Posts Tagged ‘NFL Picks’

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/18/10)

October 17th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/18/10)
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The Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans are two of the four teams in the AFC South that enter Week 6 at 3-2. One of these two squads will be at least tied for, if not alone in the gutter at 3-3 when this one is over, while the winner will be a game up on at least the loser. Check out what we’ve got in store for Monday Night Football free prop picks!

Chris Johnson Over/Under 113.5 Yards
So far this season, when Johnson reaches the 100 yard barrier, the Titans have gone 3-0 both SU and ATS. When he hasn’t gotten there, they are 0-2 SU and ATS. This is man on a mission on a regular basis, and it’s awfully difficult to stop him when he gets 25 carries in a game like he normally does. The Jacksonville defense does rank No. 13 against the rush at 102.9 yards per game, but they really haven’t had a game quite yet against a team like this, as all five of the teams that it has faced this year have most certainly been pass first offenses. Needless to say, we’ll take our chances that Tennessee’s game plan hasn’t suddenly changed. Go with Johnson Over 113.5 rushing yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Nate Washington Over/Under 40.5 Receiving Yards
We’ll start by saying this much: Washington most certainly has the capability of picking this up in just one play, so this prop is never going to be out of the question. Now, we’ll add into the equation the fact that Jacksonville ranks No. 29 of the 32 teams in the NFL, and save DB Rashean Mathis, there really isn’t a man in this secondary that we are afraid of. Washington might just need to get loose 1-2 times to be able to cash this prop. This is the favorite target of QB Vince Young, and as long as you remain patient and know that those 2-3 receptions are coming over the course of this game, you’ll be fine. Our NFL picks here? Go with Washington Over 40.5 receiving yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Longest Field Goal Over/Under 45.5 Yards
We’ve got two of the best field goal kickers in the game in this one, and neither HC Jack Del Rio nor HC Jeff Fisher is afraid to let him kicker boot one from 55 yards away. Heck, K Josh Scobee just booted the Jags to a win over the Indianapolis Colts with a 59 yard bomb as time expired! K Rob Bironas might have the best leg in the league as well, and he is quite often used as a weapon. Fisher knows that he can count on his kicker to pick up three points on virtually any drive that reaches the 30 yard line, and the offense won’t be afraid to get aggressive and go for TDs, knowing that those three points are virtually always in their back pockets. No doubt, one of these kickers will get a blast from at least 46 yards in this game. We’ll bet that they’ll nail it significantly more often than not as well. Go with there to be a field goal Over 45.5 Yards (+100 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Will Marcedes Lewis Score a Touchdown?
We just need to remember one thing about this prop. This isn’t an NFL pick that needs to come through even half the time to become profitable. In fact, just 40% would more than do. If that’s the case, Lewis would need to score a TD in five of his final 11 games to make this prop worthwhile. We love the fact that the big tight end out of UCLA is making a name for himself in the red zone, as he is becoming the favorite target of QB David Garrard down there. If RB Maurice Jones-Drew is having problems getting through this defensive line, particularly in short yardage situations, the play action rollout has become a real weapon, and quite often, it is Lewis on the other side. This is a very aggressive Tennessee defense, and we tend to think that at least 40% of the time, Lewis is going to find himself in at least one position in the game in which he is wide open in the end zone. Don’t be afraid to go with Lewis to Score a Touchdown (+160 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

NFL Football Picks: Sunday Night Football Props (10/17/10)

October 17th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Sunday Night Football Props (10/17/10)
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The Washington Redskins and Indianapolis Colts are getting set to lock horns on Sunday for a crucial tilt between a pair of 3-2 teams. Check out our NFL picks for the top props in this game that surely should not be missed!

Total Sacks by Both Teams Over/Under 3.5
The offensive line for the Colts this year has looked anything but flawless in spite of the fact that they have only given up five sacks on the season. The biggest problem that this team had was when DE Mario Williams was coming off of QB Peyton Manning’s weak side. Though this is a 3-4 scheme that the Redskins are running and not a 4-3, LB Brian Orakpo will be able to do the same sort of thing. We already know how strong the Indy pass rush has the ability of being, but the real difference might be the struggles of the Washington offensive line. QB Donovan McNabb has already been sacked 11 times this year, and we tend to think that that number is on the rise. There should be plenty of throwing the ball in this game, and if that’s the case, there will almost certainly be Over 3.5 sacks (+125 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Sunday Night Football.

