Our 2013 NFL playoffs predictions continue on Saturday, January 5th with the Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers. We are set to make our Vikings vs. Packers predictions, tips, and keys to the game for this crucial duel in the first round of the playoffs.

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#6 Minnesota Vikings @ #3 Green Bay Packers
Vikings vs. Packers Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Vikings vs. Packers Date/Time: Saturday, January 5th, 8:00 p.m. (ET)
Vikings vs. Packers On TV: NBC

Key #1: Green Bay has to find a way to slow down All Day
RB Adrian Peterson has ripped apart a number of foes this year, but the way that he has played against the Packers for two games has been just flat out nuts. Purple Jesus has 409 rushing yards in two games versus his divisional rivals, and he had a number of huge runs, including the one that ultimately set up K Blair Walsh for the game winning field goal in Week 17. There is a question as to whether anyone is able to stop Peterson right now, as he has put together 1,598 yards over the course of his last 10 games, and there really hasn’t been a 10-game stretch like this in recent memory. The Packers allowed 118.5 rushing yards per game, but if you take out the two games that Peterson put up, that average came down to 106.2 yards per game, so it isn’t like this is a terrible unit up front. However, Peterson is the best running back in the game, and the argument could be made that he is the MVP of the entire league this year. If he has another huge game, it’ll be tough for the Packers to ultimately triumph.

Vikings @ Packers Odds at WagerWeb Sportsbook
Minnesota Vikings +7.5
Green Bay Packers -7.5
Over/Under 46.5
Click Here to Bet Your Vikings vs. Packers Picks!

Key #2: Aaron Rodgers has to prove that he is the MVP of the league
Minnesota thinks that it has the MVP of the league in Peterson. Green Bay thinks that it has the MVP, too. Granted, we know that Rodgers isn’t going to win the award, but statistically speaking, he is just out of this world. Not only did the former Cal Golden Bear throw for 4,295 yards and 39 TDs, but he also did all of that without a single receiver getting to 1,000 yards. WR James Jones did catch 14 touchdown passes, making him the top scorer amongst receivers this year. The truth of the matter is that it’s all about Rodgers, though. He is the man that is going to make this offense go, and he is going against a pass defense that ranked 24th in the league this year. Rodgers threw for 365 yards and four scores on the road last week, and he had 286 yards at home when these two teams met the first time. If he has another game something in that neck of the woods, the Packers will have a great chance to win. If not, without any semblance of a running game available to him, Rodgers will be in for a long evening.

Key #3: Kicking it to win it
At this level, all of the little things are the ones that separate teams. Three points could go a long way one way or the other for these two teams, and if that’s what the difference turns out to be, the Packers are in some trouble. The normally reliable K Mason Crosby ended up ranking dead last in the league this year in field goal percentage, making just 63.6 percent of his kicks (21-of-33). Granted, he did miss some long ones that he wouldn’t be expected to make all that often, and he has made four kicks in a row after missing two at Soldier Field against the Chicago Bears in Week 15. However, it is clear that the former Colorado Buffalo is going to be outkicked by K Blair Walsh if push comes to shove. Walsh knocked in all 10 of his kicks from 50+ yards this year, and he has the leg to boot it from 60 if he is needed to do so. The rookie went 35-of-38 this year on three-point attempts, and he is clearly the better of these two kickers. P Chris Kluwe also averaged 45.0 yards per punt this year, a solid 1.5 yards per kick better than Green Bay P Tim Masthay. Special teams could be huge in this one from start to finish.

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The Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings are set to continue the 2013 NFL playoffs, and as a part of our analysis of the Wild Card betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial clash.

