Posts Tagged ‘NFL props’

NFL Picks: Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints Predictions 11/5

November 4th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Picks: Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints Predictions 11/5
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Full Eagles @ Saints NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

New Orleans Saints CheerleadersThe New Orleans Saints and Philadelphia Eagles are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 9 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

DeSean Jackson Over/Under 74.5 Receiving Yards: D-Jax hasn’t played the best ball of late, as he only has 14 receptions for 191 yards over the course of his last three games without a trip to the end zone. This is the New Orleans defense that he is going to be playing against though, and this unit has allowed at least 199 yards to opposing wide receivers in all but one game this year (and that came against the lowly Chiefs). There is no reason to think that both Jackson and WR Jeremy Maclin won’t have big time games this week, as these are the two receivers that QB Michael Vick looks at the most. We also like Jackson over 4.5 receptions, but this is the better play, knowing that the speed of Jackson can take one 75 yards on a single play. DeSean Jackson Over 74.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Jeremy Maclin Over/Under 53.5 Receiving Yards: Same premise here with Maclin. The Saints’ secondary is awful. Maclin has gotten over 53.5 receiving yards just twice all season long, and just once since Week 1. Still, we think that he is in for a much better game this time around, and he should have another one of these borderline 100+ yard games. Jeremy Maclin Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Marques Colston Over/Under 77.5 Receiving Yards: With RB Darren Sproles out of the fold, QB Drew Brees is going to have to work hard to get the ball down the field. The problem is that he is going against a very talented secondary for the Eagles, and this unit is going to be tough to crack when push comes to shove. Don’t be all that shocked if Colston will draw the attention of DB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie quite a bit, and that might get Brees to think twice about try to get the ball to the man from Hofstra. There will be better days for Colston than this. Remember that he has only made it to 78 yards twice this entire season to date. Marques Colston Under 77.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Will Jimmy Graham Score a Touchdown?: If there is a Jimmy Graham prop on Monday Night Football this week, we love the ‘over’. Graham is a man that has fallen upon hard times this year because of his bum ankle, but in the end, he is still a dream to have at this position this year. Remember that he had 99 receptions last year and averaged over 80 yards per game, but more important to us right now is the fact that he has scored a touchdown in four of the five games that he has played in from start to finish this year. And, the one game that he didn’t play at all, TE David Thomas had a touchdown. With Sproles out, Graham is probably going to be the security blanket that Brees needs to get the ball to when he is in trouble. We expect to see at least 8 receptions, at least 100 yards, and at least one, if not more trips to the end zone for the Miami Hurricane. Jimmy Graham To Score a Touchdown (-115)

Garrett Hartley Over/Under 6.5 Points: Hartley hasn’t kicked a field goal in two straight games, but what he does routinely do is kick a ton of extra points for New Orleans touchdowns. Granted, we know that it is going to take at least one field goal, and likely at least two to get Hartley to this number, but we have confidence, especially after he had at least two chances in three out of four games to start the year, that he is going to get that opportunity this time around as well against a Philly defense that has a heck of a lot to prove this week. Garrett Hartley Over 6.5 Points (-150)

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Props @ BetOnline Sportsbook (as of 11/5/12):
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Score in the First 5.5 Minutes of the Game -125
No Score in the First 5.5 Minutes of the Game -105

Eagles Score First +105
Saints Score First -135

First Score a Touchdown -210
First Score Not a Touchdown +165

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 50.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 50.5 Yards -115

Michael Vick Completions Over 22.5 -125
Michael Vick Completions Under 22.5 -105

Michael Vick Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Michael Vick Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Michael Vick Passing Yards Over 263.5 -115
Michael Vick Passing Yards Under 263.5 -115

Michael Vick Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -160
Michael Vick Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +130

LeSean McCoy Rushing Yards Over 90.5 -115
LeSean McCoy Rushing Yards Under 90.5 -115

LeSean McCoy Receptions Over 3.5 -140
LeSean McCoy Receptions Under 3.5 +110

LeSean McCoy Scores a Touchdown -185
LeSean McCoy Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +145

DeSean Jackson Receptions Over 4.5 -145
DeSean Jackson Receptions Under 4.5 +115

DeSean Jackson Receiving Yards Over 74.5 -115
DeSean Jackson Receiving Yards Under 74.5 -115

Jeremy Maclin Receiving Yards Over 53.5 -115
Jeremy Maclin Receiving Yards Under 53.5 -115

Jeremy Maclin Scores a Touchdown +140
Jeremy Maclin Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Brent Celek Receptions Over 3.5 -125
Brent Celek Receptions Under 3.5 -105

Brent Celek Receiving Yards Over 49.5 -115
Brent Celek Receiving Yards Under 49.5 -115

Jason Avant Receptions Over 3 +115
Jason Avant Receptions Under 3 -145

DeMeco Ryans Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 6.5 -130
DeMeco Ryans Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 6.5 +100

Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie Intercepts a Pass +250
Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -330

Alex Henery Total Points Over 7.5 +115
Alex Henery Total Points Under 7.5 -140

Drew Brees Completions Over 27.5 -115
Drew Brees Completions Under 27.5 -115

Drew Brees Longest Completion in Yards Over 40.5 -130
Drew Brees Longest Completion in Yards Under 40.5 +100

Drew Brees Passing Yards Over 318.5 -115
Drew Brees Passing Yards Under 318.5 -115

Drew Brees Touchdown Passes Over 2.5 -105
Drew Brees Touchdown Passes Under 2.5 -125

