL Draft is the Indianapolis Colts (Odds To Win the No. 1 Pick in the NFL Draft: 2.65 to 1 @ BetOnline Sportsbook). And why not? The Colts are the only team that is 0-6 in football right now, and without QB Peyton Manning making any signs of a comeback in the near future, there is no reason to think that there are that many wins in this team’s future. The bad news is that there are two games against Jacksonville still to come, and the AFC South is putrid this year. Parlay that with the fact that the Colts have been relatively competitive over the course of the last five weeks, and the makings might be there for a few more wins than we need for them to finish the job this year.

There’s no team that needs to win the Suck For Luck Sweepstakes more than the Miami Dolphins (Odds To Win Suck For Luck Sweepstakes: 3.00 to 1 @ BetOnline Sportsbook). The Dolphins were ready to exile QB Chad Henne at the start of the year, and now that he is on injured reserve, he has surely thrown his final pass for the team. QB Matt Moore takes over now, and he was the man who helped bring Carolina to the No. 1 overall pick in this year’s NFL Draft as well. We know that he is more than qualified for the job to make Miami an 0-16 team. The AFC East is a bear, unlike the AFC South, and more importantly, whomever the next head coach is (because we know that Tony Sparano is a lame duck) is going to need a new face of the franchise to bring into Miami’s new stadium next year. Andrew Luck is the perfect face for this team, and there is no team that will be hurt more by not having the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft than the Fins.

The St. Louis Rams (Odds To Win the No. 1 Pick in the NFL Draft: 3.40 to 1 @ BetOnline Sportsbook) are the other winless team in the league right now at 0-5, and they are the only one of the bunch to be a not-so-perfect 0-5 ATS as well. QB Sam Bradford is banged up, but the team is clearly making an effort at winning. Picking up WR Brandon Lloyd will only help this offense, so we’re not all that sure, especially with the majority of last year’s 7-9 team still together, if this team will ultimately have enough losses to be considered the worst team in football.

Finally, keep an eye out for the (Minnesota Vikings Odds To Win the No. 1 Pick in the NFL Draft: 6.50 to 1 @ BetOnline Sportsbook). The Vikes only have one win, and they are turning the football over to QB Christian Ponder, presumably for the rest of the year. Unless Ponder is absolutely atrocious, we don’t see Minnesota taking Luck with the top pick in the draft, but what we do see is a team that is willing to make amends for the horrible Herschel Walker deal that it made with the Dallas Cowboys all those years ago that helped build that dynasty. Again, we have to remember that there are still two games with the Green Bay Packers and one with the Detroit Lions left, games which are basically guaranteed losses. Things aren’t getting any better this year for the Vikes, and their win tally at the end of the year should show it.

Odds To Win The NFL Draft 2012 @ BetOnline (as of 10/22/11)
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Arizona Cardinals 9.50 to 1
Carolina Panthers 5.50 to 1
Denver Broncos 6.50 to 1
Indianapolis Colts 2.65 to 1
Jacksonville Jaguars 3.50 to 1
Miami Dolphins 3 to 1
Minnesota Vikings 6.50 to 1
St. Louis Rams 3.40 to 1
Field (Any Other Team) 8.50 to 1

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets NFL Prop Picks (10/17/11)

October 16th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets NFL Prop Picks (10/17/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Brandon Marshall Over/Under 55.5 Receiving Yards
When are some NFL players going to learn not to run their yaps… Marshall decided to make a big deal out of the fact that he was ready to duke it out with Antonio Cromartie and Bart Scott, and that he was going to do something big that got him kicked out of the game in the second quarter. However, let’s be realistic for a second. Marshall is going to be on Revis Island, and he is going to have a brand spanking new quarterback trying to throw him the ball in QB Matt Moore. Sure, these two had two weeks to prepare for this game, but it isn’t going to make a difference. Marshall Under 55.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Mark Sanchez Over/Under 220.5 Passing Yards
Thus far this season, Sanchez has really had two good games and three total duds. We tend to give him a pass about throwing for less than 200 yards against both the Baltimore Ravens and Jacksonville Jaguars, and aside from that, he has gone over 330 yards in two of his three games. Now, he’s going against a Miami secondary which is just downright brutal. No, we don’t think that the GQ boy is going to be throwing for 400 yards like QB Tom Brady did, but we do think that he is going to get into at least the 240s or so without any problems. Sanchez Over 220.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Will There Be a Special Teams Or Defensive TD?
The last time the Jets played on primetime football, there were a whopping five defensive or special teams touchdowns against the Baltimore Ravens. There’s no doubt that this Jets defense is going to be all over the field, and RB Joe McKnight has proven to be a fantastic kick returner with the ability to really break the big ones. The Dolphins don’t have a defensive or special teams touchdown as of yet this year, but with the propensity of Sanchez to throw picks and turn the ball over, we can’t discount the chances that there is at least one score coming from the ‘D’ or special teams in this game. Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored (+160 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 6 Picks (Sunday, October 16, 2011)

