Posts Tagged ‘NFL trends’

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (11/1/10)

November 1st, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (11/1/10)
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It could be the biggest game in the history of the Houston Texans and one of the darker days in the last decade for the Indianapolis Colts. First place in the AFC South will be on the line, as the winner of this Monday Night Football betting affair will take over the lead in the division and be in the driver’s seat for the postseason. For Houston, this has never happened in franchise history. Of course, neither has winning a game in Indy, nor has sweeping the Colts. For Indianapolis, a loss would really be damaging to its postseason chances and could mark the beginning of the end of the Colts’ dynasty. You know that we have Monday Night Football props covered in this one, and you aren’t going to want to miss out on any of these great chances to make some coin on MNF.

Peyton Manning Passing Yards Over/Under 300.5
Simply put, this number just couldn’t be high enough for us. Manning is just going to tear this Houston secondary apart just like he did in Week 1 when he threw for well over 400 yards in one of the best passing days of the entire season by a quarterback. Many think that the Texans have the worst secondary in football, and based upon the fact that they are allowing 306.2 yards per game through the air, there is some really good justification for that. Unless the pressure gets to be too tough in the backfield for Manning, there’s no way that he doesn’t reach this number. Of course, nothing ever really ruffles the feathers of No. 18, so there’s no way that we are doing anything but playing Manning Over 300.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Arian Foster Over/Under 99.5 Rushing Yards
Are we certifiably insane here? Foster ran the ball 33 times in Week 1 and had the best rushing day of the season against the Colts, rumbling for 233 yards and three scores! However, we just aren’t so sure about the former Tennessee Volunteer’s chances in this one. Indianapolis has gotten significantly better against the run in recent weeks, and with LT Duane Brown out of the lineup serving a suspension, the Texans are missing perhaps their best run blocker in the lineup. There’s also something significantly different about playing this game from behind than from ahead, and we know that Houston isn’t going to march into Lucas Oil Field and absolutely beat the Colts down physically like they did in Week 1. Foster has a chance of getting to 100 yards on the day, but we tend to think that this is a bet for suckers only. The Texans are a passing team, and they’re going to show it on Monday. Go with Foster Under 99.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Andre Johnson Over/Under 78.5 Receiving Yards
Let’s be real here for a second. Andre Johnson is a man amongst boys on the field, and it seems like he can single handedly take over a game when need be. He is the best player in Houston’s lineup and it isn’t even close, and there is no way that he is going to be taken out of a game like this like he was in Week 1. It’s not that Indy really did anything special to eliminate the Miami Hurricanes standout in the first clash of the year. It’s that the running game was working so well that there was no need to put the pigskin in the air. Don’t be shocked if Johnson gets involved early and often, especially after the bye week that should help heal any nagging wounds that have kept him on the sidelines at times this year. After that huge performance against Kansas City when he single handedly won the game, Johnson should have no problem going Over 78.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Pierre Garcon Over/Under 3.5 Receptions
With TE Dallas Clark out of the lineup and WR Austin Collie considered extremely questionable, we know that someone has to step up to take over the reception load of one of the best tight ends in the game. Normally speaking, we would suggest that WR Anthony Gonzalez would be able to do that, but we aren’t so sure that he’ll be 100% effective even if he is able to start to play again for the first time since the very beginning of last season. We aren’t so sure that Garcon is going to be that man either, but if Manning is going to be throwing 45-50 passes in this game, we are very sure that at least a half dozen of them are heading in the Mount Union product’s direction. We find it very unlikely that Garcon doesn’t go Over 3.5 Receiving Yards (-155 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

2010 NFL Trends: Week 8 Cheat Sheet

October 28th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Trends: Week 8 Cheat Sheet
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Week 8 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 8 NFL matchups.

Sunday, October 31st, 1:00 ET: Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets
NFL Trends of Note
The Packers have covered five straight following their bye week
Green Bay is 15-5-1 ATS in its L/21 as an underdog
New York is 7-1 ATS in its L/8 years following its bye week

Series History
The Jets have absolutely reamed the Packers in their L/2 meetings with one another, winning 38-10 at Lambeau Field in 2006 and 42-17 in the Meadowlands in 2002. Since 1985, these teams have met six times, with the Pack getting beaten outright in five of the six and posting just a 1-4-1 ATS record. Needless to say, New York hopes this continues on Sunday to try to improve the NFL’s best ATS mark right now at 5-1 ATS.

