Posts Tagged ‘NFL Prop Bets’

NFL Prop Picks: Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys Predictions 10/1/12

September 30th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys Predictions 10/1/12
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Full Bears @ Cowboys NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Tony Romo CowboysThe Dallas Cowboys and Chicago Bears are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 4 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Longest Touchdown Over/Under 40.5 Yards: It’s absolutely impossible to think that the Bears are going to be able to score a touchdown of at least 41 yards considering the fact that they have one play of more than 41 yards offensively for the entire season (and that went for just 42 yards!). Dallas however, has a heck of a lot of big play receivers and backs that can blow through a defense in a jiffy. RB DeMarco Murray, WR Dez Bryant, and WR Miles Austin all have plays of at least 41 yards this year to their credit. With this prop as always, we get all kick and punt returns for touchdowns as well, and that means that we could get the explosive WR Devin Hester in primetime, where he has returned just a boatload of kicks for touchdowns in his career in the biggest spotlight. It only takes one play and one moment of brilliance, and we think that there will be at least one of those big time plays in this one as both offenses look to take advantage of incredibly aggressive defenses. Longest Touchdown Over 40.5 Yards (-115)

Jay Cutler Over/Under 240.5 Passing Yards: This is a brutally bad game for Cutler to be playing in. The former Vanderbilt Commodore still has a shoddy offensive line in front of him, and that unit is going to be under constant duress with the Dallas defensive front trying to wreck it. Cutler as it is, doesn’t like to put the ball in the air, as we expect to see both RB Michael Bush and RB Khalil Bell getting the ball at least 25 times between them. The ball really hasn’t been worked up the field all that much, as demonstrated by the fact that the longest play of the year has only gone 42 yards. It’s going to be really hard for Cutler, who already has six picks this year against just three touchdowns, to get to 241 passing yards against a defense that ranks second in the league against the pass coming into Week 4. Jay Cutler Under 240.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Tony Romo Over/Under 23.5 Pass Completions: This really feels like a bit of a sucker’s bet to us at this point. Romo is a great quarterback, but he has really never averaged all that more than about 21 completions per game. He has enough history now so we know that he can throw for 400 yards on 35-40 completed passes if he really needs to, but Head Coach Jason Garrett, a former quarterback in his own right, would rather keep the ball on the ground and get the job done that way than watch as his quarterback has to put the ball in the air a ton. Romo has 70 completed passes this year, but we think that he is going to regulate himself just a bit in this one. Remember that Chicago too, has a ferocious pass rush, and if the Bears can keep the football on a regular basis, that will eat into the abilities that Romo has to complete this many passes. Tony Romo Under 23.5 Pass Completions (-115)

Jason Witten Over/Under 4.5 Receptions: This is a beautiful NFL prop play, and we think that it is one of the easiest, yet trickiest props on the board. With just eight catches this year, Witten seems to have clearly lost a step. However, one closer tells a tremendously different story. He’s got 21 targets over the course of the first three games of the year, which is just one shy of the two big time Cowboys receivers. You can bet that Romo is going to try his best to get the ball into the middle of the field to his big tight end early and often against a defense that has been prone to allowing plenty of yards to tight ends this year. Witten might not look like a man that has the ability to have five passes in well over half of his games any longer, but this is one of those games where he will certainly get the job done. Jason Witten Over 4.5 Receptions (-140)

Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Props @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 10/1/12):
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Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 ½ Minutes of the Game -110

Bears Score First +105
Cowboys Score First -135

First Score a Touchdown -160
First Score Not a Touchdown +130

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 40.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 40.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -120
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -110

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +130
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -160

Total Punts Over 8.5 -145
Total Punts Under 8.5 +115

Total Sacks Over 5 -120
Total Sacks Under 5 -110

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown +145
Not a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown -175

Jay Cutler Completions Over 19.5 -115
Jay Cutler Completions Under 19.5 -115

Jay Cutler Longest Completion Over 35.5 Yards -105
Jay Cutler Longest Completion Under 35.5 Yards -125

Jay Cutler Passing Yards Over 240.5 -115
Jay Cutler Passing Yards Under 240.5 -115

Jay Cutler Total Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +110
Jay Cutler Total Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -140

Jay Cutler Throws an Interception -250
Jay Cutler Doesn’t Throw an Interception +190

Michael Bush Rushing Yards Over 57.5 +100
Michael Bush Rushing Yards Under 57.5 -130

Brandon Marshall Over 5.5 Receptions +100
Brandon Marshall Under 5.5 Receptions -130

Brandon Marshall Over 69.5 Receiving Yards -115
Brandon Marshall Under 69.5 Receiving Yards -115