Drew Brees Throws an Interception -260
Drew Brees Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +200

Marques Colston Receptions Over 5.5 -115
Marques Colston Receptions Under 5.5 -115

Marques Colston Receiving Yards Over 77.5 -115
Marques Colston Receiving Yards Under 77.5 -115

Marques Colston Scores a Touchdown -105
Marques Colston Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -125

Lance Moore Receptions Over 4 -125
Lance Moore Receptions Under 4 -105

Lance Moore Receiving Yards Over 65.5 -115
Lance Moore Receiving Yards Under 65.5 -115

Jimmy Graham Receptions Over 5 +100
Jimmy Graham Receptions Under 5 -130

Jimmy Graham Receiving Yards Over 60.5 -115
Jimmy Graham Receiving Yards Under 60.5 -115

Jimmy Graham Scores a Touchdown -115
Jimmy Graham Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Curtis Lofton Total Tackles Over 8.5 -125
Curtis Lofton Total Tackles Under 8.5 -105

Garrett Hartley Total Points Over 6.5 -150
Garrett Hartley Total Points Under 6.5 +120

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Buccaneers vs. Vikings Props & Picks 10/25

October 25th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Buccaneers vs. Vikings Props & Picks 10/25
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Full Buccaneers vs. Vikings NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Christian Ponder VikingsThe Minnesota Vikings and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 8 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Christian Ponder Touchdown Passes Over/Under 1.5: When you look at the Tampa Bay secondary, you immediately think that this unit is atrocious, allowing 323.0 yards per game. However, if you take out QB Eli Manning and QB Drew Brees, who threw for over 900 yards and seven scores against this unit, what is left is a group that has allowed a grand total of just one touchdown pass this year. Ponder has nine touchdowns on the season, but he is more likely to turn around and give the ball to RB Adrian Peterson on the goal line than he is to try to throw the ball. This just doesn’t feel like a great matchup for the Minnesota passing game, and the ground game probably is going to find more success. Barring WR Percy Harvin busting a short pass for a long gainer, we don’t see many other ways that Ponder is going to have a shot at getting to two touchdown passes more often than not. Christian Ponder Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes (-110)

Minnesota Vikings Total Points Over/Under 24.5: Again, we’re back to supporting the Tampa Bay defense in this one. This unit was scorched by Brees and Manning, but no other team has scored more than 24 points against this unit on the campaign. The Minnesota offense looks like it is averaging 23.9 points per game this year, but when you take out the three defensive or special teams touchdowns, that number plummets down to just 20.9 points per game. Only three games this year have the Vikes reached 25 points, and this doesn’t figure to be another one of those games when push comes to shove. Minnesota Vikings Under 24.5 Points (-115)

Vincent Jackson Over/Under 4.5 Receptions: Jackson is getting a lot of play right now thanks to the fact that he just had seven catches for 216 yards and one touchdown (and one should have been touchdown) last week against the Saints. However, we have to remember that Tampa Bay is a run first team, not a throw first team. Jackson has had a number of games this year in which he hasn’t even gotten six targets, and with the way that QB Josh Freeman throws the football, it is like going to take at least six or seven for him to get to five receptions. Last week’s game aside, Jackson has been a relatively average receiver that is putting up WR2 numbers, not the numbers of a bona fide No. 1. Jackson Under 4.5 Receptions (+120)

Blair Walsh Over/Under 8.5 Points: The rookie out of Georgia has a huge leg, and there isn’t much in the way of a field goal attempt that he wouldn’t hit significantly more often than not. However, the Tampa Bay defense has allowed just two kickers to account for more than five points this year. We’re not saying that Walsh can’t be the exception to the rule, especially knowing that both K Dan Bailey and K Lawrence Tynes did this against Tampa Bay with the Bucs on the road, and this is only their third road game of the season. However, scoring 8.5 points is a ton, and it is going to take probably three field goals for it to happen more often than not. Blair Walsh Under 8.5 Points (-115)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 10/25/12):
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Score in the First 7 Minutes of the Game -135
No Score in the First 7 Minutes of the Game +105

Buccaneers Score First +130
Vikings Score First -160

First Score a Touchdown -160
First Score Not a Touchdown +130

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 41.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 41.5 Yards -115

Josh Freeman Completions Over 19.5 -130
Josh Freeman Completions Under 19.5 +100

Josh Freeman Longest Completion Over 39.5 Yards -115
Josh Freeman Longest Completion Under 39.5 Yards -115

Josh Freeman Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -150
Josh Freeman Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +120

Josh Freeman To Throw an Interception -220
Josh Freeman To Not Throw an Interception +170

Doug Martin Rushing Yards Over 65.5 -115
Doug Martin Rushing Yards Under 65.5 -115

Doug Martin Scores a Touchdown +130
Doug Martin Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -160

Vincent Jackson Receptions Over 4.5 -150
Vincent Jackson Receptions Under 4.5 +120

Vincent Jackson Receiving Yards Over 80.5 -115
Vincent Jackson Receiving Yards Under 80.5 -115

Vincent Jackson Scores a Touchdown +120
Vincent Jackson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

Mike Williams Receptions Over 3.5 -150
Mike Williams Receptions Under 3.5 +120

Mike Williams Receiving Yards Over 58.5 -115
Mike Williams Receiving Yards Under 58.5 -115

Dallas Clark Receptions Over 3 -115
Dallas Clark Receptions Under 3 -115

Dallas Clark Scores a Touchdown +190
Dallas Clark Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -250

Mason Foster Total Tackles Over 7.5 -115
Mason Foster Total Tackles Under 7.5 -115