Sunday, October 31st, 1:00 PM ET: Denver Broncos vs. San Francisco 49ers
NFL Trends of Note
The Broncos are just 17-35 ATS in their L/52 games after SU losses of more than two TDs
Denver is 7-20-1 ATS in its L/28 against teams with losing records
San Fran is just 7-19-1 ATS in its L/27 played in October

Series History
This is going to be the first time that either the Broncos or 49ers have paid a visit to Jolly Ol’ England, and it should be a good one. The Niners pulled off a tremendous upset in 2006 at Mile High Stadium, winning 26-23 in overtime as ten point pups. The previous meeting also went to the road team and the underdog in 2002, a 24-14 win for Denver at Candlestick Park.

Sunday, October 31st, 1:00 PM ET: Washington Redskins @ Detroit Lions
NFL Trends of Note
Washington is 6-18-3 ATS in its L/27 against teams with a losing record
Detroit is 6-13 ATS in its L/19 home games
The home team is 7-2 ATS in the L/9 meetings

Series History
Last year, this was the game which ended the dastardly losing streak for the Lions that extended 19 games, including the winless campaign in 2008. The Lions had failed to cover the previous three though, notching their most recent win from that point in 2000 by the count of 15-10. This is also a series that is notorious for low scoring affairs, as the ‘under’ has gone 6-0-2 over the L/8 meetings dating back to 1997.

Sunday, October 31st, 1:00 PM ET: Miami Dolphins @ Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Trends of Note
The Dolphins remain 3-0 SU and ATS this year on the road but 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS at home
The Fins are 9-1-1 ATS in their L/11 games played in Week 8
Cincy is 3-11 ATS in its L/14 overall

Series History
These teams actually don’t play that often, which is very surprising for teams sharing a conference. However, the Dolphins really dominated this series from 1987 through 2000, going 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in that stretch. Cincinnati has since struck back though, winning 16-13 in 2004 and 38-25 in 2007. That cover in South Beach in ’07 marked just the second cover in this series for the Bengals since before Dan Marino was quarterbacking the team.

Sunday, October 31st, 1:00 PM ET: Carolina Panthers @ St. Louis Rams
NFL Trends of Note
Carolina is 10-3 ATS in its L/13 against the NFC
The Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 on the road
The Rams have failed to cover a spread in this series since 2001

Series History
These two teams really don’t like each other, and it was really proven in the infamous double overtime game in the 2004 playoffs when WR Steve Smith ended the Rams’ season with a longest touchdown grab. That started a four game winning streak SU for the Panthers in this series of these former NFC West rivals. The “Greatest Show on Turf” does have a 48-14 win in 2001 to show for its work, but that was the last time that the Rams covered a spread in this series.

Sunday, October 31st, 1:00 PM ET: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Dallas Cowboys
NFL Trends of Note
The Jags are just 2-8 ATS in the L/10 seasons in Week 8
Jacksonville is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 against teams with a losing record
Dallas has covered two of the four all-time meetings with the Jags

Series History
There isn’t much of a history here to look at, but these teams have put on four games that have all looked very, very similar. The home team is 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS, and both teams have a pair of victories. All four games featured between 40 and 48 points, with the winning team scoring between 21 and 26 and the losing team scoring between 17 and 22.

Sunday, October 31st, 1:00 PM ET: Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Trends of Note
The Bills are 10-4 ATS in their L/14 road games
Buffalo is 6-13 ATS in its L/19 against teams with a winning record
KC is 7-1 ATS in its L/8 overall

Series History
Ever since the 1994 AFC Championship Game that sent the Bills to the Super Bowl, Buffalo has really dominated this series. You have to go back to 2003 to find the last time that the Chiefs won a game in this series (and that was by the ever so popular score of 38-5), and you won’t find a win at Ralph Wilson Stadium since before the Bills became good. Buffalo has played here at Arrowhead in each of the L/2 seasons, and has victories in both games. Don’t expect it to score anywhere near the 54 that it put on the board in 2008, though.

