Posts Tagged ‘NCAA Football Picks’

Humanitarian Bowl Picks: Northern Illinois vs. Fresno State Analysis

December 15th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on Humanitarian Bowl Picks: Northern Illinois vs. Fresno State Analysis
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If you’re a fan of NCAA football picks, you’re going to love the Humanitarian Bowl this year! Two of the more underrated mid major clubs in the country lock horns on Boise State’s Smurf Turf, as the Fresno State Bulldogs, who have already been crippled once on this field, take on the Northern Illinois Huskies. This is the second bowl game of the year and is one that you certainly won’t want to miss out on. But will it be the MAC or the WAC that is celebrating when this toss up is over with? The oddsmakers can’t figure out who to favor in this one, but we certainly can help you pick out a winner! Check out these keys to the game you must consider before making your Humanitarian Bowl picks!

Key #1: Northern Illinois has to act like a team that wants to be here
The Huskies finally have their new man, as former Wisconsin Badgers Defensive Coordinator Dave Doeren is going to be taking over at the conclusion of this game. However, the man in charge now is linebackers coach Tom Matukewicz, as he has been leading the team in preparation for the Humanitarian Bowl. The departure of Head Coach Jerry Kill to the Minnesota Golden Gophers came as a bit of a surprise to many, but perhaps it shouldn’t have been for the Huskies. They just barely had cracked the Top 25 after going 8-0 SU and 7-0-1 ATS in MAC play, and they clearly play in an inferior conference to Minnesota. Now, without a real leader, the Huskies have to unite and come back from the devastating loss in the MAC Championship Game to the Miami Redhawks as well. We tend to believe that NIU has the better team in this game, but if it doesn’t play like it wants to be here in Boise, it is probably going to end up on the short end of the stick.

Humanitarian Bowl Odds at JustBet
Northern Illinois Huskies -1
Fresno State Bulldogs +1
Over/Under 58.5
Click Here to Bet on Your Humanitarian Bowl Picks!
 

Key #2: Ryan Colburn and the rushing game must keep Fresno State balanced
Northern Illinois had one of the most balanced defenses in the entire country this year, holding teams to just 328.2 yards per game and ranking No. 35 or better in every major defensive category. At times this year though, the Bulldogs didn’t stay as true to themselves both with the pass and with the run. It seemed as though when RB Robbie Rouse was in the game, he was the one getting the football. Rouse touched the ball 205 times in just ten games this year, and he accounted for over 1,200 yards of offense and ten of the team’s 41 offensive TDs. When Rouse wasn’t in there though, there was no confidence in any other running back and QB Ryan Colburn was stuck putting the ball in the air a ton. Colburn threw for 2,529 yards this year, but his numbers were all over the board to get there. He put the ball up 33 or more times four times this year, but he also threw 26 or fewer times eight times. Needless to say, this type of inconsistency just isn’t going to cut it, especially when you know that the best opponents you have played have killed you this year. In these games against the Hawaii Warriors, Boise State Broncos, and Nevada Wolf Pack, Colburn threw for just 176.0 yards per game and completed an average of just 13.7 passes per game. That won’t cut it against Northern Illinois. Both Colburn and Rouse have to keep their acts together at the same time, or stopping this Huskies defense is going to be impossible.

Key #3: Chandler Harnish must be forced into some mistakes
QB Chandler Harnish did a fantastic job all season long taking care of the football. The junior only threw five picks for the campaign, and he hasn’t thrown a blunder since the end of the game against the Ball State Cardinals back on November 20th. He also has seven TDs in that stretch. A 20/5 TD/INT ratio for the season was the best for any signal caller in the MAC and one of the best in the entire country, and Harnish should be proud of that. The only thing that gets him in trouble at times is when he tries to do too much with his legs but cannot figure out how to get all the way to the perimeter to break loose. Harnish has a great running back to rely on in RB Chad Spann, and stopping Spann is going to be virtually impossible as it is for a rush defense that was really worked over by a few teams this year. Harnish had five games this year with at least 70 yards on the ground, including three with at least 110. If he has that type of momentum and isn’t making mistakes, this offense for Northern Illinois is very, very tough to stop. There’s a reason these guys scored an average of 47.8 points per game in the regular season in conference play this year.

New Mexico Bowl Picks: BYU Cougars vs. UTEP Miners Analysis

December 15th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on New Mexico Bowl Picks: BYU Cougars vs. UTEP Miners Analysis

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The New Mexico Bowl will kick off the 2010 bowl season on Saturday afternoon, and here at Bankroll Sports, we have the ins and outs covered for a great game for you to make your NCAA football picks for. The BYU Cougars and UTEP Miners really played opposite seasons of each other, as the Miners started off strong and limped to the finish line, while BYU won five straight games to become bowl eligible before losing the Holy War to the Utah Utes by a narrow margin. Which team will end up beating the 11.5 point spread in favor of the Cougs? Check out these three New Mexico Bowl keys to the game.

Key #1: Protecting Trevor Vittatoe
The BYU defense has done a great job this year against opposing passing games, especially in the second half of the campaign. The team only allowed 187.8 yards per game this year through the air, one of the top marks in the MWC and good enough to rank No. 21 in the country. No one threw for over 300 yards on this ‘D’ all season long. For UTEP, QB Trevor Vittatoe is dealing with an ankle injury, and though he is going to be playing in the game, he is probably going to be hobbled just a bit as well. Over the course of the last three seasons, the signal call was sacked 21, 25, and 22 times respectively, but the OL did a lot nicer job this year, allowing him to get dropped behind the line just 14 times. Of late, those numbers are getting worse, and more and more pressure is getting into his face. Vittatoe has only completed 37 passes over his last three games, and he hasn’t made it to the 200 yard mark in any of those efforts, averaging under 150 yards per game. He hasn’t thrown a TD pass in almost nine quarters of game time and has been picked off twice in that stretch as well. It’s fairly clear that, when given a chance, Vittatoe is lethal. He threw for 340 yards and three TDs against the Houston Cougars and 246 yards and five scores against the New Mexico State Aggies. However, this is probably the best pass defense he has seen all season long, and if the Cougs get to him in the backfield consistently, the Miners are in some big time trouble.

