Posts Tagged ‘NCAA football trends’

NCAA Football Picks: Oregon Ducks @ Oregon State Beavers Keys to the Game

December 3rd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   1 Comment »

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The Oregon Ducks are just one game away from the BCS Championship, but standing in their way are their hated arch rivals, the Oregon State Beavers. This game is known as the Civil War for a reason, as you won’t find two teams that despise each other as much as these two do. Check out the keys to winning this game for both sides and the things that you must remember before making your NCAA football picks on this game.

Key #1: Stopping LaMichael James
Good luck, Oregon State. The Beavers rank No. 82 in the nation against the rush at 165.43 yards per game, and they have been absolutely wrecked by some of the best running teams on their schedule. Fortunately, we have a lot of great games to compare this one to, but unfortunately for the Beavs, none of them have turned out all that well. The TCU Horned Frogs rolled off 278 yards on the ground, the Boise State Broncos racked up 178, while the Stanford Cardinal had 167. Though these three teams are all phenomenal squads, none of them have LaMichael James on their roster. Simply put, this is the best and most dynamic running back in college today, and he proves it week in and week out. James already has 1,568 rushing yards and a total of 20 TDs in just ten games this year, and he is pacing a rushing attack that is averaging 306.6 yards per game on the season. If Oregon State can’t at least slow this unit down on the ground and keep James relatively in check (and by that, we mean in the near 100ish yard range), there isn’t much hope for knocking off the best team in the country.

Key #2: You Must Believe, Oregon State!
The Beavers have had their backs to the wall a number of times before, but probably never really like this. They’re a 5-6 team right now that is certainly one of the best 40 or so teams in the country. They have fallen upon hard times because of a brutal schedule, and one absolutely unforgiveable slip up at home against the Washington State Cougars shouldn’t be the difference between them going to a bowl game and not going to one. The Civil War has been won before, right here at Reser Stadium, and Oregon State has blown away the Rose Bowl and National Championship hopes for the Ducks in the past. Oregon is a great team. There’s no taking that away from them. However, if they really think that they are going to be competing in this one, the Beavers have to enter with the mindset that they are the aggressors in this game, not the team that is just trying to keep it close and hang on for a ‘W’ at the end. If that’s what happens, they’ll get destroyed.

Key #3: Take Jacquizz Rodgers Out of the Game and Make Ryan Katz Beat You, Oregon
This is really the only think that the Ducks need to worry about. We know that their offense is going to get the job done; that’s why they’re ranked No. 1 in the country at 546.7 yards and 50.5 points per game this year. The real question is whether or not the defense, which has been shaky at times this year, can really get the job done in this rivalry game. The Beavers were shut out last week and have fallen upon some hard times, but they really aren’t to blame for all of these hassles. Their schedule and some injuries are. WR James Rodgers has been out for the majority of the season, and he was the team’s most dynamic receiver. It was bad enough that QB Ryan Katz was already being asked to step in an replace QB Sean Canfield, who was phenomenal with the Beavers in his short time in Corvallis. Now, Katz had to get the job done with Rodgers. He does have his brother to work with though, and RB Jacquizz Rodgers is the man most likely to blow this game open with big plays for the Beavers. Last year in this game, Rodgers rushed for 64 yards and caught 73 yards worth of passes, and this season, he already has 1,110 yards and 16 total scores. The way that you slow down Rodgers is by not letting him have the football. As long as Oregon’s offense keeps scoring and the defense can at least work Oregon State into a few third and long situations, the Ducks should be fine. It’s only going to take a few early stops to take the lead in this game, and once the Beavers fall two scores behind, that’s when things can get a little ugly for Katz, who has only thrown for 2,159 yards this year.

NCAA Football Picks: Oklahoma Sooners @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Props

November 27th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on NCAA Football Picks: Oklahoma Sooners @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Props
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The Oklahoma Sooners are usually the team that is doing the hunting in the Bedlam series against the Oklahoma State Cowboys. However, this time around, it is Oklahoma State that is the favored team. The stakes are even higher on Saturday night, as the winner will play in the Big XII Championship Game against the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Here at Bankroll Sports, we have all of the prop picks for this de facto Big XII South title game that you certainly won’t want to miss out on.

Landry Jones Over/Under 330.5 Passing Yards
Let’s face the facts here. This isn’t going to exactly be a low scoring game. We know that Jones and the Oklahoma offense are going to get their points on the board, and we know that they are probably going to rack up over 500 yards of offense on the day. The Cowboys know that as well. The hosts rank No. 107 in the country in pass defense at just 258.0 yards per game allowed, but that includes all of those games against teams that could care less about throwing the pill around. Jones has averaged 318 yards per game in his career, and he is only getting better with every passing week. If you believe that the Cowboys are going to continue scoring in this one at a wicked pace, you have to love Jones going Over 330.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Saturday night.

Brandon Weeden Over/Under 344.5 Passing Yards
This number though, is a little absurd. Perhaps if Weeden were in the 320s or so, we would consider backing his over, but getting to 345 passing yards in a game is really, really tough, whether you have some of the best receivers in the nation to try to throw to or not. We know that over these last three games, Weeden has thrown for at least 389 yards and that he has tossed seven TDs in that stretch, but this is a different type of challenge which will require more attention to the ground game as well. The Sooners, at their best, are worlds better than the Kansas Jayhawks, Texas Longhorns, and Baylor Bears. You know that this isn’t going to be a three score game, which is what each of these last three have been as well. We think that Oklahoma is at least going to be able to hold Weeden down just a tad. He’ll put up his usual gaudy numbers, but he’ll still end up going Under 344.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Justin Blackmon Over/Under 130.5 Receiving Yards
Blackmon is always the top target for Weeden to throw to, and though we aren’t all that confident in his ability to get to the 350ish yard passing mark, we have no doubts that Blackmon is getting to his yardage total. Remember that this wide out leads the nation in virtually every receiving category in spite of the fact that he was suspended a couple weeks ago for a DUI. Blackmon can go for 300 yards by himself in this game if he really wanted to, and even though the Sooners are inevitably going to be rolling coverage to his side quite a lot, it isn’t going to make one difference. Blackmon will easily go Over 130.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 10 Top 25 Cheat Sheet

November 3rd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on 2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 10 Top 25 Cheat Sheet
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Week 10 college football betting is here! Bankroll Sports is back with more NCAA football picks for Week 10 of the year, but before we do that, we need to take a look at the important trends and history that the teams that are facing against each other in games involving Top 25 teams this week.

Saturday, November 6th: Washington Huskies @ #1 Oregon Ducks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Huskies are 3-10 ATS in their L/13 road games
Washington is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 played in the month of November
Oregon is 20-6 ATS in its L/26 against teams with a losing record

Series History
And we can only imagine just how good that record is against teams with a losing record playing their first game without their starting quarterback! The Huskies are up against in this year once again, and they have had absolutely no luck stopping the Ducks when they are at 100%. The Quack Attack are 6-0 SU and ATS in this series dating back to 2004, winning all six games by at least 20 points. This year should be no exception, as the U of O has a National Championship to go play for and is the biggest favorite on the board by a country mile in Week 10.

Saturday, November 6th: Hawaii Warriors @ #3 Boise State Broncos
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Warriors are tied for the longest winning streak ATS in the country at six games
Hawaii is the only team in the country to have eight covers this season
The Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 overall

Series History
The Warriors have taken their licks on the Smurf Turf, losing 69-3 in 2004, but they also have some awfully competitive moments there as well. They nearly pulled off a shocking upset in 2006, losing 41-34 as two TD underdogs, and competed again in 2008 here, losing just 27-7. However, last season, BSU romped 54-9 and never really looked like it was getting touched even though it was out on the Big Island. The Broncos are 5-5 ATS all-time in this series, but they just snapped Hawaii’s four game cover streak in spite of the fact that there has only been one SU win for the Warriors since the 2000s started.

Saturday, November 6th: #4 TCU Horned Frogs @ #6 Utah Utes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
TCU is 23-9-1 ATS in its L/33 conference games
The Utes are 9-1-1 ATS in their L/11 overall
Utah is 5-0-1 ATS in its L/6 at home

Series History
Needless to say, this is about as big as it gets by mid-major standards. Both of these teams are in the Top 5 in the nation, and the winner thinks that it will be able to stake a claim to the BCS Championship Game should it win out. The Horned Frogs absolutely rolled last year to a 55-28 win over the Utes, but this was a series that historically belonged to Utah. The L/3 meetings prior to last year resulted in three wins both SU and ATS for the Utes.

