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The New York Jets and New England Patriots have a ton riding on the line on Monday Night Football. Not only is the winning team going to give a catastrophic loss to the other, but the victors will pull a game ahead of the rest of the field in the AFC and will most likely hold the tiebreaker for the rest of the year over the loser in the AFC East race. Obviously, it’s going to give the winner a huge advantage. If that team can hold on to this advantage over the last quarter of the season, that team will only have to play two home games to reach the Super Bowl. The loser will most likely have to win three games on the road. In order to prepare you to make your NFL picks for the game, we have the three keys to the game to determine which team is going to beat the NFL betting lines on the day.

Key #1: Mark Sanchez Cannot Make Mistakes
QB Mark Sanchez has really done a nice job in recent games of getting the ball up the field. He has proven that the Jets are no longer just a team that runs the football to win games, as New York is averaging 212.4 yards per game through the air. That’s still only good enough for a modest No. 20 ranking in the NFL, but at least he has shown that he can make big passes. We know that his receiving corps is good enough to get the job done as well, especially with WR Jerricho Cotchery coming back into the lineup this week after dealing with his groin injury for the past two games. With names like Cotchery, WR Braylon Edwards, WR Santonio Holmes, and TE Dustin Keller to deal with, Sanchez has no excuse not to be able to move the football against a defense that ranks dead last in the NFL against the pass at 288.5 yards per game. The key isn’t so much going to be yards, though. It’s going to be turnovers. Sanchez’s eight INTs this year is way down from a season last year in which he challenged for the most blunders in the league, but all eight of those picks have come in his L/6 games. He has thrown at least one INT in all six. Against the Pats in Week 2, Sanchez completed 70.0 percent of his passes for 220 yards with three scores, but again, the key was no turnovers. The Pats need to force him into some mistakes, while New York is just hoping that its signal caller can look more like the man that beat this team in Week 2 and less like the one that has been careless with the pigskin of late.

Key #2: Rex Ryan’s Defense Must Have No Fear
In the first half of the clash in Week 2 against the Pats, the Jets really didn’t come after QB Tom Brady. He did the mass majority of his damage in that game in the second quarter, as that is when he threw both of his touchdown passes. After that though, the dogs were let loose, and New York started to cause all sorts of ruckus in the New England backfield. Brady couldn’t figure out what was going on, and he could not get the Patriots on the scoreboard in the entire half, something that is absolutely a rarity for him. DE Jason Taylor did have the only sack in the game for the men in green, but he was one of the many that was all over the backfield and all in Brady’s face in that second half. The Jets cannot sit back and let Brady pick them apart in this one for any period of time. Their defensive backs are certainly good enough to contend with what New England has to offer in man coverage 100% of the time. Sometimes, you’ll get burned. Sometimes, you’ll cause some big turnovers as well. Those picks are going to be key, and the Jets got two of them last time around. They have to come after Brady right from the start, especially on the road on Monday Night Football.

Key #3: New England Has To Get A Ground Game Going
Truth be told, this has been what has hurt Brady the most this year. RB Kevin Faulk is out for the season with an ACL tear, and RB Fred Taylor has been out of the fold for the last seven games with a toe injury. In Week 2, New England picked up New York castoff RB Danny Woodhead, and in just eight games, he has picked up 344 yards on the ground and 230 through the air. Though the majority of the carries are still going to RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Woodhead is going to get his chances. This offensive line badly needs to step up and embrace the idea of attacking the Jets in the trenches, something that is usually going the other direction when the New York ‘D’ is on the field. If Ellis and Woodhead cannot get anything going in the rushing game or even in the screen and short pass department, Brady is going to just be a dead man walking in this pocket. You know that, especially with a long week to prepare after playing on Thanksgiving night, that Rex Ryan and company have been drawing up some new schemes to prepare for the Brady aerial assault. The running game needs to be the great equalizer for New England to win on Monday Night Football.

Monday Night Football has never been bigger than this! The New York Jets and New England Patriots are going to fight it out under the bright lights this week, and the winner will have a one game edge in the AFC East and one the No. 1 overall seed in the AFC with just four games to play. You want NFL prop picks? We’ve got ’em right here at Bankroll Sports!

