Posts Tagged ‘NFL props’

NFL Football Picks: Thanksgiving Day Props (11/25/10)

November 24th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Thanksgiving Day Props (11/25/10)
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Thanksgiving Day always means that we have a fantastic set of games for NFL betting fans to sink their teeth into. This year is no exception, as the Detroit Lions, Dallas Cowboys, and New York Jets play host to the New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, and Cincinnati Bengals respectively. Check out some of the best NFL prop picks for one of the biggest days in the NFL schedule.

Tom Brady Over/Under 265.5 Passing Yards
Common logic suggests that the Pats should be able to roll over the Lions, and if that’s the case, you would figure that Brady would be flying past the 265 yard barrier, right? Maybe not so much. Brady has actually only reached this passing total twice this year, including some games against some teams that aren’t all that great. The Lions have a terrible secondary, but if HC Bill Belichick has it his way, he is going to be able to utilize his running game significantly more than his passing game. With this being a 50/50 proposition that we need to beat, we’ll go with Brady Under 265.5 Passing Yards (+100 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Thanksgiving Day.

Brandon Tate Yards On First Reception Over/Under 11.5 Yards
We know that Tate doesn’t catch a pass in every single game, and if he doesn’t make a reception, we are going to lose this prop, but we also know that this is the best deep threat that Brady has to work with. The Lions have an absolutely dreadful secondary as well. Tate has just 18 receptions this year, but nine of them have gone for at least a dozen yards. The former North Carolina Tar Heel should find a way to get that one reception necessary, and assuming he does, that catch should be Over 11.5 Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Drew Brees Over/Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes
The Cowboys have really struggled with their secondary all season long, but there is a point that these NFL odds get a wee ridiculous. Brees has thrown for at least two TDs in six straight games and in eight of the ten this season, but we absolutely know that that isn’t going to keep up. Dallas gave Brees fits last year, especially up front in the trenches. This is going to be a tough task to get to for Brees, and at +220 odds, we feel like we are stealing Brees to go Under 1.5 TD Passes (+220 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Cowboys.

Jon Kitna Over/Under 244.5 Passing Yards
The Saints have one of the best secondaries in the NFL this year, and though this isn’t really a unit that you would really think would be able to shut down a team like Dallas, you might want to think again. Kitna is a great backup quarterback, but he is really no more than that: a backup quarterback. Asking him to reach the 250 yard passing mark at least half the time is going to be difficult, especially if New Orleans is the real deal. The Cowboys’ signal caller will stay Under 244.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Will the Bengals Ever Have the Lead Against the Jets
The Bengals never really stood a chance against the Jets last year, as they were destroyed by them both in Week 17 and in the first round of the playoffs. However, for a team that has so many explosive offensive weapons against a team that tends to get bogged down at times, we tend to think that this is a sucker bet waiting to happen. The oddsmakers are begging you to take “No” at +150, but instead, we are going to be the role of the contrarians, saying that the Bengals Will Lead Against the Jets (-190 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Terrell Owens Over/Under 73.5 Receiving Yards
Good ol’ TO might be a Pro Bowler this season, but he is about to step onto Revis Island to take on DB Darrelle Revis. Owens knows that he is going to see a lot of two of the best corners in football, and though Revis and DB Antonio Cromartie have combined for just one INT since Week 1 of the season, a lot of quarterbacks are wise to not throw their way. TO said that Revis was a one year wonder in the media, which sounds like fighting words to us. Now, let’s throw in the fact that he has only exceeded this number four times in ten games this year. The choice is simple. We have to go with Owens Under 73.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Shonn Greene Over/Under 50.5 Rushing Yards
Consider this a bit of a gut shot play. Greene really isn’t the featured back in the New York offense any longer, as RB LaDainian Tomlinson has really taken over. Greene basically made an entire career out of destroying the Bengals down the stretch last year, and this is still a team that is averaging the 23rd most rushing yards in the NFL. Greene has only gotten to this number four times this year, but he will make it five on Thursday. Go with Greene Over 50.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

NFL Football Picks: Thursday Night Football Props (11/18/10)

November 17th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Thursday Night Football Props (11/18/10)
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Thursday Night Football is back once again in the NFL this week, and two teams that are fighting and clawing to stay in the playoff race in their respective conferences will do battle, as the Miami Dolphins play host to the Chicago Bears. Check out these NFL props picks for the showdown in South Beach that could be extremely exciting on the NFL Network.