Saturday, November 6th: #5 Alabama Crimson Tide @ #11 LSU Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Alabama is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 played on grass
The Tide are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played in November
LSU is just 7-18-1 ATS in its L/26 home games

Series History
That last fact doesn’t make the Bayou any less scary of a place for a team to be that is coming in as a highly touted favorite to win the National Championship. The road team is 11-2-1 ATS in the L/14 meetings of these rivals though, and the favorite is 6-1-1 ATS in the L/8 overall. Needless to say, these are both great signs for the Tide. Alabama has won the L/2 meetings as short favorites, winning 24-15 last year in Tuscaloosa and 27-21 in overtime two years ago here in the Bayou. The L/4 have all gone past ‘totals’ in the 30s and 40s, but only one of the four, a 41-34 win for LSU in Tuscaloosa, came by a substantial margin.

Saturday, November 6th: #7 Wisconsin Badgers @ Purdue Boilermakers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Badgers are just 2-10 ATS in their L/12 road games as double digit favorites
Wisky is just 1-5 ATS in its L/6 games as a favorite
The Boilermakers are 7-2-1 ATS in its L/10 as double digit underdogs

Series History
The Boilermakers haven’t done a heck of a lot of scoring of late in this series, getting blanked 37-0 last year in Camp Randall and being blitzed 24-3 the last time these teams met in Lafayette. With QB Robert Marve out of the lineup, there’s a good chance that there won’t be a lot of points this year from the Boilers either. Wisky has covered four straight and has gone 6-1-1 ATS in the L/6 dating back to 1998 in this series. The Boilermakers haven’t won a game at home since 1997. The L/4 have all stayed ‘under’ the total.

Saturday, November 6th: #9 Oklahoma Sooners @ Texas A&M Aggies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their L/5 played in the Big XII
Oklahoma is a winless 0-6-1 ATS in its L/7 after an SU win of at least 20 points
The Aggies are just 6-13 ATS in their L/19 following an SU victory

Series History
Playing in front of the 12th Man is never something that is fun, but at least in the 2000s, it really hasn’t fazed Oklahoma one bit. The Aggies only have one win in this series since 2000, a 30-26 win in 2002 as ten point dogs. They haven’t been favored in this series during this stretch. The Sooners have dropped some big time numbers on the board in their day in this rivalry, winning 65-10 in 2009, 66-28 in 2008, and by a whopping margin of 77-0 in 2003.

Saturday, November 6th: #13 Arizona Wildcats @ #12 Stanford Cardinal
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The U of A is 8-3-1 ATS in its L/12 as dogs of more than a field goal but less than double digits
Stanford is 5-2 ATS in its L/7 following an SU win
The Cardinal are 16-5 ATS in their L/21 after scoring at least 40 in their previous game

Series History
This has traditionally been a low scoring series dating back to 2002, but that was bucked last year with a 43-38 win for Arizona in the desert. Stanford had also covered five of the previous six before last year as well. While playing on “The Farm,” Arizona does know what victory tastes like, having won here in 2007, 2000, and 1998 in recent memory, but the Cardinal have two of the L/3 laughs with wins in both 2008 as short underdogs and 2002 as short favorites.

Saturday, November 6th: #14 Missouri Tigers @ Texas Tech Red Raiders
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Mizzou is 7-1 ATS in its L/8 as road favorites of less than double digits
The Tigers are 14-6 ATS in their L/20 overall
Texas Tech is 42-17-1 ATS in its L/60 following an SU defeat

Series History
These two teams surprisingly don’t meet all that often, but they are probably going to have to get used to each other a lot more starting next year when the Big XII shrinks to just ten teams. The Tigers have won the L/3 both SU and ATS and have scored an average of 47.0 points per game in doing so. From 1995 to 2002, the teams split four games both SU and ATS. It’s a good thing that the Techsters are playing in Lubbock this weekend, because they have never covered a spread or won a game outright in Columbia.

Saturday, November 6th: Minnesota Golden Gophers @ #15 Michigan State Spartans
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Gophers are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 games as road underdogs of at least ten points
Michigan State is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 home games against teams with a losing road record
The Spartans are just 7-15-1 ATS in their L/23 played in the month of November

Series History
The dogs have covered eight of the L/9 in this series, and that means that there has been a ton of success for the Golden Gophers as well! Minnesota has been dominating in this series over the L/3 games, winning 42-34 last year at home, 31-18 in 2006, and 41-18 in 2005. You have to go back to 2004 to find the last win for Sparty at home in this series, and all the way back to 1997 before that. Minnesota knows how to win games here in East Lansing, but unless there is going to be a major miracle happening between now and then, it probably doesn’t stand a chance on Saturday.

Saturday, November 6th: #16 Iowa Hawkeyes @ Indiana Hoosiers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Hawkeyes are 16-5 ATS in their L/21 road games
Iowa is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 in the Big Ten
The Hoosiers are just 2-6 ATS in their L/8 against the Hawkeyes

Series History
Last season’s 42-24 loss for the Hoosiers at Kinnick Stadium was a lot closer than the final score suggests. It was the second straight cover for the Hawkeyes in this series after winning 45-9 here in Bloomington two years ago. Before that though, it was Upset City for IU. The Hoosiers won 38-20 in the cornfields of Iowa as 9.5 point favorites in 2007 and 31-28 as whopping 19 point dogs in ’06. You can bet that the Indiana faithful are going to try to conjure up those moments from ’06 once again, as this is a very similar situation against a very, very good Iowa team.

Saturday, November 6th: #19 Arkansas Razorbacks @ #17 South Carolina Gamecocks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Razorbacks are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 played in the SEC
Arkansas is 8-3 ATS in its L/11 against teams with a winning record
The Gamecocks are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a winning record

Series History
This is a remarkably close series between two very good programs that absolutely mirror each other this year. Arkansas does hold a 7-2 ATS edge since 2001 in this rivalry game, but it hasn’t always been easy. South Carolina has a 34-21 win here in Columbia in the last encounter here, but the Hogs won 33-16 last year as 7.5 point favorites. Both teams know what it’s like to win on the other’s home field, but the Razorbacks have done more winning as guests. They did so in both 2006 and 2002, both times as short favorites.

Saturday, November 6th: #22 Baylor Bears @ #18 Oklahoma State Cowboys
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bears are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played in November
Baylor is 10-4 ATS in its L/14 against teams with a winning record
The favorite is 10-1 ATS in the L/11 in this series

Series History
It still seems weird to us to think that the Bears are a Top 25 team and in control of the Big XII South at this point. They haven’t won in this series since 2005 either SU or ATS, as the Pokes have rolled off four straight ‘W’s, all of which have come by at least 27 points. The Bears only have 13 points to show for their L/2 seasons worth of work against Okie State, a number which absolutely has to improve if they think they have any shot of pulling the upset in Stillwater. But hey, Baylor has been doing this sort of thing all season long, so why not again on Saturday?

Saturday, November 6th: #7 Wisconsin Badgers @ Purdue Boilermakers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Badgers are just 2-10 ATS in their L/12 road games as double digit favorites
Wisky is just 1-5 ATS in its L/6 games as a favorite
The Boilermakers are 7-2-1 ATS in its L/10 as double digit underdogs

Series History
The Boilermakers haven’t done a heck of a lot of scoring of late in this series, getting blanked 37-0 last year in Camp Randall and being blitzed 24-3 the last time these teams met in Lafayette. With QB Robert Marve out of the lineup, there’s a good chance that there won’t be a lot of points this year from the Boilers either. Wisky has covered four straight and has gone 6-1-1 ATS in the L/6 dating back to 1998 in this series. The Boilermakers haven’t won a game at home since 1997. The L/4 have all stayed ‘under’ the total.

Thursday, November 4th: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Virginia Tech Hokies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Jackets are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 played on Thursday night
G-Tech is 13-5 ATS in its L/18 road games
The Hokies have the longest ATS winning streak in the country at six games

Series History
There have been six meeting of these teams since the Hokies joined the ACC, and it seems as though each and every season, this is a crucial duel in deciding who wins the ACC Coastal Division. This year really isn’t that much of an exception, as VT can really put it away with a win on Thursday night. The Jackets have covered two straight in this series, winning 28-23 as short underdogs last year and just missing in a 20-17 loss here in Blacksburg in their last visit. The last three meetings have all resulted in ‘under’ games, so don’t be surprised if this is yet another low scoring affair.