Brandon Marshall Scores a Touchdown +115
Brandon Marshall Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -145

Alshon Jeffrey Total Receiving Yards Over 47.5 -115
Alshon Jeffrey Total Receiving Yards Under 47.5 -115

Alshon Jeffrey Total Receptions Over 3 -130
Alshon Jeffrey Total Receptions Under 3 +100

Earl Bennett Total Receptions Over 2 -130
Earl Bennett Total Receptions Under 2 +100

Kellen Davis Total Receptions Over 2 +135
Kellen Davis Total Receptions Under 2 -170

Lance Briggs Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 6.5 -115
Lance Briggs Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 6.5 -115

Brian Urlacher Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 6.5 -115
Brian Urlacher Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 6.5 -115

Julius Peppers Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 3.5 +110
Julius Peppers Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 3.5 -140

Robbie Gould Total Points Over 7.5 -115
Robbie Gould Total Points Under 7.5 -115

Tony Romo Completions Over 23.5 -115
Tony Romo Completions Under 23.5 -115

Tony Romo Passing Yards Over 253.5 -115
Tony Romo Passing Yards Under 253.5 -115

Tony Romo Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -130
Tony Romo Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +100

Tony Romo Throws an Interception -225
Tony Romo Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +175

DeMarco Murray Over 77.5 Rushing Yards -115
DeMarco Murray Under 77.5 Rushing Yards -115

DeMarco Murray Scores a Touchdown +120
DeMarco Murray Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

Miles Austin Total Receptions Over 4.5 -135
Miles Austin Total Receptions Under 4.5 +105

Miles Austin Total Receiving Yards Over 68.5 -115
Miles Austin Total Receiving Yards Under 68.5 -115

Miles Austin Scores a Touchdown +115
Miles Austin Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -145

Dez Bryant Total Receptions Over 4.5 -115
Dez Bryant Total Receptions Under 4.5 -115

Dez Bryant Total Receiving Yards Over 65.5 -115
Dez Bryant Total Receiving Yards Under 65.5 -115

Dez Bryant Scores a Touchdown +105
Dez Bryant Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -135

Jason Witten Total Receptions Over 4.5 -140
Jason Witten Total Receptions Under 4.5 +110

Jason Witten Total Receiving Yards Over 50.5 -115
Jason Witten Total Receiving Yards Under 50.5 -115

Kevin Ogletree Total Receptions Over 3.5 +115
Kevin Ogletree Total Receptions Under 3.5 -145

Kevin Ogletree Scores a Touchdown +220
Kevin Ogletree Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -300

Sean Lee Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 7.5 -130
Sean Lee Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 7.5 +100

DeMarcus Ware Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 5.5 -115
DeMarcus Ware Total Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 5.5 -115

Dan Bailey Total Points Over 7.5 -105
Dan Bailey Total Points Under 7.5 -125

NFL Prop Picks: Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks Predictions 9/24

September 18th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks Predictions 9/24
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Full Packers @ Seahawks NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Russell Wilson SeahawksThe Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 3 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Total Field Goals Over/Under 3.5: The expectation is there that this is going to be a game with a lot of yards and a lot of points, but we really aren’t all that sure that there are going to be a ton of scoring opportunities. QB Aaron Rodgers is known for his big time throws that set up touchdowns, not field goals, and QB Russell Wilson isn’t going to be expected to do all that much over the course of the game. K Steven Hauschka does have five field goals on six attempts this year, while K Mason Crosby booted three field goals last week, but we expect those field goal drives to turn into touchdown drives this week for the Packers, and their defense shouldn’t be allowing more than maybe one or two three-pointers. Getting to four field goals on Monday Night Football is going to be tough. Under 3.5 Field Goals (-165)

Total Punts Over/Under 9.5: Here we go again with the punt props that we really don’t like all that much to play. However, we think that the number of drives in this game are going to be limited. We know that QB Russell Wilson isn’t going to be asked to do all that much over the course of the game, and RB Marshawn Lynch is going to run the ball a ton. QB Russell Wilson won’t put his team into all that much trouble in all likelihood, and that means that the clock is going to be running and running quite a bit. If there are a bunch of scores, that means that there won’t be much in the way of punts. If there aren’t a bunch of scores but a bunch of long drives, there’s won’t be punts either. This is a dual threat for us, and we just have a hard time seeing how there are going to be double digits worth of punts in this game. Total Punts Under 9.5 (+100)

