Posts Tagged ‘NFL Prop Bets’

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Broncos vs. Raiders Props/Predictions 12/6

December 1st, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Broncos vs. Raiders Props/Predictions 12/6
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Full Broncos vs. Raiders NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Peyton Manning Broncos vs. RaidersThe Oakland Raiders and Denver Broncos are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 14 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over/Under 44.5 Yards: Oh, c’mon! This is Sea Bass we’re talking about! K Sebastian Janikowski has only missed two kicks this year, and they are both of the 60+ yard variety. Just by himself, he has had five games this year in which he has booted a field goal of at least 45 yards, and in four of those games, that kick has come from at least 51 yards. There is no doubt if Oakland gets inside of the Denver 40 yard line, Head Coach Dennis Allen has no doubts about sending on his kicking unit. K Matt Prater is a slightly different story, as he has had a few games this year without a single field goal. He does have three games with field goals made of over 50 yards, and one of those games was against these very same Raiders. It really seems as though there will be at least a whack or two from long range in this one, and we have to think that, especially if it’s Janikowski, he’ll have no problems booting it through the uprights. Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115

Will the Raiders Ever Lead Against the Broncos?: They didn’t the first time these teams played… Granted, this game is at home, and we don’t expect to see the Broncos put up over 500 yards of offense once again, but it still feels like there has to be nowhere near a 50/50 chance that the Raiders don’t even find their way in front in this one. Denver hasn’t led from start to finish in a game since October 28th against the New Orleans Saints, and it is really, really tough to be that to a team on the road. At some point, Oakland has to get on the board, whether it be first or shortly thereafter, and if that turns out to be the case, we would like to think that it is going to be in front for at least a few seconds in this one, no matter how bad the end result might truly be. Oakland Raiders To Lead During The Game (-160)

Peyton Manning Over/Under 299.5 Passing Yards: Manning has been insanely efficient this year, throwing for over 3,500 yards in spite of the fact that he has fewer pass attempts than any other quarterback that has thrown for that many yards. The problem that we have with Manning is that he hasn’t reached 300 passing yards but once in the last five games, and that was a game in which he had just 301 yards. Manning has only exceeded 309 yards three times this year, and that hasn’t happened since losing to the New England Patriots back in Week 5. Granted, one of those times did come against these Raiders, but is Manning really going to complete 78.9 percent of his passes again in this one. It’s entirely possible, especially knowing that the Raiders’ defense has been a sieve over the course of the last several weeks of the season, but it really seems like a square as heck play to think that Manning is going to get to three bills more often than not in this one. Peyton Manning Under 299.5 Passing Yards (+100)

Demaryius Thomas Over/Under 95.5 Receiving Yards: Just because Manning is down though, doesn’t mean that Thomas has to be down, too. The Georgia Tech product has been out of this world over the course of this season, and he has five 100+ yard games on the campaign (to go with his 99-yard effort last week). When Manning gets locked in with Thomas, it is starting to look like the good old days of when he was getting the job done with WR Marvin Harrison. Thomas is his security blanket, especially when the going gets tough. Thomas hasn’t had a 100+ yard game since Week 10, but this is the worst secondary that he has run across since that point as well. Manning will hit him with a bomb over the course of this one, and a few of the medium range passes will put Thomas over the top by the end of the third quarter. Demaryius Thomas Over 95.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 12/6/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -110

Broncos Score First -200
Raiders Score First +160

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 46.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 46.5 Yards -115

Longest Made Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -115
Longest Made Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -115

Shortest Made Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Made Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Special Teams Or Defensive Touchdown Scored +160
No Special Teams Or Defensive Touchdown Scored -200

Raiders To Ever Lead The Game -160
Raiders To Never Lead The Game +130

Peyton Manning Passing Yards Over 299.5 -130
Peyton Manning Passing Yards Under 299.5 +100

Peyton Manning TD Passes Over 2.5 -115
Peyton Manning TD Passes Under 2.5 -115

Peyton Manning Throws an Interception -115
Peyton Manning Doesn’t Throw an Interception -115

Demaryius Thomas Receiving Yards Over 95.5 -115
Demaryius Thomas Receiving Yards Under 95.5 -115

Demaryius Thomas Scores a Touchdown -130
Demaryius Thomas Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +100