Saturday, November 6th: #23 Nevada Wolf Pack @ Idaho Vandals
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Wolf Pack are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 following an SU victory
Nevada is 0-4 ATS in its L/4 home field turf
Idaho has gone 5-1 ATS in its L/6 games as dogs at the Kibbie Dome

Series History
There certainly has been no shortage of points in this series, at least from Nevada’s end of things in this series. Dating back to 1997, the Wolf Pack are averaging 49.5 points per game, and they are coming off of a ridiculous 70 put on the board last year at home. The last time these teams met in Moscow was back in 2008, a 49-14 win for the visitors as 23.5 point favorites. Idaho has gone just 1-4 ATS and 0-5 SU since 2005, and its last victory in this series was back in 1999. The last win at home came in 1996, a 24-15 win.

Saturday, November 6th: North Carolina Tar Heels vs. #24 Florida State Seminoles
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tar Heels are 6-2 ATS in their L/10 against teams with a winning record
FSU is 3-7 ATS in its L/10 games played at Doak Campbell Stadium
The road team has covered four straight in this series dating back to 2001

Series History
It wasn’t all that many years ago that these two teams were ranked No. 1 and No. 2 in the country. The Noles were seven point favorites that day in Chapel Hill, and they triumphed 20-3. The Noles have only lost to UNC one time in their history in the ACC, a brutal 41-9 defeat in 2001 as 17 point favorites. It marked one of the first times that FSU had been beaten in ACC play since moving into the conference. Since ’03 though, this series has been all one way traffic for Florida State. Sure, the Seminoles didn’t cover the 28.5 point spread in 2004, but it really has cruised past Carolina without any incident.

Saturday, November 6th: #25 NC State Wolfpack @ Clemson Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Wolfpack are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 overall
NC State is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 played in November
Clemson is just 3-5 ATS in its L/8 overall

Series History
The Tigers and Wolfpack have met a ton in conference play, but you have to go all the way back to 2003 to find the last win for NCSU, a 17-15 victory. The last time it won both SU and ATS in the same season against the Tigers was actually its last win here in Death Valley as well. The Wolfpack won 38-6 that day in the most lopsided final in their favor in the history of this series in the ACC. Clemson hasn’t won a game by less than 18 since 2006.

2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 9 Cheat Sheet

October 27th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on 2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 9 Cheat Sheet
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Week 9 college football betting is here! Bankroll Sports is back with more NCAA football picks for Week 9 of the year, but before we do that, we need to take a look at the important trends and history that the teams that are facing against each other this week.

Thursday, October 28th: Florida State Seminoles @ NC State Wolfpack
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Noles are just 1-4-1 ATS in their L/6 played on Thursday
NC State is 13-3 ATS in its L/16 after a bye week
The Wolfpack are 15-6-1 ATS in their L/22 against teams with a winning record

Series History
The Seminoles come into this game at just 5-4 SU in their L/9 against the Wolfpack, something that is unheard of against a team from the ACC. The garnet and gold are only 0-8-1 ATS in those nine games and will desperately be looking to buck the NCAA football trends on that in Thursday night’s primetime, nationally televised game. The Wolfpack have wins at home against FSU is 2006 and 2002 to show for their work against Florida State.

Friday, October 29th: West Virginia Mountaineers @ Connecticut Huskies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
WVU is 11-0 ATS in its L/11 road games against teams with a losing home record
UConn has covered five straight as home underdogs of less than double digits
The Huskies are 35-16 ATS in their L/51 after a loss of at least three touchdowns

Series History
The Huskies have never won a game in this series, but at least they took a step in the right direction last year by covering their first spread by losing by just four points in Morgantown. It’s not like these games have been even remotely close either. WVU has won by at least 22 four times in six lifetime meetings, averaging beating UConn by 23.5 points per game from 2004 until 2009.

Saturday, October 30th: Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Kansas State Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
KSU is 8-2 ATS in its L/10 played in the Big XII
The Wildcats are 9-4 ATS in their L/13 overall
Oklahoma State is just 1-5 ATS in the L/6 in this series

Series History
The news for Okie State just continues to get worse. Its defense had no luck stopping the Nebraska Cornhuskers last week, and now it has to run up against one of the best running backs in the nation in RB Daniel Thomas. WR Justin Blackmon has been suspended for this game after a DUI, and now it runs up against a team that has quite frankly dominated this series. You have to go back to 1988 to find the last win for the Pokes in the Little Apple, and though they have won at home in both 2007 and 2003, they are just 1-5 ATS since 1998 against the Wildcats.

Saturday, October 30th: Syracuse Orange @ Cincinnati Bearcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Orange are 6-1 ATS in their L/6 on the road against teams with winning home records
Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS in its L/12 games overall
The underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the L/8 meetings in this series

Series History
One of the exception’s was last year’s 28-7 win for the Bearcats at the Carrier Dome as 15.5 point favorites. However, this could be a year of some big time revenge for the Orange. Syracuse is playing well, particularly on the road in conference having scored two straight wins there, and they are going to try to pick up their first win in Cincinnati since the 1994 season. The ‘Cuse do have one win since Cincinnati moved to the Big East, but you have to go back to 2004 to find that. Since then, the Bearcats are 3-1-1 ATS and 5-0 SU, and have averaged beating the snot out of the Orange by 16.4 points per game.

Saturday, October 30th: Miami Hurricanes @ Virginia Cavaliers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Canes are just 3-7 ATS in their L/10 played in the ACC
Miami is just 7-18-1 ATS in its L/26 against teams with a losing record
UVA has failed to cover four straight conference games

Series History
The Hurricanes have really taken some vengeance to the fact that the Cavaliers shut down the Orange Bowl with a 48-0 victory in the last game ever played there by Miami in 2007. Since then, “The U” is 2-0 SU and ATS, winning 52-17 at home and 24-17 on the road. The Canes are 4-3 ATS and 5-2 SU all time against the Cavs, including going 2-1 SU and ATS here in Charlottesville.

Saturday, October 30th: Louisville Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Panthers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Redbirds are 3-11 ATS in their L/14 games played in the Big East
Louisville is 4-9 ATS in its L/13 against teams with a winning record
U-Pitt is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 games at Heinz Field

Series History
It’s been all one way traffic in favor of the Panthers over the L/3 seasons, as HC Dave Wannstedt’s team is 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in those meetings. The Cards are 3-2 SU but only 2-3 ATS since moving over to the Big East against the Panthers. They do have one big win here in the Steel City since 1993, a 48-24 triumph as ten point chalks in November of 2006.

Saturday, October 30th: Northwestern Wildcats @ Indiana Hoosiers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Wildcats have covered six straight road games against teams with winning home records
Northwestern has failed to cover seven straight games after allowing more than 280 passing yards in its previous game
Indiana is just 5-12 ATS in its L/17 following an SU defeat

Series History
These Indiana state rivals have really played some great football against each other through the years, which is why we’re keying in on this game. The underdogs have gone 6-1 ATS in this series since 2001, but since 2002, the favorite all of the games have been separated by seven points or less. Heck, both clashes in 2003 and 2004 went to overtime. The home team has won four straight and eight out of nine in this series, with the one road win coming here in Bloomington for the Wildcats in 2003. Northwestern survived a 29-28 scare last year from Indiana.

Saturday, October 30th: Tennessee Volunteers @ South Carolina Gamecocks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Vols are 8-1 ATS in their L/9 games as road pups of double digits
South Carolina is 10-4 ATS in its L/14 against teams with a losing record
The Gamecocks are 5-2 ATS in their L/7 home games

Series History
The road team has gone 9-3-1 ATS in the L/13 in this series. South Carolina knows that it has its work cut out for it, especially with RB Marcus Lattimore injured and questionable for the proceedings, especially for as stingy as this Tennessee team has been lately. The Vols have historically dominated this series, but in the HC Steve Spurrier era, the Gamecocks have fought back. This is the most points that they have ever been favored by in this series. If you take all of the points scored by each of these teams over the L/5 seasons, the Vols have a very slight 110-104 edge.