Mark Sanchez Over/Under 235.5 Passing Yards
“The Sanchise” is here! Sanchez had four games in a row in which he reached this total with ease before throwing for just 166 yards in a blowout over the Cincinnati Bengals on Thanksgiving Day. The key is going to be having this game stay remotely close. The Jets aren’t going to blow out the Pats in any way, shape, or form, and when push comes to shove, you know that Sanchez is going to have to throw the football to beat the Patriots. He threw for 220 yards in the first meeting in Week 2, but now, WR Santonio Holmes is in the lineup as well, giving him one more tremendous deep threat that he can get the football to. Things aren’t always pretty for Sanchez, but he should be able to figure out how to get there in this one. Unless all of a sudden, the New England secondary finds a way to shut down this core of receivers, we don’t see how Sanchez does anything but go Over 235.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

LaDainian Tomlinson Over/Under 54.5 Rushing Yards
Tomlinson might have some of the numbers on the season, but he is starting to break down quite a bit. This is a man that averaged less than four yards per carry last year, and he is starting to look more like that man in recent weeks. Over his first five games, LT averaged 5.6, 6.9, 4.7, 7.0, and 4.7 yards per carry. Since that point, he has averaged 3.4, 2.7, 3.7, 2.7, 3.2, 3.0, and 3.8 yards per carry. There is going to be a point that Tomlinson is going to get fewer carries than RB Shonn Greene. When you’re talking about a man that probably isn’t going to get more than a dozen carries or so, it’s hard to think that he is going to be able to get more than 50 yards or so. Back LT Under 54.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Santonio Holmes Over/Under 4.5 Receptions
It seems as though Holmes is really becoming the top target for QB Mark Sanchez. We aren’t so sure whether or not this is going to be a match made in heaven for some time to come, but we do know that the former Pittsburgh Steeler has at least five receptions in four straight games. He only had a total of ten receptions in his first three after coming back from his suspension that covered the first four games of the regular season. Again, New England’s defense is probably going to prone to the passing game in this one, and we know that if Sanchez is going to be throwing the ball more often, he is going to be doing so to Holmes as well. This is a nice spot for Holmes to go Over 4.5 Receptions (-125 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Pats.

Danny Woodhead Over/Under 59.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Head Coach Bill Belichick has this knack for giving payback to players that have come from past teams, and this could be the perfect situation for Woodhead to shine. This is a man that has really done a nice job filling in for a rushing attack that hasn’t been that stellar, and he has at least a pair of receptions in each of his last seven games since really getting into the fold with the Pats after starting the year with the Jets. Woodhead is probably going to touch the ball about 14-16 times over the course of this game, and potentially even more if Belichick is content to try to let Woodhead stick it to his previous team. Don’t be shocked to see him fly Over 59.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

First place in the AFC North is going to be on the line on Sunday Night Football when the Baltimore Ravens face the Pittsburgh Steelers. You can bet when these two teams meet up with one another that fireworks are going to fly, so don’t miss out on the action! Check out our NFL prop picks for this Sunday Night Football encounter.

Rashard Mendenhall Over/Under 77.5 Rushing Yards
This is going to be one of the more interesting NFL prop picks this weekend, as Mendenhall probably doesn’t match up all that well against the Baltimore defense. However, the Steelers’ top back is in a great situation for this prop because he is probably going to tote the rock at least 20-25 times, if not more, especially considering the fact that QB Ben Roethlisberger is dealing with a broken foot. Mendenhall has carried the ball at least 22 times in three of his last four overall, and if he does that again, he really should be able to get to this type of a total. We have to be careful, because the Steelers’ back does only have five games this year above that number, but we tend to believe that this will be game No. 6. Mendenhall will go Over 77.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Sunday Night Football.