NFL Prop Picks: Panthers vs. Eagles Predictions & Tips 11/26/12

November 24th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Panthers vs. Eagles Predictions & Tips 11/26/12
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Full Panthers @ Eagles NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Cam Newton PanthersThe Philadelphia Eagles and Carolina Panthers are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 12 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Cam Newton Touchdown Passes Over/Under 1.5: Are we playing on the Carolina offense or against the Philadelphia defense? The Eagles have allowed at least two TD passes in four straight games and six out of eight, and that just isn’t going to cut it when push comes to shove, even against a run first team. Heck, the Washington Redskins threw the ball just 15 times last week, and QB Robert Griffin III threw for four TDs in that stretch. To ask Newton, who has had just two games this year with at least two TD passes, to get to at least two in this one is going to be tough, but we really think that this is more of a 50/50 proposition than anything else, especially against this Philly secondary, which has brutally underachieved and looks like it has given up on the season. Cam Newton TD Passes Over 1.5 (+140)

Eagles Pass Completions Over/Under 22.5: On one blush, knowing that QB Michael Vick is out of the lineup, it seems appropriate to back the ‘under’ in this situation. However, when you think about it closer and look at it a bit closer, perhaps it isn’t so insane to back the ‘over’ instead. QB Nick Foles has a decent arm without a shadow of a doubt. However, he doesn’t have a running game this week either, as RB Bryce Brown is going to have to play in place of the injured RB LeSean McCoy. Don’t be all that shocked if it in the end, that means that Foles is going to put the rock up 30+ times against a secondary that doesn’t have a single player on the roster with more than two picks. We really are only asking Foles to complete about 58% of his passes or so to reach this number. Eagles Pass Completions Over 22.5 (-110)

Riley Cooper Receptions Over/Under 2: Really? Just two for Cooper? Last week against the Redskins, in a game where Foles threw the ball 46 times, Cooper had eight targets, whereas WR Jeremy Maclin had just three. Maclin didn’t catch a single pass. Cooper caught five balls for 61 yards. The game before for Cooper? Three targets, two catches, and a TD. He is clearly becoming more and more of a target in this offense, and he is the third receiver for sure. That doesn’t mean that he is a slam dunk for a heck of a night, but we have to think that he is going to get at least a handful of looks and at least a pair of receptions to push and hopefully at least three to win as well. Riley Cooper Over 2 Receptions (-110)

Alex Henery Over/Under 6.5 Points: It’s not often that we play these kicker props, but we’re asking the Eagles to get two field goals and a touchdown here. The Eagles have 18 field goal attempts on the campaign, which makes them one of the rare teams in the game to have more field goals than touchdowns, and that’s great news for Henery, who booted two field goals last week in Foles’ debut. There’s no reason to think that there won’t be at least a TD in this one in some form, and getting the two field goals really shouldn’t be all that hard for an offense that hit a lot of big plays last week ,but just wasn’t able to get the job done to get the ball in the end zone. As the field gets smaller, so does Foles’ play. It’s great news for the ‘over’, though. Alex Henery Over 6.5 Points (-130)

DeMeco Ryans Total Tackles Over/Under 6.5: Ryans is averaging 7.5 total tackles per game this year, and he is going to be playing against a run first offense. Heck, if you take out the assists, you’ve still got three games in the last five where Ryans has at least seven tackles, and the one game that he didn’t was against the pass first New Orleans Saints who only happened to run 52 plays from scrimmage that whole night. Carolina is probably going to spend a lot of time on the field offensively, and that means that Ryans will have plenty of chances to get his tackles. This should be an easy ‘over’ play when push comes to shove. DeMeco Ryans Total Tackles Over 6.5 (-130)

Carolina Panthers vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 11/26/12):
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Score in the First 6.5 Minutes of the Game +100
No Score in the First 6.5 Minutes of the Game -130

Panthers Score First -130
Eagles Score First +100

First Score a Touchdown -140
First Score Not a Touchdown +110

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 39.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 39.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal Made Over 43.5 Yards -125
Longest Field Goal Made Under 43.5 Yards -105

Shortest Field Goal Made Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal Made Under 25.5 Yards +100

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown Scored +160
No Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown Scored -200

Cam Newton Completions Over 19.5 -115
Cam Newton Completions Under 19.5 -115

Cam Newton Passing Yards Over 240.5 Yards -115
Cam Newton Passing Yards Under 240.5 Yards -115

Cam Newton Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +140
Cam Newton Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -180

Cam Newton Throws an Interception -160
Cam Newton Doesn’t Throw an Interception +130