Lavonte David Total Tackles Over 7.5 -140
Lavonte David Total Tackles Under 7.5 +110

Ronde Barber Intercepts a Pass +270
Ronde Barber Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -350

Connor Barth Total Points Over 7.5 +100
Connor Barth Total Points Under 7.5 -130

Christian Ponder Completions Over 20.5 -130
Christian Ponder Completions Under 20.5 +100

Christian Ponder Longest Completion Over 33.5 Yards -115
Christian Ponder Longest Completion Under 33.5 Yards -115

Christian Ponder Passing Yards Over 222.5 -115
Christian Ponder Passing Yards Under 222.5 -115

Christian Ponder Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -120
Christian Ponder Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -110

Christian Ponder Throws an Interception -200
Christian Ponder Doesn’t Throw an Interception +160

Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards Over 90.5 -115
Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards Under 90.5 -115

Adrian Peterson Receptions Over 3 -115
Adrian Peterson Receptions Under 3 -115

Adrian Peterson Scores a Touchdown -160
Adrian Peterson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +130

Percy Harvin Receptions Over 6.5 -130
Percy Harvin Receptions Under 6.5 +100

Percy Harvin Receiving Yards Over 85.5 -115
Percy Harvin Receiving Yards Under 85.5 -115

Percy Harvin Scores a Touchdown +105
Percy Harvin Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -135

Chad Greenway Total Tackles Over 8.5 -125
Chad Greenway Total Tackles Under 8.5 +105

Antoine Winfield Total Tackles Over 7.5 -105
Antoine Winfield Total Tackles Under 7.5 -125

Antoine Winfield Intercepts a Pass +270
Antoine Winfield Doesn’t Intercept a Pass -350

Blair Walsh Total Points Over 8.5 -115
Blair Walsh Total Points Under 8.5 -115

NFL Prop Picks: Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Predictions 10/22/12

October 21st, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Predictions 10/22/12
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Full Lions @ Bears NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Lions vs. BearsThe Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 7 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Robbie Gould Total Points Over/Under 9.5 : Are we really reading this properly? 9.5 points for a kicker in a game is absolutely insane, knowing that is going to take at least three field goals for the job to get done (unless Chicago plans on scoring four touchdowns or the kicker plans on scoring a touchdown or something absurd like that). We understand that the Bears’ kicker has had games this year of 11, 4, 11, 10, and 11 points, but let’s be realistic. First off, Gould is going to miss a kick every now and again, something that he has yet to do all season long, and if you think that Chicago is going to score four touchdowns or more in 60% of their games as they are doing this year, you’re out of your skull. This is just an insanely high number, especially knowing that this game is likely going to be played in rainy conditions and on a wet field. Robbie Gould Total Points Under 9.5 (-130)

Brian Urlacher Total Tackles Over/Under 5.5: We aren’t so sure whether we like Urlacher’s ‘under’ better or LB Lance Briggs ‘over’. Odds have it, both are going to be sound plays. Urlacher is clearly a step behind where he used to be, and he really looks like nothing more than a “pretty good” middle linebacker. He has to spend more plays on the sidelines now than he has had to do in the past, and as a result, he doesn’t have a single game this year in which he has more than five tackles. Sure, the time is going to come when Urlacher has an eight-tackle game or something of the sorts, and this very well could be that game. But we have to remember that this is all about playing the percentages, and the percentages most certainly say that Urlacher is going to be stuck at five tackles or fewer a whole heck of a lot more often than not. Brian Urlacher Total Tackles Under 5.5 (-130)

Kellen Davis Receiving Yards Over/Under 25.5: Davis might get some more publicity this week for two reasons for the Bears. For starters, he is one of the three people on the team that are expected to be active that have at least eight receptions on the season. One is WR Brandon Marshall, who is going to draw all sorts of attention, and one is RB Matt Forte. The rest of the massive receivers that QB Jay Cutler have to work with are out of the fold, namely WR Johnny Knox and WR Alshon Jeffrey, but in the end, Davis might emerge as a legitimate threat. In each of the last four games this year, Davis has had at least 20 receiving yards, though he has struggled to reach this threshold. Our argument is that there should be at least a couple more pass attempts thrown his way on Monday, and if that turns out to be the case, Davis should be able to get to at least 30 yards receiving more often than not. Kellen Davis Receiving Yards Over 25.5 (+100)

Jason Hanson Total Points Over/Under 9.5: Here we go again with these insane kicking props. We’ll keep this brief, as the explanation really is the same for Hanson as it was for Gould. Yes, Hanson has three games this year with at least four field goals made, but the time is coming that that is just going to stop. He is on a pace to boot 51 field goals this year, and that would smash the NFL record by seven field goals. Last year, Hanson only had 24 field goals and 29 field goal attempts in 16 games. He just won’t be able to keep up at this pace for the whole campaign under any circumstance. Jason Hanson Total Points Under 9.5 (-115)

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears NFL Props @ BetOnline Sportsbook (as of 10/22/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -115
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -115

Lions Score First +130
Bears Score First -160

First Score a Touchdown -175
First Score Not a Touchdown +145

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 45.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 45.5 Yards -115

Matthew Stafford Completions Over 25.5 -125
Matthew Stafford Completions Under 25.5 -105

Matthew Stafford Longest Completion Over 39.5 Yards -115
Matthew Stafford Longest Completion Under 39.5 Yards -115

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Over 280.5 -115
Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Under 280.5 -115

Matthew Stafford Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -140
Matthew Stafford Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +110