Peyton Manning Over/Under 288.5 Passing Yards
Asking Manning to throw for at least 290 yards seems like a bit of a stretch, especially for a man that just had a relatively miserable game against the Kansas City Chiefs last week. However, we must remember that the short passing game was the only thing that was working for the Philadelphia Eagles against this Washington secondary two weeks ago, and Manning is significantly better than QB Kevin Kolb. We also remember how QB Matt Schaub and the Houston Texans dropped a whole boatload of yards on this defense, over 400 of them to be more exact. It seems as though Manning, without any trust in his rushing game, will coordinate himself to be able to end up going Over 288.5 passing yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Ryan Torain Over/Under 70.5 Rushing Yards
This is really the only hope that the Redskins have of winning this game. This will act as a bit of a hedge bet as well, as Torain is likely to end up going past this number if Manning doesn’t go past his. There just aren’t any other backs of QB Donovan McNabb to turn around and hand the ball to. Torain hasn’t really proven that he is a solid runner yet, but you know that the Colts are going to probably struggle to stop him if he gets going. The former Arizona State Sun Devil can rumble the ball a ton of times in this game, and we fully expect him to do so. Getting 20+ carries isn’t out of the question for as long as the duel stays close. We aren’t so sure, but it seems logical for a team that is allowing over 100 yards per game on the ground that Torain goes Over 70.5 Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Colts.

2010 NFL Trends: Week 6 Cheat Sheet

October 13th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Trends: Week 6 Cheat Sheet
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Week 6 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 6 NFL matchups.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 ET: Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans
NFL Trends of Note
Kansas City is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 road games
The Texans are 6-2-2 ATS in their L/10 against teams with a winning record
Houston is 5-2-1 ATS in its L/8 played on grass

Series History
There have only been four meetings in this series, and three of the four have belonged to the road team both SU and ATS. The last clash of these AFC squads came in 2007, and the Texans rammed KC 20-3 as three point favorites. The only time a dog covered a game in this rivalry was in 2004, a 24-21 upset for the Texans at Arrowhead Stadium. The ‘totals’ have been level at two ‘overs’ and two ‘unders’ apiece.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 PM ET: New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL Trends of Note
The Saints are 3-13 ATS in their L/16 against the NFC
New Orleans is 7-3-1 ATS in its L/11 played on grass
Tampa Bay is 6-1-1 ATS over the L/8 seasons in Week 6

Series History
The Saints had covered three straight in this divisional rivalry before last year’s 20-17 overtime victory for the Bucs at the Superdome which helped ruin the celebration of clinching the NFC for the hosts. The L/3 have all stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’, though at least 37 points have gone on the scoreboard in the nine meetings since the end of the 2005 campaign. Tampa Bay went 5-1 ATS from ’05 through ’07.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 PM ET: Miami Dolphins @ Green Bay Packers
NFL Trends of Note
The Fins have covered four straight games on the road
Miami is a whopping 17-4 ATS in its L/21 road games against teams with a winning home record
The Packers 9-4-1 ATS in their L/14 overall

Series History
Every four years, these teams meet to do battle since divisional realignment. The Packers have covered back to back and have won two straight SU. The Dolphins haven’t won a game at Lambeau Field since 1994. The last meeting of these teams resulted in a 34-24 win for Green Bay in South Beach. There has only been one ‘under’ game since 1997 in this series, that coming in the last visit to Lambeau in November of 2002, a 24-10 Packers victory.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 PM ET: San Diego Chargers @ St. Louis Rams
NFL Trends of Note
The Chargers have covered six straight games following an ATS defeat
San Diego has gone 5-1 ATS over the L/6 years in Week 6
The Rams are 5-2 ATS in their L/7 as pups of more than a field goal but less than double digits

Series History
The home team has won every game in this series in this decade, but this is probably a bit unfair due to the fact that the Rams were really good at the start of the decade and really terrible recently. Expect to see the fireworks flying in this one, as the home team has scored a whopping average of 41.0 points per game in the L/3. All three went past the ‘total’.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 PM ET: Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots
NFL Trends of Note
The Ravens are 19-7-1 ATS in their L/27 on the road as underdogs
New England is 24-11-1 ATS in its L/36 following an SU victory of at least 14 points
The Pats are 23-7-1 ATS in their L/31 games played in the month of October

Series History
These two teams have had a heck of a history, especially in the last four years or so. Last season in the playoffs, the Ravens bounced New England 33-14 at Gillette Stadium. New England won the last two battles though, taking a 27-21 decision at home and a 27-24 victory in Baltimore. That ’07 meeting was particularly notable because it was the closest that the Patriots came to losing in that undefeated regular season, as the Ravens ‘D’ found a way to shut down the New England offense that was amongst one of the best in the league’s history. Baltimore is 3-1 ATS in its L/4, but the Pats had covered the previous three spreads.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 PM ET: Detroit Lions @ New York Giants
NFL Trends of Note
The Lions are 7-19 ATS in their L/26 played on field turf
The G-Men are 20-6-1 ATS in their L/27 played in the month of October
New York is winless ATS in its L/4 home games against teams with losing road records

