Posts Tagged ‘NFL props’

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 8 Fantasy Football Sleepers

October 28th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 8 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 8!

Seattle Seahawks Defense/Special Teams vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Are we out of our minds playing with the Seahawks defense? This team has accounted for negative points twice already this year and just one point in most standard leagues once as well. That’s half of its games! However, we have a lot of reasons to hate the Bengals this week and love the Seahawks. This is going to be the first mega difficult road trip for QB Andy Dalton. No matter how bad Seattle is, Qwest Field is always a horror to try to play at. On top of that, RB Cedric Benson has been suspended for this game, and the weather is expected to be horrible. Last week, the Seahawks didn’t do all that much right against the Cleveland Browns, but if the clock just runs as quickly in this game as it did in that one, we should be getting a nice sum of points from this defense for a second straight week.

Mario Manningham vs. Miami Dolphins
Most of you that drafted Manningham did so way, way too early in your drafts. He was expected to be a bit of a sleeper this year, but so far, he really has done nothing to even warrant being on a fantasy team, let alone being a starter. He only has 18 catches for the season and hasn’t had more than 56 yards in a game, nor has he scored a touchdown yet. However, this is the perfect game for him to shine. Remember that Manningham has picked up more targets in these last two games (16 in total) than he had for the rest of the season combined. He’s going against a Miami defense which ranks No. 18 in the league against opposing wide receivers. You know that the Giants’ offense is going to be on the field quite a bit, as the offense for the Dolphins just can’t stay out of its own way. We think that this is the week for Manningham to be a big time boom.

Tim Tebow vs. Detroit Lions
Last week, we called for Tebow to have a great game against the Dolphins. In fact, he had a terrible game… and a fantastic three minutes in which he accounted for nearly 20 total fantasy points and 15 points in real life. The man is going to run the ball, he is going to throw the ball, and he is going to put points on the board in some respect against a Detroit team that, quite frankly, has been very questionable these past two weeks. You just know that somehow, Tebow is going to keep this game close no matter how ugly of a ball that he throws, and in the end, that will probably translate into at least 15-20 fantasy points, making the former Heisman Trophy winner a solid start.

Owen Daniels vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Let’s get this part straight. If you have Owen Daniels, you’re starting him each and every week, unless you’re one of these wackos that is carrying two tight ends on your team and the other one happens to be named Antonio Gates or Jason Witten. However, just as we said last week with Ed Dickson, playing against the Jags with your tight end is a gold mine. The team’s Cover 2 scheme is conducive for a ton of passes right over the middle, and all three of the Texans’ tight ends might end up being great plays, especially if WR Andre Johnson ends up not playing yet again with his hamstring injury.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Prop Picks (10/24/11)

October 24th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Prop Picks (10/24/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Ray Rice Over/Under 94.5 Rushing Yards
Rice has been a workhorse this year, and this game should be no exception. Unfortunately from our standpoint, the Rutgers Scarlet Knight also gets it done through the air as a receiver, so we might get nipped that way. Plus, if this game does get out of hand, it’ll be RB Ricky Williams doing the heavy lifting, not the potential MVP candidate. Still, Rice always seems to get his yards, and after watching RB Rashard Mendenhall smoke this defense on the ground behind that shoddy offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers, in Rice we trust. Rice Over 94.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Total Sacks Over/Under 5
Look, we know that QB Joe Flacco has happy feet, and we know that QB Blaine Gabbert looks like a deer in headlights and holds the ball far too long. However, let’s be realistic here for a second. Asking for six sacks in a game is a tad ridiculous, as we don’t think that it is even remotely reasonable no matter how good these two defensive fronts are. Last week, the aforementioned Steelers got four sacks in the first half and couldn’t get to Gabbert after that. We think that that might be the beginning of some better place for this offensive line, and that should keep the sack total lower in this one. Under 5 Sacks (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Total Field Goals Over/Under 3.5
Four field goals is a lot in a game, which is why we are getting some odds on our side in this one. What we also know though, is that the Jaguars have a stingy defense and often hold teams to field goals instead of touchdowns. Both of these kickers, Billy Cundiff and Josh Scobee have the ability to boot the ball 50+ yards as well. These defenses bend quite a bit, but they very rarely break. This one could feature a lot of attempts at three points over the course of the day, and we think that that plays right into our hands. Over 3.5 Field Goals (+145 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

2012 NFL Draft Props: Odds To Have The #1 Pick In The NFL Draft

October 22nd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2012 NFL Draft Props: Odds To Have The #1 Pick In The NFL Draft
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Is your team involved in the “Suck For Luck Sweepstakes?” Teams are jockeying for position right now for the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft, and courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook, you can bet on which team will finish with the worst record in football this year and claim arguably the second biggest prize in the NFL!

