Posts Tagged ‘NFL props’

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 12 Fantasy Football Sleepers

November 25th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 12 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 12!

Michael Jenkins vs. Atlanta Falcons
This is going to be an interesting week for the Minnesota offense without RB Adrian Peterson in the fold. WR Percy Harvin could be used more as a running back than anything else, and either way, QB Christian Ponder is likely going to have to put the ball in the air to get the job done against an Atlanta defense that typically excels against the run. The Falcons defense ranks No. 25 against fantasy wide receivers this year, and after DB Dunta Robinson, there really isn’t a heck of a lot out there in terms of defensive backs. Don’t be surprised if Jenkins, who has seen increased looks over the course of the last several weeks turns out to be a top target of Ponder’s on Sunday.

Harry Douglas vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Vikes have a miserable secondary, and they really don’t have the corners to be able to match up with QB Matt Ryan. Douglas has 16 catches and over 290 yards over the course of his last four games, and in one of those games, he didn’t have a catch because of WR Julio Jones’ massive game against Indy. The former Louisville Cardinal has a great chance to get the job done on Sunday. He doesn’t have a touchdown this year, but he does have a tremendous amount of big plays, and this could be the week that he breaks one into the end zone.

Joseph Addai vs. Carolina Panthers
If there is a week that you are going to want to use any of the Colts in your fantasy football lineup, this is probably the week to do it. Addai has been nursing a hamstring injury, but he is expected to give it a go this week. Be sure to check your injury report first. If Addai is out, you might want to give Delone Carter a shot this weekend. No matter who is going against the Panthers, the running backs seem to be picking up slews of yards and lots of touchdowns. Carolina ranks dead last in the league against running backs from a fantasy standpoint, and though Indianapolis seems to be rather anemic on the ground on a regular basis, this could be the week that everything changes.

Dustin Keller vs. Buffalo Bills
Keller hasn’t found the end zone since Week 2, and he really hasn’t had a remarkable game since Week 3, but he did have four catches for 64 yards against the Bills just three weeks ago. Now, the Jets are back at home, and the Buffalo defense doesn’t look all that much better. Against the Broncos last week, Keller had five receptions for 40 yards and a slew of looks, including a few in the red zone. The Bills tend to look like a mess right now, and we don’t think that they are going to be able to keep the Jets out of the zone all that often. We’ll take our chances on Keller at tight end if we’re in a bit of a bind.

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 11 Fantasy Football Sleepers

November 17th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 11 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 11!

Carson Palmer vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings rank No. 30 against the pass and are No. 31 against fantasy quarterbacks. Throw out that first game that Palmer played against Kansas City in which he was picked off three times, and you’ve got a man with some darn good fantasy stats. He’s thrown for 299+ yards in back to back games and has five touchdowns to go with it. Sure, those nine turnovers in 2.5 games are an eyesore, but it’s nothing that a couple touchdowns won’t make you feel better about. If you’re in a bye week binge at QB, this is your perfect start to make even though the Raiders are going on the road.

Michael Bush vs. Minnesota Vikings
Same game. Same type of result. The Vikings are a heck of a lot better against the run than the pass, but the way that the Raiders have force fed Bush over the last two games has been remarkable. It’s hard to believe that Bush is a backup tailback. When he has the backfield to himself though, look out! He had over 230 total yards and a TD last week, and we can see a heck of a lot more of the same this week against Minnesota. There’s just no way that Bush doesn’t get his hands on the ball at least 25 times if Run DMC is kept out of the lineup once again, which is sounding like more and more of a possibility.

Marshawn Lynch vs. St. Louis Rams
This is the same St. Louis team that just let Chris Ogbonnaya run for a ton of yards against it last week… Most have probably forgotten about Lynch, and we can see why that was the case up until a few weeks ago. He only averaged 6.4 fantasy points per game (standard ESPN scoring) over his first seven games of the year, and he looked like he was being overtaken by RB Leon Washington and a host of others in the Seattle backfield. That being said, against the Cowboys and Ravens in the last two weeks, Lynch has 55 carries, 244 yards, and a TD in each game. Now, he’s got an easy two game stretch against the Rams and Redskins and really should be started even if he is on your bench.