Largest Lead of the Game Over/Under 16.5 Points: Considering the fact that the largest margin of victory in this series this year was just nine points in a game, it’s really tough to see how one of these two sides ends up pulling ahead by three scores at any point in the clash. With the way that RB Adrian Peterson runs the football, and the fact that this is one of those Black and Blue Division games that should be close from the get go, we really don’t see all that much of a way that this game ever gets too far out of hand for either team. Largest Lead of the Game Under 16.5 Points (-130)

Adrian Peterson Over/Under 126.5 Rushing Yards: It’s the squarest prop play on the board, and it’s the play that is going to garner the most attention of all of the props, probably all postseason long until the Super Bowl. Peterson rushed for 199 yards and 211 yards in two games against the Packers this year, so the common thought is that he absolutely has to have at least 127 yards on the ground in this one, right? That’s exactly what the oddsmakers are trying to get you to think. This is the playoffs. This is the second straight week that the Packers have lined up against this monster. They know what it will take to take him down. Sure, Peterson might carry the ball 40 times and get there that way, but in all likelihood, he doesn’t touch it more than 25. Even the great Adrian Peterson didn’t reach 127 rushing yards in nine out of 16 games this year, and odds have it, he isn’t going to get there in this one either. Adrian Peterson Under 126.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Aaron Rodgers Over/Under 292.5 Passing Yards: It’s going to be around 20 degrees at kickoff. It’s cold. It’s really cold. We know that Rodgers is used to playing in this weather, but he isn’t going to get to 300 passing yards more often than not in it. Don’t fall in love with last week’s game where Rodgers threw for 365 yards and four scores. He’s not doing that all that often. In fact, in outdoor games of late, Rodgers has thrown for 342, 291, 173, 286, 219, 218, 186, and 235 yards. Don’t see a lot of 293+ numbers on there, eh? The Vikes don’t have a fantastic secondary, but what they do have is a running game that controls the clock with regularity. If Minnesota does ride the back of Peterson to the tune of 150+ rushing yards for the team on the day and carries the ball 35-40 times as a team, it’s going to be really tough for Rodgers to have the ball for long enough to throw for this many yards. Aaron Rodgers Under 292.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Will Mason Crosby Miss a Field Goal?: Again, it’s cold, and the ball is going to be awfully heavy in this game. Crosby missed 12 times this season, and he missed those kicks in nine total games. There was a stretch of eight straight games between Week 7 and Week 15 where Crosby missed at least once. Granted, he hasn’t missed since that point, and he does historically have a heck of a leg, but in the end, kickers are weird. They get misses in their head and don’t get them out, and that could be what happens (and is happening) to Crosby. There has to be at least a 40% chance that he is going to miss a kick in this game, and we’re going to be right there to cash in on it when he does. Mason Crosby To Miss a Field Goal Attempt (+140)

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 1/5/13):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -130
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game +100

Vikings Score First +145
Packers Score First -175

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -110
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -120

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -125
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards -105

Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Over 3.5 +115
Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Under 3.5 -145

Total Punts by Both Teams Over 8.5 -115
Total Punts by Both Teams Under 8.5 -115

Total Sacks by Both Teams Over 5.5 +105
Total Sacks by Both Teams Under 5.5 -135

Game Will Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points +400
Game Will Not Be Decided By Exactly 3 Points -600

Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored +160
No Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored -200

Largest Lead of the Game Over 16.5 +100
Largest Lead of the Game Under 16.5 -130

Christian Ponder Throws Touchdown First -140
Christian Ponder Throws Interception First +110

Christian Ponder Completions Over 17.5 -115
Christian Ponder Completions Under 17.5 -115

Christian Ponder Passing Yards Over 191.5 -115
Christian Ponder Passing Yards Under 191.5 -115

Christian Ponder Throws an Interception -300
Christian Ponder Doesn’t Throw an Interception +220

Christian Ponder Rushing Attempts Over 3.5 -135
Christian Ponder Rushing Attempts Under 3.5 +105

Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards Over 126.5 -115
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards Under 126.5 -115

Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards on First Carry Over 3.5 -130
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards on First Carry Under 3.5 +100

Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards on Longest Carry Over 29.5 -115
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards on Longest Carry Under 29.5 -115

Adrian Peterson Scores a First Half Touchdown +130
Adrian Peterson Doesn’t Score a First Half Touchdown -160

Adrian Peterson Scores a Touchdown -220
Adrian Peterson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +170

Michael Jenkins Receiving Yards Over 36.5 -115
Michael Jenkins Receiving Yards Under 36.5 -115