Will Devin Hester Score a Touchdown?
Don’t kid yourself. Though Hester is getting fewer touches this year, if you bet this prop at this price every single game this season, you’ve done fairly well, picking up 1.8 units. Remember that you get punt return touchdowns as well as scores, as any TD is a TD. Hester is probably going to get a ton of chances to return punts in this one, as the Dolphins have plenty of offensive problems to deal with. It only takes one stroke of genius to win this prop, and though we hate betting things like this, we also realize that there are times that the oddsmakers are just off. This is one of those times. Go with Hester to Score a Touchdown (+170 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Thursday Night Football.

Total Punts Over/Under 9.5
This is a fairly standard prop at a very standard price, but this isn’t such a very standard game that we’re dealing with. These two defenses are built like rocks and are specifically designed to stop the other. Miami has a tremendous pass rush and is good enough up the middle of the defense to be able to hold down a Chicago offensive line that is just atrocious at run blocking. The Bears have the No. 2 rush defense in the game and clearly have the best unit against ground games aside from the Pittsburgh Steelers. Brad Maynard, Chicago’s punter, has booted the ball at least four times all but once this year, and he has kicked at least five punts in six of the Bears’ nine games. This is an incredibly high number of punts for a punter right now. Miami’s punter, Brandon Fields, hasn’t had nearly as much work this year, as he only has booted the pigskin away more than four times twice. However, this could be the ugliest game that either team plays all season long. With NFL odds like this, we have no choice but to go with there to be Over 9.5 punts (-130 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Anthony Fasano Over/Under 2.5 Receptions
We’re so afraid on NFL props like this one, because we never really know whether recent trends are going to hold true or not. However, we have no choice but to believe here, as Fasano has caught at least three balls in four straight games and has really become a great check down option when things are getting rough. You can bet with the Bears bringing heat off the corner with DE Julius Peppers and company, that QB Tyler Thigpen, assuming that he is the starter, is going to really want to force the ball in to Fasano’s hands at least a few times just to get the big tight end involved and to loosen up the pass rush just a tad. We have to get to at least three catches, right? We’ll take Fasano Over 2.5 Receptions (-130 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

NFL Football Picks: Odds to Be Dallas Cowboys Head Coach in 2011

November 14th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Odds to Be Dallas Cowboys Head Coach in 2011
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The Dallas Cowboys are just a few hours away from kicking off their first game in the Jason Garrett era. After the removal of HC Wade Phillips, we know that the Cowboys are going to have their work cut out for them to get back to the top in the NFC East. Garrett has the interim tag for the rest of the season, and he is the first man in the history of the Dallas franchise to have that title. We take a look at the prospects and the NFL odds for who will be the next coach of the Cowboys in the first week of the 2011 season!

Bill Cowher 4 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
We do know that Jones has spoken to some men that have shown interest in this job that have previous Super Bowl winning experience before, but we aren’t so sure that Cowher is one of them. The former Pittsburgh Steelers head coach doesn’t really seem to fit in Dallas all that well, and we’re not so sure that he has what it takes to transform this passing team into one with the vicious ground game that he desires. We’ll see him with the Carolina Panthers or back in the booth once again next year.

Bill Parcells 10 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
Been there, done that. Dallas isn’t going there again. The Big Tuna has had enough of coaching.

Brian Billick 25 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
Interesting odds here on Billick, because he definitely does fit the mold as a potential man that has won the Super Bowl. Though we aren’t so sure that Jones is really willing to sign a man that has been out of football for so long, these are definitely some intriguing NFL odds with the information that we currently have to deal with.