Joe Flacco Over/Under 21.5 Completions
“Joe Cool” completed 24 passes the last time that these two teams met, and he is probably going to be called upon quite a few times in this one. The Steelers are just impossible to run against, and Head Coach John Harbaugh isn’t a dummy. Flacco has completed at least 71 percent of his passes in three of his last four games, and he completed 65 percent against the Steelers on the road. Baltimore quite often uses the pass as an extension of the running game, using short passes to RB Ray Rice and flanker screens that are nothing more than long handoffs. This is also going to be the way to get men like LB James Harrison off of Flacco’s back. The deep game will be there, but we don’t believe that the Ravens are going to have the desire to use it all that often. Back Flacco going Over 21.5 Completions (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Ray Rice Over/Under 100.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Rice is the type of running back that can find a way to get his yards in this game, but this is just that tough of a situation that we aren’t so sure about. We know that Rice isn’t going to beat us on the ground in all likelihood, as the Steelers are allowing just 64 rushing yards per game. The man from Rutgers isn’t going to be an exception to that rule, especially in a situation where RB Willis McGahee will take some of his career. If Rice is going to beat us, he’s going to do so in the passing game, and if he is doing that, we are capitalizing on our QB Joe Flacco completions prop. Rice doesn’t often take passes a long way, so we aren’t worried about taking that screen pass 50 yards. When push comes to shove, Rice should stay Under 100.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Steelers.

Ray Lewis Over/Under 8.5 Tackles + Assists
We don’t normally play these types of props, but this seems to be the right time to back a linebacker to go past his total. We know that Lewis is the heart and soul of this defense, and he usually turns it up even one more notch when playing at home, particularly in big time games like this one. With QB Ben Roethlisberger in some trouble with his foot, we’ve already established that RB Rashard Mendenhall is going to get his carries. Pittsburgh usually doesn’t get all that cute, as most of its carries are right up the gut. That’s where Mr. Ray Lewis is waiting, and he usually doesn’t make mistakes. Lewis had nine tackles in that first game, and he should have no problem going Over 8.5 Tackles + Assists (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

The Houston Texans are the team that has almost been able to finish off a number of epic wins this year… However, they have almost always fallen short and are on playoff life support again because of it. The Philadelphia Eagles are in significantly better shape at 7-4 right now, but a loss would be catastrophic. These two intra conference foes square off in the City of Brotherly Love tonight, and here at Bankroll Sports, we have your fantastic prop picks for the duel on the NFL Network.

Arian Foster Over/Under 82.5 Rushing Yards
Why the oddsmakers continue putting such little faith in Foster is beyond us. This is a man that leads the NFL in rushing and is averaging over 100 yards per game on the ground. To think that he could get to the 1,500 yard barrier without breaking a sweat is amazing. And now, against a defense that has been iffy at best at times, you think that Foster is going to stop? We certainly don’t think so. It always has and always will be the philosophy of HC Gary Kubiak that, no matter how good his passing game is, that he needs to establish the run in order to win games. The former Tennessee Volunteer is coming off of a game in which he carried the ball 30 times for 143 yards. In games in which he has at least 17 carries, Foster has gotten to this total six times against two in which he didn’t. He should get at least 20 carries on the day, and if he gets that, Foster will have no problem going Over 82.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Thursday Night Football.

Will Arian Foster Score a Touchdown?
Here we go again with Foster. Let’s just do some simple math right here, shall we? The man has 13 TDs on the campaign in 11 games. Just right there, that’s an average of over a score per game. If he recorded a TD in at least 11 games this on this season, he would be a winner for the year on a prop of this juice. Okay, so he was held out of the end zone last week. Big whoop. Over the previous five weeks, Foster had eight TDs on the ground and one through the air, and he scored at least one in all of those games. He is the undisputed back down by the goal line, and he is the second best receiving option that QB Matt Schaub has. At some point, if Houston is scoring, it is highly like that Foster will be the man doing the deed. Foster Will Score a Touchdown (-130 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

DeSean Jackson Over/Under 68.5 Receiving Yards
Glover Quin, meet DeSean Jackson. D-Jax, meet arguably the worst starting cornerback in the NFL today. It doesn’t seem to matter who Quin is guarding, opposing quarterbacks just seem to find a way to get them the ball. Vick has an absolute rocket for an arm, and odds have it, Jackson will at least get one shot in this game to catch one pass that will cover this entire total. Knowing the Kareem Jackson isn’t all that much better on the other side of the field and that their safeties are a sieve, there is just no way that the Texans are keeping one of the most explosive receivers in the league under this total. Jackson will be a triple digit receiver this week, and he’ll easily go Over 68.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Texans.