Matthew Stafford Throws an Interception -240
Matthew Stafford Doesn’t Throw an Interception +180

Mikel Leshoure Rushing Yards Over 62.5 -115
Mikel Leshoure Rushing Yards Under 62.5 -115

Mikel Leshoure Scores a Touchdown +150
Mikel Leshoure Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -190

Calvin Johnson Receptions Over 6.5 -115
Calvin Johnson Receptions Under 6.5 -115

Calvin Johnson Longest Yardage Receptions Over 33.5 -115
Calvin Johnson Longest Yardage Receptions Under 33.5 -115

Calvin Johnson Receiving Yards Over 95.5 -115
Calvin Johnson Receiving Yards Under 95.5 -115

Calvin Johnson Scores a Touchdown -115
Calvin Johnson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -115

Nate Burleson Receptions Over 4.5 -115
Nate Burleson Receptions Under 4.5 -115

Nate Burleson Receiving Yards Over 48.5 -115
Nate Burleson Receiving Yards Under 48.5 -115

Tony Scheffler Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Tony Scheffler Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Ndamukong Suh Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 2.5 -115
Ndamukong Suh Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 2.5 -115

Jason Hanson Total Points Over 9.5 -115
Jason Hanson Total Points Under 9.5 -115

Jay Cutler Completions Over 20 -130
Jay Cutler Completions Under 20 +100

Jay Cutler Passing Yards Over 250.5 -115
Jay Cutler Passing Yards Under 250.5 -115

Jay Cutler Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -150
Jay Cutler Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +120

Jay Cutler Throws an Interception -200
Jay Cutler Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +160

Matt Forte Total Rushing + Receiving Yards Over 108.5 -115
Matt Forte Total Rushing + Receiving Yards Under 108.5 -115

Matt Forte Scores a Touchdown -140
Matt Forte Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +110

Brandon Marshall Receptions Over 6.5 -115
Brandon Marshall Receptions Under 6.5 -115

Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Over 90.5 -115
Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Under 90.5 -115

Brandon Marshall Scores a Touchdown -125
Brandon Marshall Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -105

Alshon Jeffrey Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Alshon Jeffrey Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Alshon Jeffrey Receiving Yards Over 33.5 -115
Alshon Jeffrey Receiving Yards Under 33.5 -115

Kellen Davis Receiving Yards Over 25.5 +100
Kellen Davis Receiving Yards Under 25.5 -130

Lance Briggs Total Tackles Over 5.5 +100
Lance Briggs Total Tackles Under 5.5 -130

Brian Urlacher Total Tackles Over 5.5 +100
Brian Urlacher Total Tackles Under 5.5 -130

Julius Peppers Total Tackles Over 2.5 -140
Julius Peppers Total Tackles Under 2.5 +110

Charles Tillman Intercepts a Pass +240
Charles Tillman Does Not Intercept a Pass -320

Robbie Gould Total Points Over 9.5 +100
Robbie Gould Total Points Under 9.5 -130

Thursday Night NFL Picks: Seahawks vs. 49ers Prop Predictions 10/18

October 18th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Thursday Night NFL Picks: Seahawks vs. 49ers Prop Predictions 10/18
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Full Seahawks vs. 49ers NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Golden TateThe San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 7 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial Thursday Night Football matchup.

Zach Miller Receptions Over/Under 2.5: It’s not often that we really like to use fantasy football stats to tell us how to make our bets, but in this case, we’re going to make an exception. Miller has had eight targets over the course of the last three weeks, and he has caught all eight passes. The likelihood of that continuing really is slim to none, especially against a San Francisco defense that ranks eighth in the entire NFL at defending the tight end. Miller is really looked at in short yardage and goal to go situations, but there don’t figure to be all that many of those when push comes to shove. As a result, we have to think about going with Miller’s ‘under’ as a sharp play. Zach Miller Receptions Under 2.5 (-115)

Will Alex Smith Throw an Interception?: Smith was picked off three times last week, and Head Coach Jim Harbaugh did as much as admit the fact that some plays were called that were asking Smith to do more than what he really should have been comfortable doing. This is a team that prides itself on taking care of the ball and playing good defense, and though the sledding could be tough on the ground and Smith is going to have to throw the ball some, we don’t think that he is going to be in a position where he ends up getting picked off more often than not in this game. Remember that Smith only threw five interceptions, and three of his four picks this year came last week. It’s ridiculous that Smith is an underdog to not throw an interception. Alex Smith to Not Throw an Interception (+130)

Will Vernon Davis Score a Touchdown?: This is another one of these percentage props that we love to play, though we know that more often than not, we are going to end up losing them. When they win, they win big. Davis hasn’t had a touchdown now in three straight games, and that’s after getting four trips to the end zone in his first three games this year. However, his targets aren’t down, his receptions are only down a hair, and those are largely in games that have been over by halftime that haven’t required all that many passes coming off of the arm of QB Alex Smith. Davis is still going to be a huge threat against a defense that is aggressive, and not only do we like his chances of getting some love near the red zone, but he could break a long one as well. Vernon Davis to Score a Touchdown +130

David Akers Over/Under 7.5 Points: Akers has consistently been one of the best kickers in the NFL over the course of the last several years, though over the course of the last few weeks he has struggled, making just 4-of-8 attempts. Still, the 49ers are a team that play it close to the vest, and that means quite a few field goal attempts. We’d like to think that tonight, against a sound Seattle defense, that will be the case once again when push comes to shove. Take Akers to get to at least eight points in this one, as that means that the 49ers will get to at least 20 points. David Akers Over 7.5 Points (-130)

Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Props @ JustBet Sportsbook (as of 10/18/12):
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Score in the First 7 Minutes of the Game -115
No Score in the First 7 Minutes of the Game -115

Seahawks Score First +145
49ers Score First -175

First Score a Touchdown -130
First Score Not a Touchdown +100

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 37.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 37.5 Yards -115

Russell Wilson Completions Over 17 -130
Russell Wilson Completions Under 17 +100

Russell Wilson Longest Completion Over 34.5 Yards -115
Russell Wilson Longest Completion Under 34.5 Yards -115

Russell Wilson Passing Yards Over 200.5 -115
Russell Wilson Passing Yards Under 200.5 -115

Russell Wilson Total Touchdown Passes + Interceptions Over 2.5 +160
Russell Wilson Total Touchdown Passes + Interceptions Under 2.5 -200

Russell Wilson Rushing Attempts Over 5.5 +100
Russell Wilson Rushing Attempts Under 5.5 -130

Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards Over 75.5 -115
Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards Under 75.5 -115

Marshawn Lynch Scores a Touchdown +130
Marshawn Lynch Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -160

Golden Tate Receptions Over 3 -115
Golden Tate Receptions Under 3 -115

Golden Tate Scores a Touchdown +170
Golden Tate Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -220

Sidney Rice Receptions Over 3.5 -115
Sidney Rice Receptions Under 3.5 -115

Sidney Rice Receiving Yards Over 51.5 -115
Sidney Rice Receiving Yards Under 51.5 -115

Doug Baldwin Receptions Over 2.5 +100
Doug Baldwin Receptions Under 2.5 -130

Doug Baldwin Receiving Yards Over 33.5 -115
Doug Baldwin Receiving Yards Under 33.5 -115

Zach Miller Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Zach Miller Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Steven Hauschka Total Points Over 6.5 -130
Steven Hauschka Total Points Under 6.5 +100

Alex Smith Completions Over 19 -130
Alex Smith Completions Under 19 +100

Alex Smith Longest Completion Over 35.5 Yards -115
Alex Smith Longest Completion Under 35.5 Yards -115

Alex Smith Passing Yards Over 222.5 -115
Alex Smith Passing Yards Under 222.5 -115

Alex Smith Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +130
Alex Smith Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -160

Alex Smith Throws an Interception -160
Alex Smith Doesn’t Throw an Interception +1330

Frank Gore Rushing Yards Over 67.5 -115
Frank Gore Rushing Yards Under 67.5 -115

Frank Gore Scores a Touchdown +120
Frank Gore Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

Michael Crabtree Receptions Over 4.5 -115
Michael Crabtree Receptions Under 4.5 -115

Michael Crabtree Receiving Yards Over 60.5 -115
Michael Crabtree Receiving Yards Under 60.5 -115

Michael Crabtree Scores a Touchdown +140
Michael Crabtree Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Randy Moss Receptions Over 2.5 +110
Randy Moss Receptions Under 2.5 -140

Randy Moss Longest Reception Over 22.5 Yards -115
Randy Moss Longest Reception Under 22.5 Yards -115

Vernon Davis Receptions Over 4.5 -125
Vernon Davis Receptions Under 4.5 -105

Vernon Davis Receiving Yards Over 56.5 -115
Vernon Davis Receiving Yards Under 56.5 -115

Vernon Davis Scores a Touchdown +130
Vernon Davis Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -160

Mario Manningham Receptions Over 3.5 -130
Mario Manningham Receptions Under 3.5 +100

Mario Manningham Receiving Yards Over 47.5 -115
Mario Manningham Receiving Yards Under 47.5 -115

Navorro Bowman Total Tackles Over 8.5 -130
Navorro Bowman Total Tackles Under 8.5 +100

Patrick Willis Total Tackles Over 8.5 +100
Patrick Willis Total Tackles Under 8.5 -130

David Akers Total Points Over 7.5 -130
David Akers Total Points Under 7.5 +100

NFL Prop Picks: Denver Broncos vs. San Diego Chargers Tips 10/15

October 13th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Denver Broncos vs. San Diego Chargers Tips 10/15
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Full Broncos @ Chargers NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

Broncos vs. ChargersThe San Diego Chargers and Denver Broncos are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 6 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Will the First Score Be a Touchdown or Field Goal?: This is just some simple math. The Broncos have scored 16 touchdowns against seven field goals this year. San Diego has 13 touchdowns and 12 field goals. Now just do some quick math. That’s 29 touchdowns and 19 field goals. Considering how badly QB Peyton Manning has played against the Chargers in his career (more on that in a second), some of those touchdown drives for the Broncos very well could turn into field goal drives. All we need is the first one to be that way around 40% of the time, and we’re going to be winners. First Score a Field Goal or Safety (+160)

Peyton Manning Over/Under 285.5 Passing Yards: Manning has averaged 304.0 passing yards per game in his career against the Chargers over the course of seven games. He has completed just 60.8 percent of his passes against them though, and he has a woeful quarterback rating of just 72.5 against them. Remember that this isn’t nearly the same Manning that had all of those great receiving options in Indianapolis. Yes, this Peyton Manning has averaged 299.8 passing yards per game this year, but there is a reason that this number has been lined a tad lower than these numbers that you see. The Chargers rank No. 20 in the NFL is passing, but they should be able to hold Manning under this very, very lofty passing total for Manning, who would much rather keep the football on the ground. Peyton Manning Passing Yards Under 285.5 (-115)

