Posts Tagged ‘NFL props’

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 5 Fantasy Football Sleepers

October 7th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 5 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 5!

Kevin Walter and Jacoby Jones vs. Oakland Raiders
Someone has to be able to catch some passes from QB Matt Schaub this week, right? That being said, the Oakland secondary just doesn’t feel complete anymore without DB Nnamdi Asomugha. Sure, WR Andre Johnson isn’t in the lineup, and sure, FB James Casey and TE Owen Daniels have been stealing the show, but with a full week of preparation, we tend to think that both Walter and Jones might make for great fantasy plays at home against Oakland. Remember with Jones that you’re also getting a great return man, and you might find yourself a hidden touchdown or two.

New England Patriots D/ST vs. New York Jets
Most of you have probably cut the Pats’ defense by now after its terrible start to the season. By standard league rules, you haven’t even averaged two points per game if you have started New England. That being said, the Jets allowed the Baltimore Ravens to score three times on defense last week. Don’t think for one second that Head Coach Bill Belichick wasn’t looking at that tape and smiling. The teams that have been able to throw the ball on New England have played well on the offensive line. New York doesn’t have that luxury. C Nick Mangold might be back in the fold this week, but if he isn’t or if he isn’t totally effective, don’t be shocked if the Pats come away with four or five sacks and a few turnovers in addition to keeping the Jets to a relatively low score.

Malcom Floyd vs. Denver Broncos
Someone has to get all of the passing yards from QB Philip Rivers, right? The Broncos have a dreadful pass defense, as demonstrated last week when QB Aaron Rodgers accounted for six total touchdowns against them. And, to make matters even more sneaky for Floyd this week, he has been the top receiver that has been practicing. Both WR Vincent Jackson and TE Antonio Gates have been on the sidelines. Jackson will probably play, but the added time for Floyd is going to be fantastic for him come game time, especially if Jackson does end up hobbled at any point. We wouldn’t be surprised if this were a game that Floyd, Mike Tolbert, and potentially even Randy McMichael end up finding the end zone.

Scott Chandler vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Another tight end scored a touchdown on the Eagles last week, as TE Vernon Davis found his way to the end zone as a part of the big comeback by the San Francisco 49ers. Now, it could be Chandler’s turn to shine again. Chandler only has 11 receptions on the year, but four of those have gone for TDs. We’re not as afraid of WRs Steve Johnson and David Nelson this week, though both will get their yards. If RB Fred Jackson doesn’t have one of these three touchdown days, we wouldn’t be surprised to see Chandler get his name in the box score with a touchdown strike.

NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 4 Picks (Sunday, October 2, 2011)

October 2nd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks & NFL Week 4 Picks (Sunday, October 2, 2011)
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We’re all set to wrap up the first quarter of the NFL season, and here at Bankroll Sports, we’re always keeping our eyes peeled to the best ways to boost your bankroll. Today, we’re looking at the best NFL prop picks on the NFL Week 4 schedule!

Calvin Johnson TD in the First Half
There’s a point that Calvin Johnson has to have a game in which he doesn’t score two TDs, right? In this one, he can have a million TDs if he wants, as long as one of those scores isn’t in the first half. The truth of the matter is that the Cowboys play significantly better defense than most probably think, and they are going to be sending the heat at QB Matt Stafford all day long. Defensive Coordinator Rob Ryan is a smart cookie, and he knows that the Megatron is the only receiving threat of huge note that Stafford has to throw the ball to, especially near the red zone, and the end result is going to be coverage getting rolled out to his side quite a bit. We know that Johnson should probably be about -200 to score a TD in most games that he is out there, and if that’s the case, we just don’t see him scoring a TD in the first half a high enough percentage of the time to get the job done. If the fair price is -200 on him scoring a TD for the game, it should be +130 for him scoring in the first half. No Calvin Johnson 1st Half Touchdown (-140 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)

Darren Sproles Over/Under 66.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Sproles has been great this year, and the more time that he spends on the field, the better off the New Orleans offense seems to be. That being said, a lot of the swing passes that would have gone to Sproles very well could be going to the returning WR Marques Colston this week. Against the Jags, we look for RB Mark Ingram and RB Pierre Thomas to be more involved in the game both as rushers and potentially as short receiving backs as well. Sproles might not be that much a part of the game plan, as there shouldn’t be that much trickery that needs to be called to win this game. Sproles Under 66.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)