Aaron Rodgers Over/Under 24.5 Completions: It just seems like it is going to be a slam dunk, right? Rodgers to complete 25 passes in a game on the road on Monday Night Football? The problem? This is a tough Seattle defense that isn’t going to let Rodgers get the job done. Twenty five completions is a ton for any quarterback to get, especially when on the other side of the field, the team is going to be running the ball and running it a ton. We also can’t help but wonder if Rodgers is going to rip it and grip it at times against an aggressive Seattle defense that is going to be amped up. Getting a 60-yard pass down the field will be great for getting to Rodgers’ passing total, but it isn’t going to help him get to his completion mark. Go with Rodgers to get to around 20, but not 25 completions on Monday. Aaron Rodgers Under 24.5 Completions (-105)

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Russell Wilson Over/Under 18 Completions: We just don’t see it in this one for Wilson. The Green Bay defense isn’t as good as its numbers have suggested over the course of the last two weeks, but there is just no way that we see how Wilson is going to have 19 completions in this game. The wide receivers just aren’t there for the rookie to get the ball out to. Remember that Head Coach Pete Carroll has only let Wilson throw the ball a total of 54 times in two games this year, and there is no reason to think that he’ll chuck it more than 30 times in this one. If that’s the case, getting to 19 completions is going to be awfully difficult for a rookie in primetime in this type of a massive spot. Russell Wilson Under 18 Completions (-115)

Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Props @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 9/24/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -115
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -115

Packers Score First -135
Seahawks Score First +105

First Score a Touchdown -175
First Score Not a Touchdown +145

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 45.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 45.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards +100
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -130

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +135
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -165

Total Punts Over 9.5 -130
Total Punts Under 9.5 +100

Total Sacks Over 4.5 -125
Total Sacks Under 4.5 -105

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown +150
Not a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown -180

Aaron Rodgers Completions Over 24.5 -125
Aaron Rodgers Completions Under 24.5 -105

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Over 295.5 -115
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Under 295.5 -115

Aaron Rodgers Total Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 +145
Aaron Rodgers Total Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -185

Aaron Rodgers Throws an Interception -160
Aaron Rodgers Doesn’t Throw an Interception +130

Cedric Benson Rushing Yards Over 60.5 -115
Cedric Benson Rushing Yards Under 60.5 -115

Cedric Benson Scores a Touchdown +120
Cedric Benson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

Jordy Nelson Over 5 Receptions -130
Jordy Nelson Under 5 Receptions +100

Jordy Nelson Over 74.5 Receiving Yards -115
Jordy Nelson Under 74.5 Receiving Yards -115

Jordy Nelson Scores a Touchdown +105
Jordy Nelson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -135

Jermichael Finley Over 4 Receptions -115
Jermichael Finley Under 4 Receptions -115

James Jones Total Receptions Over 2.5 -115
James Jones Total Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Randall Cobb Total Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Randall Cobb Total Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Russell Wilson Completions Over 18 -115
Russell Wilson Completions Under 18 -115

Russell Wilson Passing Yards Over 200.5 -115
Russell Wilson Passing Yards Under 200.5 -115

Russell Wilson Touchdown Passes + INTs Over 2.5 +160
Russell Wilson Touchdown Passes + INTs Under 2.5 -200

Marshawn Lynch Over 92.5 Rushing Yards -115
Marshawn Lynch Under 92.5 Rushing Yards -115

Marshawn Lynch Scores a Touchdown -115
Marshawn Lynch Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Sidney Rice Total Receptions Over 4 -115
Sidney Rice Total Receptions Under 4 -115

Golden Tate Total Receptions Over 3 +100
Golden Tate Total Receptions Under 3 -130

Zach Miller Total Receptions Over 2.5 -125
Zach Miller Total Receptions Under 2.5 -105

NFL Prop Picks: Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens Predictions 9/27

September 18th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens Predictions 9/27
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Full Browns @ Ravens NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Ray Rice RavensThe Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 4 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Team to Score First: You really never see us playing NFL props like this one, but we really like the idea of playing on the Browns to score first at least 40% of the time in this game. Baltimore really should just come out and dominate, but how on earth can it be expected to do that from the get go just basically 96 hours after taking down the New England Patriots in such dramatic fashion in one of the most emotional games of the year? The Browns have been chomping at the bit to get out and play this game to prove that they can indeed play with the big boys in the AFC North, and they might be throwing the whole book at the Ravens right away to try to slip one past this defense. This just feels like a game in which Cleveland finds a way to get on the scoreboard first, though it probably won’t have a legitimate impact on the game. Cleveland Browns Score First (+175)