Cam Newton Rushing Yards Over 45.5 -115
Cam Newton Rushing Yards Under 45.5 -115

Cam Newton Scores a Rushing Touchdown +100
Cam Newton Doesn’t Score a Rushing Touchdown -130

Steve Smith Receptions Over 4.5 -130
Steve Smith Receptions Under 4.5 +100

Steve Smith Receiving Yards Over 70.5 -115
Steve Smith Receiving Yards Under 70.5 -115

Brandon LaFell Receptions Over 3.5 +100
Brandon LaFell Receptions Under 3.5 -130

Brandon LaFell Scores a Touchdown +160
Brandon LaFell Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -200

Greg Olsen Receptions Over 4.5 +100
Greg Olsen Receptions Under 4.5 -130

Greg Olsen Receiving Yards Over 44.5 -115
Greg Olsen Receiving Yards Under 44.5 -115

Luke Kuechly Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 9.5 -115
Luke Kuechly Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 9.5 -115

Eagles Completions Over 22.5 -110
Eagles Completions Under 22.5 -120

Eagles First Pass Complete -145
Eagles First Pass Incomplete +115

Eagles Throw a Touchdown First -145
Eagles Throw an Interception First +115

DeSean Jackson Receptions Over 4.5 +100
DeSean Jackson Receptions Under 4.5 -130

DeSean Jackson Receiving Yards Over 64.5 -115
DeSean Jackson Receiving Yards Under 64.5 -115

Jeremy Maclin Receptions Over 3.5 -140
Jeremy Maclin Receptions Under 3.5 +110

Jeremy Maclin Scores a Touchdown +160
Jeremy Maclin Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -200

Brent Celek Receptions Over 3.5 -130
Brent Celek Receptions Under 3.5 +100

Brent Celek Receiving Yards Over 40.5 -115
Brent Celek Receiving Yards Under 40.5 -115

Riley Cooper Receptions Over 2 -110
Riley Cooper Receptions Under 2 -120

DeMeco Ryans Total Tackles Over 6.5 -130
DeMeco Ryans Total Tackles Under 6.5 +100

Alex Henery Total Points Over 6.5 -130
Alex Henery Total Points Under 6.5 +100

NFL Prop Picks: New York Giants vs. Washington Redskins Props 12/3

November 22nd, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: New York Giants vs. Washington Redskins Props 12/3
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Full Giants @ Redskins NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Washington RedskinsThe Washington Redskins and New York Giants are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 13 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Robert Griffin III Touchdown Passes Over/Under 1.5: This really feels like it should be a remotely easy prop, no? RG3 has thrown four TD passes in each of the last two games, and he should be able to do so against versus a New York team that he really torched and should have beaten when these teams clashes a few weeks ago. However, we’re not all that sure that this is going to be the case. Remember that the former Heisman Trophy winner had thrown for just eight touchdowns in the first nine games of his career. To think that we can get -125 on the fact that RG3 won’t get to two passing touchdown in this one is a heck of a price on an NFL prop that we think is going to be a total slam dunk. Robert Griffin III Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 (-125)

Eli Manning Touchdown Passes Over/Under 1.5: We’re going to go against Manning as well in this one. It’s a great price that we are getting on a man to not throw at least two touchdown passes. Granted, it’s going to be tough against a Washington defense that has allowed 22 passing touchdown this year, though we do have to note that after the first three weeks of the campaign, the team has averaged allowing just 1.44 TDs per game. Manning went three games without a touchdown before going off for three scores last week against the Green Bay Packers. What we have to remember though, is that in that game too, Manning completed just 53.3 percent of his passes. With such a low completion percentage and just 15 TDs on the season, three of which came last week, it really seems like a joke that he is -220 to throw two scores in this one. Eli Manning Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 (+170)

Victor Cruz Receiving Yards Over/Under 80.5: Cruz really hasn’t been totally healthy over the course of the last few weeks, and he only has accounted for 13 catches, 152 yards, and one score in his last four games. It’s not like this was a number that he was easily able to get to before this either, as he only exceeded 60 yards three times in his first seven games of the year as well. Cruz does have a favorable matchup against a team that he put up seven catches, 131 yards, and a TD against in Week 7, but we do have to remember that 77 of those yards came on just one play. Don’t be all that shocked if Cruz isn’t doing all that much salsa dancing when push comes to shove on Monday. Victor Cruz Receiving Yards Under 80.5 (-115)

New York Giants vs. Washington Redskins NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 12/3/12):
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Score in the First 6:00 Minutes of the Game -135
No Score in the First 6:00 Minutes of the Game +105