New Mexico Bowl Odds at BetUS Sportsbook
Northern Illinois Huskies -1
Fresno State Bulldogs +1
Over/Under 58.5
Click Here to Bet on Your New Mexico Bowl Picks!
 

Key #2: Jake Heaps needs to play like the signal caller he was in the final four games of the year and not the one from the first two months
True freshmen sometimes get a bad rap for the way that they play. Sometimes it’s justified and they just never grow into themselves. Other times, they just need some more time to shine. That’s exactly what happened with QB Jake Heaps this year for the Cougs. He started off the season splitting reps with QB Riley Nelson, a far more experienced and significantly more mobile option. However, HC Bronco Mendenhall turned the keys to the car, per se, over to Heaps going into the game against the Nevada Wolf Pack. He struggled mightily in his first four games as the lone starter, throwing six picks and no scores. However, since the start of November, Heaps has been fantastic. He has completed 61.7 percent of his passes for an average of just under 250 yards per game with nine TDs and just one INT. All but two of his TD passes this year came in the month of November. Remember last year when Utah Utes QB Jordan Wynn really shined brightly down the stretch and in his bowl game? That’s exactly what Heaps has to do here in the New Mexico Bowl to beat the Miners.

Key #3: Someone aside from JJ Luigi needs to help Heaps out
RB JJ Di Luigi did just about everything for the Cougars this year. He had the most carries on the team (158), the most receptions (42), the most rushing yards (819), the most receiving yards (422) and the most total TDs (8). We know that, whether as a rusher or a receiver, Di Luigi is going to get his numbers, and there is nothing that the UTEP defense can do about it. What the Miners have to do though, is shut down everyone else around him. RBs Bryan Kariya and Joshua Quezada have combined for over 1,000 total yards from scrimmage this year, but there isn’t a receiver out there that has more than 34 catches or even 400 yards for BYU aside from Di Luigi. We know that both WR Cody Hoffman and WR Luke Ashworth are threats, but that doesn’t mean that they are going to be able to really bust out. UTEP has to contain these men on the outside and keep from letting the big play happen. There was only one pass play all season long that went for more than 50 yards for the Cougars, and the Miners need to make sure that it stays that way.

Latest 2010 Heisman Trophy Odds, Free Picks, & Analysis

December 11th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on Latest 2010 Heisman Trophy Odds, Free Picks, & Analysis

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Complete List of The Current 2010 Heisman Trophy Odds Can Be Found Below

Tonight, the Heisman Trophy will be handed out to the nation’s top player, though we are already very certain that this award will be given to the great Auburn Tigers QB Cam Newton. Newton was absolutely the top player over the course of the entire season, and if there weren’t any scandals going on about whether he or his family is being paid to play at Auburn, he would have walked away with this award comfortably with a number of weeks to spare. He still might post the biggest margin of victory for this award in its illustrious history.

Newton ended the season ranked No. 10 in the land in rushing at 1,409 yards, and he easily was the top touchdown scorer on the year, accounting for 49 total TDs. He threw for 28 of them, rushed for 20, and even caught one. Newton became the second man ever to have at least 20 passing TDs and 20 rushing scores in the same season, joining a fellow Heisman Trophy winner, QB Tim Tebow from the Florida Gators. Ironically, Newton played his first two years at the University of Florida, watching Tebow tear apart the competition in the SEC.

There is very little drama surrounding who is going to win the Heisman Trophy this year, but the runner up could be a significantly more interesting thing.

Oregon Ducks RB LaMichael James was really the favorite to finish second for the majority of the season, and for good reason. He ran hog wild on everyone in the Pac-10 this year, and he was absolutely the best player on arguably the best offense that the nation has ever seen. James, only a sophomore, had 1,702 rushing yards on the season, tops in the country. The more impressive thing that we have to remember is that unlike Newton, James only had 11 games in which to put up these stats, as he was suspended for the first game of the season against the New Mexico Lobos and didn’t get the chance to play in a Conference Championship Game like Newton did.

If James does stay with the Ducks for all four years, he is probably going to obliterate every single rushing record in the books. He already has 3,248 rushing yards for his career and he a total of 35 TDs on the ground and one through the air.

James’ top competitor for second place is Stanford Cardinal junior QB Andrew Luck, who is likely to get an even bigger prize once this season is over. You can bet that whatever team has the No. 1 overall pick in the NFL Draft this year is going to be eyeing this signal caller. Luck is built like a prototypical quarterback, as he is 6’4″ and 235 lbs. He has a cannon for an arm, and though his legs clearly aren’t what Newton’s are, Luck has the ability to get around in the pocket and escape when he really has to.

Luck really sewed up his bid to New York in his final game of the season against the Oregon State Beavers when he threw for 305 yards and four TDs without an INT. In total, the junior has 3,045 passing yards and 28 TDs against seven picks, and his 70.2 completion percentage was one of the highest in the entire country.

The fourth finalist isn’t really expected to compete in this race, but it is nice to see Boise State Broncos QB Kellen Moore here in New York. Should Moore’s Broncos have finished off the Nevada Wolf Pack, they would be playing in the Rose Bowl on New Year’s Day and he would most likely have finished second in this race.

Moore has numbers that are absolutely unrealistic looking. He threw for 3,506 yards and 33 TDs, marking the third straight year in which he reached the 3,500 passing yard mark, and he now has 97 TD passes against just 18 picks for his career. Should he decide to come back to Boise for his senior year, Moore is likely to challenge all sorts of passing records. Though the Heisman Trophy is clearly out of his grasp, it is great to see a mid-major player as a finalist for college football’s biggest prize. Hawaii’s QB Colt Brennan was the last man from a mid-major conference to be a finalist for the Heisman Trophy in 2007.