Sunday, October 31st, 4:05 PM ET: Tennessee Titans @ San Diego Chargers
NFL Trends of Note
The Titans are 9-2 ATS in the L/11 seasons in Week 8
San Diego is 2-7 ATS in its L/9 played in October
The Chargers have covered five straight in this series

Series History
The Bolts don’t have a heck of a lot going for them right now, but perhaps the fact that they have never lost to this franchise SU or ATS since it was known as the Houston Oilers might cheer them up. On Christmas Day last year, the Bolts pasted Tennessee 42-17 at LP Field. The last time the Oilers franchise won here was in 1990 at the old Jack Murphy Stadium. The Titans/Oilers haven’t scored more than 17 points in a game in this series since the 1980s!

Sunday, October 31st, 4:15 PM ET: Seattle Seahawks @ Oakland Raiders
NFL Trends of Note
Seattle is 1-7 ATS in its L/8 played on grass
The Seahawks are 2-10 ATS in their L/12 road games
Oakland is 16-36 ATS in its L/52 played at the Black Hole

Series History
The last time a team won two consecutive games in this series, the Seahawks were playing in the AFC West. Seattle has 16-0 and 34-27 wins at home against the Raiders since 2001, but 31-17 and 38-14 losses on the road in that stretch as well. The two teams are virtually split down the middle at 10-10 ATS since 1993, with Oakland holding a very slender 11-9 SU edge. The last time the Seahawks won at Oakland Alameda County Coliseum? 1997, 22-21.

Sunday, October 31st, 4:05 PM ET: Minnesota Vikings @ New England Patriots
NFL Trends of Note
The Vikes are 10-3 ATS in their L/13 following an SU defeat
The Pats are 21-6 ATS in their L/27 after picking up less than 250 total yards of offense in their previous game
New England is 24-7-2 ATS in its L/33 played in October

Series History
There are a lot of question marks here revolving around Brett Favre and whether he’ll play against the Pats, but our guess is that he’ll trudge out there, just to keep the streak alive. The streak that Minnesota is trying to get going again is its cover streak against the Patriots. The Vikings lost 31-7 at the Metrodome in 2006 in the most recent meeting, but before that, they had gone 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS dating back to 1994.

Sunday, October 31st, 4:05 PM ET: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Arizona Cardinals
NFL Trends of Note
The Cards are 2-8 ATS in their L/10 played in Week 8
Arizona is 8-2 ATS in its L/10 played in October
The Bucs are 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS in this series since 1989

Series History
We hope that you’re not looking for a pretty game when these two teams meet on Sunday. In fact, there hasn’t been a game hit the 40s between these teams since 1988, and that was the first time that the Cardinals played Tampa Bay with their home residing in the desert. Since the Cards moved from St. Louis, Tampa Bay has only played here four times, going 2-2 SU and ATS. The impressive part about that? The Bucs have never scored more than 14 points in a game here!

Sunday, October 31st, 8:20 PM ET: Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
NFL Trends of Note
Pittsburgh is 5-2-1 ATS in its L/8 overall
The Saints are 2-8 ATS in their L/10 played on field turf
New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 against teams with a winning record

Series History
This meeting between the last two Super Bowl champs doesn’t have a heck of a lot of history. In fact, these two have only cracked skulls seven times in the last 30 years! Pittsburgh does own a 4-3 SU edge and is 4-2-1 ATS in those seven games, though its most recent win in the Bayou came back in 1990. The last meeting of these teams was a far more entertaining game, a 38-31 win for the visiting Steelers, who just narrowly covered the six point NFL betting line.

Monday, November 1st, 8:30 PM ET: Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts
NFL Trends of Note
The Texans are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 seasons in Week 8
Indianapolis is 7-1-2 ATS in its L/10 against teams with a winning record
The Colts are 9-4-1 ATS in their L/13 versus AFC foes

Series History
This is the biggest game in the history of the Houston Texans, and it’s not a stretch to say that. They have never won a game here in Indianapolis, and this is the first chance that they really have to post a season sweep of the big kahuna of their division. Houston won 34-24 earlier this year at home against the Colts, earning just their third all time win in this series, but they have covered three of the L/4 meetings and could be set to really bust out as a team on the rise capable of making the playoffs.