Jeremy Maclin Over/Under 69.5 Receiving Yards
Do we need to introduce Glover Quin to Jeremy Maclin as well? Perhaps we should. Mr. Quin, this will be the other man that is constantly running past you all game long. Maclin should be the more consistent target of QB Michael Vick in this one, and as long as Vick doesn’t have a field day throwing all over the place to Jackson, Maclin should reach his total as well. He’ll go Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

The Arizona Cardinals could have their 2010 NFL betting campaign put on the line on Monday Night Football, as they are taking on their divisional rivals, the San Francisco 49ers at home in a huge encounter. We here at Bankroll Sports, have all of our Monday Night Football prop picks available for you for the upcoming MNF tussle.

Totals Punts Over/Under 10.5
This is about as high of a number for punts that we remember seeing in quite some time. However, there’s no way that a reasonable number could be posted high enough to keep us satisfied here. Ben Graham, Arizona’s punter, has booted the ball away at least six times in three straight weeks, and he has already punted 57 times in ten games this year. The offense for Arizona has been absolutely putrid regardless of who has been under center, and we know that that isn’t improving against a San Fran team that, all it can do right is play some ‘D’ every now and again. Speaking of those 49ers, they punted six times last week when they were shut out by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and P Andy Lee has been called upon at least six times in five straight games. With K Joe Nedney sidelined, it is going to take a few more yards on offense to produce a field goal attempt as well. The bottom line here is that this is going to be a game contested over field position quite a bit, and if that’s the case, we expect to see at least Over 10.5 Punts (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Troy Smith Over/Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns + Interceptions
We know that Smith hasn’t had a game yet this season in which he has thrown more than one combined TD and INT, but at some point, this really has to change. The former Ohio State Buckeye isn’t the most accurate with his passes, and this Arizona secondary is full of ball hawkers that can turn you over in a heartbeat. That being said, especially if RB Frank Gore is at least held in check, Smith is going to be forced to make some decisions that he doesn’t necessarily want to. It could be boom. It could be bust. Either way, we’re thrilled. We’ll take our chances that Smith is going to revert to the mean in this one and go Over 1.5 TDs + INTs (+140 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Will Frank Gore Score a Touchdown?
Someone has to score for the 49ers at some point, right? This is a way that we can hedge our bets a bit, as Gore is absolutely the man getting the ball on the goal line if things get tough. We know that a cash in either this prop or the one with Troy Smith will net us a profit, and we tend to think that the probability is there that we nail both of them. The Niners aren’t getting shut out in back to back weeks no matter how bad they are, and if that’s the case, we’ll bank on a man that has already touched the ball over 230 times this season. On one of these 25ish touches or so, Gore is bound to Score a TD (-135 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Cardinals.

Derek Anderson Over/Under 18.5 Completions
We’re confused here. Anderson has completed at least 23 passes in his last two games, and he is clearly starting to at least remotely get back into the groove as the team’s starting quarterback after coming back in to replace his replacement, QB Max Hall. Anderson knows that he doesn’t have a running game to rely on consistently, and he has to make things happen himself. Getting to 19 completions doesn’t sound like that tough of a task, even in a game that could get bogged down in a hurry. Go with Anderson to go Over 18.5 Completions (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

The San Diego Chargers and Indianapolis Colts would both be out of the playoffs if they started today. However, one needs to take a major step in the right direction on Sunday Night Football, while the other is likely to be dealt a crippling defeat. Ready to sink your teeth into all of the action for prop bets on Sunday Night? Check out our best NFL picks right here at Bankroll Sports!

Will Philip Rivers throw an Interception?
Rivers has been picked off nine times this season, and including in five straight games, but we still think that the NFL odds in this one are stacked in his favor. The oddsmakers are putting far too much emphasis on these five straight games than the truth of the matter, which is that Rivers isn’t getting intercepted in two out of every three games, especially in matchups like this one against teams that have absolutely atrocious secondaries. Even more so, the Chargers know that they can run the football against these guys with either Ryan Mathews or Mike Tolbert, and if the clock keeps running, that means there’s that much less for Rivers to have to do to win the game. We’ll take our chances that Rivers Does Not Throw an Interception (+160 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Sunday Night Football.