Saturday, October 30th: Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Golden Hurricane are 11-24-1 ATS in their L/36 as dogs of more than a field goal but less than double digits
The Irish have covered four straight after scoring 20 points or less in their previous outing
Notre Dame is 16-35-2 ATS in its L/53 played at Notre Dame Stadium

Series History
First Meeting

Saturday, October 30th: Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Gators are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 played in the SEC
Georgia is 3-7 ATS in its L/10 against teams with a winning record
The Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played on a neutral field

Series History
The World’s Biggest Cocktail Party is always one of the fiercest games of the season, and this one isn’t going to be an exception in spite of the fact that neither team is ranked in the Top 25, nor is getting any votes. The L/2 seasons, the Gators have taken a big time bite out of the Dawgs, winning by a combined score of 90-27, but UGA is out for some revenge. Will we see some shenanigans like we did in ’07 when the entire team swarmed the field after the first score of the game? The Bulldogs did win that day 42-30, so who knows what could be in store in Jacksonville on Saturday afternoon.

Saturday, October 30th: Michigan State Spartans @ Iowa Hawkeyes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Sparty has gone 3-7 ATS in its L/10 as underdogs
Iowa is 13-3 ATS in its L/16 following an ATS defeat
The Hawkeyes are 14-5 ATS in their L/19 against teams with a winning record

Series History
Last year, Iowa went on the road and took care of the Spartans 15-13 in a game that helped propel them to the National Championship scene. Michigan State needs to return the favor this year to stay alive in the title race as well. The home team had won every game dating back into the 1990s in this series, but Iowa has gone 7-1 ATS since 2000. Neither team has exceeded 16 points in this series in the L/2 years.

Saturday, October 30th: East Carolina Pirates @ UCF Knights
NCAA Football Trends of Note
ECU is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 overall
The Pirates are 5-12 ATS in their L/17 road games
The Knights are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 overall

Series History
It’s not often that we take the chance to talk about Conference USA, but it isn’t often that we have two teams this good playing each other. The Knights have had no luck in this series, winning just once since these two teams got together in Conference USA play and never winning in Orlando. UCF has lost four straight, but has gone 2-2 ATS in those four games, including sticking in front of both numbers in each of the L/2 years. The winner of this one gains the huge inside track in the East Division in Conference USA and will probably represent that half of the conference in the league title game in December.

Saturday, October 30th: Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Texas A&M Aggies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
T-Tech is 2-5 ATS in its L/7 after an SU win
The Aggies are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 home games against teams with a winning road record
The Red Raiders have failed to cover eight straight as road pups of 3.5-10 points

Series History
These Lone Star State rivals have played some real Texas sized shootouts since 2002. The average score when these two have collided since that point has reached 70.3 points per game, including last year’s 52-30 win for the Aggies in shocking form. A&M was a dog by 22 points and did the old reverse cover on the Techsters. That snapped Tech’s four game winning streak in this series. In spite of the fact that the Aggies have covered two straight, the Red Raiders have gone 6-3 ATS since 2001 in this rivalry.

Saturday, October 30th: Missouri Tigers @ Nebraska Cornhuskers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tigers are 14-5 ATS in their L/19 on the road
Nebraska is 11-5 ATS in its L/16 against teams with a winning record
The home team is 6-2 ATS in the L/8 in this series

Series History
It’s a shame to think that this will be the last time that these two teams collide as members of the Big XII. The two have put on some real shows and have been evenly matched since the 2003 season. Since that point, the Tigers are 4-3 SU and ATS, and all four wins have come by at least 17 points. Nebraska did a number on the ‘Zou last year though in Columbia, winning 27-12 and totally shutting down QB Blaine Gabbert and the Mizzou offense.

Saturday, October 30th: Auburn Tigers @ Mississippi Rebels
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tigers are 1-9 ATS in their L/10 against teams with a losing record
Auburn is 2-9 ATS in its L/11 on the road
The Rebels are 3-1 ATS in the L/4 in this series

Series History
This is a series that Auburn used to dominate, but that just hasn’t been the case in recent seasons. Ole Miss does only have one win outright since 2003 and hasn’t won at Jordan Hare Stadium since that point, but the last two times the Tigers have come to Oxford, only bad things have happened. They were dropped 17-7 in ’08 here, and nearly taken down in a 23-17 escape as 18 point favorites in 2006.

Saturday, October 30th: Kentucky Wildcats @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Cats are 2-5 ATS in their L/7 games as underdogs
MSU is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 as favorites of 3.5-10 points
The Bulldogs are just 2-9 ATS in their L/11 as home favorites

Series History
These two teams have fought like Cats and Dogs over the last four years, with the road team winning four straight both SU and ATS. No team has strung more than two consecutive wins SU together in this series since the 1990s. The Wildcats do hold a slight 6-3 ATS edge of note since the 2001 season, but these two teams won’t always meet up with each other with this frequency since they are in opposite halves of the SEC.

Saturday, October 30th: Stanford Cardinal @ Washington Huskies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Huskies are 6-13 ATS in their L/19 against teams with winning records
U-Dub is 18-38-2 ATS in its L/58 home games
The Cardinal are 4-1-1 ATS in the L/6 meetings in this series

Series History
Stanford is suddenly winning games left and right in this series after not standing a chance in the early 2000s. The Trees won 34-14 last year at home and 35-28 the year before in Seattle, and they have a real chance to win their third straight in this series SU and their fourth straight ATS at Husky Stadium. The losing team has been held to 17 points or less in this series five times in the L/6 years, with the one exception coming in 2008. That was also the only one of these meetings that didn’t stay ‘under’ the ‘total’.

Saturday, October 30th: Baylor Bears @ Texas Longhorns
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bears are 9-4 ATS in their L/13 against teams with a winning record
Texas is just 2-8 ATS in its L/10 overall
The Longhorns are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a winning record

Series History
It’s hard to believe that the Bears haven’t won a game in this series since the 1997 season and have only won once since 1992. Heck, this is the first time that Baylor hasn’t been an underdog of at least three TDs in that stretch as well. Since 2000, Texas has averaged being favored by 31.9 points per game, and has averaged winning its ten victories by 37.2 points per game. It could be payback time for Baylor though, as the road team is 9-3 ATS in the L/12 meetings in this series.

Saturday, October 30th: Utah Utes @ Air Force Falcons
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Utes are the only undefeated ATS team in the nation at 6-0-1 ATS and have the longest ATS winning streak in the land at six games
Utah is 10-1-1 ATS in its L/12 overall
The underdog has gone 11-0-1 ATS in the L/12 in this series

Series History
Most of that is bad news for the Falcons, especially when you factor in that the road team is 7-1 ATS in the L/8 in this series. Air Force has covered three straight in this series but only has one outright win since 2002. Ironically, you have to go back to 2001 to find the last win for the Falcons in Colorado Springs against one of their biggest rivals. This is the last scheduled meeting of these teams as Mountain West opponents before the Utes head to the Pac-10.

Saturday, October 30th: Michigan Wolverines @ Penn State Nittany Lions
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Wolverines are 3-8 ATS in their L/11 played away from Ann Arbor
Michigan is winless ATS in its L/4 games as road favorites
The Nittany Lions are 9-2-1 ATS in their L/12 games played in October

Series History
After decades of dominance by the Wolverines, the Nittany Lions have finally stormed back and taken control of this series once again. They destroyed Big Blue 35-10 in the Big House last year and 46-17 upon Michigan’s last visit to Happy Valley. Unfortunately for the Beaver Stadium faithful though, you have to go back a decade to find the most recent win before that, including a number of terrible outings for the hosts. PSU was shut out here in 2001 and beaten 17-10 in 2006.

Saturday, October 30th: Oregon Ducks @ USC Trojans
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Quack Attack is 19-7 ATS in its L/26 games played in October
USC is 7-16 ATS in its L/23 played in October
The men of Troy are 3-8 ATS in their L/11 played on grass

Series History
The home team has won four straight in this series both SU and ATS, but none of those games were as notable as last season’s 47-20 thumping that the Ducks laid on the Trojans on Halloween night in Eugene. Oregon won here in LA most recently in 2000, but since that point has been hammered by 25 and 34 points. The winning team has scored at least 35 in five of the L/6 meetings.

Saturday, October 30th: Colorado Buffaloes @ Oklahoma Sooners
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Colorado is 8-17 ATS in its L/25 road games
The Sooners are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 against teams with a losing record
The home team has covered eight straight in this series

Series History
If the Sooners have long memories, this could be a long, long game for the Buffs. Colorado shocked a then undefeated Oklahoma team 27-24 with a long last second field goal in 2007, the most recent meeting of these two Big XII schools. The Sooners had won the previous five meetings SU and went 4-1 ATS in those five games. However, especially coming off of the loss to the Missouri Tigers, this game takes all the more magnification on for OU, particularly at home.