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/25/10)

October 24th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/25/10)
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NFC East arch rivals are going to be going at it on Monday Night Football, and here at Bankroll Sports, we have all of your best NFL prop plays for the night. Be sure not to miss all of these great prop picks, as the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants fight it out in a tilt that could change the face of the chase in the division and in the NFC as a whole.

Hakeem Nicks Over/Under 6.5 Receptions
We know that Nicks is QB Eli Manning’s favorite target, and there are games that he just seems to lock in on Nicks and never let go. However, Dallas knows that as well and isn’t foolish. You can bet that coverage will be rolled that direction, just as it was last week against the Giants when Nicks only caught three passes for eight yards on the day. The man out of North Carolina has been dealing with nagging injuries all week that have kept him out of practice. Does that mean more reps for WR Mario Manningham and WR Steve Smith? Probably. The only issue is that we aren’t so sure that these two are going to really be the big men in the passing game. What we are sure of though, is that Nicks should be staying Under 6.5 receptions (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Felix Jones Over/Under 78.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
It seems like Jones is the new back du jour for the Cowboys this year, as he has seemingly replaced RB Marion Barber as the feature man in this lineup. Jones was used out of the backfield last week against the Minnesota Vikings quite a bit, as he caught ten passes and was truly remarkable in that standpoint. That’s the only thing that scares us on this prop. The Giants have a very tough nosed rush defense that really kept even the best of the league, RB Chris Johnson down for the majority of the game. We tend to think that Dallas is going to need more of the power rushing game and less of the glitz and glamour that Jones has to offer. QB Tony Romo will be kept busy once again, which will make for a lighter day for Jones unless he is used as a receiver. Go with the man out of Arkansas Under 78.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Total Sacks by Both Teams Over/Under 4
It’s tough to end up with more than four sacks in a game, but we are going to go there on Monday Night Football. This line probably should be at 4.5, and probably would be if not for the nagging injuries to DEs Justin Tuck, Mathias Kiwanuka, and Osi Umenyiora. Umenyiora has been absolutely beastlike since entering the starting lineup again, as he has seven sacks and six forced fumbles during this three game winning streak. He now has eight sacks on the year and is just shy of the league lead in that category. Remember that on the other side of the field, LB DeMarcus Ware already has six sacks as well. Both of these teams love to throw the football, and both have an easy time getting after the passer. Don’t be surprised if this prop turns out to be relatively easy. There should be Over 4 Sacks (-105 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

2010 NFL Trends: Week 7 Cheat Sheet

October 24th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Trends: Week 7 Cheat Sheet
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Week 7 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 7 NFL matchups.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 ET: San Francisco 49ers @ Carolina Panthers
NFL Trends of Note
San Fran is 7-1-3 ATS in its L/11 following an ATS defeat
The Niners are 7-18-1 ATS in their L/26 played in October
Carolina is 9-3 ATS in its L/12 against NFC opponents

Series History
These two teams used to duke it out twice a year before 2002’s realignment that brought the Houston Texans into the league. However, this is always a series that has belonged to the Panthers. San Fran has failed to cover three straight, nine out of ten, and 13 out of 16 in this series. Carolina owns the L/2 games outright in this series, winning 31-14 at home and 37-27 at AT&T Park. If you’re a fan of high scoring games, this one is for you as well. Eight of the L/10 dating back to 1998 have gone ‘over’ the ‘total’, with the average score since then reaching a whopping 53.7 points per game.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 PM ET: Buffalo Bills @ Baltimore Ravens
NFL Trends of Note
The Bills are 5-13 ATS in their L/18 against teams with winning records
Buffalo is 9-4 ATS in its L/13 road games
The Ravens are 11-3 ATS in their L/14 against teams with a losing record