Joe Flacco Over/Under 21.5 Completions: This is just a bad line in our eyes. Flacco has been running this no huddle offense, and he has thrown the ball a whopping 81 times over the course of his last two weeks. Now, he gets to play the Browns, who don’t have their best cover corner in the lineup, and that means that he should get to pick on the corners once again. Sure, RB Ray Rice will get his carries, but he’ll also get his receptions, and that means that Flacco is going to be putting the ball in the air quite a bit. We just don’t see how more often than not, he isn’t going to complete at least 22 passes. Remember that Flacco is on a clip right now to complete nearly 400 passes this year. Joe Flacco Over 21.5 Completions (-115)

Trent Richardson Total Rushing Yards Over/Under 57.5: This is a rough one for the rookie out of Arkansas. Richardson is a great back, and he has a whole heck of a lot of potential, but this Baltimore defense is vicious. That being said, asking Richardson to get to just 58 yards shouldn’t be all that much, knowing that he does have one of the best offensive tackles in the world to run behind in Joe Thomas. The Browns are committed to the run come hell or high water on a weekly basis, and that means that Richardson will have to average likely no more than 3.0 yards per carry to be able to get the job done with this prop. That’ll be tough against the Ravens, but we think that he’ll find a way to get the job done more often than not. It’s a precarious play at best, though. Trent Richardson Over 57.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Props @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 9/27/12):
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Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6:30 Minutes of the Game -110

Browns Score First +175
Ravens Score First -220

First Score a Touchdown -165
First Score Not a Touchdown +135

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 42.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 42.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards +100
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards -130

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Sacks Made Over 4.5 -120
Total Sacks Made Under 4.5 -110

Brandon Weeden Total Completions Over 21.5 -115
Brandon Weeden Total Completions Under 21.5 -115

Brandon Weeden Throws a Touchdown First -120
Brandon Weeden Throws an Interception First -110

Trent Richardson Rushing Yards Over 57.5 -115
Trent Richardson Rushing Yards Under 57.5 -115

Joe Flacco Total Completions Over 21.5 -115
Joe Flacco Total Completions Under 21.5 -115

Joe Flacco Total Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -180
Joe Flacco Total Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +150

Ray Rice Scores a First Half Touchdown +120
Ray Rice Doesn’t Score a First Half Touchdown -150

NFL Prop Picks: Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons Predictions 9/17

September 17th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons Predictions 9/17
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Full Broncos @ Falcons NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Peyton Manning BroncosThe Atlanta Falcons and Denver Broncos are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 2 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Tony Gonzalez Over/Under 4.5 Receptions: The truth of the matter is that the Broncos have a heck of a defense that is built from the outside, in. The corners are great. The outside linebackers are great. The rest of the defense… not so much, especially with LB DJ Williams still suspended (more on that in a second). That means that QB Matt Ryan might have a difficult time working the ball to either WR Julio Jones or WR Roddy White, depending upon which one ends up drawing DB Champ Bailey and which might get the free run against a third defensive back in the slot. That means that Gonzalez might have some free runs as well, as he is going to be the man in the middle of the offense that could be the beneficiary. Gonzo doesn’t have the wheels that he once did, but he is still a reliable target that is going to be good for 80-90 receptions this year, and this will be a game in which he sees the ball quite a bit. Tony Gonzalez Over 4.5 Receptions (-145)

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Will Michael Turner Score a Touchdown?: We would really like the chance to back Turner to get beyond 62.5 rushing yards, as we know that he is going to do that more often than not. Still, RB Jacquizz Rodgers is going to be a part of the ground attack this year, as the team tries to save some of the tread that might be left on Turner’s tires. Still, “The Burner” is the goal line back, and there should still be plenty of chances to score in this game. Not every touchdown can be pilfered by Matty Ice and the passing attack, and that means that Turner should be in the end zone more often than not. We expect to see him dancing in the end zone with a short score relatively early on, and he might be in for multiple end zone celebrations. Michael Turner Scores a Touchdown (+100)

Peyton Manning Over/Under 1.5 TD Passes: Seems like a slam dunk, right? Maybe not so much. Manning knows that he has a defense unlike any defense that he has ever had before in his career, and he has a ground game that is largely unlike any ground game that he has had at any point in his career. We really like all of Manning’s ‘unders’ on Monday night, but we especially like this one. Denver won’t score more than four times tonight, and though four touchdowns likely means that Manning is going past his number, perhaps the team doesn’t score that often. RB Willis McGahee should be able to bull into the end zone for the first time this year, and that will really hurt the chances of Manning to throw for at least two scores. We’ll take our chances that he is held with just one TD pass on the evening at significantly plus odds. Peyton Manning Under 1.5 TD Passes (+160)