Saturday, October 30th: Ohio State Buckeyes @ Minnesota Golden Gophers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bucks are 14-3 ATS in their L/17 after allowing 20 points or less than their previous outing
OSU is 21-7 ATS in its L/28 road games
The Gophers are 1-5 ATS in their L/6 home games

Series History
The Bucks still haven’t quite put it together on the road this year, but this might be the perfect panacea. The last time they visited the Dome was in 2007, and they won 30-7. Over the L/6 seasons, OSU has won all six by at least 13 points. Minnesota’s last win in this series was back in 2000, a victory that surprisingly came at the Horseshoe as two TD pups.

NCAA Football Picks: Florida State Seminoles @ NC State Wolfpack Props

October 25th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on NCAA Football Picks: Florida State Seminoles @ NC State Wolfpack Props
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By the standard set by the Florida State Seminoles. they have never had much in the way of luck against the NC State Wolfpack, particularly in Raleigh. Nor have they ever really played that well on primetime football, especially during the week. However, if they want to win the ACC Atlantic Division, they are going to have to put those demons aside and come forth with their best effort on Thursday night to take care of the North Carolina State Wolfpack. Here are our NCAA football props picks for this nationally televised game on ESPN!

Russell Wilson Over/Under 3.5 Touchdowns + INTs
Florida State has a ball hawking secondary that is really one of the most athletic units in the nation. However, unless Wilson plans on throwing oodles of INTs, we have no idea why the oddsmakers are asking him to get to four TDs + INTs in this one. Wilson has 18 touchdown passes this season in just seven games, which is a remarkable number. However, the majority of these TD tosses have come against iffy defenses, save the three TD game against the Virginia Tech Hokies a few weeks ago. Wilson is up against it now, perhaps against the best defense in the ACC. Yes, the Noles will probably get their INT, possibly even two. After all, Wilson has tossed nine picks in his last four games. Remember that this was also a man who only threw one INT in his entire freshman season. Florida State isn’t allowing three TDs passes, and if that’s the case, we’re banking on Wilson to not throw at least three picks again. We’ll take our chances on Wilson going Under 3.5 TDs + INTs (+125 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Thursday night.

Will Willie Haulstead Score a Touchdown?
QB Christian Ponder loves to throw the ball all over the field to a number of different receivers, but Haulstead, at best, is option No. 3. You’re talking about a man that has only scored in two different games this year, and has only had four total catches in FSU’s last two games overall. Aside from that, the Wolfpack have a secondary that is better than what the Noles are used to seeing on average. The sophomore is a big time deep threat, but asking him to score a TD in at least one out of three games to beat us is ludicrous. There’s no way that we aren’t on the right side of this prop more often than not. Go with a Haulstead Not to Score a Touchdown (-180 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Will Jermaine Thomas Score a Touchdown?
Here we go again with another prop that the oddsmakers don’t really know what they’re doing. Thomas really became the “feature” back in this FSU offense when RB Ty Jones got hurt a few weeks ago. However, Jones came back into the fold last week against the Boston College Eagles, and as a result, Thomas only ended up with five carries for the entire game. We expect to see him touch the rock a solid 12-15 times between receptions and carries in this one, but that doesn’t mean that he is finding pay dirt even half the time. There is no real rhyme or reason for who HC Jimbo Fisher elects to deploy down by the goal line, and we aren’t so sure that Florida State won’t be doing more throwing the ball in tight in this game anyway. Once again, the oddsmakers don’t know what they’re doing with this one. Go with Thomas Not to Score a Touchdown (+120 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 8 Cheat Sheet

October 21st, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on 2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 8 Cheat Sheet
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Week 8 college football betting is here! Bankroll Sports is back with more NCAA football picks for Week 8 of the year, but before we do that, we need to take a look at the important trends and history that the teams that are facing against each other this week.

Thursday, October 21st: UCLA Bruins @ Oregon Ducks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
UCLA is 1-7 ATS in its L/8 played in October
The Ducks are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 at home
The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the L/8 in this series

Series History
That wasn’t the case last year though, as the Ducks pounded the Bruins 24-10 at the Rose Bowl for their seventh outright victory in their L/9 tries. UCLA hasn’t really been taken behind the shed in recent years, losing by more than those two TDs most recently in 2003, so the prospects of an absolutely blowout are minimum for the Ducks if history repeats itself. Oregon is going to look to break a streak that dates back into the 1990s of consecutive games against the Bruins without scoring more than 31 points.

Friday, October 22nd: South Florida Bulls @ Cincinnati Bearcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bearcats are 3-8 ATS in their L/11 overall
Cincinnati is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 played in the Big East
South Florida has failed to cover a spread in this series since 2003

Series History
Yikes. The Bulls have just been absolutely run over by Cincinnati since this series got started in 2003. USF won the first duel 24-17 in overtime as 3.5 point favorites, but since that point, it has really been all one way traffic. The Bearcats have only been defeated once, with that coming in 2005 as 22 point underdogs, and they have absolutely destroyed the college football spreads by double digits in each of the L/4 years.

Saturday, October 23rd: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Navy Midshipmen
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Irish are just 1-10-2 ATS in their L/13 games as favorites
Navy is 4-0 ATS in its L/4 against teams with a winning record
The Middies are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 as dogs of between 3.5 and 10 points

Series History
Once upon a time, Notre Dame simply never lost to Navy. That all ended in 2007 in South Bend, when the Middies broke the dastardly losing streak. The bad news for the Naval Academy is that it still hasn’t won a game outside of South Bend in this series since well before most of us were born. The good news is that this one isn’t going to be in Annapolis, rather at New Meadowlands Stadium, where the Midshipmen hope that new found success comes. The road team is 14-1 ATS in the L/15 in this series, and though we have a feeling that this will look more like a legitimate neutral site venue, the Irish are technically the road team on Saturday.

Saturday, October 23rd: Syracuse Orange @ West Virginia Mountaineers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Orange are 5-1 ATS in their L/6 on the road against teams with winning home records
West Virginia has covered four straight games in conference
The ‘Neers are 6-0 ATS in their L/6 against teams with winning records

Series History
It’s hard to think that we are classifying Syracuse as a team with a winning record six games into the season, but here we are! The ‘Cuse haven’t won a game in this series since 2000 and will be looking to avoid the full decade sweep. Last year, the Mountaineers had no issues at the Carrier Dome, winning 34-14. West Virginia has failed to cover back to back in this series in Morgantown, but this is also the first time since 2002 in which the college football odds don’t feature at least a 15 point spread that it has to cover.

Saturday, October 23rd: Purdue Boilermakers @ Ohio State Buckeyes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Buckeyes are 10-1 ATS in their L/11 home games and 4-0 ATS there this season
Ohio State is 44-20 ATS in its L/64 overall
The Boilers are 5-1 ATS over the L/6 meetings with OSU

Series History
Last year, the Boilermakers pulled off the upset that essentially knocked the Buckeyes out of the National Championship Game. Things would have been significantly more interesting without the 26-18 defeat in Lafayette, and you can bet that OSU is going to be out for blood looking to avenge that defeat. The Buckeyes have really only posted one truly dominating effort in this series since 2001, a 23-7 win in 2007. However, that ’01 triumph was the last time that they scored more than 18 points in this series. For whatever reason, Purdue has just had the Buckeyes’ numbers.

Saturday, October 23rd: Michigan State Spartans @ Northwestern Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Michigan State has gone 9-4 ATS in its L/13 as favorites of between 3.5 and 10 points
Michigan State is 1-6 ATS in its L/7 following a bye week
The Wildcats are 12-4 ATS in their L/16 after an SU defeat

Series History
Sparty hasn’t lost a game in Evanston since 2001, something that it is certainly going to want to keep up in order to keep its National Championship hopes alive. These two tend to put on a heck of a show, though. Last year’s 24-14 win for MSU was a bit of a snoozer, but the three meetings before that all featured games decided by a touchdown or less, and all three were definitely back and forth affairs. The Spartans haven’t been held under 24 points in a game in this series since 2000, but the 14 points for Northwestern last year was the first time it had been kept under 20 since getting shutout at home in 1999.

Saturday, October 23rd: Ole Miss Rebels @ Arkansas Razorbacks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Rebels are 11-5 ATS in their L/16 road games
Arkansas is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 played in October
The Hogs are 5-1 ATS in the L/6 in this series

Series History
Of course, that one loss came last year in a 30-17 triumph for Ole Miss that many thought could be the springboard for its season. Think again. The Razorbacks were clearly a dominating team in this series from 2004 until 2007, holding the Rebels to just 31 points in those four meetings. The L/4 and six of the L/7 clashes have gone ‘under’ the ‘total’ and there hasn’t been a game played to more than 52 points in this series since 2002 when there were 76 points put on the board. Of course, that pales in comparison to the 58-56 overtime thriller in Oxford in 2001.