Giants Score First -125
Redskins Score First -105

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 48.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 48.5 Yards -115

Eli Manning Passing Yards Over 290.5 -125
Eli Manning Passing Yards Under 290.5 -105

Eli Manning Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -220
Eli Manning Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +170

Victor Cruz Receiving Yards Over 80.5 -115
Victor Cruz Receiving Yards Under 80.5 -115

Victor Cruz Scores a Touchdown +105
Victor Cruz Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -135

Robert Griffin III Pass Completions Over 20 -120
Robert Griffin III Pass Completions Under 20 -110

Robert Griffin III Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -105
Robert Griffin III Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -125

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Patriots vs. Jets Props & Predictions 11/22

November 22nd, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Patriots vs. Jets Props & Predictions 11/22
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Full Patriots vs. Jets NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Tom BradyThe New York Jets and New England Patriots are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 12 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Will the First Score of the Game Be a Touchdown?: Odds have it, New England is going to be the first team to score, and if that turns out to be the case, you know that this is going to be a touchdown. The Pats have been hearing about it all week. They don’t have TE Rob Gronkowski, they’re going against a defense that ranks sixth against the pass, and QB Tom Brady really struggled against the Jets when they met several weeks ago. However, in the end, this is still the Patriots offense, and it is still flat out awesome even in spite of all of those issues. Brady isn’t going to want to see the field goal team out there, knowing that K Stephen Gostkowski has really flat out stunk for a good chunk of the year as well. It’s a gut shot play for sure, but we have to think that the first points on the board are going to be worth six, not worth three. First Score of the Game a Touchdown (-180)

Tom Brady Total Completions Over/Under 24.5: Asking for 25 completions in a game is going to be awfully tough. We really listed all of the reasons above why Brady is going to be facing some adversity, and though we do think that he is going to get through it all and get plenty of points on the board, he probably isn’t going to get to 25 completions. After getting Gronk injured last week, there’s a good chance that Brady won’t be playing late in this game if matters are out of hand, and that might make a difference as well. The Jets aren’t going to keep the points off the board, but they’ll at least keep Brady from getting to this prop. Tom Brady Under 24.5 Completions (-105)

Will Stevan Ridley Score a Touchdown?: The Jets have allowed nine rushing touchdowns this year in 10 games to opposing running backs, and there’s just no reason to think that Ridley won’t find his way into the end zone this week in some regard. Ridley has scored a touchdown in three straight games and in six out of 10 this year. Yes, we have to admit that it’s a bit scary to think that Ridley is going to get shafted by the fact that Head Coach Bill Belichick clearly hates fantasy football and loves sticking various running backs in there near the goal line. Still, the opportunities are going to be there at the goal line in all likelihood, and another one of the perks of not having Gronk out there is the fact that the ground game is going to be featured more at the goal line in all likelihood. Stevan Ridley To Score a Touchdown (-130)

Mark Sanchez Over/Under 229.5 Passing Yards: Oh sure, Sanchez threw for 328 yards the first time these two teams met, but let’s be realistic about him. The USC Trojan has thrown for 138, 103, 82, 124, and 178 yards in five of his games this year, and it is clear that QB Tim Tebow is getting at least more of a look in the offense. Sanchez just isn’t going to get to 230 passing yards in this one significantly more often than not, and the way that we see it, it isn’t even going to be remotely close. Mark Sanchez Under 229.5 Passing Yards (-115)

New England Patriots vs. New York Jets NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 11/22/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -110

Patriots Score First -170
Jets Score First +140

First Score a Touchdown -180
First Score Not a Touchdown +150

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 46.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 46.5 Yards -115

Longest Made Field Goal of the Game Over 43.5 Yards -130
Longest Made Field Goal of the Game Under 43.5 Yards +100

Shortest Made Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -115
Shortest Made Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards -115

Total Sacks By Both Teams Over 4 +100
Total Sacks By Both Teams Under 4 -130

Special Teams Or Defensive Touchdown Scored +150
No Special Teams Or Defensive Touchdown Scored -180

Tom Brady Pass Completions Over 24.5 -125
Tom Brady Pass Completions Under 24.5 -105

Tom Brady Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 +120
Tom Brady Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -150

Tom Brady Throws An Interception +100
Tom Brady Doesn’t Thrown An Interception -130

Stevan Ridley Rushing Yards Over 78.5 -115
Stevan Ridley Rushing Yards Under 78.5 -115