Current Odds To Win The Heisman Trophy From BetUS Sportsbook (as of 12/11/2010):
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Total Number of Points for Each Heisman Trophy Finalist
Cam Newton: 2310.5
Andrew Luck: 860.5
LaMichael James: 765.5
Kellen Moore: 500.5

NCAA Football Picks: Oregon Ducks @ Oregon State Beavers Keys to the Game

December 3rd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   1 Comment »

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The Oregon Ducks are just one game away from the BCS Championship, but standing in their way are their hated arch rivals, the Oregon State Beavers. This game is known as the Civil War for a reason, as you won’t find two teams that despise each other as much as these two do. Check out the keys to winning this game for both sides and the things that you must remember before making your NCAA football picks on this game.

Key #1: Stopping LaMichael James
Good luck, Oregon State. The Beavers rank No. 82 in the nation against the rush at 165.43 yards per game, and they have been absolutely wrecked by some of the best running teams on their schedule. Fortunately, we have a lot of great games to compare this one to, but unfortunately for the Beavs, none of them have turned out all that well. The TCU Horned Frogs rolled off 278 yards on the ground, the Boise State Broncos racked up 178, while the Stanford Cardinal had 167. Though these three teams are all phenomenal squads, none of them have LaMichael James on their roster. Simply put, this is the best and most dynamic running back in college today, and he proves it week in and week out. James already has 1,568 rushing yards and a total of 20 TDs in just ten games this year, and he is pacing a rushing attack that is averaging 306.6 yards per game on the season. If Oregon State can’t at least slow this unit down on the ground and keep James relatively in check (and by that, we mean in the near 100ish yard range), there isn’t much hope for knocking off the best team in the country.

Key #2: You Must Believe, Oregon State!
The Beavers have had their backs to the wall a number of times before, but probably never really like this. They’re a 5-6 team right now that is certainly one of the best 40 or so teams in the country. They have fallen upon hard times because of a brutal schedule, and one absolutely unforgiveable slip up at home against the Washington State Cougars shouldn’t be the difference between them going to a bowl game and not going to one. The Civil War has been won before, right here at Reser Stadium, and Oregon State has blown away the Rose Bowl and National Championship hopes for the Ducks in the past. Oregon is a great team. There’s no taking that away from them. However, if they really think that they are going to be competing in this one, the Beavers have to enter with the mindset that they are the aggressors in this game, not the team that is just trying to keep it close and hang on for a ‘W’ at the end. If that’s what happens, they’ll get destroyed.

Key #3: Take Jacquizz Rodgers Out of the Game and Make Ryan Katz Beat You, Oregon
This is really the only think that the Ducks need to worry about. We know that their offense is going to get the job done; that’s why they’re ranked No. 1 in the country at 546.7 yards and 50.5 points per game this year. The real question is whether or not the defense, which has been shaky at times this year, can really get the job done in this rivalry game. The Beavers were shut out last week and have fallen upon some hard times, but they really aren’t to blame for all of these hassles. Their schedule and some injuries are. WR James Rodgers has been out for the majority of the season, and he was the team’s most dynamic receiver. It was bad enough that QB Ryan Katz was already being asked to step in an replace QB Sean Canfield, who was phenomenal with the Beavers in his short time in Corvallis. Now, Katz had to get the job done with Rodgers. He does have his brother to work with though, and RB Jacquizz Rodgers is the man most likely to blow this game open with big plays for the Beavers. Last year in this game, Rodgers rushed for 64 yards and caught 73 yards worth of passes, and this season, he already has 1,110 yards and 16 total scores. The way that you slow down Rodgers is by not letting him have the football. As long as Oregon’s offense keeps scoring and the defense can at least work Oregon State into a few third and long situations, the Ducks should be fine. It’s only going to take a few early stops to take the lead in this game, and once the Beavers fall two scores behind, that’s when things can get a little ugly for Katz, who has only thrown for 2,159 yards this year.

NCAA Football Picks: Oklahoma Sooners @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Props

November 27th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on NCAA Football Picks: Oklahoma Sooners @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Props
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The Oklahoma Sooners are usually the team that is doing the hunting in the Bedlam series against the Oklahoma State Cowboys. However, this time around, it is Oklahoma State that is the favored team. The stakes are even higher on Saturday night, as the winner will play in the Big XII Championship Game against the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Here at Bankroll Sports, we have all of the prop picks for this de facto Big XII South title game that you certainly won’t want to miss out on.

Landry Jones Over/Under 330.5 Passing Yards
Let’s face the facts here. This isn’t going to exactly be a low scoring game. We know that Jones and the Oklahoma offense are going to get their points on the board, and we know that they are probably going to rack up over 500 yards of offense on the day. The Cowboys know that as well. The hosts rank No. 107 in the country in pass defense at just 258.0 yards per game allowed, but that includes all of those games against teams that could care less about throwing the pill around. Jones has averaged 318 yards per game in his career, and he is only getting better with every passing week. If you believe that the Cowboys are going to continue scoring in this one at a wicked pace, you have to love Jones going Over 330.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Saturday night.