Saturday, October 23rd: Wisconsin Badgers @ Iowa Hawkeyes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Wisconsin is 3-8 ATS in its L/11 against teams with a winning record
Iowa is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 in conference
The Badgers are just 1-7 ATS in their L/8 in this series

Series History
And that’s terrible news for a team that just knocked off the No. 1 team in the country. Last week, we saw the South Carolina Gamecocks make teams that just beat the top team in the land drop to 0-1 SU and ATS the next week, and Wisky could be suffering the same fate. As for this series, the 20-10 win for Iowa last year really set the table for its fantastic season. The Badgers haven’t won a game here at Kinnick Stadium since 2006 and haven’t won one by more than a TD in well over a decade. Seven of the L/10 meetings have been decided by ten points or less, so expect yet another close one on Saturday.

Saturday, October 23rd: Kansas State Wildcats @ Baylor Bears
NCAA Football Trends of Note
KSU is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 games played in the Big XII
Baylor is 9-3 ATS in its L/12 against teams with a winning record
The Bears are just 2-4 ATS in this series since 1998

Series History
It’s hard to think that the Bears are actually favored in this series, as they have been at least 26.5 point underdogs in five of the six meetings between the two squads. Needless to say, the only win in this series for Baylor came in 2006 as short one point underdogs by the count of 17-3. K-State has dropped at least 38 points on the board in five of the six meetings and has averaged 38.8 points per game. Baylor, on the other hand, has only averaged 10.5 points per game and hasn’t scored more than 17 in any given game against the Wildcats. That will have to change on Saturday if they hope to pick up their crucial sixth win to go bowling.

Saturday, October 23rd: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Clemson Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Jackets are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 played in October
Georgia Tech is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 road games
The road team is 9-3 ATS in the L/12 in this series

Series History
Thus, it should really come as no surprise that the underdog is 13-3 ATS in the L/16. If you like close games, you’ve come to the right place. Georgia Tech has won the L/4 clashes by a combined 22 points and none of the four have been separated by more than ten points. In fact, you have to go back into the 1990s to find the last time that the Ramblin’ Wreck won a game by more than ten in this series. Clemson had its period of dominance in the early part of the decade, but has certainly fallen off. These two met twice last season with G-Tech winning 39-34 in the ACC Championship Game and 30-27 in Atlanta.

Saturday, October 23rd: LSU Tigers @ Auburn Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bayou Bengals are 13-5-1 ATS in their L/19 as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points
LSU is 3-9 ATS in its L/12 following an SU win of at least 20 points
Auburn is 8-3-1 ATS in its L/12 games after scoring at least 40

Series History
This Tiger tale is a crucial one in which the SEC West champ might be decided. LSU has won the L/2 encounters, including last year’s 31-10 victory at home. No team has scored more than 31 in a game in this series since 2000 and hasn’t scored more than 34 since deep into the 1990s. Needless to say, eight of the L/10 meetings have failed to go past the number, and there have been a ton of close games. Before last year’s 21 point margin of victory, the previous five meetings had been decided by a total of 19 points.

Saturday, October 23rd: Nebraska Cornhuskers @ Oklahoma State Cowboys
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Nebraska is 5-2 ATS in its L/7 following an SU loss
The Cornhuskers are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 road games against teams with winning home records
The Pokes are 12-3-1 ATS in their L/16 played in the month of October

Series History
A series that was once dominated by Nebraska really started to turn around in the 1998 season. That year, Okie State only lost by seven to a team that it had never really had any luck against, and though it was beaten down by 24 points the next year, it started a string of covers in five out of six games up to the present. These squads haven’t met since 2007, and the Cowboys have won the L/2 meetings by the aggregate score of 86-43. The underdog has covered five out of six as well in this series. Oklahoma State hasn’t been favored in a game in this series since the formation of the Big XII.

Saturday, October 23rd: Alabama Crimson Tide @ Tennessee Volunteers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tide have covered all four games this season played against teams with losing records
Alabama is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 road games
The Vols are 8-3 ATS in their L/14 as double digit underdogs

Series History
The Tide had dominated this series from 2004 until 2008, as they had gone 3-2 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in that stretch. Unfortunately for them, that dominance ended last year when it took a big time defensive effort to fend off what would’ve been the only defeat of the year for them. The 12-10 result marked the fifth time in the L/7 meetings that a game was decided by one score. This has always been a low scoring series, as Tennessee has been held to 17 points or less in six straight, while Alabama has only broken into the 20s twice in that stretch as well.

Saturday, October 23rd: South Carolina Gamecocks @ Vanderbilt Commodores
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 played in the month of October
Vanderbilt is 2-7 ATS in its L/9 played in this month of the year
The Commodores are 3-9 ATS in their L/12 home games

Series History
There really aren’t many positive college football trends to point to for either one of these teams, but amazingly, both are still right there for the race in the SEC East. Vandy has had South Carolina’s number, covering three straight in this series and winning two of the three, including a ‘W’ in Columbia back in 2007 as 13 point pups. Don’t expect to see much in the way of points here, as South Carolina hasn’t topped 17 since 2006, while Vandy is only averaging 16.0 points per game in its L/3 against the Cocks. Prior to 2007, South Carolina hadn’t lost a game in this series.

Saturday, October 23rd: North Carolina Tar Heels @ Miami Hurricanes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tar Heels are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played in the ACC
Miami is only 10-21-1 ATS in its L/32 games played at home
The Canes have never covered a spread against North Carolina

Series History
Amazingly, that means more bad news for “The U” is coming. The Canes did win in 2005 and 2006 in this series outright, but only once were they good enough to even push the number, that coming in ’06 in a 27-7 home win. The big upset came right away in this series, as the Tar Heels captured a 31-28 victory in 2004 at home as three TD pups to set the stage for a brutal rivalry to open up. UNC has never been favored in this series, and this is no exception, yet it has four wins in six tries. The L/3 have all been decided by less than double digits.

Saturday, October 23rd: Georgia Bulldogs @ Kentucky Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bulldogs are 2-6-1 ATS in their L/9 following an ATS victory
Kentucky is 5-2 ATS in its L/7 overall
The Wildcats have covered four straight home games

Series History
Once again, we have an amazing situation where we have two teams that have no business competing for a BCS bid doing so due to the fact that the SEC East is down on the season. Kentucky has held its own in this series after getting dominated for the better part of a decade, as it has suddenly gone 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in the L/4 years. The Cats haven’t been favored in this series dating back to the 1990s, and this is as close as the spread has been since 2002. UK won last year 34-27 “Between the Hedges, and has only won one home game in this series since the 1990s.

Saturday, October 23rd: Air Force Falcons @ TCU Horned Frogs
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The home team has covered the L/4 in this series
TCU is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 played on grass
The Horned Frogs are 47-22 ATS in their L/69 home games

Series History
Air Force does have a win in this series back in 2007, but that was the only victory against TCU since 1987. Since that point, the Horned Frogs are 5-2 ATS, though the Falcons have hung tough in two of the L/3. It seems like this encounter is always either incredibly close or separated by five miles. Three of the L/6 meetings since 1998 have been decided by three points or less. The other three have resulted in wins of at least 24 points for the Horned Frogs. They’ll need another ‘W’ of that type of size to beat the college football odds on Saturday.

Saturday, October 23rd: Oklahoma Sooners @ Missouri Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Sooners are 5-1-1 ATS in their L/7 as favorites of a field goal or less
Oklahoma is 0-5-1 ATS following an SU win of at least 20 points
The Tigers are 4-11 ATS in their L/15 home games

Series History
The last time these two teams met, the Sooners laid the smack down on Mizzou to the tune of 62-21. The year before in ’07 in the Big XII Championship Game, OU won 38-17 in what amounted to be a de facto No. 1 vs. No 2. game at the time. Mizzou hasn’t won a game in this series since 1998 with Oklahoma winning here in Columbia in 2006 (26-10), 2002 (31-24), and 1995 (13-9) in the interim. The Sooners have averaged scoring 38.4 points per game on this seven game winning streak in this series and haven’t been held under 26 points in any of the seven games.