Over/Under 8.5 Punts: We’re going to back the ‘under’ in this game for punts, but it’s not necessarily because we think that there are going to be all these points on the board. Sure, there are going to be more points in this one than the average game, but in the end, the reason that we think that there will be fewer than nine punts is because of the time of possession that the Broncos are going to look to hold. If Manning has his way, he is going to possession the pigskin for 35 minutes or so of this game, and he is going to have a total of about nine drives to work with. If there are a total of 18 drives in this game, nine of them won’t end in punts. Total Punts Under 8.5 (-130)

Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Props @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 9/17/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -135
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game +105

Broncos Score First +100
Falcons Score First -130

First Score a Touchdown -200
First Score Not a Touchdown +160

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 50.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 50.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 Yards -140
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 44.5 Yards +110

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +125
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -155

Total Punts Over 8.5 +100
Total Punts Under 8.5 -130

Total Sacks Over 3.5 -115
Total Sacks Under 3.5 -115

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown +140
Not a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown -170

Peyton Manning Completions Over 25.5 -130
Peyton Manning Completions Under 25.5 +100

Peyton Manning Passing Yards Over 270.5 -125
Peyton Manning Passing Yards Under 270.5 -105

Peyton Manning Total Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -200
Peyton Manning Total Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +160

Peyton Manning Throws an Interception -155
Peyton Manning Doesn’t Throw an Interception +125

Willis McGahee Rushing Yards Over 64.5 -115
Willis McGahee Rushing Yards Under 64.5 -115

Willis McGahee Scores a Touchdown +140
Willis McGahee Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Demaryius Thomas Scores a Touchdown +110
Demaryius Thomas Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -140

Eric Decker Over 5 Receptions -110
Eric Decker Under 5 Receptions -120

Eric Decker Over 63.5 Receiving Yards -115
Eric Decker Under 63.5 Receiving Yards -115

Jacob Tamme Scores a Touchdown +140
Jacob Tamme Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Brandon Stokley Yards On First Reception Over 10.5 -115
Brandon Stokley Yards On First Reception Under 10.5 -115

Matt Ryan Completions Over 23.5 -105
Matt Ryan Completions Under 23.5 -115

Matt Ryan Passing Yards Over 293.5 -120
Matt Ryan Passing Yards Under 293.5 -110

Matt Ryan Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -225
Matt Ryan Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +175

Matt Ryan Throws an Interception -170
Matt Ryan Doesn’t Throw an Interception +135

Michael Turner Over 62.5 Rushing Yards +100
Michael Turner Under 62.5 Rushing Yards -130

Michael Turner Scores a Touchdown +100
Michael Turner Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -130

Julio Jones Over 85.5 Receiving Yards -115
Julio Jones Under 85.5 Receiving Yards -115

Julio Jones Scores a Touchdown -140
Julio Jones Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +110

Roddy White Over 5.5 Receptions -135
Roddy White Under 5.5 Receptions +105

Roddy White Over 83.5 Receiving Yards -115
Roddy White Under 83.5 Receiving Yards -115

Tony Gonzalez Over 4.5 Receptions -145
Tony Gonzalez Under 4.5 Receptions +115

Tony Gonzalez Scores a Touchdown +110
Tony Gonzalez Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -140

NFL Prop Picks: New York Giants vs. Carolina Panthers Predictions 9/20

September 15th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: New York Giants vs. Carolina Panthers Predictions 9/20
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Full Giants @ Panthers NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Eli Manning GiantsThe Carolina Panthers and New York Giants are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 3 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Total Sacks Over/Under 4: We really don’t like betting these sack props all that often, but in this case, we are going to make an exception. The Panthers know that there is absolutely no threat of the Giants running the ball in this one, and that means that they can pin their ears back and go after QB Eli Manning, who is going to be without RB Ahmad Bradshaw, who is also an underrated pass blocker, T David Diehl, arguably his best offensive lineman, and WR Hakeem Nicks and WR Domenik Hixon, his No. 1 and No. 3 receivers. We’re never going to count out the New York defensive front from getting its sack or two either even though QB Cam Newton is one of the best escape artists that the game has to offer. This should be a nice game for the two defensive lines, though both offensive lines are going to be scratching their heads as to how they are going to end up getting the job done against these ferocious rushes. Total Sacks Over 4 (-130)