Jason Garrett 2.5 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
If Garrett can find a way to go 5-3 or better in the second half of the season, it’s going to be really, really hard for Jones to take the job away from him. Truth be told, the offense really hasn’t been a problem here in Dallas over the years. The defense has really been the unit that has let the team down. Garrett isn’t at fault. Truth be told, this was the man that Jones wanted to hire when he hired Phillips as his head coach, but there was speculation about whether he was really ready to guide a team to the Super Bowl. Garrett has been a lifetime Cowboy having played quarterback as Troy Aikman’s backup for years, and he clearly makes the most sense to take over next year.

Jim Harbaugh 8 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
Harbaugh has been the main man in college that has been rumored to jump to the NFL as a head coach, and it really only seems like a matter of time until that happens. This would be a very sexy pick for Jones to make, as it would come with glitz and glamour. Having “Captain Comeback” as your head coach would certainly draw a lot of attention. The only question in our minds here is whether Harbaugh, a West Coast guy, is willing to trade in his sunglasses for a pair of cowboy boots. We’re not so sure that he is going to lead “The Farm” this year, as the Stanford Cardinal really are on the verge of something special. If he does go to the pros, he might want to go to a place where his QB Andrew Luck is going as well.

John Fox 3.5 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
Of the coaches that are currently in the NFL, Fox is the only one that makes a lot of sense for the Cowboys. Though he has never won the Super Bowl, Fox did guide the Carolina Panthers to one back in 2003-04, and many think that he has just been given a raw deal on Tobacco Road with a team that just isn’t all that talented. Dallas certainly doesn’t have that problem. If you’re a believer that Jones is going after a coach with a lot of experience, this is your man.

Jon Gruden 2.5 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
You know with Gruden, you’re getting a workhorse that is going to sit there and study tape for hours on end for your team. The argument could be made that Gruden would still have his job had the Bucs beat the Oakland Raiders two years ago on the final day of the regular season. You know that he wants to get back in the coaching ring but would only take one of a handful of jobs. This is certainly one of them. Again, this is another coach that has won the Super Bowl in the past and could do it again in Big D. If Garrett flounders, this could be the man for the Cowboys.

Leslie Frazier 10 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
So let’s get this straight. You think that Jones is going to be bringing in a guy with no head coaching experience to run his club? Dream on.

Marty Schottenheimer 15 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
Though we know that Schottenheimer got a raw deal in San Diego, he could never win the big game. It’s Super Bowl or bust for the Cowboys. This isn’t the man that can win a championship for this city.

Marvin Lewis 5 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
Haha! Lewis can’t even make it with the Bengals, let alone with the Cowboys. He might get an interview after he gets fired by Cincinnati this year just as the token minority coaching candidate, but Lewis has absolutely no chance of actually landing this job.

Mike Zimmer 15 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
Zimmer is a combination of a dud with the Bengals and an assistant with no head coaching experience. No thank you.

Tony Dungy 25 to 1 at Hollywood Sportsbook
Though we are fairly sure that Dungy is staying retired, we know that this would be the man that Jones would want grazing his sidelines as the head coach. Yes, Dungy is a past Super Bowl winning coach, and yes, he does fit the bill as a perfect man for Jones. And yes, it’s even true that Dungy would probably be No. 1 on Jones’ list. But let’s be realistic here. Dungy is retired for a reason. He is a family man that wants to continue to do good for a his children and his community. Picking up and moving to Dallas just doesn’t make any sense whatsoever, and that’s why the pro football odds are so long on him becoming the next coach of the Cowboys.

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (11/15/10)

November 14th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (11/15/10)
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The Washington Redskins could have their 2010 NFL betting campaign put on the line on Monday Night Football, as they are taking on their divisional rivals, the Philadelphia Eagles at home in a huge encounter. We here at Bankroll Sports, have all of our Monday Night Football prop picks available for you for the upcoming MNF tussle.