Right now, the team with the inside track to the No. 1 overall pick in the NFL Draft is the Indianapolis Colts (Odds To Win the No. 1 Pick in the NFL Draft: 2.65 to 1 @ BetOnline Sportsbook). And why not? The Colts are the only team that is 0-6 in football right now, and without QB Peyton Manning making any signs of a comeback in the near future, there is no reason to think that there are that many wins in this team’s future. The bad news is that there are two games against Jacksonville still to come, and the AFC South is putrid this year. Parlay that with the fact that the Colts have been relatively competitive over the course of the last five weeks, and the makings might be there for a few more wins than we need for them to finish the job this year.

There’s no team that needs to win the Suck For Luck Sweepstakes more than the Miami Dolphins (Odds To Win Suck For Luck Sweepstakes: 3.00 to 1 @ BetOnline Sportsbook). The Dolphins were ready to exile QB Chad Henne at the start of the year, and now that he is on injured reserve, he has surely thrown his final pass for the team. QB Matt Moore takes over now, and he was the man who helped bring Carolina to the No. 1 overall pick in this year’s NFL Draft as well. We know that he is more than qualified for the job to make Miami an 0-16 team. The AFC East is a bear, unlike the AFC South, and more importantly, whomever the next head coach is (because we know that Tony Sparano is a lame duck) is going to need a new face of the franchise to bring into Miami’s new stadium next year. Andrew Luck is the perfect face for this team, and there is no team that will be hurt more by not having the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft than the Fins.

The St. Louis Rams (Odds To Win the No. 1 Pick in the NFL Draft: 3.40 to 1 @ BetOnline Sportsbook) are the other winless team in the league right now at 0-5, and they are the only one of the bunch to be a not-so-perfect 0-5 ATS as well. QB Sam Bradford is banged up, but the team is clearly making an effort at winning. Picking up WR Brandon Lloyd will only help this offense, so we’re not all that sure, especially with the majority of last year’s 7-9 team still together, if this team will ultimately have enough losses to be considered the worst team in football.

Finally, keep an eye out for the (Minnesota Vikings Odds To Win the No. 1 Pick in the NFL Draft: 6.50 to 1 @ BetOnline Sportsbook). The Vikes only have one win, and they are turning the football over to QB Christian Ponder, presumably for the rest of the year. Unless Ponder is absolutely atrocious, we don’t see Minnesota taking Luck with the top pick in the draft, but what we do see is a team that is willing to make amends for the horrible Herschel Walker deal that it made with the Dallas Cowboys all those years ago that helped build that dynasty. Again, we have to remember that there are still two games with the Green Bay Packers and one with the Detroit Lions left, games which are basically guaranteed losses. Things aren’t getting any better this year for the Vikes, and their win tally at the end of the year should show it.

Odds To Win The NFL Draft 2012 @ BetOnline (as of 10/22/11)
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Arizona Cardinals 9.50 to 1
Carolina Panthers 5.50 to 1
Denver Broncos 6.50 to 1
Indianapolis Colts 2.65 to 1
Jacksonville Jaguars 3.50 to 1
Miami Dolphins 3 to 1
Minnesota Vikings 6.50 to 1
St. Louis Rams 3.40 to 1
Field (Any Other Team) 8.50 to 1

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 7 Fantasy Football Sleepers

October 21st, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 7 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 7!

Dallas Cowboys Defense/Special Teams vs. St. Louis Rams
This is bad, bad news for the Rams. They have to go on the road, and they aren’t going to have a fully healthy QB Sam Bradford to show for it. Bradford has been walking around in a protective boot thanks to a high ankle sprain, and he hasn’t been practicing all that much. That being said, the team just traded for WR Brandon Lloyd, who will surely have some rust with his new team in spite of the fact that he played in the system for Offensive Coordinator Josh McDaniels with the Broncos last year. Parlay all of that together with the fact that Dallas blitzes like there’s no tomorrow, and the end result could be some huge fantasy points for this team defense. The Rams rank dead last in the league in fantasy offense this year, making the Cowboys an even better play than usual

Michael Bush vs. Kansas City Chiefs
We know that all eyes are going to be on RB Darren McFadden in this one, but there is a real chance that Bush could be the back to steal against the Chiefs. Kansas City ranks No. 27 in the league against fantasy rushers. With QB Carson Palmer expected to start, we know that the Raiders are going to run the ball, run the ball, and run the ball some more. Bush could find himself getting 15-20 touches in this game even if McFadden gets 20-25, but more importantly could be those goal line carries, which there might be plenty of. Look for Bush to score for the first time in three weeks and get 60 or 70 total yards as well.