Dexter McCluster vs. New England Patriots
In most leagues, McCluster will work as a receiver or as a running back, which makes him the perfect play this week if you are weak in either spot due to a big bye week. We know that he hasn’t found the end zone all year long, but what we also know is that there really is no choice but to get the ball in his hands a heck of a lot more often that has already been the case. QB Tyler Palko will be checking down all game in all likelihood, and against a relatively not-so-athletic defense like that of the Patriots, this could ultimately be a game in which McCluster ends up with 60 rushing yards, 70 receiving yards, and that elusive touchdown.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Prop Picks (11/14/11)

November 14th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Prop Picks (11/14/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Minnesota Vikings First Team To Score
It really seems like the Packers are the popular pick here at -230, but we have to remember the percentages. Green Bay would have to score first in over 70 percent of the games to win this NFL prop, and that is truly a stunning rate. The Vikings just aren’t going to be afraid of the Packers, especially after they came out with guns blazing in the first meeting at the HHH Metrodome with a 70 yard pass play on the first play from scrimmage. Know that you are going to lose this prop significantly more often than not, but know that you are going to win it enough to make a sizeable profit in the long run. Minnesota Vikings Score First (+190 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Longest Touchdown Over/Under 49.5 Yards
Just take a look at WR Jordy Nelson’s numbers over the course of these last few games. He has a catch of at least 50 yards in four of his last seven, and he always seems to find the end zone when he breaks free like that. Just right there, you’ve got enough proof that a 50+ yard touchdown could be scored at least half the time. QB Aaron Rodgers isn’t afraid to uncork the long balls at any point, and QB Christian Ponder showed that he can do it as well after taking a 70 yard shot on the first play of the game when these teams met three weeks ago. Parlay all of that with a Green Bay defense that has a propensity to turn you over and score and players like WR Percy Harvin and RB Adrian Peterson in purple, and the recipe is there for at least one incredibly long touchdown when push comes to shove. Longest Touchdown Over 49.5 Yards (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Aaron Rodgers Over/Under 2.5 TD Passes
It’s sad to say, but we really have no choice but to take the ‘over’ in this one. The Vikings have allowed a slew of touchdowns this year to opposing quarterbacks, including three to Rodgers in October. The former Cal Golden Bear has three straight games with at least three touchdown passes, and he has six 3+ touchdown games in eight tries this year. It’s not like the Packers ever really slow down their offense, as there is just little confidence in the ground game with RBs Ryan Grant and James Starks. Rodgers has 24 scores in eight games this year, and he is probably going to end up adding three or four more touchdown strikes to that tally. It’s a chalky proposition, but with the way that the Packers are playing offensively, we just don’t see any other reasonable options but to play Rodgers’ over. Rodgers Over 2.5 TD Passes (-165 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Week 11 NFL Picks: NFL Prop Picks for Sunday NFL Schedule 11/13/11

November 12th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on Week 11 NFL Picks: NFL Prop Picks for Sunday NFL Schedule 11/13/11
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NFL prop picks are always what we are looking at in NFL betting action, and if you’re ready to dissect the best pro football picks on the Week 11 schedule, look no further than right here at Bankroll Sports! All Week 11 NFL props courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Jackie Battle Over/Under 62.5 Rushing Yards
The Chiefs have really made a big effort to get back in the passing game, but in this one, against a Denver defense that has had a bad history of getting reamed on the ground, we tend to like the chances for Battle to put together a nice effort. He is clearly the top running back on this team, and though we have seen a lot of RB Dexter McCluster of late, we do think that Battle is going to get plenty of opportunities and will get a heck of a lot of yards. This is a low, low number. Battle Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Will Maurice Jones-Drew Score a Touchdown?
The Colts have had no real luck keeping opposing passing games down this year, but historically, MJD has really been fantastic in this series. Jones-Drew has had a frustrating season for the most part, but the one thing that we realize is that he is still getting the ball a ton. Don’t be shocked if he ends up with 30 carries in this game, and if that ends up being the case, we have a hard time believing that he doesn’t have at least a 50/50 shot of finding the end zone with at least one of those touches. Maurice Jones-Drew To Score a Touchdown (+115 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