Stevan Ridley Scores a Touchdown -130
Stevan Ridley Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +100

Mark Sanchez Passing Yards Over 229.5 -115
Mark Sanchez Passing Yards Under 229.5 -115

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Saints vs. Falcons Props & Predictions 11/29

November 21st, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Saints vs. Falcons Props & Predictions 11/29
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Full Saints vs. Falcons NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Atlanta Falcons MascotThe Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 13 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Will the First Score of the Game Be a Touchdown?: One blush would suggest that the sharp play is to bet on the first score of this game to be a touchdown and not a field goal, almost regardless of the price. That’s exactly what the oddsmakers are hoping that you do. They want you to look and see that the Saints have scored 39 TDs against just nine field goals this year and immediately figure touchdown. What you should be seeing though, are the 31 Atlanta TDs this year against 26 field goals for K Matt Bryant. What you should be seeing are the 21 field goal attempts that Bryant has had in his last six games against the 14 TDs that have been scored in that same stretch. The Atlanta defense allowed three field goals last week and four the week before, and it is starting to really seem like that the first score of this game at least has a fighting chance of being a field goal (or a safety) instead of a touchdown. First Score of the Game Not A Touchdown (+170)

Drew Brees Pass Completions Over/Under 26.5: Brees has completed at least 448 passes in each of his last two years, numbers which are out of this world. That’s an average of 28.6 completions per game. This year, that number has cut back quite a bit to just 25.1 completions per game. Brees also hasn’t completed more than 26 passes in a game in four straight weeks, and that includes a game against these Falcons. The running game is getting more and more involved as the weeks go by, and there is no reason not to think, especially for as bad as the New Orleans defense has been, that Interim Head Coach Joe Vitt won’t want to see more of that in this week’s game plan as well. Sure, if the Saints are playing catch-up, they’re going to be relying on Brees throwing the ball all over the place. However, he was playing catch-up all week last week and only went 26-of-41 in spite of the fact that the Saints dominated the possession. This just isn’t a slam dunk to see Brees get to 27 completions. Drew Brees Under 26.5 Pass Completions (-105)

Marques Colston Receptions Over/Under 5: Colston is one of the top receivers on this New Orleans outfit, but the likelihood that he beats us on this prop just isn’t there. Over the course of the last few weeks, it has been WR Lance Moore and WR Joe Morgan that have been getting more looks, taking away from the likelihood that Colston gets his targets. Sure, the Hofstra grad has had five, six, six, and four targets over the course of the last four weeks, but he isn’t catching everything coming his way. We could very much so see this prop ending on a push at five catches, but to see that sixth catch really doesn’t seem all that likely, especially after Colston had just three catches for 26 yards and a TD in the first meeting of these two teams this year. Marques Colston Under 5 Receptions (-130)

Jimmy Graham Receptions Over/Under 5.5: Now here’s a prop that we prefer. Graham really has been relatively quiet these last two weeks, but he stormed to seven catches, 144 yards, and two TDs when he played against these Falcons three weeks ago. There is no doubt that with TE Rob Gronkowski on the sidelines, that Graham is the most productive tight end in football, and we expect to see another great game out of the Miami product once again in this one. Brees has sort of gotten away from his big target in the middle of the field these last couple of weeks, and it has led to lesser numbers for them both. We expect to see a tremendously different story this time around when these two get on the field now against the Falcons. Jimmy Graham Over 5.5 Receptions (-115)

Matt Ryan Passing Yards Over/Under 313.5: It’s really hard to feel like Matty Ice is going to stay beneath this number, especially knowing that the emphasis has really been there on the passing game as opposed to the rushing game over the course of the last four weeks. In all four games, Ryan has eclipsed this number, and that includes when he went for over 400 yards against the Saints a few weeks back. However, Atlanta has been playing either from behind or in tight games or from way behind in those, and though we aren’t handicapping the game by any stretch of the imagination, we are still figuring that this one isn’t going to be a game in which the Falcons are going to have to fight back from down 20 to try to come back and win. It’s a tough number to try to reach for any quarterback more often than not, and we think that Ryan is going to fall short of the 300-yard threshold in this game. Matt Ryan Under 313.5 Passing Yards (-105)

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 11/29/12):
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Check Back Later For Full List Of New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Props