Series History
These two teams haven’t met since 2007 when the Giants took out the Lions 16-10 in the Motor City. The road team has won every meeting in this series dating back to 1990, and the Lions haven’t won a game at home against New York since well back into the 1980s. As a result, the road team is 6-0 ATS since 1994 in this series, while the underdog won five of those games outright.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 PM ET: Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears
NFL Trends of Note
The Seahawks are 4-9 ATS in their L/13 against NFC teams
Chicago is 2-12 ATS over the L/14 seasons in Week 6
The Bears are 5-2 ATS in the L/7 in this series dating back to 1990

Series History
In this decade, these two teams have each won a pair of games. The most notable win came in the ’06-’07 playoffs, when the Bears captured a 27-24 overtime victory in the Windy City. Seattle was a 9.5 point underdog that day, marking what was the second time in a row that the Hawks beat the number. Chicago captured the last duel at Qwest Field 25-19 as short favorites. The L/4 have all gone beyond the ‘total’.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 PM ET: Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL Trends of Note
The Browns are 8-1 ATS in their L/9 against the AFC
Cleveland is 9-2 ATS in its L/11 played in the month of October
The Steelers are 7-2 ATS over the L/9 years in Week 6

Series History
These two teams absolutely despise each other. Cleveland stuck in front of both numbers last season, including a 13-6 upset at home as 9.5 point underdogs in December in a game that helped keep the black and gold out of the playoffs. Dating back to the last meeting in 2007, the Browns are 4-1 ATS against their arch rivals. The win last year marked the first victory in five seasons for Cleveland. The ‘over’ might be 6-1-1 ATS in the L/8 clashes in the Steel City, but the ‘under’ has come in three of the L/4 times these AFC North foes have met.

Sunday, October 17th, 1:00 PM ET: Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles
NFL Trends of Note
The Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 overall
Philly is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 overall
The Eagles are 7-3-1 ATS over the L/11 seasons in Week 6 encounters

Series History
The Eagles have three wins in a row and seven out of eight in this series dating back to 1998. They have gone 7-2 ATS in their L/9 in this series. The favorite is 6-2 ATS over the L/8. In spite of the fact that the Eagles have averaged 24.1 points per game in this series since 2003, Atlanta’s woeful 11.4 points per game average has resulted in a 6-0-1 record for ‘under’ bettors in that stretch. This would be QB Michael Vick’s first meeting against his old team if he is able to play on Sunday.

Sunday, October 17th, 4:05 PM ET: Oakland Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers
NFL Trends of Note
The Raiders are 8-17 ATS in their L/25 road games against teams with a losing home record
Oakland is 5-16 ATS in its L/21 after an ATS victory
The Niners are 7-1-3 ATS in their L/11 after an ATS defeat

Series History
These rivals meet every single year in the preseason, but they have only met twice in the regular season when the games are for keeps in this decade. In 2002, San Fran captured a 23-20 decision, while in 2006, the Niners won 34-20 at home. San Francisco covered both spreads, while the ‘total’ has been split. The preseason meeting this year resulted in a 28-24 win for the 49ers.

Sunday, October 17th, 4:05 PM ET: New York Jets @ Denver Broncos
NFL Trends of Note
The Jets are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 road games
New York is 8-2 ATS in its L/10 games against the AFC
Denver has gone 8-2 ATS over the L/10 in this series

Series History
The Jets have never loved playing against Denver, particularly at Mile High. Yes, they have a win there in 1999, but that was the only game that they won in this series there in the last two decades. The Broncos have a postseason win there as well in this stretch, a 23-10 win in the AFC Championship Game in 1999. New York hasn’t scored more than 25 points in a game in this series since the 1980s. Five of the L/7 have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’.

Sunday, October 17th, 4:15 PM ET: Dallas Cowboys @ Minnesota Vikings
NFL Trends of Note
Dallas is 2-6-2 ATS over the L/10 years in Week 6
Dallas is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 against teams with a losing record
The Vikes are 6-1-1 ATS in their L/8 home games

Series History
The favorite has covered eight straight games in this series, which is a good sign for the hosts on Sunday. The most recent meeting came in the playoffs last year, a 34-3 romp for the Vikes at home. Dallas had won the previous two meetings both SU and ATS, but the Vikes owned the previous four, including a win in the 2000 playoffs. Six of the L/8 have gone past the ‘total’.

Sunday, October 17th, 8:20 PM ET: Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Redskins
NFL Trends of Note
The Colts are 7-1-1 ATS in their L/9 against teams with a winning record
Indy is 11-4-1 ATS in its L/16 road games
Washington is 6-1-3 ATS in its L/10 played on grass

Series History
These teams have only met seven times in the L/20 years. Washington dominated the NFL odds from 1994 to 2002, as it covered four straight against the Colts. The most recent meeting in 2006 resulted in a 36-22 win for QB Peyton Manning’s crew at the old RCA Dome. This is the first meeting of these teams in Landover since 2002, where the Colts haven’t won in well over two decades.