Tim Hightower Over/Under 100.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
The evil, mad scientist, Head Coach Mike Shanahan cannot be trusted with his running backs all that often. RB Roy Helu took some extra snaps last week against the Cowboys, and he very well could be eating into the production that Hightower ends up with. That being said, even in a game in which Hightower took virtually every snap in the backfield, he only had 97 total yards against the Giants, and their defense is probably right about on par with that of the Rams. That being said, we’re not so sure that the Redskins are running away with this one, and if they’re playing catch up, that probably means more time for Helu and less opportunities for Hightower to touch the rock. Tim Hightower Under 100.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)

Marcedes Lewis Over/Under 2 Receptions
It’s not often that we come up with a prop that has simply never lost, but that’s the case for this prop with Lewis. We know that rookie QB Blaine Gabbert hasn’t shown anything to us yet, and we also know that Lewis is coming off of an injury that has been nagging him in recent weeks, but last year, the former UCLA Bruin didn’t have a single game in which he caught fewer than two passes. For a man that caught 58 balls last year and is considered to likely be a bigger part of the offense this year, we just don’t see how he won’t catch at least a couple check downs, especially against a New Orleans team that has been smashed by opposing tight ends this season. Marcedes Lewis Over 2 Receptions (-180 at 5Dimes Sportsbook)

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 4 Fantasy Football Sleepers

September 28th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 4 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 4!

Nate Washington vs. Cleveland Browns
Washington is going to be a popular pickup this week with this being the first game that WR Kenny Britt being out of the lineup. We’re really not all that sure that QB Matt Hasselbeck has the ability to keep this up over the course of the rest of the season, but what we do know is that for the first three weeks, he has slung the ball all over the field. Washington hasn’t slacked this year, as he does have 21 catches and a TD on the season. Cleveland’s defense is probably better than those of the Jacksonville Jaguars and Denver Broncos, but we wouldn’t be surprised to see a dozen targets for Washington this week against the Browns on the road, especially if the Titans are trailing.

Houston Texans D/ST vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
One would think that the Texans would be a poor play this week, just as they were last week. They were worth negative points in most leagues, but we know that this could be a significantly different week against the Steelers. The Pittsburgh offense just hasn’t looked all that sharp this year, especially knowing that QB Ben Roethlisberger has only thrown one TD pass in each of his first three games. That being said, the way that you beat these Texans is by running the ball straight up the gut. Sure, Pittsburgh does that better than any team in the league, but when you’re behind, as it was against the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1, things become a heck of a lot harder. Roethlisberger and the Steelers turned it over seven times against Baltimore that week, and Big Ben felt a ton of pressure. The blitz packages for the Texans should produce a ton of sacks this week as well, and if that’s the case, we wouldn’t be surprised to see this unit put a huge number on the board for fantasy owners.

Andy Dalton and Andre Caldwell vs. Buffalo Bills
At some point, the Bills are going to lose a game, and though this doesn’t seem like the likeliest of options in the world, we know that it could be a good matchup for the hosts. Buffalo’s secondary has struggled at times this year, and though we don’t fault it for allowing so many yards and points to QB Tom Brady and company, watching QB Jason Campbell tear this secondary to shreds was a different story. Now, with WR Jerome Simpson likely not suiting in this one, Dalton is going to have to find another receiver to throw to. Caldwell had a dozen targets last week, and though he only had six catches, it was a clear sign that he is becoming one of the favored targets for the rookie to use. He could be a great red zone option as well, and at the rate that the Bills give up yards and points, that could, and should be good news for both of these Bengals.

Jacoby Jones vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
We’re heading back to that Houston/Pittsburgh game for our last fantasy sleeper of the week. The Texans are throwing the ball and throwing it a lot this week. That’s a given. After all, it takes a special, special back to run on the Steelers, and we don’t think that either RB Ben Tate or a banged up RB Arian Foster is going to be able to get the job done. Starting WR Andre Johnson is a duh statement, though the Pittsburgh secondary with DB Ike Taylor has done a respectable job against top receivers this year. It’s those second receivers that have us terrified against an otherwise weak Steelers secondary. Last week, both Pierre Garcon and Austin Collie had better weeks than Reggie Wayne. That being said, with Jones, not only are you getting another receiving option in a high powered offense, but you’re also getting a punt returner. There might be a hidden TD in there as well that you don’t normally see on the stat sheet if you get lucky.

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 3 Fantasy Football Sleepers

September 22nd, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 3 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 3!