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Props & Predictions 11/12

November 12th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Props & Predictions 11/12
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Full Chiefs @ Steelers NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Kansas City Chiefs are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 10 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Shortest Field Goal Made Over/Under 25.5 Yards (+100): K Ryan Succop has kicked just one field this year of less than 25 yards, while K Shaun Suisham has just three. However, we have to think that Mother Nature is going to play some tricks on both of these teams. Getting down to the opposing 8-yard line won’t be easy as it is, but getting those last few yards will be difficult in the projected wind and rain. Both of these head coaches have already proven to be rather conservative over the course of the season, and they are likely to be putting the points on the board when they can. It only takes one kick to make us a winner in this one, and it could come at any point over the course of the game. We think that it will happen at least half the time in these conditions. Shortest Field Goal Made Under 25.5 Yards (+100)

Will Heath Miller Score a Touchdown?: And here’s a way that we can hedge our bets! Miller has scored six touchdowns this year, and five of the six have come from five yards or closer (the sixth touchdown came from nine yards out). That being said, if the Steelers are going to get inside the Kansas City 10-yard line and score, there is a good chance that it is either going to be by way of a field goal or by way of a Miller touchdown. There is a decent chance that both of these outcomes end up happening over the course of this game, and we think that it is a lot more likely that both do than both don’t. Pittsburgh is going to have its chances in the red zone, and we need two of them to go our way for the kill of getting both of these NFL props. Heath Miller To Score a Touchdown (+100)

Dwayne Bowe Over/Under 5 Receptions: Receivers have had a terrible time this year against the Steelers’ defense, especially of late. Quarterbacks have only thrown for right around 150 total yards per game against them over the course of the last three weeks, and that clearly is going to make life really difficult on Bowe. There have been four games this year in which the former LSU Tiger has had at least six receptions, but three in which he has had just three catches. With so much emphasis on the bad weather, it’s going to be hard to get the ball up the field to Bowe. If he’s going to beat us, he’s going to do so with short passes, and that’s what WR/RB Dexter McCluster is more used for than anything else. We really think that the KC offense is going to struggle, and it’s largely going to be because the ball can’t get forced into Bowe’s hands. Dwayne Bowe Under 5 Receptions (-115)

Ben Roethlisberger Over/Under 260.5 Passing Yards: This is a rough and very contradictory prop. We love using fantasy football stats to tell us how to bet these props, and this is a nice spot to use just that. According to ESPN Fantasy Sports, the Chiefs actually have the worst defense in the NFL from a fantasy standpoint on average against opposing offenses in the league. That means that Big Ben could be in for a big time day. The weather is going to play a negative role in all of this for the Pittsburgh offense, but Big Ben is used to playing in these conditions. He has had at least 260 passing yards four times this year, and that makes this prop a de facto tossup. Still, the KC defense seems to be the great equalizer, and believe it or not, it could be the fact that this game is could stay closer because of the weather that might make Roethlisberger throw the ball even more. Ben Roethlisberger Over 260.5 Passing Yards (-115)

James Harrison Over/Under 5.5 Tackles: Something is most certainly wrong with this prop, and we have to take advantage of it. We know that the Kansas City offensive line is pretty darn bad, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see Harrison have a huge impact on this game. However, he hasn’t had a game this year with more than four tackles, let alone more than five tackles. Assists will help, but in the end, this is still just far, far too high of a number, one that should be set at more like 4.5 than 5.5 James Harrison Under 5.5 Total Tackles (-115)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Props @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 11/12/12):
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Score in the First 6.5 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6.5 Minutes of the Game -110

Chiefs Score First +175
Steelers Score First -225

First Score a Touchdown -160
First Score Not a Touchdown +130

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 40.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 40.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal Made Over 43.5 Yards -115
Longest Field Goal Made Under 43.5 Yards -115

Shortest Field Goal Made Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal Made Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +110
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -140

Total Punts Over 8.5 +100
Total Punts Under 8.5 -130

Total Sacks Over 4 -110
Total Sacks Under 4 -120

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown Scored +160
No Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown Scored -200

Chiefs To Lead the Game at Any Point -120
Chiefs To Never Lead the Game -110

Matt Cassel Completions Over 20.5 -110
Matt Cassel Completions Under 20.5 -120

Matt Cassel Longest Completion Over 30.5 Yards -115
Matt Cassel Longest Completion Under 30.5 Yards -115

Matt Cassel Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +220
Matt Cassel Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -300

Matt Cassel Throws an Interception -300
Matt Cassel Doesn’t Throw an Interception +220