Saturday, October 23rd: Washington Huskies @ Arizona Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Huskies are 3-9 ATS in their L/12 games on the road
Washington is 9-19 ATS in its L/28 overall
Arizona is 14-6 ATS in its L/20 home games

Series History
Arizona dominated this series early in the decade from an ATS standpoint but couldn’t win a game to save its life. That changed in 2003 when it pulled a huge upset, a 27-22 win as 15 point underdogs. The five game ATS winning streak stopped in 2005 with Washington pulling an almost as impressive 38-14 upset off here in the desert. The Huskies have only been beaten once here since that point, a 48-14 beat down two years ago. U-Dub fired back with a 36-33 win last year in Seattle.

2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 7 Cheat Sheet

October 13th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on 2010 NCAA Football Trends: Week 7 Cheat Sheet
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Week 7 college football betting is here! Bankroll Sports is back with more NCAA football picks for Week 7 of the year, but before we do that, we need to take a look at the important trends and history that the teams that are facing against each other this week.

Wednesday, October 13th: UCF Knights @ Marshall Thundering Herd
NCAA Football Trends of Note
UCF is 9-1 ATS in its L/10 road games
The Knights are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 overall
Marshall is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 played on Wednesday

Series History
These two teams came over to Conference USA together from the MAC, so there is a bit of a history there. UCF has won all five meetings since 2005 but didn’t beat the Herd before that in three previous clashes. The Marshall cover last year in a 21-20 defeat marked the first time that it had covered a game in this series since 2003. All-time, the Knights are 6-2 ATS and 5-3 SU. The underdog has covered seven of the eight spreads, while ‘under’ has cashed in six of the eight.

Thursday, October 14th: Kansas State Wildcats @ Kansas Jayhawks
NCAA Football Trends of Note
KSU is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 played in the Big XII
Kansas is 1-8 ATS in its L/9 conference games
Kansas is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 played on an artificial surface

Series History
Since 2003, it’s virtually been all home teams in this series. The hosts have won six of the L/7 outright and are also 6-1 ATS in that stretch. K-State took the Sunflower State Showdown last year 17-10 in Manhattan, but hasn’t won a game in Lawrence since a whopping 64-0 thumping in 2002 when a senior named Michael Bishop was at quarterback and leading this team towards the Big XII North title. ‘Overs’ and ‘unders’ have alternated in each of the L/10 in this series dating back to 2000.

Thursday, October 14th: South Florida Bulls @ West Virginia Mountaineers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their L/7 as double digit puts
WVU is 5-0 ATS in its L/5 against teams with a winning record
The Mountaineers are 3-7 ATS in their L/10 as favorites

Series History
For whatever reason, the Bulls just have the numbers of the Mountaineers in this series. In the L/4 meetings, USF is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS, including last season’s 30-19 victory at Raymond James Stadium. Even in Morgantown, the Bulls have a win to their credit, as their 24-19 win in 2006 as 21 point underdogs really helped propel the program to an elite status in the Big East. The previous four encounters had gone ‘under’ the ‘total’ before last season’s narrow ‘over’.

Friday, October 15th: Cincinnati Bearcats @ Louisville Cardinals
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bearcats at 2-8 ATS in their L/10 overall
Cincinnati is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 games played on Friday nights
Louisville is just 2-10 ATS in its L/12 played in the Big East

Series History
Since these two teams have come to the Big East, it feels like this series belongs to the Bearcats. Cincinnati is 3-1 ATS in the L/4, including a 41-10 thumping of the Redbirds last year in home. However, the road team has won six of the L/9 outright and is 7-2 ATS in those nine. Cincy won its last visit to Papa John’s Stadium, a 28-20 decision in 2008. Last season’s 41 points for the Bearcats marked the first time that they exceeded the 28 point mark against the ‘Ville since 2003.

Saturday, October 16th: Missouri Tigers @ Texas A&M Aggies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Tigers are just 2-10 ATS in their L/12 following an ATS victory
The Aggies are 2-6-1 ATS in their L/9 following an SU loss
Texas A&M has failed to cover seven straight neutral site games

Series History
These two teams haven’t met since 2007, a 40-26 win for the ‘Zou in Columbia. The Aggies covered both that spread at +19.5 and as short one point favorites the year before at home in a 25-19 victory. These two teams don’t always play the closest of games, including a 73-0 blowout for A&M in 1993. Three of the L/4 have exceeded the ‘total’, most of which have done so by a relatively comfortable margin.

Saturday, October 16th: NC State Wolfpack @ East Carolina Pirates
NCAA Football Trends of Note
NC State has covered four straight as favorites
The Wolfpack are 8-0-1 ATS in their L/9 after holding their previous foe to less than 20 points
East Carolina has failed to cover six straight against the ACC

Series History
These teams have met four times since 2004, and the series has largely belonged to the Wolfpack. They are 3-1 SU and ATS in those four games. In a relatively unusual twist though, it is the ACC team that has been the underdog quite a bit lately. NC State was a pup in 2008’s 30-24 overtime win at home and a six point dog in a 34-20 win in its most recent visit to ECU.

Saturday, October 16th: Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Illinois is 6-14 ATS in its L/20 games played on natural grass
Sparty is only 3-9 ATS in its L/12 against teams with a winning record
The Illini are only 1-7 ATS in the L/8 meetings of these rivals

Series History
Needless to say, it’s been mostly one way traffic for Michigan State. Save one dud in 2006, the Spartans just haven’t lost and usually haven’t been challenged by the Illini since the 1990s. The L/5 trips to Champaign resulted in double digit victories and an average margin of victory of 23.8 points per game. However, in the last meeting in East Lansing, the Illini were 25 point underdogs and came away with a 23-20 outright victory in one of the more shocking results in the history of this rivalry.

Saturday, October 16th: Boston College Eagles @ Florida State Seminoles
NCAA Football Trends of Note
BC is winless in its L/9 games ATS overall
Boston College is 1-7 ATS in its L/8 played on grass
The Noles have covered six of their L/7 overall

Series History
This series only dates back to 2005, but it has had plenty of upsets to speak of. BC won last year’s meeting 28-21 in Chestnut Hill and captured a 27-17 ‘W’ at Doak Campbell Stadium in 2008. Here’s a fun fact: Boston College is the only team in the ACC that the Seminoles have never beaten at home. Last year’s win for the Eagles was the first time that a home team had ever won a game in this series, something that Florida State hopes won’t rear its ugly head again on Saturday.

Saturday, October 16th: Western Michigan Broncos @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Western Michigan is 5-15 ATS in its L/20 overall
The Broncos are 3-9 ATS in their L/12 on the road
Notre Dame is just 16-35-1 ATS in its L/52 played in South Bend

Series History
First meeting

Saturday, October 16th: Iowa Hawkeyes @ Michigan Wolverines
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Hawkeyes are 12-2 ATS in their L/14 road games
Iowa is 13-4 ATS in its L/17 against teams with a winning record
Michigan is just 4-17 ATS in its L/21 played in the Big Ten

Series History
Iowa finally broke a three game skid to the Wolverines last year at home in a 30-28 victory, but it certainly didn’t come easily. The underdog is 8-1 ATS in the L/9 meetings, and several of those have pulled off outright upsets. One of those outright upsets came in 2002, when Iowa posted a 34-9 win in the Big House against Michigan. For proof that that is rare in this series, that is the only time that a team scored more than 30 points in this series dating back into the early 1990s.

Saturday, October 16th: California Golden Bears @ USC Trojans
NCAA Football Trends of Note
USC is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 played on grass
The Trojans are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 home games
The men of Troy are 4-11 ATS in their L/15 played in the Pac-10

Series History
USC has absolutely taken Cal behind the shed at times in this series, including last season in a 30-3 domination in Berkeley as 4.5 point favorites. The Trojans haven’t allowed the Bears to score a TD in this series in three years, though HC Jeff Tedford’s crew did score its only cover in this series since 2004 two years ago in a 17-3 defeat. Cal hasn’t won a game outright in this series since 2003 and hasn’t won one in regulation since 2000. That was also the last time that the Golden Bears went into LA and came away with an outright ‘W’. The L/6 have all stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’.