Monday, October 18th, 8:30 PM ET: Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL Trends of Note
Tennessee is 1-10 ATS in its L/11 against teams with a winning record
The Titans are just 2-6 ATS in their L/8 against the AFC South
Jacksonville is only 2-6 ATS in its L/8 appearances on Monday Night Football

Series History
The home team is 7-3 ATS since 2005 in this series. However, only six of those games have actually been won SU. Last year, the home team took both meetings both SU and ATS with some major romps. The Titans won 30-13 at LP Field, while the Jags won 37-17 at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium. The ‘under’ has cashed in three of the previous four meetings, but all five clashes in 2005 and 2006, including the postseason tussle, went ‘over’ the ‘total’.

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/4/10)

October 10th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/4/10)
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The New York Jets and Minnesota Vikings both have new weapons to be trying out at wide receiver this week. With both WR Randy Moss and WR Santonio Holmes in the fold for the first time, the oddsmakers might just be a step or two behind with the way that the NFL props are lined in this one. Check out our best NFL propositions for Monday Night Football props!

Will there be a score in the first 7 minutes of the game?
Don’t be shocked if Holmes and Moss try to get into the act early. We know that both of these defenses really have the ability to shine, but with so much emphasis coming on both rushing attacks, the passing games might be able to snare a cheap shot early on. Even just a 30-40 yard pass could set up a nice field goal opportunity in the first half of the first quarter. We’ll take our chances, regardless of who gets the ball first, that something special is going to happen early on to set up the first points of the game. Even though this one involves the Jets, a team that is typically impossible to bet “yes” with this prop, we have no hesitations in this one. Yes, there absolutely will be a score in the first 7:00 (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Will Brett Favre throw an interception?
This is like taking candy from a baby. There are just a million reasons why Favre will get picked off in this one and virtually none saying that he won’t. For starters, Favre has already tossed six picks this year and he looks like a man that is once again going to throw 20-25 on the season. He is also facing one of the best ball hawking secondaries in the league with a healthy DB Darrelle Revis in the lineup. The pressure up front is always incredibly immense, and if RB Adrian Peterson can’t get anything going, Favre is going to be forcing balls into traffic. There’s no way that he makes it through this game without making a crucial mistake. Go with Favre to throw an interception (-240 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Randy Moss Total Receptions Over/Under 4.5
Last week, we played this exact same prop against Moss when he was with the New England Patriots, but now, our tune is changing. The Vikings already know that an unhappy Randy Moss is a disgruntled Randy Moss. Fortunately, former HC Mike Tice’s idiotic “Randy Ratio” is gone, but the logic of “Get Randy the damn ball” is still in play. It seems like a foregone conclusion that the first play of the game will put the ball in No. 84’s hands, and we have a hard time thinking that, especially on the bright lights of Monday Night Football, that Moss isn’t coming up with a spectacular game now that he is with a team that wants him and badly needs him. It seems very likely that he goes Over 4.5 Receptions (+115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Jets.

Mark Sanchez Over/Under 200.5 Passing Yards
The lack of confidence that the oddsmakers have in Sanchez in this one is a bit disturbing. HC Rex Ryan is building more and more confidence in his young signal caller with each week that he doesn’t turn the ball over like his predecessor. The front seven for Minnesota is one of the best in the NFL, and in spite of the fact that New York might try, try, and try again to force the ball on the ground through this purple defense, it probably won’t work all that much. At some point, the safeties and linebackers are going to have to be held with some play action passes, and with targets like Holmes, TE Dustin Keller, WR Braylon Edwards, and WR Jerricho Cotchery, we love “The Sanchise” and his chances on this one. Go with Sanchez Over 200.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) versus the stout Minnesota front.

2010 NFL Trends: Week 5 Cheat Sheet

October 9th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Trends: Week 5 Cheat Sheet
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Week 5 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 5 NFL matchups.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 ET: Atlanta Falcons @ Cleveland Browns
NFL Trends of Note
Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 overall
Cleveland is 9-1 ATS in its L/10 in October
The Browns are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 played on grass

Series History
These teams have only met twice in Cleveland’s brief history, and the Browns have dominated. Cleveland stole a 17-13 victory at the Georgia Dome in 2006 and won 24-16 in 2002. Even in the one preseason tussle that these teams played in 2003, Cleveland took a 20-9 win. All three games have gone ‘under’ the ‘total’, while the Browns have covered all three NFL lines.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens
NFL Trends of Note
The Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 following an SU win
The Ravens are 42-18-1 ATS in their L/61 as home favorites
Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in its L/7 as a home favorite of between 3.5 and 10 points