Longest Field Goal Over/Under 44.5 Yards
This isn’t a prop that we go after often, but we’re talking about two kickers here that have some very strong legs and aren’t going to miss many from this type of a range. K David Akers has blasted six field goals already this year of at least 40 yards, and he has had four games in which he booted one from at least 45 this year. For his career, Akers is 94-for-143 from 40+ yards, and we know that he is going to be given a great chance to do his thing at some point during this game as long as the Washington defense doesn’t just roll over and die. However, we have confidence in K Graham Gano as well for Washington. Gano hasn’t had all that many chances this year to connect from 40+ yards, but he has taken advantage, going 5-for-6 from 40-49 yards. Though he is 0-for-2 from 50+ yards, we know from his days with Florida State that he can boot it 60 if need be. He has four games this year with at least one 45 yard boot as well. This is probably somewhere between a 66% and 75% chance of winning this prop, and we only have to pay -120 for it. You betcha. The longest field goal of this game will be Over 44.5 Yards (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Michael Vick Over/Under 240.5 Passing Yards
When the Eagles faced the Redskins the first time, all that Joe Buck and Troy Aikman kept mentioning is how bad this Washington secondary really is. They’re a bunch of gamblers there that are prone to giving up the deep ball. After Vick left the game injured in the second quarter, QB Kevin Kolb had no desire to try to push the ball up the field. However, when you’ve got a cannon for an arm, WR DeSean Jackson, and WR Jeremy Maclin to work with, you just absolutely have to use those weapons and test those biting corners. This is a great spot for Vick to really shine and show off his arm. We wouldn’t be all that surprised if he hit three or four real bombs in this game, and in spite of the fact that he might not complete all that many passes, we have confidence that he will use these weapons to the fullest and go Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Will DeSean Jackson Score a Touchdown?
Interesting line here. We tend to want to stay away from these props, as the sportsbooks generally have these right, but this is a big game in which big plays are going to have to be made. Jackson is the best candidate to catch a TD, run for a trick play, or run a kick or punt back the distance as well. Remember, don’t just focus on what the Cal Golden Bear can do as a wide out. Any touchdown that isn’t a passing score does it for us here. Do you really think that Jackson isn’t scoring at least once in the biggest game of Philadelphia’s season? Knowing if he only does it half the time gives us some tremendous profitability, we have no hesitations going with Jackson to Score a TD (+115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) against the Redskins.

Jeremy Maclin Over/Under 54.5 Receiving Yards
Remember the argument that we made for Vick to go ‘over’ his total number of passing yards? We’re going to use the exact same argument that supports Maclin exceeding this relatively low total. One well place deep ball could get Maclin there by itself, and we know that Vick is going to be using him quite a bit in this game. There are no doubts in our minds that Maclin will go Over 54.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

NFL Football Picks: Thursday Night Football Props (11/11/10)

November 11th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   1 Comment »
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The NFL makes its first appearance on Thursday Night Football on the NFL Network this weekend, and there is a doozy of a game that we have to look forward to. The Baltimore Ravens and Atlanta Falcons both are tied atop their respective conferences and have the best records in the NFL at 6-2 apiece. Both teams know that the winner will be by itself in first place in its division, while the loser is slipping back either into a tie out of first place. Check out some of the Thursday Night Football props for one of the biggest nationally televised NFL betting affairs of the season!

Joe Flacco Over/Under 255.5 Passing Yards
This Atlanta secondary is clearly the Achilles heel of the squad this year, as it ranks just No. 26 in the league and is allowing well over 250 yards per game. Flacco is on pace to throw for over 4,000 yards this year, and we all know that he has a dangerous crop of receivers that is only getting healthier with WR Donte Stallworth eligible to come back to the fray this week. HC Jon Harbaugh certainly isn’t an idiot. He knows what he has to do to get the job done against this black and red defense, and if that means putting the ball in the air 35-40 times, then so be it. We have no reservations that Flacco is going Over 255.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Thursday Night Football.