Eli Manning Over/Under 290.5 Passing Yards: Manning threw for 500+ yards last week, so this should be no problem, right? Maybe not so much. Again, both Nicks and Hixon are out of the fold, and the receivers aside from WR Victor Cruz that are available just aren’t all that great, to say the least. Manning will hopefully have a better chance of playing this game from ahead than from behind, though you never really know about that either. The Carolina defense is going to be amped up to try to defend the pass this time around, and the unit really did well against the New Orleans Saints five days ago. This one could be tough sledding for the younger Manning, as he has to face the facts that he is really going into battle in this one from an offensive standpoint, basically all by himself. Eli Manning Under 290.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Victor Cruz Over/Under 6 Receptions: This is definitely a donkey type of play, but we just don’t see any other options out there. Who’s going to be catching the ball from Manning on Thursday night? Martellus Bennett? Okay, he’ll have a few. Rueben Randle? Ramses Barden? Who are these guys? There’s just nothing out there for Manning to work with in this one, but at least he has a rapport built up with Cruz the likes that he just doesn’t have with anyone else out there. And yes, Carolina is going to know that that’s coming, and it is going to overload on Cruz’s side with defenders, but that won’t matter. Eli just has to be good enough to work the ball to his top receiver at least a dozen times in this one, and more often than not, those passes are going to be completed. Victor Cruz Over 6 Receptions (-150)

Will Eli Manning Throw an Interception?: Of course he will. This is Eli that we’re talking about. Last week, Manning had three picks in the first half, and this week, he is in even worse shape, knowing that he doesn’t have his best and most reliable receiver. Carolina doesn’t have the greatest secondary in the world, but it does have a unit that can get to the football when it is loose. Manning will make at least one mistake in this game amongst the 45-50 throws that he is probably going to be asked to make, and when he does, we’ll cash one of the easiest -220 tickets of our lives. Eli Manning To Throw an Interception (-220)

Brandon LaFell Over/Under 51.5 Receiving Yards: We’re used to it being boom or bust for LaFell, but it is clear this year that he is receiving some more attention from QB Cam Newton. The Giants’ secondary, along with its offensive line and the rest of its team, is all banged up right now as well, and if DB Prince Amukamara doesn’t end up playing, LaFell might be the man that ends up getting sprung deep down the field. The way that Newton throws the ball, it only takes one great shot down the field to get LaFell 50+ yards, and we think that that is exactly what is going to happen in this one. Brandon LaFell Over 51.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

New York Giants vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Props @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 9/20/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -135
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game +105

Giants Score First -120
Panthers Score First -110

First Score a Touchdown -190
First Score Not a Touchdown +155

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 50.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 50.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 43.5 Yards -140
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 43.5 Yards +110

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -130
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards +100

Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +125
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -155

Total Punts Over 9.5 +110
Total Punts Under 9.5 -140

Total Sacks Over 4 -130
Total Sacks Under 4 +100

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown +140
Not a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown -170

Eli Manning Completions Over 23.5 -115
Eli Manning Completions Under 23.5 -115

Eli Manning Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Eli Manning Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Eli Manning Passing Yards Over 290.5 -115
Eli Manning Passing Yards Under 290.5 -115

Eli Manning Total Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -200
Eli Manning Total Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +160

Eli Manning Throws an Interception -220
Eli Manning Doesn’t Throw an Interception +170

Andre Brown Total Rushing Yards on First Attempt Over 3.5 -110
Andre Brown Total Rushing Yards on First Attempt Under 3.5 -120

Victor Cruz Over 6 Receptions -150
Victor Cruz Under 6 Receptions +120

Victor Cruz Over 85.5 Receiving Yards -125
Victor Cruz Under 85.5 Receiving Yards -105

Victor Cruz Scores a Touchdown -115
Victor Cruz Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Martellus Bennett Over 3.5 Receptions -160
Martellus Bennett Under 3.5 Receptions +130

Martellus Bennett Over 46.5 Receiving Yards -120
Martellus Bennett Under 46.5 Receiving Yards -110

Cam Newton Completions Over 20.5 -110
Cam Newton Completions Under 20.5 -120

Cam Newton Passing Yards Over 254.5 -115
Cam Newton Passing Yards Under 254.5 -115

Cam Newton Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -125
Cam Newton Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -105

Cam Newton Total Rushing Yards Over 47.5 -115
Cam Newton Total Rushing Yards Under 47.5 -115

Cam Newton Scores a Rushing Touchdown +110
Cam Newton Doesn’t Score a Rushing Touchdown -140

DeAngelo Williams Over 55.5 Rushing Yards -125
DeAngelo Williams Under 55.5 Rushing Yards -105

DeAngelo Williams Scores a Touchdown +115
DeAngelo Williams Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -145

Jonathan Stewart Over 10.5 Rushing Attempts -110
Jonathan Stewart Under 10.5 Rushing Attempts -120