Series History
The Broncos are just 1-6-1 ATS in the L/8 meetings in this series. Baltimore won 30-7 last year in this fixture. The home team has won five straight dating back to 2002 and eight out of nine since 1994. Four straight and six out of seven have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’. The road team has only scored a grand total of 26 points in the L/4 meetings of these powerhouses, but the home team has only eclipsed 13 points once in the L/3.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: New York Giants @ Houston Texans
NFL Trends of Note
The Giants are 1-7 ATS in their L/8 played on grass
New York is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 against teams with a winning record
Houston has gone 5-1-1 ATS in its L/7

Series History
The Texans have only been around long enough to face the Giants twice in their lives, and this is just the second trip to Reliant Stadium ever. The home team has won both meetings, but the Texans have dominated the ATS proceedings. Houston is 2-0 ATS, with both clashes coming as underdogs. The Giants won 14-10 in the one duel in the Meadowlands, while Houston won 16-14 at home. Obviously, both meetings stayed well ‘under’ the ‘total’.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers
NFL Trends of Note
The Bears are 2-7 ATS in their L/9 on grass
Carolina is 8-1 ATS in its L/9 against teams with winning records
The Bears are 4-2 ATS in their L/6

Series History
There have only been five clashes of these teams in Panthers history, including one meeting in the postseason. Carolina won that day 29-21 in the Windy City, and that was the only time a road team ever won a game in this series. The underdog has only failed to cover one spread, with that coming in 2005 in favor of the Bears. That also happens to be the only time since 1995 that the men from the Windy City have won a game against the Panthers.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: St. Louis Rams @ Detroit Lions
NFL Trends of Note
The Rams are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 against teams with losing record
The Lions are just 5-13 ATS in their L/18 games played at Ford Field.
St. Louis has covered back to back in this series

Series History
The only win for the Rams last year came against these Lions at this venue. St. Louis captured a 17-10 decision. The meeting prior to that was also in favor of the Rams, a 41-34 win at the Edward Jones Dome. That was actually the only meeting in St. Louis since 1993, as the other five since that point were played in the Motor City.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Green Bay Packers @ Washington Redskins
NFL Trends of Note
Green Bay is 9-3-1 ATS in its L/13 overall
The Packers are 8-3-1 ATS in their L/12 on grass
The Redskins are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 played in Week 5

Series History
Since the mid 1980s, this series has just belonged to the Pack. Green Bay had gone 4-0 SU from 2001 to 2007, and the previous meeting before that was back in 1988. The Packers have only made one trek to our nation’s capitol in that stretch as well. Green Bay is 5-0-1 ATS since 1986 in this series. The ‘under’ has gone 5-1 in those six clashes. The ‘Skins were dropped 17-14 at Lambeau Field in the last encounter in 2007.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Trends of Note
The Bucs have covered three straight in this series
Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS in its L/12 overall
The Bengals are 8-3 ATS in their L/11 against teams with a winning record

Series History
The Bucs captured a 14-13 decision in 2006 at Raymond James Stadium, but the last trip to Cincinnati was also a grand one. Tampa Bay won 35-7 in its glory days in 2002. Five of the L/6 between these rivals have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’, with the one exception being that 2002 clash. The losing team in this series hasn’t scored more than 16 points in a game since 1989.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Kansas City Chiefs @ Indianapolis Colts
NFL Trends of Note
The Colts are 6-1-1 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a winning record
Indianapolis is 10-3 ATS in its L/13 played in October
Kansas City is just 2-7 ATS in its L/9 against the Colts

Series History
Kansas City’s only win in this series since the 1980s came in 2004 with a 45-35 victory at Arrowhead Stadium. Indy has held the Chiefs to just 18 total points in two meetings since that point in two games at the old RCA Dome. One of those games was a postseason clash in January 2007.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills
NFL Trends of Note
Jacksonville is 4-12 ATS in its L/16 overall
Buffalo is 3-7 ATS in its L/10 played in Week 5
The Bills are 3-10 ATS in their L/13 played on turf

Series History
The Jaguars certainly love playing in Ralph Wilson Stadium, as this will always be the home of their first postseason win in 1996. Since that point though, the Bills have really done a nice job. Buffalo nearly won last year in the Sunshine State, dropping 18-15, but the fact that it covered the spread marked its sixth cover in its L/8 since that playoff defeat at home in ’96. The L/2 have gone ‘under’ the ‘total’ with ease.

Sunday, October 10th, 4:05 PM ET: New Orleans Saints @ Arizona Cardinals
NFL Trends of Note
The Saints are just 2-9 ATS in their L/11 against NFC opponents
New Orleans is 3-9 ATS in its L/12 overall
The Cards are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 played in October

Series History
The Saints destroyed Arizona last year in the postseason 45-14 at home, marking the second straight win in the Superdome for them against the Redbirds. The Cards scored a 2004 win here in the desert by the count of 34-10, marking its only cover in this series since 1996. You have to go back into the 1980s to find the previous time in which they covered a spread at home against the men in black and gold. Three straight have eclipsed the ‘total’.