Will Ed Reed Intercept a Pass?
This isn’t a prop that requires much in the way of explanation. The bottom line here is that there is no way that Reed is really intercepting a pass in more than one out of three games that he plays in for the life of his career. Sure, we know that he has three picks in his first two games back in the lineup after recovering from his offseason surgery, but those came against a man that started the year as a backup quarterback (Ryan Fitzpatrick) and one that has now been demoted to a backup quarterback (Chad Henne). Needless to say, QB Matt Ryan is going to do a better job of protecting the pigskin than these two more often than not. If Reed beats us, he beats us. However, we’ll certainly take our chances that he does Not Intercept a Pass (-200 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Matt Ryan Over/Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes
In order for you to throw for two TDs in a game, your team has to score two TDs, right? Sure, Matty Ice and the gang have a high flying offense, and yes, with 13 TD passes in just eight games, we feel like we’re playing with a little bit of fire here with Ryan. However, the Baltimore defense is coming off of a superlative effort against the Miami Dolphins in which it allowed just ten points, and more importantly, just one touchdown. Just like Reed, if Ryan beats us, more power to him. However, we’ll take our chances that more often than not, he’ll end up throwing for Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Michael Jenkins Over/Under 45.5 Receiving Yards
This is the one man that we really like offensively against the Ravens stout ‘D’, and the reason for that is that we aren’t so sure that Baltimore is going to pay all that much attention to where he is on a regular basis. The former Ohio State Buckeye has only been back in the fold three weeks, and he has watched, as 21 balls have traveled his way over those three games. Jenkins is clearly a man that can break some big gainers, and with him getting his feet back underneath him, we have no reason to believe that Flacco won’t force some balls in there to him, and the former Delaware Blue Hen might look for him on some deep routes against the aggressive defense on the other side of the ball as well. Go with Jenkins Over 42.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (11/8/10)

November 8th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (11/8/10)
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The Cincinnati Bengals could have their 2010 NFL betting campaign put on the line on Monday Night Football, as they are taking on their divisional rivals, the Pittsburgh Steelers at home in a huge encounter. We here at Bankroll Sports, have all of our Monday Night Football prop picks available for you for the upcoming MNF tussle.

Terrell Owens Over/Under 67.5 Receiving Yards
The Bengals know that they are going to have to throw the football if they plan on beating this Pittsburgh defense. The interesting question here is whether it is going to be WR Terrell Owens or WR Chad Ochocinco that really gets coverage rolled his way in this one. Either way, the Steelers don’t have the corners to be able to stick with either man. When the lights start rolling on Monday Night Football, you know that Owens wants to be the star of the show. This is the top statistical receiver on the team, and he is going to have no choice but to have a big time game on Monday Night. You’d better get your popcorn ready. TO is going Over 67.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Cedric Benson Over/Under 63.5 Rushing Yards
Benson is having a down year this season, as he only has two total touchdowns to speak of. His rushing total is up there, and at least on the average night, he should have no problem eclipsing this type of a number on the ground. However, let’s be real. This is the Pittsburgh defense that he is running against, not a bunch of rag tag guys just trying to hold on for dear life. The Steelers are out to really punish your running back, and this isn’t going to be an exception. Benson is easily flustered when things aren’t going his way, and with the Steelers averaging allowing less than three yards per carry on the season, it is probably going to take at least 18-20 carries to get Benson to this type of figure. Dream on. The University of Texas standout probably stands little chance in this one, so go with Benson Under 63.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Jordan Shipley Over/Under 3.5 Receptions
Shipley is becoming the receiver du jour for QB Carson Palmer at times, and for good reason. The former Texas Longhorn has great hands, isn’t afraid to go over the middle, and will do all of the dirty work for your team. Consider him like the New England Patriots’ Wes Welker. He’s really the same exact player, just Cincinnati’s form of it. Palmer isn’t going to have much time to figure out how to reach Owens and Ochocinco with deep balls, so we tend to believe that he is going to be forced to check down on those five yard curls and quick slants to the inside. That’s right up Shipley’s alley. As long as Palmer doesn’t try to do too much against this black and gold defense, Shipley should go Over 3.5 Receptions (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Will Ben Roethlisberger Throw an Interception?
These are some absolutely stellar odds that Big Ben isn’t going to get picked off. The Bengals just don’t get enough pressure on opposing quarterbacks for it to really make much of a difference. Cincinnati is dead last in the NFL with just six sacks this year, and at that point, and only thing separating Roethlisberger and a solid game without a blunder is staying away from DB Leon Hall, who leads the team with four INTs on the year. Especially if the Steelers get up early in this game, if you can survive the first half, you’ll have this prop free and easy the rest of the way, as RB Rashard Mendenhall should once again just be pounding the rock in the second half. We’ll say that Roethlisberger does Not Throw an Interception (+160 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (11/1/10)