LeGarrette Blount Over/Under 75.5 Rushing Yards
Last week, in a game in which the Bucs were basically behind the entire way, Blount still had 72 yards against the Saints on the ground on just 13 carries. He is going to have a great opportunity in this one against a Houston team that, though it ranks No. 1 in the league in total defense, isn’t all that strong up front in general. Blount will certainly get the ball more than 13 times in this game, and as long as he can find a way to get perhaps one of those runs 20 yards downfield, he should be able to reach this number. LeGarrette Blount Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (+105 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Brandon Lloyd Over/Under 4.5 Receptions
With double digits in targets in all of his games since coming over to St. Louis, Lloyd is certainly going to end up plenty of looks once again in this one. This number is low due to the fact that QB Sam Bradford hasn’t been all that efficient and that DB Joe Haden is going to be matched up with him for the entire game in all likelihood. If that ends up being the case, perhaps it might be a tad difficult. However, Offensive Coordinator Josh McDaniels loves Lloyd, and he is sure to get the ball in his hands by hook or by crook, no matter what he has to do. Brandon Lloyd Over 4.5 Receptions (-135 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Will Larry Fitzgerald Score a Touchdown?
Don’t you have to have your team score a touchdown for an individual to score? The Cardinals had a heck of a time trying to get the ball in the end zone last week with QB John Skelton at quarterback, and that is likely to be the case again. The Eagles have had a ton of success against teams that try to throw the ball all over the field this year, and if by chance the ball does get into the hands of Fitzgerald, it’s going to be against one of the premier corners in the game. We just don’t like Fitzgerald’s chances of getting into the end zone in this one. Larry Fitzgerald To Not Score a Touchdown (-150 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 10 Fantasy Football Sleepers

November 11th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 10 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 10!

Jason Hill vs. Indianapolis Colts
If there were ever a week to go ahead and try to pick out a Jacksonville wide receiver to start in your fantasy lineup, this would be the week. Hill has had a consistent look of at least five targets per game for the most part, and QB Blaine Gabbert seems to look his way in the red zone quite a bit. However, this is a play that is more about going against the Colts than anything else. Indy ranks dead last in the league against wide receivers for fantasy purposes, and matters are really just getting worse for this team, not better. We watched WR Julio Jones totally rip this team apart last week. We’d just be happy with 60 yards and a score from Hill, though.

Chris Johnson vs. Carolina Panthers
It’s really sad that we are considering Johnson as a bit of a sleeper pick, but with the way that he has played this year, he certainly isn’t an automatic start every single week. Last week, he really showed some decent signs though, coming up with a couple long plays against the Bengals, and now, he has his best matchup of the season on the road against a Panthers team that ranks dead last in the league against fantasy running backs. If CJ2K can’t figure out how to find the end zone in this one and account for more than a season-high 12 points (in standard ESPN fantasy leagues), he’s never going to do it.

Brandon Pettigrew vs. Chicago Bears
According to ESPN.com, the Bears have allowed a whopping 80 targets in nine games against opposing tight ends, and they have allowed an average of almost 10 points per game against tight ends. Pettigrew found the end zone against them earlier this year, and QB Matt Stafford continues to look the big man’s direction when the team is near the end zone. You have to go back to Week 6 to find the last time Pettigrew scored a touchdown, and he only has seven catches for 39 yards since then, but we have confidence that this is the week that he is going to be back in the saddle and back on the big time scoreboard.

Christian Ponder vs. Green Bay Packers
Ponder isn’t afraid to scramble out of the pocket, which could give him a heck of a lot of rushing yards against the Green Bay defense this week. He has a chance to crack double digits once again in points this week, just as he has done in each of his first two starts. There are definitely worse quarterback situations to have. Remember that the Packers, for as vaunted as they have been this year, rank No. 28 against opposing fantasy quarterbacks, and in a game in primetime which could feature a slew of points, Ponder might make a nice start to fill in for a quarterback with a bad matchup.

2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 9 Fantasy Football Sleepers

November 5th, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2011 NFL Prop Picks – Week 9 Fantasy Football Sleepers
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Fantasy Football picks are here at Bankroll Sports this year, and we are going to try to make the most of your NFL props betting options at BoDog Sportsbook by giving you some of the best fantasy football sleepers in Week 9!