Kyle Rudolph Receiving Yards Over 37.5 -115
Kyle Rudolph Receiving Yards Under 37.5 -115

Kyle Rudolph Scores a Touchdown +160
Kyle Rudolph Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -200

Chad Greenway Tackles Over 8.5 -115
Chad Greenway Tackles Under 8.5 -115

Jared Allen Sacks Over 1.5 +120
Jared Allen Sacks Under 1.5 -150

Blair Walsh Points Over 8.5 -115
Blair Walsh Points Under 8.5 -115

Aaron Rodgers Completions Over 25.5 -130
Aaron Rodgers Completions Under 25.5 +100

Aaron Rodgers Longest Completion Over 38.5 Yards -115
Aaron Rodgers Longest Completion Under 38.5 Yards -115

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Over 292.5 -115
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Under 292.5 -115

Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 -110
Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -120

Aaron Rodgers Throws an Interception -130
Aaron Rodgers Doesn’t Throw an Interception +100

Packers Score a Rushing Touchdown -150
Packers Don’t Score a Rushing Touchdown +120

Jordy Nelson Receiving Yards Over 56.5 -115
Jordy Nelson Receiving Yards Under 56.5 -115

Jordy Nelson Scores a Touchdown +140
Jordy Nelson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Greg Jennings Receptions Over 5.5 +105
Greg Jennings Receptions Under 5.5 -135

Greg Jennings Receiving Yards Over 64.5 -115
Greg Jennings Receiving Yards Under 64.5 -115

Greg Jennings Scores a Touchdown +100
Greg Jennings Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -130

Randall Cobb Receptions Over 4.5 -115
Randall Cobb Receptions Under 4.5 -115

Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Over 64.5 -115
Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Under 64.5 -115

Jermichael Finley Receptions Over 4.5 -130
Jermichael Finley Receptions Under 4.5 +100

Jermichael Finley Receiving Yards Over 54.5 -115
Jermichael Finley Receiving Yards Under 54.5 -115

Clay Matthews Records a Sack or Half Sack -240
Clay Matthews Doesn’t Record a Sack or Half Sack +180

Casey Hayward Intercepts a Pass +260
Casey Hayward Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -340

Mason Crosby Points Over 8.5 -115
Mason Crosby Points Under 8.5 -115

Mason Crosby Misses a Field Goal Attempt +140
Mason Crosby Doesn’t Miss a Field Goal Attempt -170

The Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 3 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Total Field Goals Over/Under 3.5: The expectation is there that this is going to be a game with a lot of yards and a lot of points, but we really aren’t all that sure that there are going to be a ton of scoring opportunities. QB Aaron Rodgers is known for his big time throws that set up touchdowns, not field goals, and QB Russell Wilson isn’t going to be expected to do all that much over the course of the game. K Steven Hauschka does have five field goals on six attempts this year, while K Mason Crosby booted three field goals last week, but we expect those field goal drives to turn into touchdown drives this week for the Packers, and their defense shouldn’t be allowing more than maybe one or two three-pointers. Getting to four field goals on Monday Night Football is going to be tough. Under 3.5 Field Goals (-165)

Total Punts Over/Under 9.5: Here we go again with the punt props that we really don’t like all that much to play. However, we think that the number of drives in this game are going to be limited. We know that QB Russell Wilson isn’t going to be asked to do all that much over the course of the game, and RB Marshawn Lynch is going to run the ball a ton. QB Russell Wilson won’t put his team into all that much trouble in all likelihood, and that means that the clock is going to be running and running quite a bit. If there are a bunch of scores, that means that there won’t be much in the way of punts. If there aren’t a bunch of scores but a bunch of long drives, there’s won’t be punts either. This is a dual threat for us, and we just have a hard time seeing how there are going to be double digits worth of punts in this game. Total Punts Under 9.5 (+100)