Steve Smith Over 5.5 Receptions +100
Steve Smith Under 5.5 Receptions -130

Steve Smith Over 84.5 Receiving Yards -115
Steve Smith Under 84.5 Receiving Yards -115

Steve Smith Scores a Touchdown +140
Steve Smith Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Brandon LaFell Over 3.5 Receptions -125
Brandon LaFell Under 3.5 Receptions -105

Brandon LaFell Over 51.5 Receiving Yards -115
Brandon LaFell Under 51.5 Receiving Yards -115

Greg Olsen Over 3.5 Receptions -120
Greg Olsen Under 3.5 Receptions -110

NFL Prop Picks: Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers Picks 9/13/12

September 13th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers Picks 9/13/12
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Full Bears @ Packers NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Jay Cutler SackedThe Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 2 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for the first game of the season.

Randall Cobb Yards On First Reception Over/Under 8.5: WR Greg Jennings is considered a 50/50 proposition to be able to play on Thursday night, and that might mean that we see more of Cobb playing out of the slot. This is one of the shiftiest players in the league, and often times, he is able to get loose from defenders and turn short looking passes into big time gains. That being said, that first look that he is going to have is almost certainly going to be a bubble screen type of play, as QB Aaron Rodgers looks to get his confidence back after having a woeful game last week against the San Francisco 49ers. We just don’t see how the former Kentucky Wildcat is going to have at least nine yards more often than not on his first touch of the football, and this also keeps us covered in the event that he doesn’t catch a pass. Randall Cobb Yards on First Reception Under 8.5 (-115)

Cedric Benson Rushing Yards on First Attempt Over/Under 3.5: Let’s be realistic here. This is a man that carried the ball for an average of right at 2.0 yards per carry last week, and Benson is a runner that really has never been “four yards and a cloud of dust” type of guy. Instead, he is just a guy who is going to barrel right into the line of scrimmage and see what happens with his blockers, and against this Chicago front, that probably isn’t going to go all that well. Look at it this way: Will Benson have more carries over or under four yards tonight? Until we see more out of the Green Bay offensive line, we have no choice but to think that the proper answer is ‘under’. Benson Rushing Yards on First Attempt Under 3.5 (-130)

Will Matt Forte Score a Touchdown?: This is a very, very tricky prop in which you have to be mighty careful. Sure, it seems immediately that Forte would of course get into the end zone, knowing that he is the featured back and will touch the ball at least 20 times over the course of the night. However, last week on the goal line, it was RB Michael Bush that snuck in from a yard out twice, not Forte. Yes, Forte did get his rushing touchdown, but that came from outside the five, not inside of it. That’s not a good sign here for him to score this time around. Sure, Forte could break one and get into the end zone that way, and it just doesn’t seem like it is nearly a slam dunk to have this happen. Forte To Not Score a Touchdown (-105)

Jay Cutler Over/Under 22.5 Completions: Alright Cutler, this is where the rubber is going to meet the road for you. You’ve spoken all about how you think that you are going to take advantage of the bump and run coverage that the Packers are going to send your way, and you think that you are going to tear that apart. We think otherwise. Green Bay is going to be sending the pressure Cutler’s way from start to finish over the course of this night, and that’s going to translate into a shady game for the Chicago quarterback. Asking a man on a team that wants to run the ball first to complete 23 passes against a team that is going to be out for blood just isn’t a great idea. Most will jump right towards the ‘over’ after last week, but we are going to take the road less travelled, which will probably also be the more profitable road over the long run. Cutler Under 22.5 Completions (-115)

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Props @ 5Dimes Sportsbook (as of 9/13/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -110

Bears Score First +130
Packers Score First -160

First Score a Touchdown -200
First Score Not a Touchdown +160

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 49.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 49.5 Yards -115

Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 43.5 Yards -120
Longest Field Goal of the Game Under 43.5 Yards -110

Shortest Field Goal of the Game Over 25.5 Yards -125
Shortest Field Goal of the Game Under 25.5 Yards -105

Total Field Goals Made Over 3.5 +140
Total Field Goals Made Under 3.5 -170

Total Punts Over 10.5 +100
Total Punts Under 10.5 -130

Total Sacks Over 4.5 -130
Total Sacks Under 4.5 +100

Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown +140
Not a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown -170

Jay Cutler Completions Over 22.5 -115
Jay Cutler Completions Under 22.5 -115

Jay Cutler Passing Yards Over 277.5 -115
Jay Cutler Passing Yards Under277.5 -115

Jay Cutler Total Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -150
Jay Cutler Total Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +120

Jay Cutler Throws an Interception -200
Jay Cutler Doesn’t Throw an Interception +160