Series History
Since moving from Cleveland, the Ravens have only met Buffalo five times in the regular season. In those five meetings, Buffalo owns a 3-2 SU and ATS edge. The most recent meeting came in 2007, a 19-14 win for the host Bills. The L/4 have all stayed ‘under’ the number, and strangely enough, all four ‘totals’ were posted at the very low 36 or less. No team has scored more than 22 points in this series since 1990.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 PM ET: St. Louis Rams @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL Trends of Note
The Rams are 4-1 ATS in their L/5 as underdogs
St. Louis is 18-40-1 ATS in its L/59 road games against teams with winning home records
The Bucs have covered five straight following a double digit home loss

Series History
Remember the days when the vaunted Bucs defense was taking on the “Greatest Show on Turf?” What the heck happened to those days? Since that point, these two squads have only really met as iffy teams, with the hosts claiming three straight at home both SU and ATS. Tampa Bay won 24-3 in ’07 at Raymond James Stadium, which was the last meeting of these squads. The home team has won three straight SU and is 2-0-1 ATS in that stretch. The Bucs are 6-0-1 ATS since 1994.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 PM ET: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
NFL Trends of Note
Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 games played in Week 7
The Fins are 15-41-1 ATS in their L/57 home games
Miami is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 games played in the month of October

Series History
Last season, the Steelers ended any hopes of the Dolphins making the playoffs by beating them 30-24 on the final day of the regular season. Little did either team know that the game wouldn’t matter at all. These two have played some ugly games over the years, including a 3-0 game decided with a field goal at the gun at Heinz Field on Monday Night Football in 2007. Four of the L/6 have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’. The Steelers have won four straight in this series and are 3-1 ATS in those four games.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 PM ET: Washington Redskins @ Chicago Bears
NFL Trends of Note
The Redskins are 6-1-4 ATS in their L/11 games played on grass
Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 home games
The Bears are 3-8 ATS in their L/11 on this surface

Series History
It’s been quite awhile since the Redskins were the dominant team of the 1990s when they rolled off five straight in this series SU and went 4-1 ATS in those five games. The Bears still only have two wins in this series since they were doing the Super Bowl Shuffle, and they only have three covers in the L/10 tries as well. Washington nailed down a 24-16 win in 2007 at home, but its last visit to the Windy City came way back in 2004, a 13-10 win. In fact, Chicago hasn’t covered a game in this series since the 1980s while playing at (either) Soldier Field.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 PM ET: Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta Falcons
NFL Trends of Note
The Bengals are 3-10 ATS in their L/13 overall
Cincinnati is 5-2-1 ATS in its L/8 games played in Week 7
The Falcons are 7-3 in their L/10 duels played at the Georgia Dome

Series History
You have to go all the way back to 1996 to find the last time that the Bengals won a game in this series, but there haven’t been all that many encounters since that point. The Falcons won in 2006, 2002, and 1999 both SU and ATS. Even if you want to include the preseason, this has been a lopsided series. Atlanta has gone 8-0 SU and ATS if you want to include exhibitions dating back to 1996. You need to go back into the early 1990s to find the last win for the Bengals here in the Peach State.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 PM ET: Philadelphia Eagles @ Tennessee Titans
NFL Trends of Note
The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 played in the month of October
Tennessee is 2-10 ATS in its L/12 against teams with a winning record
The Titans are 7-3 ATS over the L/10 years in games played in Week 7

Series History
The Titans have taken three straight in this series SU and back to back ATS. There have only meet three meetings since the move to Tennessee from Houston, and needless to say, they haven’t been happy ones for the men from the City of Brotherly Love. Philly has been held to 13 points in two of the three meetings, while allowing the Titans to score 24.3 points per game.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 PM ET: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Trends of Note
The Jags are just 8-26 ATS in their L/34 games played on natural grass
Jacksonville is only 5-13 ATS in its L/18 overall
KC is 5-2-1 ATS in its L/8 played in Week 7

Series History
It is surprising that these two teams have played each other so often even though the Jaguars haven’t been in existence all that long, relatively speaking. The Jags have captured back to back games outright, including a 24-21 win last year at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium. However, KC covered the seven point NFL lines, marking just its second cover in five tries since 2001. The ‘totals’ have been evenly split this decade with three ‘overs’ and three ‘unders’.