Will Joel Dreessen Score a Touchdown?: Dreessen is a nice little story this year, and he does have three trips to the end zone in five games. However, one of those touchdowns came on a pass which was never even intended for him and ended up just more or less falling into his hands. Dreessen only has 11 catches this year, and he clearly isn’t a threat to score a touchdown from anywhere more than a dozen or so yards away from the end zone. The Chargers haven’t allowed much to opposing tight ends this year, including just a pair of touchdowns over the course of the first five games of the campaign. It seems a heck of a lot more likely that TE Jacob Tamme scores than Dreessen, and we think that this prop is overstated. Joel Dreessen Doesn’t Score a Touchdown (-180)

Philip Rivers Passing Yards Over/Under 285.5: Once again, this is a very high number against a secondary that has some real talent in it. Rivers has had luck in his career against the Broncos, and there is no doubt that he is going to be asked to put the ball in the air quite a bit again in this one. However, Rivers has a running game at his disposal now with RB Ryan Mathews being back in the lineup and trusted with the football, and that is going to take some of the pressure off indeed. Rivers might come up near this number, but when push comes to shove, asking him to throw for over 286 yards would be averaging 4,500+ yards for a season. Rivers just isn’t going to be able to do that in all likelihood, especially knowing that he is averaging just 250.2 yards per game thus far on the campaign. Philip Rivers Passing Yards Under 285.5 (-115)

Denver Broncos vs. San Diego Chargers NFL Props @ BetOnline Sportsbook (as of 10/15/12):
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Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -120
No Score in the First 6 Minutes of the Game -110

Broncos Score First -115
Chargers Score First -115

First Score a Touchdown -200
First Score Not a Touchdown +160

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 48.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 48.5 Yards -115

Peyton Manning Completions Over 24.5 -130
Peyton Manning Completions Under 24.5 +100

Peyton Manning Longest Completion Over 39.5 Yards -115
Peyton Manning Longest Completion Under 39.5 Yards -115

Peyton Manning Passing Yards Over 285.5 -115
Peyton Manning Passing Yards Under 285.5 -115

Peyton Manning Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -200
Peyton Manning Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +160

Peyton Manning Throws an Interception -180
Peyton Manning Doesn’t Throw an Interception +140

Willis McGahee Rushing Yards Over 66.5 -115
Willis McGahee Rushing Yards Under 66.5 -115

Willis McGahee Scores a Touchdown +115
Willis McGahee Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -145

Demaryius Thomas Receptions Over 5 -115
Demaryius Thomas Receptions Under 5 -115

Demaryius Thomas Receiving Yards Over 85.5 -115
Demaryius Thomas Receiving Yards Under 85.5 -115

Demaryius Thomas Scores a Touchdown +105
Demaryius Thomas Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -125

Eric Decker Receptions Over 4.5 -130
Eric Decker Receptions Under 4.5 +100

Eric Decker Receiving Yards Over 62.5 -115
Eric Decker Receiving Yards Under 62.5 -115

Brandon Stokley Receptions Over 2.5 -140
Brandon Stokley Receptions Under 2.5 +110

Brandon Stokley Receiving Yards Over 34.5 -115
Brandon Stokley Receiving Yards Under 34.5 -115

Jacob Tamme Receptions Over 3.5 -150
Jacob Tamme Receptions Under 3.5 +120

Jacob Tamme Receiving Yards Over 40.5 -115
Jacob Tamme Receiving Yards Under 40.5 -115

Joel Dreessen Receptions Over 2.5 -105
Joel Dreessen Receptions Under 2.5 -125

Joel Dreessen Scores a Touchdown +145
Joel Dreessen Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -185

Wesley Woodyard Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 7.5 +100
Wesley Woodyard Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 7.5 -130

Matt Prater Total Points Over 7.5 +100
Matt Prater Total Points Under 7.5 -130

Philip Rivers Completions Over 22.5 -125
Philip Rivers Completions Under 22.5 -105

Philip Rivers Passing Yards Over 285.5 -115
Philip Rivers Passing Yards Under 285.5 -115

Philip Rivers Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -160
Philip Rivers Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +130

Philip Rivers Throws an Interception -240
Philip Rivers Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +180

Ryan Mathews Rushing Yards Over 75.5 -115
Ryan Mathews Rushing Yards Under 75.5 -115

Ryan Mathews Scores a Touchdown +115
Ryan Mathews Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -145

Malcom Floyd Receptions Over 4.5 +110
Malcom Floyd Receptions Under 4.5 -140

Malcom Floyd Receiving Yards Over 70.5 -115
Malcom Floyd Receiving Yards Under 70.5 -115

Malcom Floyd Scores a Touchdown +140
Malcom Floyd Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Robert Meachem Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Robert Meachem Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Robert Meachem Longest Reception Over 27.5 Yards -115
Robert Meachem Longest Reception Under 27.5 Yards -115

Antonio Gates Receptions Over 4 -150
Antonio Gates Receptions Under 4 +120

Antonio Gates Receiving Yards Over 55.5 -115
Antonio Gates Receiving Yards Under 55.5 -115

Eddie Royal Receptions Over 2.5 -115
Eddie Royal Receptions Under 2.5 -115

Takeo Spikes Total Tackles Over 5.5 +115
Takeo Spikes Total Tackles Under 5.5 -145

Nick Novak Total Points Over 7.5 -120
Nick Novak Total Points Under 7.5 -110

NFL Prop Picks: Houston Texans vs. New York Jets Predictions 10/8

October 8th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Prop Picks: Houston Texans vs. New York Jets Predictions 10/8
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Full Texans @ Jets NFL Prop Sheet Listed Below

The New York Jets and Houston Texans are set to continue the 2012 NFL season, and as a part of our analysis of the Week 5 betting lines, we are taking a look at some of the best NFL props on the board for this crucial primetime fight.