Sunday, October 10th, 4:15 PM ET: San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders
NFL Trends of Note
The Bolts are 18-8 ATS in their L/26 games played in October
Oakland is winless over the L/4 seasons both SU and ATS in Week 5
The Raiders are 15-36 ATS in their L/51 home games

Series History
These two divisional foes hate each other, and for good reason. The silver and black haven’t won a game since 2003, a stretch of 12 straight games. The Raiders did cover both numbers last year, losing 24-16 on the road and 24-20 at home. The Chargers had covered seven of the previous eight and are now 11-3 ATS in their L/14 clashes overall. The Bolts are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 trips to Oakland Alameda County Coliseum.

Sunday, October 10th, 4:15 PM ET: Tennessee Titans @ Dallas Cowboys
NFL Trends of Note
The Titans are 18-8 ATS in their L/26 as underdogs
Dallas has covered five of its L/6 following a bye week
The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their L/7 played in October

Series History
The Titans haven’t found their way to Victory Lane against the Cowboys since 2000 on Christmas Day, and the last time that they won a game in Dallas was in 1997. The boys from the Lone Star State smacked Tennessee around 45-14 in the last encounter at Adelphia Coliseum. The L/3 have eclipsed the ‘total’, but that includes a pair of preseason tussles.

Sunday, October 10th, 8:20 PM ET: Philadelphia Eagles @ San Francisco 49ers
NFL Trends of Note
The Eagles are 11-4 ATS in their L/15 as road underdogs
Philly is 0-5 ATS in its L/5 against the NFC
San Fran is 5-1-1 ATS in its L/7 after an SU defeat

Series History
It’s been Philly, Philly, and more Philly in this series of late, as the Eagles have captured four straight against the Niners both SU and ATS, including a 27-13 decision last December in the City of Brotherly Love. The Niners haven’t won a home game either SU or ATS against Philadelphia since 2001. Last year’s ‘under’ clash marked the first time a game in this series stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’ since 2001, a stretch of five straight ‘overs’.

Monday, October 11th, 8:30 PM ET: Minnesota Vikings @ New York Jets
NFL Trends of Note
The Jets are 3-10 ATS in their L/13 played in October
New York is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 overall
The Vikes are just 0-5 ATS in the regular season against the Jets since 1994

Series History
As you can see, this series has been all one way traffic for the men in green. The last encounter came in 2006, with the Jets topping the Vikes 26-13 at the Metrodome. Minnesota isn’t even winning games in this series SU when they’re favored, just like in 2006. Though two of the L/3 have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’, the previous three had all gone ‘over’. The Vikes have never scored more than 21 points in a game against the Jets.

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/4/10)

October 3rd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in General Handicapping   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/4/10)
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If you’re a fan of good old fashioned hard hitting football between two teams that just don’t like each other, this is the game for you! The Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots are sure to put on a real show on MNF this week, as they meet at Sun Life Stadium in a game that is absolutely crucial for both teams involved. Check out some of the NFL props for the game that we are keying in on to try to make you some great cash on the action!

Will there be a score in the first 6 1/2 minutes of the game?
Normally speaking, this prop would be set at 7:30, not 6:30, but due to the fact that this is the highest NFL betting ‘total’ on the board in Week 4, the number has come down just a tad. It won’t matter. The Dolphins now know that they can stretch the field quite a bit on the Pats, who seem to be relatively helpless defensive right now. With WR Brandon Marshall being used as an inviting target, big plays are very, very possible. We already know that the Brady Bunch has the top scoring offense in the game at 30.0 points per game, as QB Tom Brady and WR Randy Moss can hook up for a TD pass from anywhere on the field. Yes, there absolutely will be a score in the first 6:30 (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Ronnie Brown Over/Under 65.5 Rushing Yards
Something is wrong with RB Ricky Williams right now. He doesn’t have a single carry this year for more than eight yards, and the end result might be more weight put onto the shoulders of RB Ronnie Brown. Brown is averaging well more than two yards per carry more than Williams is this year, and the defense on the other side of the field isn’t exactly known for its ability to stop the run, especially if you can bounce the ball outside and away from DT Vince Wilfork. Remember the MNF game last year when the Fins absolutely dominated time of possession against the Indianapolis Colts to try to keep QB Peyton Manning off the field? HC Tony Sparano knows that that would be a fantastic game plan to use on Monday night. Go with Brown Over 65.5 rushing yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Randy Moss Total Receptions Over/Under 4.5
Normally, it seems like a bit of a slam dunk for Moss to go ‘over’ this type of a number, but perhaps that shouldn’t be considered the case anymore. He only has nine total receptions on the season, and that’s due to the emergence of men like WR Julian Edelman, TE Rob Gronkowski, and TE Aaron Hernandez. Plus, age really isn’t helping Moss out any, as he is spending more and more plays on the sidelines when he isn’t being utilized. The Dolphins know that Moss is still a lethal deep threat though, and he is going to be a force to be reckoned with. Will Moss get his big play or two over the course of the game? Probably. However, especially if Miami does a great job of protecting the football, we have a hard time figuring how he is going to be getting to five receptions on the day unless he is really force fed the ball. That’s not a necessity for Brady and the offense anymore at this point in Moss’ career. Go with good ol’ Randy Under 4.5 Receptions (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Dolphins.