Sunday, October 24th, 1:00 PM ET: Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints
NFL Trends of Note
Cleveland is 9-3 ATS in its L/12 games played in October
The Browns are 9-4 ATS in their L/13 overall
New Orleans is just 2-7 ATS in its L/9 played on field turf

Series History
Remember when QB Tim Couch successfully hit that Hail Mary here in the Superdome in 1999 for the first ever victory for the new Cleveland Browns? Since that point, these teams have only met two other times, with Cleveland winning 24-15 here at the ‘Dome, and the Saints capturing a 19-14 ‘W’ in 2006 up north. It’s interesting that this is the only team in football that has never lost a game in the Superdome. The underdog is 3-0 ATS, while two of the three meetings have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’ after the first only got there due to the last second shenanigans.

Sunday, October 24th, 4:05 PM ET: Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks
NFL Trends of Note
The Cards are 9-3 ATS in their L/12 against teams with a winning record
Seattle is 1-7 ATS in its L/8 against teams with a winning record
The Seahawks are just 2-7 ATS over the L/9 years in Week 7

Series History
The less important NFL trend to note in this series is that the home team has gone 6-2 ATS over the L/4 seasons. The more important one is that Arizona has covered four straight and six out of seven. The Redbirds have been absolutely dominating, winning all six of those games that they covered in this stretch. They have three straight in this series by double digits. You have to go back to the first meeting in 2006 to find the last time that Arizona was held under 20 points in a game in this series.

Sunday, October 24th, 4:05 PM ET: New England Patriots @ San Diego Chargers
NFL Trends of Note
The Chargers are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 against teams with winning records
San Diego is just 2-6 ATS in its L/8 played in October
New England has failed to cover a game in this series since 2007

Series History
Yes, the Bolts have taken the last two clashes of these AFC titans from an ATS standpoint, winning 30-10 outright in 2008 and covering the 14 point spread in a 21-12 defeat . However, the Pats have really won the war with these guys when push has come to shove. New England ended San Diego’s season with playoff wins in both 2008 and 2007. Dating back to 1994, the Patriots are 6-3 SU and 5-4 ATS against the Chargers.

Sunday, October 24th, 4:15 PM ET: Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos
NFL Trends of Note
The Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their L/7 following an SU defeat
Denver is 7-3-1 ATS over the L/11 years in Week 7
The Broncos are just 9-23-1 ATS in their L/33 home games

Series History
The Raiders have covered six of the L/8 in this series and have found ways to win games that they have no business winning here at Mile High. Oakland captured a debilitating 20-19 victory here last season that probably effectively kept Denver out of the playoffs, and it also won 31-10 here in 2008. Ironically, the road team is 4-0 SU and ATS over the L/2 seasons, with the home team not even reaching 20 points scored in the proceedings.

Sunday, October 24th, 8:20 PM ET: Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers
NFL Trends of Note
The Vikes are 5-1-1 ATS in their L/7 games played in division
Minnesota is just 3-12-2 ATS in its L/17 games as underdogs of a field goal or less
The Packers are 1-6 ATS in their L/7 as favorites of a field goal or less

Series History
QB Brett Favre is back in the saddle in Green Bay, but it’s not to be captaining the ship of the Packers. He won here last year by throwing four TD passes en route to a series sweep both SU and ATS> That switches a recent trend, as the Packers were 4-0 ATS and 3-1 SU in 2007 and 2008 and actually won five games in a row in this series at one point in the mid 2000s. Four straight have gone past the ‘total’ and both teams have scored at least 23 points in three straight clashes.

Monday, October 25th, 8:30 PM ET: New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys
NFL Trends of Note
The Giants are 12-3-1 ATS in their L/16 road games as pups of a field goal or less
New York is 20-7-1 ATS in its L/28 games played in the month of October
Dallas is just 2-5 ATS in its L/7 games following an SU defeat

Series History
New York, New York, it’s a hell of a town! The Giants have won two straight and four out of five in this series both SU and ATS in spite of the fact that it has been a dog in four of those five games. The G-Men have only been held under 20 points in this series since December 2005 and don’t plan on changing that NFL trend this weekend. Dallas on the other hand, has been awfully inconsistent, as it has both been held in the 10-17 point range and scored in the 40s over the L/4 years.