Michael Bush vs. Denver Broncos
It became awfully clear on Saturday morning that Bush was going to make for a great start this week against the Broncos. Denver has one of the most porous rush defenses in the league, especially on the road, and now, Bush is going to be the primary runner without RB Darren McFadden in the fold. Parlay all of that with the fact that QB Carson Palmer is still really trying to learn the ropes of his new offense. He has been in camp now just about two and a half weeks, and there is no way that Head Coach Hue Jackson is going to let Palmer do everything that a healthy QB Jason Campbell would have been given the rights to do. Bush will tote the rock at least 20, if not maybe even 30 times on Sunday, and we would be brutally disappointed if he didn’t end up with at least 120 rushing yards and two scores when the afternoon was said and done with.

Oakland Raiders D/ST vs. Denver Broncos
QB Tim Tebow is going to rack up some fantasy points once again versus the Raiders, but the fear that he is going to end up being taken out of the game at halftime is just too much for us to want to use him. That being said, the Raiders are a defense that you could pick up off of most waiver wires this week, and they’re a unit that we might be willing to start in front of just about any other defense in the league. Denver’s offensive line is in shambles, and Tebow holds the ball far too long to be successful in the pocket. He stares down receivers, often leading to bad decisions. Forget about scoring points. If you take out the final six minutes of games, Tebow has led the Broncos to one field goal and two field goal attempts in his time under center. Oakland should put together a huge fantasy day on Sunday, and that doesn’t even include the possibility of the hidden touchdown that WR Jacoby Ford seems to be due for on special teams.

Victor Cruz vs. New England Patriots
New England’s struggles against the pass continued to show last week when it allowed 365 passing yards to QB Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers. There are some real problems for the Giants this week, as WR Hakeem Nicks really doesn’t seem to be at 100% with a hamstring injury, if he even plays at all. That being said, Cruz has been the more consistent receiver between he and WR Mario Manningham this year, and he has found the end zone four times in his last five games. This is a boom or bust receiver, though. So far this season, Cruz has had three games with either no points or one point and three games with at least 15 points in standard leagues. Knowing how bad the Pats’ secondary is, this is probably one of the weeks where Cruz can boom.

David Nelson, Buffalo Bills
WR Steve Johnson is likely to be locked up on Revis Island for the entire day, which really does leave the possibility there for Nelson to just get a slew of targets. Even the speedy WR/RB CJ Spiller might not be all that bad of a start as long as you aren’t expecting too many touchdowns. Seeing Nelson get 12 targets wouldn’t be a humongous surprise this week, as he has great size and the ability to make plays when it counts. Nelson has had just a total of 11 receptions in his last four games, a far cry from the 20 that he had in his first three games, but we do have confidence that he can get back on track in this one against the Jets with Johnson being followed by DB Darrelle Revis everywhere that he goes.

San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Prop Picks (10/31/11)

October 31st, 2011 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Prop Picks (10/31/11)
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Our NFL prop picks continue with our Monday Night Football picks and our San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs prop picks. Be sure to check out our NFL prop picks for the big duel on Monday, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.

Will There Be a Score in the First 7:30 Of the 1st Quarter?
With RB Mike Tolbert out of the fold and the Chiefs evolving into a bit more of a passing team, we tend to think that there will be at least two possessions in the first half of the first quarter. QB Philip Rivers is probably going to try to get up top early to WR Vincent Jackson, and we tend to think that the same could be said for WR Dwayne Bowe for the Chiefs, especially to get some of that mojo on the side of the hosts. We don’t generally like props like this one, but this time around, we’re going to make a bit of an exception. Score in the First 7:30 of the 1st Quarter (-160 at BetOnline Sportsbook)

Longest Field Goal Made Over/Under 44.5 Yards
The weather is getting colder and the ball is getting heavier, and with two kickers that aren’t exactly known as being clutch out on the field, we have a hard time believing that there is going to be a field goal of at least 45 yards over half the time. The temperature is going to dip into the 30s tonight, and the possibility is there of a fairly brisk wind as well, two factors that generally make the kicking game awfully difficult. Longest Field Goal Under 44.5 Yards (-120 at BetOnline Sportsbook).

Will There Be a Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown?
Another interesting prop to say the least. Normally speaking, it’s a bit of a sucker bet to take the no at minus odds, and we tend to agree with this sentiment. These two teams have three touchdowns between them this year on defense, and neither special teams has yet to score. We’re not all that worried about the San Diego special teams, but Javier Arenas and Dexter McCluster are always potential game breakers, especially in a game like this one with all sorts of tension. Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored (+160 at BetOnline Sportsbook).