Brandon Weeden Over/Under 344.5 Passing Yards
This number though, is a little absurd. Perhaps if Weeden were in the 320s or so, we would consider backing his over, but getting to 345 passing yards in a game is really, really tough, whether you have some of the best receivers in the nation to try to throw to or not. We know that over these last three games, Weeden has thrown for at least 389 yards and that he has tossed seven TDs in that stretch, but this is a different type of challenge which will require more attention to the ground game as well. The Sooners, at their best, are worlds better than the Kansas Jayhawks, Texas Longhorns, and Baylor Bears. You know that this isn’t going to be a three score game, which is what each of these last three have been as well. We think that Oklahoma is at least going to be able to hold Weeden down just a tad. He’ll put up his usual gaudy numbers, but he’ll still end up going Under 344.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Justin Blackmon Over/Under 130.5 Receiving Yards
Blackmon is always the top target for Weeden to throw to, and though we aren’t all that confident in his ability to get to the 350ish yard passing mark, we have no doubts that Blackmon is getting to his yardage total. Remember that this wide out leads the nation in virtually every receiving category in spite of the fact that he was suspended a couple weeks ago for a DUI. Blackmon can go for 300 yards by himself in this game if he really wanted to, and even though the Sooners are inevitably going to be rolling coverage to his side quite a lot, it isn’t going to make one difference. Blackmon will easily go Over 130.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 10 Top 25 Cheat Sheet

November 3rd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on 2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 10 Top 25 Cheat Sheet
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Week 10 college football betting is here! Bankroll Sports is back with more NCAA football picks for Week 10 of the year, but before we do that, we need to take a look at the important trends and history that the teams that are facing against each other in games involving Top 25 teams this week.

Saturday, November 6th: Washington Huskies @ #1 Oregon Ducks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Huskies are 3-10 ATS in their L/13 road games
Washington is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 played in the month of November
Oregon is 20-6 ATS in its L/26 against teams with a losing record

Series History
And we can only imagine just how good that record is against teams with a losing record playing their first game without their starting quarterback! The Huskies are up against in this year once again, and they have had absolutely no luck stopping the Ducks when they are at 100%. The Quack Attack are 6-0 SU and ATS in this series dating back to 2004, winning all six games by at least 20 points. This year should be no exception, as the U of O has a National Championship to go play for and is the biggest favorite on the board by a country mile in Week 10.

Saturday, November 6th: Hawaii Warriors @ #3 Boise State Broncos
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Warriors are tied for the longest winning streak ATS in the country at six games
Hawaii is the only team in the country to have eight covers this season
The Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 overall

Series History
The Warriors have taken their licks on the Smurf Turf, losing 69-3 in 2004, but they also have some awfully competitive moments there as well. They nearly pulled off a shocking upset in 2006, losing 41-34 as two TD underdogs, and competed again in 2008 here, losing just 27-7. However, last season, BSU romped 54-9 and never really looked like it was getting touched even though it was out on the Big Island. The Broncos are 5-5 ATS all-time in this series, but they just snapped Hawaii’s four game cover streak in spite of the fact that there has only been one SU win for the Warriors since the 2000s started.

Saturday, November 6th: #4 TCU Horned Frogs @ #6 Utah Utes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
TCU is 23-9-1 ATS in its L/33 conference games
The Utes are 9-1-1 ATS in their L/11 overall
Utah is 5-0-1 ATS in its L/6 at home

Series History
Needless to say, this is about as big as it gets by mid-major standards. Both of these teams are in the Top 5 in the nation, and the winner thinks that it will be able to stake a claim to the BCS Championship Game should it win out. The Horned Frogs absolutely rolled last year to a 55-28 win over the Utes, but this was a series that historically belonged to Utah. The L/3 meetings prior to last year resulted in three wins both SU and ATS for the Utes.

Saturday, November 6th: #5 Alabama Crimson Tide @ #11 LSU Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Alabama is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 played on grass
The Tide are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played in November
LSU is just 7-18-1 ATS in its L/26 home games

Series History
That last fact doesn’t make the Bayou any less scary of a place for a team to be that is coming in as a highly touted favorite to win the National Championship. The road team is 11-2-1 ATS in the L/14 meetings of these rivals though, and the favorite is 6-1-1 ATS in the L/8 overall. Needless to say, these are both great signs for the Tide. Alabama has won the L/2 meetings as short favorites, winning 24-15 last year in Tuscaloosa and 27-21 in overtime two years ago here in the Bayou. The L/4 have all gone past ‘totals’ in the 30s and 40s, but only one of the four, a 41-34 win for LSU in Tuscaloosa, came by a substantial margin.

Saturday, November 6th: #7 Wisconsin Badgers @ Purdue Boilermakers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Badgers are just 2-10 ATS in their L/12 road games as double digit favorites
Wisky is just 1-5 ATS in its L/6 games as a favorite
The Boilermakers are 7-2-1 ATS in its L/10 as double digit underdogs

Series History
The Boilermakers haven’t done a heck of a lot of scoring of late in this series, getting blanked 37-0 last year in Camp Randall and being blitzed 24-3 the last time these teams met in Lafayette. With QB Robert Marve out of the lineup, there’s a good chance that there won’t be a lot of points this year from the Boilers either. Wisky has covered four straight and has gone 6-1-1 ATS in the L/6 dating back to 1998 in this series. The Boilermakers haven’t won a game at home since 1997. The L/4 have all stayed ‘under’ the total.

Saturday, November 6th: #9 Oklahoma Sooners @ Texas A&M Aggies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their L/5 played in the Big XII
Oklahoma is a winless 0-6-1 ATS in its L/7 after an SU win of at least 20 points
The Aggies are just 6-13 ATS in their L/19 following an SU victory

Series History
Playing in front of the 12th Man is never something that is fun, but at least in the 2000s, it really hasn’t fazed Oklahoma one bit. The Aggies only have one win in this series since 2000, a 30-26 win in 2002 as ten point dogs. They haven’t been favored in this series during this stretch. The Sooners have dropped some big time numbers on the board in their day in this rivalry, winning 65-10 in 2009, 66-28 in 2008, and by a whopping margin of 77-0 in 2003.