Jamaal Charles Rushing Yards Over 63.5 -115
Jamaal Charles Rushing Yards Under 63.5 -115

Jamaal Charles Receptions Over 3 +110
Jamaal Charles Receptions Under 3 -140

Jamaal Charles Scores a Touchdown +130
Jamaal Charles Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -160

Dwayne Bowe Receptions Over 5 -115
Dwayne Bowe Receptions Under 5 -115

Dwayne Bowe Receiving Yards Over 63.5 -115
Dwayne Bowe Receiving Yards Under 63.5 -115

Dwayne Bowe Scores a Touchdown +200
Dwayne Bowe Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -260

Dexter McCluster Receptions Over 3.5 +110
Dexter McCluster Receptions Under 3.5 -140

Jon Baldwin Receptions Over 1.5 -130
Jon Baldwin Receptions Under 1.5 +100

Tony Moeaki Receptions Over 2 -115
Tony Moeaki Receptions Under 2 -115

Derrick Johnson Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 7.5 -115
Derrick Johnson Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 7.5 -115

Ryan Succop Total Points Over 6.5 -125
Ryan Succop Total Points Under 6.5 -105

Ben Roethlisberger Completions Over 22.5 -115
Ben Roethlisberger Completions Under 22.5 -115

Ben Roethlisberger Longest Completion in Yards Over 39.5 -115
Ben Roethlisberger Longest Completion in Yards Under 39.5 -115

Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards Over 260.5 -115
Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards Under 260.5 -115

Ben Roethlisberger Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -220
Ben Roethlisberger Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +170

Ben Roethlisberger Throws an Interception -135
Ben Roethlisberger Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +105

Steelers Total Rushing Yards on First Attempt Over 3.5 -130
Steelers Total Rushing yards on First Attempt Under 3.5 +100

Mike Wallace Receptions Over 5.5 -105
Mike Wallace Receptions Under 5.5 -125

Mike Wallace Receiving Yards Over 75.5 -115
Mike Wallace Receiving Yards Under 75.5 -115

Mike Wallace Scores a Touchdown -115
Mike Wallace Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Heath Miller Receptions Over 5.5 +110
Heath Miller Receptions Under 4 -140

Heath Miller Receiving Yards Over 52.5 -115
Heath Miller Receiving Yards Under 52.5 -115

Heath Miller Scores a Touchdown +100
Heath Miller Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -130

Emmanuel Sanders Receptions Over 3.5 -115
Emmanuel Sanders Receptions Under 3.5 -115

Emmanuel Sanders Receiving Yards Over 48.5 -115
Emmanuel Sanders Receiving Yards Under 48.5 -115

James Harrison Total Tackles Over 5.5 -115
James Harrison Total Tackles Under 5.5 -115

Shaun Suisham Total Points Over 8.5 -130
Shaun Suisham Total Points Under 8.5 +100

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Colts vs. Jaguars Props & Predictions 11/8

November 8th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Colts vs. Jaguars Props & Predictions 11/8
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Full Colts vs. Jaguars NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Jags CheerleadersThe Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 10 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Josh Scobee Over/Under 6.5 Points: There aren’t many situations where we are going to want to back Jacksonville’s kicker, but this very well could be one of those times when it really pays off to go for the gold. Scobee has a rich history of just killing the Colts, including booting a number of game winners from 50+ yards out to crush the then QB Peyton Manning led bunch. Scobee already has 30 field goals made in 16 games against Indy in his career, and that includes 15 from outside of 40 yards. There’s no doubt that, in the end, Scobee is going to get his opportunities, and as long as he manages to sneak two between the uprights, there’s no reason to think that he won’t tack on either a PAT or a third field goal when push comes to shove. Remember that when these two teams met the first time, Scobee put up 10 total points. Josh Scobee Over 6.5 Points (+100)