Aaron Rodgers Over/Under 24.5 Completions: It just seems like it is going to be a slam dunk, right? Rodgers to complete 25 passes in a game on the road on Monday Night Football? The problem? This is a tough Seattle defense that isn’t going to let Rodgers get the job done. Twenty five completions is a ton for any quarterback to get, especially when on the other side of the field, the team is going to be running the ball and running it a ton. We also can’t help but wonder if Rodgers is going to rip it and grip it at times against an aggressive Seattle defense that is going to be amped up. Getting a 60-yard pass down the field will be great for getting to Rodgers’ passing total, but it isn’t going to help him get to his completion mark. Go with Rodgers to get to around 20, but not 25 completions on Monday. Aaron Rodgers Under 24.5 Completions (-105)

Our expert handicappers have a massive 10* Inside Info Release release going tonight along with a 5* Total Move (Kickoff: 8:35pm ET) in the Packers @ Seahawks matchup for Mon., Sept. 24, 2012. Don’t miss it!

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Russell Wilson Over/Under 18 Completions: We just don’t see it in this one for Wilson. The Green Bay defense isn’t as good as its numbers have suggested over the course of the last two weeks, but there is just no way that we see how Wilson is going to have 19 completions in this game. The wide receivers just aren’t there for the rookie to get the ball out to. Remember that Head Coach Pete Carroll has only let Wilson throw the ball a total of 54 times in two games this year, and there is no reason to think that he’ll chuck it more than 30 times in this one. If that’s the case, getting to 19 completions is going to be awfully difficult for a rookie in primetime in this type of a massive spot. Russell Wilson Under 18 Completions (-115)

Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Props @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 9/24/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -115
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -115

Packers Score First -135
Seahawks Score First +105

First Score a Touchdown -175
First Score Not a Touchdown +145

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 45.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 45.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards +100
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -130

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +135
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -165

Total Punts Over 9.5 -130
Total Punts Under 9.5 +100

Total Sacks Over 4.5 -125
Total Sacks Under 4.5 -105

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown +150
Not a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown -180

Aaron Rodgers Completions Over 24.5 -125
Aaron Rodgers Completions Under 24.5 -105

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Over 295.5 -115
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Under 295.5 -115

Aaron Rodgers Total Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 +145
Aaron Rodgers Total Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -185

Aaron Rodgers Throws an Interception -160
Aaron Rodgers Doesn’t Throw an Interception +130

Cedric Benson Rushing Yards Over 60.5 -115
Cedric Benson Rushing Yards Under 60.5 -115

Cedric Benson Scores a Touchdown +120
Cedric Benson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

Jordy Nelson Over 5 Receptions -130
Jordy Nelson Under 5 Receptions +100

Jordy Nelson Over 74.5 Receiving Yards -115
Jordy Nelson Under 74.5 Receiving Yards -115

Jordy Nelson Scores a Touchdown +105
Jordy Nelson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -135

Jermichael Finley Over 4 Receptions -115
Jermichael Finley Under 4 Receptions -115

James Jones Total Receptions Over 2.5 -115
James Jones Total Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Randall Cobb Total Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Randall Cobb Total Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Russell Wilson Completions Over 18 -115
Russell Wilson Completions Under 18 -115

Russell Wilson Passing Yards Over 200.5 -115
Russell Wilson Passing Yards Under 200.5 -115

Russell Wilson Touchdown Passes + INTs Over 2.5 +160
Russell Wilson Touchdown Passes + INTs Under 2.5 -200

Marshawn Lynch Over 92.5 Rushing Yards -115
Marshawn Lynch Under 92.5 Rushing Yards -115

Marshawn Lynch Scores a Touchdown -115
Marshawn Lynch Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Sidney Rice Total Receptions Over 4 -115
Sidney Rice Total Receptions Under 4 -115

Golden Tate Total Receptions Over 3 +100
Golden Tate Total Receptions Under 3 -130

Zach Miller Total Receptions Over 2.5 -125
Zach Miller Total Receptions Under 2.5 -105

The Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 2 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for the first game of the season.