Dexter McCluster vs. San Diego Chargers
This is a very, very popular sleeper fantasy football pick this week, especially if you’re in a PPR league. With RB Jamaal Charles out of the fold, McCluster is likely going to end up getting probably 40 percent of the carries or so, splitting the time with RB Thomas Jones. Jones has stone hands out of the backfield though, so in passing downs, you can bet that McCluster will be out there. Touchdowns are going to be scarce, save for the potential of the big play for the former Ole Miss Rebel, but McCluster is probably good for 6-8 carries, 5-6 receptions, and 70-80 yards against the Chargers, numbers that, in a PPR league, are fantastic, especially knowing that you can play him at either RB or WR in most leagues.

Mike Kafka vs. New York Giants
Obviously, check your injury report before making this start to see if QB Michael Vick is going to play or not. However, it’s hard for players that suffered concussions to come back the very next week and play, and that being said, we have to imagine that Vick is closer to being “out” than he is “probable.” Kafka is the third string quarterback, but he is the perfect signal caller for Head Coach Andy Reid. He makes smart decisions, doesn’t put himself in trouble, and he’s not afraid to check down. Those of you that have RB LeSean McCoy, especially in a PPR league, could be in a for an absolutely humongous day. However, we love all of the Eagles in this matchup, knowing that Kafka is probably going to have to throw the ball 45 times to get 300+ yards. Don’t be shocked, even if Vick doesn’t play, if Philly finds a way to still put 30+ on the board with Kafka at the helm.

David Nelson vs. New England Patriots
After getting 13 targets last week, there is no doubt that Nelson has become a via option for fantasy football sleeper picks for the foreseeable future. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is going to have to chuck the ball all over the field, and we think that he could be in for another solid 20+ point fantasy day in standard leagues. The Pats have the 30th ranked fantasy defense against the pass, something that really has to make eyes get pretty wide open with Buffalo on the other side of the field. There’s a chance that WR Steve Johnson, the more popular of the two Buffalo wide outs will be on the bench with a groin injury, which would only further open up the offense for Nelson to get a slew of looks from Fitzpatrick. Ten grabs for 120 yards and a TD isn’t out of the question.

Jake Ballard vs. Philadelphia Eagles
All together now: Who??? Ballard is the tight end for the Giants, and he has only had three catches in his first two games. However, we became very aware last week that the Eagles could struggle against opposing tight ends, especially in the red zone. QB Eli Manning is probably going to have a number of chances in Eagles’ territory in this one, and especially if both WR Mario Manningham and WR Domenik Hixon are out of the fold, these vaunted Philly corners are going to be taking WR Hakeem Nicks out of the game. That being said, the front seven for the Eagles isn’t that swift, and keeping up with Ballard might be tough even though he isn’t exactly fleet of foot. Don’t be shocked if Ballard finds the end zone on Sunday and proves to be worth a lot more than most of your stalwart tight ends in this league, and he makes a great plug in, just in case you had TE Aaron Hernandez as your option.

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 2 Fantasy Football Sleepers

September 14th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 2 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 2!

Reggie Bush vs. Houston Texans
We definitely learned one thing about the Dolphins last week, and that’s that RB Reggie Bush is going to need to be used as a runner and a receiver. He may or may not get goal line carries (Lex Hilliard did last week in the one and only chance that he had on the field), but we know that against the Texans’ new 3-4 look, Bush is going to find himself a ton of open holes on the field. Especially if you’re dealing in a PPR league, Bush is a great start this week, as he might be good for a dozen receptions to go with his 40-50 rushing yards that he is sure to get against a defense that we really don’t know a heck of a lot about quite yet.

Bet Revolution

Brandon Gibson and Sam Bradford vs. New York Giants
Last week, no one was all that high on the Rams against the Eagles, but we have to remember that that Philadelphia secondary is like none other in the league. Bradford has a finger injury that we have to deal with, but with an extra day of preparation, we think that he’ll be fine. The Giants just allowed over 300 passing yards to QB Rex Grossman of the Redskins, something that should virtually never happen, and that being said, this is going to be a porous unit until some bodies start to get healthier. Gibson is going to be the primary target in all likelihood for Bradford after WR Danny Amendola went down with an elbow injury in Week 1. Don’t be shocked if these two hook up a half dozen times for over 100 yards and a TD on Monday Night Football.

Santana Moss vs. Arizona Cardinals
Moss really isn’t much of a sleeper, since he was probably a mid-round pick in your fantasy league, but with Grossman at the helm, the former Miami Hurricane is going to be the subject of a ton of targets once again. He had nine targets last week against the Giants, and this week, he is facing perhaps the only secondary in football that is as bad as the one that he faced last week. Arizona will definitely show some holes, and there isn’t a corner that can keep up what Moss’ speed, save for DB Patrick Peterson, and we wouldn’t be thrilled with the prospects of a rookie going up against a vet like Moss.