November 1st, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (11/1/10)
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It could be the biggest game in the history of the Houston Texans and one of the darker days in the last decade for the Indianapolis Colts. First place in the AFC South will be on the line, as the winner of this Monday Night Football betting affair will take over the lead in the division and be in the driver’s seat for the postseason. For Houston, this has never happened in franchise history. Of course, neither has winning a game in Indy, nor has sweeping the Colts. For Indianapolis, a loss would really be damaging to its postseason chances and could mark the beginning of the end of the Colts’ dynasty. You know that we have Monday Night Football props covered in this one, and you aren’t going to want to miss out on any of these great chances to make some coin on MNF.

Peyton Manning Passing Yards Over/Under 300.5
Simply put, this number just couldn’t be high enough for us. Manning is just going to tear this Houston secondary apart just like he did in Week 1 when he threw for well over 400 yards in one of the best passing days of the entire season by a quarterback. Many think that the Texans have the worst secondary in football, and based upon the fact that they are allowing 306.2 yards per game through the air, there is some really good justification for that. Unless the pressure gets to be too tough in the backfield for Manning, there’s no way that he doesn’t reach this number. Of course, nothing ever really ruffles the feathers of No. 18, so there’s no way that we are doing anything but playing Manning Over 300.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Arian Foster Over/Under 99.5 Rushing Yards
Are we certifiably insane here? Foster ran the ball 33 times in Week 1 and had the best rushing day of the season against the Colts, rumbling for 233 yards and three scores! However, we just aren’t so sure about the former Tennessee Volunteer’s chances in this one. Indianapolis has gotten significantly better against the run in recent weeks, and with LT Duane Brown out of the lineup serving a suspension, the Texans are missing perhaps their best run blocker in the lineup. There’s also something significantly different about playing this game from behind than from ahead, and we know that Houston isn’t going to march into Lucas Oil Field and absolutely beat the Colts down physically like they did in Week 1. Foster has a chance of getting to 100 yards on the day, but we tend to think that this is a bet for suckers only. The Texans are a passing team, and they’re going to show it on Monday. Go with Foster Under 99.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Andre Johnson Over/Under 78.5 Receiving Yards
Let’s be real here for a second. Andre Johnson is a man amongst boys on the field, and it seems like he can single handedly take over a game when need be. He is the best player in Houston’s lineup and it isn’t even close, and there is no way that he is going to be taken out of a game like this like he was in Week 1. It’s not that Indy really did anything special to eliminate the Miami Hurricanes standout in the first clash of the year. It’s that the running game was working so well that there was no need to put the pigskin in the air. Don’t be shocked if Johnson gets involved early and often, especially after the bye week that should help heal any nagging wounds that have kept him on the sidelines at times this year. After that huge performance against Kansas City when he single handedly won the game, Johnson should have no problem going Over 78.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Pierre Garcon Over/Under 3.5 Receptions
With TE Dallas Clark out of the lineup and WR Austin Collie considered extremely questionable, we know that someone has to step up to take over the reception load of one of the best tight ends in the game. Normally speaking, we would suggest that WR Anthony Gonzalez would be able to do that, but we aren’t so sure that he’ll be 100% effective even if he is able to start to play again for the first time since the very beginning of last season. We aren’t so sure that Garcon is going to be that man either, but if Manning is going to be throwing 45-50 passes in this game, we are very sure that at least a half dozen of them are heading in the Mount Union product’s direction. We find it very unlikely that Garcon doesn’t go Over 3.5 Receiving Yards (-155 at Hollywood Sportsbook).