Randall Cobb Yards On First Reception Over/Under 8.5: WR Greg Jennings is considered a 50/50 proposition to be able to play on Thursday night, and that might mean that we see more of Cobb playing out of the slot. This is one of the shiftiest players in the league, and often times, he is able to get loose from defenders and turn short looking passes into big time gains. That being said, that first look that he is going to have is almost certainly going to be a bubble screen type of play, as QB Aaron Rodgers looks to get his confidence back after having a woeful game last week against the San Francisco 49ers. We just don’t see how the former Kentucky Wildcat is going to have at least nine yards more often than not on his first touch of the football, and this also keeps us covered in the event that he doesn’t catch a pass. Randall Cobb Yards on First Reception Under 8.5 (-115)

Cedric Benson Rushing Yards on First Attempt Over/Under 3.5: Let’s be realistic here. This is a man that carried the ball for an average of right at 2.0 yards per carry last week, and Benson is a runner that really has never been “four yards and a cloud of dust” type of guy. Instead, he is just a guy who is going to barrel right into the line of scrimmage and see what happens with his blockers, and against this Chicago front, that probably isn’t going to go all that well. Look at it this way: Will Benson have more carries over or under four yards tonight? Until we see more out of the Green Bay offensive line, we have no choice but to think that the proper answer is ‘under’. Benson Rushing Yards on First Attempt Under 3.5 (-130)

Will Matt Forte Score a Touchdown?: This is a very, very tricky prop in which you have to be mighty careful. Sure, it seems immediately that Forte would of course get into the end zone, knowing that he is the featured back and will touch the ball at least 20 times over the course of the night. However, last week on the goal line, it was RB Michael Bush that snuck in from a yard out twice, not Forte. Yes, Forte did get his rushing touchdown, but that came from outside the five, not inside of it. That’s not a good sign here for him to score this time around. Sure, Forte could break one and get into the end zone that way, and it just doesn’t seem like it is nearly a slam dunk to have this happen. Forte To Not Score a Touchdown (-105)

Jay Cutler Over/Under 22.5 Completions: Alright Cutler, this is where the rubber is going to meet the road for you. You’ve spoken all about how you think that you are going to take advantage of the bump and run coverage that the Packers are going to send your way, and you think that you are going to tear that apart. We think otherwise. Green Bay is going to be sending the pressure Cutler’s way from start to finish over the course of this night, and that’s going to translate into a shady game for the Chicago quarterback. Asking a man on a team that wants to run the ball first to complete 23 passes against a team that is going to be out for blood just isn’t a great idea. Most will jump right towards the ‘over’ after last week, but we are going to take the road less travelled, which will probably also be the more profitable road over the long run. Cutler Under 22.5 Completions (-115)

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Props @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 9/13/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -110

Bears Score First +130
Packers Score First -160

First Score a Touchdown -200
First Score Not a Touchdown +160

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 49.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 49.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 43.5 Yards -120
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 43.5 Yards -110

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -125
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards -105

Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +140
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -170

Total Punts Over 10.5 +100
Total Punts Under 10.5 -130

Total Sacks Over 4.5 -130
Total Sacks Under 4.5 +100

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown +140
Not a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown -170

Jay Cutler Completions Over 22.5 -115
Jay Cutler Completions Under 22.5 -115

Jay Cutler Passing Yards Over 277.5 -115
Jay Cutler Passing Yards Under277.5 -115

Jay Cutler Total Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -150
Jay Cutler Total Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +120

Jay Cutler Throws an Interception -200
Jay Cutler Doesn’t Throw an Interception +160

Matt Forte Rushing Yards Over 82.5 -115
Matt Forte Rushing Yards Under 82.5 -115

Matt Forte Receptions Over 3.5 -130
Matt Forte Receptions Under 3.5 +100

Matt Forte Scores a Touchdown -125
Matt Forte Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -105

Brandon Marshall Receptions Over 6.5 -125
Brandon Marshall Receptions Under 6.5 -105

Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Over 90.5 -115
Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Under 90.5 -115

Brandon Marshall Scores a Touchdown -115
Brandon Marshall Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Earl Bennett Receptions Over 3 -130
Earl Bennett Receptions Under 3 +100

Devin Hester Longest Reception Over 23.5 Yards -115
Devin Hester Longest Reception Under 23.5 Yards -115