NFL Football Picks: Sunday Night Football Props (10/24/10)

October 23rd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in College Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Sunday Night Football Props (10/24/10)
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QB Brett Favre is heading back to the city that he was once the wonder child in, as he takes his newest team, the Minnesota Vikings into Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers. Check out our NFL prop selections for Sunday Night Football’s huge clash!

Brett Favre Total Passing Yards Over/Under 234.5
Things are getting better and better for No. 4 in Minneapolis, especially with WR Randy Moss in the fold. We know that Favre barely reached 100 yards passing last week against the Dallas Cowboys, but this is a totally different scenario. This is back in Green Bay. On top of that, Green Bay’s front seven is going to be keying in on RB Adrian Peterson, which really could make for a huge game for the Vikings’ passing game. Favre threw for four TD passes last year when he came to Lambeau Field, and we tend to think that he will get somewhere near this number with plenty of time to spare in this one. DB Al Harris is still banged up, just as there are a number of other Packers dealing with various injuries. Go with Favre Over 234.5 passing yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Sunday Night Football.

Greg Jennings Over/Under 5 Receptions
Logic would suggest that Jennings should be flying over this five reception mark due to the fact that he is one of the only targets that QB Aaron Rodgers really has to throw to at this point. However, Jennings has only reached this point once this entire season. The bad news for us in this prop is that it happened to be last week that he got there. The good news is that the Miami Dolphins’ defense was prone to a ton of deep balls. The Vikes shouldn’t be as prone to that tremendous long ball down the field like Miami was, as this is a defense that focuses more on the pass with just four ferocious rushers in the front line. As a result, we aren’t so convinced that Jennings is going to be getting there. Go with the man from “The U” Under 5 receptions (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

James Jones Over/Under 2 Receptions
Call this more of a gut shot than anything else. Last week, Jones was thrown at three teams but didn’t end up making any receptions. He did have four catches the week before against the Washington Redskins after TE Jermichael Finley got hurt. This really has become one of the only threats that Rodgers has underneath on the inside, so if the Vikes are going to be keying in on Jennings and WR Donald Driver, this could be the man that ends up taking all of the pressure off with short to medium routes. We’ll take a shot on Jones going Over 2 Receptions (-160 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Vikings.

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/18/10)

October 17th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/18/10)
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The Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans are two of the four teams in the AFC South that enter Week 6 at 3-2. One of these two squads will be at least tied for, if not alone in the gutter at 3-3 when this one is over, while the winner will be a game up on at least the loser. Check out what we’ve got in store for Monday Night Football free prop picks!