Longest Touchdown Over/Under 40.5 Yards: The Jets sure as heck aren’t driving down the field and scoring all that many touchdowns in this game, so if they are going to get the job done and get into the end zone, it is going to come from quite a ways out. Houston meanwhile, has all of the cards in its control on Monday, knowing that it can spread the field and attack this Jets secondary, which is severely depleted. We saw Head Coach Gary Kubiak go after DB Champ Bailey and DB Tracy Porter of the Denver Broncos time and time again two weeks ago, and that might be the game plan again in this one. Look for QB Matt Schaub to find one of his streaking receivers down the field at some point for a long score. We think there will be a couple of these big ones that hit the board when push comes to shove on Monday. Longest Touchdown Over 40.5 Yards (-115)

Arian Foster Total Rushing Yards Over/Under 103.5: We might be certifiably insane to go against Foster in a game like this one, but we think that Houston is going to air it out a bit more. RB Ben Tate is likely out of the fold, and he is certainly in the doghouse, but Kubiak wants to keep Foster fresh, meaning he probably won’t touch the ball more than 25 times as he has done at times this year. The problem for the New York defense has actually been stopping the run this year, as it has set up the secondary to get crushed for long passes. Still, Foster isn’t going to rush for a number this big more often than not in this type of a spot, especially in a game where Houston might prove to be a tad sluggish offensively. Arian Foster Rushing Yards Under 103.5 (-115)

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Mark Sanchez Total Passing Yards Over/Under 205.5: The Houston secondary is holding teams down to just 182.8 passing yards per game this year, and though there haven’t been a lot of the big time quarterbacks on the schedule yet, it isn’t like Sanchez is all that much better than Ryan Tannehill or Blaine Gabbert. The man they call “The Sanchise” has thrown for 103, 306, and 138 yards over the course of the last three weeks, and in spite of the fact that Head Coach Rex Ryan is sticking with the man from USC as his quarterback, the pressure has to be mounting that the time is near for QB Tim Tebow to get the call. The truth of the matter is that we don’t think Sanchez makes it through the third quarter before getting replaced, and especially in a game where he won’t have WR Santonio Holmes, WR Stephen Hill, or TE Dustin Keller. Mark Sanchez Under 205.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Shonn Greene Rushing Yards Over/Under 55.5: Greene almost certainly has to get 15-20 carries in this game, unless he is replaced by RB Bilal Powell at some point. The problem that we see with Greene though, is that he is in a time share and has lost control of that time split at this point. Sure, while the Jets are still in this game and not playing catch up, it’ll be Greene that gets the majority of the time. However, even with 20 carries, getting 55 yards against this Houston defense isn’t a guarantee. We’re not taking our chances. Too many bad things could happen on Monday to Greene. Shonn Greene Rushing Yards Under 55.5 (-115)

Houston Texans vs. New York Jets NFL Props @ BetOnline Sportsbook (as of 10/8/12):
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Score in the First 7 Minutes of the Game -135
No Score in the First 7 Minutes of the Game +105

Texans Score First -190
Jets Score First +155

First Score a Touchdown -150
First Score Not a Touchdown +120

Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 40.5 Yards -115
Longest Touchdown of the Game Under 40.5 Yards -115

Matt Schaub Completions Over 20 -130
Matt Schaub Completions Under 20 +100

Matt Schaub Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards -115
Matt Schaub Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards -115

Matt Schaub Passing Yards Over 240.5 -115
Matt Schaub Passing Yards Under 240.5 -115

Matt Schaub Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 -130
Matt Schaub Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 +100

Matt Schaub Throws an Interception -180
Matt Schaub Doesn’t Throw an Interception +140

Arian Foster Rushing Yards Over 103.5 -115
Arian Foster Rushing Yards Under 103.5 -115

Arian Foster Scores a Touchdown -180
Arian Foster Doesn’t Score a Touchdown +140

Andre Johnson Receptions Over 5 -130
Andre Johnson Receptions Under 5 +100

Andre Johnson Receiving Yards Over 76.5 -115
Andre Johnson Receiving Yards Under 76.5 -115

Andre Johnson Scores a Touchdown +120
Andre Johnson Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -150

Kevin Walter Receptions Over 3 +120
Kevin Walter Receptions Under 3 -150

Kevin Walter Scores a Touchdown +200
Kevin Walter Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -260

Owen Daniels Receptions Over 4 -120
Owen Daniels Receptions Under 4 -110

Owen Daniels Receiving Yards Over 55.5 -115
Owen Daniels Receiving Yards Under 55.5 -115

Owen Daniels Scores a Touchdown +140
Owen Daniels Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

James Casey Receptions Over 3 +110
James Casey Reception Under 3 -140

Brian Cushing Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 7.5 -105
Brian Cushing Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 7.5 -125

Shayne Graham Total Points Over 7.5 -115
Shayne Graham Total Points Under 7.5 -115

Mark Sanchez Completions Over 18 -115
Mark Sanchez Completions Under 18 -115

Mark Sanchez Passing Yards Over 205.5 -115
Mark Sanchez Passing Yards Under 205.5 -115

Mark Sanchez Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 +140
Mark Sanchez Touchdown Passes Under 1.5 -180