Alshon Jeffrey Yards on First Reception Over 11.5 -115
Alshon Jeffrey Yards on First Reception Under 11.5 -115

Aaron Rodgers Completions Over 24.5 -130
Aaron Rodgers Completions Under 24.5 +100

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Over 302.5 -125
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Under 302.5 -105

Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 +100
Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -130

Aaron Rodgers Throws an Interception -125
Aaron Rodgers Doesn’t Throw an Interception -105

Cedric Benson Yards on First Carry Over 3.5 +100
Cedric Benson Yards on First Carry Under 3.5 -130

Jordy Nelson Receptions Over 5 -140
Jordy Nelson Receptions Under 5 +110

Jordy Nelson Receiving Yards Over 70.5 -125
Jordy Nelson Receiving Yards Under 70.5 -105

Jordy Nelson Scores a Touchdown -110
Jordy Nelson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -110

James Jones Receptions Over 3.5 -145
James Jones Receptions Under 3.5 +115

James Jones Scores a Touchdown +120
James Jones Doesn’t Score a Touchdown-150

Jermichael Finley Receptions Over 4.5 -160
Jermichael Finley Receptions Under 4.5 +130

Randall Cobb Yards on First Reception Over 8.5 -115
Randall Cobb Yards on First Reception Under 8.5 -115

The team that everyone thinks is the best in the league, the Green Bay Packers, ends the Divisional Round of the playoffs, and we are set to make our NFL predictions in their game against the New York Giants.

NFL Playoffs Matchup: New York Giants vs. Green Bay Packers
Giants vs. Packers Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Giants vs. Packers Date/Time: Sunday, January 15th, 4:30 p.m.
Giants vs. Packers Television Coverage: FOX

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Key #1: New York has to continue to get a good contribution from the running game
We know that the way that you beat the Packers is by throwing the ball, but keeping a consistent offense both on the ground and through the air is going to be the calling card for continued success in the postseason for the Giants. This was the worst rushing attack in the league this year, but both RB Ahmad Bradshaw and RB Brandon Jacobs had success against a normally solid rush defense for the Atlanta Falcons last week. In fact, QB Eli Manning threw the ball about the same number of times as the Giants ran it, and that was a real shock for a team that normally throws it at least 60-65 percent of the time in games like that one. It’s hard to run the ball right up the gut against DT BJ Raji and the rest of those stout front liners for the Packers, but it is something that New York is going to have to do to keep the Packers from really assaulting Manning and the passing attack.

Giants @ Packers Odds at Wager Web Sportsbook
New York Giants +9
Green Bay Packers -9
Over/Under 51.5
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Key #2: Greg Jennings has to get involved in the game early
Jennings played in the first 13 games of the season for the Packers, and the team averaged 35.6 points per game. Week 17 was a bit of a toss week with QB Aaron Rodgers sitting, but the offense just didn’t look the same without Jennings out there. He and WR Jordy Nelson can both stretch the field, and when both are on their game, it really opens up the rest of the offense for guys like TE Jermichael Finley and WR Donald Driver, who can’t get up the field as easily. Jennings really has to get into this one early, especially if he is matched up against rookie DB Prince Amukamara. He can do it all, and there is a reason that he has averaged right around five receptions and 80 yards per game over the course of the last five seasons.

Key #3: Green Bay’s flaws cannot be exposed in the clutch
If this were a game against the San Francisco 49ers, we would be having a totally different discussion, as we don’t think that QB Alex Smith really has the ability to win a game in the final two minutes on the road against a team like this. However, the Packers have a real problem against QB Eli Manning, who has proven that he can win games from behind, including against this very same team when he did everything that could do just a couple months ago. Green Bay has one of the worst rushing teams in the league, and neither RB Ryan Grant nor RB James Starks had even 600 rushing yards on the season. It has been proven time and time again that the Packers can’t close out games with their running game, and if that happens in a tight game on Sunday, Eli and the Giants are going to have a chance against a pass defense that ranked No. 32 in the league. There were a number of teams that had a lot of success against the Packers this year down the stretch, and if this ends up being the case once again this week, Green Bay, in spite of its 15 wins in the regular season, could be in a lot of trouble against a team that has a history of winning games like this one against all odds.