Dwayne Allen Over/Under 46.5 Receiving Yards: If there is a quarterback that knows how to stretch out the field by using his tight ends, it’s Andrew Luck. He did so in college with so many fantastic tight ends, and he is doing the same here at the NFL level as well. Allen was the second rookie tight end taken by Indianapolis in the NFL Draft this past year, but he has really turned out to be the better of the two when push comes to shove. Now, Luck’s roommate, TE Coby Fleener is hurt, and that really just leaves Allen to pick up the slack. Luck is throwing the ball more now that the running game for the Colts is disintegrating, and that means less blocking and more pass catching for Allen. He has 12 targets over the course of the last two weeks, and if he hauls in just three or four of them, he should be able to get to this yardage total without all that much in the way of hassle. Dwayne Allen Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Andrew Luck Passing Yards Over/Under 278.5: As much as we think that it is a square play to take Luck going ‘over’ 278.5 yards, we just have to do it, knowing that he is going to do so more often than not. Acting Head Coach Bruce Arians just loves letting Luck air it out, and he is going to connect on a few of those long ones up the field for sure. He is throwing the ball over 40 times per game now with just RB Vick Ballard left to carry the load in the backfield, and that includes a lot of the check down passes that made the Manning-to-Faulk (then James, then Addai) combination oh so good. The Jacksonville defense can’t get out of its way for the most part, and it already allowed 300+ yards to Luck once this year. There’s just no reason to think that this won’t be the second time that he pulls that feat off. Andrew Luck Over 278.5 Passing Yards (-130)

Will Either Team Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game?: We’re really a bit puzzled as to why this number is 6 ½ minutes and not at least seven or 7 ½ minutes. These two teams both have a tendency of running some slower drives when push comes to shove, and if the Jags get the ball first, we all know just how long it takes them to get going at times, especially without RB Maurice Jones-Drew in the fold. There is just a real question where the Jacksonville offense is coming from if it isn’t coming from RB Rashad Jennings, and that makes it quite believable that there won’t be a score in the first half of the first quarter. No Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game (-110)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 11/8/12):
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Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game -110

Colts Score First -130
Jaguars Score First +100

First Score a Touchdown -155
First Score Not a Touchdown +125

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 41.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 41.5 Yards -115

Andrew Luck Completions Over 22.5 -130
Andrew Luck Completions Under 22.5 +100

Andrew Luck Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Andrew Luck Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Andrew Luck Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -145
Andrew Luck Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +115

Andrew Luck To Throw an Interception -150
Andrew Luck To Not Throw an Interception +120

Reggie Wayne Receptions Over 6.5 -125
Reggie Wayne Receptions Under 6.5 -105

Reggie Wayne Receiving Yards Over 88.5 -115
Reggie Wayne Receiving Yards Under 88.5 -115

Reggie Wayne Scores a Touchdown +120
Reggie Wayne Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

TY Hilton Receptions Over 3.5 -105
TY Hilton Receptions Under 3.5 -125

TY Hilton Longest Reception in Yards Over 25.5 -115
TY Hilton Longest Reception in Yards Under 25.5 -115

Dwayne Allen Receptions Over 3.5 -135
Dwayne Allen Receptions Under 3.5 +105

Dwayne Allen Receiving Yards Over 46.5 -115
Dwayne Allen Receiving Yards Under 46.5 -115

Jerrell Freeman Total Tackles Over 8.5 -115
Jerrell Freeman Total Tackles Under 8.5 -115

Adam Vinatieri Total Points Over 7.5 -115
Adam Vinatieri Total Points Under 7.5 -115

Blaine Gabbert Completions Over 19.5 -130
Blaine Gabbert Completions Under 19.5 +100

Blaine Gabbert Longest Completion Over 34.5 Yards -115
Blaine Gabbert Longest Completion Under 34.5 Yards -115

Blaine Gabbert Passing Yards Over 215.5 -130
Blaine Gabbert Passing Yards Under 215.5 +100

Blaine Gabbert Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +160
Blaine Gabbert Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -200

Blaine Gabbert Throws an Interception -150
Blaine Gabbert Doesn’t Throw an Interception +120

Cecil Shorts Receptions Over 3.5 +105
Cecil Shorts Receptions Under 3.5 -135

Cecil Shorts Receiving Yards Over 58.5 -130
Cecil Shorts Receiving Yards Under 58.5 +100

Marcedes Lewis Receptions Over 3 -115
Marcedes Lewis Receptions Under 3 -115

Marcedes Lewis Receiving Yards Over 30.5 -115
Marcedes Lewis Receiving Yards Under 30.5 -115

Justin Blackmon Receptions Over 3.5 -130
Justin Blackmon Receptions Under 3.5 +100

Justin Blackmon Receiving Yards Over 40.5 -115
Justin Blackmon Receiving Yards Under 40.5 -115

Laurent Robinson Receptions Over 3 -150
Laurent Robinson Receptions Under 3 +120

Russell Allen Total Tackles Over 7.5 -105
Russell Allen Total Tackles Under 7.5 -125

Josh Scobee Total Points Over 6.5 +100
Josh Scobee Total Points Under 6.5 -130