October 16th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 6 Picks (Sunday, October 16, 2011)
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Week 6 of NFL betting action is here! But before you get started with the NFL odds, be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for all of the Sunday games, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook

Drew Brees Over/Under 25 Completions
Brees has already completed a whopping 152 passes this year, which is an average of 30.4 passes per game. The running game just isn’t getting any better for the boys from the Bayou, and going against a defense that is allowing 254.6 yards per game isn’t going to hurt that in all likelihood. Brees completed just 21 passes in the one game that truly meant anything last year, but that game got out of hand in a hurry in a 31-6 win for the Saints. We tend to think that this game is going to be a heck of a lot closer, and if that’s the case, we have to believe that Brees is going to throw the ball 40 times, and he’ll complete at least 25 of them. Brees Over 25 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Ben Roethlisberger Over/Under 21.5 Completions
Last week, in a game in which the Steelers won going away against the Tennessee Titans, Big Ben completed 24 passes on his 34 attempts, including throwing for five touchdowns. This week, he is going against a Jacksonville secondary that is a heck of a lot better than that of the Titans in all likelihood. We know that RB Rashard Mendenhall is going to be back in the lineup, and there is a commitment to this running game in spite of the fact that the offensive line is all beat up for the black and gold. With this game being at home with the crowd on their side, the Steelers are probably going to go back to the old school type of game instead of this new school passing game. Roethlisberger Under 21.5 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Sam Bradford Over/Under 240.5 Passing Yards
If you were to look at our fantasy football analysis, you would know that we are high on Bradford this week against the Packers. This has been one of the worst pass defenses in the league for whatever reason, and off of their bye week, we tend to think that the Rams are going to be able to put forth their best offensive game. Bradford has only had one game this year with even 190 passing yards, but in that game, he threw for 331 yards against the New York Giants. This is a very similar looking game, and we expect a very similar looking result. Bradford Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Santana Moss Over/Under 59.5 Receiving Yards
At times, QB Rex Grossman only really has eyes for Moss, but thanks to Matthew Berry of ESPN.com, we learned a fantastic stat this week about top receivers against the Eagles. Against Philly this year, Roddy White had 23 receiving yards, Hakeem Nicks had 25 receiving yards, and Steve Johnson had 29 yards. And you think that Moss is going to be able to reach 60 with DB Nnamdi Asomugha on his tail the entire game? We tend to think not, especially considering the fact that Moss, in spite of the fact that he has had at least five receptions in all four games this year, is only averaging 61.5 yards per game. Moss Under 59.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Colt McCoy Over/Under 19.5 Completions
The Raiders are lost in their secondary right now, as they are allowing 299.6 yards per game through the air, No. 29 in the league. Last week alone, the Houston Texans accounted for over 400 passing yards. Don’t think that Head Coach Pat Shurmur wasn’t paying attention to all of this during Cleveland’s bye week. QB Colt McCoy has thrown the ball 172 times this year in just four games, and he should put the pigskin in the air at least 35 times in this one. Even though McCoy is only completing 58.1 percent of his passes on the season, we know that that number should be higher with this short passing West Coast offense. McCoy Over 19.5 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Michael Turner Over/Under 91.5 Rushing Yards
Turner has struggled this year on the ground, as he only has two 100+ yard games on the ground. Both of those came courtesy of big runs, and without the two carries of more than 50 yards on the year, Turner is only averaging 3.32 yards per carry. That being said, Carolina’s rush defense is absolutely putrid at 135.2 yards per game. There aren’t any other running backs that are going to be stealing Turner’s carries as long as he doesn’t get hurt, and he does have that potential to knock off a 50+ yard run even time that he touches the pigskin. Don’t be shocked if he has 20 touches in this one, and if that’s the case and even one can get broken, this could be a third triple digit rushing game. Turner Over 91.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Ryan Fitzpatrick Over/Under 240.5 Passing Yards
Another man that we highlighted this week on our fantasy football picks to click. Fitzpatrick has had back to back games with fewer than 200 passing yards, but this is a significantly different New York secondary, and a bad one at that. Remember that this is a Buffalo passing attack that reasonably has two 100+ yard receiving options on a regular basis in WR Steve Johnson and WR David Nelson. They both might get the job done in this one. This is a terrible line in our estimation, as Fitzpatrick should approach 300 passing yards. Fitzpatrick Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 4 Picks (Sunday, October 2, 2011)