Reggie Wayne Over/Under 6.5 Receptions
Wayne really remains the only player on this team that Manning really consistently trusts to get the job done for him, as his is the only receiver that has been in the lineup in all ten games this season. Wayne consistently averages over six receptions per game and really has done so for his entire career. This season, he has five games with at least seven snares this year, and this seems to be like one that is setting up to be No. 6. Without DB Antonio Cromartie, the Bolts just don’t have a corner to stick on that side of the field where Wayne is to just lock him down. As long as that’s the case, “The Sheriff” is going to make sure that he finds ways to get Wayne the football. There’s no way that he fails to go Over 6.5 Receptions (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Jacob Tamme Over/Under 6.5 Receptions
If it ain’t broke, why would we try to fix it? Tamme has caught at least six balls in all four of his games taking over for the injured TE Dallas Clark, and he has caught at least seven in three straight. Now, against a San Diego defense that has been great against the deep passing game this year, Manning is going to have no choice quite a bit but to check the ball down to his big tight end out of Kentucky. Tamme is the real deal in this league, and he isn’t just a product of the system of Manning throwing him the football. However, having No. 18 on his side has really helped his career, and it is going to help us to another ‘W’ this week. Go with Tamme Over 6.5 Receptions (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Chargers.

Week 11 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 11 NFL matchups.

Thursday, November 18th, 8:20 ET: Chicago Bears @ Miami Dolphins
NFL Trends of Note
The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their L/5 as underdogs
The Fins are 10-4 ATS over the L/14 seasons in Week 11
Miami is just 6-25 ATS in its L/31 as a home favorite

Series History
Miami has come out and dominated this series in the 2000s, going 2-0 SU and ATS and winning both the game in the Windy City and the one in South Beach by exactly 18 points. The last win for Chicago in this series happened to also be its last win in Miami, a 36-33 OT win as 8.5 point underdogs in 1997. Since 1985, the Dolphins are 4-3 SU and ATS against the Bears.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 ET: Washington Redskins @ Tennessee Titans
NFL Trends of Note
The Redskins are 7-2-4 ATS in their L/13 played on grass
Washington is 5-2-1 ATS in its L/8 road games
The Titans have covered six of the seven meetings in this series since 1985

Series History
The Titans/Oilers franchise has really been dominant in this series, as they have won four of the seven meetings against the Redskins since the mid 1980s. Tennessee has actually only lost to Washington once as the road team, that coming in the most recent meeting in ’02. Aside from that though, this has been a series of all one way traffic. Four straight clashes have exceeded the ‘total’, and all four games have featured at least 42 points.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings
NFL Trends of Note
Green Bay is 7-1-1 ATS in its L/9 against teams with losing records
The Pack are 12-5-1 ATS in their L/18 overall
Minnesota is 7-2-1 ATS in its L/10 played at Mall of America Field

Series History
If you like high scoring games that feature a ton of upsets, this is the rivalry for you. The ‘dog is 17-6 ATS in the L/23 duels in this series. The Packers had won four straight ATS and went 3-1 SU from the start of the 2007 season through the end of the ’08 campaign, but in 2009, this was a series that belonged to QB Brett Favre and the Vikes. Ironically, Favre’s team covered six in a row and this series and he went 7-1 SU from ’06 through the first meeting of this year. That’s when the Packers finally beat their old mates for the first time 28-24 at Lambeau Field.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Baltimore Ravens @ Carolina Panthers
NFL Trends of Note
The Ravens are winless ATS in their L/4 meetings against teams with losing records
Carolina has covered four straight ATS as double digit underdogs
The Panthers are only one for their L/5 ATS in games played in Week 11

Series History
Carolina had better enjoy its dominance in this series, because odds have it, that domination is over with on Sunday afternoon. The Ravens have never beaten the Panthers in franchise history, as the men in blue and black have gone 3-0 SU and ATS in as many meetings. The most recent affair was in 2006, a 23-21 win for the visiting Panthers. This is only the second time that Baltimore has traveled to Charlotte. In the only other meeting, the Ravens were beaten 10-7 in 2002.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Oakland Raiders @ Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL Trends of Note
The Steelers are 1-9-2 ATS in their L/12 seasons in Week 11
Oakland is 8-2 ATS in its L/10 played in Week 11
The Steelers are 2-5-1 ATS in their L/8 home games