Saturday, November 6th: #13 Arizona Wildcats @ #12 Stanford Cardinal
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The U of A is 8-3-1 ATS in its L/12 as dogs of more than a field goal but less than double digits
Stanford is 5-2 ATS in its L/7 following an SU win
The Cardinal are 16-5 ATS in their L/21 after scoring at least 40 in their previous game

Series History
This has traditionally been a low scoring series dating back to 2002, but that was bucked last year with a 43-38 win for Arizona in the desert. Stanford had also covered five of the previous six before last year as well. While playing on “The Farm,” Arizona does know what victory tastes like, having won here in 2007, 2000, and 1998 in recent memory, but the Cardinal have two of the L/3 laughs with wins in both 2008 as short underdogs and 2002 as short favorites.

Saturday, November 6th: #14 Missouri Tigers @ Texas Tech Red Raiders
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Mizzou is 7-1 ATS in its L/8 as road favorites of less than double digits
The Tigers are 14-6 ATS in their L/20 overall
Texas Tech is 42-17-1 ATS in its L/60 following an SU defeat

Series History
These two teams surprisingly don’t meet all that often, but they are probably going to have to get used to each other a lot more starting next year when the Big XII shrinks to just ten teams. The Tigers have won the L/3 both SU and ATS and have scored an average of 47.0 points per game in doing so. From 1995 to 2002, the teams split four games both SU and ATS. It’s a good thing that the Techsters are playing in Lubbock this weekend, because they have never covered a spread or won a game outright in Columbia.

Saturday, November 6th: Minnesota Golden Gophers @ #15 Michigan State Spartans
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Gophers are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 games as road underdogs of at least ten points
Michigan State is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 home games against teams with a losing road record
The Spartans are just 7-15-1 ATS in their L/23 played in the month of November

Series History
The dogs have covered eight of the L/9 in this series, and that means that there has been a ton of success for the Golden Gophers as well! Minnesota has been dominating in this series over the L/3 games, winning 42-34 last year at home, 31-18 in 2006, and 41-18 in 2005. You have to go back to 2004 to find the last win for Sparty at home in this series, and all the way back to 1997 before that. Minnesota knows how to win games here in East Lansing, but unless there is going to be a major miracle happening between now and then, it probably doesn’t stand a chance on Saturday.

Saturday, November 6th: #16 Iowa Hawkeyes @ Indiana Hoosiers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Hawkeyes are 16-5 ATS in their L/21 road games
Iowa is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 in the Big Ten
The Hoosiers are just 2-6 ATS in their L/8 against the Hawkeyes

Series History
Last season’s 42-24 loss for the Hoosiers at Kinnick Stadium was a lot closer than the final score suggests. It was the second straight cover for the Hawkeyes in this series after winning 45-9 here in Bloomington two years ago. Before that though, it was Upset City for IU. The Hoosiers won 38-20 in the cornfields of Iowa as 9.5 point favorites in 2007 and 31-28 as whopping 19 point dogs in ’06. You can bet that the Indiana faithful are going to try to conjure up those moments from ’06 once again, as this is a very similar situation against a very, very good Iowa team.

Saturday, November 6th: #19 Arkansas Razorbacks @ #17 South Carolina Gamecocks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Razorbacks are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 played in the SEC
Arkansas is 8-3 ATS in its L/11 against teams with a winning record
The Gamecocks are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a winning record

Series History
This is a remarkably close series between two very good programs that absolutely mirror each other this year. Arkansas does hold a 7-2 ATS edge since 2001 in this rivalry game, but it hasn’t always been easy. South Carolina has a 34-21 win here in Columbia in the last encounter here, but the Hogs won 33-16 last year as 7.5 point favorites. Both teams know what it’s like to win on the other’s home field, but the Razorbacks have done more winning as guests. They did so in both 2006 and 2002, both times as short favorites.

Saturday, November 6th: #22 Baylor Bears @ #18 Oklahoma State Cowboys
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bears are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played in November
Baylor is 10-4 ATS in its L/14 against teams with a winning record
The favorite is 10-1 ATS in the L/11 in this series

Series History
It still seems weird to us to think that the Bears are a Top 25 team and in control of the Big XII South at this point. They haven’t won in this series since 2005 either SU or ATS, as the Pokes have rolled off four straight ‘W’s, all of which have come by at least 27 points. The Bears only have 13 points to show for their L/2 seasons worth of work against Okie State, a number which absolutely has to improve if they think they have any shot of pulling the upset in Stillwater. But hey, Baylor has been doing this sort of thing all season long, so why not again on Saturday?

Saturday, November 6th: #7 Wisconsin Badgers @ Purdue Boilermakers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Badgers are just 2-10 ATS in their L/12 road games as double digit favorites
Wisky is just 1-5 ATS in its L/6 games as a favorite
The Boilermakers are 7-2-1 ATS in its L/10 as double digit underdogs

Series History
The Boilermakers haven’t done a heck of a lot of scoring of late in this series, getting blanked 37-0 last year in Camp Randall and being blitzed 24-3 the last time these teams met in Lafayette. With QB Robert Marve out of the lineup, there’s a good chance that there won’t be a lot of points this year from the Boilers either. Wisky has covered four straight and has gone 6-1-1 ATS in the L/6 dating back to 1998 in this series. The Boilermakers haven’t won a game at home since 1997. The L/4 have all stayed ‘under’ the total.

Thursday, November 4th: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Virginia Tech Hokies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Jackets are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 played on Thursday night
G-Tech is 13-5 ATS in its L/18 road games
The Hokies have the longest ATS winning streak in the country at six games

Series History
There have been six meeting of these teams since the Hokies joined the ACC, and it seems as though each and every season, this is a crucial duel in deciding who wins the ACC Coastal Division. This year really isn’t that much of an exception, as VT can really put it away with a win on Thursday night. The Jackets have covered two straight in this series, winning 28-23 as short underdogs last year and just missing in a 20-17 loss here in Blacksburg in their last visit. The last three meetings have all resulted in ‘under’ games, so don’t be surprised if this is yet another low scoring affair.