October 2nd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 4 Picks (Sunday, October 2, 2011)
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We’re all set to wrap up the first quarter of the NFL season, and here at Bankroll Sports, we’re always keeping our eyes peeled to the best ways to boost your bankroll. Today, we’re looking at the best NFL prop picks on the NFL Week 4 schedule!

Calvin Johnson TD in the First Half
There’s a point that Calvin Johnson has to have a game in which he doesn’t score two TDs, right? In this one, he can have a million TDs if he wants, as long as one of those scores isn’t in the first half. The truth of the matter is that the Cowboys play significantly better defense than most probably think, and they are going to be sending the heat at QB Matt Stafford all day long. Defensive Coordinator Rob Ryan is a smart cookie, and he knows that the Megatron is the only receiving threat of huge note that Stafford has to throw the ball to, especially near the red zone, and the end result is going to be coverage getting rolled out to his side quite a bit. We know that Johnson should probably be about -200 to score a TD in most games that he is out there, and if that’s the case, we just don’t see him scoring a TD in the first half a high enough percentage of the time to get the job done. If the fair price is -200 on him scoring a TD for the game, it should be +130 for him scoring in the first half. No Calvin Johnson 1st Half Touchdown (-140 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)

Darren Sproles Over/Under 66.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Sproles has been great this year, and the more time that he spends on the field, the better off the New Orleans offense seems to be. That being said, a lot of the swing passes that would have gone to Sproles very well could be going to the returning WR Marques Colston this week. Against the Jags, we look for RB Mark Ingram and RB Pierre Thomas to be more involved in the game both as rushers and potentially as short receiving backs as well. Sproles might not be that much a part of the game plan, as there shouldn’t be that much trickery that needs to be called to win this game. Sproles Under 66.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)

Tim Hightower Over/Under 100.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
The evil, mad scientist, Head Coach Mike Shanahan cannot be trusted with his running backs all that often. RB Roy Helu took some extra snaps last week against the Cowboys, and he very well could be eating into the production that Hightower ends up with. That being said, even in a game in which Hightower took virtually every snap in the backfield, he only had 97 total yards against the Giants, and their defense is probably right about on par with that of the Rams. That being said, we’re not so sure that the Redskins are running away with this one, and if they’re playing catch up, that probably means more time for Helu and less opportunities for Hightower to touch the rock. Tim Hightower Under 100.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)

Marcedes Lewis Over/Under 2 Receptions
It’s not often that we come up with a prop that has simply never lost, but that’s the case for this prop with Lewis. We know that rookie QB Blaine Gabbert hasn’t shown anything to us yet, and we also know that Lewis is coming off of an injury that has been nagging him in recent weeks, but last year, the former UCLA Bruin didn’t have a single game in which he caught fewer than two passes. For a man that caught 58 balls last year and is considered to likely be a bigger part of the offense this year, we just don’t see how he won’t catch at least a couple check downs, especially against a New Orleans team that has been smashed by opposing tight ends this season. Marcedes Lewis Over 2 Receptions (-180 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)

NCAA Football Picks: UCF @ BYU College Football Props

September 23rd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on NCAA Football Picks: UCF @ BYU College Football Props
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Week 4 of college football betting action is here! But before you get started with the NCAA football odds, be sure to check out our college football prop picks for Friday night and our UCF vs. BYU picks!