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Can the Green Bay Packers really run the table this year? The Packers are now +145 to finish out the season with a 16-0 record, and they are +310 to finish out the season with a perfect 19-0 season, which would make them the first team in NFL history to win 19 games without defeat in the season.

However, if you’re going to get in on the Packers to run the table, you probably are going to want to invest this week. Green Bay is a 6.5 point favorite on the road against the New York Giants, but once that game is said and done with, there really aren’t any tremendous challenges left. The Packers have to play the Oakland Raiders at home, Kansas City Chiefs on the road, and then the two teams that are fighting for the Wild Card spots in the conference, the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions at home. From there, it would be home games in the playoffs, where the Pack hardly ever lose.

If you’re going to beat Green Bay, you’re going to have to do so with your passing game, wihch is why we think that the Giants have a puncher’s chance. The Packers rank No. 31 in the league in pass defense at 287.8 yards per game and No. 30 in total defense at 393.4 yards per game. We’ve seen QB Philip Rivers nearly post a tremendous comeback in the fourth quarter against Green Bay, and if he can do it, so can the likes of QB Eli Manning and QB Matt Stafford.

However, it’s just ridiculously difficult to stop this offense. Green Bay has only been held under 35 points at home once this year, and that came in a game that was a blowout from start to finish against the St. Louis Rams. QB Aaron Rodgers has thrown three of his four picks this year at Lambeau Field, but he also hasn’t had a game in which he has thrown fewer than three TDs at home either. He also hasn’t had a game this year in which he has had a quarterback rating of less than 111. Considering the fact that no quarterback has ever had a rating that high for a full season, it’s amazing that he has done that in all 11 of his games.

Should the Packers win on Sunday, expect to see this prop come down to even money or so, if even that.

Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Minnesota Vikings First Team To Score
It really seems like the Packers are the popular pick here at -230, but we have to remember the percentages. Green Bay would have to score first in over 70 percent of the games to win this NFL prop, and that is truly a stunning rate. The Vikings just aren’t going to be afraid of the Packers, especially after they came out with guns blazing in the first meeting at the HHH Metrodome with a 70 yard pass play on the first play from scrimmage. Know that you are going to lose this prop significantly more often than not, but know that you are going to win it enough to make a sizeable profit in the long run. Minnesota Vikings Score First (+190 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Longest Touchdown Over/Under 49.5 Yards
Just take a look at WR Jordy Nelson’s numbers over the course of these last few games. He has a catch of at least 50 yards in four of his last seven, and he always seems to find the end zone when he breaks free like that. Just right there, you’ve got enough proof that a 50+ yard touchdown could be scored at least half the time. QB Aaron Rodgers isn’t afraid to uncork the long balls at any point, and QB Christian Ponder showed that he can do it as well after taking a 70 yard shot on the first play of the game when these teams met three weeks ago. Parlay all of that with a Green Bay defense that has a propensity to turn you over and score and players like WR Percy Harvin and RB Adrian Peterson in purple, and the recipe is there for at least one incredibly long touchdown when push comes to shove. Longest Touchdown Over 49.5 Yards (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Aaron Rodgers Over/Under 2.5 TD Passes
It’s sad to say, but we really have no choice but to take the ‘over’ in this one. The Vikings have allowed a slew of touchdowns this year to opposing quarterbacks, including three to Rodgers in October. The former Cal Golden Bear has three straight games with at least three touchdown passes, and he has six 3+ touchdown games in eight tries this year. It’s not like the Packers ever really slow down their offense, as there is just little confidence in the ground game with RBs Ryan Grant and James Starks. Rodgers has 24 scores in eight games this year, and he is probably going to end up adding three or four more touchdown strikes to that tally. It’s a chalky proposition, but with the way that the Packers are playing offensively, we just don’t see any other reasonable options but to play Rodgers’ over. Rodgers Over 2.5 TD Passes (-165 at BetOnline Sportsbook).