2010 NFL Trends: Week 4 Cheat Sheet

October 1st, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Trends: Week 4 Cheat Sheet
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Week 4 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 4 NFL matchups.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 ET: Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
NFL Trends of Note
The Packers are just 9-2-1 ATS in their L/12 overall
Detroit is 1-6-1 ATS in its L/8 in division
The Lions are 2-6-2 ATS in their L/10 roadies

Series History
Green Bay has simply dominated this series, winning every game dating back to the first clash in 2005, a stretch of nine straight overall. In that run, Detroit has only covered two spreads, with the most recent cover coming at Lambeau Field in December 2008. The Pack have averaged 35.0 PPG over their L/6 with Detroit and haven’t scored less than 26 points in a game in that stretch.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints
NFL Trends of Note
Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its L/8 against teams with a winning record
The Saints are 2-7 ATS in their L/9 as favorites
New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 played on field turf

Series History
Carolina has actually won all but two of the L/9 meetings dating back to 2005. Last season’s was a Panthers ATS sweep, as there was no issue knocking off either NFL spread over the course of the year. Carolina has four straight ATS under its belt against the Saints and is 7-2 ATS over the L/9 ATS as well as SU. The L/2 meetings went ‘under’ the ‘total’, while five of the L/6 have failed to reach the number.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Denver Broncos @ Tennessee Titans
NFL Trends of Note
Denver has covered three straight against the Titans overall
Tennessee is 2-10 ATS in its L/12 years in Week 4
The Titans are 10-4 ATS in their L/14 against teams with losing records

Series History
As we’ve already said, it’s been awhile since Tennessee has come up with a ‘W’ in this series. You have to go back to 1995 to find the last regular season triumph. However, Denver hasn’t visited the Music City since 2004. It walked out a winner that day to the tune of 37-16. The Broncos have at least 34 on the board in each of their L/3 meetings with Tennessee, while the Titans have scored 20, 10, and 16 respectively in those three duels.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns
NFL Trends of Note
The Bengals are 1-13 ATS in their L/14 years in Week 4
Cincinnati is 3-8 ATS in its L/11 overall
The Browns are 8-1 ATS in their L/9 games played in October

Series History
These two teams simply don’t like each other a whole bunch. The Bengals might have won both games last year SU, but the Browns won the ATS war in each clash. The underdog has covered six straight overall. Four of the L/5 have stayed ‘under’ the number, while the ‘under’ is 8-3 in the L/11 meetings in the Dawg Pound. The Browns haven’t won a game here against Cincinnati since 2007 in that wild 51-45 game in which QB Derek Anderson threw five TD passes and RB Jamal Lewis rushed for 216 yards.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
NFL Trends of Note
The Niners are 1-7-1 ATS in their L/9 played in October
San Fran is 9-3-2 ATS in its L/14 against teams with a winning record
Atlanta is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 home games

Series History
Last year, Atlanta marched into AT&T Park and absolutely crippled the 49ers 45-10 as short underdogs. All of a sudden, San Fran badly needs to make amends for that. However, the Niners haven’t won a game in this series since these two teams were in the NFC West together, a stretch of three straight dating back to 2001. San Francisco also hasn’t scored more than 19 points in a game in this series since then. The Falcons are 5-3 ATS over the L/8 meetings.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams
NFL Trends of Note
Seattle is 1-9 ATS in its L/10 on the road
St. Louis is 7-22 ATS in its L/29 against the NFC West
The Rams are 7-17 ATS in their L/24 against teams with a winning record

Series History
It’s been Seattle, Seattle, and more Seattle since 2005 in this series, as the Seahawks haven’t lost a game to the Rams in that stretch. Several of these games were absolute beat downs as well, as five of the L/9 have been decided by at least ten points. The Seahawks have covered six straight in this series and eight out of ten overall. Seattle has put at least 23 on the board in all ten clashes.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL Trends of Note
The Ravens are 7-2-1 ATS in their L/10 as underdogs of a field goal or less
Baltimore is 22-10-1 ATS in its L/33 played on grass
The Steelers are 35-17-2 ATS in their L/54 games played in October