Saturday, November 6th: #23 Nevada Wolf Pack @ Idaho Vandals
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Wolf Pack are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 following an SU victory
Nevada is 0-4 ATS in its L/4 home field turf
Idaho has gone 5-1 ATS in its L/6 games as dogs at the Kibbie Dome

Series History
There certainly has been no shortage of points in this series, at least from Nevada’s end of things in this series. Dating back to 1997, the Wolf Pack are averaging 49.5 points per game, and they are coming off of a ridiculous 70 put on the board last year at home. The last time these teams met in Moscow was back in 2008, a 49-14 win for the visitors as 23.5 point favorites. Idaho has gone just 1-4 ATS and 0-5 SU since 2005, and its last victory in this series was back in 1999. The last win at home came in 1996, a 24-15 win.

Saturday, November 6th: North Carolina Tar Heels vs. #24 Florida State Seminoles
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tar Heels are 6-2 ATS in their L/10 against teams with a winning record
FSU is 3-7 ATS in its L/10 games played at Doak Campbell Stadium
The road team has covered four straight in this series dating back to 2001

Series History
It wasn’t all that many years ago that these two teams were ranked No. 1 and No. 2 in the country. The Noles were seven point favorites that day in Chapel Hill, and they triumphed 20-3. The Noles have only lost to UNC one time in their history in the ACC, a brutal 41-9 defeat in 2001 as 17 point favorites. It marked one of the first times that FSU had been beaten in ACC play since moving into the conference. Since ’03 though, this series has been all one way traffic for Florida State. Sure, the Seminoles didn’t cover the 28.5 point spread in 2004, but it really has cruised past Carolina without any incident.

Saturday, November 6th: #25 NC State Wolfpack @ Clemson Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Wolfpack are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 overall
NC State is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 played in November
Clemson is just 3-5 ATS in its L/8 overall

Series History
The Tigers and Wolfpack have met a ton in conference play, but you have to go all the way back to 2003 to find the last win for NCSU, a 17-15 victory. The last time it won both SU and ATS in the same season against the Tigers was actually its last win here in Death Valley as well. The Wolfpack won 38-6 that day in the most lopsided final in their favor in the history of this series in the ACC. Clemson hasn’t won a game by less than 18 since 2006.

2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 9 Cheat Sheet

October 27th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on 2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 9 Cheat Sheet
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Week 9 college football betting is here! Bankroll Sports is back with more NCAA football picks for Week 9 of the year, but before we do that, we need to take a look at the important trends and history that the teams that are facing against each other this week.

Thursday, October 28th: Florida State Seminoles @ NC State Wolfpack
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Noles are just 1-4-1 ATS in their L/6 played on Thursday
NC State is 13-3 ATS in its L/16 after a bye week
The Wolfpack are 15-6-1 ATS in their L/22 against teams with a winning record

Series History
The Seminoles come into this game at just 5-4 SU in their L/9 against the Wolfpack, something that is unheard of against a team from the ACC. The garnet and gold are only 0-8-1 ATS in those nine games and will desperately be looking to buck the NCAA football trends on that in Thursday night’s primetime, nationally televised game. The Wolfpack have wins at home against FSU is 2006 and 2002 to show for their work against Florida State.

Friday, October 29th: West Virginia Mountaineers @ Connecticut Huskies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
WVU is 11-0 ATS in its L/11 road games against teams with a losing home record
UConn has covered five straight as home underdogs of less than double digits
The Huskies are 35-16 ATS in their L/51 after a loss of at least three touchdowns

Series History
The Huskies have never won a game in this series, but at least they took a step in the right direction last year by covering their first spread by losing by just four points in Morgantown. It’s not like these games have been even remotely close either. WVU has won by at least 22 four times in six lifetime meetings, averaging beating UConn by 23.5 points per game from 2004 until 2009.

Saturday, October 30th: Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Kansas State Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
KSU is 8-2 ATS in its L/10 played in the Big XII
The Wildcats are 9-4 ATS in their L/13 overall
Oklahoma State is just 1-5 ATS in the L/6 in this series

Series History
The news for Okie State just continues to get worse. Its defense had no luck stopping the Nebraska Cornhuskers last week, and now it has to run up against one of the best running backs in the nation in RB Daniel Thomas. WR Justin Blackmon has been suspended for this game after a DUI, and now it runs up against a team that has quite frankly dominated this series. You have to go back to 1988 to find the last win for the Pokes in the Little Apple, and though they have won at home in both 2007 and 2003, they are just 1-5 ATS since 1998 against the Wildcats.

Saturday, October 30th: Syracuse Orange @ Cincinnati Bearcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Orange are 6-1 ATS in their L/6 on the road against teams with winning home records
Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS in its L/12 games overall
The underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the L/8 meetings in this series

Series History
One of the exception’s was last year’s 28-7 win for the Bearcats at the Carrier Dome as 15.5 point favorites. However, this could be a year of some big time revenge for the Orange. Syracuse is playing well, particularly on the road in conference having scored two straight wins there, and they are going to try to pick up their first win in Cincinnati since the 1994 season. The ‘Cuse do have one win since Cincinnati moved to the Big East, but you have to go back to 2004 to find that. Since then, the Bearcats are 3-1-1 ATS and 5-0 SU, and have averaged beating the snot out of the Orange by 16.4 points per game.

Saturday, October 30th: Miami Hurricanes @ Virginia Cavaliers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Canes are just 3-7 ATS in their L/10 played in the ACC
Miami is just 7-18-1 ATS in its L/26 against teams with a losing record
UVA has failed to cover four straight conference games

Series History
The Hurricanes have really taken some vengeance to the fact that the Cavaliers shut down the Orange Bowl with a 48-0 victory in the last game ever played there by Miami in 2007. Since then, “The U” is 2-0 SU and ATS, winning 52-17 at home and 24-17 on the road. The Canes are 4-3 ATS and 5-2 SU all time against the Cavs, including going 2-1 SU and ATS here in Charlottesville.