Tim Tebow vs. Miami Dolphins
Let’s get this one thing straight… The Broncos aren’t winning all that many games this year if they keep Tebow under center. That being said, there’s just no way that we can avoid using him in this matchup. First off, the man is going to run like a chicken with his head cut off, and he is never going to stop. Getting 70 or 80 rushing yards isn’t out of the question, nor are two rushing touchdowns. Secondly, he’s going against a Miami defense which ranks second to last in the league against fantasy quarterbacks. And finally, it’s a day where he and his Florida Gators teammates from 2009 are going to be honored by the Dolphins. Good timing for that one, guys. Oops. It won’t quite be Denver, but it’ll feel like home for Tebow, and we think that three total touchdowns and over 250 total yards isn’t out of the question in his first game as a starter this year.

Ed Dickson vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Dickson might be a great starter on Monday Night Football this week. QB Joe Flacco is averaging looking Dickson’s way nearly nine times per game this year, and a lot of those looks are coming in the red zone. During this five game losing streak, the Jags have allowed an average of 5.6 receptions and 62.2 yards per game to opposing tight ends. Getting six points out of your tight end spot is usually a respectable number, but also remember that Jacksonville has allowed three TDs to starting tight ends in its last five games as well.

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets NFL Prop Picks (10/17/11)

October 16th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets NFL Prop Picks (10/17/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Brandon Marshall Over/Under 55.5 Receiving Yards
When are some NFL players going to learn not to run their yaps… Marshall decided to make a big deal out of the fact that he was ready to duke it out with Antonio Cromartie and Bart Scott, and that he was going to do something big that got him kicked out of the game in the second quarter. However, let’s be realistic for a second. Marshall is going to be on Revis Island, and he is going to have a brand spanking new quarterback trying to throw him the ball in QB Matt Moore. Sure, these two had two weeks to prepare for this game, but it isn’t going to make a difference. Marshall Under 55.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Mark Sanchez Over/Under 220.5 Passing Yards
Thus far this season, Sanchez has really had two good games and three total duds. We tend to give him a pass about throwing for less than 200 yards against both the Baltimore Ravens and Jacksonville Jaguars, and aside from that, he has gone over 330 yards in two of his three games. Now, he’s going against a Miami secondary which is just downright brutal. No, we don’t think that the GQ boy is going to be throwing for 400 yards like QB Tom Brady did, but we do think that he is going to get into at least the 240s or so without any problems. Sanchez Over 220.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Will There Be a Special Teams Or Defensive TD?
The last time the Jets played on primetime football, there were a whopping five defensive or special teams touchdowns against the Baltimore Ravens. There’s no doubt that this Jets defense is going to be all over the field, and RB Joe McKnight has proven to be a fantastic kick returner with the ability to really break the big ones. The Dolphins don’t have a defensive or special teams touchdown as of yet this year, but with the propensity of Sanchez to throw picks and turn the ball over, we can’t discount the chances that there is at least one score coming from the ‘D’ or special teams in this game. Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored (+160 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 6 Picks (Sunday, October 16, 2011)

October 16th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 6 Picks (Sunday, October 16, 2011)
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Week 6 of NFL betting action is here! But before you get started with the NFL odds, be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for all of the Sunday games, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook

Drew Brees Over/Under 25 Completions
Brees has already completed a whopping 152 passes this year, which is an average of 30.4 passes per game. The running game just isn’t getting any better for the boys from the Bayou, and going against a defense that is allowing 254.6 yards per game isn’t going to hurt that in all likelihood. Brees completed just 21 passes in the one game that truly meant anything last year, but that game got out of hand in a hurry in a 31-6 win for the Saints. We tend to think that this game is going to be a heck of a lot closer, and if that’s the case, we have to believe that Brees is going to throw the ball 40 times, and he’ll complete at least 25 of them. Brees Over 25 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Ben Roethlisberger Over/Under 21.5 Completions
Last week, in a game in which the Steelers won going away against the Tennessee Titans, Big Ben completed 24 passes on his 34 attempts, including throwing for five touchdowns. This week, he is going against a Jacksonville secondary that is a heck of a lot better than that of the Titans in all likelihood. We know that RB Rashard Mendenhall is going to be back in the lineup, and there is a commitment to this running game in spite of the fact that the offensive line is all beat up for the black and gold. With this game being at home with the crowd on their side, the Steelers are probably going to go back to the old school type of game instead of this new school passing game. Roethlisberger Under 21.5 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Sam Bradford Over/Under 240.5 Passing Yards
If you were to look at our fantasy football analysis, you would know that we are high on Bradford this week against the Packers. This has been one of the worst pass defenses in the league for whatever reason, and off of their bye week, we tend to think that the Rams are going to be able to put forth their best offensive game. Bradford has only had one game this year with even 190 passing yards, but in that game, he threw for 331 yards against the New York Giants. This is a very similar looking game, and we expect a very similar looking result. Bradford Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Santana Moss Over/Under 59.5 Receiving Yards
At times, QB Rex Grossman only really has eyes for Moss, but thanks to Matthew Berry of ESPN.com, we learned a fantastic stat this week about top receivers against the Eagles. Against Philly this year, Roddy White had 23 receiving yards, Hakeem Nicks had 25 receiving yards, and Steve Johnson had 29 yards. And you think that Moss is going to be able to reach 60 with DB Nnamdi Asomugha on his tail the entire game? We tend to think not, especially considering the fact that Moss, in spite of the fact that he has had at least five receptions in all four games this year, is only averaging 61.5 yards per game. Moss Under 59.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Colt McCoy Over/Under 19.5 Completions
The Raiders are lost in their secondary right now, as they are allowing 299.6 yards per game through the air, No. 29 in the league. Last week alone, the Houston Texans accounted for over 400 passing yards. Don’t think that Head Coach Pat Shurmur wasn’t paying attention to all of this during Cleveland’s bye week. QB Colt McCoy has thrown the ball 172 times this year in just four games, and he should put the pigskin in the air at least 35 times in this one. Even though McCoy is only completing 58.1 percent of his passes on the season, we know that that number should be higher with this short passing West Coast offense. McCoy Over 19.5 Completions (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Michael Turner Over/Under 91.5 Rushing Yards
Turner has struggled this year on the ground, as he only has two 100+ yard games on the ground. Both of those came courtesy of big runs, and without the two carries of more than 50 yards on the year, Turner is only averaging 3.32 yards per carry. That being said, Carolina’s rush defense is absolutely putrid at 135.2 yards per game. There aren’t any other running backs that are going to be stealing Turner’s carries as long as he doesn’t get hurt, and he does have that potential to knock off a 50+ yard run even time that he touches the pigskin. Don’t be shocked if he has 20 touches in this one, and if that’s the case and even one can get broken, this could be a third triple digit rushing game. Turner Over 91.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Ryan Fitzpatrick Over/Under 240.5 Passing Yards
Another man that we highlighted this week on our fantasy football picks to click. Fitzpatrick has had back to back games with fewer than 200 passing yards, but this is a significantly different New York secondary, and a bad one at that. Remember that this is a Buffalo passing attack that reasonably has two 100+ yard receiving options on a regular basis in WR Steve Johnson and WR David Nelson. They both might get the job done in this one. This is a terrible line in our estimation, as Fitzpatrick should approach 300 passing yards. Fitzpatrick Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 6 Fantasy Football Sleepers

October 13th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 6 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 6!

Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. New York Giants
Fitzpatrick wasn’t owned in most leagues at the start of the season, but he became a hot commodity to pick up after the first couple weeks of the season. He has had back to back games with fewer than 200 yards passing, and the emergence of RB Fred Jackson has really eaten into his touchdown production. That being said, we have to remember that last week’s matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles was a tough one for the Ivy Leaguer. He’s smart enough to know that these defensive backs are the real deal and using the ground game was the best course of moving the ball up and down the field. The Giants still don’t have a fantastic secondary, and we tend to think that Fitzpatrick is going to be in for a significantly better game. If you’re in a bye week quandary and Fitzpatrick is out there, pick him up and don’t be afraid to start him.

Sam Bradford vs. Green Bay Packers
In most standard ESPN fantasy football leagues, Bradford hasn’t even averaged 10 points per game. He only has three total touchdowns against seven turnovers. However, in this one, the former Oklahoma Sooner has a good matchup. We know that the Packers have a vaunted defense, and Bradford will surely be making his mistakes. He’ll pick up some big plays though, knowing that Green Bay just isn’t as good in the secondary as it has been in years past. Especially off of the bye week, we tend to think that Offensive Coordinator Josh McDaniels should have a great game plan for Bradford to succeed. A pair of touchdowns and 250 passing yards is the minimum that we’re expecting to see.

Harry Douglas vs. Carolina Panthers
Carolina’s defense is as shoddy as could be, and Douglas is definitely a guy that should not be ignored. Rookie WR Julio Jones is out of the lineup and WR Roddy White has been banged up as well. Douglas is almost certainly going to be the starter opposite of White, and QB Matt Ryan is probably going to form a relatively quick bond with him. The best news is that the Panthers have been stingy this year, and they aren’t going to give up in any game. That might keep the passing game going for Ryan and the crew, and if that’s the case, Douglas could really be the beneficiary.

Delone Carter vs. Cincinnati Bengals
We’ve given up in saying, “If the Colts can win this game…” because we know that they probably aren’t going to prove to be victorious. It doesn’t seem like RB Joseph Addai is going to be in the fold this week, and if that’s the case, Carter is going to be getting the call for the most part. The former Syracuse Orange tailback has proven that has the ability to get the job done when he is given the chance, and though the Bengals rank No. 11 in the league against the rush for fantasy football players, you can probably pick Carter up off of the scrap heap right now, and you might get a good game.