Series History
Even though you’d tend to believe that both of these teams are prone to ‘under’ games, it has been the ‘over’ that has cashed quite a bit. In fact, ‘over’ bettors are a whopping 6-1-1 in the L/8 meetings of these arch rivals. The home team has won six of the L/7, but Baltimore has been the one losing host and is just 2-5 in those seven. The Steelers are 3-0-1 ATS over their L/4 clashes, including already nearly winning one game with QB Dennis Dixon under center last year in Baltimore.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills
NFL Trends of Note
The Jets are 2-10 ATS in their L/12 played in October
New York is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 against the AFC
Buffalo is 3-11 ATS in its L/14 home games

Series History
The underdog is a whopping 20-8 ATS over the L/28 meetings of these two AFC East rivals. An eight game winning streak for the pup ATS in this series came to a close last December when the Jets walked out of Ralph Wilson Stadium with a 19-13 win. The road team has won six of the L/8, with each team winning one road game. Both meetings last year stayed well ‘under’ the ‘total’, and there has only been one ‘over’ since 2006 (4-1-1).

Sunday, October 3rd, 4:05 PM ET: Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL Trends of Note
The Colts are 10-2 ATS in their L/12 played in October
Jacksonville is 7-25 ATS in its L/32 played on grass
The Jags are 4-14 ATS in their L/18 played at home

Series History
Indianapolis has always had some problems with the Jags, but over the L/5 years, this series has been cut fairly down the middle. The team split the SU and ATS proceedings in each of the L/4 years even though the Colts have only lost twice in that stretch. The Colts haven’t lost in Jacksonville since December 2006, including last year’s 35-31 victory, which marked the third straight trip here with at least 29 points scored.

Sunday, October 3rd, 4:05 PM ET: Houston Texans @ Oakland Raiders
NFL Trends of Note
Houston is 7-1 ATS in its L/8 years in Week 4
The Texans are 4-1 ATS in five meetings against the Raiders
Oakland is just 17-39-1 ATS in its L/57 home games

Series History
Last year, the Texans trounced the Raiders 29-6 at home to dominate the nine point spread. It was the first time in which a favorite even won a game SU in this series, let alone ATS, and if you would like, you can even include the one preseason matchup of these teams in there as well from 2005. Historically, this series is a very low scoring one, as no game has featured more than 47 points, while the L/2 have easily stayed ‘under’ the number.

Sunday, October 3rd, 4:15 PM ET: Arizona Cardinals @ San Diego Chargers
NFL Trends of Note
The Cards have won seven straight ATS in October
Arizona is 10-2 ATS in its L/12 as an underdog
The Bolts have covered five straight following an ATS defeat

Series History
There aren’t many regular season meetings between these two teams since the start of the 2000s in spite of the fact that it feels like they meet every year in the preseason. San Diego won 27-20 on New Year’s Eve 2006, but the Cards covered the 14 point NFL odds that day. In 2002, the Bolts won 23-15 in Tucson, while in 2001, Arizona trumped the Chargers here at Qualcomm Stadium 20-17 in a very similar looking game to the one that will be played on Sunday.

Sunday, October 3rd, 4:15 PM ET: Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles
NFL Trends of Note
The Skins are 4-1-3 ATS in their L/8 played on grass
Washington is 4-10-1 ATS in its L/15 played in October
The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their L/5 in October

Series History
For whatever reason, Washington has seemed to have the Eagles’ number in spite of the fact that it has largely stunk in that stretch. The Eagles did win both games last year but only went 1-1 ATS with the ‘Skins covering here in the City of Brotherly Love. In fact, the last time that Philly covered a home game against Washington was back in 2006, a 27-3 victory. Since that point, the Redskins are 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS.

Sunday, October 3rd, 8:20 PM ET: Chicago Bears @ New York Giants
NFL Trends of Note
Chicago is 3-8 ATS in its L/11 road games
New York is 1-8 ATS in its L/9 against teams with a winning road record
The road team is 8-0 both SU and ATS in this series dating back to 1992

Series History
And if that isn’t a golden trend for Bears bettors, we don’t know what is! Chicago hasn’t lost a game in the Meadowlands since the 1980s and has won all of its meetings in the 1990s and 2000s by at least seven points. All four duels in the 1990s played past the ‘total’, but since that point, ‘under’ bettors are 3-2 and none of the three ‘unders’ got anywhere near the ‘total’.

Monday, September 27th, 8:30 PM ET: New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
NFL Trends of Note
New England is just 2-6 ATS in its L/8 against the AFC East
The Dolphins are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 in division
Miami is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 played in October

Series History
Miami beat the Pats at home last year 22-21 for its fourth cover in the L/5 games in this series. Big time spreads are nothing new in this rivalry either, as the Dolphins have been double digit dogs four times just since 2007, including being a 22 point dog in Gillette Stadium in ’07. Both clashes last year stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’, which bucked the trend of three out of four ‘overs’ over the previous two years.