Jeff Godfrey Over/Under 26.5 Pass Attempts
If the Knights have any hope of winning this game, this had better be an ‘under’. Godfrey put the ball in the air 27 times last week against the Florida International Golden Panthers, and that was only a matter of self-preservation for a ground game that just couldn’t get anything going. No matter what Head Coach George O’Leary keeps telling us, Godfrey is a run first, throw second quarterback. Sure, BYU is going to stack seven and eight players in the box just like FIU did, but that isn’t going to stop a stubborn O’Leary from getting the ball in the hands of his fantastic running backs a whole heck of a lot, even if the Knights are trailing. Godfrey Under 26.5 Pass Attempts (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

JJ Di Luigi Over/Under 55.5 Rushing Yards
It’s been a rough start to the year for Di Luigi, as he hasn’t even gotten beyond 56 rushing yards in a game this season. However, we have to remember that this is a very small sample set, and it has been a horrifyingly difficult schedule to start off this season. This is the first time that the Cougs have really been in a game that they really should win on paper (though they were favored at Ole Miss, it was still a long cross-country trip). Di Luigi averaged over 70 yards per game last year on the ground, and he did it against some solid defenses like that of the Florida State Seminoles and TCU Horned Frogs as well. Don’t think for one second that, even though UCF’s defense has only allowed 20 total points this year, that Di Luigi isn’t going to at least threaten the 100+ rushing yard mark. We expect to see him at this point in the third quarter. Di Luigi Over 55.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

NCAA Football Picks: NC State @ Cincinnati College Football Props

September 21st, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on NCAA Football Picks: NC State @ Cincinnati College Football Props
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Week 4 of college football betting action is here! But before you get started with the NCAA football odds, be sure to check out our college football prop picks for the first day of the fourth week of the season, including the NC State vs. Cincinnati picks!

TJ Graham Over/Under 88.5 Receiving Yards
It is interesting how Graham has really stepped up in this, his senior season. He only had just over 700 receiving yards in his first three seasons with the Wolfpack, and now, he has 252 yards and 12 receptions thus far this year. Of course, this Cincinnati defense, though not the greatest in the world, is still a heck of a lot better than those of two FCS teams and Wake Forest. We just have a hard time believing that QB Mike Glennon is going to be finding all that much success, and if that’s the case, Graham won’t be able to put up fantastic stats either. Graham Under 88.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Isaiah Pead Over/Under 97.5 Rushing Yards
Pead really has run wild in his first three games of the year, including putting up 155 yards on just 14 carries against the Tennessee Volunteers. What’s interesting is the fact that Pead has 257 yards on the ground, yet he has only had 27 touches of the football. This is a lot more serious game, and Jameel Poteat, George Winn, and the likes won’t be getting as many touches as they did against the Akron Zips and the Austin Peay Governors. Though Pead won’t be averaging darn near 10 yards per carry in this game in all likelihood, there is no way that we can see the Wolfpack and their relatively shoddy defense keeping Pead under 100 yards on even 16-18 carries. Pead Over 97.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

NCAA Football Picks: LSU @ Mississippi St College Football Props

September 12th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on NCAA Football Picks: LSU @ Mississippi St College Football Props
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Week 3 of college football betting action is here! But before you get started with the NCAA football odds, be sure to check out our college football prop picks for the first day of the third week of the season, including the LSU vs. Mississippi State picks!

Vick Ballard Over/Under 87.5 Rushing Yards
The Bayou Bengals have allowed less than 50 rushing yards per game this year, and that makes it hard to believe that Ballard is going to be getting anywhere near this 87.5 yard barrier. The truth of the matter is that he has averaged over 150 yards per game as well, but it just isn’t going to happen this week. Last year, Ballard carried the ball 11 times for 28 yards, and the running backs as a whole for the Bulldogs ended up toting the rock 33 times for only 90 yards. Ballard isn’t going to be able to do it on his own, and he won’t reach this ‘total’. Ballard Under 87.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Chris Relf Over/Under 15 Completions
In the first week of the year, we took Relf ‘over’ 11.5 completed passes, and we find it odd that that number, against a stouter defense, has gone up 3.5 completions. Now, it’s true that Relf has completed 33 passes in two games, but it is clear that QB Tyler Russell is going to get his snaps as well under center. There has to be a concerted effort to try to run the football, and even if it fails, we don’t expect Head Coach Dan Mullen to get off of that kick. There are too many variables in this one, but we just can’t see many situations in which Relf completes at least 16 passes. Relf Under 15 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).