Matt Forte Rushing Yards Over 82.5 -115
Matt Forte Rushing Yards Under 82.5 -115

Matt Forte Receptions Over 3.5 -130
Matt Forte Receptions Under 3.5 +100

Matt Forte Scores a Touchdown -125
Matt Forte Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -105

Brandon Marshall Receptions Over 6.5 -125
Brandon Marshall Receptions Under 6.5 -105

Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Over 90.5 -115
Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Under 90.5 -115

Brandon Marshall Scores a Touchdown -115
Brandon Marshall Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Earl Bennett Receptions Over 3 -130
Earl Bennett Receptions Under 3 +100

Devin Hester Longest Reception Over 23.5 Yards -115
Devin Hester Longest Reception Under 23.5 Yards -115

Alshon Jeffrey Yards on First Reception Over 11.5 -115
Alshon Jeffrey Yards on First Reception Under 11.5 -115

Aaron Rodgers Completions Over 24.5 -130
Aaron Rodgers Completions Under 24.5 +100

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Over 302.5 -125
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Under 302.5 -105

Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 +100
Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -130

Aaron Rodgers Throws an Interception -125
Aaron Rodgers Doesn’t Throw an Interception -105

Cedric Benson Yards on First Carry Over 3.5 +100
Cedric Benson Yards on First Carry Under 3.5 -130

Jordy Nelson Receptions Over 5 -140
Jordy Nelson Receptions Under 5 +110

Jordy Nelson Receiving Yards Over 70.5 -125
Jordy Nelson Receiving Yards Under 70.5 -105

Jordy Nelson Scores a Touchdown -110
Jordy Nelson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -110

James Jones Receptions Over 3.5 -145
James Jones Receptions Under 3.5 +115

James Jones Scores a Touchdown +120
James Jones Doesn’t Score a Touchdown-150

Jermichael Finley Receptions Over 4.5 -160
Jermichael Finley Receptions Under 4.5 +130

Randall Cobb Yards on First Reception Over 8.5 -115
Randall Cobb Yards on First Reception Under 8.5 -115

NFL Prop Picks: Monday Night Football Predictions 9/10/12

September 1st, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Monday Night Football Predictions 9/10/12
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Chargers vs. RaidersThe Monday Night Football schedule graces us with a pair of great games this weekend. We are going to be taking a look at some of the NFL prop picks for the two clashes on the gridiron, so join us here at Bankroll Sports for our San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders predictions and our Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens picks.

Will Ray Rice Score a Touchdown?: Rice is a man on a mission right now, and this year, he doesn’t have RB Ricky Williams in his way to pillage touchdowns. Sure, rookie RB Bernard Pierce can take some carries, but we know that Rice can get the job done both as a rusher and as a receiver. If this hurry up offense really is going to be a crucial part of the system for the Ravens this year, Rice is probably going to see the ball a heck of a lot more and might be able to break some big time runs on some tired defenses. Rice is one of the best backs in the league, and the truth of the matter is that he is going to score in at least two out of three games over the course of this year. Ray Rice To Score a Touchdown (-160)

Will Joe Flacco Throw an Interception?: This is an NFL line that just doesn’t make all that much sense to us. Flacco would need to be picked off in 10 of his 16 games to make this NFL prop profitable to us, and we think that that will be the case. The Bengals do have a heck of a secondary, and they should be able to get some pressure into Flacco’s face. If this turns out to be the case, we should see at least one mistake made by the former member of the Delaware Blue Hens. Flacco To Throw an INT (-140)

Carson Palmer Longest Pass Completion Over 35.5 Yards: Palmer has to be ready to grip it and rip in on Sunday night, and he is going to be the man of the hour in this game against the Chargers. He’ll take his shots down the field to the likes of WR Denarius Moore, and we expect to see some big time plays out of this offense. The San Diego defense is consistently overrated, and it is likely to be prone to the big time play this year. We only need one, but we think that we’ll get a few bombs out of Palmer and the passing game in this one. Palmer Longest Completion Over 35.5 Yards (-115)

Total Punts Between Chargers and Raiders Over/Under 10.5: Over the course of the first week of the season, what we have seen is a heck of a lot of points and not a heck of a lot of punts. The Chargers and the Raiders both have offenses that can put some points on the board, just as we saw at the end of last year when these teams got into the 60s combined in Week 17. Oakland didn’t have RB Darren McFadden in that one either. The question is whether there will be more than 15 drives or so in this game, and we think that that is a viable question to ask as well. But asking these two teams to combine to punt the ball 11 times is just too much for what could be an offensive shootout of a game. Total Punts Under 10.5 (-130)