Saturday, October 16th: Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Texas Tech Red Raiders
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Okie State is 7-1-1 ATS in its L/9 played in October
The Pokes are winless ATS in their L/6 as underdogs
Texas Tech is 5-2 ATS in its L/7 against teams with a winning record

Series History
Okie State’s recent ATS domination in this series (4-1 ATS since 2005) is relatively new, as the Red Raiders were the dominant ATS squad in the five meetings before that (5-0 ATS from 2000 to 2004). The home team has won eight straight, with the last road victory coming in 2001 in a 49-30 win for T-Tech in Stillwater. Texas Tech absolutely destroyed the Pokes here two years ago 56-20 with the powerful Air Raid assault. However, if you take that game away, the previous four meetings have all been decided by seven points or less. This will be the eighth straight meeting of these teams in which the ‘total’ has been posted at 60 or higher.

Saturday, October 16th: Texas Longhorns @ Nebraska Cornhuskers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Texas is 1-7 ATS in its L/8 overall
The Huskers are 10-4 ATS in their L/14 against teams with a winning record
The pup is 6-2-1 ATS in the L/9 in this series

Series History
That includes the epic 13-12 showdown in last year’s Big XII Championship Game in which the Cornhuskers easily covered the 14 point NCAA football betting line. They’ve now covered three straight in spite of the fact that Texas has won all three meetings. Nebraska’s last outright win in this saga came back in 1999, a 22-6 win in the Big XII Championship. The L/3 meetings have been decided by a total of six points. Seven of the L/8 have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’.

Saturday, October 16th: Arkansas Razorbacks @ Auburn Tigers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Arkansas is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 played in October
The Hogs are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 overall
Auburn is only 3-8 ATS in its L/11 played in this month

Series History
The Razorbacks have won back to back games in this series in spite of the fact that they were underdogs in both battles. The road team had won five straight and six out of seven before the 44-23 decision in Fayetteville for the Hogs last year. Auburn’s last win in this series at home was way back in 2004, a 38-20 win to cover the 13.5 point spread. That was one of two covers for underdogs dating back to 2000.

Saturday, October 16th: BYU Cougars @ TCU Horned Frogs
NCAA Football Trends of Note
BYU is 2-9 ATS in its L/11 games played in October
The Horned Frogs are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 against teams with a losing record
TCU is 9-3 ATS in its L/12 games played on grass

Series History
This will be the final meeting of these teams in Mountain West play, which dates back to 2005. The Horned Frogs have won and covered three straight, including destroying the Cougs 38-7 and 32-7 over the L/2 seasons. BYU’s last win game in 2007, a 27-22 win in Provo in which the visitors covered the seven point spread. Two straight have failed to reach the ‘total’ after the previous three had all exceeded it.

Saturday, October 16th: North Carolina Tar Heels @ Virginia Cavaliers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Cavvies are just 2-6 ATS in their L/8 played in conference
North Carolina has covered three straight and is 7-3 ATS in its L/11
The Tar Heels are just 1-11 ATS in their L/12 against UVA

Series History
There have been some awfully screwy results in this clash of ACC underlings, including last year’s 16-3 win in Chapel Hill for the Cavs as 12 point underdogs. Virginia won 16-13 in overtime the year before and 22-20 on Tobacco Road in 2007 as short pups as well. None might have been any stranger than a 7-5 win for North Carolina over UVA in 2005. In the L/5 meetings, the ‘total’ has gone 0-4-1.

Saturday, October 16th: South Carolina Gamecocks @ Kentucky Wildcats
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their L/7 as favorites
Kentucky is 6-1 ATS in its L/7 against teams with a winning record
The Wildcats are just 1-4 ATS in their L/5 as underdogs

Series History
Kentucky has won a game in this series dating back to the beginning of the 2000s, but that could all be changing on Saturday. The Cats came close last year, losing 28-26 in Columbia as nine point underdogs. The Gamecocks had covered the previous four and seven of the previous nine NCAA football odds. Three straight have gone ‘over’ the ‘total’, though no game has exceeded 61 points this decade.

Saturday, October 16th: Ohio State Buckeyes @ Wisconsin Badgers
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Buckeyes are 21-6 ATS in their L/27 road games
Ohio State is 6-1 ATS in its L/7 overall
The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the L/10 in this series

Series History
The Buckeyes have won and covered three straight in this series, including win 20-17 in a narrow escape in 2008 here at Camp Randall. Wisconsin does have plenty of wins to speak of against Ohio State, most notably a 24-13 win at the Horseshoe in 2004. This is almost always a low scoring series, as the 31 points scored by Ohio State in last year’s 31-13 win was the second most that any team had scored since 1999 in this series. Needless to say, the ‘under’ is 6-2 in the L/8 duels.

Saturday, October 16th: Iowa State Cyclones @ Oklahoma Sooners
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Iowa State is 5-1 ATS in its L/6 games as double digit road pups
The Cyclones are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played on grass
Oklahoma is 10-4-1 ATS in its L/15 games played in the Big XII

Series History
Iowa State has had 20 years to try to figure out how to beat the Sooners, and it still hasn’t happened. It did manage to do a nice job in the last meeting in 2007, a 17-7 win for a visiting OU team that came in as 30.5 point chalks. The total margin of victory over the previous three clashes was rather emphatic for the Sooners: 136-19. They covered all three spreads. Iowa State had covered five straight before OU entered its dominant stages in the late 90s.

Saturday, October 16th: Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Florida Gators
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Florida is 23-8 ATS in its L/31 against teams with a winning record
The blue and orange are 19-9 ATS in their L/28 overall
The Gators are 27-13 ATS in their L/40 played on grass

Series History
Mississippi State is still living off of wins against the Gators in 1992, 2000, and 2004 in Starkville. The last meeting of these rivals came last season, a 29-19 win for UF in which the Bulldogs easily covered the 23 point spread. In fact, Florida has only covered one spread since 1991 against MSU, a 52-0 romp in the Swamp in 2001. The win last year for the Gators was the first time a road team won a game in this series since the 1980s.

Saturday, October 16th: Baylor Bears @ Colorado Buffaloes
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Bears have covered four straight as favorites of a field goal or less
Baylor is 9-3 ATS in its L/12 as a favorite
The Buffs are 9-4 ATS in their L/13 as pups of a field goal or less

Series History
This suddenly meaningful Big XII duel has certainly been road team friendly in the 1990s and 2000s. Roadies have five wins in nine games outright and are 6-3 ATS in that stretch as well. Colorado covered the last clash of these foes in 2007, a 43-23 decision as eight point chalks in Waco. Baylor was shut out both in 1999 and 2002 in this series, but since that point, all three meetings have absolutely flown past the ‘total’.

Saturday, October 16th: Ole Miss Rebels @ Alabama Crimson Tide
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Ole Miss has covered seven straight as road underdogs
The Rebels are 22-6 ATS in their L/28 as double digit pups
The Tide have covered five straight at Bryant Denny Stadium

Series History
The Tide have rolled to six straight victories in this series SU, but that dominance hasn’t translated over to victories against the college football betting lines as well. Ole Miss had covered four straight before the 22-3 beating last year in Oxford, a game that was really supposed to put the Rebs on the map once and for all. Back to back meetings have gone ‘under’ the ‘total’, and no game has exceeded 51 points since 2003.

Saturday, October 16th: Oregon State Beavers @ Washington Huskies
NCAA Football Trends of Note
The Beavers are 35-14-2 ATS in their L/51 games played in October
Oregon State is 53-26-1 ATS in its L/80 after an SU win
Washington is just 28-58-2 ATS in its L/88 played in the Pac-10

Series History
If you thought that these long term trends were going against the Huskies, wait til you see how bad this series has been! Since 2004, Oregon State is a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS and has won all but two of those six meetings by double digits. Washington does have a win at home in at least relatively recent memory, but you have to go back to 2002 to find the last time that Seattle was happy when the Beavers came to town.

Saturday, October 16th: Nevada Wolf Pack @ Hawaii Warriors
NCAA Football Trends of Note
Nevada has covered six straight after posting a victory of at least 20 points
Hawaii is 5-1 ATS in its L/6 played in the WAC
The Warriors are 8-3 ATS in their L/11 played in the month of October

Series History
The home team had covered seven of the previous eight meetings in this WAC rivalry before the Warriors mounted a stellar cover as 29 point dogs last year in a 31-21 loss in Reno. The road team has only won once in this series this decade, that being a 28-26 victory for Hawaii in 2007, the year that it went to the BCS with QB Colt Brennan calling the shots. The Wolf Pack had covered three straight from 2005 until 2007, but since then, it has been Hawaii covering back to back. This is the tenth straight year that the ‘total’ in this series has been posted at 57 or higher, and the 74.5 is the highest posted ‘total’ of the entire 2010 NCAA football betting campaign.