Devery Henderson vs. Chicago Bears
This is the second time that we are going to be asking one of the secondary receiving options for QB Drew Brees to do us the favor of scoring a touchdown, and we tend to think that a big week in Week 1 is just the beginning of what could be a bust out season for Henderson. The former LSU Tiger is likely to get the nod alongside WR Robert Meachem this week, and if that’s the case, though Chicago’s secondary is solid, Brees should be throwing him the ball quite a bit. Meachem and TE Jimmy Graham are both great starts this week as well.

NFL Picks: New England @ Miami, Oakland @ Denver Prop Picks

September 12th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Picks: New England @ Miami, Oakland @ Denver Prop Picks
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Monday Night Football is back and better than ever this week, as there are two crucial divisional duels on tap. Check out how we stack up the NFL props and make our NFL picks on the clashes between the Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots and Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders.

Over/Under 4 Sacks (NE/MIA)
You don’t normally think of these two teams as two that will gun the ball all over the place. However, with QB Tom Brady breaking in a new receiver in WR Chad Ochocinco and QB Chad Henne really stuck throwing the ball a ton without a steady running game, the sacks could mount in a hurry. You know that New England’s defense is not relenting, as Head Coach Bill Belichick will throw the kitchen sink at the relatively inexperienced Henne. The question is how much Head Coach Tony Sparano is going to send at Brady. Knowing that his job might be on the line, we’d guess that we’ll see a lot of guys like LB Jason Taylor and LB Koa Misi in the backfield. Over 4 Sacks (-110 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Brandon Lloyd Over/Under 4.5 Receptions
No respect here for the defending receiving yards champ in the league. Lloyd had a sturdy year last year, and though we know that Head Coach John Fox is going to want to run the ball more with RB Knowshon Moreno, that doesn’t mean that the rapport that QB Kyle Orton built with Lloyd over the last year will just suddenly disappear. Don’t be surprised if there are a few shots taken to try to loosen up this Oakland defense, and if that’s the case, Lloyd should be able to amass the five receptions needed to beat this target. Lloyd Over 4.5 Receptions (+100 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over/Under 45.5 Yards (NE/MIA)
Last season alone, New England scored four special teams or defensive TDs that all went for more than 45 yards against the Dolphins, and that doesn’t even include the possibility of the offenses scoring from this far out. We know that Brady will be looking to hit some deep shots during this game, and the X-Factor very well could be RB Reggie Bush, who appears like he is going to get at least 20-25 touches of the football in some respect in this game. Don’t be shocked if this prop is decided with the very first touchdown. Longest Touchdown Over 45.5 Yards (-115 at BoDog Sportsbook)

NFL Picks: New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers Prop Picks

September 7th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Picks: New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers Prop Picks
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The first day of the football betting action is here! But before you get started with the NFL odds, be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the first day of the season!

Will Mark Ingram Or Pierre Thomas Score a TD?
It’s going to be difficult for Ingram and Thomas in this one, but the truth of the matter is that there aren’t any other players that are going to be stealing these rushing touchdowns like last year. Then you have the ultimate question: Will the Saints have a rushing touchdown in this game? In all likelihood, this has to be at least a 50/50 prop. We can’t imagine that this team isn’t going to have at least one rushing TD in just seven games this season. Ingram Or Thomas To Score a TD (+125 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Robert Meachem Over/Under 32.5 Receiving Yards
Meachem is the deep threat for QB Drew Brees, and that makes him a great candidate to have at least 33 yards on just one catch. In fact, he had six receptions of at least 35 yards last season, all of which came in different games. The Packers might have some secondary issues this year, and we know that Brees isn’t going to end up falling apart under the pressure of the Green Bay linebackers and defensive line. The former Tennessee Volunteer had eight games with at least 32.5 yards through the air last season, and we tend to believe that he will get there again in this one. Meachem Over 32.5 Rushing Yards (-130 at BoDog Sportsbook)

Jermichael Finley Over/Under 55.5 Receiving Yards
This could be a mighty interesting situation here for the former Oklahoma Sooner. He had 301 yards and 21 catches in his first four games last season before getting injured. Now, Finley might have a field day against a Green Bay defense that, for all of its major pros, had a major flaw taking care of tight ends. Finley could be in for a big, big day. Finley Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BoDog Sportsbook)