Saturday, October 30th: Louisville Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Panthers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Redbirds are 3-11 ATS in their L/14 games played in the Big East
Louisville is 4-9 ATS in its L/13 against teams with a winning record
U-Pitt is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 games at Heinz Field

Series History
It’s been all one way traffic in favor of the Panthers over the L/3 seasons, as HC Dave Wannstedt’s team is 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in those meetings. The Cards are 3-2 SU but only 2-3 ATS since moving over to the Big East against the Panthers. They do have one big win here in the Steel City since 1993, a 48-24 triumph as ten point chalks in November of 2006.

Saturday, October 30th: Northwestern Wildcats @ Indiana Hoosiers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Wildcats have covered six straight road games against teams with winning home records
Northwestern has failed to cover seven straight games after allowing more than 280 passing yards in its previous game
Indiana is just 5-12 ATS in its L/17 following an SU defeat

Series History
These Indiana state rivals have really played some great football against each other through the years, which is why we’re keying in on this game. The underdogs have gone 6-1 ATS in this series since 2001, but since 2002, the favorite all of the games have been separated by seven points or less. Heck, both clashes in 2003 and 2004 went to overtime. The home team has won four straight and eight out of nine in this series, with the one road win coming here in Bloomington for the Wildcats in 2003. Northwestern survived a 29-28 scare last year from Indiana.

Saturday, October 30th: Tennessee Volunteers @ South Carolina Gamecocks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Vols are 8-1 ATS in their L/9 games as road pups of double digits
South Carolina is 10-4 ATS in its L/14 against teams with a losing record
The Gamecocks are 5-2 ATS in their L/7 home games

Series History
The road team has gone 9-3-1 ATS in the L/13 in this series. South Carolina knows that it has its work cut out for it, especially with RB Marcus Lattimore injured and questionable for the proceedings, especially for as stingy as this Tennessee team has been lately. The Vols have historically dominated this series, but in the HC Steve Spurrier era, the Gamecocks have fought back. This is the most points that they have ever been favored by in this series. If you take all of the points scored by each of these teams over the L/5 seasons, the Vols have a very slight 110-104 edge.

Saturday, October 30th: Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Golden Hurricane are 11-24-1 ATS in their L/36 as dogs of more than a field goal but less than double digits
The Irish have covered four straight after scoring 20 points or less in their previous outing
Notre Dame is 16-35-2 ATS in its L/53 played at Notre Dame Stadium

Series History
First Meeting

Saturday, October 30th: Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Gators are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 played in the SEC
Georgia is 3-7 ATS in its L/10 against teams with a winning record
The Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played on a neutral field

Series History
The World’s Biggest Cocktail Party is always one of the fiercest games of the season, and this one isn’t going to be an exception in spite of the fact that neither team is ranked in the Top 25, nor is getting any votes. The L/2 seasons, the Gators have taken a big time bite out of the Dawgs, winning by a combined score of 90-27, but UGA is out for some revenge. Will we see some shenanigans like we did in ’07 when the entire team swarmed the field after the first score of the game? The Bulldogs did win that day 42-30, so who knows what could be in store in Jacksonville on Saturday afternoon.

Saturday, October 30th: Michigan State Spartans @ Iowa Hawkeyes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Sparty has gone 3-7 ATS in its L/10 as underdogs
Iowa is 13-3 ATS in its L/16 following an ATS defeat
The Hawkeyes are 14-5 ATS in their L/19 against teams with a winning record

Series History
Last year, Iowa went on the road and took care of the Spartans 15-13 in a game that helped propel them to the National Championship scene. Michigan State needs to return the favor this year to stay alive in the title race as well. The home team had won every game dating back into the 1990s in this series, but Iowa has gone 7-1 ATS since 2000. Neither team has exceeded 16 points in this series in the L/2 years.

Saturday, October 30th: East Carolina Pirates @ UCF Knights
NCAA Football Trends of Note
ECU is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 overall
The Pirates are 5-12 ATS in their L/17 road games
The Knights are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 overall

Series History
It’s not often that we take the chance to talk about Conference USA, but it isn’t often that we have two teams this good playing each other. The Knights have had no luck in this series, winning just once since these two teams got together in Conference USA play and never winning in Orlando. UCF has lost four straight, but has gone 2-2 ATS in those four games, including sticking in front of both numbers in each of the L/2 years. The winner of this one gains the huge inside track in the East Division in Conference USA and will probably represent that half of the conference in the league title game in December.

Saturday, October 30th: Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Texas A&M Aggies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
T-Tech is 2-5 ATS in its L/7 after an SU win
The Aggies are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 home games against teams with a winning road record
The Red Raiders have failed to cover eight straight as road pups of 3.5-10 points

Series History
These Lone Star State rivals have played some real Texas sized shootouts since 2002. The average score when these two have collided since that point has reached 70.3 points per game, including last year’s 52-30 win for the Aggies in shocking form. A&M was a dog by 22 points and did the old reverse cover on the Techsters. That snapped Tech’s four game winning streak in this series. In spite of the fact that the Aggies have covered two straight, the Red Raiders have gone 6-3 ATS since 2001 in this rivalry.

Saturday, October 30th: Missouri Tigers @ Nebraska Cornhuskers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tigers are 14-5 ATS in their L/19 on the road
Nebraska is 11-5 ATS in its L/16 against teams with a winning record
The home team is 6-2 ATS in the L/8 in this series

Series History
It’s a shame to think that this will be the last time that these two teams collide as members of the Big XII. The two have put on some real shows and have been evenly matched since the 2003 season. Since that point, the Tigers are 4-3 SU and ATS, and all four wins have come by at least 17 points. Nebraska did a number on the ‘Zou last year though in Columbia, winning 27-12 and totally shutting down QB Blaine Gabbert and the Mizzou offense.