Chris Johnson Over/Under 113.5 Yards
So far this season, when Johnson reaches the 100 yard barrier, the Titans have gone 3-0 both SU and ATS. When he hasn’t gotten there, they are 0-2 SU and ATS. This is man on a mission on a regular basis, and it’s awfully difficult to stop him when he gets 25 carries in a game like he normally does. The Jacksonville defense does rank No. 13 against the rush at 102.9 yards per game, but they really haven’t had a game quite yet against a team like this, as all five of the teams that it has faced this year have most certainly been pass first offenses. Needless to say, we’ll take our chances that Tennessee’s game plan hasn’t suddenly changed. Go with Johnson Over 113.5 rushing yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Nate Washington Over/Under 40.5 Receiving Yards
We’ll start by saying this much: Washington most certainly has the capability of picking this up in just one play, so this prop is never going to be out of the question. Now, we’ll add into the equation the fact that Jacksonville ranks No. 29 of the 32 teams in the NFL, and save DB Rashean Mathis, there really isn’t a man in this secondary that we are afraid of. Washington might just need to get loose 1-2 times to be able to cash this prop. This is the favorite target of QB Vince Young, and as long as you remain patient and know that those 2-3 receptions are coming over the course of this game, you’ll be fine. Our NFL picks here? Go with Washington Over 40.5 receiving yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Longest Field Goal Over/Under 45.5 Yards
We’ve got two of the best field goal kickers in the game in this one, and neither HC Jack Del Rio nor HC Jeff Fisher is afraid to let him kicker boot one from 55 yards away. Heck, K Josh Scobee just booted the Jags to a win over the Indianapolis Colts with a 59 yard bomb as time expired! K Rob Bironas might have the best leg in the league as well, and he is quite often used as a weapon. Fisher knows that he can count on his kicker to pick up three points on virtually any drive that reaches the 30 yard line, and the offense won’t be afraid to get aggressive and go for TDs, knowing that those three points are virtually always in their back pockets. No doubt, one of these kickers will get a blast from at least 46 yards in this game. We’ll bet that they’ll nail it significantly more often than not as well. Go with there to be a field goal Over 45.5 Yards (+100 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Will Marcedes Lewis Score a Touchdown?
We just need to remember one thing about this prop. This isn’t an NFL pick that needs to come through even half the time to become profitable. In fact, just 40% would more than do. If that’s the case, Lewis would need to score a TD in five of his final 11 games to make this prop worthwhile. We love the fact that the big tight end out of UCLA is making a name for himself in the red zone, as he is becoming the favorite target of QB David Garrard down there. If RB Maurice Jones-Drew is having problems getting through this defensive line, particularly in short yardage situations, the play action rollout has become a real weapon, and quite often, it is Lewis on the other side. This is a very aggressive Tennessee defense, and we tend to think that at least 40% of the time, Lewis is going to find himself in at least one position in the game in which he is wide open in the end zone. Don’t be afraid to go with Lewis to Score a Touchdown (+160 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

NFL Football Picks: Sunday Night Football Props (10/17/10)

October 17th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Sunday Night Football Props (10/17/10)
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The Washington Redskins and Indianapolis Colts are getting set to lock horns on Sunday for a crucial tilt between a pair of 3-2 teams. Check out our NFL picks for the top props in this game that surely should not be missed!

Total Sacks by Both Teams Over/Under 3.5
The offensive line for the Colts this year has looked anything but flawless in spite of the fact that they have only given up five sacks on the season. The biggest problem that this team had was when DE Mario Williams was coming off of QB Peyton Manning’s weak side. Though this is a 3-4 scheme that the Redskins are running and not a 4-3, LB Brian Orakpo will be able to do the same sort of thing. We already know how strong the Indy pass rush has the ability of being, but the real difference might be the struggles of the Washington offensive line. QB Donovan McNabb has already been sacked 11 times this year, and we tend to think that that number is on the rise. There should be plenty of throwing the ball in this game, and if that’s the case, there will almost certainly be Over 3.5 sacks (+125 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Sunday Night Football.

Peyton Manning Over/Under 288.5 Passing Yards
Asking Manning to throw for at least 290 yards seems like a bit of a stretch, especially for a man that just had a relatively miserable game against the Kansas City Chiefs last week. However, we must remember that the short passing game was the only thing that was working for the Philadelphia Eagles against this Washington secondary two weeks ago, and Manning is significantly better than QB Kevin Kolb. We also remember how QB Matt Schaub and the Houston Texans dropped a whole boatload of yards on this defense, over 400 of them to be more exact. It seems as though Manning, without any trust in his rushing game, will coordinate himself to be able to end up going Over 288.5 passing yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Ryan Torain Over/Under 70.5 Rushing Yards
This is really the only hope that the Redskins have of winning this game. This will act as a bit of a hedge bet as well, as Torain is likely to end up going past this number if Manning doesn’t go past his. There just aren’t any other backs of QB Donovan McNabb to turn around and hand the ball to. Torain hasn’t really proven that he is a solid runner yet, but you know that the Colts are going to probably struggle to stop him if he gets going. The former Arizona State Sun Devil can rumble the ball a ton of times in this game, and we fully expect him to do so. Getting 20+ carries isn’t out of the question for as long as the duel stays close. We aren’t so sure, but it seems logical for a team that is allowing over 100 yards per game on the ground that Torain goes Over 70.5 Yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Colts.