Series History
Strangely enough, this is a series that has gone the way of the silver and black more often than not. Oakland came back from a double digit deficit to win 27-24 here at Heinz Field as 14.5 point underdogs, and it has now won back to back games in this series. The Raiders are just 4-5 SU but 5-4 ATS in nine games against the Steelers since 1990. This will mark the sixth time in the L/7 meetings that these teams have collided in the Steel City.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL Trends of Note
The Browns are 12-4 ATS in their L/16 against AFC opponents
Cleveland is 11-5 ATS in its L/16 overall
The road team has gone 7-2 SU in the L/9 in this series

Series History
It’s strange to think that these two teams actually shared a division until the 2002 season. They met in the last game of last season, with Cleveland claiming a 23-17 victory in the Dawg Pound in a relatively meaningless game. It was the second straight win for the Browns both SU and ATS against the Jags. Jacksonville actually hasn’t beaten the Browns at home since 2000, going 0-3 SU and ATS in that stretch since that point. Of course that last win made up for all of those losses, as the Jaguars triumphed 48-0.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Houston Texans @ New York Jets
NFL Trends of Note
The Texans are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 as road underdogs
New York has covered six of its L/8 overall
The Jets are 5-1 ATS in the games following their L/6 SU victories

Series History
The Texans and Jets have met four times in Houston’s history with two meetings coming in the Meadowlands and two coming at Reliant Stadium. Wherever the game is being played, the result has been exactly the same. New York is coming away with a comfortable victory, and the Texans aren’t scoring a heck of a lot of points. Houston has only averaged 9.8 points per game against the Jets, and it has an 0-4 record both SU and ATS to show for it. All four games have sailed ‘under’ the total.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Arizona Cardinals @ Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Trends of Note
The Cards are just 2-6 ATS in their L/8 on the road
KC is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 played on grass
Arizona has never won a game at Arrowhead Stadium

Series History
That’s right, you read that properly. The Cardinals, dating all the way back to 1986, have never won here at Arrowhead. In fairness, they have only had two tries, but they have been outscored by an aggregate score of 83-24 in those two outings as well. These two are split right now the middle since the mid 1980s, as they are both 3-3 ATS. Kansas City holds a slight 4-2 SU edge, and as we have already stated, it is 2-0 ATS at home since the ’80s as well against the Redbirds.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys
NFL Trends of Note
The Lions are 5-2 ATS in their L/7 as underdogs
Detroit is just 7-20-1 ATS in its L/28 played in the month of November
Dallas is the only team in the NFL yet to cover a game at home this season

Series History
These two teams have quite the history with one another, but ironically, the two Thanksgiving Day showcase teams haven’t met since 2007 and haven’t met on the eve of Thanksgiving week since 2005. The Lions have covered the L/2, losing 28-27 at home as 10.5 point pups in 2007 and winning 39-31 in Big D as 13 point dogs in 2006. Needless to say, both games flew past their ‘totals’. Dallas covered four straight from 2002 through 2005. The Lions even have a playoff victory to their credit against the Cowboys, a 15-10 win in 2002.

Sunday, November 21st, 1:00 PM ET: Buffalo Bills @ Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Trends of Note
The Bills are 11-4 ATS in their L/15 road games
Cincinnati is 1-7 ATS in its L/8 at home
The Bengals are 1-7 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a losing record

Series History
Things don’t look good for the Bengals based upon those NFL trends, and they don’t look all that special in this specific series history either. Cincinnati actually hasn’t beaten the Bills outright since the 1989 playoffs. Buffalo is 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS since that point. The Bengals have looked like the Bungals at home against Buffalo, losing 37-27 as 13.5 point favorites in 2005, 33-17 in 2004, and 33-20 in 1998, the only three meetings since that playoff encounter. Six of the L/8 have gone past the number as well, as Buffalo has scored at least 22 in nine straight in this series.

Sunday, November 21st, 4:05 PM ET: Seattle Seahawks @ New Orleans Saints
NFL Trends of Note
The Seahawks are just 3-11 ATS in their L/14 road games
Seattle is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 against teams with winning records
The Saints are 5-13 ATS in their L/18 games played in conference

Series History
Since 1985, these teams have only met on the gridiron eight times, and they are fairly evenly split in doing so. The Saints are 4-4 SU but only 3-5 ATS. Each team has two outright wins at home and two on the road. The ‘totals’ are split as well, with four games going ‘over’ and four going ‘under’. You have to go back to 1997 to find the last win for the Saints in this series at home, but there has only been one game here at the Superdome since that point. New Orleans marched to a 28-17 win in October 2007 in the most recent duel of these NFC squads at Qwest Field.