Mark Sanchez Throws an Interception -250
Mark Sanchez Doesn’t Thrown an Interception +190

Shonn Greene Rushing Yards Over 52.5 -115
Shonn Greene Rushing Yards Under 52.5 -115

Shonn Greene Scores a Touchdown +140
Shonn Greene Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -180

Tim Tebow Yards on First Rushing Attempt Over 4.5 +100
Tim Tebow Yards on First Rushing Attempt Under 4.5 -130

Jeremy Kerley Receptions Over 3.5 -115
Jeremy Kerley Receptions Under 3.5 -115

Jeremy Kerley Scores a Touchdown +170
Jeremy Kerley Doesn’t Score a Touchdown -220

Chaz Schilens Receptions Over 2.5 -150
Chaz Schilens Receptions Under 2.5 +120

Stephen Hill Yards on First Reception Over 11.5 -115
Stephen Hill Yards on First Reception Under 11.5 -115

David Harris Solo + Assisted Tackles Over 8.5 -125
David Harris Solo + Assisted Tackles Under 8.5 -105

Nick Folk Total Points Over 7.5 +115
Nick Folk Total Points Under 7.5 -145

2012 NFL Prop Picks – Week 5 Fantasy Football Sleepers

October 7th, 2012 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2012 NFL Prop Picks – Week 5 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Andrew Luck ColtsHere at Bankroll Sports, we aren’t just interested in the gambling world, but the fantasy football world as well. Join us for our Week 5 fantasy football picks, including a heck of a lot of sleepers that might be worth playing throughout the weekend.

Rueben Randle, New York Giants vs. Cleveland Browns: Once again, we know that the passing yards have to be going somewhere from QB Eli Manning, and knowing that WR Victor Cruz is going to draw all of the attention might let the rookie out of LSU finally take some major steps in the right direction for the first time in his career. Randle is one of these players, much like Ramses Barden did two weeks ago, that can come out of absolutely nowhere this week and put together eight catches, 100 yards, and a score very easily against a Cleveland seconday that ranks 30th in the NFL against opposing wide receivers.

Nick Novak, San Diego Chargers vs. New Orleans Saints: It’s not often that we take the time to talk about kickers here with our fantasy football talk, but this is a case where you can probably get a guy off of the waiver wire in your fantasy football league that can really step it up and make some big time kicks for you. Novak is kicking in a dome this week for the Chargers, a team that routinely does find ways to put some points on the board, in a game that very well could be a shootout. The Bolts have had troubles pounding the ball into the end zone at times, and they are going against a New Orleans defense that ranks 31st in the NFL against opposing kickers. Only once this year did they hold a kicker under 10 fantasy points. Novak might be a sneaky play, just as K Ryan Succop was a few weeks ago for the Chiefs in this same situation.

Kendall Hunter, San Francisco 49ers vs. Buffalo Bills: By all accounts, this week’s game for the Niners against Buffalo should be a blowout, just like last week’s 34-0 win over the Jets turned out to be. Hunter is going against a ‘D’ that just allowed not just one, but two different men to rush for over 100 yards against it, and we just don’t see how that type of play is going to change. Many are in a bye week pinch this week with running backs, and this could be the perfect time to slot in Hunter, who we know is going to get his 15-20 snaps on the field regardless of whether the game is a blowout or not.

Justin Forsett, Houston Texans vs. New York Jets: The same type of thing here. If you’re in a bye week pinch, Forsett might be a sneaky man to plug in. RB Arian Foster isn’t going to see his carries go up with RB Ben Tate out of the fold, as Head Coach Gary Kubiak wants to really keep his carries down. That means that it will be Forsett who gets to carry the ball behind this massive offensive line that is just provide massive holes that mack trucks could run through. If the Texans get ahead, as is expected, Forsett might get even more than the 6-8 carries that he would figure to get in a close game. A touchdown isn’t out of the question.

Matt Hasselbeck, Tennessee Titans vs. Minnesota Vikings: Hasselbeck was a wreck last week when he came off of the bench against the Houston Texans, but the truth of the matter is that Houston has one of the best defenses in the league. QB Jake Locker has already been ruled out for this week, and that leaves the vet to take on the Vikes in a much different situation. This game is in a dome, and it comes against a team that has a history of having a terrible secondary. We’re afraid that Hasselbeck might get killed in the pocket, getting sacked by a defense that could be all over the place. It might be an ugly day that looks a lot like a prototypical Jake Plummer day where he throws for 350 yards, 2 TDs, and 3 picks, but if you’re in a bye week pinch, that would translate out to 18 points, and that’s a heck of a respectable day.

Other Fantasy Football Sleeper Options For Week 5

Bernard Pierce, Baltimore Ravens: If the Chiefs get blown away in this game, something that is a distinct possibility, Pierce could get himself 10-12 carries in this game against a terrible defense.

Minnesota Vikings D/ST: DE Jared Allen is due for a 3+ sack day, and as we saw last week, you never know when WR Percy Harvin is going to return a kick 105 yards for a touchdown.

Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings: Rudolph is likely to get in the end zone this week against a Tennessee defense that has allowed just a slew of touchdowns to opposing tight ends this year.

Harry Douglas, Atlanta Falcons: It’s a deep flex play, but Douglas as a third receiver might be in for a huge day against a Washington defense that has had problems guarding slot receivers this year.

Jacob Tamme, Denver Broncos: Tamme has had two games this year with at least five catches, and New England has given up three TDs to tight ends in the last two weeks combined. Joel Dreessen might also make a decent start if you’re in a tight end pinch.