Saturday, October 30th: Auburn Tigers @ Mississippi Rebels
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tigers are 1-9 ATS in their L/10 against teams with a losing record
Auburn is 2-9 ATS in its L/11 on the road
The Rebels are 3-1 ATS in the L/4 in this series

Series History
This is a series that Auburn used to dominate, but that just hasn’t been the case in recent seasons. Ole Miss does only have one win outright since 2003 and hasn’t won at Jordan Hare Stadium since that point, but the last two times the Tigers have come to Oxford, only bad things have happened. They were dropped 17-7 in ’08 here, and nearly taken down in a 23-17 escape as 18 point favorites in 2006.

Saturday, October 30th: Kentucky Wildcats @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Cats are 2-5 ATS in their L/7 games as underdogs
MSU is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 as favorites of 3.5-10 points
The Bulldogs are just 2-9 ATS in their L/11 as home favorites

Series History
These two teams have fought like Cats and Dogs over the last four years, with the road team winning four straight both SU and ATS. No team has strung more than two consecutive wins SU together in this series since the 1990s. The Wildcats do hold a slight 6-3 ATS edge of note since the 2001 season, but these two teams won’t always meet up with each other with this frequency since they are in opposite halves of the SEC.

Saturday, October 30th: Stanford Cardinal @ Washington Huskies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Huskies are 6-13 ATS in their L/19 against teams with winning records
U-Dub is 18-38-2 ATS in its L/58 home games
The Cardinal are 4-1-1 ATS in the L/6 meetings in this series

Series History
Stanford is suddenly winning games left and right in this series after not standing a chance in the early 2000s. The Trees won 34-14 last year at home and 35-28 the year before in Seattle, and they have a real chance to win their third straight in this series SU and their fourth straight ATS at Husky Stadium. The losing team has been held to 17 points or less in this series five times in the L/6 years, with the one exception coming in 2008. That was also the only one of these meetings that didn’t stay ‘under’ the ‘total’.

Saturday, October 30th: Baylor Bears @ Texas Longhorns
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bears are 9-4 ATS in their L/13 against teams with a winning record
Texas is just 2-8 ATS in its L/10 overall
The Longhorns are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a winning record

Series History
It’s hard to believe that the Bears haven’t won a game in this series since the 1997 season and have only won once since 1992. Heck, this is the first time that Baylor hasn’t been an underdog of at least three TDs in that stretch as well. Since 2000, Texas has averaged being favored by 31.9 points per game, and has averaged winning its ten victories by 37.2 points per game. It could be payback time for Baylor though, as the road team is 9-3 ATS in the L/12 meetings in this series.

Saturday, October 30th: Utah Utes @ Air Force Falcons
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Utes are the only undefeated ATS team in the nation at 6-0-1 ATS and have the longest ATS winning streak in the land at six games
Utah is 10-1-1 ATS in its L/12 overall
The underdog has gone 11-0-1 ATS in the L/12 in this series

Series History
Most of that is bad news for the Falcons, especially when you factor in that the road team is 7-1 ATS in the L/8 in this series. Air Force has covered three straight in this series but only has one outright win since 2002. Ironically, you have to go back to 2001 to find the last win for the Falcons in Colorado Springs against one of their biggest rivals. This is the last scheduled meeting of these teams as Mountain West opponents before the Utes head to the Pac-10.

Saturday, October 30th: Michigan Wolverines @ Penn State Nittany Lions
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Wolverines are 3-8 ATS in their L/11 played away from Ann Arbor
Michigan is winless ATS in its L/4 games as road favorites
The Nittany Lions are 9-2-1 ATS in their L/12 games played in October

Series History
After decades of dominance by the Wolverines, the Nittany Lions have finally stormed back and taken control of this series once again. They destroyed Big Blue 35-10 in the Big House last year and 46-17 upon Michigan’s last visit to Happy Valley. Unfortunately for the Beaver Stadium faithful though, you have to go back a decade to find the most recent win before that, including a number of terrible outings for the hosts. PSU was shut out here in 2001 and beaten 17-10 in 2006.

Saturday, October 30th: Oregon Ducks @ USC Trojans
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Quack Attack is 19-7 ATS in its L/26 games played in October
USC is 7-16 ATS in its L/23 played in October
The men of Troy are 3-8 ATS in their L/11 played on grass

Series History
The home team has won four straight in this series both SU and ATS, but none of those games were as notable as last season’s 47-20 thumping that the Ducks laid on the Trojans on Halloween night in Eugene. Oregon won here in LA most recently in 2000, but since that point has been hammered by 25 and 34 points. The winning team has scored at least 35 in five of the L/6 meetings.

Saturday, October 30th: Colorado Buffaloes @ Oklahoma Sooners
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Colorado is 8-17 ATS in its L/25 road games
The Sooners are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 against teams with a losing record
The home team has covered eight straight in this series

Series History
If the Sooners have long memories, this could be a long, long game for the Buffs. Colorado shocked a then undefeated Oklahoma team 27-24 with a long last second field goal in 2007, the most recent meeting of these two Big XII schools. The Sooners had won the previous five meetings SU and went 4-1 ATS in those five games. However, especially coming off of the loss to the Missouri Tigers, this game takes all the more magnification on for OU, particularly at home.

Saturday, October 30th: Ohio State Buckeyes @ Minnesota Golden Gophers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bucks are 14-3 ATS in their L/17 after allowing 20 points or less than their previous outing
OSU is 21-7 ATS in its L/28 road games
The Gophers are 1-5 ATS in their L/6 home games

Series History
The Bucks still haven’t quite put it together on the road this year, but this might be the perfect panacea. The last time they visited the Dome was in 2007, and they won 30-7. Over the L/6 seasons, OSU has won all six by at least 13 points. Minnesota’s last win in this series was back in 2000, a victory that surprisingly came at the Horseshoe as two TD pups.