Sunday, November 21st, 4:05 PM ET: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ San Francisco 49ers
NFL Trends of Note
The Bucs are 7-19 ATS in their L/26 games played on grass
San Fran is 10-3-2 ATS in its L/15 against teams with a winning record
Tampa Bay actually hasn’t won a game in the Bay SU since 1980

Series History
In fairness though, the home team has won seven straight in this series both SU and ATS, and the last time a road team won, the Niners were favored by 16 point in the Big Sombrero in 1993. The Bucs came close the last two meetings in San Fran, losing 21-19 and 15-10, but the bad news for them is that the Niners were significant dogs in both games, including in ’05 as 10.5 point choices of the oddsmakers. The ’07 ‘over’ marked the first time a game in this series went past the number since 1994, ending a five game ‘under’ streak.

Sunday, November 21st, 4:05 PM ET: Atlanta Falcons @ St. Louis Rams
NFL Trends of Note
The Falcons are just 2-2 SU and ATS on the road this season
St. Louis is 4-1 SU and ATS at home on the year
The Falcons are 1-7 ATS in their L/8 played on turf

Series History
This is a very interesting clash between teams that used to share a division. The Rams have covered eight of the L/11 duels, but the home team has won six straight SU. If you’re looking for high scoring games, this is the series for you! The winning team has scored at least 28 points in the L/10 meetings dating back to 1999 and has scored at least 35 points in six of the ten. Needless to say, seven of the ten went past the number. 2008’s 31-27 win for the Falcons at the Georgia Dome marked the first time that this series ended with a game closer than a dozen points since the 1990s. That was also the last time the Falcons won a game here in the Edward Jones Dome.

Sunday, November 21st, 4:15 PM ET: Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots
NFL Trends of Note
The Colts are 9-1-2 ATS in their L/12 against teams with a winning record
Indy is 12-4-2 ATS in its L/18 games on the road
The underdog is 11-3-2 ATS in the L/16 meetings of these arch rivals

Series History
The big question around water coolers this weekend is who the better quarterback is in NFL history, Peyton Manning or Tom Brady… At least based upon recent history, the answer is Manning. His Colts have won four of the L/5 SU and have gone 4-1-1 ATS in the L/6. If you take the aggregate score in the five games of these teams from 2006 to 2009 including the ’07 playoff win that famously sent Indy to the Super Bowl for the first time since moving from Baltimore, the score is incredibly tight. All five games were separated by seven points or less, and Indy holds a slender edge of 138-127.

Sunday, November 21st, 8:20 PM ET: New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles
NFL Trends of Note
The Giants are 6-1-1 ATS in their L/8 following a double digit home loss
New York is 12-3-1 ATS in its L/16 as road underdogs of a field goal or less
The underdog is 10-1 ATS in the L/11 in this series

Series History
The one exception was the last meeting of last season, when the Eagles flew up to the Meadowlands and came away with a thrilling 45-38 ‘W’. Philly has won four straight in this series, including the only 23-11 game in NFL history in Jersey in the ’09 postseason. The Giants had won back to back games in Philly in ’07 and ’08 before getting romped here in the City of Brotherly Love 40-17 last year.

Monday, November 22nd, 8:30 PM ET: Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers
NFL Trends of Note
The Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 against teams following their bye week
San Diego is 5-1 ATS over the L/6 years in Week 11
The Bolts are 20-6 ATS in their L/26 games as home favorites ranging between 3.5 and 10.5 points

Series History
The Broncos are just 1-6-1 ATS in the L/7 clashes against their AFC West foes, but the one exception was last year’s duel at Qualcomm Stadium, a 34-23 win on Monday Night Football which propelled them to their 6-0 start and gave them a three game lead in the division… we all know what happened from that point forward… San Diego added salt to the wound by winning 32-3 at Mile High last year. San Diego has averaged scoring 36.5 points per game in the L/8 meetings, a number that, if it hits the board on Monday, will certainly leave the Broncos with absolutely no chance of survival.